Contributing Writer

Eagles vs. Commanders Week 16 SGP predictions: Back wide receivers A.J Brown, Terry McLaurin

The Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders play the first part of a Saturday NFL doubleheader.

The pregame narrative: The Commanders are out of the race in the NFC East but can still play spoiler to the Eagles, who are currently leading at 9-5. Philadelphia is expected to win by at least a touchdown, but I believe the Commanders can stay competitive with the Eagles’ struggling offence.

Check out my Eagles vs. Commanders SGP predictions, featuring picks on A.J. Brown and Terry McLaurin.

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Eagles vs. Commanders predictions

SGP: Commanders +10.5 | Brown 60+ receiving yards | McLaurin 50+ receiving yards (+300)

Commanders +10.5 (-200): Jayden Daniels made a brief return for the Commanders in Week 14, but he reaggravated his elbow injury and will be sidelined moving forward.

It’s not like it mattered much. Washington lost 31-0 to the Minnesota Vikings, and Daniels completed just 9-of-20 passes for a measly 78 yards.

Marcus Mariota isn’t perfect, but he appears to be the better option for the Commanders until Daniels is fully healthy.

He led his team to a 29-21 win over the New York Giants last Sunday.

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As long as he can put up a similar performance, he should be able to keep pace with the Eagles’ offence.

Philly took advantage of a great spot in Week 15, beating the Las Vegas Raiders 31-0. But things looked bleak before that.

The Eagles lost three straight games prior to that win and failed to put up 20 or more points in five straight weeks.

I don’t think a “gimme” win over the Raiders is going to make me forget about those results.

If they have trouble moving the ball on the road in a divisional game, Washington should stick around and cover this alternate spread with ease.

Other SGP picks

Brown 60+ receiving yards (-148): Brown fell shy of this mark last week due to a negative gamescipt in an Eagles blowout win.

But he still managed to grab both his targets for 43 yards.

Before that, Brown was putting up some explosive numbers:

Week 11: 11 targets, 7 catches, 49 yards
Week 12: 10 targets, 8 catches, 110 yards
Week 13: 12 targets, 10 catches, 132 yards
Week 14: 13 targets, 6 catches, 100 yards

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He fell short of this mark in Week 11, but logging four straight games with over 10 targets is a promising sign after Brown’s struggles earlier this season.

The other positive for this pick is the Commanders’ terrible pass defence. They allow the fourth most passing yards per game (246.3).

If this game stays close like I expect it to, Philly should be forced to pass a lot more than last week and Browns numbers should creep back up towards his ceiling.

McLaurin 50+ receiving yards (-143): McLaurin hasn’t been seeing a ton of volume in the passing game, but his big-play ability makes this an achievable line.

Just look at Week 15. The star wideout was targeted four times, but turned that into three catches for 69 yards.

He missed a big portion of the season with injuries, but has still been the WR1 in this offence when available.

McLaurin has had 50+ receiving yards in four of his past five games.

In Week 14, he went off for seven catches and 96 yards, showing he still has the potential to smash this line. He was targeted 13 times in that game.

Overall, McLaurin has a 22.73% target share this season with a 14.64-yard average depth of target. The speedy wideout only needs a few receptions to get past this total.

Eagles vs. Commanders predictions made at 12:14 p.m. on Dec. 19, 2025.

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Thunder vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions Dec. 19: Bet on Gilgeous-Alexander, Holmgren to lead OKC to victory

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves headline Friday’s five-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is having another MVP-calibre season, and I expect him to continue his dominance against the T-Wolves. Chet Holmgren leads the supporting cast and should be able to have another strong outing to add to his incredible month.

Check out my +480 Thunder vs. Timberwolves SGP, featuring SGA and Holmgren.

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Thunder vs. Timberwolves SGP

Parlay: Thunder -5.5 | Holmgren over 16.5 points | Gilgeous-Alexander 2+ threes (+480)

Thunder -5.5 (-167): The first thing to note here is that Anthony Edwards is in danger of missing this game with a foot injury. He is a game-time decision, but he has missed three straight games so far.

If he’s unavailable, the T-Wolves would be shorthanded for this matchup.

And that won’t fly against the Thunder. OKC is 24-2 on the season with an incredible 12-1 record on the road.

Even with Edwards in the lineup, this is an extremely tough matchup for any team.

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The Thunder lead the NBA with a +16.9 average score margin. That means they win by an average of almost 17 points a night.

For context, the next closest team is Denver at +9.4.

This is a historically good team that has covered this spread in 15 of its past 16 wins. If I’m backing the Thunder to win, then it makes sense to take them on an alternate spread for a juicier price.

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NBA SGP legs

Holmgren over 16.5 points (-114): Holmgren has been turning it up a notch as a scorer. Take a look at his last eight games:

20.8 points per game
63.0 FG%
53.8 3PT%
7-1 against this line

In the one game he missed this mark, he finished with 15 points on 6-for-11 shooting.

It’s been a while since the big man has had a bad game, and I believe he can keep the trend going with another big performance tonight.

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The Timberwolves have a top-10 defence, but it shouldn’t matter at the moment.

Holmgren is matchup-proof right now and recently cleared this mark against a top-five defence (Golden State Warriors).

Gilgeous-Alexander 2+ threes (-104): The reigning MVP has become an even more efficient scorer, which seemed impossible.

But it’s true. He’s shooting an incredible 55.9% from the field and 43.2% from 3.

He only takes 5.1 three-point attempts per game, but the low volume doesn’t deter him from averaging over 2.0 makes per night.

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SGA often only needs a handful of shots to clear this mark. The good news is, he has been taking more 3s lately.

He’s cleared this line in four of the past five games while attempting six or more 3s in three of those contests.

Overall, he’s 18-9 against this wager this season, so he only needs a standard performance to cash this pick.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves SGP made at 9:37 a.m. ET on Dec. 19, 2025.

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Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua predictions: Take the over on total rounds in heavyweight bout

Jake Paul is turning heads by challenging former boxing heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua.

The pre-fight narrative: Paul is 12-1 as a pro but is taking a massive leap in competition. His opponent is 28-4 with 24 knockouts and has been in the ring with some of the greatest heavyweight boxers of this generation. Because of that, Joshua is a massive -1,000 favourite to get his hand raised.

Check out my Paul vs. Joshua predictions for the Dec. 19 fight in Miami.

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Paul vs. Joshua predictions

Best bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-115)

Here’s the thing: Paul is a legit pro boxer now, and he will have a sound game plan going into this bout.

That doesn’t mean I think the underdog has a real shot to win, but I think he’ll come in with a very slow approach, looking for one clean fight-ending shot.

And it’s not like Joshua can simply walk through the fire. He’ll need to be responsible defensively against Paul, who’s going to be legit heavyweight size for this matchup.

After all, a loss here is more embarrassing for Joshua, who’s the former champion. He will take this fight seriously.

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I expect a lot of feints and movement from Paul early on, which will help him avoid any big shots.

Once the Englishman gets his reads, he should start to do damage to Paul, but this low total doesn’t give him enough time to do so.

This fight is scheduled to be eight rounds, so there’s no need for Joshua to rush into a mistake.

Only one of Joshua’s past 16 fights has gone under this total. That was against Francis Ngannou, who is a former UFC champion.

But the fact is, Ngannou had no head movement and showed worse boxing fundamentals than Paul will.

Paul has never been knocked out. His one career loss was a split decision to Tommy Fury.

Paul vs. Joshua predictions made at 3:15 p.m. ET on Dec. 14, 2025.

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Dolphins vs. Steelers MNF Week 15 SGP predictions: Bet on Jaylen Waddle as part of +390 play

The Miami Dolphins look for a fourth straight win when they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Miami has played inspired football but the Steelers are desperate for a win to stay clear of the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North. It will be a cold night in Pittsburgh with the temperature expected to be below-freezing at kick-off.

Check out my Dolphins vs. Steelers predictions in this +390 same-game parlay, featuring Jaylen Waddle and Jaylen Warren.

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Dolphins vs. Steelers predictions

SGP: Dolphins +7.5 | Waddle 60+ receiving yards | Warren 50+ rushing yards (+390)

Dolphins +7.5 (-265): The most impressive thing during the Dolphins win streak has been their defence.

During their four-game heater, they’ve held each opponent to 17 points or fewer, allowing 13.3 points per game.

That would rank as the No. 1 scroring defence in the NFL over the entire season.

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The offence will always have solid weekly potential with De’Von Achane in the backfield. He leads the leaugue in yards per carry (5.8) and has 520 rushing yards in just the past four weeks.

There’s always been a narrative about Miami being a terrible team in the cold and it and there’s some truth to it.

But a good way to erase that is to have a consistent run game and strong defence.

On the other side, the Steelers are 3-3 in their last six games and have only covered this spread twice all season.

This game should stay close with how Miami has played down the stretch.

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Monday Night Football SGP picks

Waddle 60+ receiving yards (-120): Waddle has had no problem filling the WR1 role in this offence with Tyreek Hill sidelined for the season.

He has 812 receiving yards, which is more than 500 clear of any other wide receiver on the Dolphins. Achane is the closest offensive player with 383 receiving yards.

Waddle had at least 50 receiving yards in five of the past six weeks.

So if anyone can take advantage of the Steelers’ poor pass defence, it’s Waddle.

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Pittsburgh allows the sixth-most passing yards per game (244.0).

Warren 50+ receiving yards (-134): When it comes to the Dolphins, they struggle with containing the run rather than the pass.

They give up the eighth-most rushing yards per game (131.9).

And that brings me to Warren, who’s claimed the role as lead back for Pittsburgh. With that comes consistent work. He has rushed the ball 10+ times in 11 of his 12 games played.

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He actually went under that mark last week, gaining only 13 yards on eight attempts but this is a perfect bounce-back spot.

Overall he averages 54.3 rushing yards per game and should be in for an above-average performance against a struggling run defence.

Dolphins vs. Steelers predictions made at 2:36 p.m. ET on Dec. 14, 2025.

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Oilers vs. Canadiens picks Dec. 14: Expect Ivan Demidov to contribute to a high-scoring contest

The Edmonton Oilers play their second game in as many nights when they take on the Montreal Canadiens on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Edmonton continues an Eastern Conference road trip that started with a 6-3 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs last night. Montreal also played on Saturday and lost 5-4 in overtime to the New York Rangers.

Check out my Oilers vs. Canadiens picks for the Dec. 14 game, featuring Ivan Demidov.

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Oilers vs. Canadiens picks

Best Bet: Over 6.5 goals (-118)

This game has serious offensive potential. Both teams excel at scoring goals while being pretty bad at keeping them out.

Let’s start with the Oilers. They score the third most goals per game (3.41) to go with a blistering 31.3% power play conversion rate.

They have Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl ranked in the top five in the NHL for scoring. That provides an extremely good base for an electric offence that can go off any night.

The Oilers made a trade to acquire Tristan Jarry from the Pittsburgh Penguins, but he played last night against the Toronto Maple Leafs, leaving Calvin Pickard (.851 SV%) to guard the twine.

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Then there’s Montreal with even bigger goalie problems. They allow the second-most goals per game (3.55) and are expected to start Jakub Dobes on Sunday.

The second-year goalie has allowed seven goals on 32 shots in his last two starts combined. That won’t fly against the Oilers.

Montreal probably won’t shut out Edmonton, but it can keep pace, and that should push this game over this total.

Key stat: The Habs rank in the top 10 in goals for (3.19/game), shooting percentage (12.7) and power play percentage (25.3).

Best NHL prop picks

Demidov to record 1+ points (-130): The 20-year-old is going under the radar, but he is having an elite rookie season.

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He sits fourth on the Habs with 24 points in 31 games. That’s a 64-point pace. For reference, Macklin Celebrini had 63 points as a rookie last year.

Demidov was held without a point last night, but he scored a point in five straight games before that.

Overall, he has at least a point in 11 of the last 13 games.

He’s super efficient with his playing time. He averages less than 15 minutes on ice per game, but he plays on the top power play, where he has eight points this season.

In a game where I expect a lot of goals, Demidov has value to get his name on the score sheet.

Oilers vs. Canadiens picks made at 10:36 a.m. ET Dec. 14, 2025.

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Oilers vs. Canadiens picks Dec. 14: Expect Ivan Demidov to contribute to a high-scoring contest

The Edmonton Oilers play their second game in as many nights when they take on the Montreal Canadiens on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Edmonton continues an Eastern Conference road trip that started with a 6-3 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs last night. Montreal also played on Saturday and lost 5-4 in overtime to the New York Rangers.

Check out my Oilers vs. Canadiens picks for the Dec. 14 game, featuring Ivan Demidov.

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Oilers vs. Canadiens picks

Best Bet: Over 6.5 goals (-109)

This game has serious offensive potential. Both teams excel at scoring goals while being pretty bad at keeping them out.

Let’s start with the Oilers. They score the third most goals per game (3.41) to go with a blistering 31.3% power play conversion rate.

They have Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl ranked in the top five in the NHL for scoring. That provides an extremely good base for an electric offence that can go off any night.

The Oilers made a trade to acquire Tristan Jarry from the Pittsburgh Penguins, but he played last night against the Toronto Maple Leafs, leaving Calvin Pickard (.851 SV%) to guard the twine.

-> Bet on tonight’s Oilers vs. Canadiens matchup now!

Then there’s Montreal with even bigger goalie problems. They allow the second-most goals per game (3.55) and are expected to start Jakub Dobes on Sunday.

The second-year goalie has allowed seven goals on 32 shots in his last two starts combined. That won’t fly against the Oilers.

Montreal probably won’t shut out Edmonton, but it can keep pace, and that should push this game over this total.

Key stat: The Habs rank in the top 10 in goals for (3.19/game), shooting percentage (12.7) and power play percentage (25.3).

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Best NHL prop picks

Demidov to record 1+ points (-127): The 20-year-old is going under the radar, but he is having an elite rookie season.

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He sits fourth on the Habs with 24 points in 31 games. That’s a 64-point pace. For reference, Macklin Celebrini had 63 points as a rookie last year.

Demidov was held without a point last night, but he scored a point in five straight games before that.

Overall, he has at least a point in 11 of the last 13 games.

He’s super efficient with his playing time. He averages less than 15 minutes on ice per game, but he plays on the top power play, where he has eight points this season.

In a game where I expect a lot of goals, Demidov has value to get his name on the score sheet.

Oilers vs. Canadiens picks made at 10:36 a.m. ET Dec. 14, 2025.

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Warriors vs. Trail Blazers SGP predictions Dec. 14: Look for Curry to have another star performance in +360 wager

Steph Curry scored 39 points in his return to the Golden State Warriors lineup on Friday.

The pregame narrative: Despite the loss, it was a vintage performance from Curry, who’s averaging close to 30 points per game when healthy. He looks to stay red-hot against the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday night.

Check out my +360 Warriors vs. Trail Blazers SGP, featuring Curry and Shaedon Sharpe.

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Warriors vs. Trail Blazers SGP

Parlay: Warriors ML | Curry over 28.5 points | Sharpe 20+ points (+360)

Warriors moneyline (-177): The Warriors got Curry back on Friday, but that wasn’t enough to overcome their road woes.

They lost by seven to the Minnesota Timberwolves and now sit at 6-9 away from home.

The nice part about this matchup is that Portland is one of the worst home teams in the NBA. They are 3-6 at Moda Center.

On top of that, the Trail Blazers are on a three-game losing streak ahead of Sunday’s contest.

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That includes losing to the 4-22 New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points on Thursday night.

Nothing is going well for the Blazers, who have a lengthy injury report right now.

Portland once looked destined for the playoffs, but it has lost 12 of the past 14 games.

Now that the Warriors are at full strength, they should be able to grab their first win in this season series after dropping the first two.

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NBA SGP legs

Curry over 28.5 points (-115): Curry picked up right where he left off in his return to the Warriors on Friday.

He has now scored 30+ points in six of the past eight games.

Overall, he’s averaging 28.5 points while hitting 39.1% of his 3-point attempts. Considering he takes 12.2 3s per game, his scoring floor is extremely high.

And believe it or not, he’s been firing with even more volume recently. Curry has taken 15 or more threes in six of his last eight games.

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That’s an astronomical amount of long-range attempts for the best shooter ever to play the sport.

As for the matchup, the Blazers allow the fourth-most points per game to opposing point guards (27.84), per Fantasy Pros.

Sharpe 20+ points (-167): The Canadian is one of the more underrated scorers in the NBA.

He is averaging 21.1 points and is 10-5 against this line since the start of November.

Sharpe doesn’t have the best efficiency (44.4 FG%), but his volume makes up for it. He takes over 17 shots per night, and six of those are 3-point attempts.

This game has a high total (236.5), meaning there should be a lot of scoring in this game. That provides a great opportunity for Sharpe to go off.

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The athletic guard scores over 75% of his points on drives to the basket, and Golden State lacks an elite rim protector.

Draymond Green (6-foot-6) is the Warriors’ best centre, and he is undersized. He’s an amazing defender, but not because of his shot-blocking ability.

The paint should open for Sharpe to exploit.

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers SGP made at 9:37 a.m. ET on Dec. 14, 2025.

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Vikings vs. Cowboys Week 15 Sunday Night Football picks: Bet on Jordan Mason to have another productive outing

The Minnesota Vikings and Dallas Cowboys headline a Sunday jam-packed with NFL football.

The pregame narrative: The Vikings were able to snap a losing streak with a blowout win over the Washington Commanders last week. It was an impressive performance, but there are still big question marks around this team, and that’s why they are 6-point underdogs to the Cowboys, who are in dire need of a win.

Check out my Vikings vs. Cowboys picks for Dec. 14, featuring a prop bet on Minnesota running back Jordan Mason.

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Vikings vs. Cowboys picks

Best Bet: Cowboys -5.5 (-115)

Even after last week’s 31-0 battering of the Commanders, I still have little to no faith in the Vikings’ offence keeping pace with the Cowboys.

Before that outburst, Minnesota managed to score just six points in the two previous weeks combined.

J.J. McCarthy is still going through ups and downs with nine touchdowns and 10 interceptions in his first seven NFL starts.

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In those seven games, the Vikings averaged 19.0 points. Last Sunday was the first time McCarthy led his offence to more than 27 points.

That won’t cut it against the Cowboys. Dallas scores nearly 30 points a game and usually only loses by getting outgunned by its opponent.

In the Cowboys’ six losses, every opponent scored at least 24 points, with four of them scoring 30 or more.

I just don’t think the Vikings have a consistent enough offence to drop 30+ in consecutive weeks.

Minnesota has a good defence, but the Cowboys have been matchup-proof all year, and I believe another explosive home performance is in the works.

Key stat: The Vikings are 5-8-0 ATS, which is tied for the third-worst record in the NFL.

SNF prop prediction

Mason over 38.5 rushing yards (-118): Even with Aaron Jones in the mix for Minnesota, Mason has carved out a consistent role in this offence.

Last week, he rushed the ball 11 times for 57 yards. It was the fourth straight game in which the running back surpassed this yardage total.

Overall, he’s 9-4 against this line and could see a heightened workload with Jones fighting a shoulder injury.

He continues to play through it, but his limited status in practice shows he’s not 100% meaning there should be lots of work left over for Mason.

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Finally, that brings me to the Cowboys’ defence. The unit gives up 123.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks in the bottom half.

In last week’s loss to the Detroit Lions, both Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery were able to rush for more than 40 yards, even though they had 18 attempts combined.

Expect a similar effort from the two-headed backfield in Minnesota, with Mason having the potential to be the more productive runner.

Vikings vs. Cowboys picks made at 4:10 p.m. ET Dec. 12, 2025.

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Vikings vs. Cowboys Week 15 Sunday Night Football picks: Bet on Jordan Mason to have another productive outing

The Minnesota Vikings and Dallas Cowboys headline a Sunday jam-packed with NFL football.

The pregame narrative: The Vikings were able to snap a losing streak with a blowout win over the Washington Commanders last week. It was an impressive performance, but there are still big question marks around this team, and that’s why they are 6-point underdogs to the Cowboys, who are in dire need of a win.

Check out my Vikings vs. Cowboys picks for Dec. 14, featuring a prop bet on Minnesota running back Jordan Mason.

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Vikings vs. Cowboys picks

Best Bet: Cowboys -6 (-113)

Even after last week’s 31-0 battering of the Commanders, I still have little to no faith in the Vikings’ offence keeping pace with the Cowboys.

Before that outburst, Minnesota managed to score just six points in the two previous weeks combined.

J.J. McCarthy is still going through ups and downs with nine touchdowns and 10 interceptions in his first seven NFL starts.

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In those seven games, the Vikings averaged 19.0 points. Last Sunday was the first time McCarthy led his offence to more than 27 points.

That won’t cut it against the Cowboys. Dallas scores nearly 30 points a game and usually only loses by getting outgunned by its opponent.

In the Cowboys’ six losses, every opponent scored at least 24 points, with four of them scoring 30 or more.

I just don’t think the Vikings have a consistent enough offence to drop 30+ in consecutive weeks.

Minnesota has a good defence, but the Cowboys have been matchup-proof all year, and I believe another explosive home performance is in the works.

Key stat: The Vikings are 5-8-0 ATS, which is tied for the third-worst record in the NFL.

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SNF prop prediction

Mason over 38.5 rushing yards (-112): Even with Aaron Jones in the mix for Minnesota, Mason has carved out a consistent role in this offence.

Last week, he rushed the ball 11 times for 57 yards. It was the fourth straight game in which the running back surpassed this yardage total.

Overall, he’s 9-4 against this line and could see a heightened workload with Jones fighting a shoulder injury.

He continues to play through it, but his limited status in practice shows he’s not 100% meaning there should be lots of work left over for Mason.

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Finally, that brings me to the Cowboys’ defence. The unit gives up 123.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks in the bottom half.

In last week’s loss to the Detroit Lions, both Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery were able to rush for more than 40 yards, even though they had 18 attempts combined.

Expect a similar effort from the two-headed backfield in Minnesota, with Mason having the potential to be the more productive runner.

Vikings vs. Cowboys picks made at 2:10 p.m. ET Dec. 12, 2025.

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Best NHL prop picks Dec. 12: Back Tyler Bertuzzi, Jordan Eberle to find the score sheet

Two under-the-radar point producers are highlighted in my NHL prop picks for Friday.

The pregame narrative: The first of two games tonight will be played between the Chicago Blackhawks and St. Louis Blues. After that, the Seattle Kraken visit the Utah Mammoth to close out a Western Conference doubleheader.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 12, featuring Jordan Eberle and Tyler Bertuzzi.

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NHL prop picks Dec. 12

Best bet: Eberle 1+ points (-118)

The long-time NHL veteran leads the Kraken in points, but you wouldn’t be able to tell by his near even money price tag to get on the score sheet tonight.

Eberle has 18 points in 27 games played this season.

That includes recording a point in each of the past four games.

He plays on the top line and skates on the first power play unit. Therefore, he will continue to have a lot of chances to contribute.

-> Bet on Eberle and the Kraken tonight

Eberle also happens to lead Seattle in shots this season (69), making him a standout offensive player on a team lacking star power.

Utah is a strong defensive team, but it’s lost three straight games and has allowed four goals in back-to-back contests.

Cracks are starting to form in the Mammoth’s defence, and Eberle is playing at his peak right now.

Key stat: Eberle had two points in two games vs. Utah last season.

NHL predictions

Bertuzzi 1+ points (-138): I immediately went to look at Bedard’s price to record a point tonight and opted to stay away from his -295 price.

Then I looked at his linemates and decided to back Bertuzzi on a much more reasonable line.

Why Bertuzzi? Well, he’s been a huge part of the Blackhawks’ offence alongside Bedard on the first line, especially over the past 15 games:

13 goals
9 assists
12-3 against this line

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The former Toronto Maple Leaf is certainly making the most of playing with a budding superstar.

And this is a juicy matchup. The Blues allow the second-most goals per game (3.56) behind starting goalie Joel Hofer (.890 SV%).

Back on Oct. 15, Chicago beat St. Louis 8-3, and Bertuzzi scored a goal and added an assist.

NHL prop picks made at 10:40 a.m. ET on Dec. 12, 2025.

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