Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Jazz vs. Raptors SGP predictions Feb. 1: Look for Scottie Barnes, Collin Murray-Boyles to make noise for Toronto

With the NBA’s worst defensive team in town, the Toronto Raptors embark on a five-game homestand Sunday night.

The pregame narrative: The Utah Jazz have dropped nine of their past 10 games entering tonight’s matchup at Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is just 13-11 at home this season, but the team is a substantial 11-point favourite in this matchup.

Check out my Jazz vs. Raptors SGP predictions for Feb. 1, featuring Jusuf Nurkic, Scottie Barnes and Collin Murray-Boyles.

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Jazz vs. Raptors SGP

Parlay: Nurkic +15 rebounds/assists | Barnes 8+ rebounds | Murray-Boyles over 2.5 assists (+310)

Nurkic 15+ rebounds/assists (-148): Nurkic is averaging 10.1 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season, putting him right on this number.

But that’s not an accurate depiction of what the veteran centre has been up to lately.

Nurkic, in his first year with the lowly Jazz, has become somewhat of a bargain-brand version of Nikola Jokic. The 6-foot-11, 290-pound centre is starting to move the ball a lot more from the middle of the halfcourt.

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Over his past 15 games, Nurkic is averaging 11.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists. He is 11-4 vs. this prop.

And the big man’s ceiling is quite high in both statistical categories. Just this month, he has as many as 18 rebounds and/or 14 assists in a given game.

Toronto is overwhelmingly athletic, but with Jakob Poeltl still sidelined, there’s no one remotely on Nurkic’s level in terms of size. He should be heavily involved for Utah.

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NBA SGP legs

Barnes 8+ rebounds (-230): With the aforementioned Poeltl out, Barnes should continue to be the Raptors’ primary rebounder. And with that in mind, this milestone is well within reach.

Since Dec. 23, which marks the start of Poeltl’s extended absence, Barnes is 11-8 vs. this prop. He’s averaging 8.8 RPG in that span.

More recently, Barnes has 8+ rebounds in five straight.

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Barnes has actually been Toronto’s top rebounder all season, hauling in 8.3 per game (Poeltl is at 7.7 RPG). So either way, it’s reasonable to expect him to cash this bet.

In a pair of matchups vs. the Jazz last season (both in March), Barnes went 2-0 vs. this prop while pulling down 22 total boards.

Murray-Boyles over 2.5 assists (-148): Utah allows the most points and assists in the NBA. And with Murray-Boyles taking on a more well-rounded role in Toronto’s offence, this should be a cinch.

CMB joined Toronto’s starting lineup at the beginning of January and has done well to embody the Raptors’ unselfish style of play.

In 11 games last month, Murray-Boyles averaged 3.7 APG and went 9-2 vs. this prop.

He has at least four assists in four of his past six games and has cashed this bet in seven straight. This simply isn’t a very high line for someone who typically plays 30-ish minutes and knows how to swing the ball.

Oh, and the A+ matchup doesn’t hurt, either.

Jazz vs. Raptors predictions made at 2:15 p.m. on Feb. 1, 2026.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP predictions Feb. 1: With Nikola Jokic, Denver should cover as home underdogs

For the first time since their seven-game playoff series last spring, the Oklahoma City Thunder tangle with the Denver Nuggets on Sunday night.

The pregame narrative: Nikola Jokic is healthy again, which is great news for a Denver squad that impressively held serve in his absence. The Nuggets are in second in the Western Conference, merely 5.0 games behind a Thunder team that has been uncharacteristically shaky in recent weeks.

Check out my Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for Feb. 1, featuring Jokic and Isaiah Hartenstein.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP

Parlay: Nuggets +5.5 | Jokic 35+ points/rebounds | Hartenstein 6+ rebounds (+310)

Nuggets +5.5 (+123): I’m a bit surprised to see the Nuggets laying 7.5 points at home tonight, and it’s nice to be able to tease this into a plus-money territory while leaving some cushion.

Aaron Gordon is out, but Jokic’s return more than makes up for that.

And it’s not like the Thunder have been playing defending-champion-calibre hoops lately.

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OKC is 2-5 ATS in its past seven games, with four outright losses as a favourite in that span. That includes home losses against the Pacers and Raptors while laying double-digit spreads.

The Nuggets went 7-3 ATS vs. the Thunder last year, and they covered a +5.5 spread in all four home games. Denver also just dominated a red-hot Los Angeles Clippers squad (122-109 win) last time out.

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NBA SGP legs

Jokic 35+ points/rebounds (-162): After a month on the shelf with a knee injury, Jokic made a triumphant return for Denver on Friday.

Here’s what he accomplished in just 24:32 of game time:

31 points
12 rebounds
5 assists
8-of-11 shooting
13-of-17 free-throw shooting

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Jokic’s shot volume isn’t always high, but he’s an expert at doing more with less. His 60.8/43.9/84.7 shooting splits speak for themselves.

OKC has allowed the sixth-most rebounds per game this season, so that’s another area in which the 284-pound centre should have an impact.

Jokic is 23-10 vs. this prop this season, and he went 8-2 vs. this prop when facing the Thunder last year.

Hartenstein 6+ rebounds (-335): Like Jokic, Hartenstein is only one game removed from a lengthy injury absence. He came off the bench in his return and will require some ramp-up time, but this rebounding milestone should be a safe play.

The ex-Knick is 23-2 vs. this prop. The only unders came in the game when he got hurt and his first game back.

Last time out, Hartenstein grabbed five rebounds in 18 minutes. He typically averages 10.2 rebounds in 26.5 minutes. A modest uptick in his time on the court should translate to at least one additional rebound.

In nine matchups vs. Denver last year, Hartenstein went 9-0 vs. this prop and averaged 8.8 RPG.

Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP predictions made at 1 p.m. on Feb. 1, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Feb. 1: Bet on Kawhi Leonard, Josh Hart and Dylan Harper

Kawhi Leonard is looking like an ageless wonder for the Los Angeles Clippers, and I think there’s a smash play with his name on it for Sunday night.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Kawhi has been huge for the Clippers during their midseason resurgence, and I’m expecting him to stuff the stat sheet again tonight. Elsewhere, expect the same from Josh Hart against the defensively inept Los Angeles Lakers.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 1, featuring a prediction on Dylan Harper.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 1

Best bet: Leonard over 31.5 points/rebounds/assists (-130)

I get that the Phoenix Suns, who rank fifth in defensive rating, are a quality opponent. But this PRA line seems way too low for Kawhi, and I’d take the over against any opponent right now.

On the season, Leonard is averaging 27.7 points, 6.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists. That equates to 37.3 PRA, which is obviously well north of tonight’s line.

Since the start of December, Leonard is up to 28.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.8 assists (38.9 PRA).

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The 14-year veteran leads the Clippers in scoring, and he’s second in both rebounds and assists. Simply put, when he’s on the court, the Klaw has his hands on pretty much everything L.A. does.

His lone matchup against the Suns came all the way back in October, and it was yet another solid outing. He finished with 27 points (11-for-21 shooting), five rebounds and five assists in a blowout victory.

And again, I’m not even really thinking about the matchup. Kawhi has largely crushed this line, and I like his chances of doing so again.

Key stat: Kawhi is 20-4 vs. this line since the start of December.

Best NBA picks

Harper over 9.5 points (-118): The San Antonio Spurs are playing on a back-to-back after a narrow loss to the Charlotte Hornets last night. I’m hoping that a lack of rest will translate to more evenly distributed minutes on Sunday.

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Harper was a star off the bench last night, dropping 20 points. He’s cashed this bet in back-to-back games while shooting 17 for 24 (70.8%) from the floor.

I’ll ride the hot hand in a matchup against the Orlando Magic, who allow the second-most points per game to opposing point guards (according to Fantasy Pros).

Harper doesn’t always play point, but that’s … besides the point, if you know what I mean. The 2025 lottery pick is 21-17 vs. this line and is playing great right now.

NBA player prop predictions

Hart over 25.5 points/rebounds/assists (-125): The Los Angeles Lakers aren’t exactly imposing on defence. They rank 25th in defensive rating, which is the worst among all teams in the playoff picture.

Hart, an ex-Laker, averages 25.2 PRA and should take advantage of this matchup.

In his past three games vs. L.A., since February 2023, Hart has put up 18.7 points, 11.3 rebounds and 5.7 assists. He’s 3-0 vs. this prop in that span.

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Hart has 20+ points in back-to-back games and is 3-1 vs. this prop in his past four overall. It’s a good time to buy in on the scrappy, do-it-all small forward.

NBA prop picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 1, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Feb. 1: Bet on Kawhi Leonard, Josh Hart and Dylan Harper

Kawhi Leonard is looking like an ageless wonder for the Los Angeles Clippers, and I think there’s a smash play with his name on it for Sunday night.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Kawhi has been huge for the Clippers during their midseason resurgence, and I’m expecting him to stuff the stat sheet again tonight. Elsewhere, expect the same from Josh Hart against the defensively inept Los Angeles Lakers.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 1, featuring a prediction on Dylan Harper.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 1

Best bet: Leonard over 30.5 points/rebounds/assists (-124)

I get that the Phoenix Suns, who rank fifth in defensive rating, are a quality opponent. But this PRA line seems way too low for Kawhi, and I’d take the over against any opponent right now.

On the season, Leonard is averaging 27.7 points, 6.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists. That equates to 37.3 PRA, which is obviously well north of tonight’s line.

Since the start of December, Leonard is up to 28.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.8 assists (38.9 PRA).

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The 14-year veteran leads the Clippers in scoring, and he’s second in both rebounds and assists. Simply put, when he’s on the court, the Klaw has his hands on pretty much everything L.A. does.

His lone matchup against the Suns came all the way back in October, and it was yet another solid outing. He finished with 27 points (11-for-21 shooting), five rebounds and five assists in a blowout victory.

And again, I’m not even really thinking about the matchup. Kawhi has largely crushed this line, and I like his chances of doing so again.

Key stat: Kawhi is 20-4 vs. this line since the start of December.

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Best NBA picks

Harper over 9.5 points (-103): The San Antonio Spurs are playing on a back-to-back after a narrow loss to the Charlotte Hornets last night. I’m hoping that a lack of rest will translate to more evenly distributed minutes on Sunday.

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Harper was a star off the bench last night, dropping 20 points. He’s cashed this bet in back-to-back games while shooting 17 for 24 (70.8%) from the floor.

I’ll ride the hot hand in a matchup against the Orlando Magic, who allow the second-most points per game to opposing point guards (according to Fantasy Pros).

Harper doesn’t always play point, but that’s … besides the point, if you know what I mean. The 2025 lottery pick is 21-17 vs. this line and is playing great right now.

NBA player prop predictions

Hart over 25.5 points/rebounds/assists (-120): The Los Angeles Lakers aren’t exactly imposing on defence. They rank 25th in defensive rating, which is the worst among all teams in the playoff picture.

Hart, an ex-Laker, averages 25.2 PRA and should take advantage of this matchup.

In his past three games vs. L.A., since February 2023, Hart has put up 18.7 points, 11.3 rebounds and 5.7 assists. He’s 3-0 vs. this prop in that span.

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Hart has 20+ points in back-to-back games and is 3-1 vs. this prop in his past four overall. It’s a good time to buy in on the scrappy, do-it-all small forward.

NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 1, 2026.

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Super Bowl LX player prop predictions: Picks on Mack Hollins, Sam Darnold and AJ Barner

What do Sam Darnold, Mack Hollins and AJ Barner all have in common? They’ve got my attention on the Super Bowl 60 prop markets.

Super Bowl prop bets narrative: Darnold, the Seattle Seahawks’ quarterback, has never been accused of being a running QB, but the even-money price on his rush attempts prop is well worth a look. My best bet features Hollins, who could be crucial for the New England Patriots as a deep threat.

Check out my top Super Bowl prop predictions for Patriots vs. Seahawks on Sunday, Feb. 8, 2026.

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Super Bowl 60 prop picks

Best bet: Hollins longest reception — Over 15.5 yards (-110)

The Seahawks’ defence is great against the pass, but it’s the best unit in the league against the run.

New England will need to take some shots in this game, and Hollins has arguably the best chance at connecting.

Hollins’ involvement has been all over the map for the Patriots this year, but that’s OK. When the Pats look his way, they’re usually going deep.

The journeyman wideout has a compelling combination of deep targets and sure-handed reliability.

According to RotoWire, he ranks in the 76th percentile in average depth of target (12.8 yards), the 80th percentile in catch rate (70.8%) and the 77th percentile in drop rate (1.5%).

Plenty of the credit belongs to his quarterback, Drake Maye, who led the NFL in completion percentage, yards per attempt and air yards per attempt this season.

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After a slow start with his new team, Hollins was cooking from Weeks 10-16. He averaged 7.0 targets and 55.5 yards per game.

But an abdominal injury sidelined him for the ensuing four games before he made a triumphant return in the AFC championship. In that game, he caught both of his targets for 51 yards, producing two of the Patriots’ very limited chunk plays.

Hollins now has seven catches of 20-plus yards in his past seven games. I really like his chances of reeling in another big one in the Super Bowl.

Key stat: Hollins is 8-2 vs. this prop in his past 10 games.

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Sam Darnold Super Bowl prop pick

Darnold over 2.5 rush attempts (+100): There’s one mobile quarterback in this game, and it ain’t Darnold. But I’m not asking him to tear up the field.

Remember, kneel-downs count. So if Seattle has the opportunity to end the first half quietly and/or deploy victory formation in the fourth quarter, Darnold could cash this bet without ever trying to work upfield.

Darnold had just 35 rush attempts for 95 yards this season, which equates to 2.1 attempts per game. Not great, but not terrible.

Here’s what caught my eye: He’s 6-1 vs. this prop in his past seven games, with 22 total rush attempts in that span.

He’ll very likely need at least one kneel-down to have a shot at cashing, so it’s a good thing the Seahawks (-4.5) are the ones expected to win.

Seahawks vs. Patriots prop bet

Barner over 24.5 yards (-118): Barner’s offensive production has been underwhelming lately, and he’s failed to cash this bet in three straight games. His baseline of opportunities is still drawing me in, though.

Let’s zoom out a bit and look at what Barner has done in his past 10 games:

4.5 targets/game
3.3 catches/game
29.6 yards/game
3+ targets in 9 of 10
25+ yards in 6 of 10

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Elijah Arroyo is the other pass-catching tight end in Seattle, but the rookie sat out due to a coach’s decision in the NFC championship.

Arroyo’s status will be worth monitoring ahead of the Super Bowl, but either way, Barner will be the primary offensive weapon in the TE group.

New England allowed the 11th-most receiving yards to tight ends during the regular season (57.1/game). Two of three opposing TEs have cashed this bet against them in the playoffs.

Super Bowl 60 prop picks made at 2:33 p.m. ET on Jan. 30, 2026.

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Super Bowl LX player prop predictions: Picks on Mack Hollins, Sam Darnold and AJ Barner

What do Sam Darnold, Mack Hollins and AJ Barner all have in common? They’ve got my attention on the Super Bowl 60 prop markets.

Super Bowl prop bets narrative: Darnold, the Seattle Seahawks’ quarterback, has never been accused of being a running QB, but the plus-money price on his rush attempts prop is well worth a look. My best bet features Hollins, who could be crucial for the New England Patriots as a deep threat.

Check out my top Super Bowl prop predictions for Patriots vs. Seahawks on Sunday, Feb. 8, 2026.

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Super Bowl 60 prop picks

Best bet: Hollins longest reception — Over 16.5 yards (-114)

The Seahawks’ defence is great against the pass, but it’s the best unit in the league against the run.

New England will need to take some shots in this game, and Hollins has arguably the best chance at connecting.

Hollins’ involvement has been all over the map for the Patriots this year, but that’s OK. When the Pats look his way, they’re usually going deep.

The journeyman wideout has a compelling combination of deep targets and sure-handed reliability.

According to RotoWire, he ranks in the 76th percentile in average depth of target (12.8 yards), the 80th percentile in catch rate (70.8%) and the 77th percentile in drop rate (1.5%).

Plenty of the credit belongs to his quarterback, Drake Maye, who led the NFL in completion percentage, yards per attempt and air yards per attempt this season.

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After a slow start with his new team, Hollins was cooking from Weeks 10-16. He averaged 7.0 targets and 55.5 yards per game.

But an abdominal injury sidelined him for the ensuing four games before he made a triumphant return in the AFC championship. In that game, he caught both of his targets for 51 yards, producing two of the Patriots’ very limited chunk plays.

Hollins now has seven catches of 20-plus yards in his past seven games. I really like his chances of reeling in another big one in the Super Bowl.

Key stat: Hollins is 8-2 vs. this prop in his past 10 games.

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Sam Darnold Super Bowl prop pick

Darnold over 2.5 rush attempts (+112): There’s one mobile quarterback in this game, and it ain’t Darnold. But I’m not asking him to tear up the field.

Remember, kneel-downs count. So if Seattle has the opportunity to end the first half quietly and/or deploy victory formation in the fourth quarter, Darnold could cash this bet without ever trying to work upfield.

Darnold had just 35 rush attempts for 95 yards this season, which equates to 2.1 attempts per game. Not great, but not terrible.

Here’s what caught my eye: He’s 6-1 vs. this prop in his past seven games, with 22 total rush attempts in that span.

He’ll very likely need at least one kneel-down to have a shot at cashing, so it’s a good thing the Seahawks (-4.5) are the ones expected to win.

Seahawks vs. Patriots prop bet

Barner over 24.5 yards (-122): Barner’s offensive production has been underwhelming lately, and he’s failed to cash this bet in three straight games. His baseline of opportunities is still drawing me in, though.

Let’s zoom out a bit and look at what Barner has done in his past 10 games:

4.5 targets/game
3.3 catches/game
29.6 yards/game
3+ targets in 9 of 10
25+ yards in 6 of 10

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Elijah Arroyo is the other pass-catching tight end in Seattle, but the rookie sat out due to a coach’s decision in the NFC championship.

Arroyo’s status will be worth monitoring ahead of the Super Bowl, but either way, Barner will be the primary offensive weapon in the TE group.

New England allowed the 11th-most receiving yards to tight ends during the regular season (57.1/game). Two of three opposing TEs have cashed this bet against them in the playoffs.

Super Bowl 60 prop picks made at 2:33 p.m. ET on Jan. 30, 2026.

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Pistons vs. Warriors SGP predictions Jan. 30: Bet on Podziemski to shine, Golden State to cover alt spread

The Detroit Pistons cap a three-game Western Conference road trip on Friday night with a showdown against the Golden State Warriors.

The pregame narrative: Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its past nine games, playing as a favourite in all of those matchups. Tonight, Golden State is a slight home favourite while playing with a rest advantage.

Check out my Pistons vs. Warriors SGP predictions for Jan. 30, featuring Jalen Duren and Brandin Podziemski.

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Pistons vs. Warriors SGP

Parlay: Warriors +3.5 | Duren to record a double-double | Podziemski over 4.5 assists (+390)

Warriors +3.5 (-210): My colleague Avery Perri backed the Pistons to win in Phoenix last night, and I was on board with that prediction.

But Detroit fell behind early and then forgot how to make a shot in the fourth quarter, which resulted in a 114-96 loss.

Playing on a back-to-back, I think the Pistons will lose again. But I’m going to bank some points with the Warriors just for a bit of extra cushion.

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Golden State is 8-4 (SU and ATS) with a rest advantage this season, per Team Rankings.

Dating back to January 2023, the Warriors have covered a +3.5 line in all five matchups vs. the Pistons (4-1 SU in that span).

The Warriors’ +7.1 net rating at home this season ranks sixth in the NBA.

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NBA SGP legs

Duren to record a double-double (-210): Duren has 10+ points in 35 of 39 games, so this is essentially a bet on him to secure 10+ rebounds.

And given that his 10-rebound prop is priced at -265, this seems like a more sensible way to back the young centre.

Duren is averaging 17.9 points and 10.6 rebounds this season. He is 21-18 vs. this prop.

Golden State allows the fourth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, according to Fantasy Pros.

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Assuming he plays — and there’s no reason to suspect he won’t — the lack of rest shouldn’t faze the 22-year-old.

In five games played on zero rest this season, Duren is averaging 18.0 points and 11.6 rebounds.

Podziemski over 4.5 assists (+120): Here’s where the SGP really takes a jump, from +128 to +390. But looking for five assists from Podziemski is well within range.

When Jimmy Butler went down with a season-ending knee injury, Podziemski was elevated to the Warriors’ starting lineup.

In five games as a starter since then, Podziemski has accrued 29 assists and is 3-2 vs. this prop.

He’s leading Golden State in potential assists (i.e., passes that lead directly to a shot) in that span, averaging 11.2 per game.

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Draymond Green is the Warriors’ leading passer, but he’s only at 5.3 APG. There’s plenty of room for Podziemski to make his mark as a facilitator, as he has already shown.

Pistons vs. Warriors SGP made at 12:30 p.m. on Jan. 30, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 30: Predictions on Collin Gillespie, Neemias Queta, Egor Demin

If you want some star-powered NBA prop picks … these might not be for you. I’m going deep in my bag for Friday’s predictions, headlined by Collin Gillespie.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Gillespie, the undrafted point guard out of Villanova, has been huge from 3-point land in his third NBA season. Then there’s Boston centre Neemias Queta, in his first year as a starter, who draws a compelling matchup at home against a struggling opponent.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Jan. 30, featuring a pick on Brooklyn Nets point guard Egor Demin.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 30

Best bet: Gillespie over 2.5 threes (-138)

There’s a lot of extra juice on this prop, but I still think it’s in a reasonable range to play as a straight wager.

And the line is in a great spot for a guy who’s been among the most efficient 3-point shooters in the league this season.

Among 96 players who’ve attempted five or more 3s per game, Gillespie’s 42.6 3PT% ranks seventh in the NBA.

Over his past 20 games, Gillespie has shot 43.8% from deep. Only three players have a higher 3PT% this season.

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Gillespie has taken on a much greater offensive role this season. After attempting just 2.7 threes per game last year, he’s now making 3.0 threes per game (on 6.9 attempts).

Overall this season, Gillespie is 29-18 vs. this prop. More notably, he’s 7-1 in his past eight games with a 51.9 3PT%.

Bet on the Suns’ sharpshooter in a plus matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Key stat: Cleveland has allowed the third-highest opponent 3PT% in the NBA (37.4).

Best NBA picks

Queta over 20.5 points/rebounds (-110): Queta is averaging 8.0 points and 10.0 rebounds this season, so he often falls just short of this mark. But the matchup tonight is quite compelling.

The Sacramento Kings, who Queta will face, have the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA.

They also allow the most points and the third-most rebounds to opposing centres, according to Fantasy Pros.

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Domantas Sabonis has been back for seven games after a two-month injury absence, and it seems like he’s close to returning to full strength. But the Kings just played last night, and there’s no guarantee Sabonis will suit up on zero rest.

After all, Sabonis hasn’t played both ends of a back-to-back since Nov. 11-12.

Queta is 6-6 vs. this prop in his past 12 games, and a plus matchup should put him over the edge.

NBA player prop predictions

Demin over 17.5 points/rebounds/assists (-130): The Nets gutted out a narrow loss at altitude last night in Denver, but Demin — who rarely plays back-to-backs — was in street clothes.

He should be back in action tonight as Brooklyn’s most rested player for a matchup in Utah.

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With that in mind, I like Demin’s chances of chipping in at this rather modest PRA total.

In his past 12 games, the rookie out of BYU is 11-7 vs. this prop while averaging 13.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists.

The Jazz are an ideal matchup, given that they allow the most points overall, as well as the second-most points and assists to opposing point guards.

NBA prop picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on Jan. 30, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 30: Predictions on Collin Gillespie, Neemias Queta, Egor Demin

If you want some star-powered NBA prop picks … these might not be for you. I’m going deep in my bag for Friday’s predictions, headlined by Collin Gillespie.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Gillespie, the undrafted point guard out of Villanova, has been huge from 3-point land in his third NBA season. Then there’s Boston centre Neemias Queta, in his first year as a starter, who draws a compelling matchup at home against a struggling opponent.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Jan. 30, featuring a pick on Brooklyn Nets point guard Egor Demin.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 30

Best bet: Gillespie over 2.5 threes (-139)

There’s a lot of extra juice on this prop, but I still think it’s in a reasonable range to play as a straight wager.

And the line is in a great spot for a guy who’s been among the most efficient 3-point shooters in the league this season.

Among 96 players who’ve attempted five or more 3s per game, Gillespie’s 42.6 3PT% ranks seventh in the NBA.

Over his past 20 games, Gillespie has shot 43.8% from deep. Only three players have a higher 3PT% this season.

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Gillespie has taken on a much greater offensive role this season. After attempting just 2.7 threes per game last year, he’s now making 3.0 threes per game (on 6.9 attempts).

Overall this season, Gillespie is 29-18 vs. this prop. More notably, he’s 7-1 in his past eight games with a 51.9 3PT%.

Bet on the Suns’ sharpshooter in a plus matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Key stat: Cleveland has allowed the third-highest opponent 3PT% in the NBA (37.4).

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Best NBA picks

Queta 20+ points/rebounds (-130): Queta is averaging 8.0 points and 10.0 rebounds this season, so he often falls just short of this mark. But the matchup tonight is quite compelling.

The Sacramento Kings, who Queta will face, have the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA.

They also allow the most points and the third-most rebounds to opposing centres, according to Fantasy Pros.

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Domantas Sabonis has been back for seven games after a two-month injury absence, and it seems like he’s close to returning to full strength. But the Kings just played last night, and there’s no guarantee Sabonis will suit up on zero rest.

After all, Sabonis hasn’t played both ends of a back-to-back since Nov. 11-12.

Queta is 6-6 vs. this prop in his past 12 games, and a plus matchup should put him over the edge.

NBA player prop predictions

Demin over 16.5 points/rebounds/assists (-134): The Nets gutted out a narrow loss at altitude last night in Denver, but Demin — who rarely plays back-to-backs — was in street clothes.

He should be back in action tonight as Brooklyn’s most rested player for a matchup in Utah.

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With that in mind, I like Demin’s chances of chipping in at this rather modest PRA total.

In his past 12 games, the rookie out of BYU is 12-6 vs. this prop while averaging 13.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists.

The Jazz are an ideal matchup, given that they allow the most points overall, as well as the second-most points and assists to opposing point guards.

NBA prop picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET on Jan. 30, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 29: Predictions on Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Coby White

Jamal Murray and the shorthanded Denver Nuggets host the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday night, and I’ve got a pair of player props worth targeting.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Murray torched the Nets back on Jan. 4, and he should be counted on to put up some big-time numbers again. On the other side, ex-Nugget Michael Porter Jr. is thriving as the primary scorer on a bad team.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Jan. 29, featuring a pick on Chicago Bulls point guard Coby White.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 29

Best bet: Murray over 33.5 points/assists (-118)

On any given night, Murray can go off as a scorer or a passer. He has 13 games this season with 30+ points, along with 11 games of 10+ assists.

When he faced the Nets earlier this month, the Kitchener, Ontario native had everything working. Despite taking a 12-point loss, Murray finished with game-high totals in points (27) and assists (16).

Murray has been a key cog in Denver’s machine for a long time, but he’s particularly crucial right now. Nikola Jokic, the three-time MVP who leads the team in points, rebounds and assists, has been out all month with a knee injury.

And Aaron Gordon, who’s third on the Nuggets in points and fourth in assists, is slated to miss tonight’s game as well.

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The Nets rank 26th in defensive rating, and they’re allowing the sixth-most assists per game. Murray is accustomed to a minutes workload in the mid-30s, which comes with ample stat-stuffing opportunities.

Going all the way back to Dec. 3, Murray is 14-9 vs. this prop (60.9%) while averaging 36.0 PA. And his numbers stand out even more than that.

Key stat: In 11 games without Jokic this season, Murray has averaged 36.3 PA and is 7-4 vs. this line (63.6%).

Best NBA picks

Porter over 25.5 points (-130): Revenge game narratives can often get stretched too thin, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Porter was feeling some ill will toward his ex-employer.

After all, the Nuggets shipped him off to the lowly Nets this offseason, immediately extinguishing his chances of competing for a title.

But the move also freed up MPJ to take a boatload of shots, and he has happily obliged.

The former lottery pick, now in his seventh season, has taken more shots (18.6/game) and more 3s (9.4/game) than ever before. Naturally, that has led to a career-high scoring average (25.2 PPG).

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He really turned up the heat in December and has been particularly effective since then:

21 games
26.0 PPG
41.7 3PT%
14-7 vs. this prop

Porter dropped 27 points on Denver a few weeks ago, and I love his chances at a similar result tonight.

NBA player prop predictions

White over 5.5 assists (-118): This prop is asking for a bit more than what White typically produces as a passer, but he’s more than capable of cashing the over.

For the third straight season, White is averaging at least 4.5 assists. He’s currently at 4.7 APG in 26 games.

White has 6+ assists in three of his past five games.

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Based on his season-long stats, this prop is in coin-flip territory at best. What puts it over the edge, for me, is the matchup.

White will face the Miami Heat, who play at the fastest pace in the league. They allow the fifth-most assists per game, according to Fantasy Pros.

NBA prop picks made at 4 p.m. ET on Jan. 29, 2026.

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