Contributing Writer

Best MLB prop bets Aug. 10: Bet on Julio Rodriguez and Seiya Suzuki on Sunday

Two big-time sluggers contribute to Sunday’s MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Julio Rodriguez has been smashing the baseball, and the Seattle Mariners have a Grade-A matchup. Later on, Seiya Suzuki looks to show off his power on Sunday Night Baseball.

Check out my top MLB prop bets for Aug. 10, featuring predictions on Rodriguez and Suzuki.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Rodriguez over 0.5 runs (+105)

J-Rod has been one of the best power hitters in MLB over the last few weeks. Take a look at his stats from the past 17 games:

.270 average
.662 SLG
Nine home runs

That includes two blasts last night against the Tampa Bay Rays. Over the full season, that slugging percentage would rank second behind only Aaron Judge.

And on Sunday, Tampa sends Adrian Houser to the mound, who’s been struggling.

In his final two starts with the Chicago White Sox, Houser allowed six earned runs over 11 innings.

He was then moved to the Rays at the deadline, and in his first start with his new team, Houser got lit up for five runs on 11 hits over 5.2 innings.

That equals a 5.94 ERA over those starts.

And now, he faces a red-hot Mariners offence led by Rodriguez. The centrefielder usually hits third in the lineup in front of power bats Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor.

Key stat: Rodriguez has reached base at least once in 13 of his past 18 games. Suarez, who bats just behind J-Rod, is 6-for-19 off Houser with two home runs.

Best MLB picks

Suzuki over 1.5 total bases (+100): I’ll close things out with a pick on the late game.

Suzuki has a .353 average over his past five games.

The Japanese slugger has a 97th-percentile barrel rate (18.5) and 91st-percentile xSLG (.531).

St. Louis starts Sonny Gray. Suzuki is 3-for-9 off the righty with a home run.

Gray’s 4.21 ERA is his worst since his 2019 campaign with the New York Yankees.

The veteran also barely walks his opposition. His 4.0 walk rate is one of the best in the majors.

He should give Suzuki multiple offerings to hit, and I expect the hard-hitting right fielder to stay hot.

MLB prop picks made at 12:58 p.m. ET on 08/10/2025.

Best MLB prop bets Aug. 10: Bet on Julio Rodriguez, Seiya Suzuki and Warming Bernabel on Sunday

Three big-time sluggers contribute to Sunday’s MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Julio Rodriguez has been smashing the baseball, and the Seattle Mariners have a Grade-A matchup. Later on, Seiya Suzuki looks to show off his power on Sunday Night Baseball.

Check out my top MLB prop bets for Aug. 10, featuring predictions on Rodriguez, Suzuki and Warming Bernabel.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Rodriguez over 0.5 runs (+100)

J-Rod has been one of the best power hitters in MLB over the last few weeks. Take a look at his stats from the past 17 games:

.270 average
.662 SLG
Nine home runs

That includes two blasts last night against the Tampa Bay Rays. Over the full season, that slugging percentage would rank second behind only Aaron Judge.

And on Sunday, Tampa sends Adrian Houser to the mound, who’s been struggling.

In his final two starts with the Chicago White Sox, Houser allowed six earned runs over 11 innings.

He was then moved to the Rays at the deadline, and in his first start with his new team, Houser got lit up for five runs on 11 hits over 5.2 innings.

That equals a 5.94 ERA over those starts.

And now, he faces a red-hot Mariners offence led by Rodriguez. The centrefielder usually hits third in the lineup in front of power bats Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor.

Key stat: Rodriguez has reached base at least once in 13 of his past 18 games. Suarez, who bats just behind J-Rod, is 6-for-19 off Houser with two home runs.

Best MLB picks

Bernabel over 1.5 bases (+155): You may not know the name “Warming Bernabel,” but let me introduce you to one of the lone bright spots on the Colorado Rockies.

He only has 13 games of big-league experience since being called up, but that small sample size is super inspiring.

The 23-year-old is batting .346 with a 1.012 OPS. Of all qualified batters, only Judge has a season-long OPS higher than 1.000.

That production isn’t inflated by a few good games either. Bernabel has at least a hit in 11 of his 13 MLB games.

On Sunday, he faces Brandon Pfaadt, who’s been one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball this season.

He has a 5.02 season-long ERA, and his last three starts have been even worse. Across those outings, he has a 6.32 ERA.

Pfaadt’s xERA (6.07) and xBA (.304) rank in the second percentile or worse.

Look for Bernabel to continue his meteoric rise against a struggling pitcher.

Suzuki over 1.5 total bases (+104): I’ll close things out with a pick on the late game.

Suzuki has a .353 average over his past five games.

The Japanese slugger has a 97th-percentile barrel rate (18.5) and 91st-percentile xSLG (.531).

St. Louis starts Sonny Gray. Suzuki is 3-for-9 off the righty with a home run.

Gray’s 4.21 ERA is his worst since his 2019 campaign with the New York Yankees.

The veteran also barely walks his opposition. His 4.0 walk rate is one of the best in the majors.

He should give Suzuki multiple offerings to hit, and I expect the hard-hitting right fielder to stay hot.

MLB prop picks made at 11:15 a.m. ET on 08/10/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers best bets Aug. 10: Back Toronto behind Daulton Varsho at plus money

The Toronto Blue Jays look to avoid being swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Last night’s contest wasn’t close, with L.A. winning 9-1. Eric Lauer has been fantastic for the Jays, and he will be tasked with shutting down the Dodgers in this series finale between two division leaders.

Check out my Blue Jays best bets vs. the Dodgers for Aug. 10, featuring prop bets on Daulton Varsho.

Blue Jays best bets vs. Dodgers

Best bet: Blue Jays ML (+155)

I think it’s time Toronto gets one back in this series.

Let’s start with a less important but still interesting stat. The Dodgers haven’t swept a team since July 1-3 when they played the Chicago White Sox. That’s nine straight series.

What’s more important is that the Blue Jays arguably have their best arm on the mound today.

Lauer has been a great addition for Toronto. He started the season in the bullpen, but has more than earned his spot in the rotation after 61.1 innings as a starter.

5-2
3.08 ERA
9.1 K/9
4.4 walk rate

Those are elite starter numbers, and it hasn’t been a fluke. According to Baseball Savant, his 3.01 xERA sits right around his actual ERA and ranks in the 87th percentile.

L.A. doesn’t have a weak spot in its rotation, so another strong arm will be opposite the Toronto bats on Sunday.

However, I have my concerns with Tyler Glasnow. He has a 12th percentile walk rate (12.0%), a first percentile chase rate (20.2%) and can be susceptible to home runs.

That sounds like a dangerous recipe against an elite Jays’ offence.

Glasnow has allowed four home runs over his last three starts.

Key stat: Lauer has a 2.83 ERA over his past 10 starts. The Jays went 8-2 in those games.

Quick pick

Varsho over 0.5 bases (-110): This is simply too good a price to pass up.

Varsho went 0-for-4 yesterday but had to deal with a lefty on the mound in Blake Snell.

But the outfielder is the prime example of a guy who enjoys a platoon advantage.

Vs. LHPs: .200 average (.200 SLG)
Vs. RHPs: .247 average (.708 SLG)

To put it in perspective, 18 of his 22 hits against right-handed pitchers have gone for extra bases (11 home runs). No, that isn’t a typo.

Overall, he’s cleared this line in five of his last seven games and is batting .391 during that time.

The matchup is irrelevant right now. If he’s up against a righty, I want in on Varsho, and he should see Glasnow at least a few times this afternoon.

Blue Jays best bets made at 10:17 a.m. ET on 08/10/2025.

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers best bets Aug. 10: Back Toronto behind Daulton Varsho at plus money

The Toronto Blue Jays look to avoid being swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Last night’s contest wasn’t close, with L.A. winning 9-1. Eric Lauer has been fantastic for the Jays, and he will be tasked with shutting down the Dodgers in this series finale between two division leaders.

Check out my Blue Jays best bets vs. the Dodgers for Aug. 10, featuring prop bets on Daulton Varsho.

Blue Jays best bets vs. Dodgers

Best bet: Blue Jays ML (+165)

I think it’s time Toronto gets one back in this series.

Let’s start with a less important but still interesting stat. The Dodgers haven’t swept a team since July 1-3 when they played the Chicago White Sox. That’s nine straight series.

What’s more important is that the Blue Jays arguably have their best arm on the mound today.

Lauer has been a great addition for Toronto. He started the season in the bullpen, but has more than earned his spot in the rotation after 61.1 innings as a starter.

5-2
3.08 ERA
9.1 K/9
4.4 walk rate

Those are elite starter numbers, and it hasn’t been a fluke. According to Baseball Savant, his 3.01 xERA sits right around his actual ERA and ranks in the 87th percentile.

L.A. doesn’t have a weak spot in its rotation, so another strong arm will be opposite the Toronto bats on Sunday.

However, I have my concerns with Tyler Glasnow. He has a 12th percentile walk rate (12.0%), a first percentile chase rate (20.2%) and can be susceptible to home runs.

That sounds like a dangerous recipe against an elite Jays’ offence.

Glasnow has allowed four home runs over his last three starts.

Key stat: Lauer has a 2.83 ERA over his past 10 starts. The Jays went 8-2 in those games.

Quick pick

Varsho over 1.5 bases (+220): This is simply too good a price to pass up.

Varsho went 0-for-4 yesterday but had to deal with a lefty on the mound in Blake Snell.

But the outfielder is the prime example of a guy who enjoys a platoon advantage.

Vs. LHPs: .200 average (.200 SLG)
Vs. RHPs: .247 average (.708 SLG)

To put it in perspective, 18 of his 22 hits against right-handed pitchers have gone for extra bases (11 home runs). No, that isn’t a typo.

Overall, he’s cleared this line in four of his last seven games and is batting .391 during that time.

The matchup is irrelevant right now. If he’s up against a righty, I want in on Varsho, and he should see Glasnow at least a few times this afternoon.

This feels like a no-brainer at more than 2-to-1.

Blue Jays best bets made at 8:35 a.m. ET on 08/10/2025.

Best WNBA prop bets Aug. 7: Target Kelsey Mitchell, Tina Charles on Thursday night

I’ve got one WNBA prop bet from each of the late-night games on Thursday.

The latest: Without Caitlin Clark in the lineup, Kelsey Mitchell has taken the reins as the Indiana Fever’s go-to scorer. Elsewhere, Tina Charles should excel in an excellent matchup vs. the Los Angeles Sparks.

Check out the best WNBA prop bets for Aug. 7.

WNBA prop bets

Best bet: Mitchell over 19.5 points (-110)

Mitchell may not have the same name value as Clark, but she’s a certified bucket-getter.

She averages 20.0 points per game, which is tied for fourth in the WNBA.

The dynamic guard started the season 3-9 against the wager but has turned things around. Take a look at her stats from the past 18 games:

21.9 PPG
49.0 FG%
44.3 3PT%
13-5 vs. this wager

In her most recent game, which came against the Sparks, Mitchell dropped 34 points on 11-of-19 shooting. It was her third performance of 30+ points during the 18-game stretch.

The Phoenix Mercury is an average defensive team, so the matchup doesn’t concern me in the slightest.

Key stat: Mitchell surpassed this total in four of her past six games against the Mercury, averaging 21.5 PPG.

Full WNBA betting markets

Best WNBA picks

Charles over 23.5 points/rebounds (-115): I like this pick just as much as the first, so it was a toss-up for the best bet designation tonight.

Over her past 10 games, Charles is averaging 18.6 points and 7.8 rebounds. And on Thursday, she gets the WNBA’s best matchup.

The Sparks allow the most points per game (88.1).

L.A. has given up 80+ points in 12 straight games, with an average of 90.3 points allowed during that stretch.

In her last game against the Sparks, Charles recorded 24 points and hauled in 10 rebounds, easily clearing this total.

That was just six games ago, so it shows what Charles can do at her best against a lousy defensive side.

The centre is 6-4 against this line and should have an above-average night in a Grade-A matchup.

WNBA prop picks made at 12:58 p.m. ET on 08/07/2025.

Karen Khachanov vs. Ben Shelton National Bank Open final prediction: Back the favourite to win comfortably

Two top-15 ranked players battle it out in the final of the National Bank Open in Toronto.

The pregame narrative: Ben Shelton is shaping into one of the world’s best players at only 22 years old. In Toronto, he looks for his first ATP title of the season against a red-hot Karen Khachanov.

Check out my Khachanov vs. Shelton prediction for the men’s National Bank Open final on Thursday, Aug. 7.

Khachanov vs. Shelton prediction

Best bet: Shelton -1.5 sets (+130)

Both players are playing extremely well heading into the final, but I have to side with the recent results from Shelton.

The American has consecutive straight-set wins over Taylor Fritz (6-4, 6-3) and Alex de Minaur (6-3, 6-4) in matches that weren’t particularly close.

Fritz hadn’t lost in straight sets in 24 straight contests and de Minaur won eight straight matches before playing Shelton.

Khachanov is rolling, too, beating No. 3-ranked Alexander Zverev in the semifinal.

However, Zverev wasn’t on the same form as either Fritz or de Minaur, and Khachanov needed all three sets to get the job done.

That includes a match-deciding tiebreaker in the third set.

Full Khachanov vs. Shelton betting markets

Not only is Shelton beating better competition, but he’s doing it convincingly.

The American also holds a notable edge with his serve. At the National Bank Open, Shelton has served 65 aces while committing just 17 double faults.

For context, Khachanov has recorded 31 aces and 21 double faults.

That means Shelton is averaging 1.1 aces per game with a whopping 92% hold rate.

I can’t see Khachanov having much success breaking his opponent, while his serve hasn’t been dominant enough to convince me he can have the same success in his service games.

Key stat: When these two met at the 2025 Indian Wells Open, Shelton won the match in straight sets (6-3, 7-5). He won 41% of his return points.

Khachanov vs. Shelton prediction made at 12:47 p.m. ET on 08/07/2025.

Karen Khachanov vs. Ben Shelton National Bank Open final prediction: Back the favourite to win comfortably

Two top-15 ranked players battle it out in the final of the National Bank Open in Toronto.

The pregame narrative: Ben Shelton is shaping into one of the world’s best players at only 22 years old. In Toronto, he looks for his first ATP title of the season against a red-hot Karen Khachanov.

Check out my Khachanov vs. Shelton prediction for the men’s National Bank Open final on Thursday, Aug. 7.

Khachanov vs. Shelton prediction

Best bet: Shelton -1.5 sets (+148)

Both players are playing extremely well heading into the final, but I have to side with the recent results from Shelton.

The American has consecutive straight-set wins over Taylor Fritz (6-4, 6-3) and Alex de Minaur (6-3, 6-4) in matches that weren’t particularly close.

Fritz hadn’t lost in straight sets in 24 straight contests and de Minaur won eight straight matches before playing Shelton.

Khachanov is rolling, too, beating No. 3-ranked Alexander Zverev in the semifinal.

However, Zverev wasn’t on the same form as either Fritz or de Minaur, and Khachanov needed all three sets to get the job done.

That includes a match-deciding tiebreaker in the third set.

Full Khachanov vs. Shelton betting markets

Not only is Shelton beating better competition, but he’s doing it convincingly.

The American also holds a notable edge with his serve. At the National Bank Open, Shelton has served 65 aces while committing just 17 double faults.

For context, Khachanov has recorded 31 aces and 21 double faults.

That means Shelton is averaging 1.1 aces per game with a whopping 92% hold rate.

I can’t see Khachanov having much success breaking his opponent, while his serve hasn’t been dominant enough to convince me he can have the same success in his service games.

Key stat: When these two met at the 2025 Indian Wells Open, Shelton won the match in straight sets (6-3, 7-5). He won 41% of his return points.

Khachanov vs. Shelton prediction made at 11:33 a.m. ET on 08/07/2025.

Victoria Mboko vs. Naomi Osaka National Bank Open final predictions: Back Canadian to win in Montreal

Victoria Mboko has a shot to claim her first-ever WTA title in front of a Canadian crowd in Montreal.

The pregame narrative: Mboko has been a spectacle at the National Bank Open, defeating multiple top talents to the roars of her home crowd. In the final, she faces the former world No. 1 Naomi Osaka.

Check out my Mboko vs. Osaka predictions for the women’s National Bank Open final on Thursday, Aug. 7.

Mboko vs. Osaka predictions

Best bet: Under 22 games (-118)

Mboko is an outstanding prospect, showing immense power and court IQ at just 18 years old. However, with that youth comes some erratic play, often leading to a lot of break points for her and her opponent.

At this event, she’s had 54 break point opportunities in six matches while allowing 40.

She’s also done a below-average job at holding serve (75%).

This can often lead to some lopsided scores, especially in the early going. And it can go both ways depending on how Mboko is playing.

Against the No. 2-ranked Coco Gauff, she dominated the first set, winning 6-1.

In the semifinal against Elena Rybakina, she dropped the first set 6-1 before coming back to win an epic showdown.

Osaka, on the other hand, has been much steadier in Montreal. She’s held 83% of her serves while winning over 70% of her break points.

The 27-year-old has also committed 13 double faults to Mboko’s 35.

I believe Mboko has the tools to overpower Osaka if she comes out on top of her game. But she can also fall behind quickly if she starts slow.

Either way, I expect a quick first set to lead to the match going under this games total.

Full Mboko vs. Osaka betting markets

National Bank Open women’s final picks

Mboko to win (+150): On paper, Mboko has been outmatched a few times this tournament. But she continues to use the crowd support to fuel an incredible run of form.

I’ve been riding with the Canadian up until this point, so how can I shy away in the final?

Mboko is now 52-9 in 2025 (18-2 on hard courts).

She spent the early part of the season on the Challenger Tour, but she has become a staple in WTA events.

If you add in her indoor hard court record, Mboko is 37-3 in 2025 on the playing surface.

It’s worth mentioning her indoor record, because that puts her at a 74-22 mark on hard courts for her career. She dominates on this court type.

Osaka is no slouch; she has better than a 67% win rate on outdoor hard courts, and she’s playing her best tennis since she was ranked No. 1 back in 2019.

She’s only dropped one set at the National Bank Open, but her level of competition wasn’t the best.

Mboko has played and beaten two opponents ranked higher than Osaka’s top-seeded opponent.

The Canadian has passed each test with flying colours, and she’s come through in the biggest moments of her matches.

As an underdog, I’ll gladly back her to win her first WTA title.

Mboko vs. Osaka predictions made at 12:34 p.m. ET on 08/07/2025.

CFL Week 10 predictions, picks and best bets: Bet on the over in Winnipeg vs. Calgary

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look for their seventh straight win when they kick off CFL Week 10 against the BC Lions.

This week’s CFL narrative: Hamilton started the season 0-2, but it’s been nothing but wins since. The Ti-Cats host Nathan Rourke and the Lions on Thursday night. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Calgary Stampeders headline Saturday’s doubleheader.

Check out the latest CFL Week 10 predictions for the games beginning Thursday, Aug. 7, featuring a pick on the Ottawa Redblacks vs. Toronto Argonauts game.

CFL Week 10 predictions

Best bet: Blue Bombers/Stampeders over 51.5 points (-110)

Winnipeg has either scored or allowed 30+ points in six of seven games this season.

That includes last week, in which the Blue Bombers beat the Argonauts, 41-30.

Another one of those games was against the Stampeders in Week 7. That contest ended 41-20 in Calgary’s favour.

That also happened to be the last time Vernon Adams Jr. was fully healthy. The Stamps’ quarterback got injured the next week and missed Week 9 completely.

P.J. Walker proved to be a bad replacement as he threw one touchdown and turned the ball over three times in his short stint as starter.

The good news is, Adams is practicing this week and is reportedly on track to make his return.

Calgary has scored 24 or more points in five of the six games Adams has completed this season.

Winnipeg has the third-worst defence (28.1 points allowed per game) while scoring the third-most points on offence (27.1).

Key stat: The Blue Bombers have a 5-2 overs record against this line in 2025.

Full CFL betting markets

CFL Week 10 best bets

Redblacks +3 (-110): Ottawa is coming off its best performance of the season, beating Calgary 31-11 in Week 9.

Quarterback Dru Brown is getting healthier each week, and that’s good news for the struggling Redblacks.

On the other side, Toronto has lost three of its past four while allowing an average of 39.0 points in those losses.

The Argonauts give up the second-most points per game in the CFL (30.8) while Ottawa sits closer to the middle of the pack, allowing 26.8.

Toronto continues to rely on backup QB Nick Arbuckle, who leads the league in interceptions (nine).

Ottawa has the QB advantage and the edge on defence. I believe the Redblacks can keep this close, if not win straight up.

Tiger-Cats -3 (-106): Hamilton has won six straight, and its offence sits in a tier of its own.

The Tiger-Cats are the only team averaging more than 30 points per game (31.6), and Bo Levi Mitchell is putting together a fantastic campaign.

He has 18 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions through eight games.

The Lions leave a lot to be desired on defence, allowing the fourth-most points per game (27.0).

When these two met in BC in Week 8, the Tiger-Cats showcased that offence, winning 37-33.

During its six-game heater, Hamilton has an average win margin of 9.5 points.

CFL Week 10 predictions as of 12:24 p.m. on 08/07/2025.