Spencer Closs

Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.

Best MLB prop bets Aug. 6: Expect Julio Rodriguez, Marcell Ozuna to provide offence

MLB prop bets

A red-hot Julio Rodriguez headlines Wednesday’s MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: The centre fielder has been crushing the baseball over the last month or so. J-Rod gets a Grade-A matchup with Jonathan Cannon and the Chicago White Sox.

Check out my favourite MLB prop bets on Aug. 6, featuring a prediction on Marcell Ozuna.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Rodriguez over 1.5 total bases (-108)

Take a look at Rodriguez’s last 20 games:

  • .298 batting average
  • .631 SLG
  • 12-8 vs. this wager
  • 53 total bases

For context, that slugging percentage would rank second in MLB over the entire season behind only Aaron Judge.

And on Wednesday, he sees a struggling starter in Cannon.

Over his past two starts, Cannon has allowed 12 runs (10.1 innings pitched). The righty ranks in the 14th percentile in both xERA (5.04) and xBA (.280), per Baseball Savant.

Cannon’s 1.5 HR/9 would be tied for the eighth-worst mark in MLB if he’d pitched enough innings to qualify.

Key stat: The righty throws some variation of a fastball 64.7% of the time. Rodriguez does his best work against fastballs, with a .280 average.

Best MLB pick

Ozuna over 0.5 runs (+115): Ozuna is struggling with the bat, which is worth acknowledging. He has just four hits in his last 38 plate appearances.

But he has 11 walks compared to eight strikeouts during that stretch, so it’s not a case of not seeing the ball well.

His .395 OBP is still elite over those 13 games, and he gets a nice platoon advantage on Wednesday night.

Against left-handed pitchers, Ozuna has a .415 OBP. When a guy is reaching base over 40% of the time, he will have loads of scoring opportunities.

And that’s been the case despite his low average. Ozuna is 4-1 against this wager in his past five starts.

Finally, he has 11 hits in 26 at-bats vs. Jose Quintana (.423), with three walks. Quintana has an 18th-percentile xERA (4.84), indicating his actual ERA of 3.50 comes with some tremendously good ball luck.

MLB prop picks made at 3:54 p.m. ET on 08/06/2025.

CFL Week 10 predictions, picks and best bets: Bet on the over in Winnipeg vs. Calgary

CFL Week 10 predictions

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look for their seventh straight win when they kick off CFL Week 10 against the BC Lions.

This week’s CFL narrative: Hamilton started the season 0-2, but it’s been nothing but wins since. The Ti-Cats host Nathan Rourke and the Lions on Thursday night. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Calgary Stampeders headline Saturday’s doubleheader.

Check out the latest CFL Week 10 predictions for the games beginning Thursday, Aug. 7, featuring a pick on the Ottawa Redblacks vs. Toronto Argonauts game.

CFL Week 10 predictions

Best bet: Blue Bombers/Stampeders over 51.5 points (-110)

Winnipeg has either scored or allowed 30+ points in six of seven games this season.

That includes last week, in which the Blue Bombers beat the Argonauts, 41-30.

Another one of those games was against the Stampeders in Week 7. That contest ended 41-20 in Calgary’s favour.

That also happened to be the last time Vernon Adams Jr. was fully healthy. The Stamps’ quarterback got injured the next week and missed Week 9 completely.

P.J. Walker proved to be a bad replacement as he threw one touchdown and turned the ball over three times in his short stint as starter.

The good news is, Adams is practicing this week and is reportedly on track to make his return.

Calgary has scored 24 or more points in five of the six games Adams has completed this season.

Winnipeg has the third-worst defence (28.1 points allowed per game) while scoring the third-most points on offence (27.1).

Key stat: The Blue Bombers have a 5-2 overs record against this line in 2025.

Embed: #116692

Full CFL betting markets

CFL Week 10 best bets

Redblacks +3.5 (-110): Ottawa is coming off its best performance of the season, beating Calgary 31-11 in Week 9.

Quarterback Dru Brown is getting healthier each week, and that’s good news for the struggling Redblacks.

On the other side, Toronto has lost three of its past four while allowing an average of 39.0 points in those losses.

The Argonauts give up the second-most points per game in the CFL (30.8) while Ottawa sits closer to the middle of the pack, allowing 26.8.

Toronto continues to rely on backup QB Nick Arbuckle, who leads the league in interceptions (nine).

Ottawa has the QB advantage and the edge on defence. I believe the Redblacks can keep this close, if not win straight up.

Tiger-Cats -3 (-110): Hamilton has won six straight, and its offence sits in a tier of its own.

The Tiger-Cats are the only team averaging more than 30 points per game (31.6), and Bo Levi Mitchell is putting together a fantastic campaign.

He has 18 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions through eight games.

The Lions leave a lot to be desired on defence, allowing the fourth-most points per game (27.0).

When these two met in BC in Week 8, the Tiger-Cats showcased that offence, winning 37-33.

During its six-game heater, Hamilton has an average win margin of 9.5 points.

CFL Week 10 predictions as of 3 p.m. on 08/06/2025.

National Bank Open semifinal picks and predictions: Best bets for Fritz vs. Shelton, Osaka vs. Tauson

National Bank Open predictions

The National Bank Open has reached the semifinal stage for both the men’s and women’s brackets.

The narrative: The men’s side is full of star power as all four remaining players rank inside the top 20 on the ATP Tour. Alexander Zverev plays Karen Khachanov before Taylor Fritz goes head-to-head with Ben Shelton.

Check out my top National Bank Open semifinal predictions, featuring a pick on Naomi Osaka vs. Clara Tauson.

National Bank Open predictions

Best Bet: Tauson to win (+135)

With how Tauson’s playing right now, I’m surprised to see her as the underdog in this contest.

She’s won all four of her matches in Montreal in straight sets. That includes consecutive dominant wins over top-10 players (Madison Keys, Iga Swiatek).

Osaka has been playing well too, winning four of five matches in straight sets, but she didn’t play anyone in the top 10 and two of her opponents were ranked outside of the top 200.

On top of that, Tauson has the better win rate on hard court surfaces this season (76%) and has played an hour and a half less tennis leading into the semifinal.

All of the Danish player’s stats at this event are elevated compared to her season averages. That’s worth noting considering her elite level of competition.

Key stat: Tauson has an incredible 88% hold rate at the National Bank Open, while saving 14-of-18 break points.

Full tennis betting markets

National Bank Open best bet: Zverev vs. Khachanov

Over 23 games (-118): I was tempted to take Khachanov to win as a +185 underdog, but I’d rather back a competitive game and stay away from picking a side.

That’s mostly because of both players’ ability to hold serve at the National Bank Open.

  • Zverev: 44/48 service games held (92%)
  • Khachanov: 42/46 service games held (91%)

Zverev is known for his powerful serve and that makes it hard for opponents to break him.

But his counterpart is playing some excellent tennis.

Khachanov is 8-1 in his last nine matches. His one loss came against Fritz, who’s arguably the most consistent player on tour right now.

He’s won eight of nine sets in Toronto, with the one loss coming on a tiebreaker. I truly believe this match will come down to who makes fewer mistakes, as there’s not much separating these two right now.

The other nice part about this line is that it can be covered in two close sets. But I expect this one to go the distance.

Best bet: Fritz vs. Shelton

Set 1 over 10.5 games (+130): This pick is based on the fact that both players have been responsible with their serve.

Shelton and Fritz have an identical 40% success rate on break points at the National Bank Open, which is decent, but break points should be hard to come by.

  • Combined, the two have allowed 38 break points in eight total matches played at this event.
  • Fritz has held 94% of his service games, while Shelton falls just behind with a 90% hold rate.
  • The pair has been broken just eight times in 103 service games.

The idea here is that both men come out in the first set and continue to do an incredible job at holding serve.

National Bank Open predictions made at 2:51 p.m. on 08/06/2025.

Best MLB prop bets Aug. 6: Expect Julio Rodriguez, Marcell Ozuna to provide offence

MLB prop bets

A red-hot Julio Rodriguez headlines Wednesday’s MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: The centre fielder has been crushing the baseball over the last month or so. J-Rod gets a Grade-A matchup with Jonathan Cannon and the Chicago White Sox.

Check out my favourite MLB prop bets on Aug. 6, featuring a prediction on Marcell Ozuna.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Rodriguez over 1.5 total bases (-118)

Take a look at Rodriguez’s last 20 games:

  • .298 batting average
  • .631 SLG
  • 12-8 vs. this wager
  • 53 total bases

For context, that slugging percentage would rank second in MLB over the entire season behind only Aaron Judge.

And on Wednesday, he sees a struggling starter in Cannon.

Over his past two starts, Cannon has allowed 12 runs (10.1 innings pitched). The righty ranks in the 14th percentile in both xERA (5.04) and xBA (.280), per Baseball Savant.

Cannon’s 1.5 HR/9 would be tied for the eighth-worst mark in MLB if he’d pitched enough innings to qualify.

Key stat: The righty throws some variation of a fastball 64.7% of the time. Rodriguez does his best work against fastballs, with a .280 average.

Embed: #116672

Best MLB pick

Ozuna over 0.5 runs (+125): Ozuna is struggling with the bat, which is worth acknowledging. He has just four hits in his last 38 plate appearances.

But he has 11 walks compared to eight strikeouts during that stretch, so it’s not a case of not seeing the ball well.

His .395 OBP is still elite over those 13 games, and he gets a nice platoon advantage on Wednesday night.

Against left-handed pitchers, Ozuna has a .415 OBP. When a guy is reaching base over 40% of the time, he will have loads of scoring opportunities.

And that’s been the case despite his low average. Ozuna is 4-1 against this wager in his past five starts.

Finally, he has 11 hits in 26 at-bats vs. Jose Quintana (.423), with three walks. Quintana has an 18th-percentile xERA (4.84), indicating his actual ERA of 3.50 comes with some tremendously good ball luck.

MLB prop picks made at 1:19 p.m. ET on 08/06/2025.

National Bank Open semifinal picks and predictions: Best bets for Fritz vs. Shelton, Osaka vs. Tauson

National Bank Open predictions

The National Bank Open has reached the semifinal stage for both the men’s and women’s brackets.

The narrative: The men’s side is full of star power as all four remaining players rank inside the top 20 on the ATP Tour. Alexander Zverev plays Karen Khachanov before Taylor Fritz goes head-to-head with Ben Shelton.

Check out my top National Bank Open semifinal predictions, featuring a pick on Naomi Osaka vs. Clara Tauson.

National Bank Open predictions

Best Bet: Tauson to win (+138)

With how Tauson’s playing right now, I’m surprised to see her as the underdog in this contest.

She’s won all four of her matches in Montreal in straight sets. That includes consecutive dominant wins over top-10 players (Madison Keys, Iga Swiatek).

Osaka has been playing well too, winning four of five matches in straight sets, but she didn’t play anyone in the top 10 and two of her opponents were ranked outside of the top 200.

On top of that, Tauson has the better win rate on hard court surfaces this season (76%) and has played an hour and a half less tennis leading into the semifinal.

All of the Danish player’s stats at this event are elevated compared to her season averages. That’s worth noting considering her elite level of competition.

Key stat: Tauson has an incredible 88% hold rate at the National Bank Open, while saving 14-of-18 break points.

Full tennis betting markets

National Bank Open best bet: Zverev vs. Khachanov

Over 23.5 games (-103): I was tempted to take Khachanov to win as a +185 underdog, but I’d rather back a competitive game and stay away from picking a side.

That’s mostly because of both players’ ability to hold serve at the National Bank Open.

  • Zverev: 44/48 service games held (92%)
  • Khachanov: 42/46 service games held (91%)

Zverev is known for his powerful serve and that makes it hard for opponents to break him.

But his counterpart is playing some excellent tennis.

Khachanov is 8-1 in his last nine matches. His one loss came against Fritz, who’s arguably the most consistent player on tour right now.

He’s won eight of nine sets in Toronto, with the one loss coming on a tiebreaker. I truly believe this match will come down to who makes fewer mistakes, as there’s not much separating these two right now.

The other nice part about this line is that it can be covered in two close sets. But I expect this one to go the distance.

Best bet: Fritz vs. Shelton

Set 1 over 10.5 games (+102): This pick is based on the fact that both players have been responsible with their serve.

Shelton and Fritz have an identical 40% success rate on break points at the National Bank Open, which is decent, but break points should be hard to come by.

  • Combined, the two have allowed 38 break points in eight total matches played at this event.
  • Fritz has held 94% of his service games, while Shelton falls just behind with a 90% hold rate.
  • The pair has been broken just eight times in 103 service games.

The idea here is that both men come out in the first set and continue to do an incredible job at holding serve.

National Bank Open predictions made at 12:06 p.m. on 08/06/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Rockies SGP predictions Aug. 6: Target Kevin Gausman, Ernie Clement at +340

Blue Jays vs. Rockies predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays look for a series sweep over the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field.

The pregame narrative: It’s been all Toronto so far as the club has scored 25 runs through the first two games. Kevin Gausman starts for the Jays, and he’s been dealing recently. For the Rockies, Kyle Freeland will get the ball on Wednesday.

Check out my Blue Jays vs. Rockies same-game parlay predictions for Aug. 6, featuring SGP legs on Gausman and Ernie Clement.

Blue Jays vs. Rockies predictions

Parlay: Blue Jays ML | Gausman over 5.5 Ks | Clement over 1.5 bases (+340)

Blue Jays moneyline (-225): The Blue Jays have some notable advantages, and it starts with pitching.

  • Over his past three starts, Gausman has a 2.84 ERA in 19.0 innings.
  • Those starts came against teams in the playoff hunt (Yankees, Tigers, Royals), while the Rockies are MLB’s worst team at 30-83.
  • For Colorado, Freeland has struggled this season with a 5.26 ERA. That number inflates to 5.98 at home, where he allows a .349 batting average.

Now, Freeland faces a red-hot Toronto offence. The Jays have a 148 wRC+ as a team over the past two weeks, which is the best in MLB.

Even if Freeland does pitch better than normal, the Rockies have the second-worst bullpen in MLB (5.30 ERA).

Embed: #116665

MLB SGP legs

Gausman over 5.5 Ks (+132): Let’s dig back into Gausman’s recent outings.

In that previously mentioned trio of starts, the veteran righty had 23 Ks, equating to a 10.9 K/9.

He went 2-1 against this line, ending with exactly five strikeouts in the outlier against the Kansas City Royals.

It’s worth noting that the Royals strike out the second-fewest times in the majors behind Toronto (6.9/game).

On the other side of the rankings sit the Rockies, who strike out the second-most times per game (9.6).

Gausman’s splitter has been electric, and he should continue missing bats in his home state.

Clement over 1.5 bases (-177): Among the Blue Jays who still have a 1.5 total bases prop, Clement holds the shortest odds.

That’s because a left-handed pitcher is on the mound, and he crushes lefties.

  • vs. RHPs: .256/.292/.308, 70 OPS+
  • vs. LHPs: .346/.380/.559, 162 OPS+

Freeland allows an .859 OPS to righties, and his 5.21 xERA sits right around his actual ERA (5.26).

The lefty also has a low walk rate (5.6%), which means there should be lots of balls in play, and Clement can capitalize on a huge platoon advantage.

Blue Jays vs. Rockies predictions made at 9:25 a.m. ET on 08/06/2025

Victoria Mboko vs. Elena Rybakina National Bank Open odds and best bet: Back Canadian in Montreal semifinal match

Mboko vs. Rybakina odds

Victoria Mboko and Elena Rybakina battle on Wednesday for a spot in the National Bank Open final.

The pregame narrative: Mboko is the first Canadian woman to reach the National Bank Open semifinal in the Open ERA (started in 1986). She will need one more upset win to reach the final and potentially claim her first-ever WTA title.

Check out our Mboko vs. Rybakina odds and my best bet for the National Bank Open match on Wednesday, Aug. 6.

Mboko vs. Rybakina odds: National Bank Open

Mboko has been on a special run with the chance to reach a WTA 1000 final, and it goes down in front of her home fans.

But the Canadian will be challenged in her semifinal match against Rybakina. Mboko is a +175 underdog to advance.

National Bank Open best bet

Best bet: Mboko +1.5 sets (-150)

The 18-year-old is 17-2 on hardcourts this season, but one of the losses did come in straight sets to Rybakina at the Citi Open in July.

But Mboko grew as the match went on, and she almost stole the second set before losing 7-5.

Since then, Mboko has been dominant. She’s won four of her five matches at the National Bank Open in straight sets, That includes a beatdown of the No. 2-ranked Coco Gauff in the round of 16 (6-1, 6-4).

Mboko has a better career win rate on this playing surface (73.4%) than Rybakina (68.4%) and has the advantage of playing in front of her home crowd.

Full Mboko vs. Rybakina betting markets

Not that she needs any extra motivation. Her talent is more than enough to keep her in this match.

With a match against Rybakina in her recent memory, I expect Mboko to use the experience to have a better showing this time around.

The breakout Canadian is now 51-9 on the season and continues to improve leaps and bounds from event to event.

Key stat: At the National Bank Open, Mboko has converted 52% of her break point opportunities while holding 81% of her service games. That makes it very difficult to build a lead against her.

Mboko vs. Rybakina odds and best bet as of 4:12 p.m. ET on 08/05/2025.

Victoria Mboko vs. Elena Rybakina National Bank Open odds and best bet: Back Canadian in Montreal semifinal match

Mboko vs. Rybakina odds

Victoria Mboko and Elena Rybakina battle on Wednesday for a spot in the National Bank Open final.

The pregame narrative: Mboko is the first Canadian woman to reach the National Bank Open semifinal in the Open ERA (started in 1986). She will need one more upset win to reach the final and potentially claim her first-ever WTA title.

Check out our Mboko vs. Rybakina odds and my best bet for the National Bank Open match on Wednesday, Aug. 6.

Mboko vs. Rybakina odds: National Bank Open

Embed: #116651

Mboko has been on a special run with the chance to reach a WTA 1000 final, and it goes down in front of her home fans.

But the Canadian will be challenged in her semifinal match against Rybakina. Mboko is a +175 underdog to advance.

National Bank Open best bet

Best bet: Mboko over 11.5 games won (-118)

If you are comfortable backing Mboko to cover a +1.5 set spread at a -155 pricetag, that pick also has my blessing. But I opted for a bit more value here.

Let’s say Mboko were to win a set, she would need to win six more games across the other two, which is very achievable.

The 18-year-old is 17-2 on hardcourts this season, but one of the losses did come in straight sets to Rybakina at the Citi Open in July.

But Mboko grew as the match went on, and she almost stole the second set before losing 7-5.

Full Mboko vs. Rybakina betting markets

Since then, Mboko has been dominant. She’s won four of her five matches at the National Bank Open in straight sets, That includes a beatdown of the No. 2-ranked Coco Gauff in the round of 16 (6-1, 6-4).

Mboko has a better career win rate on this playing surface (73.4%) than Rybakina (68.4%) and has the advantage of playing in front of her home crowd.

Not that she needs any extra motivation. Her talent is more than enough to keep her in this match.

With a match against Rybakina in her recent memory, I expect Mboko to use the experience to have a better showing this time around.

The breakout Canadian is now 51-9 on the season and continues to improve leaps and bounds from event to event.

Key stat: At the National Bank Open, Mboko has converted 52% of her break point opportunities while holding 81% of her service games. That makes it very difficult to build a lead against her.

Mboko vs. Rybakina odds and best bet as of 3:05 p.m. ET on 08/05/2025.

Best WNBA prop bets Aug. 5: Bet on Paige Bueckers, Kayla McBride and Aliyah Boston

WNBA prop bets

Rookie sensation Paige Bueckers headlines Tuesday’s WNBA prop bets.

The latest: The Dallas Wings’ guard continues to break records in her first season in the league and she has a good matchup tonight. Later on, Aliyah Boston looks to extend her double-double streak without star teammate Caitlin Clark in the lineup.

Check out the best WNBA prop bets for Aug. 5, featuring a pick on Kayla McBride.

WNBA prop bets

Best bet: Bueckers over 17.5 points (-124)

The Wings guard is rivalling Clark for the best rookie season in WNBA history.

She’s coming off back-to-back rookie of the month honours and just became the fastest player ever to reach 400 points and 100 assists.

Despite her team struggling at 8-21, Bueckers continues to play elite ball.

  • She’s scored 20+ in three straight games, while shooting 47.8% from the field.
  • Overall, she’s 13-10 against this line, while landing on exactly 17 in two of the games she fell short.

That provides a healthy scoring floor to work with. She’s yet to play the New York Liberty in her career but it’s a relatively good matchup.

The Liberty have the second-best record in the WNBA but are an average defensive team, allowing the sixth-most points per game (81.1)

Key stat: Bueckers is averaging 19.1 PPG over her last 15.

Full WNBA betting markets

Best WNBA picks

Boston to record a double-double (+110): Boston has cashed this wager in six straight games, and I don’t see any reason for her streak to end against the Los Angeles Sparks.

  • L.A. owns the worst defence in the WNBA, allowing 88.0 PPG.
  • Boston has double-doubled in both meetings vs. the Sparks this season.
  • In those games, she averaged 17.5 points and 11.0 rebounds.

The Sparks play at the second-fastest pace (96.9) with an average rebounding rate (50.3%).

Scoring and rebounding chances will be plentiful, and I’m backing Boston to take advantage.

McBride over 16.5 points (-108): MVP-candidate Napheesa Collier is out for tonight’s action and I expect an uptick in scoring from the Minnesota Lynx’s guard.

  • McBride has scored 24 points in back-to-back games.
  • In those two games, she hit 13 of her 19 threes.

In her last game against the Las Vegas Aces, McBride shot 8-for-10 from three with five assists, three steals and no turnovers. She’s hooping right now.

Even though Collier left that contest early, the Lynx still managed to walk away with a 53-point win behind McBride.

Coming off her best game of the season, I can’t see any reason why Minnesota wouldn’t heavily rely on its all-star guard without Collier in the lineup.

McBride only averages 14.8 PPG but cleared this line in six of the past eight games.

WNBA prop picks made at 12:58 p.m. ET on 08/05/2025.

Best MLB prop bets Aug. 5: Back Gunnar Henderson, Freddie Freeman and Jarren Duran on Tuesday

MLB prop bets

American League East stars Gunnar Henderson and Jarren Duran highlight the top MLB prop picks for Tuesday’s slate.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Henderson has an appealing matchup and has been hot for months, while Duran’s move into a more friendly run-producing spot has yielded strong results.

Check out my favourite MLB prop bets on Aug. 5, featuring a prediction on Freddie Freeman.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Henderson over 1.5 total bases (-112)

The Baltimore Orioles have been a colossal disappointment, but they’ve received some strong individual performances from several players. Henderson is one of them.

A slow start following a spring injury has long been an afterthought, as the shortstop has been a beast at the plate after putting up a 7.9 fWAR season a year ago.

  • Henderson is hitting .326/.398/.547 over the last 30 days.
  • Going back even more, he has an .896 OPS since June 1 (he posted a mark of .893 in his monster 2024 year).
  • The 24-year-old is hitting .316/.386/.536 with 10 of his 13 homers vs. right-handed pitching.

Henderson and the Orioles see a righty tonight, in the ultra-hittable Taijuan Walker of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Walker was serviceable in July in terms of run prevention, but he doesn’t miss bats and has allowed multiple homers in three consecutive starts.

He had an unsightly 7.10 ERA in 19 appearances last season and is a pitcher I’m looking to fade against good hitters.

Key stat: Tonight’s game is at Citizens Bank Park, where Walker has a 4.78 ERA in 12 appearances (six starts).

Best MLB picks

Freeman over 1.5 total bases (-118): The Los Angeles Dodgers have a juicy matchup at home against the St. Louis Cardinals, who are starting Miles Mikolas.

  • Mikolas has a 6.00 ERA on the road and has allowed 15 homers since the start of June.
  • Since that time, he’s turned in a 5.81 ERA.
  • Mikolas has faced Freeman more than any Dodgers hitter and the results haven’t been pretty: 1.426 OPS over 21 plate appearances.

Freeman hit a lull in June that dragged into July, but he’s long out of it.

The all-star first baseman is batting .385/.439/.615 over the last 15 days and has a team-best .993 OPS in the second half.

Freeman also smashes righties (.527 SLG) and has cleared this line in six straight games, making this a plus matchup.

Duran over 0.5 RBI (+140): The Boston Red Sox outfielder rakes at home, smashes righties and is coming off his best month of the season. There’s a lot to like here.

Duran has hit third or seventh in the lineup in eight consecutive games and either spot is fine. He has 10 extra-base hits and 10 RBI over that stretch.

As long as he’s out of the leadoff spot, where he’s spent a lot of time this season, Duran is worth a look on this market when the right conditions are present, as they are tonight.

  • Duran in July: .317/.411/.683
  • At home: .291/.362/.524
  • Vs. RHPs: .294/.370/.527

The Red Sox see Kansas City Royals deadline addition Ryan Bergert, a righty with control issues who will be pitching at Fenway Park’s favourable hitting environment.

MLB prop picks made at 2:42 p.m. ET on 08/05/2025.