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The NFL divisional round has arrived with four great games on deck this weekend.

NFL divisional round narrative: Every AFC team holds odds between +230 and +330 to win the conference. The path is wide open for a long-awaited Josh Allen Super Bowl appearance, and the Buffalo Bills are a strong moneyline pick against the Denver Broncos.

Check out our NFL playoff best bets for the divisional round, featuring prop bets on Brock Purdy and TreVeyon Henderson.

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NFL playoff best bets

NFL playoff best bets were written by NorthStar Bets writers Avery Perri and Chris Toman.

Bills moneyline (-105): The Bills just went into Jacksonville and beat the NFL’s hottest team in a back-and-forth thriller.

The Jags entered the playoffs on an eight-game heater, putting up big numbers on both sides of the ball:

• +19.1 average margin of victory
• 1st in defensive EPA per play
• 6th in offensive EPA per play

In that span, Jacksonville beat Denver by 14 on the road.

I had the Jags to win last week, but a heroic Allen performance ripped up that ticket. The QB had 306 total yards, three TDs, and a 108.7 passer rating without a turnover.

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In hindsight, betting against the reigning MVP was a bad call.

Bo Nix has had a fine season, but I don’t trust him to out-duel Allen in what should be a close game.

The Broncos only had four multi-score wins this season, and don’t have the run game to expose Buffalo’s big weakness.

This is a battle of good versus great at QB, and I’ll take great.

-Perri

NFL playoff prop predictions

Purdy over 227.5 pass yards (-113): This total is 230+ at most other operators, indicating potentially good value. 

• Purdy has cleared this line four times in his last five contests.

• The 49ers’ Week 18 dud vs. Seattle was the one time he fell short. San Francisco’s quarterback went under three other times this season, all double-digit Niners wins.

• In his last four playoff games, Purdy is 4-0 vs. this number and has thrown more than 30 pass attempts in each outing.

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Purdy’s 49ers are expected to be playing catch-up, opening as the biggest underdogs of the divisional round.

If San Francisco is, in fact, playing from behind, then Purdy should put plenty of balls in the air as the Niners lean on the passing game. And a pass-heavy formula might be the play regardless. 

The rested Seahawks, who earned a bye by dominating the 49ers to close out the season, have one of the best run defences in the NFL. 

They’ve shut down star running back Christian McCaffrey on two occasions already. McCaffrey managed 99 yards on 30 carries in his two meetings vs. Seattle, a measly 3.3 yards per attempt.

He hasn’t been consistent on the ground but has been active and effective as a receiver. McCaffrey was second in the NFL in yards after catch and is likely to be targeted a ton. 

His YAC production will have to remain strong with George Kittle out and Ricky Pearsall’s status unclear after missing Week 18 and the wild-card game with a knee injury. 

–Toman

Best Texans vs. Patriots prop bet

Henderson over 38.5 rushing yards (-117): Henderson and the New England Patriots host the league’s best defence on Sunday, so this is far from an easy matchup.

But this line is too low for me to pass up.

The Houston Texans allowed just 93.7 rushing yards per game in the regular season, and held the Pittsburgh Steelers to 63 rushing yards on 18 attempts in the wild-card round.

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Even then, Jaylen Warren managed to clear this total on 12 carries.

Henderson is in a timeshare with Rhamondre Stevenson, but generally gets enough volume to clear this line.

The rookie averaged 13.5 attempts and 75.8 rushing yards in the final 10 games of the season, logging 50-plus rush yards nine times.

I won’t let a quiet wild-card performance (nine carries, 27 yards) cloud the bigger picture.

Bet on Bears ATS vs. Rams

Bears +4 (-112): I like the Bears to win this game outright.

Chicago played some horrible football in the first half of its game against the Green Bay Packers, before staging an epic comeback to win 31-27.

Tidying up the first 30 minutes will be key in beating a team like Los Angeles, and I’m hoping last week’s slow start was simply playoff jitters for a young roster.

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The Bears have been an elite team at home this year, going 7-2 and covering this spread in every game.

And home-field advantage should be a big factor. It projects to be cold (-14 degrees Celsius) and inhospitable at Soldier Field, which doesn’t bode well for the L.A.-based Rams.

Matthew Stafford has historically struggled in cold temperatures, throwing five interceptions in two games this year played below 10 degrees Celsius.

He’s also dealing with a finger sprain on his throwing hand, which could make it even more difficult to control the ball in windy conditions.

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All but one of this weekend’s six NFL wild-card games feature a spread under five points. Buckle up.

NFL wild-card weekend narrative: Two games are practically pick’ems: the Buffalo Bills vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Green Bay Packers vs. the Chicago Bears. The one game with clear blowout potential takes place in Carolina, where the Panthers host the Los Angeles Rams as a double-digit underdog.

Check out our staff’s NFL ATS predictions for the wild-card round, kicking off the start of the playoffs.

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NFL ATS predictions

NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin and Chris Toman offer up their NFL ATS predictions for every playoff game on wild-card weekend.

NFL odds as of 3 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jan. 8, 2026.

NFL ATS picks: Saturday’s wild-card doubleheader

Rams vs. Panthers (Saturday, Jan. 10: 4:30 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -10.5
Perri says: There’s a reason Carolina is the largest home underdog in NFL playoff history. The Panthers lost their last two games and still made the postseason despite an 8-9 record and a -69 point differential. Take a bow, NFC South.

Los Angeles, meanwhile, owns the league’s best scoring offence (30.5 PPG) behind Matthew Stafford and a star-studded core.

The Panthers did beat the Rams at home in Week 13 as huge underdogs, but I can’t see that happening again. This should be a wire-to-wire blowout.

Staff picks: Perri (LAR) | Horrobin (CAR) | Toman (LAR)

Packers vs. Bears (Saturday, Jan. 10: 8 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -1
Horrobin says: I don’t trust either of these teams to make a deep playoff run, but I do think Chicago is well-equipped to at least win one home game over its fiercest rival.

The Bears needed some good fortune to beat the Packers at home a few weeks ago, recovering a late onside kick en route to scoring 10 points in the final two minutes and winning in overtime. But that’s part of a bigger picture in which Chicago is 6-1-1 ATS in its past eight games.

As for Green Bay, two massive injuries have left this defence with the 29th-ranked success rate since Week 13 (per RBSDM.com). The Packers lost four in a row to finish the regular season.

Staff picks: Perri (CHI) | Horrobin (CHI) | Toman (CHI)

Against the spread playoff picks

Bills vs. Jaguars (Sunday, Jan. 11: 1 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -1
Perri says: Betting against Josh Allen is scary, but Buffalo’s defence has failed him time and time again in the postseason. The Bills have a 0-4 road playoff record with Allen under centre, despite his 94.9 passer rating and 8:1 TD-to-INT ratio.

I expect that unit to leave him hanging again. The Bills’ run defence has been horrible, ranking bottom five in yards per rush (5.1), rushing yards per game (136.2), and EPA per rush.

Jacksonville is the hottest team in the league, winning eight straight games by an average margin of 19.1 points. In that span, the Jags rank first in defensive EPA per play while scoring 33.6 points.

Trevor Lawrence is playing well enough to match Allen in a shootout, but I don’t think that will be necessary. Give me the Jags at home.

Staff picks: Perri (JAX) | Horrobin (JAX) | Toman (BUF)

49ers vs. Eagles (Sunday, Jan. 11: 4:30 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Philadelphia -4.5
Toman says: This feels like a lot of points to bank with the 49ers, who ended the season as one of the hottest teams in the NFL.

Their final game was ugly, a 13-3 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, who had an NFL-best +191 point differential, with the No. 1 seed in the NFC at stake.

That marked San Francisco’s lone loss since Brock Purdy’s return in Week 11, as it went 6-1 straight up and 5-1-1 ATS to close out the season.

While the 49ers took care of weaker competition down the stretch, they still flashed a dynamic offence more often than not. Dropping 35-plus points, something San Francisco did in three of its final four games, on the Eagles’ excellent defence is unlikely.

But the 49ers have the more trustworthy offence and I don’t think the Eagles will score enough to turn this into a route, if they even win at all.

Philadelphia averaged 22.3 PPG, third-worst among playoff teams and a considerable drop from the 29.0 it put up a season ago.

Staff picks: Perri (PHI) | Horrobin (SF) | Toman (SF)

Chargers vs. Patriots (Sunday, Jan. 11: 8 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: New England -3.5
Horrobin says: What a sophomore surge it’s been for Drake Maye, who led the NFL in completion percentage and yards per attempt in an MVP-calibre season.

I want to ride with Maye and the Patriots at home against the climate-controlled Chargers. New England is 7-3-1 ATS as a favourite this year, posting an NFL-best +14.8 average point differential in those games.

In their past 12 games, the Patriots have covered this number 10 times.

The Chargers are at risk of missing Omarion Hampton, who didn’t practice on Wednesday or Thursday, and they’re just 3-5-0 ATS on the road this year.

Staff picks: Perri (LAC) | Horrobin (NE) | Toman (LAC)

Monday Night Football ATS pick

Texans vs. Steelers (Monday, Jan. 12: 8:15 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Houston -3
Perri says: Pittsburgh hit its stride to close out the regular season, going 4-1 while allowing just 19.6 PPG. That included wins over Detroit and Baltimore (twice), with DK Metcalf and T.J. Watt both missing time.

Both playmakers will suit up in this wild-card duel, which I expect the Steelers to win. Why? C.J. Stroud’s road splits are impossible to ignore.

He went 1-3 against playoff teams on the road this year while posting a 4:6 TD-to-INT ratio. The lone win came indoors at SoFi Stadium against the Chargers.

In the playoffs on the road, Stroud’s Texans have scored 24 points across two losses. He should struggle against a surging defence in the cold. 

Staff picks: Perri (PIT) | Horrobin (PIT) | Toman (PIT)

NFL regular season ATS records:

• Toman: 134-130-8
• Perri: 133-131-8
• Horrobin: 123-141-8

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Super wild-card weekend has arrived, with six electric games on the slate.

NFL wild-card weekend narrative: All but one matchup features a spread inside five points, putting upsets in play across the board. Our staff’s top moneyline bet is on the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are underdogs at home to the Houston Texans.

Check out our NFL wild-card best bets for the first round of the playoffs, featuring a prop bet on Josh Allen against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

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NFL wild-card best bets

NFL wild-card best bets were written by NorthStar Bets writers Avery Perri and Chris Toman.

Allen over 36.5 rushing yards (-112): The Jaguars allowed the fewest rushing yards per game and tied for the second-fewest yards per attempt. They’ve smothered the run and much of their competition, closing out the season on an eight-game winning streak. 

But Allen is among the best runners at his position and has frequently demonstrated that when the stakes are highest. 

The Buffalo Bills star has topped this total in four of his last five playoff games, shattering this number several times. 

Allen, who cleared this line in 50% of his regular-season games, could be forced to use his legs more if James Cook struggles to gain yardage vs. the Jags’ strong run defence. 

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No team was thrown on more than the Jags, but Allen wasn’t a volume thrower this season, so I don’t think it’s right to assume the Bills will attempt to win this game through the air. 

That’s not their style. Buffalo likes to run the ball and Allen can reel off big plays on the ground due to his strength and quickness.

But defences must also respect Allen’s game-changing arm, which can create opportunities for him to scramble. Jacksonville didn’t face many running threats at the QB position, so Allen should present an interesting test to this group.

A tough road playoff game is the perfect spot for the reigning MVP to showcase his full package.

-Toman

NFL wild-card weekend prop bet

Davante Adams anytime TD (-125): Adams is expected to return for the Rams on Saturday, which is a big shot in the arm for L.A.’s red zone offence.

The veteran was a menace inside the 10-yard line this year, leading all wideouts in the following categories:

• Targets (23)
• Catches (11)
• Touchdowns (11)

That’s pretty remarkable, considering he only played 14 games.

-> Bet on NFL wild-card weekend touchdown scorers!

Adams had a strong outing against the Carolina Panthers in Week 13, hauling in two touchdowns.

He should be Matthew Stafford’s choice target again, with Carolina’s standout corner Jaycee Horn likely shadowing Puka Nacua all game.

-Perri

NFL wild-card upset pick: Bet on Steelers to win

Steelers moneyline (+155): The Texans enter the postseason on a 10-game winning streak and own the conference’s best scoring defence.

It shouldn’t come as a surprise that DeMeco Ryans’ squad is a 3.5-point favourite against Pittsburgh, which had the worst point differential among AFC playoff teams (+10) and punched its ticket on the final day of the regular season.

Still, I think there’s value to be had on the home side.

Houston’s defence is elite, but Pittsburgh’s has rounded into form as well.

The Steelers are 4-1 in their last five games, allowing 19.6 PPG. That includes victories over the Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens (twice).

-> See moneyline odds for all NFL playoff games

In that span (Week 14 onward), the Texans rank eighth in defensive EPA per play, and the Steelers rank 14th.

Not a huge gap, considering Pittsburgh was also missing T.J. Watt for three of those games.

Call me crazy, but I trust Aaron Rodgers’ offence more in this matchup.

C.J. Stroud hasn’t impressed me this year and has struggled on the road against good teams.

• The Texans have played four playoff teams on the road, going 1-3. Stroud had four TDs and six INTs in those games.

• Stroud’s career road splits (214 passing yards/game, 85.5 passer rating) are much worse than his home splits (258.9 passing yards/game, 101.2 passer rating).

With DK Metcalf back, I expect Rodgers to thrive in the cold weather as he did for a decade-plus in Green Bay.

-Perri

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NFL playoff over/under prediction

Packers/Bears under 46.5 points (-117): The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears meet for a third time this season, which should give each team’s defensive coordinator ample tape to grind.

On top of that, both teams love to run the rock, with Green Bay (48.71%) and Chicago (45.60%) ranking fifth and ninth, respectively, in run play percentage (per Team Rankings).

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I wouldn’t be surprised to see that tick well north of 50% if the Windy City holds up to its name.

At the time of writing, the weather forecast in Chicago on Saturday night is ugly: Negative temperatures, snow, and 31 km/h sustained winds with 45 km/h gusts.

Jordan Love hasn’t played in three weeks with a concussion, so I expect him to be rusty.

On the other side, Caleb Williams has struggled against Green Bay’s secondary. He posted a 55.1 completion percentage and an 87.6 passer rating in two games this season.

The under on this total is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these rivals.

-Perri

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The final week of the NFL regular season is here, and we’re sifting through the chaos and delivering picks for each contest.

The Week 18 narrative: Some games mean everything for teams, and some mean absolutely nothing. But sometimes it’s the squad you least expect that puts it all on the line. Which NFL teams are going to show up and cover the number on Saturday and Sunday?

Check out our staff’s NFL Week 18 ATS picks for predictions on every game.

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NFL Week 18 ATS picks

NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs, Chris Toman and Steven Psihogios offer up their NFL Week 18 ATS picks for all 16 games.

NFL odds as of 11:30 a.m. ET on Friday, Jan. 2, 2026.

NFL Week 18 predictions: Saturday doubleheader

Panthers vs. Buccaneers (Saturday, Jan. 3: 4:30 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Buccaneers -3
Toman says: The Bucs are a terrible buy right now. They haven’t covered this number once since their Week 9 bye, winning by three points once over that stretch. That said, in their biggest game of the season, I’m willing to bet on their talent and am backing them to buck that trend with the NFC South on the line.

Staff picks: Perri (CAR) | Horrobin (TB) | Closs (TB) | Toman (TB) | Psihogios (CAR)

Seahawks vs. 49ers (Saturday, Jan. 3: 8 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Seahawks -1.5
Toman says: Getting any amount of points with the 49ers right now feels like a no-brainer, no disrespect to the NFC-best Seahawks. The 49ers are 7-1 straight up with quarterback Brock Purdy, winning all six games since he returned from injury. They’ve put up 40-plus points three times over that stretch, going 5-1 ATS, and winning all but one of those games by double digits.

Staff picks: Perri (SF) | Horrobin (SF) | Closs (SF) | Toman (SF) | Psihogios (SF)

-> Place your bets on the Week 18 slate

NFL Week 18 ATS picks: Early Sunday slate

Browns vs. Bengals (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Bengals -7.5
Toman says: It’s a shame Joe Burrow missed so much time, leading to a lost season for the Bengals. Outside of a Week 15 no-show vs. the Ravens, they’ve been an offensive powerhouse since Burrow returned from a foot injury. Cincinnati has scored 30-plus points in four of the five games and I’m confident they’ll end the year by winning big against the offensively challenged Browns.

Staff picks: Perri (CLE) | Horrobin (CIN) | Closs (CIN) | Toman (CIN) | Psihogios (CLE)

Cowboys vs. Giants (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Cowboys -3.5
Toman says: New York has experienced a lot of losing this season but has been competitive in many games. The Giants covered this number against the Cowboys in Week 2 and getting up for a season-ending game vs. a divisional rival shouldn’t be an issue. Dallas doesn’t have trouble scoring, but its defence should give plenty back against the Jaxson Dart-led Giants.

Staff picks: Perri (DAL) | Horrobin (NYG) | Closs (NYG) | Toman (NYG) | Psihogios (DAL)

Packers vs. Vikings (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Vikings -7.5
Horrobin says: If you want to know what Green Bay looks like in a meaningless game, just go back to its Week 17 performance against Baltimore. The Packers got run over, allowing a staggering 307 rushing yards in a 41-24 home loss. Against the Clayton Tune-led Packers, look for Minnesota to collect its fifth consecutive ATS victory before Cancun beckons.

Staff picks: Perri (MIN) | Horrobin (MIN) | Closs (MIN) | Toman (MIN) | Psihogios (GB)

-> Bet on the last week of the NFL regular season!

Colts vs. Texans (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Texans -10
Psihogios says: Indianapolis is out of the playoff picture and turning to Riley Leonard in Week 18. Leonard threw for 145 scoreless yards and an interception in his lone true appearance in 2025, and now he has to battle the best defence in the NFL. The Texans are ceding the fewest points per game (16.6) and are fifth in sacks (46).

Staff picks: Perri (HOU) | Horrobin (HOU) | Closs (IND) | Toman (HOU) | Psihogios (HOU)

Saints vs. Falcons (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Falcons -3.5
Horrobin says: I can bank a field goal and a hook with the Saints amid their four-game win streak (and five-game ATS win streak)? Sign me up for that. Regardless of whether Atlanta can play spoiler to the Bucs, the biggest motivating factor in this game is the Offensive Rookie of the Year case for Tyler Shough. In his past three games, Shough has a 109.8 passer rating and zero interceptions.

Staff picks: Perri (NO) | Horrobin (NO) | Closs (ATL) | Toman (NO) | Psihogios (NO)

Titans vs. Jaguars (Sunday, Jan. 4: 1 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Jaguars -13
Horrobin says: It’s a lot of points, but Jacksonville has won by a greater margin than this five times during its seven-game win streak. That includes a 25-3 drubbing of the Titans at the end of November in Tennessee. The Titans had fewer than 200 total yards in that game, and I expect them to once again struggle against the red-hot Jags defence (15.6 opponent PPG in their past seven games).

Staff picks: Perri (JAX) | Horrobin (JAX) | Closs (JAX) | Toman (TEN) | Psihogios (TEN)

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NFL ATS predictions: Late Sunday afternoon slate

Cardinals vs. Rams (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Rams -7.5
Horrobin says: Reports throughout the week suggest that starters will play for both sides despite there being very little at stake (Arizona is out, and L.A. could be locked into the NFC’s No. 6 seed before kick-off). I like the Rams, who beat Arizona by four touchdowns a month ago. L.A. is 5-2 ATS at home this season, while Arizona is 1-7 ATS in its past eight overall.

Staff picks: Perri (LAR) | Horrobin (LAR) | Closs (LAR) | Toman (LAR) | Psihogios (LAR)

Lions vs. Bears (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Bears -3
Horrobin says: Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its past seven games, coming off back-to-back outright losses as a 7.5-point favourite. While I’m sure the Lions don’t want Ben Johnson to twist the knife on their failed season, I don’t think they can stop it. Chicago has covered or pushed a -3 spread in six straight home games, and a win ensures the Bears hit the postseason as the NFC’s No. 2 seed.

Staff picks: Perri (DET) | Horrobin (CHI) | Closs (DET) | Toman (DET) | Psihogios (CHI)

Chiefs vs. Raiders (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Chiefs -6
Horrobin says: Do the Raiders have one more dud in them? I’ll say yes. A loss on Sunday would lock up the No. 1 pick for Las Vegas after its 34-10 defeat against the similarly dreadful Giants at home last week. Amid a 10-game losing streak, the Raiders have a -14.7 average point differential. KC has nothing to play for, but the team covered in Chris Oladokun’s debut and has three extra days of rest.

Staff picks: Perri (LV) | Horrobin (KC) | Closs (LV) | Toman (KC) | Psihogios (LV)

-> Make your own Week 18 ATS picks at NorthStar Bets

Chargers vs. Broncos (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Broncos -13
Horrobin says: Denver faced an army of backups last week in Kansas City and failed to win convincingly. That’s been a theme for the Broncos, who are 13-3 but only have two wins by multiple scores. The Broncos know a win will grant them the AFC’s No. 1 seed, and that should certainly happen, but I don’t expect it to come by this margin.

Staff picks: Perri (DEN) | Horrobin (LAC) | Closs (LAC) | Toman (LAC) | Psihogios (LAC)

Dolphins vs. Patriots (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Patriots -11.5
Psihogios says: New England can move to first in the AFC, but it needs a Denver loss. The Patriots could fall to third with a loss, but that depends on what happens with Jacksonville. In short, this game might not mean very much. The Dolphins played spoiler in Week 17, and Quinn Ewers will continue to showcase his skills. Miami and New England played a close game earlier this year, and I expect a repeat effort.

Staff picks: Perri (NE) | Horrobin (NE) | Closs (NE) | Toman (NE) | Psihogios (MIA)

Jets vs. Bills (Sunday, Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Bills -7.5
Psihogios says: We might only see Josh Allen and James Cook for a drive or two, but Mitch Trubisky and Ray Davis are likely still better than what the Jets are throwing out there. The Brady Cook era hasn’t been successful in New York, as the QB has tossed one touchdown to seven interceptions while taking 18 sacks in four games.

Staff picks: Perri (NYJ) | Horrobin (BUF) | Closs (BUF) | Toman (BUF) | Psihogios (BUF)

Commanders vs. Eagles (Sunday, Dec. Jan. 4: 4:25 p.m. ET)

NorthStar Bets line: Eagles -4
Psihogios says: Jalen Hurts is resting in Week 17, but that only means we get to see the Irish Assassin come in. Tanner McKee was sensational in his two appearances last year, completing 30-of-45 attempts for 323 passing yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions. That’s better than anything we’ve seen out of Josh Johnson this year, who has zero passing touchdowns and one interception this year.

Staff picks: Perri (PHI) | Horrobin (WSH) | Closs (PHI) | Toman (WSH) | Psihogios (PHI)

Sunday Night Football ATS picks

Ravens vs. Steelers (Sunday, Jan. 4: 8:20 p.m. ET)

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NorthStar Bets line: Ravens -3.5
Toman says: Lamar Jackson said he’s playing after missing Week 17 with a back issue. The star QB has missed several games this season and isn’t running as he has in past years. Given that, and the Ravens’ overall mediocrity, it’s hard for me not to take the points with the home Steelers despite a brutal Week 17 loss to Cleveland. Baltimore is an AFC-worst 6-10 ATS and lost straight up to Pittsburgh in Week 14.

Staff picks: Perri (PIT) | Horrobin (PIT) | Closs (PIT) | Toman (PIT) | Psihogios (PIT)

NFL ATS picks: Week 17 + season records

• Toman: 9-7 (125-123-8)
• Psihogios: 9-7 (122-126-8)
• Perri: 12-4 (122-126-8)
• Closs: 4-12 (116-132-8)
• Horrobin: 5-11 (114-134-8)

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