Spencer Closs

Three under-the-radar players headline my NBA prop bets on Sunday.

The latest: Pascal Siakam is the biggest name of the bunch. He has an opportunity to fill the stat sheet against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Later on, Deni Avdija looks to improve on his impressive start to the season.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 26, featuring a pick on rookie Kon Knueppel.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Knueppel 3+ threes made (+160)

It looks like Brandon Miller is going to miss tonight’s contest after suffering a shoulder injury in the Charlotte Hornets’ last game.

His status is important for this wager because if he’s out, Knueppel will be the lead candidate to fill his minutes.

After Miller exited in the second quarter against the Philadelphia 76ers, the rookie wing went on to play 30 minutes and scored 14 points on 5-of-11 shooting.

Knueppel has hit three or more 3-pointers in both games to start the season. His deep range ability got him drafted fourth overall and gives him a solid floor as a scorer.

-> Bet on Kon Knueppel vs. the Wizards

Triples can add up quickly when half of a player’s shot attempts are from beyond the arc. It also helps that Knueppel is shooting 60% from deep to begin his career.

He has a nice matchup to score, too. The Washington Wizards allowed the second-most points per game in the NBA last season.

This is still a good pick with Miller in the lineup, but if he’s out, this is a smash play.

Key stat: Knueppel was the best shooter in the draft, hitting more than 40% of his 3s in college. He started his rookie season 6-for-10 from 3-point range.

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Best NBA picks

Avdija over 19.5 points (-118): Avdija has had a solid rise as an NBA player, but this looks like his true breakout season.

He’s played extremely well through two games, averaging 23.0 points while clearing this line both times.

Some would argue there’s regression to come, but I think this is the start of a very strong campaign. Here’s why:

• In the first game of the season, Avdija scored 20 points on 6-for-16 from the field (0-for-6 from 3). That is not a strong showing by any means, and he still got past this number.

• He went on to score 26 in his second game, going 11-for-18 from the field with four triples.

-> Back Avdija against the Clippers at NorthStar Bets

His usage rate (26.9%) ranks in the top 50 above players like Trae Young, Kawhi Leonard and Chet Holmgren.

The 24-year-old is shaping into a legit star, and the Portland Trail Blazers are treating him as such.

Through two games, the Los Angeles Clippers have the third-worst defensive rating.

Siakam over 11.5 rebounds/assists (-106): Siakam cleared this line on Saturday, even though he played only 25 minutes because of a blowout.

He’s now 2-0 on this wager, averaging 10.5 rebounds and 5.0 assists.

The good news about yesterday’s lopsided score is that Siakam and the Pacers’ starters will be more rested today than they would be for a typical back-to-back.

-> Bet on Pascal Siakam props

There is blowout potential here again with the Timberwolves being 12.5-point favourites at the time of writing.

But I’ve learned to buy in on the good lines without thinking too much about the outcome of the game, and there’s a ton of value here.

Siakam could clear this number with rebounds alone, but he’s been tasked with more playmaking duties with Tyrese Haliburton out for the season.

NBA prop picks made at 1:03 p.m. ET on 10/26/2025.

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The Toronto Raptors get their first look at Cooper Flagg and the Dallas Mavericks.

The latest: The No. 1 overall draft pick hasn’t had the best start to his career, but his production and efficiency should continue to get better with every game. For Toronto, take the value on Scottie Barnes’ assists prop.

Check out these Raptors vs. Mavericks picks for the season opener on Oct. 26 in Dallas.

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Raptors vs. Mavericks picks

Best bet: Barnes over 4.5 assists (-134)

This feels like Barnes’ floor as a playmaker.

• The power forward has averaged 5.8 assists or better for three straight seasons.

• Barnes averaged 6.0 assists on 9.0 potential assists through the first two games.

So why are we getting such good value?

Well, there seems to be recency bias involved in this line, as Barnes fell under this mark in his recent matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks with three assists.

But one poor performance doesn’t sway me from a number that’s well below Barnes’ 2024-25 assist average (6.0).

-> Bet on Scottie Barnes props at NorthStar Bets

The Mavericks are allowing 25.5 assists per game in the early going, and I think it’s fair to assume Barnes can record a handful of those.

Only Immanuel Quickley has more potential assists through two games.

Barnes has the potential to stuff the statsheet on Sunday, and it starts with his ability to find open teammates.

Dallas is 0-2 in the early goings, struggling to find chemistry. The squad is coming off a 117-111 loss to the Washington Wizards.

Key stat: Barnes averaged 8.5 assists in two meetings with the Mavs last season.

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Flagg prop bet

Flagg over 27.5 points/rebounds/assists (-109): Flagg has cleared this mark in one of two NBA games to start his career.

He struggled in his first game, recording 10 points on 4-of-13 shooting to go along with 10 rebounds.

Flagg bounced back nicely in his second contest, scoring 18 points while adding five rebounds and six assists (29 PRA).

That second game is what I expect to be his floor moving forward.

-> Bet on rookie sensation Cooper Flagg!

At 6-foot-9, he can do it all. He averaged 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists in his one College season with Duke.

Flagg will continue to get every opportunity to succeed, as he is averaging 33 minutes of playing time a night so far.

If this game stays close, the rookie has a great chance to get past this number just on volume alone. If he plays well and has a breakout performance of sorts, he would breeze past this modest line.

Raptors vs. Mavericks picks made at 10:16 a.m. ET on 10/26/2025.

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It’s the second night of the NBA season and I have prop bets to share from three different games.

The latest: With all the changes in Phoenix, Devin Booker will be expected to carry a huge load of the offence on his shoulders this season. Before that, look for Nikola Vucevic to be productive in the paint against the Detroit Pistons.

Check out the best NBA prop bets for Oct. 22, featuring picks on Booker, Vucevic and Brice Sensabaugh.

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NBA prop bets

Best bet: Booker over 36.5 points/assists (-120)

Booker is the last remaining member of the Phoenix Suns’ big three that underachieved in its time together.

With Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal out of the picture, Booker is the only true facilitator in the offence.

• Last year, the guard averaged a career-high 7.1 assists per game.

• He averaged his fewest field goal attempts per game (18.9) since the 2019-20 season, but Durant and Beal took over 31 shots per game combined.

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Booker will be tasked with taking on some of that volume, as Phoenix didn’t bring in any big-name replacements (depending on what you think of Jalen Green).

In games without KD last season, Booker averaged 20.6 shot attempts. That’s more indicative of how this season will go.

Booker should have a sky-high usage rate and should be productive against a below-average Sacramento Kings defence that allowed 115.3 points per game last year.

Key stat: The Suns’ superstar averaged 36.4 points/assists over the final six games last season.

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Best NBA picks

Vucevic to record a double-double (-132): Vucevic has averaged a double-double for seven straight NBA seasons. That’s a good place to start.

But a lot of this pick has to do with the matchup. Detroit has a traditional centre in Jalen Duren, who spends all his time around the basket.

That should force Vucevic to play in the paint, which is where rebound chances will be available.

-> Bet on Nikola Vucevic player props

In four games against Duren and the Pistons last season, Vuecivic recorded three double-doubles. In the outlier, he only played 25 minutes because it was a 40-point blowout.

Across the three other games, Vucevic averaged 23.3 points and 12.3 rebounds. If he commands a full workload on Wednesday, he should stuff the stat sheet.

Sensabaugh over 12.5 points (-112): One thing I look for when scouring opening night props is a player who I think will take on a larger offensive role in the new season. Sensabaugh fits the bill.

The 21-year-old was extremely efficient last season, averaging 10.9 points on 45.9/42.2/89.0 shooting splits.

He also saw his role increase as the season went on. Over his final 27 games with the Jazz, he upped that scoring average to 14.1 PPG with even better shooting percentages.

-> Bet on Wednesday’s 12-game NBA slate

Sensabaugh attempted 10+ shots 10 times in his first 44 games. He closed the year with 10+ shots in 17 of the final 27 games.

He probably won’t be in the starting lineup tonight, but he will be the first man off the bench, and he can earn more playing time quickly if he starts this season the way he ended the last.

Even if Sensabaugh isn’t out there for 30+ minutes, his 3-point volume and efficiency are good enough to cash this wager in limited time.

In 2024-25, more than half of Sensabaugh’s shot attempts were from beyond the arc.

NBA prop picks made at 1:56 p.m. ET on 10/22/2025.

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