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We’re approaching the NFL’s home stretch with just three weeks left in the regular season.

The latest: Half of the playoff spots are clinched and several games this weekend have big implications on who gets in and who stays out. Matchups like Broncos vs. Chargers, Texans vs. Chiefs, Eagles vs. Commanders, Vikings vs. Seahawks, and 49ers vs Dolphins all have spreads of four points or fewer.

Check out our NFL Week 16 ATS picks for predictions on every game.

NFL Week 16 ATS picks

NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs and Chris Toman offer up their NFL Week 16 ATS picks for all 16 games.

NFL odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, Dec. 19, 2024.

Click odds from any game to add selections to your betslip.

Go to full NFL betting markets

Bet on NFL Week 16!

Thursday Night Football pick

Broncos vs. Chargers (Thursday, Dec. 12: 8:15 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -2.5
Perri says: Los Angeles’ offence has fallen off a cliff without J.K. Dobbins. The squad has scored just 17 points in three straight games while averaging 60.6 rushing yards. Denver has won four straight while averaging 34.8 points and is a league-best 11-3 ATS.
Pick: Broncos +2.5

Saturday slate

Texans vs. Chiefs (Saturday, Dec. 14: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -3.5
Closs says: Houston is 4-3 on the road but that needs a deeper dive. All four of those wins came against teams currently under .500. On the other hand, the Chiefs are 7-0 at home and still fighting for the top seed in the AFC. Kansas City’s defence is elite, allowing the fifth-fewest points per game (18.5). Patrick Mahomes has been a full participant in practice and I can’t see the Texans causing an issue for the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium.
Pick: Chiefs -3.5

Steelers vs. Ravens (Saturday, Dec. 14: 4:30 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Baltimore -6.5
Perri says: Pittsburgh has dominated this rivalry recently, winning eight of the last nine meetings against Baltimore. That’s mainly because Lamar Jackson hasn’t figured out Mike Tomlin’s defence. He has a 66.7 passer rating and a 5:8 TD-to-INT ratio in five starts against the Steelers. I’ll take the Steelers to cover as a road underdog on Saturday.
Pick: Steelers +6.5

NFL Week 16 ATS picks: The early Sunday slate

Cardinals vs. Panthers (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Arizona -4.5
Horrobin says: The Panthers’ one-week experiment as favourites was a crash out, resulting in a 16-point home loss to the Cowboys. Maybe we don’t do that again. The Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their past eight games and still have a ton to play for. I’ll side with Arizona against a Carolina squad that owns a -69 point differential in eight home matchups.
Pick: Cardinals -4.5

Browns vs. Bengals (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Cincinnati -7.5
Horrobin says: Cincinnati’s playoff hopes are hanging by a thread, but one way or another, I think this one will be therapeutic. Cleveland scored a grand total of 28 points across Dorian Thompson-Robinson’s three starts last year, while Cincy has averaged 28.5 points per game on the season. The Browns are 1-5 ATS on the road since Week 4.
Pick: Bengals -7.5

Lions vs. Bears (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Detroit -6.5
Horrobin says: Chicago has lost eight in a row, but the team has put up a fight on home soil all year. At Soldier Field, the Bears are 4-1-1 ATS, with an outright win over the Rams and a near miss against the Packers. Detroit, the most injury-ravaged team in the league, is on a three-game ATS losing streak that began with a 23-20 home win over Chicago on Thanksgiving.
Pick: Bears +6.5

Rams vs. Jets (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -3.5
Horrobin says: Los Angeles looks like a dangerous team these days, rolling up a 6-2 record (SU and ATS) since late October. The Rams have wins over the Bills, Vikings and Seahawks in that span. As for the Jets, a last-minute win over the Jaguars won’t win me over. New York is just 3-8 ATS since Week 4.
Pick: Rams -3.5

Giants vs. Falcons (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Atlanta -8.5
Perri says: It’s Michael Penix Jr. time in Atlanta. The No. 8 overall pick gets a soft landing spot against a Giants team on a nine-game losing skid (1-8 ATS). New York averages the fewest points per game (14.9) and I think Penix can unlock Atlanta’s offensive potential in a cupcake matchup.
Pick: Falcons -8.5

Eagles vs. Commanders (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets Line: Philadelphia -3.5
Perri says: The Eagles have won 10 straight games since their Week 5 bye, covering the spread in seven of those contests. That includes a 26-18 win over the Commanders in Philadelphia. For as good as Jayden Daniels has been, he’s still a rookie. I expect Philly’s elite defence to give him trouble.
Pick: Eagles -3.5

Titans vs. Colts (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Indianapolis -3.5
Toman says: The Colts basically handed their playoff hopes away with a brutal fourth quarter last week, getting outscored 21-0. It’s an ugly way to go down after treading water in a weak AFC South. This Sunday, they’ll face the bottom of the division and I like them to rebound against the worst ATS team in the NFL.
Pick: Colts -3.5

NFL 4 p.m. slate

Vikings vs. Seahawks (Sunday, Dec. 15: 4:05 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Minnesota -3
Closs says: Since their Week 10 bye, the Seahawks are 4-1, with the sole loss coming against the Packers. In those five games, Seattle allowed an average of 18.4 points. Minnesota is 5-1 on the road but has wins over the Bears, Titans, Jaguars and Giants. The Vikings lost to the Rams away from home in Week 8 and I expect a similar result against the NFC West leader.
Pick: Seahawks +3

Jaguars vs. Raiders (Sunday, Dec. 15: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Las Vegas -1
Horrobin says: The last time Las Vegas won a game, the MLB regular season was still underway. I cannot in good faith back the Raiders to win, especially against a Jacksonville team that at least has shown a bit of fight. The Jaguars are 5-2-1 ATS in their past eight games.
Pick: Jaguars +1

Make your NFL Week 16 predictions

Patriots vs. Bills (Sunday, Dec. 15: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -14
Closs says: How can anyone bet against the Bills right now? Buffalo is a perfect 6-0 at home and has covered this lofty spread in three of those wins. Additionally, the Patriots are 2-6 on the road with an abysmal -67 point differential. Five of their six losses away from home were by a double-digit margin and I feel good about the Bills adding to that.
Pick: Bills -14

49ers vs. Dolphins (Sunday, Dec. 15: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Miami -1
Closs says: The 49ers have not been good. They are 1-4 over their last five with the win coming against the miserable Bears. They lost by 20-plus points to the Bills and Packers and then failed to score more than six points against the Rams last week. Miami is 4-2 over its past six with the losses coming to the Packers (10-4) and the Texans (9-5). I believe the Phins are a step ahead with Tua Tagovailoa under centre.
Pick: Dolphins -1

Sunday and Monday Night NFL ATS picks

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys (Sunday, Dec. 15: 8:20 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Tampa Bay -4
Horrobin says: Fresh off a blowout win over the Chargers, the Buccaneers are now 5-2 ATS as visitors. The Cowboys, meanwhile, are 1-6 ATS as hosts. Each of Dallas’ past six losses came by at least six points, while Tampa Bay has a +64 point differential during an active four-game winning streak.
Pick: Buccaneers -4

Saints vs. Packers (Monday, Dec. 16: 8:15 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -14.5
Horrobin says: It can be intimidating to lay this many points, but Green Bay has covered the number in three games since mid-October. A decisive win should be in the cards this week against New Orleans, a squad that is 2-4 ATS on the road and struggles to stop the run. The Saints’ defence ranks 30th in yards per carry and rushing success rate.
Pick: Packers -14.5

Staff Week 15 + season-long records: Toman: 9-7 (107-98-6) | Closs: 11-5 (107-98-6) | Psihogios: 9-7 (100-105-6) | Horrobin: 10-6 (100-105-6) | Perri: 13-3 (97-108-6)

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We’re nearing the NFL’s home stretch with just four weeks left in the regular season.

The latest: Bye weeks are done, meaning we have 16 games on tap from Thursday through Monday and several have significant divisional implications. Matchups like Rams vs. 49ers, Dolphins vs. Texans, Bills vs. Lions, Buccaneers vs. Chargers and Packers vs. Seahawks all have spreads of three points or fewer.

Check out our NFL Week 15 ATS picks for predictions on every game.

NFL Week 15 ATS picks

NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs and Chris Toman offer up their NFL Week 15 ATS picks for all 16 games.

NFL odds as of 12:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, Dec. 12, 2024.

Click odds from any game to add selections to your betslip.

Go to full NFL betting markets

Thursday Night Football pick

Rams vs. 49ers (Thursday, Dec. 12: 8:15 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: San Francisco -2.5
Closs says: Are the 49ers back or did they just play an inconsistent Bears team? I’m not entirely sure but I cannot bet against the Rams right now. They are on a 6-2 run over their last eight games and the offence looks dynamic now that it’s healthy. San Francisco is 2-6 against above-.500 teams and 1-3 in divisional games.
Pick: Rams +2.5

NFL Week 15 ATS picks: The early Sunday slate

Ravens vs. Giants (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Baltimore -16
Perri says: This is a massive line, especially for a road team, but New York doesn’t stand a chance here. The Giants have lost eight straight games while averaging 12.3 points per game. Lamar Jackson is having an MVP-type season but the Ravens are 8-5 with a bunch of one-score losses. Coming off a bye, I expect Baltimore to leave no doubt against an awful opponent.
Pick: Ravens -16

Bengals vs. Titans (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Cincinnati -5
Perri says: It’s too late for the Bengals’ playoff hopes but I think they’ll finish the season strong. Cincinnati has averaged 33.4 points across the last five games with Joe Burrow throwing for 342.6 yards per game. The Titans, meanwhile, are one of the most unremarkable teams in football with a 2-11 ATS record. Don’t overthink this one.
Pick: Bengals -5

Cowboys vs. Panthers (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Carolina -3
Perri says: One word to describe the Panthers would be frisky. Carolina is 5-1 ATS since Bryce Young re-took the starting job, recently losing to the Chiefs, Eagles and Buccaneers by a combined 12 points. The Panthers haven’t been favoured all season but the Cowboys and Cooper Rush are a tire fire I want no part of.
Pick: Panthers -3

Chiefs vs. Browns (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -4
Horrobin says: Kansas City has the best record in the NFL but is on a seven-game ATS losing streak. I’m still backing the Chiefs, though, given that they’ve covered this number in four of six road games. Cleveland beat Pittsburgh in a blizzard last month, but the Browns are still just 1-4 ATS in their past five games — with a -55 point differential in that span.
Pick: Chiefs -4

Dolphins vs. Texans (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Houston -3
Closs says: I really like the way Miami is playing right now. Tua Tagovailoa has the team on a 4-1 run, throwing 12 TDs and one interception over those five games. Meanwhile, Houston has been struggling, winning just one of its past seven games by more than three points. Give me the Dolphins on the road as they make a late-season push.
Pick: Dolphins +3

Jets vs. Jaguars (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets Line: New York -3.5
Horrobin says: Neither of these 3-10 teams deserves to be favoured, and I want no part of laying points with the Jets. Aaron Rodgers’ spiralling squad is 1-9 in its past 10 games, going just 2-8 ATS in that span. The Jaguars are only 3-7 SU in their past 10, but at least they’ve gone 5-1-1 ATS since Week 7.
Pick: Jaguars +3.5

Commanders vs. Saints (Sunday, Dec. 15: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Washington -7.5
Horrobin says: Derek Carr likely won’t play for New Orleans, which is bad news for this pick. But the Commanders did allow 34 points to a Cooper Rush-led offence two weeks ago, so I’m not completely out on the Saints’ offensive chances. New Orleans has covered this spread in all four games under interim head coach Darren Rizzi, while Washington has covered it only once in its past six.
Pick: Saints +7.5

NFL 4 p.m. slate

Bills vs. Lions (Sunday, Dec. 15: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Detroit -2.5
Perri says: Buffalo has played four road games against respectable opponents (Ravens, Texans, Seahawks, Rams) and lost three of them. Josh Allen is on another planet right now but if there’s one team that can keep pace it’s the Lions. Detroit is averaging a league-best 32.1 PPG and has a +105 point differential at home.
Pick: Lions -2.5

Colts vs. Broncos (Sunday, Dec. 15: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Denver -4
Closs says: The Colts aren’t pretty to watch at times but they find a way to be competitive. Indianapolis has only lost by more than a touchdown three times against the league’s elite teams (Bills, Lions, Vikings). The Broncos won last week but gave up 497 yards and 32 points to Jameis Winston and the Browns. I may look like a fool in the end but I believe cracks are forming in Denver’s foundation.
Pick: Colts +4

Make your NFL Week 15 predictions

Patriots vs. Cardinals (Sunday, Dec. 15: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Arizona -6
Toman says: This is a big number for the Cardinals, who enter on a three-game skid and have only won by a TD or more in three of their six wins. That said, they’re the much stronger offensive team (the Patriots are scoring the second-fewest points in the NFL) and are still playing for something. Any playoff hopes begin with wins over the bottom-feeding Patriots and then Panthers in Week 16.
Pick: Cardinals -6

Steelers vs. Eagles (Sunday, Dec. 15: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Philadelphia -5
Perri says: Pittsburgh is a good team but Philadelphia is a cut above. The Eagles are averaging 28.4 points during their nine-game winning streak and have Saquon Barkley putting up MVP numbers. The Steelers’ rush defence has looked suspect lately — it is 26th in defensive EPA per rush since their Week 9 bye — and I expect the Eagles’ run game to be the difference.
Pick: Eagles -5

Buccaneers vs. Chargers (Sunday, Dec. 15: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -3
Closs says: Tampa Bay takes care of business when it should and has won three straight games against the Raiders, Panthers and Giants. But the story has been different against better teams. Before this run, the Bucs lost three straight to the 49ers, Chiefs and Ravens. I would group the Chargers with the second group as the 8-5 squad has covered this spread in every win.
Pick: Chargers -3

Sunday and Monday Night NFL ATS picks

Packers vs. Seahawks (Sunday, Dec. 15: 8:20 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -2.5
Toman says: Green Bay has lost twice since Week 4 and both times were to the NFC-best Lions. The Packers’ other two losses this season were by a combined seven points. They’ve been competitive in every outing, ranking top 10 in the NFL in points for and against per game. This is a tough road matchup versus the surging Seahawks but we’ve avoided the dreaded 3-point spread.
Pick: Packers -2.5

Bears vs. Vikings (Monday, Dec. 16: 8:00 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Minnesota -7
Horrobin says: Chicago is an awful, awful road team. The Bears are 0-6 as visitors this year, with an 0-5-1 ATS record in those matchups. They haven’t beaten anybody since Week 6 and have scored 20 or fewer points in six of seven games since then. This should turn into a laugher for a Vikings team riding a six-game winning streak.
Pick: Vikings -7

Falcons vs. Raiders (Monday, Dec. 16: 8:30 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Atlanta -4
Toman says: Atlanta is in the midst of an ugly stretch but this is about as soft as a bounce-back spot can be. Las Vegas has lost nine in a row and has the second-worst point differential (-125) in the NFL. Neither team has been good against the spread but the Falcons are very much still playing for a division title. I expect a big response after dropping four in a row, including last week by 21 points.
Pick: Falcons -4

Staff Week 14 + season-long records: Toman: 5-7-1 (98-91-6) | Closs: 5-7-1 (96-93-6) | Psihogios: 3-9-1 (91-98-6) | Horrobin: 5-7-1 (90-99-6) | Perri: 5-7-1 (84-105-6)

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We’re nearing the NFL homestretch with American Thanksgiving in the rearview mirror.

The latest: There are 13 games on tap from Thursday through Sunday and several have significant divisional implications. Matchups like Packers vs. Lions, Seahawks vs. Cardinals, and Chargers vs. Chiefs all have spreads of four points or fewer.

Check out our NFL Week 14 ATS picks for predictions on every game.

NFL Week 14 ATS picks

NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri and Jordan Horrobin offer up their NFL Week 14 ATS picks for all 13 games.

NFL odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, Dec. 5, 2024.

Click odds from any game to add selections to your betslip.

Go to full NFL betting markets

Thursday Night Football pick

Packers vs. Lions (Thursday, Dec. 5: 8:15 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Detroit -3.5
Horrobin says: Green Bay’s 10-point home loss against Detroit earlier this season was closer than the score indicated. The Packers outgained the Lions by 150 yards in that game and were on the wrong end of a pick-six in the final minute of the first half. Green Bay is 4-1 straight up on the road.
Pick: Packers +3.5

NFL Week 14 ATS picks: The early Sunday slate

Falcons vs. Vikings (Sunday, Dec. 8: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Minnesota -5.5
Perri says: Kirk Cousins put forth a disaster-class last weekend, throwing four interceptions in a 17-13 loss. But Atlanta still covered this number and is now 9-2 against it this season. The Vikings have won five straight one-score games with their last two coming by a combined four points. I think Cousins can come through against his old squad.
Pick: Falcons +5.5

Panthers vs. Eagles (Sunday, Dec. 8: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Philadelphia -12.5
Horrobin says: Carolina is on a four-game ATS win streak, and each spread was smaller than this. But Philadelphia is very capable of steamrolling its opposition. The Eagles have won their past seven games by an average of 15.4 points, and their league-best rushing offence should feast against the Panthers’ league-worst rushing defence.
Pick: Eagles -12.5

Browns vs. Steelers (Sunday, Dec. 8: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Pittsburgh -6.5
Perri says: Weird things happen when these teams meet. For example, Cleveland beat Pittsburgh 24-19 just a few weeks ago in a blizzard. The Browns have covered this number in four of their last five games against the Steelers and Jameis Winston can sling it. Cleveland is live to win this game if he can take care of the football.
Pick: Browns +6.5

Jaguars vs. Titans (Sunday, Dec. 8: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Tennessee -3.5
Perri says: Both of these teams are awful so I’ll just take the points with the home side. Jacksonville’s defence allows the most yards per game and ranks last in EPA per play. Mac Jones is under centre with Trevor Lawrence sidelined, and I can’t trust him. The Titans just got rocked by the Commanders but beat the Texans before that, which has to be worth something.
Pick: Titans -3.5

Raiders vs. Buccaneers (Sunday, Dec. 8: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Tampa Bay -6.5
Horrobin says: Las Vegas’ near-miss against the Chiefs last week feels like a prisoner-of-the-moment trap that I won’t fall into. The Raiders have failed to cover this spread in eight of 12 games this year, and they’ve lost eight in a row straight up. The Bucs are coming off a shaky road win against the Panthers, but I like them to straighten things out at home.
Pick: Buccaneers -6.5

Saints vs. Giants (Sunday, Dec. 8: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets Line: New Orleans -4.5
Horrobin says: In a battle of two bad teams, New York is simply worse. The Giants are on a seven-game ATS losing streak, and they’ve failed to cover +4.5 in six of those games. Taysom Hill’s injury is a significant blow for the Saints, but Alvin Kamara is still the best offensive player in this matchup, and that’s who I’d prefer to hitch my wagon to.
Pick: Saints -4.5

Jets vs. Dolphins (Sunday, Dec. 8: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Miami -6
Horrobin says: The Aaron Rodgers comeback story hasn’t gone as planned, and no Netflix documentary is going to alter that sentiment. New York is 1-8 straight up and ATS in its past nine games, losing outright as the favourite in six of those. Miami has put up 31.7 points per game in three home matchups since Tua Tagovailoa returned.
Pick: Dolphins -6

NFL 4 p.m. slate

Seahawks vs. Cardinals (Sunday, Dec. 8: 4:05 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Arizona -2.5
Perri says: Seattle has won three straight but is dealing with a laundry list of injuries. Now, it takes on a Cardinals team with a 4-2 home record (SU and ATS). Arizona has lost back-to-back games but nearly toppled the Vikings in Minnesota. I think Kyler Murray can get the job done with the division title in play.
Pick: Cardinals -2.5

Bills vs. Rams (Sunday, Dec. 8: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -4
Perri says: Buffalo is rolling but I like Los Angeles to win this game outright. The Bills are 6-0 at home but 4-2 on the road with blowout losses to the Texans and Ravens. Sean McVay has the Rams playing exceptional ball, going 5-2 since the bye week. Josh Allen can put up points but Matthew Stafford and Co. are capable of keeping pace.
Pick: Rams +4

Make your NFL Week 14 predictions

Bears vs. 49ers (Sunday, Dec. 8: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: San Francisco -4
Horrobin says: This is turning into quite a “What if” season for Chicago, a team that’s lost four of its past six games by a field goal or less. And the ousting of head coach Matt Eberflus has to be a net positive, right? San Francisco’s situation isn’t any rosier, with Christian McCaffrey on injured reserve and four straight ATS losses.
Pick: Bears +4

Sunday and Monday Night NFL ATS picks

Chargers vs. Chiefs (Sunday, Dec. 8: 8:20 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -4
Horrobin says: The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS since Week 7, which makes this pick a bit of a tough sell. But they did win by a touchdown in Los Angeles earlier this season and now face a Chargers squad that isn’t the same without J.K. Dobbins. Last week, the Chargers had just 187 total yards in Dobbins’ absence.
Pick: Chiefs -4

Bengals vs. Cowboys (Monday, Dec. 9: 8:15 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Cincinnati -5.5
Perri says: Joe Burrow would probably be the MVP frontrunner if he had a defence. The QB leads the league in passing yards (3,337) and touchdowns (30) and has only thrown five interceptions. Cincy is averaging 35.0 PPG across its last four. Cooper Rush simply won’t be able to keep up with that.
Pick: Bengals -5.5

Staff Week 13 + season-long records: Toman: 7-9 (93-84-5) | Closs: 9-7 (91-86-5) | Psihogios: 9-7 (88-89-5) | Horrobin: 10-6 (85-92-5) | Perri: 6-10 (79-98-5)

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American Thanksgiving week is always a special one in the NFL, but the holiday tripleheader is far from the only action for bettors to sink their teeth into.

The latest: It’s a bye-free week, meaning we have 16 games from Thursday afternoon through Monday night. The marquee matchup on the slate is arguably the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens, which is one of 10 games featuring a spread of 4 points or fewer.

Check out our NFL Week 13 ATS picks for predictions on every game.

NFL Week 13 ATS picks

NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, and Chris Toman offer up their NFL Week 13 ATS picks for all 16 games.

NFL odds as of 8:15 a.m. ET on Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024.

Click odds from any game to add selections to your betslip.

Go to full NFL betting markets

Thanksgiving Day picks

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions (Thursday, Nov. 28: 12:30 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Detroit -9.5
Horrobin says: The Bears have lost their past two games by a total of four points, so it might seem nice to bank a boatload with them. But on the road against the Lions, I just can’t do it. Detroit is 4-1 ATS at home, winning by an average of 19.8 points. Chicago is 0-3-1 ATS on the road and should be in for another rude awakening in the Motor City.
Pick: Lions -9.5

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys (Thursday, Nov. 28: 4:30 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Dallas -3.5
Perri says: Drew Lock, Cooper Rush and a little tryptophan should put America to sleep in the Thanksgiving afternoon game. That said, I’ll take the Giants to cover as road underdogs. Dallas has the second-worst scoring defence in football and is 0-5 at home this year with a -128 point differential. Lock might not be great but he’s an upgrade over Daniel Jones and Tommy DeVito. 
Pick: Giants +3.5

Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers (Thursday, Nov. 28: 8:20 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -3.5
Horrobin says: Miami hasn’t beaten a team with a winning record this season, going 0-4 in those matchups. And Tua Tagovailoa hates the cold. According to the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa is 0-7 in games that fall below 40 degrees Fahrenheit. After a 28-point win against the 49ers at home last week, look for Green Bay to stay dominant in the Frozen Tundra.
Pick: Packers -3.5

NFL Week 13 ATS pick: Friday, Nov. 29: 3:00 p.m.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs

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NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -13
Horrobin says: Kansas City is 10-1, but it rarely wins by a comfortable margin. The Chiefs are 0-10-1 against this line and 5-6 ATS overall. Though I’m not an Aidan O’Connell truther, he was under centre when Las Vegas upset KC on Christmas last year. The Raiders are 3-2 ATS this year as underdogs of a touchdown or more.
Pick: Raiders +13

NFL Week 13 ATS picks: The early Sunday slate

Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Minnesota -3.5
Toman says: Arizona is coming off a brutal loss after reeling off wins in five of its previous six games. James Conner has been silenced in consecutive weeks and now faces one of the NFL’s elite run defences. The Cardinals run game could be non-existent again versus the Vikings, who have covered this number in seven of their nine wins.
Pick: Vikings -3.5

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Houston -4
Horrobin says: Here’s hoping the Jaguars figured some things during last week’s bye after scoring just 13 points in their two previous games. Even with the offensive woes, Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its past five. Houston is sketchy on the road (3-3 straight up) and just lost as an 8-point home favourite last week against Tennessee.
Pick: Jaguars +4

Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Indianapolis -3
Toman says: The Patriots are the perfect cure for the Colts, who are coming off their worst loss of the season (mind you, it was against the powerhouse Lions). Indianapolis is a strong 8-4 ATS and has played respectable despite QB changes and a difficult schedule. Only the Giants average fewer points per game than New England.
Pick: Colts -3

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -1.5
Horrobin says: L.A.’s offence is humming, as the Chargers have scored 23-plus points in five straight games. Atlanta, meanwhile, has only scored 23 total points over its past two games. The Falcons are No. 25 in the NFL in yards and points allowed, and I expect them to struggle against Justin Herbert and Co. Also, the Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their past five.
Pick: Chargers -1.5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Cincinnati -3
Perri says: Pittsburgh was playing great football before losing in a blizzard to the Browns in Cleveland. That was a whacky game and I expect the Steelers to rebound as a road underdog. Mike Tomlin’s group is 2-0 ATS in that spot this season and 10-6 ATS over the last three seasons. Russell Wilson hasn’t been perfect but he should be able to carve up one of the worst secondaries in the league. 
Pick: Steelers +3

Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Seattle -2
Horrobin says: In its past two road games, Seattle won outright as an underdog. Now all it needs is another tight win over a New York squad that is 3-8 outright and ATS. The Jets are 1-7 ATS in their past eight and 0-3 ATS as underdogs … and their win on Halloween night against the Texans doesn’t look as impressive as it did at the time.
Pick: Seahawks -2

Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Washington -6
Perri says: The Commanders are on a three-game slide after starting the season 7-2, but I trust them to bounce back at home against an awful Titans team. Will Levis is 1-6 in games he started and finished this year, losing five of those by seven-plus points.
Pick: Commanders -6

Make your Week 13 predictions

NFL 4 p.m. slate

Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints (Sunday, Dec. 1: 4:05 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -2.5
Toman says: This is a huge game with both teams in the playoff hunt thanks to their weak NFC divisions. Both enter in solid form, but the Rams (4-2 straight up since their Week 6 bye) are the far more dangerous team with all their playmakers healthy again. 
Pick: Rams -2.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers (Sunday, Dec. 1: 4:05 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Tampa Bay -6
Perri says: Bryce Young and the Panthers are on a three-game ATS winning streak, securing two of those games outright and playing the Chiefs in a 30-27 nail-biter. Carolina’s offence looks competent right now and Tampa Bay’s defence was getting shelled before last week’s 30-7 win over the Giants. But I still don’t trust that unit and will take Carolina with the points at home. 
Pick: Panthers -6

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens (Sunday, Dec. 1: 4:25 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Baltimore -3
Perri says: These are two of the league’s best teams but I believe Philly is a cut above Baltimore. The Eagles have been thrashing teams since their Week 5 bye, going 7-0 with a +107 point differential. Philly’s ranks second in EPA per play in that span while Saquon Barkley has emerged as a legitimate MVP candidate. The Ravens aren’t as dominant on both sides of the ball and I expect that to be the difference.
Pick: Eagles +3

Sunday and Monday Night NFL ATS picks

San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills (Sunday, Dec. 1: 8:20 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -7
Perri says: It feels like San Francisco has to snap out of it at some point but I can’t look past its laundry list of injuries. Nick Bosa and Trent Williams both missed practice on Wednesday while Brock Purdy remains questionable with a shoulder injury. Josh Allen is playing like the MVP and Buffalo is rolling teams at Highmark Stadium with a 5-0 record and a +15.8 average margin of victory. 
Pick: Bills -7

Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos (Monday, Dec. 2: 8:15 p.m.)

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NorthStar Bets line: Denver -6
Horrobin says: Last week’s snow globe win for Cleveland was a fun one, but I’m not sure it’s replicable on the road against a really solid Denver squad. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS as favourites this year, and Bo Nix has an 11:1 TD-to-INT ratio over his past five games. In four starts for the Browns, Jameis Winston has four interceptions and three fumbles.
Pick: Broncos -6

Staff Week 13 + season-long records: Toman: 6-7 (92-82-5) | Closs: 4-9 (86-88-5) | Psihogios: 7-6 (86-88-5) | Horrobin: 8-5 (83-91-5) | Perri: 7-6 (80-94-5)

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