Spencer Closs

Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.

Best MLB prop bets Sept. 14: Target Trevor Story, Rafael Devers on Sunday

MLB prop bets

On Sunday, two all-star bats headline my MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Rafael Devers has been very efficient at the plate lately. He’ll have a shot to keep his hot streak going against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Later on, look for Trevor Story to shine on Sunday Night Baseball.

Check out my top MLB prop bets for Sept. 14, featuring a prediction on Jake Cronenworth.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Devers to score (+115)

Devers gets on base a lot thanks to his 97th-percentile walk rate (15.4%).

His .378 on-base percentage currently ranks as the best in his nine-year career and routinely puts him in a good position to score.

And that’s led to some incredible results over the last 16 games:

  • .311 batting average
  • .425 OBP
  • 19 runs scored

Tyler Glasnow will start for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and I’ll give him credit — he’s been a beast this season.

But Devers has the upper hand in the head-to-head history. The slugging infielder has reached base 10 times in 24 plate appearances vs. Glasnow.

That’s probably because he tends to enjoy a platoon advantage. He has an even better .398 OBP this season against right-handed pitchers.

Key stat: Devers is 13-3 against this wager over the past 16 games.

Best MLB picks

Story over 1.5 bases (+100): In primetime, I expect Story to come through for the Boston Red Sox.

He’s gone hitless in this series so far, but this is a great chance to get back on track.

Even including the slow start vs. the New York Yankees, Story is raking over the past 11 games:

  • .302 BA
  • .883 OPS
  • 23 total bases

Additionally, he gets to face an inexperienced Will Warren on the mound.

It’s a short sample size, but in five at-bats vs. Warren, Story has two hits, one of which was a home run.

Cronenworth to score (+115): Cronenworth caught my eye as a bottom-of-the-order hitter with a lot of value based on how he’s playing.

  • In his past 19 games, he has a .296 BA and a whopping .451 OBP.
  • Cronenworth has more walks (14) than Ks (10) over that span.
  • He’s scored 11 runs and cashed this wager 10 times.

This series is being played in San Diego, but the Colorado Rockies’ weak pitching staff can be taken advantage of even away from Coors Field.

Colorado will start German Marquez, whose 6.31 ERA is third-worst in MLB among pitchers with over 100 innings of work.

In 21 at-bats vs. Marquez, Cronenworth has a .286 average and a 1.062 OPS.

MLB prop picks made at 1:03 p.m. ET on 09/14/2025.

Best MLB prop bets Sept. 14: Target Trevor Story, Rafael Devers on Sunday

MLB prop bets

On Sunday, two all-star bats headline my MLB prop bets.

Today’s MLB props narrative: Rafael Devers has been very efficient at the plate lately. He’ll have a shot to keep his hot streak going against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Later on, look for Trevor Story to shine on Sunday Night Baseball.

Check out my top MLB prop bets for Sept. 14, featuring a prediction on Jake Cronenworth.

MLB prop bets

Best bet: Devers to score (+123)

Devers gets on base a lot thanks to his 97th-percentile walk rate (15.4%).

His .378 on-base percentage currently ranks as the best in his nine-year career and routinely puts him in a good position to score.

And that’s led to some incredible results over the last 16 games:

  • .311 batting average
  • .425 OBP
  • 19 runs scored

Tyler Glasnow will start for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and I’ll give him credit — he’s been a beast this season.

But Devers has the upper hand in the head-to-head history. The slugging infielder has reached base 10 times in 24 plate appearances vs. Glasnow.

That’s probably because he tends to enjoy a platoon advantage. He has an even better .398 OBP this season against right-handed pitchers.

Key stat: Devers is 13-3 against this wager over the past 16 games.

Embed: #117919

Best MLB picks

Story over 1.5 bases (+106): In primetime, I expect Story to come through for the Boston Red Sox.

He’s gone hitless in this series so far, but this is a great chance to get back on track.

Even including the slow start vs. the New York Yankees, Story is raking over the past 11 games:

  • .302 BA
  • .883 OPS
  • 23 total bases

Additionally, he gets to face an inexperienced Will Warren on the mound.

It’s a short sample size, but in five at-bats vs. Warren, Story has two hits, one of which was a home run.

Cronenworth to score (+118): Cronenworth caught my eye as a bottom-of-the-order hitter with a lot of value based on how he’s playing.

  • In his past 19 games, he has a .296 BA and a whopping .451 OBP.
  • Cronenworth has more walks (14) than Ks (10) over that span.
  • He’s scored 11 runs and cashed this wager 10 times.

This series is being played in San Diego, but the Colorado Rockies’ weak pitching staff can be taken advantage of even away from Coors Field.

Colorado will start German Marquez, whose 6.31 ERA is third-worst in MLB among pitchers with over 100 innings of work.

In 21 at-bats vs. Marquez, Cronenworth has a .286 average and a 1.062 OPS.

MLB prop picks made at 10:30 a.m. ET on 09/14/2025.

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Orioles vs. Blue Jays SGP predictions Sept. 14: Bet on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at +310

Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays have a shot at a series sweep over the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Toronto needed some comeback heroics against yesterday to pick up a huge win over an AL East opponent. In the finale, Shane Bieber takes the mound opposite Albert Suarez for Baltimore.

Check out my Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions for Sept. 14, featuring prop bets on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ryan Mountcastle.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions

Parlay: Blue Jays ML | Guerrero over 1.5 bases | Mountcastle 1+ hit (+310)

Blue Jays ML (-205): With Bieber on the mound, the Jays should have a nice pitching advantage.

He may not be at his peak as a starter, but he’s been good enough that the Jays have won three of his four starts this season.

Bieber’s 4.30 ERA isn’t spectacular, but his 27.5% K rate and 3.3% walk rate are both elite.

The underlying statistics show that Bieber hasn’t lost his stuff, but rather he’s still working off the rust and should continue to improve with more reps.

For the Orioles, Suarez will make the start, but I don’t expect him to work more than a few innings.

The 35-year-old was on the 60-day injured list until the start of September and hasn’t pitched more than three innings in his trio of appearances.

So even if he’s solid, the Blue Jays will see a lot of bullpen arms. Baltimore has the eighth-worst bullpen ERA in the majors (4.49).

That all goes before mentioning Toronto’s advantage on offence. The Jays have the third-best WRC+ since the All-Star break (123) and have outscored the Orioles 11-5 through the first two games.

Embed: #117915

MLB SGP legs

Guerrero over 1.5 bases (-112): Guerrero is playing at an MVP-calibre level in the second half of the season, just like last year.

His numbers have been outstanding since the All-Star break, but let me focus on just the 11 games played this month.

  • .500 batting average
  • 1.265 OPS
  • 31 total bases in 50 plate appearances

His 91st-percentile walk rate (12.7%) is always going to be a problem with this type of wager, but he’s just swinging such a hot bat right now that it doesn’t bother me.

Guerrero is 7-4 against this wager in September.

Mountcastle 1+ hit (-190): There are a couple of things to note for this wager.

  • Firstly, Mountcastle is playing really well right now. Over his past 25 games, he’s batting .290 (19-6 against this wager).
  • He also seems to love hitting against the Jays. Mountcastle is batting .298 with 15 home runs and 53 RBI in 72 games. That is a 43 home run, 119 RBI pace over a 162-game season.

That’s too big a sample size to be solely a coincidence, and Jays fans should take it personally.

But as a bettor, that only increases my confidence in this final leg.

Blue Jays picks as of 8:36 a.m. on 09/14/2025.

Falcons vs. Vikings SNF Week 2 SGP predictions: Back Atlanta ATS behind strong effort from Bijan Robinson

Falcons vs. Vikings predictions

The Atlanta Falcons look for their first win of the season on the road against the Minnesota Vikings.

The pregame narrative: Michael Penix Jr. and the Falcons looked good on offence in Week 1 but fell short to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. For the Vikings, J.J. McCarthy led a valiant second-half comeback to grab a road win in his first NFL start.

Check out my Falcons vs. Vikings same-game parlay predictions for Week 2 below, featuring McCarthy and Bijan Robinson.

Falcons vs. Vikings SGP predictions

SGP: Falcons +7.5 | McCarthy over 16.5 rushing yards | Robinson 60+ rushing yards (+375)

Falcons +7.5 (-225): Atlanta did a lot right last Sunday, but the team ended up losing by a field goal in the end thanks to a missed kick in the final seconds.

The Falcons had 92 more yards in that contest, as well as seven more first downs and fewer punts. If that was all you knew, you would think they’d won.

That gives me confidence in this team moving forward.

In Week 2, they play a Vikings squad that was dominated in the first half of Monday Night Football last week but took advantage of some poor coaching to come back and win against the Chicago Bears.

That doesn’t excuse Minnesota’s poor play, though. The Vikings gave up 317 yards to the Bears and could only convert on 3-of-12 third downs.

When analyzing these opponents, they seem evenly matched ahead of Sunday Night Football, so I’ll gladly back the Falcons to keep this within a score.

Monday Night Football SGP picks

McCarthy over 16.5 rushing yards (-118): There were a lot of unknowns ahead of McCarthy’s NFL debut, and not every question has been answered, but he definitely has that dog in him.

The clip above was his second rush attempt of the night. McCarthy finished with 25 rushing yards in his debut.

The Vikings had nothing going in the first half, so almost all of the QB’s production was in one half of football.

It helps that Kevin O’Connell is willing to draw up runs for his QB in the red zone.

McCarthy didn’t register an official 40-yard dash before the NFL draft, but he reportedly ran a 4.48 at Michigan before the 2023 season.

For reference, Justin Fields ran a 4.45 at the combine.

McCarthy isn’t going to use his legs as much as Fields or other QBs known for their mobility, but it’s nice to know he has the speed to get a good chunk of yards when needed.

And this line is modest enough that McCarthy would likely only need a few attempts to go over.

Robinson over 63.5 rushing yards (-118): Robinson fell way short of this line in Week 1, finishing with 24 yards on 12 rushes. He did have 100 yards receiving, but that doesn’t help with this wager.

One inefficient game isn’t going to deter me from backing one of the NFL’s premium runners, though.

  • Robinson averaged 85.6 rushing yards per game in 2024.
  • He went 14-3 against this wager and closed the regular season with six straight games of 90+ rushing yards.

Because of his lack of efficiency, he only ran the ball 12 times in Week 1. He had 12 or fewer rushes just three times last season.

The Buccaneers’ defensive line did an outstanding job containing Robinson on the ground last Sunday, but I find it hard to believe the Vikings can have the same success.

Minnesota allowed a far less talented back, D’Andre Swift, to run for 53 yards on 17 attempts in Week 1.

Falcons vs. Vikings predictions made at 3:27 p.m. on 09/13/2025.

Falcons vs. Vikings SNF Week 2 SGP predictions: Back Atlanta ATS behind strong effort from Bijan Robinson

Falcons vs. Vikings predictions

The Atlanta Falcons look for their first win of the season on the road against the Minnesota Vikings.

The pregame narrative: Michael Penix Jr. and the Falcons looked good on offence in Week 1 but fell short to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. For the Vikings, J.J. McCarthy led a valiant second-half comeback to grab a road win in his first NFL start.

Check out my Falcons vs. Vikings same-game parlay predictions for Week 2 below, featuring McCarthy and Bijan Robinson.

Falcons vs. Vikings SGP predictions

SGP: Falcons +7.5 | McCarthy over 16.5 rushing yards | Robinson 60+ rushing yards (+310)

Falcons +7.5 (-240): Atlanta did a lot right last Sunday, but the team ended up losing by a field goal in the end thanks to a missed kick in the final seconds.

The Falcons had 92 more yards in that contest, as well as seven more first downs and fewer punts. If that was all you knew, you would think they’d won.

That gives me confidence in this team moving forward.

In Week 2, they play a Vikings squad that was dominated in the first half of Monday Night Football last week but took advantage of some poor coaching to come back and win against the Chicago Bears.

That doesn’t excuse Minnesota’s poor play, though. The Vikings gave up 317 yards to the Bears and could only convert on 3-of-12 third downs.

When analyzing these opponents, they seem evenly matched ahead of Sunday Night Football, so I’ll gladly back the Falcons to keep this within a score.

Embed: #117905

Monday Night Football SGP picks

McCarthy over 16.5 rushing yards (-120): There were a lot of unknowns ahead of McCarthy’s NFL debut, and not every question has been answered, but he definitely has that dog in him.

The clip above was his second rush attempt of the night. McCarthy finished with 25 rushing yards in his debut.

The Vikings had nothing going in the first half, so almost all of the QB’s production was in one half of football.

It helps that Kevin O’Connell is willing to draw up runs for his QB in the red zone.

McCarthy didn’t register an official 40-yard dash before the NFL draft, but he reportedly ran a 4.48 at Michigan before the 2023 season.

For reference, Justin Fields ran a 4.45 at the combine.

McCarthy isn’t going to use his legs as much as Fields or other QBs known for their mobility, but it’s nice to know he has the speed to get a good chunk of yards when needed.

And this line is modest enough that McCarthy would likely only need a few attempts to go over.

Robinson 60+ rushing yards (-156): Robinson fell way short of this line in Week 1, finishing with 24 yards on 12 rushes. He did have 100 yards receiving, but that doesn’t help with this wager.

One inefficient game isn’t going to deter me from backing one of the NFL’s premium runners, though.

  • Robinson averaged 85.6 rushing yards per game in 2024.
  • He went 14-3 against this wager and closed the regular season with six straight games of 90+ rushing yards.

Because of his lack of efficiency, he only ran the ball 12 times in Week 1. He had 12 or fewer rushes just three times last season.

The Buccaneers’ defensive line did an outstanding job containing Robinson on the ground last Sunday, but I find it hard to believe the Vikings can have the same success.

Minnesota allowed a far less talented back, D’Andre Swift, to run for 53 yards on 17 attempts in Week 1.

Falcons vs. Vikings predictions made at 3:05 p.m. on 09/13/2025.

Manchester City vs. Manchester United SGP predictions Sept. 14: Back Haaland to score in +360 ticket

Manchester City vs. Manchester United predictions

The first Manchester derby of the season headlines this weekend’s EPL action.

The pregame narrative: Neither side is off to a great start this season, so this could be a chance for a potential winner to get back on track. Erling Haaland has been on fire to start his campaign, even with his club’s poor play.

Check out my Manchester City vs. Manchester United predictions, including props on Haaland and Amad Diallo.

Manchester City vs. Manchester United predictions

Parlay: Over 2.5 goals | Haaland to score | Diallo over 0.5 shots on target (+360)

Over 2.5 goals (-177): Both Manchester City and Manchester United currently sit outside of the top 10 in the EPL standings.

Despite that, there is some serious offensive potential here.

  • Man U led the EPL in xG going into this weekend (6.8).
  • Man City is not far behind with 5.8 xG.

The Citizens have Haaland, one of the most dangerous strikers in world soccer, while the Red Devils prioritized offence this transfer window, spending $170+ million on attackers.

These clubs don’t shine on defence, either. Both sides have conceded 4.0 or more xG through three matches.

This has all the makings of an exciting back-and-forth match filled with scoring.

Manchester City vs. Manchester United betting markets

EPL SGP legs

Haaland to score (-127): Haaland had a down season in 2024, but he looks to be back in top form. That’s a scary thing for opposing defenders.

  • The Norwegian forward has contributed 3.9 of City’s 5.8 xG (leads EPL).
  • Bournemouth’s Antoine Semenyo ranks second (2.7 xG), and he’s played one more match.
  • Haaland has recorded 14 shots and three goals in his first three Premier League games.

It doesn’t mean as much, but he’s coming off a match with Norway in which he scored five goals.

Haaland ranks in the 90th percentile or better for touches in the attacking penalty area (6.40) and shots per 90 (3.64).

Diallo over 0.5 shots on target (+110): Diallo has worked his way into the starting 11 for United and is continuously getting more minutes from manager Ruben Amorim.

  • Matchday 1: 36 minutes, one shot on target
  • Matchday 2: 51 minutes, two shots (one on target)
  • Matchday 3: 90 minutes, three shots (one shot on target)

As you can see, he is 3-0 against this line and is naturally getting more offensive chances with more playing time.

Diallo ranks in the 85th percentile among midfielders for shot-creating actions per 90 (4.85), according to fbref.com. This stat tracks the final two offensive actions leading to a shot.

He’s an offensive minded midfielder that should have good looks at goal on Sunday.

Manchester City vs. Manchester United predictions made at 12:37 p.m. ET on 09/13/2025.

Bills vs. Jets Week 2 SGP predictions: Target top receivers Coleman, Wilson in +425 wager

Bills vs. Jets predictions

The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets clash in a Week 2 AFC East matchup.

The pregame narrative: Josh Allen did what he does best and willed Buffalo back to a huge Week 1 win over the Baltimore Ravens. The Jets had the opposite fate, giving up a late lead to start their season 0-1. They will try to turn things around at home against the Bills.

Check out my Bills vs. Jets +425 same-game parlay predictions for Week 2, featuring Keon Coleman and Garrett Wilson.

Bills vs. Jets SGP predictions

SGP: Bills -2.5 | Coleman over 45.5 receiving yards | Wilson over 60.5 receiving yards (+425)

Bills -2.5 (-210): I feel good about the Bills covering a field goal in this contest.

In Week 1, Buffalo made an incredible comeback in the fourth quarter to steal a 41-40 win over the Baltimore Ravens.

The Jets were also competitive, but they lost 34-32 to the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Neither defence looked great, but there’s a huge difference between playing the Ravens and the Steelers.

In two meetings with New York last season, the Bills went 2-0 against this line. They most recently dominated the Jets, 40-14, in Week 17.

Justin Fields looked good in Week 1, and he could be an upgrade over Aaron Rodgers, but he’s not a significant enough upgrade to make up ground on a Super Bowl favourite.

More SGP picks

Coleman over 46.5 receiving yards (-118): It’s been a few years since Josh Allen had an alpha receiver, but Coleman could be that guy moving forward.

  • The second-year receiver had eight catches (11 targets) in Week 1 for 112 yards and a touchdown.
  • He was on the field for 88.2% of offensive snaps, which is a high snap count for a wide receiver. For context, Ja’Marr Chase played 87% of the Cincinnati Bengals’ offensive snaps last weekend.
  • In 13 games last season, Coleman never had more than five receptions in an outing.

The outlook for Coleman looks extremely positive this season, and he could be in for his first 1,000-yard campaign.

If that’s the case, we have to treat him like a WR1, and this line is too low for Allen’s No. 1 option.

Wilson over 61.5 receiving yards (-118): Speaking of top receivers, Wilson has proven to be quarterback-proof in his short career.

  • He was targeted 145+ times and had 1,000+ yards in each of his first three NFL seasons.
  • That’s despite catching TD passes from seven different QBs (Fields, Rodgers, Tyrod Taylor, Joe Flacco, Zach Wilson, Mike White).

With his new QB in Week 1, Wilson had seven receptions (nine targets) for 95 yards. The one consistent thing in his career is that he’s always open.

It’s understandable to allow Derrick Henry to run all over you, but Ravens’ No. 1 receiver Zay Flowers also had an amazing showing in Week 1 against the Bills.

Flowers caught seven passes for 134 yards. Wilson needs fewer than half those yards for this leg to cash.

Bills vs. Jets predictions made at 1:31 p.m. ET on 09/13/2025.

Bills vs. Jets Week 2 SGP predictions: Target top receivers Coleman, Wilson in +375 wager

Bills vs. Jets predictions

The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets clash in a Week 2 AFC East matchup.

The pregame narrative: Josh Allen did what he does best and willed Buffalo back to a huge Week 1 win over the Baltimore Ravens. The Jets had the opposite fate, giving up a late lead to start their season 0-1. They will try to turn things around at home against the Bills.

Check out my Bills vs. Jets +375 same-game parlay predictions for Week 2, featuring Keon Coleman and Garrett Wilson.

Bills vs. Jets SGP predictions

SGP: Bills -2.5 | Coleman over 45.5 receiving yards | Wilson over 60.5 receiving yards (+375)

Bills -2.5 (-210): I feel good about the Bills covering a field goal in this contest.

In Week 1, Buffalo made an incredible comeback in the fourth quarter to steal a 41-40 win over the Baltimore Ravens.

The Jets were also competitive, but they lost 34-32 to the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Neither defence looked great, but there’s a huge difference between playing the Ravens and the Steelers.

In two meetings with New York last season, the Bills went 2-0 against this line. They most recently dominated the Jets, 40-14, in Week 17.

Justin Fields looked good in Week 1, and he could be an upgrade over Aaron Rodgers, but he’s not a significant enough upgrade to make up ground on a Super Bowl favourite.

Embed: #117893

More SGP picks

Coleman over 45.5 receiving yards (-108): It’s been a few years since Josh Allen had an alpha receiver, but Coleman could be that guy moving forward.

  • The second-year receiver had eight catches (11 targets) in Week 1 for 112 yards and a touchdown.
  • He was on the field for 88.2% of offensive snaps, which is a high snap count for a wide receiver. For context, Ja’Marr Chase played 87% of the Cincinnati Bengals’ offensive snaps last weekend.
  • In 13 games last season, Coleman never had more than five receptions in an outing.

The outlook for Coleman looks extremely positive this season, and he could be in for his first 1,000-yard campaign.

If that’s the case, we have to treat him like a WR1, and this line is too low for Allen’s No. 1 option.

Wilson over 60.5 receiving yards (-130): Speaking of top receivers, Wilson has proven to be quarterback-proof in his short career.

  • He was targeted 145+ times and had 1,000+ yards in each of his first three NFL seasons.
  • That’s despite catching TD passes from seven different QBs (Fields, Rodgers, Tyrod Taylor, Joe Flacco, Zach Wilson, Mike White).

With his new QB in Week 1, Wilson had seven receptions (nine targets) for 95 yards. The one consistent thing in his career is that he’s always open.

It’s understandable to allow Derrick Henry to run all over you, but Ravens’ No. 1 receiver Zay Flowers also had an amazing showing in Week 1 against the Bills.

Flowers caught seven passes for 134 yards. Wilson needs fewer than half those yards for this leg to cash.

Bills vs. Jets predictions made at 9:39 a.m. ET on 09/13/2025.

Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford odds and best bet: Back Canelo to win on points

Canelo vs. Crawford best bet

One of the biggest boxing bouts of the year takes place this Saturday when Terence Crawford challenges Canelo Alvarez.

The pre-fight narrative: Canelo is undoubtedly one of the greatest of all time, and he can add to his legacy this weekend by beating the undefeated Crawford. Easier said than done, though, as 41 boxers have tried and failed.

Check out my Canelo vs. Crawford best bet for the Sept. 13 fight in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Canelo vs. Crawford best bet

Click link to add selection to betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.

Betting marketsOdds
Canelo to win-175
Draw+1,400
Crawford to win+150
Over 10.5 rounds-450
Under 10.5 rounds+300

Boxing odds as of 3:12 p.m. on 09/10/2025.

Odds for the Canelo/Crawford fight

Best bet: Canelo to win by decision (+110)

Crawford has never been beaten before, but he’s also never fought Canelo, and there are a few distinct advantages on the side of the favourite.

  • This bout will be contested at 168 pounds, a weight more natural for Canelo. Crawford’s last two weigh-in results have been 153.4 pounds and 146.8 pounds. That could nullify his power advantage.
  • In a bout that is -305 to go the distance, Canelo should be the better-conditioned fighter. He’s won six straight 12-round fights by unanimous decision.

Since 2013, Canelo’s only loss has come to Dimitry Bivol at light heavyweight.

But since Crawford is clearly a top boxer in the world, I fully expect this fight to go the distance. At 35, Canelo doesn’t have the finishing power he once held, but he is still the best technical boxer in the world.

And it’s hard to see Crawford outpointing the champion over 12 rounds.

Key stat: This will be Crawford’s first career bout at 168 pounds, while Canelo is experienced at super middleweight with an 11-0 record (seven decisions).

Canelo vs. Crawford best bet made at 4:35 p.m. ET on 09/10/2025.

CFL Week 15 predictions, picks and betting odds: West-leading Roughriders go for third straight win

CFL Week 15 predictions

It’s officially crunch time as the CFL season reaches Week 15.

This week’s CFL narrative: The Saskatchewan Roughriders are far and away the best team in the CFL this season, and they visit the Montreal Alouettes. Before that, the Edmonton Elks and Toronto Argonauts play for the second time in less than a month.

Check out the latest CFL Week 15 predictions for the games beginning Friday, Sept. 12.

CFL Week 15 predictions

Best bet: Roughriders -7 (-110)

Without starting quarterback Davis Alexander, the Alouettes look like a different football team.

  • They are on a five-game losing streak, averaging just 13.6 points on offence.
  • That’s not a great look and gives the Al’s a low weekly ceiling.
  • Saskatchewan is riding a different wave, holding a 10-2 record.
  • The Roughriders have won six of their past seven games, covering this spread four times.

Nothing about that 10-2 record is lucky either. The Riders are the only team in the CFL to have a top-four scoring offence and defence.

Key stat: Saskatchewan records the fourth most points per game (27.7) while allowing the second fewest (21.5).

Full CFL betting markets

CFL Week 15 picks

Elks +3.5 (-110): Both of these teams are surging right now, but I still can’t trust Toronto’s defence.

  • The Argos allow the most points per game in the CFL (32.3). For reference, the BC Lions allow the second most at 29.8.
  • Toronto has given up 28 or more points in five straight games.

On the other side, the Elks have only given up 28 points once in the past five weeks, to the Calgary Stampeders.

Edmonton is 5-7 this season, but 4-1 over that five-game stretch.

The Elks also have a 28-20 win over the Argonauts at home during that time. This contest will be played in Toronto, but Edmonton is playing more complete football heading towards the playoffs.

CFL betting odds and matchups: Sept. 12

Blue Bombers (+225) vs. Tiger-Cats (-334)
Friday, Sept. 12, 2 p.m. CT

  • Winnipeg looks to get back on track after losing consecutive games to Saskatchewan. Things don’t get much easier against the East-leading Tiger-Cats. Hamilton scores 29.9 points per game, which ranks second in the CFL.

Redblacks (+360) vs. Lions (-480)
Friday, Sept. 12, 9 p.m. CT

  • The Redblacks and Lions have a lofty 56.5 point total for their matchup on Friday, and for good reason. The two teams met last week and combined for 77 points. The rematch will be played in BC with the Lions looking to avenge their one-point loss.

CFL Week 15 predictions as of 4:25 p.m. on 09/10/2025.