Contributing Writer

Bills vs. Patriots Week 15 SGP predictions: Look for Diggs, Kincaid to have standout performances

The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots take part in a pivotal AFC East matchup on Sunday afternoon.

The pregame narrative: If the Patriots win, they will secure the top spot in the division with a few weeks left to play. Buffalo, on the other hand, can even the season series and stay in the race with a win on the road.

Check out my Bills vs. Patriots SGP predictions, featuring picks on Stefon Diggs and Dalton Kincaid.

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Bills vs. Patriots predictions

SGP: Patriots +3.5 | Diggs 50+ receiving yards | Kincaid 40+ receiving yards (+375)

Patriots +3.5 (-180): I’m backing the Patriots to clinch the division in our staff’s NFL best bets for Week 15, but I will take them to cover an alternate spread in this SGP. Let me explain why:

New England already has a win over Buffalo this season, handing the Bills their only home loss so far.

The Patriots are on a 10-game winning streak and have the NFL’s best record at 11-2.

Buffalo is a measly 3-3 away from home.

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A lot of those road woes are due to Josh Allen’s stats taking a serious dip. His passer rating drops almost 40 points from 119.2 at home to 82.2 on the road.

In those six away games, Allen has thrown only six touchdowns to go with his six interceptions.

And then there’s the fact that the Bills always struggle against their division rival. The Patriots have won three of the past five meetings and went 5-0 ATS.

Embed: #122120

Other SGP picks

Diggs 50+ receiving yards (-121): Revenge game part two? I think so.

Diggs went off against his former team in the first matchup, hauling in 10 catches for 146 yards.

For the season, he leads Patriots wide receivers in receptions (64) and yards (705).

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New England averages the second-most passing yards per game, so I expect the Pats to make it a priority to attack through the air.

And Diggs is the WR1 on this team. No other player has more than 45 catches this season.

He’s the most consistent guy out there for New England with the added motivation to stick it to his old team.

I foresee a big performance from Diggs on Sunday afternoon.

Kincaid 40+ receiving yards (-141): Kincaid is a top option for Josh Allen when healthy.

The tight end has suited up for nine games and has 489 receiving yards and five touchdowns.

It’s the progression you want to see out of the third-year pro. His 54.3 yards per game is a career best.

Kincaid also happened to have his best game of the season vs. New England. In Week 5, he had six catches for 108 yards.

That’s partly because the Patriots can fall victim to the pass. They give up 206.9 passing yards per game, which is right around league-average.

Tight ends have 79 receptions against them this season. That’s tied for the seventh most in the NFL.

Everything points to Kincaid having an above-average performance.

Bills vs. Patriots predictions made at 11:52 a.m. on Dec. 12, 2025.

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Best NHL prop picks Dec. 12: Back Tyler Bertuzzi, Jordan Eberle to find the score sheet

Two under-the-radar point producers are highlighted in my NHL prop picks for Friday.

The pregame narrative: The first of two games tonight will be played between the Chicago Blackhawks and St. Louis Blues. After that, the Seattle Kraken visit the Utah Mammoth to close out a Western Conference doubleheader.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 12, featuring Jordan Eberle and Tyler Bertuzzi.

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NHL prop picks Dec. 12

Best bet: Eberle 1+ points (-114)

The long-time NHL veteran leads the Kraken in points, but you wouldn’t be able to tell by his near even money price tag to get on the score sheet tonight.

Eberle has 18 points in 27 games played this season.

That includes recording a point in each of the past four games.

He plays on the top line and skates on the first power play unit. Therefore, he will continue to have a lot of chances to contribute.

-> Bet on Eberle and the Kraken tonight

Eberle also happens to lead Seattle in shots this season (69), making him a standout offensive player on a team lacking star power.

Utah is a strong defensive team, but it’s lost three straight games and has allowed four goals in back-to-back contests.

Cracks are starting to form in the Mammoth’s defence, and Eberle is playing at his peak right now.

Key stat: Eberle had two points in two games vs. Utah last season.

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NHL predictions

Bertuzzi 1+ points (-143): I immediately went to look at Bedard’s price to record a point tonight and opted to stay away from his -295 price.

Then I looked at his linemates and decided to back Bertuzzi on a much more reasonable line.

Why Bertuzzi? Well, he’s been a huge part of the Blackhawks’ offence alongside Bedard on the first line, especially over the past 15 games:

13 goals
9 assists
12-3 against this line

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The former Toronto Maple Leaf is certainly making the most of playing with a budding superstar.

And this is a juicy matchup. The Blues allow the second-most goals per game (3.56) behind starting goalie Joel Hofer (.890 SV%).

Back on Oct. 15, Chicago beat St. Louis 8-3, and Bertuzzi scored a goal and added an assist.

NHL prop picks made at 10:40 a.m. ET on Dec. 12, 2025.

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Top European soccer picks and predictions Dec. 14: Expect big game from Inter Milan’s Marcus Thuram

I have three plus-money picks to share for this weekend’s loaded European soccer slate.

The pre-weekend narrative: In England, I expect Aston Villa to continue its win streak over West Ham, a side in the relegation battle. Also on Sunday, look for Marcus Thuram to contribute in the final third for Inter Milan.

Check out this weekend’s best European soccer picks and predictions for games on Dec. 14, featuring a best bet for Alaves vs. Real Madrid.

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Soccer picks: Dec. 14

Alaves vs. Real Madrid (Dec. 14, 3 p.m. ET)

Best bet: Under 2.5 goals (+110)

Real Madrid has played a lot of soccer over the past few weeks, and at the time of writing, it is currently playing Manchester City in the Champions League.

That’s an important fixture that should be heavily prioritized over this Sunday’s match with Alaves.

Meaning Los Blancos could start a lot of subs to give some of their normal starters a breather in their upcoming match.

Either way, Alaves should be up to the task of limiting Madrid’s offence.

That’s because it is among Spain’s best defensive sides. Alaves allows the fourth-fewest goals against (1.0 per match).

-> Bet on Alaves vs. Real Madrid

And it scores even less. Alaves scores 0.9 goals per game, which also ranks in the bottom five.

Last Sunday, Real Madrid was shut out, 2-0, at home by Celta Vigo. Though I don’t have faith in Alaves scoring multiple goals, I think the side can replicate the defensive effort shown by another mid-table team.

Key stat: Alaves has a 10-5 record on this under in La Liga this season.

EPL prediction

Matchup: West Ham vs. Aston Villa (Dec. 14, 9:00 a.m. ET)

Aston Villa to win (+102): Aston Villa has all the momentum ahead of this matchup.

The side has won five straight matches, catapulting into third in the Premier League.

That includes beating Arsenal 2-1 last weekend. That was just the Gunners’ second loss all season.

On the other side, there’s West Ham, the 18th-place team with three wins so far.

Things have been tough for the Hammers, who own the third-worst goal differential in England (-12). They also have a measly 0-5-3 record against teams inside the top 10.

I don’t want to overthink this one, so I’ll back Aston Villa to pick up a sixth straight win at plus money.

-> B et on Sunday’s EPL matches

Serie A best bet

Matchup: Genoa vs. Inter Milan (Dec. 14, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Thuram to score (+150): Inter is the most explosive team in Serie A, so I want to back one of its top creators.

Inter scores 2.3 goals per game, almost a goal more than AC Milan, which scores the second most (1.6).

Thuram has four goals and an assist in nine Serie A matches, but he caught fire recently. He has three goals in his last three games.

It was about time Thuram started producing. He is extremely dangerous, ranking in the 96th percentile for shot-creating actions per 90 (any action that leads directly to a shot).

That brings me to his opponent, Genoa. The side allows the fourth-most goals per game (1.5).

Everything points to a big offensive performance from Inter, and I like the value on Thuram getting involved.

Soccer picks made at 3:58 p.m. on Dec. 10, 2025.

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Top European soccer picks and predictions Dec. 14: Expect big game from Inter Milan’s Marcus Thuram

I have three plus-money picks to share for this weekend’s loaded European soccer slate.

The pre-weekend narrative: In England, I expect Aston Villa to continue its win streak over West Ham, a side in the relegation battle. Also on Sunday, look for Marcus Thuram to contribute in the final third for Inter Milan.

Check out this weekend’s best European soccer picks and predictions for games on Dec. 14, featuring a best bet for Alaves vs. Real Madrid.

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Soccer picks: Dec. 14

Alaves vs. Real Madrid (Dec. 14, 3 p.m. ET)

Best bet: Under 2.5 goals (+104)

Real Madrid has played a lot of soccer over the past few weeks, and at the time of writing, it is currently playing Manchester City in the Champions League.

That’s an important fixture that should be heavily prioritized over this Sunday’s match with Alaves.

Meaning Los Blancos could start a lot of subs to give some of their normal starters a breather in their upcoming match.

Either way, Alaves should be up to the task of limiting Madrid’s offence.

That’s because it is among Spain’s best defensive sides. Alaves allows the fourth-fewest goals against (1.0 per match).

-> Bet on Alaves vs. Real Madrid

And it scores even less. Alaves scores 0.9 goals per game, which also ranks in the bottom five.

Last Sunday, Real Madrid was shut out, 2-0, at home by Celta Vigo. Though I don’t have faith in Alaves scoring multiple goals, I think the side can replicate the defensive effort shown by another mid-table team.

Key stat: Alaves has a 10-5 record on this under in La Liga this season.

EPL prediction

Matchup: West Ham vs. Aston Villa (Dec. 14, 9:00 a.m. ET)

Aston Villa to win (+104): Aston Villa has all the momentum ahead of this matchup.

The side has won five straight matches, catapulting into third in the Premier League.

That includes beating Arsenal 2-1 last weekend. That was just the Gunners’ second loss all season.

On the other side, there’s West Ham, the 18th-place team with three wins so far.

Things have been tough for the Hammers, who own the third-worst goal differential in England (-12). They also have a measly 0-5-3 record against teams inside the top 10.

I don’t want to overthink this one, so I’ll back Aston Villa to pick up a sixth straight win at plus money.

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Serie A best bet

Matchup: Genoa vs. Inter Milan (Dec. 14, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Thuram to score or give an assist (+100): Inter is the most explosive team in Serie A, so I want to back one of its top creators.

Inter scores 2.3 goals per game, almost a goal more than AC Milan, which scores the second most (1.6).

Thuram has four goals and an assist in nine Serie A matches, but he caught fire recently. He has three goals in his last three games.

It was about time Thuram started producing. He is extremely dangerous, ranking in the 96th percentile for shot-creating actions per 90 (any action that leads directly to a shot).

That brings me to his opponent, Genoa. The side allows the fourth-most goals per game (1.5).

Everything points to a big offensive performance from Inter, and I like the value on Thuram getting involved.

Soccer picks made at 1:58 p.m. on Dec. 10, 2025.

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Suns vs. Thunder NBA Cup SGP Dec. 10: Expect MVP-type performance from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

The Phoenix Suns visit the Oklahoma City Thunder in the first of two NBA Cup quarterfinal matchups on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: The Thunder are putting together a legendary season behind another MVP-calibre campaign from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Phoenix has been on a roll, though, and should be competitive with a spot in the NBA Cup semifinal on the line.

Check out my +300 Suns vs. Thunder SGP predictions for Dec. 10, featuring prop bets on SGA and Dillon Brooks.

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Suns vs. Thunder SGP

Parlay: Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points | Brooks 2+ threes | Suns +14.5 (+300)

Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points (-175): There is always the risk of a blowout when betting on Gilgeous-Alexander’s point props.

But I’ll explain later why I think the Suns can be competitive in this game.

Not that it matters much for this pick. SGA has consistently cleared this total regardless of playing time.

Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points per game on 55.6/44.3/88.1 shooting splits.

He has scored 30+ in 19 of 23 games this season. That includes scoring 37 vs. Phoenix on Nov. 28.

-> Bet on Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Phoenix

Many hate his play style, but no one can deny the fact that the reigning MVP is an extremely efficient scorer with enormous nightly upside.

Just look at his most recent game, which was against the Dallas Mavericks. SGA scored 33 points on 10-of-12 shooting while hitting 11 of his 12 free throws.

In an important game like the NBA Cup quarterfinal, I expect the Canadian to take on an even bigger role on offence.

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NBA SGP legs

Brooks 2+ threes (-195): This is a great addition to the SGP based on Brooks’ consistency.

He is 13-5 vs. this 3s milestone this season.

Brooks attempts 7.4 threes per night.

He shoots a pretty poor 30.6% from deep, but the volume is there, which is encouraging.

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There’s also an argument to be made that the 35.2% career 3-point shooter is bound to get his percentage up.

But as long as the chances are present, this remains a floor-type play for Brooks, who has the potential to smash this line on any night.

Suns +14.5 (-112): Phoenix has really turned things around after starting the season 1-5. Since then, the Suns have won 13 of 18 games.

They have a 16-8 ATS record and cover the spread by 5.3 points on average, per Team Rankings. Phoenix leads the NBA in both stats.

Devin Booker has missed back-to-back games, and his availability is crucial for this wager. However, I expect the Suns’ star to play after being upgraded to questionable on the injury report.

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With Booker playing, Phoenix lost 123-119 in Oklahoma City just under two weeks ago.

The Thunder are off to a historical start with a 23-1 record, but they are a mediocre 13-11 ATS (6-5 at home).

With how the Suns are playing recently, I expect them to put up a fight as big underdogs in this NBA Cup quarterfinal.

Suns vs. Thunder SGP predictions made at 10:55 a.m. ET on Dec. 10, 2025.

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NHL parlay picks and predictions Dec. 10: Back Anze Kopitar, New York to win in +505 wager

There are only four games in the NHL on Wednesday, but that’s still enough action for a three-leg parlay.

The pregame narrative: In the final game of the night, I’m betting on Anze Kopitar to find the score sheet when the Los Angeles Kings play the Seattle Kraken. I also expect a lot of goals between the Detroit Red Wings and Calgary Flames.

Check out the full +505 NHL parlay predictions Dec. 10, featuring a pick on the New York Rangers.

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NHL parlay predictions Dec. 10

Parlay: Kopitar to record a point | Red Wings/Flames over 6 goals | Rangers ML (+505)

Kopitar to record a point (-115): The long-time King is now in his 20th NHL season and he still has some gas left in the tank.

Kopitar has 15 points in 25 games this season, but there’s one particular part of this matchup I want to focus on for this pick.

The Seattle Kraken have the worst penalty kill in the NHL (66.2%).

Kopitar has scored six of his 15 points with the man advantage.

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It is worth noting that L.A. has the worst power play in the league, but the team ranks above average for shots on goal (28.6).

That means the Kings continue to have a good amount of opportunities on a nightly basis. For that reason, I’m expecting the struggling power play to overcome a dreadful penalty kill.

The Kraken have lost six games in a row, allowing 25 goals over that stretch (4.16 per game).

Kopitar can certainly cash this leg at even strength, too. He has recorded a point in three of the past five games, all at 5-on-5.

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Other picks

Red Wings/Flames over 6 goals (-113): The Red Wings are having a successful season thanks to a strong offence carrying a weaker defence.

They score 3.1 goals per game on the fifth-most shots per game (30.0). Detroit also has a top-seven power play percentage (24.0%)

The Red Wings have scored three or more goals in eight of their last 10 games.

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That’s a good base for this wager, but I also believe the Flames can contribute.

At home, Calgary is 7-4-2 this season. That’s impressive considering its overall record is 12-15-4.

A lot of that success can be attributed to an uptick in offence. In the Flames’ past nine home games, they averaged 3.5 goals. That is significantly higher than their 2.48 goals per game over the entire season.

Rangers moneyline (-143): The Rangers are surprisingly a better team on the road than at Madison Square Garden … and it’s not even close.

Home: 3-8-3
Away: 12-4-1

Additionally, they are playing up to standard lately after a tough start to the season.

New York is 5-1-2 over its past eight games. The overtime losses came against the Vegas Golden Knights and Colorado Avalanche, two of the best teams out west.

The Chicago Blackhawks simply aren’t in the same tier. They are below average in goals for and goals against, and they allow the fourth-most shots per game (31.0).

They also play undisciplined hockey, taking the fourth-most penalty minutes per game (11.3). The Rangers have a few areas to exploit and should keep rolling on the road.

NHL parlay predictions made at 9:55 a.m. on Dec. 10, 2025.

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Champions League Matchday 6 predictions: Back Inter Milan vs. Liverpool, Michael Olise to contribute

The Champions League is back, and I have picks on two European giants playing on Tuesday.

The pregame narrative: Inter Milan hosts Liverpool and I think the Italian side can pick up three points against its English foe. Before that, look for Michael Olise to contribute offence when Bayern Munich plays Sporting Lisbon.

Check out my best Champions League Matchday 6 predictions for Dec. 9.

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Champions League Matchday 6 predictions: Dec. 9

Best bet: Inter Milan to win (+128)

After winning the EPL in 2024-25, Liverpool is facing a season-long hangover as it struggles to put together wins.

In fact, the Reds only have one win in their past six matches. That includes losing 4-1 to PSV in their most recent Champions League fixture.

Liverpool is now 3-0-2 in the UCL league phase, which puts the side in 13th place.

Now, let me turn my attention to Inter. The Italian club is second in Serie A with the best goal differential in the league (+19).

-> Bet on Inter Milan vs. Liverpool

Inter is ahead of Liverpool in the Champions League table. It is tied for second with four wins and a loss.

I Nerazzurri also have a distinct advantage playing at home. They have won eight of their past nine home games.

Meanwhile, Liverpool has just one win in its past six away fixtures, losing four of those matches straight up.

Key stat: Inter has the fourth-best average match rating in the Champions League (7.21), ahead of sides like PSG and Bayern Munich.

Embed: #122005

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Bayern Munich vs. Sporting Lisbon best bet

Olise to score or give an assist (-137): Harry Kane is the Batman of Bayern’s attack, but he is -435 to score or give an assist.

That brings me to his Robin, Olise.

In 28 matches across all competitions this season, the Frenchman has 11 goals and 10 assists.

I wanted to find someone on the Bayern side to back against Lisbon’s mediocre defence.

The Portuguese side has conceded in four of five UCL matches this season despite having a weak schedule so far.

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Napoli was its best opponent, and the Italian side managed to win 2-1 on the road.

Bayern’s offence should be able to replicate that effort and then some. The Bundesliga leaders have scored 49 goals in 13 games in Germany and are averaging 3.0 goals per match in the Champions League.

Olise leads the charge as the best creator in the final third. He could find the back of the net or do what he does best and feed Kane in the penalty area for an easy finish.

Champions League Matchday 6 predictions at 2:30 p.m. on Dec. 7, 2025.

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Eagles vs. Chargers MNF Week 14 SGP predictions: Bet on A.J. Brown to shine in +310 play for Monday’s game

The Philadelphia Eagles visit the Los Angeles Chargers to close out Week 14 of the NFL season.

The pregame narrative: The Eagles have lost two in a row but are still slight favourites to get the job done on the road. The winner of this game will be one step closer to securing a playoff spot, while the loser falls to 8-5 on the season.

Check out my Eagles vs. Chargers predictions in this +360 same-game parlay, featuring A.J. Brown and Oronde Gadsden.

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Eagles vs. Chargers predictions

SGP: Chargers +7.5 | Brown 60+ receiving yards | Gadsden 40+ receiving yards (+360)

Chargers +7.5 (-315): I have been unimpressed with the Eagles this season.

They are 8-4 but have failed to cover this spread in seven of those wins, making them 1-11 overall against a -7.5-point spread.

Philly has been a part of many close games, and the Chargers should be just as tough a task as any team.

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They have won four of five games and are expected to get first-round pick Omarion Hampton back from injury.

The Chargers concede the second fewest yards per game (292.2).

The squad is 5-2 at home and is better than the Eagles in most statistical categories.

This game is close to a pick’em on the standard line, but I feel good about adding points onto the L.A. side and backing the home team to keep this within a touchdown.

Embed: #121979

Monday Night Football SGP picks

Brown 60+ receiving yards (-110): Over recent weeks, Brown has looked like a true WR1 in Philadelphia’s offence.

Week 11: 11 targets, 7 receptions, 49 yards
Week 12: 10 targets, 8 receptions, 110 yards
Week 13: 12 targets, 10 receptions, 132 yards

This is nothing new for Brown. He had 1,000+ receiving yards in six of his seven seasons as a pro.

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When quarterback Jalen Hurts is focusing his way, this modest yardage total is way below Brown’s production ceiling.

Even in a down year, Brown still has 699 receiving yards after 12 games. He is on pace for another 1,000-yard campaign and has cleared this yardage total in four of the past six weeks.

Gadsden 40+ receiving yards (-113): Gadsden was a fifth-round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, and he’s exploded onto the scene as a rookie.

38 receptions
53.4 yards per game
7-3 against this line

Gadsden didn’t even play a single snap in L.A.’s first two games, and most of that production came from the past seven weeks.

During that stretch, he has 458 receiving yards. That equates to 65.4 yards per game.

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The rookie tight end is now on pace for over 900 yards in his first season, and he’s become a staple in the Chargers’ offence.

If he had been allowed to shine earlier, he could’ve been a serious contender for Offensive Rookie of the Year.

But the Chargers have finally unleashed the 6-foot-5 vertical threat, and I expect him to wreak havoc on Philly’s defence.

Eagles vs. Chargers predictions made at 2:36 p.m. ET on Dec. 7, 2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Dec. 7: Back Alex Ovechkin, Cole Caufield on Sunday

Two of the NHL’s top scorers are the focus of my anytime goal picks for Sunday.

The pregame narrative: In the evening slate, Alex Ovechkin has value to light the lamp against the Columbus Blue Jackets. Elsewhere, bet on Cole Caufield to score his second goal in as many nights when the Montreal Canadiens host the St. Louis Blues.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Dec. 7.

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NHL goal picks Dec. 7

Best Bet: Ovechkin to score (+115)

Ovechkin may be the hottest player in the NHL right now.

Since Nov. 14, he has 11 goals in 14 games, cashing this wager eight times.

The NHL’s all-time leading scorer certainly turned things around after his early-season struggles.

And on Sunday, he gets a Grade-A matchup against Columbus.

-> Bet on Ovechkin and the Capitals tonight!

The Blue Jackets are one of the worst defensive teams in the NHL. They are in the bottom 10 for goals against and allow the third most shots against per game (31.3).

That’s paired with the third-worst penalty kill in the league (70.7%). All of that plays right into Ovechkin’s strengths.

He leads Capitals forwards in shots (75) and has seven power-play points this year.

I can see a vintage Ovechkin goal from the circle in this one. He also has 12 regular-strength goals this season, making him dangerous at all times.

Key stat: Ovechkin has scored in five of his last six games vs. Columbus.

NHL predictions

Caufield to score (+155): Caufield scored against the Toronto Maple Leafs in Saturday’s 2-1 shootout win, and I’m confident he can carry that success into tonight’s contest.

First off, he’s having a great season with 15 goals in 27 games.

And then there’s the matchup. The Blues allow 3.41 goals per game and have a bottom-seven penalty kill (76.7%).

The Canadiens convert on 26.3% of their PP chances (fourth-best), and Caufield has 11 of his points on the man advantage.

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Montreal’s offence has been explosive as a whole, ranking top 10 in scoring, despite taking the fourth fewest shots a night.

So in a matchup where a ton of shooting opportunities should be available, it makes sense to back the Canadiens’ top goal scorer at plus-money.

NHL goal picks made at 2:41 p.m. ET on Dec. 7, 2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Dec. 7: Back Alex Ovechkin, Cole Caufield on Sunday

Two of the NHL’s top scorers are the focus of my anytime goal picks for Sunday.

The pregame narrative: In the evening slate, Alex Ovechkin has value to light the lamp against the Columbus Blue Jackets. Elsewhere, bet on Cole Caufield to score his second goal in as many nights when the Montreal Canadiens host the St. Louis Blues.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Dec. 7.

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NHL goal picks Dec. 7

Best Bet: Ovechkin to score (+116)

Ovechkin may be the hottest player in the NHL right now.

Since Nov. 14, he has 11 goals in 14 games, cashing this wager eight times.

The NHL’s all-time leading scorer certainly turned things around after his early-season struggles.

And on Sunday, he gets a Grade-A matchup against Columbus.

-> Bet on Ovechkin and the Capitals tonight!

The Blue Jackets are one of the worst defensive teams in the NHL. They are in the bottom 10 for goals against and allow the third most shots against per game (31.3).

That’s paired with the third-worst penalty kill in the league (70.7%). All of that plays right into Ovechkin’s strengths.

He leads Capitals forwards in shots (75) and has seven power-play points this year.

I can see a vintage Ovechkin goal from the circle in this one. He also has 12 regular-strength goals this season, making him dangerous at all times.

Key stat: Ovechkin has scored in five of his last six games vs. Columbus.

Embed: #121978

NHL predictions

Caufield to score (+128): Caufield scored against the Toronto Maple Leafs in Saturday’s 2-1 shootout win, and I’m confident he can carry that success into tonight’s contest.

First off, he’s having a great season with 15 goals in 27 games.

And then there’s the matchup. The Blues allow 3.41 goals per game and have a bottom-seven penalty kill (76.7%).

The Canadiens convert on 26.3% of their PP chances (fourth-best), and Caufield has 11 of his points on the man advantage.

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Montreal’s offence has been explosive as a whole, ranking top 10 in scoring, despite taking the fourth fewest shots a night.

So in a matchup where a ton of shooting opportunities should be available, it makes sense to back the Canadiens’ top goal scorer at plus-money.

NHL goal picks made at 9:33 a.m. ET on Dec. 3, 2025.

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