Spencer Closs

Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.

Angels vs. Blue Jays prop picks July 6: Bet on Mike Trout and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Blue Jays picks

The AL East-leading Toronto Blue Jays look for their second straight sweep at home.

The pregame narrative: The Los Angeles Angels have kept things close, pushing each of the first two games to extra innings before losing. Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto on Sunday opposite Tyler Anderson for L.A.

Check out my Angels vs. Blue Jays picks for July 6, featuring Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Mike Trout.

Angels vs. Blue Jays picks

Best Bet: Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (-137)

The five-time all-star isn’t producing as many runs as expected, but he’s still one of the best hitters in baseball. That’s what’s important for this pick.

  • Over the past 17 games, Guerrero is batting .302 with a .556 SLG and 35 total bases.
  • It usually comes down to the matchup and he’s got a juicy one tonight. He is 7-for-13 off Anderson in his career with a .692 SLG.

Guerrero takes a lot of walks (90th-percentile walk rate), which is the one red flag with this type of wager.

But the slugging first baseman also ranks in the 90th percentile or higher for xBA (.312), xSLG (.533) and average exit velocity (92.9).

There is some juice to pay on this line, but bettors are backing an elite hitter against a pitcher he sees very well.

Key stat: Guerrero will also have the platoon advantage. He slashes .329/.424/.521 vs. left-handed pitching this season.

Quick pick

Trout over 1.5 total bases (-109): A star slugger on the other side has a good matchup, too.

Trout is 8-for-20 off Gausman with three home runs. That equals out to a .400 average and .850 SLG.

The Jays’ righty has been trending downward recently. He has a 5.18 ERA over his past six starts. His season-long ERA (4.18) would be the highest of any of his seasons with Toronto.

I want to back Trout in a market completely in his control due to a lack of trust in other Angels hitters. The offence as a whole ranks near the bottom of the league in most statistical categories.

The veteran outfielder has at least a hit in eight of the past 10 games and has a history that suggests he’ll get to Gausman today.

Blue Jays picks were made at 8:38 a.m. ET on 07/06/2025.

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USA vs. Mexico Gold Cup men’s soccer final odds and best bet: Take the over at plus money

USA vs. Mexico odds

USA and Mexico were the two favourites entering the tournament and will meet on Sunday to decide the 2025 Gold Cup Champion.

The pregame narrative: Both sides led their groups and took care of business in the knockout stages. The past three Gold Cup finals have been played between these nations, with Mexico holding the title of reigning champion.

Check out our USA vs Mexico odds and my best bet for the men’s final soccer match on July 6.

USA vs. Mexico odds

USA vs. Mexico marketsBetting odds
USA to win+210
Draw+210
Mexico to win+150
USA to lift the trophy+100
Mexico to lift the trophy-125
Over 2.5 goals+130
Under 2.5 goals-167

USA vs. Mexico odds as of 4:00 p.m. on 07/06/2025.

Best Gold Cup final bet

Over 2.5 goals (+130): I believe the over is worth a look here at plus money.

  • Mexico has scored a goal in four of five matches and has two or more goals three times.
  • USA has scored 2.4 goals per game while conceding at least a goal in four of five matches.

That’s a good place to start, and even though Mexico has allowed the fewest goals per game (0.4), it hasn’t played a side with the level of offensive talent that the US possesses.

Plus, it isn’t out of the question for Mexico to cover this total alone against a shaky USA defence.

I can see the Americans contributing here, though. They are 4-0-1 and have scored two or more goals in four of five matches, including a 5-0 battering of Haiti.

This game will be full of chances, I can all but guarantee that, and I think there’s value in backing the over.

Key stat: USA and Mexico have combined to score 4.0 goals per match and have 17.5 xG between them at the Gold Cup.

USA vs. Mexico predictions made at 3:56 p.m. on 07/06/2025.

USA vs. Mexico Gold Cup men’s soccer final odds and best bet: Take the over at plus money

USA vs. Mexico odds

USA and Mexico were the two favourites entering the tournament and will meet on Sunday to decide the 2025 Gold Cup Champion.

The pregame narrative: Both sides led their groups and took care of business in the knockout stages. The past three Gold Cup finals have been played between these nations, with Mexico holding the title of reigning champion.

Check out our USA vs Mexico odds and my best bet for the men’s final soccer match on July 6.

USA vs. Mexico odds

Go to full USA vs. Mexico betting markets

Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.

USA vs. Mexico marketsBetting odds
USA to win+220
Draw+215
Mexico to win+143
USA to lift the trophy+105
Mexico to lift the trophy-134
Over 2.5 goals+128
Under 2.5 goals-165

USA vs. Mexico odds as of 1:58 p.m. on 07/06/2025.

Best Gold Cup final bet

Over 2.5 goals (+128): I believe the over is worth a look here at plus money.

  • Mexico has scored a goal in four of five matches and has two or more goals three times.
  • USA has scored 2.4 goals per game while conceding at least a goal in four of five matches.

That’s a good place to start, and even though Mexico has allowed the fewest goals per game (0.4), it hasn’t played a side with the level of offensive talent that the US possesses.

Plus, it isn’t out of the question for Mexico to cover this total alone against a shaky USA defence.

I can see the Americans contributing here, though. They are 4-0-1 and have scored two or more goals in four of five matches, including a 5-0 battering of Haiti.

This game will be full of chances, I can all but guarantee that, and I think there’s value in backing the over.

Key stat: USA and Mexico have combined to score 4.0 goals per match and have 17.5 xG between them at the Gold Cup.

USA vs. Mexico predictions made at 1:58 p.m. on 07/06/2025.

Wimbledon round of 16 picks and predictions July 6: Best bets on Alcaraz, Fritz vs. Thompson

Wimbledon predictions

The round of 16 begins on Sunday at the All England Club.

The pregame narrative: Carlos Alcaraz faces Andrey Rublev with a chance to extend his winning streak to 21 matches. Before that, Nicolas Jarry and Cameron Norrie are both red-hot heading into their match, with the winner advancing to the quarterfinal at Wimbledon.

Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 6.

Wimbledon predictions: July 6

Best Bet: Rublev/Alcaraz over 35 games (-118)

Alcaraz is on an incredible run, there’s no doubt about it, but this is too many games for their matchup.

You would think the Spaniard is playing a nobody with his -1,115 price tag to win, but Rublev is a top-15 player in the world and should be a tough out.

Alcaraz has owned his competitor on hard courts, winning both meetings in straight sets, but it’s Rublev who has the upper hand on clay (1-0), a surface that plays more similarly to grass.

They’ve never played on grass, but Rublev is 29-16 in his career on the surface (17-8 since 2021).

He’s been in form at Wimbledon, too, winning nine of the 11 sets he’s played in.

On the other side, Alcaraz has been winning, but not in the fashion he’s used to. He’s gone over this total in two of his three games at the event.

Key stat: Alcaraz has lost a set in seven of his last 10 Grand Slam matches dating back to the French Open.

Full tennis betting markets

Wimbledon best bet: Jarry vs. Norrie

Jarry/Norrie over 41 games (-112): These two competitors have outperformed their rankings at Wimbledon.

  • Jarry (No. 143) has been rolling through his competition. He won all three qualifiers in straight sets before winning as an underdog against Holger Rune (No. 8) and Joao Fonseca (No. 54).
  • He now has a 9-3 record on grass this season.
  • Norrie (No. 61) didn’t need to qualify and has won nine of 11 sets at Wimbledon against opponents like Frances Tiafoe (No. 12) and Roberto Bautista Agut (No. 42).

Because of the extra four hours needed for Jarry to reach the round of 16, I do lean on the side of Norrie, but I truly can’t fade either player right now and will take the over instead in what I expect to be a close match.

The total of 41.5 games is on the higher side, but it reflects the pick’em ML odds.

Plus, it would still only need four close sets for this wager to cash.

Best Bet: Fritz vs. Thompson

Thompson +1.5 sets (+175): Lastly, I’ll give out a nice plus-money pick on a strong grass player.

Fritz is just that himself, owning an 11-1 record this season, but he’s starting to face resistance, which tells me he’s starting to fatigue.

The American has been impressive since the start of June. He won 11 of 12 matches in that span.

However, after winning the first four of those contests in straight sets, Fritz has needed extra sets in five of six victories since.

That includes two five-set contests at Wimbledon with Gabriel Diallo and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.

Additionally, Thompson is 1-0 on grass vs. Fritz in his career. He won that match in straight sets back in June 2024.

The Australian is 71-49 on the surface and needs to win two sets against Fritz for this wager to cash. But also be on upset watch in this one.

Wimbledon predictions made at 12:35 p.m. on 07/05/2025.

Wimbledon round of 16 picks and predictions July 6: Best bets on Alcaraz, Fritz vs. Thompson

Wimbledon predictions

The round of 16 begins on Sunday at the All England Club.

The pregame narrative: Carlos Alcaraz faces Andrey Rublev with a chance to extend his winning streak to 21 matches. Before that, Nicolas Jarry and Cameron Norrie are both red-hot heading into their match, with the winner advancing to the quarterfinal at Wimbledon.

Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 6.

Wimbledon predictions: July 6

Best Bet: Rublev/Alcaraz over 34.5 games

Alcaraz is on an incredible run, there’s no doubt about it, but this is too many games for their matchup.

You would think the Spaniard is playing a nobody with his -1,115 price tag to win, but Rublev is a top-15 player in the world and should be a tough out.

Alcaraz has owned his competitor on hard courts, winning both meetings in straight sets, but it’s Rublev who has the upper hand on clay (1-0), a surface that plays more similarly to grass.

They’ve never played on grass, but Rublev is 29-16 in his career on the surface (17-8 since 2021).

He’s been in form at Wimbledon, too, winning nine of the 11 sets he’s played in.

On the other side, Alcaraz has been winning, but not in the fashion he’s used to. He’s gone over this total in two of his three games at the event.

Key stat: Alcaraz has lost a set in seven of his last 10 Grand Slam matches dating back to the French Open.

Embed: #115542

Full tennis betting markets

Wimbledon best bet: Jarry vs. Norrie

Jarry/Norrie over 41.5 games (-109): These two competitors have outperformed their rankings at Wimbledon.

  • Jarry (No. 143) has been rolling through his competition. He won all three qualifiers in straight sets before winning as an underdog against Holger Rune (No. 8) and Joao Fonseca (No. 54).
  • He now has a 9-3 record on grass this season.
  • Norrie (No. 61) didn’t need to qualify and has won nine of 11 sets at Wimbledon against opponents like Frances Tiafoe (No. 12) and Roberto Bautista Agut (No. 42).

Because of the extra four hours needed for Jarry to reach the round of 16, I do lean on the side of Norrie, but I truly can’t fade either player right now and will take the over instead in what I expect to be a close match.

The total of 41.5 games is on the higher side, but it reflects the pick’em ML odds.

Plus, it would still only need four close sets for this wager to cash.

Best Bet: Fritz vs. Thompson

Thompson +1.5 sets (+180): Lastly, I’ll give out a nice plus-money pick on a strong grass player.

Fritz is just that himself, owning an 11-1 record this season, but he’s starting to face resistance, which tells me he’s starting to fatigue.

The American has been impressive since the start of June. He won 11 of 12 matches in that span.

However, after winning the first four of those contests in straight sets, Fritz has needed extra sets in five of six victories since.

That includes two five-set contests at Wimbledon with Gabriel Diallo and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.

Additionally, Thompson is 1-0 on grass vs. Fritz in his career. He won that match in straight sets back in June 2024.

The Australian is 71-49 on the surface and needs to win two sets against Fritz for this wager to cash. But also be on upset watch in this one.

Wimbledon predictions made at 12:35 p.m. on 07/05/2025.

Angels vs. Blue Jays prop picks July 5: Target Max Scherzer, Addison Barger for Toronto

Blue Jays picks

The Toronto Blue Jays look for their seventh straight win when they play the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday.

The pregame narrative: Toronto is atop the AL East thanks to an offensive hot streak that shouldn’t be cooling off today. The Angels send Jack Kochanowicz (5.44 ERA) to the mound to try and handle the Jays’ sizzling bats.

Check out my Angels vs. Blue Jays picks for July 5, featuring Addison Barger and Max Scherzer.

Angels vs. Blue Jays picks

Best Bet: Barger over 0.5 RBI (+114)

A few things are working in Bargers’ favour for this wager.

  • He’s currently on a tear, batting .289 with a .614 SLG since May 28.
  • During that time, he had nine home runs and 22 RBI. That pace would equal 47 HR and 115 RBI over 162 games.
  • On Saturday, he’ll face Kochanowicz, whose xERA (4.98) and xBA (.277) rank in the 15th percentile or lower.

The righty also gives up a ton of power. His average exit velocity of 91.4 mph ranks in the fifth percentile.

Barger also has the luxury of hitting cleanup in MLB’s hottest offence. No team has more runs than the Jays over the last 10 games (65).

Key stat: The 25-year-old will have a platoon advantage on Saturday. Barger has an .879 OPS against RHP and a .622 OPS against LHP. He hit all 11 of his home runs off righties.

Quick pick

Scherzer over 15.5 outs (+120): This is a great spot for Scherzer to have his first lengthy start of the season.

Since returning to Toronto’s rotation, the 40-year-old has pitched 5.0 innings in back-to-back starts. But those were against the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians — two offences far better than L.A.’s.

In fact, the Angels own one of the worst offences in baseball. They have the fourth-lowest batting average (.228) in the majors.

They strike out a ton (9.80 times per game) and take walks at the fourth-lowest rate.

Finally, Los Angeles’ hitters have an ugly head-to-head history with Scherzer. As a team, the lineup has a .206 average against the veteran righty with a 42.4% K rate.

And they have just two walks in 99 plate appearances. Everything suggests that “Mad Max” will have a dominant outing.

Blue Jays picks made at 9:57 a.m. ET on 07/05/2025.

Wimbledon third-round picks and predictions July 4: Best bets for Alcaraz, Jarry vs. Fonseca

Wimbledon predictions

One of the world’s best tennis players is in action at Wimbledon on Friday.

The pregame narrative: Carlos Alcaraz looks to continue his unmatched dominance at the Grand Slam major. He faces Jan-Lennard Struff in the third round. Before that, Nicolas Jarry is an underdog against Joao Fonseca despite winning five straight matches.

Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 4, including a pick on Karen Khachanov vs. Nuno Borges.

Wimbledon predictions: July 4

Best Bet: Alcaraz/Struff under 30 games (-112)

Alcaraz looks unbeatable right now.

  • He’s on a 20-match win streak and is 7-0 on grass in 2025.
  • Since the start of 2023, he’s 27-1 on the playing surface. The Spaniard has won back-to-back titles at Wimbledon.

Taking the under in his match vs. Struff is a good way to back Alcaraz to win in straight sets while avoiding his very hefty -770 price tag.

There’s always the possibility that Struff keeps the sets close, pushing the number of games over this total. But with how Alcaraz is playing, I predict a comfortable win.

Struff is past his prime, ranking No. 121 in the world at 35 years old. He is off to an awful start to 2025 with a 7-17 record.

He upset Felix Auger-Aliassime in the second round, but the Canadian is known to be streaky.

That contest was delayed and stretched over two days. That should negatively affect the veteran’s stamina moving forward.

Alcaraz is not a streaky player and will surely bring his A-game, looking for a third straight Wimbledon title.

Key stat: Alcaraz is coming off a dominant win over Oliver Tarvet (6-1, 6-4, 6-4) and has won 11 of his last 20 matches in straight sets.

Full tennis betting markets

Wimbledon best bet: Jarry vs. Fonseca

Jarry to win (+170): In my opinion, this should be a lot closer to a pick’em, so I’ll ride with a value on the side of the underdog.

  • Jarry needed to qualify for Wimbledon and did so by winning all three matches in straight sets.
  • He followed that up with a first-round upset over Holger Rune, the No. 8-ranked player.
  • Most recently, he picked up a dominant straight set win (6-2, 6-2, 6-4) over Learner Tien (No. 62) in the second round.

His next opponent, Fonseca, is the higher-ranked player, but I’m not sure he’s the better player on this surface.

The Brazilian is 3-2 on grass this year and only won one of those contests in straight sets. He’s seen a lot of resistance, and it should keep coming against a game opponent.

Jarry is 8-3 on grass in 2025 and has played 26 more matches on the surface in his career. I expect that experience to shine through for the red-hot Chilean player.

Best bet: Khachanov vs. Borges

Khachanov -1.5 sets (-134): Khachanov is one of the more consistent players on grass. His 32-19 record on the court type provides his highest win rate of any of the playing surfaces.

He looks to still be improving, too. He’s won more games on grass in 2025 (six) than he’s ever won in a single season, and he can continue to build on that success with a deep run at Wimbledon.

Borges doesn’t share that same success. He’s 10-13 in his career on the surface and has never finished a season with above a 50% win rate on grass.

Additionally, Khachanov and Borges have met once at a Grand Slam major (2022 French Open), and the former won the match while covering this -1.5 set spread.

With all that working in Khachanov’s favour, I believe he can beat Borges without needing all five sets.

Wimbledon predictions made at 3:16 p.m. on 07/03/2025.

Wimbledon third-round picks and predictions July 4: Best bets for Alcaraz, Jarry vs. Fonseca

Wimbledon predictions

One of the world’s best tennis players is in action at Wimbledon on Friday.

The pregame narrative: Carlos Alcaraz looks to continue his unmatched dominance at the Grand Slam major. He faces Jan-Lennard Struff in the third round. Before that, Nicolas Jarry is an underdog against Joao Fonseca despite winning five straight matches.

Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 4, including a pick on Karen Khachanov vs. Nuno Borges.

Wimbledon predictions: July 4

Best Bet: Alcaraz/Struff under 30.5 games (-112)

Alcaraz looks unbeatable right now.

  • He’s on a 20-match win streak and is 7-0 on grass in 2025.
  • Since the start of 2023, he’s 27-1 on the playing surface. The Spaniard has won back-to-back titles at Wimbledon.

Taking the under in his match vs. Struff is a good way to back Alcaraz to win in straight sets while avoiding his very hefty -770 price tag.

There’s always the possibility that Struff keeps the sets close, pushing the number of games over this total. But with how Alcaraz is playing, I predict a comfortable win.

Struff is past his prime, ranking No. 121 in the world at 35 years old. He is off to an awful start to 2025 with a 7-17 record.

He upset Felix Auger-Aliassime in the second round, but the Canadian is known to be streaky.

That contest was delayed and stretched over two days. That should negatively affect the veteran’s stamina moving forward.

Alcaraz is not a streaky player and will surely bring his A-game, looking for a third straight Wimbledon title.

Key stat: Alcaraz is coming off a dominant win over Oliver Tarvet (6-1, 6-4, 6-4) and has won 11 of his last 20 matches in straight sets.

Embed: #115500

Full tennis betting markets

Wimbledon best bet: Jarry vs. Fonseca

Jarry to win (+180): In my opinion, this should be a lot closer to a pick’em, so I’ll ride with a value on the side of the underdog.

  • Jarry needed to qualify for Wimbledon and did so by winning all three matches in straight sets.
  • He followed that up with a first-round upset over Holger Rune, the No. 8-ranked player.
  • Most recently, he picked up a dominant straight set win (6-2, 6-2, 6-4) over Learner Tien (No. 62) in the second round.

His next opponent, Fonseca, is the higher-ranked player, but I’m not sure he’s the better player on this surface.

The Brazilian is 3-2 on grass this year and only won one of those contests in straight sets. He’s seen a lot of resistance, and it should keep coming against a game opponent.

Jarry is 8-3 on grass in 2025 and has played 26 more matches on the surface in his career. I expect that experience to shine through for the red-hot Chilean player.

Best bet: Khachanov vs. Borges

Khachanov -1.5 sets (-121): Khachanov is one of the more consistent players on grass. His 32-19 record on the court type provides his highest win rate of any of the playing surfaces.

He looks to still be improving, too. He’s won more games on grass in 2025 (six) than he’s ever won in a single season, and he can continue to build on that success with a deep run at Wimbledon.

Borges doesn’t share that same success. He’s 10-13 in his career on the surface and has never finished a season with above a 50% win rate on grass.

Additionally, Khachanov and Borges have met once at a Grand Slam major (2022 French Open), and the former won the match while covering this -1.5 set spread.

With all that working in Khachanov’s favour, I believe he can beat Borges without needing all five sets.

Wimbledon predictions made at 1:45 p.m. on 07/03/2025.

CFL Week 5 parlay picks: Bet on Ottawa, points in BC vs. Montreal game

CFL Week 5 parlay picks

The CFL is approaching the midway point as the league rolls into its fifth weekend.

The latest: The Hamilton Tiger-Cats have a shot to win back-to-back games for the first time this season against a hindered Toronto Argonauts squad. After that, the BC Lions look to lean on a returning quarterback in their matchup with the Montreal Alouettes.

Check out this CFL Week 5 parlay, featuring a pick on the Ottawa Redblacks vs. Edmonton Elks game.

CFL Week 5 parlay picks

Parlay: Tiger-Cats ML | Lions/Alouettes over 49.5 points | Redblacks ML (+480)

Tiger-Cats moneyline (-138): I went with this as a solo pick in my Week 5 predictions at -106, but the line has moved. It still makes a good parlay piece, though.

Earlier this week, the Argonauts revealed that they will be without starting quarterback Chad Kelly until at least Week 7. Not something you want to hear as a struggling 1-3 squad.

Especially when backup QB Nick Arbuckle is tied for the league lead with six interceptions.

His inability to take care of the football continuously puts the Argonauts’ defence in tough spots. They have allowed 112 points through four games.

Bo Levi-Mitchell is the starter for Hamilton, and he’s by far the better QB in this matchup. He has completed 67.8% of his passes this season with four touchdowns and one turnover.

The Tiger-Cats have had a tough schedule so far. They’ve only played teams with winning records and have the opportunity to get to .500 with a win over Toronto.

Full CFL betting markets

Other parlay picks

Lions/Alouettes over 49 points (-110): The good news out of BC this week is that Nathan Rourke is taking first-team reps at practice.

The Canadian QB missed two games, and his availability will be extremely important to this wager.

And that’s because Rourke is head and shoulders better than backup Jeremiah Masoli, who’s tied with Arbuckle with a league-high six interceptions.

Rourke has also thrown four touchdowns in his two starts (one interception) compared to Masoli, who has thrown just two TD passes this season.

In the starter’s one full game at the helm for BC, the Lions scored a whopping 31 points.

On the other side, the Alouettes look like they will be without their QB, Davis Alexander, but that feels less important against a shaky Lions defence.

BC has allowed 27-plus points in three of its four games and is tied with the Argonauts for the most points allowed this season (112).

Redblacks moneyline (-130): Another team with QB questions is the Redblacks, who were without Dru Brown for a few games.

The positive is that Brown is taking snaps with the starters this week and looks ready to make his return.

His presence makes all the difference for Ottawa. In his one start, he threw for 413 yards and two touchdowns (no turnovers).

The Redblacks came up short in that effort but were competitive against a Saskatchewan Roughriders team that leads the Western Conference at 4-0.

If that doesn’t show how important Brown is, take a look at his career stats vs. backup Dustin Crum’s:

  • Brown: 34 TDs, 12 INTs
  • Crum: 11 TDs, 15 INTs

The Elks are 0-3 and serve up a tasty matchup for the Redblacks if Brown stays on track to make his return.

CFL Week 5 parlay picks made at 12:41 p.m. on 07/03/2025.

CFL Week 5 parlay picks: Bet on Ottawa, points in BC vs. Montreal game

CFL Week 5 parlay picks

The CFL is approaching the midway point as the league rolls into its fifth weekend.

The latest: The Hamilton Tiger-Cats have a shot to win back-to-back games for the first time this season against a hindered Toronto Argonauts squad. After that, the BC Lions look to lean on a returning quarterback in their matchup with the Montreal Alouettes.

Check out this CFL Week 5 parlay, featuring a pick on the Ottawa Redblacks vs. Edmonton Elks game.

CFL Week 5 parlay picks

Parlay: Tiger-Cats ML | Lions/Alouettes over 49.5 points | Redblacks ML (+482)

Tiger-Cats moneyline (-136): I went with this as a solo pick in my Week 5 predictions at -106, but the line has moved. It still makes a good parlay piece, though.

Earlier this week, the Argonauts revealed that they will be without starting quarterback Chad Kelly until at least Week 7. Not something you want to hear as a struggling 1-3 squad.

Especially when backup QB Nick Arbuckle is tied for the league lead with six interceptions.

His inability to take care of the football continuously puts the Argonauts’ defence in tough spots. They have allowed 112 points through four games.

Bo Levi-Mitchell is the starter for Hamilton, and he’s by far the better QB in this matchup. He has completed 67.8% of his passes this season with four touchdowns and one turnover.

The Tiger-Cats have had a tough schedule so far. They’ve only played teams with winning records and have the opportunity to get to .500 with a win over Toronto.

Embed: #115462

Full CFL betting markets

Other parlay picks

Lions/Alouettes over 49.5 points (-110): The good news out of BC this week is that Nathan Rourke is taking first-team reps at practice.

The Canadian QB missed two games, and his availability will be extremely important to this wager.

And that’s because Rourke is head and shoulders better than backup Jeremiah Masoli, who’s tied with Arbuckle with a league-high six interceptions.

Rourke has also thrown four touchdowns in his two starts (one interception) compared to Masoli, who has thrown just two TD passes this season.

In the starter’s one full game at the helm for BC, the Lions scored a whopping 31 points.

On the other side, the Alouettes look like they will be without their QB, Davis Alexander, but that feels less important against a shaky Lions defence.

BC has allowed 27-plus points in three of its four games and is tied with the Argonauts for the most points allowed this season (112).

Redblacks moneyline (-134): Another team with QB questions is the Redblacks, who were without Dru Brown for a few games.

The positive is that Brown is taking snaps with the starters this week and looks ready to make his return.

His presence makes all the difference for Ottawa. In his one start, he threw for 413 yards and two touchdowns (no turnovers).

The Redblacks came up short in that effort but were competitive against a Saskatchewan Roughriders team that leads the Western Conference at 4-0.

If that doesn’t show how important Brown is, take a look at his career stats vs. backup Dustin Crum’s:

  • Brown: 34 TDs, 12 INTs
  • Crum: 11 TDs, 15 INTs

The Elks are 0-3 and serve up a tasty matchup for the Redblacks if Brown stays on track to make his return.

CFL Week 5 parlay picks made at 11:21 a.m. on 07/03/2025.