Contributing Writer

Rams vs. Falcons Week 17 MNF prop picks: Expect another strong showing from Kyle Pitts

The Los Angeles Rams and Atlanta Falcons headline Week 17 of the NFL season on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: The Rams are still chasing the Seattle Seahawks for the top spot in the NFC West and could help themselves out with a big win on Monday. The Atlanta Falcons are dealing with a plethora of injuries and are 7.5-point underdogs in this matchup.

Check out our top Rams vs. Falcons MNF prop picks, featuring Kyle Pitts and Kyren Williams.

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Rams vs. Falcons prop picks: Week 17

Best bet: Pitts over 4.5 receptions (-137)

Has Pitts finally arrived?

He’s certainly making noise for Atlanta. Look at his stats from the past four weeks:

39 targets
31 receptions
395 yards
4-0 against this line.

In fact, he had at least six receptions in all those games.

-> Bet on Kyle Pitts on Monday Night Football

Overall, that brings him to 854 yards for the season, his best season since his 1,000-yard campaign as a rookie.

Kirk Cousins taking over at quarterback after the injury to Michael Penix has helped his production. Cousins is more of a traditional pocket passer who loves to use his tight end.

Pitts has seen an average of 9.8 targets over his last four games. With that sort of volume, this line should be a cinch, especially with the Falcons projected to be playing from behind.

Key stat: The Rams have a below-average pass defence, giving up 221.3 passing yards per game.

Monday Night Football props

Williams to score a TD (-105): The Rams running back has lost some of his snap share to Blake Corum, but he’s still the guy near the end zone.

Williams ranks seventh in the NFL for red zone carries (47). He’s turned those carries into 10 touchdowns.

He has scored in six of eight games since Week 9.

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Even though he isn’t the bell cow he was in years past, he’s still getting RB1-type volume.

He has 1,100 rushing yards for the third straight season and averages a respectable 4.7 yards per carry.

Additionally, the Falcons concede the eighth-most rushing yards per game to running backs (128.2).

A big performance is expected for Williams.

Rams vs. Falcons prop picks made at 1:08 p.m. ET 12/28/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Dec. 28: Bet on Jaren Jackson Jr., LeBron James and Jalen Duren

I’ve got prop picks for three different games during the NBA Sunday slate.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: That includes two picks from the late games, featuring LeBron James against the Sacramento Kings. Before that, look for Jalen Duren to get back on track when the Detroit Pistons take on the Los Angeles Clippers.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Dec. 28, featuring a prediction on Jaren Jackson Jr.

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NBA prop picks Dec. 28

Best bet: Jackson Jr. over 20.5 points (-114)

This is a great matchup for big men, and Jackson has been red-hot lately.

Firstly, let’s look at the Washington Wizards. They allow the second most points to centres and the fifth most points to power forwards.

Jackson should spend his time playing both positions. That’ll give him every opportunity to cook.

-> See full props for Grizzlies vs. Wizards!

He’s gone over this total in five of the last six games, shooting 52.1% from the field and 51.9% from 3.

Overall, the Wizards are a terrible defensive team, ranking dead last in the NBA in defensive efficiency.

There’s room for multiple players on the Grizzlies to have good games, and Jackson is a huge focal point in their offensive game plan.

Key stat: When the Grizzlies played the Wizards on Dec. 20, Jackson had 22 points.

Best NBA picks

James over 22.5 points (-130): LeBron is rounding into form after missing the first portion of the season recovering from an injury.

He’s now played 13 games this season, but he’s done his best work in the last seven.

During that time, James is averaging 25.6 points.

He’s 5-2 against this line in those games.

-> Full betting markets for Sunday’s NBA slate

The Sacramento Kings are a bad defensive team, owning the fourth-worst defensive rating (120.4).

Plus, they play at a top-10 pace, meaning there should be plenty of volume to spread among the Lakers’ trio of stars.

NBA player prop predictions

Duren over 17.5 points (-118): Duren finished well below this mark last game, thanks to some foul trouble.

But he was still efficient in getting his 11 points, shooting 5-of-7 from the field. He also averaged 24.5 points in the two games before that.

Duren is having a true breakout season, averaging 18.3 points and 10.8 rebounds.

-> Bet on Jalen Duren in Pistons vs. Clippers on Sunday night!

That scoring number is up from 11.8 points last year.

On Sunday, he gets to go up against the 9-21 Clippers. They have struggled on defence and hold the sixth-worst defensive rating (119.7).

Starting centre Ivica Zubac is a great defender, but he’s out for this contest, leaving no valid options to guard Duren in the paint.

NBA prop picks made at 12:48 p.m. ET on Dec. 28, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Dec. 28: Bet on Jaren Jackson Jr., LeBron James and Jalen Duren

I’ve got prop picks for three different games during the NBA Sunday slate.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: That includes two picks from the late games, featuring LeBron James against the Sacramento Kings. Before that, look for Jalen Duren to get back on track when the Detroit Pistons take on the Los Angeles Clippers.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Dec. 28, featuring a prediction on Jaren Jackson Jr.

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NBA prop picks Dec. 28

Best bet: Jackson Jr. over 19.5 points (-114)

This is a great matchup for big men, and Jackson has been red-hot lately.

Firstly, let’s look at the Washington Wizards. They allow the second most points to centres and the fifth most points to power forwards.

Jackson should spend his time playing both positions. That’ll give him every opportunity to cook.

-> See full props for Grizzlies vs. Wizards!

He’s gone over this total in five of the last six games, shooting 52.1% from the field and 51.9% from 3.

Overall, the Wizards are a terrible defensive team, ranking dead last in the NBA in defensive efficiency.

There’s room for multiple players on the Grizzlies to have good games, and Jackson is a huge focal point in their offensive game plan.

Key stat: When the Grizzlies played the Wizards on Dec. 20, Jackson had 22 points.

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Best NBA picks

James over 22.5 points (-120): LeBron is rounding into form after missing the first portion of the season recovering from an injury.

He’s now played 13 games this season, but he’s done his best work in the last seven.

During that time, James is averaging 25.6 points.

He’s 5-2 against this line in those games.

-> Full betting markets for Sunday’s NBA slate

The Sacramento Kings are a bad defensive team, owning the fourth-worst defensive rating (120.4).

Plus, they play at a top-10 pace, meaning there should be plenty of volume to spread among the Lakers’ trio of stars.

NBA player prop predictions

Duren over 17.5 points (-117): Duren finished well below this mark last game, thanks to some foul trouble.

But he was still efficient in getting his 11 points, shooting 5-of-7 from the field. He also averaged 24.5 points in the two games before that.

Duren is having a true breakout season, averaging 18.3 points and 10.8 rebounds.

-> Bet on Jalen Duren in Pistons vs. Clippers on Sunday night!

That scoring number is up from 11.8 points last year.

On Sunday, he gets to go up against the 9-21 Clippers. They have struggled on defence and hold the sixth-worst defensive rating (119.7).

Starting centre Ivica Zubac is a great defender, but he’s out for this contest, leaving no valid options to guard Duren in the paint.

NBA prop picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on Dec. 28, 2025.

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Warriors vs. Raptors prop bets Dec. 28: Expect strong performances from Scottie Barnes and Brandon Ingram

The Golden State Warriors can extend their win streak to four against the Toronto Raptors at Scotiabank Arena.

The latest: The Raptors have lost seven of their last 10 games and need their best players to step up if they want to get back on track against the Warriors. Expect big efforts from Brandon Ingram and Scottie Barnes in this afternoon’s showdown.

Check out my Warriors vs. Raptors prop bets for Dec. 28, featuring predictions on Ingram and Barnes.

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Warriors vs. Raptors prop bets

Best bet: Barnes over 8.5 rebounds (-129)

A lot of this pick is based on fading the Warriors. They lack size in the paint, and that’s concerning.

Their tallest player is Quinten Post, but he plays a measly 18.8 minutes per night. Draymond Green ends up spending a lot of time at centre, and he’s 6-foot-6, a size more fit for a forward.

Barnes averages just under this total at 7.9 rebounds per game, but he always has the potential to smash this line.

-> Full Warriors vs. Raptors prop markets at NorthStar Bets

In 32 games this season, Barnes has 14 double-doubles.

He’s finished over this total in eight of the last 15 games.

I expect a big game from Barnes. He has the right matchup to haul in a lot of rebounds.

The Raptors’ star had a 29-point double-double last time they played the Warriors.

Key stat: Golden State gives up the seventh-most rebounds per game to power forwards (10.9).

Raptors picks and predictions

Ingram over 21.5 points (-127): The Raptors need to deliver a strong performance after a tough loss to the Washington Wizards.

That should mean a lot of shots for Ingram. He finished the last game with 29 points on 10-for-20 shooting. He only hit 1-of-7 3s, so there’s room for more production.

Ingram finished under this total in the two games before, but he’s still 6-2 against this over in the last eight, averaging 25.3 points.

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Even against Golden State’s defence, Ingram should be in for enough volume to get past this total.

He takes over 17 shots a night with just under five free throws.

This line is likely based on the Warriors’ great defence (second in defensive efficiency), but it’s still too low.

Warriors vs. Raptors prop bets made at 9:59 a.m. ET on Dec. 28, 2025.

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NFL Week 17 TD picks: Expect Saquon Barkley, Jaxon Smith-Njigba to find the end zone

Saquon Barkley looks to score in a fourth straight game when the Philadelphia Eagles take on the Buffalo Bills.

The pregame narrative: Earlier in the afternoon slate, bet on Jaxon Smith-Njigba to find the end zone as the Seattle Seahawks look to do their part in clinching the NFC West with a win over the Carolina Panthers.

Check out my top NFL Week 17 TD picks.

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NFL Week 17 TD picks

Best bet: Barkley to score (+100)

After getting washed-up allegations, Barkley has come alive in the latter part of the season:

Week 14: 132 rushing yards, one touchdown
Week 15: 78 rushing yards, one touchdown
Week 16: 122 rushing yards, one touchdown

He’s been performing when it matters most to help secure the Eagles a playoff spot.

And now he has a great matchup to find the end zone again.

-> Go to full Eagles vs. Bills prop markets

The Bills allow the fourth-most rushing yards per game (144.3). They’ve also conceded a league-high 18 touchdowns to running backs this season.

It’s no secret Philly will try its hand with the run game, given its personnel.

Barkley should see the rock whenever the Eagles make a trip to the red zone. He has 22 rushes inside 10 yards this season, but it’s only equated to three scores.

Chances are that changes, and Barkley is running hot right now.

Key stat: The Bills have the second-worst rush EPA in the NFL (0.080), per rbsdm.com

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NFL Week 17 touchdown bets

Smith-Njigba to score (+100): JSN is the WR1 heading into the final weeks of the NFL season.

104 receptions
10 TDs
1,637 yards

In last week’s thrilling win over the Los Angeles Rams, Smith-Njigba grabbed the game-winning touchdown in overtime. He’s now scored five TDs in the past five games.

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His 16 red zone targets also rank fourth in the NFL, showing his growing connection with Sam Darnold.

The Panthers provide a decent matchup, ranking right in the middle of the pack for yards allowed per game (209.6)

Even a decent matchup is too little to stop JSN. He has every right to exploit this defence for another big week.

NFL TD picks made at 12:20 p.m. ET on Dec. 24, 2025.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Christmas Day SGP predictions: Bet on Nikola Jokic to feast on the glass in +340 parlay

The fifth and final NBA Christmas Day game will be played between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets.

The pregame narrative: This is an exciting matchup between two of the best in the west. The Nuggets can improve to 3-0 in the season series with another win on Thursday.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for Christmas Day, featuring Nikola Jokic and Julius Randle.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets SGP

Parlay: Timberwolves +7.5 | Jokic over 11.5 rebounds | Randle over 20.5 points (+340)

Timberwolves +7.5 (-200): Despite not having much success in this matchup so far, I expect the Timberwolves to be competitive on Christmas.

Mostly because of how they’re playing. Minnesota is on a three-game heater, which includes beating the New York Knicks and Oklahoma City Thunder.

Overall, the T-Wolves are 8-2 in their last 10 games.

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Denver is no slouch, but it is at a gruelling part of its schedule.

Thursday’s game will be the Nuggets’ sixth in the past 10 days. They’ve also lost two of the last three games.

All the momentum in this matchup sides with the Timberwolves, and I think they continue the streak of solid outings in this contest with Denver.

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NBA SGP legs

Jokic over 11.5 rebounds (-137): The Nuggets and T-Wolves have played twice this season, giving us enough data to study.

And Jokic has been a beast on the glass in both games.

Oct. 27 @ Minnesota: 19 rebounds
Nov. 17 @ Minnesota: 12 rebounds

-> Back Nikola Jokic and Julius Randle on Christmas Day

The three-time MVP is always one of the best rebounders in the NBA, and the story is the same this season as he’s averaging 12.0 boards per game.

He also averages 19.6 rebound chances per game, so he can go off on any given night.

Rudy Gobert will spend most of his time in the paint, forcing Jokic to match that. In the post, he should dominate like usual and grab a boatload of rebounds.

Randle over 20.5 points (-167): The Nuggets are a well-oiled machine on offence, leading the NBA in many categories, including offensive rating (126.5).

But they leave something to be desired on defence. They rank in the bottom 10 for defensive rating (117.7).

That brings me to Randle, who’s been cooking as the second option behind Anthony Edwards.

He’s averaging 22.6 points on an efficient 48.2% from the field.

He’s scored 21+ points in seven of the past nine games.

On top of that, he’s had the Nuggets’ number this season. Randle has cashed this wager in both games against Denver, averaging 25.0 points.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets SGP made at 9:02 a.m. on Dec. 24, 2025.

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Texans vs. Chargers Week 17 SGP predictions: Take overs for Nico Collins, Justin Herbert

The Houston Texans and Los Angeles Chargers clash in the second game of the Saturday NFL doubleheader.

The pregame narrative: Both teams are in pursuit of the top spot in their respective divisions. This should be a gritty battle between two of the top defences in the NFL, with the winner putting pressure on their division leader.

Check out my Texans vs. Chargers SGP predictions, featuring Nico Collins and Justin Herbert.

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Texans vs. Chargers predictions

SGP: Under 47.5 | Collins over 61.5 receiving yards | Herbert 20+ rushing yards (+340)

Under 47.5 (-315): This has all the makings of a low-scoring contest between a couple of strong defensive units.

In that case, I will jack up the total and take the under for some negative correlation in this parlay, which ultimately raises the payout.

Let me start with the Texans. They concede the fewest points (16.6) and the fewest yards per game (293.8). It’s hard to argue against them being the best defence in the league.

Additionally, Houston is playing incredible football, winning seven straight games anchored by elite defensive play.

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The Chargers aren’t as good, but still very respectable on that side of the ball.

They allow the second-fewest yards per game (299.1), which leads to the eighth-fewest points (20.1).

That’s telling of how hard it will be for both teams to move the ball on Saturday. Expect an all-around shutdown effort.

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Other SGP picks

Collins over 61.5 receiving yards (-115): Collins went for 85+ yards in three straight games before finishing just shy of this total last week with 59.

Overall, that makes him 4-2 against this line over the past six weeks. He did have 55+ yards in both games he went under, which is nice to see.

He hasn’t quite been as explosive this season as he was in 2023, but still, he already has 1,000+ yards for the third straight year.

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The 26-year-old has not only developed into one of the best receivers in the NFL, but he’s also proving to be extremely consistent.

This is a tough matchup, as mentioned before, but I believe this line is set too low.

Collins has been targeted a career-high 116 times, and he averages 75.7 receiving yards per game.

Herbert 20+ rushing yards (-157): With the constant pressure provided by the Texans’ defence, Herbert should be uncomfortable in the pocket, leading to a lot of scrambling.

And that’s when he can find space and blast past this line.

Herbert is more known for his cannon of an arm, but he’s also quite fast and can rack up big yardage numbers when he has to.

He’s 10-5 against this wager this season, rushing for 30+ yards six times.

Houston has the seventh-best sack percentage in the NFL (8.0 %), so Herbert will need to use his legs to avoid pressure.

He then only needs one or two big runs to cash the over on this modest total.

Texans vs. Chargers predictions made at 9:14 a.m. on Dec. 24, 2025.

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EPL Matchday 18 picks and predictions: Bet on Everton to win, low-scoring Arsenal vs. Brighton game

The final English Premier League Matchday of 2025 includes a loaded Saturday slate with seven games.

The pregame narrative: Everton has lost back-to-back matches against two of the top teams in the Premier League. On Saturday, the Toffees have a great chance to bounce back against Burnley. Elsewhere, look for another defensive showcase from Arsenal against Brighton.

Check out my top EPL Matchday 18 predictions and best picks for the upcoming soccer fixtures.

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EPL Matchday 18 predictions

Best bet: Everton to win (+100)

Everton should come out energized after being competitive in last weekend’s 1-0 loss to league-leader Arsenal.

The side probably should’ve had a penalty to tie the game, but the refs shockingly decided against it.

THIS IS ONE OF THE MOST OBVIOUS PENALTY I HAVE EVER SEEN !!!!

EVERTON ARE GETTING ROBBED !

https://t.co/iRa0yzdLq7
— GoalAlert HQ ⚽️ 🥅 (@GoalAlertHQ) December 20, 2025

Everton should be motivated to get that result back, and it has a perfect spot to rebound immediately.

Its opponent, Burnley, is headed for relegation as the club is currently 19th on the EPL table.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on Brighton vs. Everton

Burnley has a 3-2-12 record this season, with a horrendous -15 goal differential.

Everton is a much more respectable 7-3-7. That’s good enough for 10th place in the EPL ahead of this fixture.

When the Toffees played the team just ahead of Burney (Nottingham Forest) earlier this month, they dominated, winning 3-0.

Key stat: Everton has a 4-1-1 record against teams in the bottom six of the Premier League standings.

-> See all betting odds for EPL Matchday 18

EPL picks: Brighton vs. Arsenal best bet

Under 2.5 goals (+123): Arsenal’s defence should be able to keep another clean sheet in this match, and that gives the under a ton of value at plus money.

The Gunners easily have the best defence in the EPL. They’ve conceded only 10 times in 17 matches with a whopping nine clean sheets.

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They aren’t an offensive powerhouse, either. Arsenal has scored 31 goals this season, while Manchester City has scored 41 goals.

Brighton is a good defensive side in its own right. The side has 23 goals against this season and has cashed this under in five of its past seven matches.

Earlier this season, Arsenal and Brighton met in the fourth round of the EFL Cup. The Gunners won that fixture 2-0.

That game stayed under this total, and the rematch on Saturday should follow the same game script.

EPL Matchday 18 predictions made at 1:30 p.m. on Dec. 22, 2025.

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Magic vs. Warriors SGP predictions Dec. 22: Bet on Jimmy Butler to continue hot streak

The Golden State Warriors are failing to meet expectations so far this season.

The pregame narrative: The Warriors are currently on the outside looking in on the Western Conference playoffs. They beat the Phoenix Suns last time out and can start to build a win streak against the Orlando Magic.

Check out my Magic vs. Warriors SGP predictions for Dec. 22, featuring Jimmy Butler and Anthony Black.

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Magic vs. Warriors predictions

Parlay: Warriors ML | Butler over 20.5 points | Black over 16.5 points (+360)

Warriors moneyline (-215): Golden State is a much better team playing at home.

The problem is, the team has been a victim of a road-heavy schedule.

In December, the Warriors have played just three home games. Overall, they are 8-4 at Chase Center this season, which looks better than their actual record of 14-15.

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Orlando is below .500 on the road (6-7) and is currently dealing with a loaded injury report.

Franz Wagner remains sidelined, while Jalen Suggs is doubtful to play while he recovers from a hip injury.

Missing two starters is going to be hard to overcome against the Warriors in Golden State.

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NBA SGP legs

Butler over 20.5 points (-118): This pick relies heavily on Butler’s volume, but he’s decided to be more aggressive recently, which is a good sign.

He’s taken 17 or more shots in back-to-back games while easily clearing this total twice and averaging 28.0 points.

Butler has been incredibly efficient this year. He shoots 51.5% from the field and over 40% from 3.

The issue is that he averages just over 12 shots a night. The Warriors need him to be more selfish if they want to make a playoff push.

He’s only taken more than 17 shots in one other game this season, so I have to assume the recent uptick is because of a focused effort to get Butler more involved.

For that reason, I see another high-scoring effort from the Warriors veteran on Monday.

-> Back Butler and Black on Monday night

Black over 16.5 points (-125): The young point guard should continue to see increased opportunity with Suggs doubtful to return for this contest.

Black starts in place of Suggs and averages 34.2 minutes per game as a starter. When playing 30+ minutes, he averages 16.1 points.

On top of that, the second-year pro is red hot right now, playing arguably the best basketball of his young career.

Black has scored 20 or more points in back-to-back games and in four of his last 10.

Finally, the Warriors struggle to guard his position. They allow the seventh most points per game to opposing point guards (26.94).

Magic vs. Warriors predictions made at 11:30 a.m. on Dec. 22, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Dec. 22: Fade Cunningham, back White and Queen on Monday

I’m tapping into three different NBA games for my best prop bets on Monday.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Derrick White has been torching teams from range, and I like the over on his 3-point prop against the Indiana Pacers. Later on, fade Cade Cunningham as a passer when the Detroit Pistons take on the Portland Trail Blazers.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Dec. 22, featuring New Orleans Pelicans’ rookie Derik Queen.

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NBA prop picks Dec. 22

Best bet: White over 3.5 threes (-130)

I’m surprised to see Whites’ 3-pointers set at 3.5 with how he’s been lighting it up recently.

The sharpshooting guard has a rare mix of high volume and elite efficiency. Look at some of his recent performances.

Dec. 20 @ Toronto: 15 points, 4-for-12 3PT

Dec. 19 vs. Miami: 33 points, 9-for-14 3PT

Dec. 15 vs. Detroit: 31 points, 5-for-12 3PT

The interesting part about all three of those teams is that they each rank inside the top 10 for defensive rating.

-> See full props for Pacers vs. Celtics!

That’s not the case with the Pacers, who have a bottom-half defence.

But it doesn’t matter all that much with how White lets it fly. For the season, he has taken 267 threes compared to only 169 two-point attempts.

He truly is one of a kind when it comes to his three-point volume and efficiency.

Key stat: Overall, White has hit 4+ threes in seven of his past eight games, while shooting 41.7% from deep.

Best NBA picks

Cunningham under 9.5 assists (-106): There’s no arguing that Cunningham is one of the best playmakers in the NBA.

But he hasn’t been reaching this total all that often.

Over his past 17 games, Cunningham is 4-13 on the over, averaging 8.4 assists per game.

That includes a game against the Blazers, where he played a full workload (36 minutes) and finished with nine assists.

He barely went under this total, but it feels like that is closer to his ceiling right now rather than his floor.

The star point guard puts up over 20 shots a night, so he often takes on more of a scoring role.

Of course, he can still put up double-digit assists on any given night, but I’m willing to side with his recent results and fade Cunningham against the Blazers.

-> F ull betting markets for Monday’s NBA slate

NBA player prop predictions

Queen over 12.5 points (-112): Queen is quietly making a case for Rookie of the Year.

He’s averaging 13.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists. However, as he gets more comfortable at the NBA level, he’s put together some monstrous performances.

Queen is 9-6 on this wager over his past 15 games, averaging 15.4 points on 54.5% shooting.

-> Bet on rookie sensation Derik Queen!

On Dec. 8, he recorded a 33-point triple-double, showcasing the high ceiling of his offensive abilities.

With players like Zion Williamson and Jordan Poole working their way back into the lineup, you’d assume Queen has lost his starting spot, but he remains an integral part of the lineup.

He’s 2-1 on this wager since Williamson returned to the rotation.

NBA prop picks made at 9 a.m. ET on Dec. 22, 2025.

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