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NFL Week 16 Beat the Spread predictions: ATS picks for the 16-game slate

We’re at the point in the NFL calendar where some teams are evaluating backups and looking ahead to the offseason, while others are competing for postseason berths and division titles.

The Week 16 narrative: Either way, there are plenty of storylines from the 16-game slate. Among the most important games is Sunday’s matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Detroit Lions, as both teams are walking the tightrope of playoff eligibility.

Check out our staff’s NFL Week 16 ATS picks for predictions on every game.

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NFL Week 16 ATS picks

NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs, Chris Toman and Steven Psihogios offer up their NFL Week 16 ATS picks for all 16 games.

NFL odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, Dec. 18, 2025.

Thursday Night Football pick

Rams vs. Seahawks (Thursday, Dec. 18: 8:15 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Seattle -1.5
Horrobin says: It’d be easy to make a case for either team in this marquee matchup, as they both enter with identically glistening records (11-3 SU, 10-4 ATS). I’m going with the Seahawks, who somehow only lost by two vs. L.A. last month despite Sam Darnold’s quartet of interceptions. Davante Adams is very likely out, and the Rams lost as 10.5-point road favourites when they last played outdoors (at Carolina).

Staff picks: Perri (SEA) | Horrobin (SEA) | Closs (SEA) | Toman (LAR) | Psihogios (SEA)

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NFL ATS picks: The Saturday slate

Eagles vs. Commanders (Saturday, Dec. 20: 5:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Philadelphia -6.5
Perri says: It’s win-and-in for the reigning Super Bowl champion Eagles, who are coming off a 31-0 thrashing of the Raiders. That’s the type of performance which should get the ball rolling. Since Philly’s Week 9 bye, the defence has allowed 14.3 PPG while ranking third in EPA per play. Marcus Mariota should be in big trouble with his blindside tackle, Laremy Tunsil, sidelined.

Staff picks: Perri (PHI) | Horrobin (PHI) | Closs (WSH) | Toman (PHI) | Psihogios (WSH)

Packers vs. Bears (Saturday, Dec. 20th: 8:20 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -1
Horrobin says: The Packers earned a one-score win at home two weeks ago against the Bears, and I think Chicago is in a great position to return the favour. Micah Parsons is done for the year, while neither Green Bay’s top offensive lineman (Zach Tom) nor its top defensive back (Evan Williams) appears likely to play after exiting last week. Chicago is 5-0 with a +64 point differential in its past five home games.

Staff picks: Perri (CHI) | Horrobin (CHI) | Closs (CHI) | Toman (CHI) | Psihogios (CHI)

NFL ATS picks: The early Sunday slate

Chargers vs. Cowboys (Sunday, Dec. 21: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Dallas -2.5
Perri says: I still think the Cowboys are a good team, even though they won’t be in the dance come January. Few teams can hold a candle to the Dak Prescott-led offence, and that includes the Chargers. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens have unlocked another gear in the QB, and Justin Herbet hasn’t looked great playing through an injury with a 4:4 TD-to-INT ratio in the last four weeks.

Staff picks: Perri (DAL) | Horrobin (LAC) | Closs (LAC) | Toman (LAC) | Psihogios (DAL)

Vikings vs. Giants (Sunday, Dec. 21: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Minnesota -3
Toman says: The Giants are coming off an eight-point loss to the Commanders, whom the Vikings blanked 31-0 in Week 14. Last week, Minnesota all but eliminated the Cowboys from postseason contention. Recent form isn’t everything, but it matters. And New York has dropped seven straight games by more than three points.

Staff picks: Perri (MIN) | Horrobin (MIN) | Closs (NYG) | Toman (MIN) | Psihogios (MIN)

Bengals vs. Dolphins (Sunday, Dec. 21: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Cincinnati -4.5
Horrobin says: The Dolphins are handing the keys over to seventh-round rookie Quinn Ewers as they slink their way to another failed season. Cincinnati is out of the race, too, but Joe Burrow will remain under centre and should bounce back from a home shutout vs. Baltimore. Prior to last week’s dud, the Bengals had averaged 30.1 PPG over a seven-game span.

Staff picks: Perri (CIN) | Horrobin (CIN) | Closs (MIA) | Toman (CIN) | Psihogios (MIA)

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Buccaneers vs. Panthers (Sunday, Dec. 21: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Tampa Bay -3
Horrobin says: The Buccaneers are slumping hard, and I don’t have it in me to back them on the road against one of the most dangerous underdogs in the NFL. Carolina is 6-5 SU as an underdog this season, pulling off one of the biggest upsets of the year when it last played at home (beating the Rams as a 10.5-point underdog). Tampa is 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS since Week 10.

Staff picks: Perri (CAR) | Horrobin (CAR) | Closs (CAR) | Toman (TB) | Psihogios (TB)

Jets vs. Saints (Sunday, Dec. 21: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: New Orleans -4.5
Perri says: I’m riding the Tyler Shough hype train. The second-round rookie has led the Saints to consecutive underdog wins over divisional opponents and is now favoured for the first time in his career. That makes sense, considering the Jets are starting undrafted rookie Brady Cook and their defence is allowing 29.3 PPG since trading away Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams.

Staff picks: Perri (NO) | Horrobin (NO) | Closs (NO) | Toman (NYJ) | Psihogios (NO)

Bills vs. Browns (Sunday, Dec. 21: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -10.5
Perri says: I can’t get behind backing Cleveland in any capacity. This is a big number for a team with road struggles, but the Bills have reigning MVP Josh Allen under centre, and the Browns have Shedeur Sanders. On top of that, the Browns’ defence has regressed heavily outside of Myles Garrett. I expect Buffalo to put up at least 25, and I can’t imagine Cleveland keeping up with that number.

Staff picks: Perri (BUF) | Horrobin (CLE) | Closs (BUF) | Toman (BUF) | Psihogios (BUF)

Chiefs vs. Titans (Sunday, Dec. 21: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -3
Horrobin says: I know the Titans are awful, but it’s somewhat remarkable that the Chiefs continue to lay points… on the road and without Patrick Mahomes, no less. KC is on a six-game ATS losing streak, and it has five outright losses as a favourite in that span. Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its past six, covering with one-score home losses against the Chargers, Texans and Seahawks in that span.

Staff picks: Perri (TEN) | Horrobin (TEN) | Closs (KC) | Toman (KC) | Psihogios (TEN)

NFL 4 p.m. slate

Falcons vs. Cardinals (Sunday, Dec. 21: 4:05 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Atlanta -2.5
Toman says: There’s maybe only a handful of teams — if that — that I wouldn’t take to beat the Cardinals by a field goal. Arizona is getting throttled on a weekly basis, losing six straight, four of them by 19-plus points. Atlanta has its own problems, but Kirk Cousins is coming off a monster game and has two legit playmakers (Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts) to lean on.

Staff picks: Perri (ATL) | Horrobin (ATL) | Closs (ARI) | Toman (ATL) | Psihogios (ATL)

Jaguars vs. Broncos (Sunday, Dec. 21: 4:05 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Denver -3
Horrobin says: Denver is the only remaining unbeaten team at home, going 7-0 with a +9.7 average victory margin. The Broncos battled back as home dogs to beat the Packers last week, and now they welcome a Jags squad that has beaten up on lesser competition recently. Jacksonville is 3-3 SU (3-3 ATS) against teams currently inside the playoff picture and is 7-1 SU (6-1-1 ATS) against the rest.

Staff picks: Perri (JAX) | Horrobin (DEN) | Closs (DEN) | Toman (JAX) | Psihogios (JAX)

Raiders vs. Texans (Sunday, Dec. 21: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Houston -14
Perri says: Houston was already a Super Bowl contender thanks to its top-five defence, and now looks like one of the favourites with C.J. Stroud and the offence finding its form. The Texans are on a six-game heater, beating some really solid teams (Chiefs, Bills, Jaguars). Now, they get to play the league’s worst scoring offence with Kenny Pickett under centre. This should be a blowout.

Staff picks: Perri (HOU) | Horrobin (HOU) | Closs (LV) | Toman (HOU) | Psihogios (HOU)

Steelers vs. Lions (Sunday, Dec. 21: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Detroit -7
Perri says: Aaron Rodgers has supplied Lions fans with enough misery for one lifetime, and can twist the knife yet again. I’m confident Pittsburgh’s offence can score enough to cover against an injured Detroit defence, allowing an average 32.3 PPG in its last four. On the other side, the return of Derrick Harmon should solidify Pittsburgh’s run-stopping defence. The Steelers are allowing just 96.0 rushing yards/game when the game-changing rookie is in the lineup.

Staff picks: Perri (PIT) | Horrobin (PIT) | Closs (DET) | Toman (DET) | Psihogios (DET)

Sunday and Monday Night NFL Week 16 ATS picks

Patriots vs. Ravens (Sunday, Dec. 21: 8:20 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Baltimore -3
Horrobin says: Blowing a 21-point lead last week wasn’t great, but I’m still impressed overall with what the Patriots have been up to. They’d won 10 in a row before that, including road underdog victories in Tampa Bay and Buffalo. I’ll happily bank a field goal with the Pats against a Baltimore squad that is just 3-5 at home with a -28 point differential.

Staff picks: Perri (NE) | Horrobin (NE) | Closs (NE) | Toman (NE) | Psihogios (NE)

49ers vs. Colts (Monday, Dec. 22: 8:15 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: San Francisco -6
Perri says: Philip Rivers starting in 2025 is a good story, but is it good for the Colts? I don’t think so. The 44-year-old looked his age last week against the Seahawks, lacking mobility and zip on his throws. San Fran’s offence is rounding into form, averaging 31.0 PPG during the team’s four-game winning streak. I expect that unit to torch.

Staff picks: Perri (SF) | Horrobin (SF) | Closs (IND) | Toman (SF) | Psihogios (SF)

NFL ATS picks: Week 15 + season records

Toman: 7-8-1 (107-110-7)
Closs: 6-9-1 (106-111-7)
Psihogios: 6-9-1 (106-111-7)
Perri: 5-10-1 (99-118-7)
Horrobin: 6-9-1 (98-119-7)

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NFL Week 16 staff best bets: Back 49ers on Monday Night Football, fade Gibbs vs. Steelers

These NFL Week 16 best bets feature one ATS pick, a moneyline pick and two player props.

The Week 16 narrative: Philip Rivers and the Indianapolis Colts desperately need a win over the San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football. There is value in fading the veteran QB, though, and the same can be said for Jahmyr Gibbs’ rushing total.

Check out our NFL Week 16 staff best bets for our favourite picks this weekend, featuring a prop bet on New York Jets receiver Adonai Mitchell.

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NFL Week 16 best bets

These NFL Week 16 best bets were provided by NorthStar Bets writers Avery Perri and Jordan Horrobin.

49ers -6 (-110): Rivers didn’t just join the Colts to extend his NFL health insurance plan for another five years.

Nope, it appears the 44-year-old signal caller will be in it for the long haul (aka, however many games remain in Indy’s season). Rivers has been named the starter in Week 16, and that should be bad news for the Colts.

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I don’t care that Rivers covered and nearly won against the Seahawks; he could barely put any zip on the ball and was a sitting duck for most of the game.

San Francisco’s biggest weakness is its pass defence, but the secondary should have better success against the old-timer.

And the Niners’ offence is rounding into peak form, scoring 31.0 PPG during the team’s four-game winning streak.

I can’t imagine a world where Rivers keeps up with that.

-Perri

Packers vs. Bears moneyline pick

Bears moneyline (+106): Chicago will be missing a pair of receivers on Sunday (Rome Odunze, Luther Burden). But that pales in comparison to the recent losses on Green Bay’s side.

The Packers’ superstar edge rusher, Micah Parsons, is done for the year with a knee injury. Meanwhile, neither the team’s best offensive lineman (Zach Tom) nor its best defensive back (Evan Williams) had returned to practice as of Wednesday, meaning both are at great risk of sitting out on a short week.

Then there’s Christian Watson (chest), who is hopeful to play for the Packers after exiting last week and taking a quick trip to the hospital. If he’s out, the visitors will be severely shorthanded in terms of offensive weapons.

Green Bay did escape with a one-score win at Lambeau when these teams played two weeks ago. But Chicago has what it takes to return the favour at Soldier Field.

The Bears are 5-0 with a +64 point differential in their past five home games. They’re also 5-3 SU as underdogs this season.

-Horrobin

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NFL Week 16 prop bets

Mitchell over 40.5 receiving yards (-115): Brady Cook made his first start for the New York Jets last week, and the rookie locked in on Mitchell has his favourite target.

Mitchell, who came to the Jets via trade from the Colts, finished with team-highs in targets (10), receptions (seven) and yards (69).

He also caught Cook’s first NFL touchdown pass and delivered the ball to his teammate.

I won’t read too much into the potential chemistry between Cook and Mitchell based on one game. But Mitchell’s overall usage over the past five games is compelling:

6+ targets every game
8.2 targets/game
49.4 yards/game
3-2 vs. this prop

Mitchell is largely a boom-or-bust receiver, ranking in the 93rd percentile for average depth of target and the sixth percentile in catch rate, according to RotoWire.

With the target share he’s seeing right now, I think he can convert enough of those chances into the necessary yards to cash this prop.

Gibbs under 72.5 rushing yards (-110): Gibbs is one of the most electric playmakers in football. But there are plenty of good reasons to fade him on a line this high.

First off, he just hasn’t been that productive lately:

The third-year back has gone under this mark in four of his last five games and nine of 14 on the season.

He’s averaging just 49.6 rushing yards in his last three games at 3.3 yards per carry.

But more importantly, Steelers rookie Derrick Harmon is expected to return to the defensive line. The No. 21 pick out of Oregon has been a game-changer in Pittsburgh’s run defence.

The Steelers’ defence is allowing 96.0 rushing yards per game with Harmon in the lineup (nine games) and 165.6 rushing yards per game without him (five games).

If Gibbs is going to do damage on Sunday, expect it to be as a pass-catcher and not between the tackles.

-Perri

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NBA Injury Report, powered by RotoWire

Keeping up with the latest NBA Injury news is essential for making smart, informed bets. That’s why we’re excited to provide you with this NBA Injury Report, powered by industry leader RotoWire.

Known for their expertise and up-to-the-minute reporting, RotoWire brings exclusive insights on injuries, roster changes, and game-time decisions.

Bookmark this page to track your favourite players or fine-tune your NBA bets with real-time updates at your fingertips.

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Our live feed provides real-time NBA updates on player injuries, game-day status changes, and roster adjustments that could impact your strategy.

Whether it’s a last-minute injury or a key player’s unexpected game-day status, having up-to-date information is crucial for maximizing your bets.

Our comprehensive NBA injury report feed is designed for sports bettors seeking a competitive advantage.

Access the latest insights on top players with questionable status. Track injury status, and recovery timelines for the game’s biggest stars and impact players. Get insights into how each injury could shift the odds or alter game projections.

Bookmark NBA Injury Report

So bookmark this page for all the latest NBA injury news. With constant updates, our feed ensures you’ll never miss essential player news that can impact spreads, props, over/unders, and money lines.

Make informed choices with our up-to-the-minute NBA injury feed and gain access to the knowledge you need for smart, data-driven betting decisions. Don’t let surprise injuries catch you off guard; stay updated and keep your bets on the winning track by consulting our NBA injury report.

Our feed puts essential information right where you need it — saving you time and boosting your confidence in each pick. It’s all part of NorthStar Bets’ commitment to making Sports Insights an invaluable daily resource for sports bettors.

Get ahead with insights that matter most to NBA sports bettors.

Now that’s a win!

Stanley Cup odds and 2026 NHL betting favourites: Avalanche favoured, Oilers have top odds among Canadian teams

The Colorado Avalanche have the shortest odds to win the Stanley Cup midway through December.

The latest: Colorado, which only lost twice in regulation over the first two months, has been powered by NHL-leading scorer Nathan MacKinnon and Norris Trophy favourite Cale Makar. Fellow Team Canada star Connor McDavid’s Edmonton Oilers are struggling after back-to-back Cup appearances, but they have the best odds to win among the seven Canadian clubs.

Check out the latest 2025-26 Stanley Cup odds below.

Stanley Cup odds

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NFL MVP odds and betting favourites: Stafford is odds-on favourite after bounce-back performance, Drake Maye now runner up

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford is the MVP frontrunner once again.

The latest: Stafford (-177) holds a lead over New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (+200), after throwing for three touchdowns and reclaiming the NFC’s top seed in Week 14. Maye’s Patriots also lead their respective conference. The sophomore sits top three in passing yards, passing touchdowns and QBR.

Check out the latest NFL MVP odds for the 2025 season below.

NFL MVP odds

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NBA Finals odds and 2026 betting favourites: Thunder heavy favourites to repeat, Pistons make up ground in a wide-open East

The Oklahoma City Thunder are heavy favourites to win the NBA Finals after getting off to a 24-1 start.

The latest: Just six months after the Thunder won their first championship in franchise history, they seem poised to repeat. As of Dec. 12, 2025, they’re a +100 favourite to go back-to-back. This hot start shouldn’t come as a surprise. OKC finished last year with an NBA-best 68-14 record.

The Detroit Pistons top a wide-open Eastern Conference, and have gotten stellar play from emerging stars Jalen Duren and Cade Cunningham. Two dark horses — the Toronto Raptors and Miami Heat — are in the mix, while the Cleveland Cavaliers remain the conference favourite despite an underwhelming start.

Check out the latest NBA Finals odds for the 2025-26 season.

NBA Finals odds

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NFL Week 15 Beat the Spread predictions: ATS picks for the 16-game slate

Bye weeks, be gone. We’re back to a full slate of NFL action for the remaining weeks of the 2025 season.

The Week 15 narrative: Lopsided matchups are plentiful this weekend, with six of 13 favourites on Sunday afternoon laying 7.5 points or more. That includes both the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers, who are wrestling for position in the crowded NFC West.

Check out our staff’s NFL Week 15 ATS picks for predictions on every game.

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NFL Week 15 ATS picks

NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs, Chris Toman and Steven Psihogios offer up their NFL Week 15 ATS picks for all 16 games.

NFL odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, Dec. 11, 2025.

Thursday Night Football pick

Falcons vs. Buccaneers (Thursday, Dec. 11: 8:20 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Tampa Bay -4.5
Horrobin says: Neither of these teams is riding high into Week 15, but I’m hoping the expectant return of Mike Evans can provide the home team with some juice. The Falcons are 1-7 straight up (2-5-1 ATS) in their past eight games, and they lost at home to the Bucs in the season opener. Given that Tampa is set to play its third straight home game, it should be the more rested team.

Staff picks: Perri (TB) | Horrobin (TB) | Closs (TB) | Toman (TB) | Psihogios (ATL)

-> Place your bets on the Week 15 slate

NFL ATS picks: The early Sunday slate

Cardinals vs. Texans (Sunday, Dec. 14: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Houston -9.5
Toman says: Houston’s elite defence held the Chiefs to 10 points in Week 14, covering this number to win its fifth game in a row. Since beginning the season 0-3, the Texans are 8-2 straight up, which includes several games without starting QB CJ Stroud. This is a big number, but the dreadful Cardinals have lost by 19-plus points three times in their last five. They have one victory since Week 2.

Staff picks: Perri (HOU) | Horrobin (HOU) | Closs (HOU) | Toman (HOU) | Psihogios (ARI)

Ravens vs. Bengals (Sunday, Dec. 14: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Baltimore -2.5
Perri says: Cincinnati has won seven of its last eight games where Burrow has played start to finish. The outlier was last week’s 39-34 loss in Buffalo, where the Bengals squandered a 10-point fourth-quarter lead. I fully believe Burrow can out-duel Lamar Jackson at home. Jackson is clearly playing hurt and has a 55.6 completion percentage with three total TDs and six turnovers since Nov. 1.

Staff picks: Perri (CIN) | Horrobin (CIN) | Closs (BAL) | Toman (BAL) | Psihogios (BAL)

Bills vs. Patriots (Sunday, Dec. 14: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -1
Closs says: The Bills have been inconsistent this season, even with a weak schedule. Buffalo has nine wins, but six have come against teams currently below .500, and the team is 3-3 on the road. New England has the best record in the NFL (11-2) and is currently on a 10-game heater. When these two met earlier this season in Buffalo, the Pats handed the Bills their only home loss of the season. I believe they can replicate that performance, especially at Gillette Stadium.

Staff picks: Perri (BUF) | Horrobin (NE) | Closs (NE) | Toman (BUF) | Psihogios (BUF)

Browns vs. Bears (Sunday, Dec. 14: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Chicago -7.5
Toman says: I don’t love this number, but I don’t have much confidence in the Browns’ ability to score. The Bears are 9-4, though not many of those victories have been in blowout fashion. They are due. At home vs. a Browns team coming off a straight-up loss to the Titans, this is about as comfortable a spot as you can find.

Staff picks: Perri (CLE) | Horrobin (CLE) | Closs (CHI) | Toman (CHI) | Psihogios (CLE)

Chargers vs. Chiefs (Sunday, Dec. 14: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -5.5
Horrobin says: It feels like Kansas City has been playing must-win games for weeks, and the team has consistently come up empty. The Chiefs are on a five-game losing skid, dropping four of those games outright as favourites. The Chargers are on a short week, but this is a hearty sum of points to back a team that beat KC on a neutral field (as a 3-point underdog) in Week 1.

Staff picks: Perri (KC) | Horrobin (LAC) | Closs (KC) | Toman (LAC) | Psihogios (LAC)

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Raiders vs. Eagles (Sunday, Dec. 14: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Philadelphia -11
Closs says: Both Geno Smith (doubtful) and Max Crosby (questionable) could miss this game, immediately giving the Eagles a huge edge. Crosby is one of the elite defensive ends in the NFL, and backup quarterback Kenny Pickett has yet to make a start this season. The Raiders have lost seven straight games with a pitiful 1-5 record on the road. The Eagles have lost three straight against teams in the playoff hunt. Las Vegas is already looking ahead to the draft, so this is the perfect opponent for Philly to get back on track.

Staff picks: Perri (LV) | Horrobin (PHI) | Closs (PHI) | Toman (LV) | Psihogios (LV)

Jets vs. Jaguars (Sunday, Dec. 14: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Jacksonville -13
Toman says: Before last week’s 24-point loss to the Dolphins, the Jets had gone 8-0-2 against this number over their last 10. They don’t win much, but they’ve hung around many games and been solid against the spread (7-5-1). The Jaguars are cooking, taking advantage of an extremely favourable run of games since their Week 8 bye. But they haven’t been more than a 6-point favourite all season, and I’m not comfortable taking them to win by a pair of TDs.

Staff picks: Perri (JAX) | Horrobin (NYJ) | Closs (NYJ) | Toman (NYJ) | Psihogios (NYJ)

Commanders vs. Giants (Sunday, Dec. 14: 1:00 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: New York -2.5
Horrobin says: When two awful teams square off, I typically bank points with the underdog. But after the Commanders got shut out in Minnesota last week, I can’t put my faith in Marcus Mariota and Co. The Giants are at least showing some fight, with one-score losses against the Lions, Packers and Bears over the past four weeks. Washington has only covered a +2.5 spread once in its past seven games.

Staff picks: Perri (NYG) | Horrobin (NYG) | Closs (NYG) | Toman (NYG) | Psihogios (NYG)

NFL 4 p.m. slate

Panthers vs. Saints (Sunday, Dec. 14: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Carolina -2.5
Closs says: I’m siding with the underdog in this divisional matchup. Tyler Shough is keeping the Saints in games, and he already led his team to a win over the Panthers in Week 10. What stands out from that game, however, was the Saints holding the Panthers to seven points. Since that contest, New Orleans has allowed 18.0 PPG, so I expect its defence to be the difference again. The Saints are 2-2 over their last four games.

Staff picks: Perri (NO) | Horrobin (NO) | Closs (NO) | Toman (CAR) | Psihogios (CAR)

Lions vs. Rams (Sunday, Dec. 14: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -5.5
Perri says: Detroit is one of the few teams that can keep up with L.A.’s high-flying offence. The Lions are averaging 30.3 PPG, the most in the NFL, and are coming off a 44-point outburst on TNF in Week 14. That extra rest, combined with SoFi Stadium’s propensity to be overrun by visiting fans, should mitigate Detroit’s road disadvantage. Dan Campbell’s squad is 2-0 against the Rams in the last two years.

Staff picks: Perri (DET) | Horrobin (LAR) | Closs (DET) | Toman (DET) | Psihogios (DET)

Packers vs. Broncos (Sunday, Dec. 14: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -2
Horrobin says: It’s tough to bet against Denver as an underdog amid a 10-game win streak. But I’m doing it anyway. Green Bay never trailed last week against the Bears en route to taking the top spot in the NFC North, and the Packers have won their past four road games by a combined 28 points. Denver is 3-5-0 ATS in its past eight games and has a worse point differential than Green Bay.

Staff picks: Perri (GB) | Horrobin (GB) | Closs (GB) | Toman (DEN) | Psihogios (DEN)

Colts vs. Seahawks (Sunday, Dec. 14: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Seattle -14
Horrobin says: Somehow, 44-year-old Philip Rivers — who hasn’t thrown an NFL pass since 2020 — appears lined up to start for the Colts this weekend. Crazier things have happened, I guess, but it’s impossible for me to see that going well. The Seahawks have the NFL’s best point differential (+161) and ATS record (10-3-0), and they’ve covered a -14 spread in four of their past six games.

Staff picks: Perri (SEA) | Horrobin (SEA) | Closs (SEA) | Toman (SEA) | Psihogios (SEA)

Titans vs. 49ers (Sunday, Dec. 14: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: San Francisco -13
Perri says: The Titans got their win last week, and now travel west to take on the Niners coming off a bye. I think this will get very ugly. Tennessee had lost seven straight before beating Cleveland with a -90 point differential. San Fran’s offence, meanwhile, is rounding into form with Brock Purdy back at the helm. Christian McCaffrey should carve up the league’s 27th-ranked defence by EPA per play.

Staff picks: Perri (SF) | Horrobin (SF) | Closs (TEN) | Toman (SF) | Psihogios (SF)

Sunday and Monday Night NFL Week 15 ATS picks

Vikings vs. Cowboys (Sunday, Dec. 14: 8:15 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Dallas -6
Perri says: I’m bullish on Dallas winning this game by multiple scores. The Cowboys are 3-1 since their bye week, toppling the reigning AFC and NFC champions. They just lost 44-30 to the Lions in Detroit, but the Vikings aren’t anywhere near their divisional rivals in terms of talent. J.J. McCarthy’s overall numbers are still horrendous, and he shouldn’t be able to keep pace with the Cowboys’ top-five offence.

Staff picks: Perri (DAL) | Horrobin (DAL) | Closs (DAL) | Toman (MIN) | Psihogios (MIN)

Dolphins vs. Steelers (Monday, Dec. 15: 8:15 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Pittsburgh -3.5
Perri says: Tua Tagovailoa in cold weather … what could go wrong? I’m hoping a lot. Tua is 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in games contested under 40 Fahrenheit (4.4 °C), per Action Network. Monday’s primetime game is projected to be played at -7.2 °C. Pittsburgh just picked up its biggest win of the season, toppling the Ravens in Baltimore to take the AFC North lead. The Steelers should keep rolling in primetime.

Staff picks: Perri (PIT) | Horrobin (PIT) | Closs (PIT) | Toman (MIA) | Psihogios (MIA)

NFL ATS picks: Week 14 + season records

Closs: 6-8-0 (100-102-6)
Psihogios: 6-8-0 (100-102-6)
Toman: 8-6-0 (100-102-6)
Perri: 4-10-0 (94-108-6)
Horrobin: 6-8-0 (92-110-6)

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NFL Week 15 betting guide: Player prop recommendations, parlay picks and more for every game

The NFL is entering its home stretch, with no more bye weeks and just four games to play before the postseason.

Week 15 at a glance: The Kansas City Chiefs’ dynasty is on its last legs, as Patrick Mahomes and Co. need a win to stay alive and defend their AFC title. Elsewhere, two NFC juggernauts, the Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Rams, do battle at SoFi Stadium.

Check out our NFL Week 15 betting guide for staff picks and predictions on the 16-game slate.

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NFL Week 15 betting guide: predictions

ATS picks: Get ATS predictions from our five staff writers on every game of the week.

Prop bets: Philip Rivers is on the cusp of an improbable return to the NFL. He’s one of three Sunday targets for Week 15, alongside this year’s No. 1 pick, Cam Ward.

Best bets: Our staff has two ATS picks, one moneyline prediction and a player prop on MVP favourite Matthew Stafford.

Upset picks: Joe Burrow and the Bengals’ offence are firing on all cylinders. That makes Cincinnati an enticing divisional underdog against a clearly hobbled Lamar Jackson.

Bills vs. Patriots SGP: New England can secure the AFC East with a win in this matchup, and Spencer Closs is backing the home side. Stefon Diggs also seems poised for revenge game 2.0.

Lions vs. Rams SGP: Matthew Stafford has a chance to put a real dent in his former team’s playoff hopes on Sunday afternoon. Puka Nacua, who is coming off a huge game, should help make that happen.

TD picks: Who will score this Sunday? A pair of tight ends and one rookie running back headline this week’s touchdown picks.

Sunday Night Football picks: The Cowboys’ offence has been electric this year, and the same can’t be said about J.J. McCarthy’s Vikings. Look for the home team to cover a modest spread in primetime.

NFL injury report: Who’s in? Who’s out? Our NFL injury report, powered by RotoWire, provides the latest status updates for players around the league.

Thursday Night Football SGP: Mike Evans is slated to return from injury, and he factors into this +340 wager also featuring Bijan Robinson and Rachaad White.

NFL Week 15 betting notes

The Chiefs are laying 5.5 points in a must-win game. From 2018-24, KC went 95-23 (.805) straight up as favourites, per Team Rankings. This year, the team is just 5-6 (.455).

Jared Goff, Dan Campbell, and the Lions head west with a rest advantage. As a duo, Goff and Campbell are 17-3 ATS as underdogs above a field goal, per Action Network.

Welcome back, Phillip Rivers! It’s looking like the Indianapolis Colts will be starting a grandfather under centre this week. The only other time that has happened was when Brett Favre suited up in 2010 for the Minnesota Vikings.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on NFL Week 15 here!

There are three teams favoured by double digits on Sunday, including the Seattle Seahawks (-14), who look to send Rivers and the Colts to the glue factory. The San Francisco 49ers (-12.5) and Jacksonville Jaguars (-13) also hold that distinction.

Mike Tomlin and the Pittsburgh Steelers have a fantastic ATS record on Monday Night Football. They’re 11-1 SU at home when closing out the week, but they’ll likely be without star pass rusher T.J. Watt, who was hospitalized with lung discomfort on Thursday.

Pittsburgh will host the Miami Dolphins in sub-zero temperatures. Tua Tagovailoa has struggled in the cold, going 0-5 SU and losing by an average of 19.2 PPG in sub-40-degree-Fahrenheit weather. It’s projected to be 20 Fahrenheit (-6 °C) on Monday.

Biggest spreads: Colts vs. Seahawks (-14); Jets vs. Jagauars (-13); Titans vs. 49ers (-12.5)

Highest totals: Lions vs. Rams (55); Ravens vs. Bengals (51.5); Bills vs. Patriots (49.5)

NFL Week 15 matchups

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Thursday Night Football (Dec. 11)

Falcons vs. Buccaneers (8:15 p.m. ET)

Sunday, Dec. 14: 1 p.m. ET slate

Cardinals vs. Texans
Ravens vs. Bengals
Bills vs. Patriots
Browns vs. Bears
Raiders vs. Eagles
Chargers vs. Chiefs
Jets vs. Jaguars
Commanders vs. Giants

Sunday, Dec. 14: 4 p.m. ET slate

Titans vs. 49ers
Colts vs. Seahawks
Packers vs. Broncos
Lions vs. Rams

Sunday Night Football

Vikings vs. Cowboys (8:20 p.m. ET)

Monday Night Football (Dec. 15)

Dolphins vs. Steelers (8:15 p.m. ET)

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NBA 2025-26 MVP odds and betting favourites: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander the favourite, Doncic enters the picture

Reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been incredible this season and is the favourite to defend his MVP award just over two months into the 2025-2026 NBA season.

The latest: SGA is proving he’s still at the top of his game. The Hamilton, Ontario native leads the Oklahoma City Thunder in scoring and has guided them to an NBA-best 24-1 record. Nikola Jokic, meanwhile, is averaging an otherworldly 29.2-point triple-double.

Luka Doncic has also joined the discussion as the third horse in the race, and leads the league in points per game (35.0) entering play on Dec. 11.

Check out the latest NBA MVP odds for the 2025-26 season.

NBA MVP odds

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NFL Week 15 staff best bets: Bet on Matthew Stafford to shine, New England to beat Buffalo

Our staff has two ATS picks, one moneyline prediction and a player prop on MVP favourite Matthew Stafford.

The Week 15 narrative: The Bills visit the Patriots in a pivotal AFC East matchup. If New England wins, it will lock up the top spot in the division with a few weeks to go. Elsewhere, the Kansas City Chiefs are 4.5-point favourites over the Los Angeles Chargers.

Check out our NFL Week 15 staff best bets for our favourite picks this weekend, featuring a prediction from the Indianapolis Colts vs. Seattle Seahawks game.

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NFL Week 15 best bets

These NFL Week 15 best bets were provided by NorthStar Bets writers Jordan Horrobin and Spencer Closs.

Chargers +4.5: I’m done letting the Chiefs live off their reputation. This year’s squad is nothing like the ones that have reached the AFC championship game (or further) in seven straight seasons.

From 2018-24, the Chiefs went 95-23 (.805) straight up as favourites, per Team Rankings. This year, they’re just 5-6 (.455).

KC is on a five-game ATS losing streak, and it has four outright losses as a favourite in that span. For weeks, the Chiefs have played in what felt like must-win games, and it was easy to drum up a narrative that Patrick Mahomes and Co. would get it done.

But they haven’t, and now they’re close to being done.

The Chargers are travelling on a short week, so I get why they’re seeing some points on the road. But I’ll happily bank this number with a team that is 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) in its past six.

On a neutral field in Week 1, the Chargers beat the Chiefs, 27-21, as 3-point dogs.

-Horrobin

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Colts vs. Seahawks ATS prediction

Seahawks -13.5 (-110): The Indianapolis Colts’ season took a swift and decisive nosedive last week, as quarterback Daniel Jones suffered a season-ending injury amid the team’s third consecutive loss.

If you don’t know who the Colts’ starting QB candidates are for Sunday, allow me to enlighten you:

Riley Leonard: A sixth-round rookie who averaged 5.0 yards per attempt and threw an interception in relief of Jones last week. Leonard is dealing with a knee injury and may not even be healthy enough to play.

Brett Rypien: The 29-year-old was just signed off the Colts’ practice squad as insurance on Leonard. Rypien hasn’t attempted an NFL pass since Week 9 of 2023, when he went 13-for-28 for 130 yards and an interception with the Rams (L.A. lost, 20-3, to Green Bay).

Philip Rivers: Rivers, 44, should be getting ready to fit into a gold jacket in Canton, Ohio … not a Colts jersey in Seattle. But the 17-year vet was signed to Indy’s practice squad this week and has an outside chance to appear in a game for the first time since 2020.

No matter which of these players gets in the game, Seattle should have a field day on defence.

Seattle ranks No. 2 in scoring defence and is allowing just 18.2 points/game at home.

Also, the Seahawks lead the NFL in point differential (+161) and ATS record (10-3-0).

-Horrobin

Bills vs. Patriots pick

Patriots ML (-103): The Bills are in shambles as the season rolls into its final weeks.

-> Bet on Bills vs. Patriots

Their 9-4 record seems good at first glance, but they’ve struggled on the road (3-3) and have six wins against teams that are currently under .500.

Plus, the Patriots have been the Bills’ kryptonite over recent seasons. Buffalo has lost three of its past five games against New England (0-5 ATS), including a 24-21 loss at home earlier this year.

The Patriots are legit contenders now and should be treated as such. They have the NFL’s best record at 11-2 and have won 10 straight games.

Josh Allen and the Bills are 1-2 in their past three away games and haven’t shown enough on either side of the ball to make me think they can end the Pats’ streak.

–Closs

NFL Week 15 best bets: Player props

Stafford over 265.5 passing yards (-114): The Detroit Lions’ secondary is extremely vulnerable right now, and I expect Stafford to take advantage.

Safety (Brian Branch) and cornerback (Terrion Arnold) are arguably the Lions’ best defenders in the secondary, and both are done for the season. Then there’s safety Kerby Joseph, who hasn’t played since Week 6 and is questionable.

Detroit’s cornerbacks allow an 85.4 passer rating, per RotoWire, which ranks in the 23rd percentile. And with Branch out, the safety group is going to have a much more difficult time providing support.

-> Bet on Stafford vs. the Lions!

This yardage total is higher than Stafford’s season average (258.0 yards/game). But he’s still hit the over in seven of 13 starts.

The NFL MVP favourite has arguably the most envied WR tandem in the NFL, Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. He should be able to orchestrate plenty of chunk plays against Detroit’s skeleton defensive crew.

Stafford has faced his old team twice since January 2024, and he threw for a combined 684 yards in those matchups — easily cashing this bet both times.

-Horrobin

NFL Week 15 best bets made at 3:40 p.m. ET on Dec. 10, 2025.

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