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Pacers vs.Thunder NBA Finals Game 7 SGP: Bet on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to shine at home

The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Indiana Pacers for Game 7 of the NBA Finals.

The pregame narrative: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a force in this series, especially at home, where he is averaging 31.8 points, making the Thunder difficult to beat. The Indiana Pacers are led by depth, needing one more win to shock the NBA world.

Check out my Pacers vs. Thunder SGP predictions for Game 7 on June 22, featuring Gilgeous-Alexander and Aaron Nesmith.

Pacers vs. Thunder predictions

Parlay: Thunder -4.5 | Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points | Nesmith 2+ threes (+290)

Thunder -4.5 (-195): OKC has been incredible at home in the postseason. It’s won 10 of 12 games, covering a -4.5 spread in each of those wins.

Indiana was one of those two teams to take a game in Oklahoma City, but the Thunder seemingly erased those demons, winning by double-digit points in the two games at home since.

This isn’t something new in the playoffs. OKC went 36-6 at home in the regular season. So it’s really hard to bet against a team that only lost eight games in its building heading into Game 7 of the NBA Finals.

On top of that, the Thunder has an average point differential of +20.6 at Paycom Center in the postseason.

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NBA SGP legs

Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points (-190): The 2024-25 MVP is a large part of the Thunder’s home success.

Gilgeous-Alexander is 10-2 against this over in Oklahoma City.

The two games he fell shy of this total were in the opening series vs. the Memphis Grizzlies. He’s cleared this mark in 10 straight since.

That includes the Finals, where SGA is averaging 34.3 PPG at home.

The Canadian is the best scorer in the NBA, and his floor grows even higher when playing in front of the Thunder faithful.

He should be in line for another big performance with the Larry O’Brien up for grabs in a winner-take-all Game 7.

Nesmith 2+ threes (-156): Nesmith has been a sniper for the Pacers in the playoffs.

He’s averaging 2.7 makes on 5.3 3-point attempts in the playoffs.

He’s 16-6 against this line (5-1 in the Finals).

Nesmith shot 43.1% from deep in the regular season, which ranked 10th in the NBA.

With efficiency like that, he doesn’t need many attempts to cash the over on this modest total.

And that’s music to my ears when backing a 3-point prop with this good of value.

Pacers vs. Thunder predictions made at 1:07 p.m. ET 06/21/2025.

Pacers vs. Thunder NBA Finals prop picks Game 7: Target Pascal Siakam and Jalen Williams on Sunday

It comes down to this — Game 7 between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder for the Larry O’Brien Trophy.

The pregame narrative: This series has been closer than many expected, needing all seven games for a conclusion. OKC will be at home, where it is 10-2 this postseason. But Indiana has thrived as an underdog in these playoffs and needs one more surprise win to claim its first NBA title.

I’m targeting Pascal Siakam and Jalen Williams in my Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks for June 22.

Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks

Best bet: Siakam over 10.5 rebounds/assists (-143)

This is a line that Siakam has been consistently hitting the over on in the NBA Finals.

Game 1: 10 rebounds, three assists
Game 2: seven rebounds, four assists
Game 4: eight rebounds, five assists
Game 5: six rebounds, five assists
Game 6: 13 rebounds, three assists

In the one outlier (Game 3), he finished with 10 rebounds/assists, just shy of this mark.

The former Toronto Raptor was always considered a strong No. 2 option at best, but he’s leading the Pacers into a Game 7 against a historically great team.

And as much as he can score, he’s been filling up the statsheet recently.

Siakam elevated his game as a passer and rebounder, averaging 7.2 potential assists (any pass that leads directly to a teammate’s shot) and 13.3 rebound chances per game in the Finals.

Key stat: Overall, he’s averaging 12.3 rebounds/assists in this series.

Game 7 prop prediction

Williams over 28.5 points/rebounds (-112): Williams fell shy of this mark in Game 6, but the Pacers were up big, and most starters had a lightened workload.

That included the Thunder’s No. 2 option, who played just under 27 minutes in the contest. For reference, he averaged over 35 for the first five games.

Before Thursday’s game, Williams had cleared this line in three straight. That included a 40-point, six-rebound outburst in Game 5 at home.

He averaged 31.0 and 6.3 rebounds in those games.

Williams didn’t play badly last time out either. He hit 6-of-13 shots for 16 points in his limited minutes. An uptick in volume would be very beneficial for this wager.

The dynamic forward is 8-3 against this line in the postseason when taking 18 or more shots.

Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks made at 12:35 p.m. ET 06/21/2025.

Best MLB prop bets June 21: Target Jacob Wilson, Bobby Witt Jr. to be productive

Jacob Wilson and Bobby Witt Jr. are featured in Saturday’s MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Wilson, who is having a fantastic second year, has an A-plus matchup when the Athletics play the Cleveland Guardians. Earlier on, Witt looks to build on a strong run at the dish against a familiar foe.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 21, which includes a prediction on Brandon Walter.

MLB prop bets

Best Bet: Wilson over 0.5 runs (+115)

The A’s shortstop has taken the league by storm. He has the second-best batting average (.358) in MLB behind only Aaron Judge.

Wilson also hardly strikes out, too. His 6.2% K-rate ranks in the 100th percentile, per Baseball Savant.

With all that action on the basepath comes its fair share of runs. He has crossed home plate 40 times in 72 games.

He hits second in the lineup on most nights, which is a premium spot to score runs.

Luckily for Wilson and the other Athletics hitters, Luis Ortiz is set to take the mound for the Guardians.

Ortiz has allowed 10 runs over his past two starts (10.2 innings pitched). He owns a 16th-percentile xERA (4.81) and allows a 49.0 hard-hit percentage.

Key stat: Wilson has scored nine runs in his past 13 starts.

Best MLB picks

Witt over 1.5 total bases (+120): Witt’s stats haven’t been as incredible as they were last season, but he’s still one of the best hitters in the majors.

He bats .284, which is great, but his advanced stats show he’s still had some bad ball luck.

His xBA (.306) ranks in the 95th percentile while his xSLG (.524) ranks in the 88th percentile.

Things are turning around during Witt’s current five-game hit streak, though. He has eight hits in 20 at-bats during that time with three doubles and two home runs.

On Saturday, he’ll see Dylan Cease for the San Diego Padres. Cease is having a down year (4.69 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), and Witt has a good head-to-head history in this matchup.

The Royals’ star shortstop is 5-for-16 in his career vs. Cease (.313) with only one walk and three Ks.

Walter over 17.5 outs (-112): The Los Angeles Angels are struggling right now.

They are tied with the Chicago White Sox for the worst batting average in baseball (.223) and have hit just .186 as a team over their last three games.

That brings me to Walter, who’s been incredible since making his debut with the Astros.

In three starts, the lefty has a 1.53 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

His 2.73 FIP would rank sixth amongst all pitchers if he met the ranking requirements.

He is 2-1 against this line, falling short in his debut (5.0 IP) despite throwing a shutout.

Walter went exactly 6.0 innings in his next two starts against the Minnesota Twins and Guardians, who both have a better offence than the Angels.

Plus, Houston will want Walter to work as long as possible. The Stros haven’t had an off day since June 2 and used nine relief pitchers combined in their last two games.

He has a 19:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio, so he doesn’t waste any pitches. He should have the juice to work deep into this ball game if he keeps LA’s offence in check.

MLB prop picks made at 12:25 p.m. ET on 06/21/2025.

Best MLB prop bets June 21: Target Jacob Wilson, Bobby Witt Jr. to be productive

Jacob Wilson and Bobby Witt Jr. are featured in Saturday’s MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Wilson, who is having a fantastic second year, has an A-plus matchup when the Athletics play the Cleveland Guardians. Earlier on, Witt looks to build on a strong run at the dish against a familiar foe.

Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 21, which includes a prediction on Brandon Walter.

MLB prop bets

Best Bet: Wilson over 0.5 runs (+106)

The A’s shortstop has taken the league by storm. He has the second-best batting average (.358) in MLB behind only Aaron Judge.

Wilson also hardly strikes out, too. His 6.2% K-rate ranks in the 100th percentile, per Baseball Savant.

With all that action on the basepath comes its fair share of runs. He has crossed home plate 40 times in 72 games.

He hits second in the lineup on most nights, which is a premium spot to score runs.

Luckily for Wilson and the other Athletics hitters, Luis Ortiz is set to take the mound for the Guardians.

Ortiz has allowed 10 runs over his past two starts (10.2 innings pitched). He owns a 16th-percentile xERA (4.81) and allows a 49.0 hard-hit percentage.

Key stat: Wilson has scored nine runs in his past 13 starts.

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Best MLB picks

Witt over 1.5 total bases (+128): Witt’s stats haven’t been as incredible as they were last season, but he’s still one of the best hitters in the majors.

He bats .284, which is great, but his advanced stats show he’s still had some bad ball luck.

His xBA (.306) ranks in the 95th percentile while his xSLG (.524) ranks in the 88th percentile.

Things are turning around during Witt’s current five-game hit streak, though. He has eight hits in 20 at-bats during that time with three doubles and two home runs.

On Saturday, he’ll see Dylan Cease for the San Diego Padres. Cease is having a down year (4.69 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), and Witt has a good head-to-head history in this matchup.

The Royals’ star shortstop is 5-for-16 in his career vs. Cease (.313) with only one walk and three Ks.

Walter over 16.5 outs (-124): The Los Angeles Angels are struggling right now.

They are tied with the Chicago White Sox for the worst batting average in baseball (.223) and have hit just .186 as a team over their last three games.

That brings me to Walter, who’s been incredible since making his debut with the Astros.

In three starts, the lefty has a 1.53 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

His 2.73 FIP would rank sixth amongst all pitchers if he met the ranking requirements.

He is 2-1 against this line, falling short in his debut (5.0 IP) despite throwing a shutout.

Walter went exactly 6.0 innings in his next two starts against the Minnesota Twins and Guardians, who both have a better offence than the Angels.

Plus, Houston will want Walter to work as long as possible. The Stros haven’t had an off day since June 2 and used nine relief pitchers combined in their last two games.

He has a 19:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio, so he doesn’t waste any pitches. He should have the juice to work deep into this ball game if he keeps LA’s offence in check.

MLB prop picks made at 10:08 a.m. ET on 06/21/2025.

Pacers vs. Thunder NBA Finals prop picks Game 7: Target Pascal Siakam and Jalen Williams on Sunday

It comes down to this — Game 7 between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder for the Larry O’Brien Trophy.

The pregame narrative: This series has been closer than many expected, needing all seven games for a conclusion. OKC will be at home, where it is 10-2 this postseason. But Indiana has thrived as an underdog in these playoffs and needs one more surprise win to claim its first NBA title.

I’m targeting Pascal Siakam and Jalen Williams in my Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks for June 22.

Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks

Best bet: Siakam over 10.5 rebounds/assists (-130)

This is a line that Siakam has been consistently hitting the over on in the NBA Finals.

Game 1: 10 rebounds, three assists
Game 2: seven rebounds, four assists
Game 4: eight rebounds, five assists
Game 5: six rebounds, five assists
Game 6: 13 rebounds, three assists

In the one outlier (Game 3), he finished with 10 rebounds/assists, just shy of this mark.

The former Toronto Raptor was always considered a strong No. 2 option at best, but he’s leading the Pacers into a Game 7 against a historically great team.

And as much as he can score, he’s been filling up the statsheet recently.

Siakam elevated his game as a passer and rebounder, averaging 7.2 potential assists (any pass that leads directly to a teammate’s shot) and 13.3 rebound chances per game in the Finals.

Key stat: Overall, he’s averaging 12.3 rebounds/assists in this series.

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Game 7 prop prediction

Williams over 27.5 points/rebounds (-109): Williams fell shy of this mark in Game 6, but the Pacers were up big, and most starters had a lightened workload.

That included the Thunder’s No. 2 option, who played just under 27 minutes in the contest. For reference, he averaged over 35 for the first five games.

Before Thursday’s game, Williams had cleared this line in three straight. That included a 40-point, six-rebound outburst in Game 5 at home.

He averaged 31.0 and 6.3 rebounds in those games.

Williams didn’t play badly last time out either. He hit 6-of-13 shots for 16 points in his limited minutes. An uptick in volume would be very beneficial for this wager.

The dynamic forward is 8-3 against this line in the postseason when taking 18 or more shots.

Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks made at 8:31 a.m. ET 06/21/2025.

Best men’s tennis picks June 20: Queen’s Club, Halle Open quarterfinal betting predictions

The quarterfinals will be played across two different men’s tennis tournaments on Friday.

The pregame narrative: Jack Draper continues to solidify himself as a top-10 player in the world. He’s a sizable favourite over Brandon Nakashima for their match in London. At the Halle Open in Germany, No. 3-ranked Alexander Zverev looks to fight off a red-hot Flavio Cobolli.

Check out my top tennis predictions for the June 20 matches.

Tennis predictions: June 20

Best bet: Draper -1.5 sets (-150)

Draper has been great this season, owning a 27-7 record with a 75% win rate or better on every playing surface.

That includes a strong 2-0 start on grass where he’s won four of his five sets.

Nakashima, meanwhile, has barely edged his way past recent opponents, and I think his luck has run out.

The American has played five sets at this event. Three went to a tiebreaker while the other two had 10 or more games played.

That’s resulted in Nakashima needing almost an hour more of on-court time to reach the quarterfinal.

He should be more fatigued than Draper and he’s the less skilled player in this matchup. Draper beat Nakashima in straight sets on grass (6-3, 6-3) back in June 2024.

Key stat: Nakashima is 0-5 this season against top-15 opponents.

Full tennis betting markets

Best bet for Zverev vs. Cobolli

Zverev/Cobolli under 22 total games (-112): This is a way to back Zverev while avoiding his -205 pricetag to win in straight sets.

Cobolli’s been good over the past month, winning nine of his last 10 matches.

That one defeat, however, was against Zverev in straight sets on clay at the French Open (6-2, 7-6, 6-1). He dominated two of the three sets, halting the Italian’s run in Paris.

And grass provides an even bigger advantage for the No. 3-ranked player in this rematch.

Zverev’s 67.7% win rate on grass is almost as good as his 70.5% win rate on clay.

Cobolli is 5-6 on grass (45.5%) in his career, but is 137-88 on clay (60.8%).

The Italian has started 2025 with back-to-back wins on grass, but needed five hours and 17 minutes to complete those matches.

For context, Zverev needed just over three and a half hours to reach the quarters.

The German should have the legs to fuel his talent advantage on Friday. Everything points to Zverev making quick work of Cobolli.

Tennis predictions made at 5:11 p.m. on 06/19/25

Best men’s tennis picks June 20: Queen’s Club, Halle Open quarterfinal betting predictions

The quarterfinals will be played across two different men’s tennis tournaments on Friday.

The pregame narrative: Jack Draper continues to solidify himself as a top-10 player in the world. He’s a sizable favourite over Brandon Nakashima for their match in London. At the Halle Open in Germany, No. 3-ranked Alexander Zverev looks to fight off a red-hot Flavio Cobolli.

Check out my top tennis predictions for the June 20 matches.

Tennis predictions: June 20

Best bet: Draper -1.5 sets (-129)

Draper has been great this season, owning a 27-7 record with a 75% win rate or better on every playing surface.

That includes a strong 2-0 start on grass where he’s won four of his five sets.

Nakashima, meanwhile, has barely edged his way past recent opponents, and I think his luck has run out.

The American has played five sets at this event. Three went to a tiebreaker while the other two had 10 or more games played.

That’s resulted in Nakashima needing almost an hour more of on-court time to reach the quarterfinal.

He should be more fatigued than Draper and he’s the less skilled player in this matchup. Draper beat Nakashima in straight sets on grass (6-3, 6-3) back in June 2024.

Key stat: Nakashima is 0-5 this season against top-15 opponents.

Full tennis betting markets

Best bet for Zverev vs. Cobolli

Zverev/Cobolli under 21.5 total games (-106): This is a way to back Zverev while avoiding his -205 pricetag to win in straight sets.

Cobolli’s been good over the past month, winning nine of his last 10 matches.

That one defeat, however, was against Zverev in straight sets on clay at the French Open (6-2, 7-6, 6-1). He dominated two of the three sets, halting the Italian’s run in Paris.

And grass provides an even bigger advantage for the No. 3-ranked player in this rematch.

Zverev’s 67.7% win rate on grass is almost as good as his 70.5% win rate on clay.

Cobolli is 5-6 on grass (45.5%) in his career, but is 137-88 on clay (60.8%).

The Italian has started 2025 with back-to-back wins on grass, but needed five hours and 17 minutes to complete those matches.

For context, Zverev needed just over three and a half hours to reach the quarters.

The German should have the legs to fuel his talent advantage on Friday. Everything points to Zverev making quick work of Cobolli.

Tennis predictions made at 4:05 p.m. on 06/19/25

Canada vs. Curacao Gold Cup men’s soccer odds and best bet: Back Les Rouges to build on early success

The pregame narrative: After thrashing Honduras 6-0, Canada plays Curacao in the next round of group-stage matches. The underdog carries 10-to-1 odds to upset the streaking Canadians.

Check out our Canada vs. Curacao odds and my predictions for the men’s soccer match on June 21.

Canada vs. Curacao odds

Go to full Canada vs. Curacao betting markets

Canada vs. Curacao markets	Betting odds
Canada to win	-350
Draw	+500
Curacao to win	+900
Canada draw no bet	-1,600
Curacao draw no bet	+600
Over 2.5 goals	-163
Under 2.5 goals	+125

Canada vs. Curacao odds as of 3:02 p.m. ET on 06/19/2024.

Best bet

Canada halftime/fulltime (-138): Canada was well prepared for this year’s Gold Cup.

Les Rouges played two exhibition matches in the Canadian Shield earlier in June. They beat Ukraine, 4-2, and lost to Ivory Coast on penalties.

Canada was particularly strong against Ukraine, starting its best available 11 and going up 3-0 before half.

Both of those nations (No. 21 and No. 41) are significantly better than any team in Canada’s group for this tournament, all of which sit at No. 75 or lower in the FIFA rankings.

Honduras, which Canada just battered 6-0, is the highest ranked of the bunch.

Curacao is the lowest-ranked nation in the group (No. 91), so I certainly don’t expect a step up in competition for the second game.

For this wager to cash, Canada needs to be leading at halftime and at the final whistle.

The side scored two first-half goals against Honduras before adding four more by the end of the match.

If Les Rouges can replicate that early success vs. Curacao, holding out a lead should be no problem against an inferior opponent.

When these two nations last played in 2023, Canada went up 2-0 before half and held onto that score for the win.

Key stat: Canada has won seven matches in a row across all competitions when leading after 45 minutes

Canada vs. Curacao predictions made at 3:03 p.m. on 06/19/25.

Canada vs. Curacao Gold Cup men’s soccer odds and best bet: Back Les Rouges to build on early success

The Canadian men’s national team looks to build on a dominant opening victory at the 2025 Gold Cup.

The pregame narrative: After thrashing Honduras 6-0, Canada plays Curacao in the next round of group-stage matches. The underdog carries 10-to-1 odds to upset the streaking Canadians.

Check out our Canada vs. Curacao odds and my predictions for the men’s soccer match on June 21.

Canada vs. Curacao odds

Go to full Canada vs. Curacao betting markets

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.

Canada vs. Curacao markets	Betting odds
Canada to win	-375
Draw	+525
Curacao to win	+1,000
Canada draw no bet	-1,667
Curacao draw no bet	+575
Over 2.5 goals	-182
Under 2.5 goals	+143

Canada vs. Curacao odds as of 1:47 p.m. ET on 06/19/2024.

Best bet

Canada halftime/fulltime (-125): Canada was well prepared for this year’s Gold Cup.