Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Best NBA prop predictions Nov. 3: Bet on Nikola Jokic and Jrue Holiday in plus-money prop bets

The Portland Trail Blazers are catching the Los Angeles Lakers on a back-to-back Monday, and that matchup has my attention for my favourite NBA prop bet.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Portland’s Jrue Holiday is off to a great start as a passer, and he draws a nice matchup to keep that going tonight. In an all-Texas tussle down in Houston, look for Max Christie to feed off an ultra-efficient start as a scorer.

Check out my favourite NBA player prop predictions for Nov. 3, featuring Nikola Jokic.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the NBA today!

NBA prop predictions

Best bet: Holiday 8+ assists (+115)

In his age-35 season, Holiday is still an impact NBA player.

The veteran point guard is now on his fifth team, and so far he’s played as many minutes as anyone on Portland.

He also has more than twice as many assists as any other Blazer.

Is it likely that Holiday’s current 8.7 assists/game rate — which would be a career high — holds up? No, but Portland is counting on him to be their primary passer, so obtaining eight-or-so assists on a nightly basis isn’t far-fetched.

-> Bet on Lakers vs. Blazers prop markets at NorthStar Bets

Holiday is seventh in the NBA in potential assists/game (14.3), which denotes the number of passes a player makes that lead directly to a shot.

Next on the list among Portland players is Deni Avdija at 10.3 potential APG, and then it drops off to 5.5 (Blake Wesley).

There’s a clear pecking order with Holiday at the top.

Holiday is coming off a 13-assist game to move to 3-3 vs. this prop. He has at least six assists in every game, which is a nice floor to work from.

Key stat: Holiday’s opponents, the Lakers, have allowed the sixth-most assists to opposing PGs (10.15/game), per Fantasy Pros.

Embed: #120582

More prop picks

Jokic to record a triple-double (+105): Jokic averaged a triple-double last year for the first time, and somehow that wasn’t enough to help him earn a fourth MVP award.

Well, he’s on track to average a triple-double again, and he currently leads the NBA in rebounds and assists on a per-game basis.

20.4 PPG
14.4 RPG
10.8 APG
Triple-double in 4 of 5 games

Jokic typically feasts against the Sacramento Kings, who currently have the fourth-worst defensive rating in the NBA.

In his past five games vs. the Kings, Jokic has averaged 22.2/15.4/11.6 and gone 4-1 vs. this prop.

Christie over 10.5 points (-120): When will Christie’s superb efficiency lead to a greater shot volume?

The 22-year-old is shooting 53.3% from the floor through six games, going 16-for-32 from 3-point range in the process.

He plays big minutes (30.0 MPG) but is attempting fewer than eight shots per night.

-> Bet on Christie to clear his points total

Christie is 3-3 vs. this prop while scoring at least nine points in every game. He can’t possibly stay this efficient for long, but in the short term, I expect him to get a few more looks for the Dallas Mavericks.

Especially as the team hunts for offence with Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively sidelined.

NBA player prop predictions made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 11/03/25.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

World Series home run picks Game 7: Bet on George Springer and Freddie Freeman to go deep

Hitting a home run in Game 7 of the World Series is something any baseball fan dreams of. Who will realize that dream on Saturday night?

The pregame narrative: The Toronto Blue Jays host the Los Angeles Dodgers in a winner-take-all championship battle tonight, with Max Scherzer scheduled to start against Shohei Ohtani. There were 15 homers in the first five games, but none in Game 6 on Friday.

Check out our staff’s World Series home run picks for Game 7 on Nov. 1.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the Jays to win the World Series!

World Series home run picks: Game 7

NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri and Jordan Horrobin offer up their top World Series home run prop predictions for Game 7 on Saturday.

George Springer (+375)

Springer etched himself in Toronto sports lore with his epic home run in Game 7 of the ALCS.

GEORGE SPRINGER GO-AHEAD HOME RUN IN GAME 7

WOW!!! pic.twitter.com/Skt9REgmm0
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) October 21, 2025

-> Bet on Springer to hit a dinger in World Series Game 7!

The veteran DH is as clutch as it gets — his 23 postseason home runs rank third all-time — and I think he has one more moment in store tonight.

Let’s not forget he’s coming off a monster regular season, too:

4th in wRC+ (166)
7th in SLG (.560)
17th in HR (33)

Batting from the right side, Springer runs reverse splits against right-handed pitchers.

He slashed .327/.412/.588 vs. RHPs this year and is one of several Blue Jays to have Ohtani’s number.

Springer is 7-for-15 against Ohtani with two home runs.

Tyler Glasnow will likely have a bulk role in this game after Ohtani exits. Springer has hit him hard, too, going 6-for-16 with a home run.

-Perri

Freddie Freeman (+450)

Max Scherzer is putting the finishing touches on a Hall-of-Fame career, and he’s had some awesome moments in this final chapter.

But the ball will be a flight risk for however long he’s on the mound in Game 7.

Scherzer coughed up two home runs in his first start over the Fall Classic. Dating back to Aug. 25, he has allowed 11 HRs in his past eight starts.

His 2.08 HR/9 this season is nearly double what his career average was entering the year (1.05 HR/9).

-> See all Game 7 player props at NorthStar Bets

Freeman didn’t homer off Scherzer back in Game 3, but he does have three HRs and a .429 SLG in this head-to-head matchup (66 plate appearances).

Those aren’t the best power numbers imaginable, but at least the level of familiarity is high.

Freeman, last year’s World Series MVP, hasn’t been as productive this time around. But he’s been better than his numbers suggest.

According to Baseball Savant, Freeman has a .262 xBA against the Blue Jays — compared to a .217 BA (5-for-23).

The first baseman had the walk-off homer to wrap up Game 3 in the 18th inning, and he’s been close to clearing the wall a handful of other times. Freeman has five fly-ball outs with an exit velocity north of 98 mph that travelled at least 350 feet.

I think there’s a good chance someone goes yard off Scherzer, and Freeman is my favourite pick given the price tag.

-Horrobin

World Series prop picks made at 1:55 p.m. ET on 11/01/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Mavericks vs. Pistons SGP predictions Nov. 1: Fade Flagg, bet on Cunningham to score in Mexico City

The Detroit Pistons and Dallas Mavericks are in Mexico City on Saturday for a late-night tip-off.

The pregame narrative: Both teams have played some pretty low-scoring basketball to this point, and I think they’re on a collision course for another defensive struggle tonight. Cooper Flagg is off to a bumpy start and is worth fading as a passer.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Pistons SGP predictions for Nov. 1, featuring a prediction on Cade Cunningham.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NBA

Mavericks vs. Pistons predictions

Parlay: Flagg under 3.5 assists | Cunningham 20+ points | Under 232.5 points (+320)

Flagg under 3.5 assists (+112): Dallas has opted to give the 6-foot-9 Flagg a bunch of looks at point guard out of the gate, which seems like a questionable move for a guy who’s just acclimating to NBA life.

The No. 1 overall pick from this past summer is off to a shaky start purely from a numbers standpoint, averaging 13.4 points and 2.8 assists while shooting 41.0% from the floor.

-> Bet on NBA futures at NorthStar Bets

Flagg has gone over this assist total in three of five games, but he landed on exactly four assists in two of the overs. He also has two games so far with zero assists.

With Anthony Davis and Dereck Lively both out for the Mavericks, Flagg’s size could be an asset in the frontcourt. If they give him more off-ball opportunities in the paint, that should lessen his ceiling as a passer.

Either way, the Pistons are a good matchup to fade Flagg in. Detroit is currently allowing the fewest assists per game.

Embed: #120537

NBA SGP legs

Cunningham 20+ points (-345): Cunningham’s shot volume is high enough that he should be cashing this milestone prop pretty much every night.

He’s 4-1 vs. this milestone so far, averaging 22.2 PPG on 19.2 field goal attempts (39.6 FG%).

Efficiency hasn’t been Cunningham’s strong suit, but he’s coming off a career-best 46.9 FG% … so things should get better at some point.

-> Bet on Cunningham on Saturday night

Cunningham was third-team All-NBA a season ago, and he carved up the Mavericks in both matchups:

Jan. 31 vs. Dallas: 40 points on 17-of-30 shooting

March 21 at Dallas: 35 points on 15-of-30 shooting

This should be a cinch for Detroit’s primary ball-handler and scorer.

Under 232.5 points (-167): The Pistons and Mavericks rank eighth and 11th in points allowed per game, and I expect the defences to largely win out in this one.

Not having AD hurts the Mavs from a rim protection standpoint, but they’ll also miss his scoring (especially with Kyrie Irving still months away from returning).

Davis scored 22+ points in all four of his full games, and no one else on the team is averaging north of 15.2 PPG.

This under is 4-1 for both the Pistons and the Mavericks so far. And four of Dallas’ five games have gone under 125 points.

Mavericks vs. Pistons predictions made at 3:30 p.m. ET 11/01/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Game 7 World Series prop picks: Bet on Blue Jays’ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to come up clutch vs. Dodgers

For Game 7 of the World Series, I’m calling on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to be the hero the Toronto Blue Jays need.

The pregame narrative: Vlad Jr. has been fantastic throughout the postseason, and he’s most responsible for the fact that Toronto is playing for a title on Saturday night. Guerrero enters the winner-take-all game against the Los Angeles Dodgers with an 11-game hit streak.

Check out my World Series prop picks for Game 7 on Nov. 1, featuring a prediction on Bo Bichette.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the Jays to win the World Series!

World Series prop picks: Game 7

Best bet: Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (-106)

If the Blue Jays pull it off tonight and win the whole damn thing, Guerrero will almost certainly be the one hoisting the World Series MVP trophy.

After all, he’s got a .360/.500/.640 slash line against the Dodgers, building on a playoff hit streak that has now stretched to 11 games.

Guerrero has +130 odds to win WS MVP. No other Blue Jay is inside of +4,500 odds for the award.

-> Bet on Vladdy to win World Series MVP!

We don’t know the Dodgers’ exact pitching plans tonight, though manager Dave Roberts gave the relatively unhelpful “everyone will be available” response to reporters after Game 6.

Shohei Ohtani, who last pitched in Game 4 on Tuesday, is practically a lock to see the mound as a starter or reliever. Same with Tyler Glasnow, who threw three pitches to close out Friday’s game.

Guerrero homered off Ohtani in Game 4, and his career numbers vs. Glasnow are solid: 6-for-19 (.316) with a .579 SLG.

But really, at these odds, I’m content to back Guerrero against whoever the Dodgers send out to the mound.

Bichette’s presence provides more lineup protection for Vlad Jr., so he should get some decent pitches to hit.

Key stat: Guerrero is 9-2 vs. this bases prop in his past 11 games, including a 5-1 clip in the World Series.

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays prop prediction

Parlay: Scherzer under 3.5 Ks, Bichette 1+ hits (+137): Scherzer is known to fight against a quick hook, but I don’t think that reputation supersedes the moment he’ll be in tonight.

The 41-year-old should be on a short leash against a Dodgers team with plenty of home run potential.

L.A. uncorked a pair of homers against him in Game 3, when Scherzer struck out three hitters over 4.1 innings.

-> See all Game 7 player props at NorthStar Bets

Aside from Kevin Gausman, Toronto’s Game 6 starter, everyone should be available for the Blue Jays.

It’s easy to envision a scenario in which Shane Bieber provides length out of the bullpen, with some combination of Chris Bassitt, Louis Varland and Seranthony Dominguez (among others) lining up before closer Jeff Hoffman.

I don’t have faith in Scherzer pitching deep enough into Saturday’s game to cash the over on a 3.5-strikeout line.

With that said, the -163 price point is a bit steep. So I’ve tacked on a hit from Bichette to push this into plus-money range.

Bichette is 5-0 vs. this prop in his five World Series starts. It’s been amazing to see the two-time AL hits leader snap back into elite form after roughly seven weeks off.

World Series prop picks made at 11:55 a.m. ET on 11/01/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

College football Week 10 prop picks: NCAAF predictions on Haynes King, Isaiah Sategna

Let’s take a look at the evening slate for some college football Week 10 prop picks.

The latest: Haynes King has been a revelation in the run game for the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, but he’s still capable of racking up passing yards in the right matchup. Elsewhere, Isaiah Sategna looks to continue being a force for the Oklahoma Sooners.

Check out my favourite college football Week 10 prop picks, featuring a prediction on Nebraska Cornhuskers receiver Dane Key.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on college football

College football Week 10 prop picks

Best bet: King over 230.5 passing yards (-118)

King has gone berserk in the run game this year, but I think this week’s matchup is better suited for some damage through the air.

No. 8 Georgia Tech is on the road against the NC State Wolfpack, who’ve really struggled to defend opposing QBs:

106th in EPA per dropback
132nd in pass yards/game

Against fellow NCAA Division I opponents, the Wolfpack have allowed 300.4 pass yards/game. Six of those seven opponents threw for 250+ yards.

-> Bet on Haynes King against NC State

King, in his sixth year of college ball, is averaging nearly 100 rush yards/game and leads the ACC with 12 rushing TDs. But the quarterback is still an effective passer when called upon.

He has a 7:1 TD-to-INT ratio this year, along with a 72.3% completion rate.

He’s only averaging 211.4 pass yards/game, but he really hasn’t needed to lean on his arm much.

The Wolfpack’s run defence has been solid overall, holding opponents to 4.1 yards/rush. Look for King to take advantage of their porous pass defence.

Key stat: King is coming off his best passing effort of the season last week, throwing for 304 yards and three TDs on 25-of-31 passing vs. Syracuse.

CFB prop bets

Sategna over 76.5 receiving yards (-118): It took a couple of games for Arkansas transfer Isaiah Sategna to really settle in with the Sooners, but he’s been the focal point of the pass offence for a while now.

Sategna leads No. 18 Oklahoma in receptions (43), yards (624) and touchdowns (five). Only one other Sooner has 30+ catches, and nobody else has more than 400 yards or two receiving TDs.

-> Check out Week 10 NCAAF prop markets at NorthStar Bets

From Week 3 onward, look at how much Oklahoma has turned to Sategna:

6 games
60+ yards in every game
6.2 receptions/game
94.0 yards/game

In four of his past five games, Sategna has seen 11+ targets and scored a touchdown. That kind of consistency is rare in college football.

Tonight, he’ll face a Tennessee Volunteers defence that has played in a ton of shootouts. The Vols rank No. 2 in scoring offence (45.6 PPG) and No. 114 in scoring defence (30.9 PPG).

Also, according to Game On Paper, Tennessee’s pass defence ranks 119th in EPA per play and 113th in success rate.

Key under 38.5 receiving yards (-118): Key caught the game-winning touchdown for Nebraska a few weeks ago, but that was a rare highlight among a sea of underwhelming performances.

The Kentucky transfer scored in his first three games as a Cornhusker, too, and then the bottom fell out.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Saturday’s college football action!

Check out his averages in the past five games:

4.0 targets
2.0 catches
20.2 yards

Key has been held without a catch in two of his past five, and he’s 1-4 vs. this yardage prop in that span. He’s fallen down the pecking order of Nebraska pass-catchers, ranking fifth on the team in receptions and third in yards.

Nebraska faces a USC Trojans defence that just held Michigan and Notre Dame to a combined 343 pass yards (6.6 yards/attempt) in the past two games.

College football prop picks made at 12:20 p.m. on 11/01/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Game 7 World Series prop picks: Bet on Blue Jays’ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to come up clutch vs. Dodgers

For Game 7 of the World Series, I’m calling on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to be the hero the Toronto Blue Jays need.

The pregame narrative: Vlad Jr. has been fantastic throughout the postseason, and he’s most responsible for the fact that Toronto is playing for a title on Saturday night. Guerrero enters the winner-take-all game against the Los Angeles Dodgers with an 11-game hit streak.

Check out my World Series prop picks for Game 7 on Nov. 1, featuring a prediction on Bo Bichette.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the Jays to win the World Series!

World Series prop picks: Game 7

Embed: #120524

Best bet: Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (+102)

If the Blue Jays pull it off tonight and win the whole damn thing, Guerrero will almost certainly be the one hoisting the World Series MVP trophy.

After all, he’s got a .360/.500/.640 slash line against the Dodgers, building on a playoff hit streak that has now stretched to 11 games.

Guerrero has +130 odds to win WS MVP. No other Blue Jay is inside of +4,500 odds for the award.

-> Bet on Vladdy to win World Series MVP!

We don’t know the Dodgers’ exact pitching plans tonight, though manager Dave Roberts gave the relatively unhelpful “everyone will be available” response to reporters after Game 6.

Shohei Ohtani, who last pitched in Game 4 on Tuesday, is practically a lock to see the mound as a starter or reliever. Same with Tyler Glasnow, who threw three pitches to close out Friday’s game.

Guerrero homered off Ohtani in Game 4, and his career numbers vs. Glasnow are solid: 6-for-19 (.316) with a .579 SLG.

But really, at plus-money odds, I’m content to back Guerrero against whoever the Dodgers send out to the mound.

Bichette’s presence provides more lineup protection for Vlad Jr., so he should get some decent pitches to hit.

Key stat: Guerrero is 9-2 vs. this bases prop in his past 11 games, including a 5-1 clip in the World Series.

Embed: #120519

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays prop prediction

Parlay: Scherzer under 3.5 Ks, Bichette 1+ hits (+123): Scherzer is known to fight against a quick hook, but I don’t think that reputation supersedes the moment he’ll be in tonight.

The 41-year-old should be on a short leash against a Dodgers team with plenty of home run potential.

L.A. uncorked a pair of homers against him in Game 3, when Scherzer struck out three hitters over 4.1 innings.

-> See all Game 7 player props at NorthStar Bets

Aside from Kevin Gausman, Toronto’s Game 6 starter, everyone should be available for the Blue Jays.

It’s easy to envision a scenario in which Shane Bieber provides length out of the bullpen, with some combination of Chris Bassitt, Louis Varland and Seranthony Dominguez (among others) lining up before closer Jeff Hoffman.

I don’t have faith in Scherzer pitching deep enough into Saturday’s game to cash the over on a 3.5-strikeout line.

With that said, the -162 price point is a bit steep. So I’ve tacked on a hit from Bichette to push this into plus-money range.

Bichette is 5-0 vs. this prop in his five World Series starts. It’s been amazing to see the two-time AL hits leader snap back into elite form after roughly seven weeks off.

World Series prop picks made at 11:55 a.m. ET on 11/01/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

World Series MVP odds 2025: Shohei Ohtani, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. remain betting favourites entering Game 7

There’s no shortage of star power in this year’s Fall Classic, and the 2025 World Series MVP odds have two of baseball’s biggest names at the top of the list.

The latest: Shohei Ohtani earned NLCS MVP honours for the Los Angeles Dodgers, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was named ALCS MVP for the Toronto Blue Jays. Six games into the World Series, those superstars are the favourites in this futures market.

Get the latest World Series MVP odds on all the contenders ahead of Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Game 7.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the MLB postseason

World Series MVP odds 2025

Embed: #119970

The favourite: Shohei Ohtani (-130)

Ohtani was the favourite in this market from the start, with +160 odds at the outset of the series.

He lost the frontrunner status to Guerrero when the Blue Jays took a 3-2 series lead. But now that things are all square entering a decisive Game 7, Ohtani is back in front.

The NL MVP-in-waiting was in two-way mode on Tuesday, getting the start on the mound while batting leadoff for L.A. Here’s how it went:

On the mound: 6.0 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 6 K
At the plate: 0-for-3, 1 walk

Given his unique talent and usage as a two-way star, coupled with the fact that the Dodgers are favoured to win the World Series, Ohtani was the no-brainer MVP favourite entering the series.

-> Check out Blue Jays vs. Dodgers betting markets

Ohtani is reportedly expected to serve as an opener for the Dodgers in Game 7. A solid performance on the mound and/or at the plate, coupled with an L.A. win, would put him in an awfully compelling MVP spot.

Even with hitless performances in Games 4 and 5, Ohtani is batting 7-for-22 (.318) with three homers and a 1.364 OPS against the Jays.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. World Series MVP odds

Guerrero (+130) was already having an October to remember before the World Series began. But he’s kept it rolling on MLB’s biggest stage.

Against the Dodgers, Vlad Jr. is 9-for-25 (.360) with an 1.140 OPS. He homered off Ohtani in Game 4 to give Toronto a lead it never relinquished.

Through 17 postseason games this month, Toronto’s $500-million man has been nothing short of spectacular:

28-for-68 (.412)
.824 SLG
8 HRs
15 RBI

Guerrero has reached base 42 times while striking out just six times. The power and plate discipline have been on full display.

-> Bet on Vladdy to win WS MVP!

Winning the WS MVP is strictly about World Series performance rather than playoff-wide success. But Vladdy hasn’t shortchanged Toronto on that front. He leads the team in hits, runs and walks this series.

If the Jays pull this off as World Series underdogs, it’s fair to expect that Guerrero will be the main reason why.

MVP betting notes

Aside from Guerrero, the most likely Blue Jay to win this award is Addison Barger. He has multiple hits in four consecutive games, including a pair of doubles in Game 6 on Friday.

-> Bet on Game 1 of the World Series at NorthStar Bets

On the heels of his ultra-clutch homer to clinch the ALCS, George Springer seemed like a worthwhile WS MVP candidate this series. But he sat out Games 4 and 5 with “right side discomfort,” according to the team, and is now a +15,000 long shot.

The shortest MVP odds for any pitcher-only candidate belong to Yamamoto (+550), who allowed just two runs over 15.0 innings in this series — and picked up two wins in the process.

Could he come out for a relief appearance in Game 7? It’s unlikely given that he’s on zero days of rest — after 96 pitches — but that could be what’s required to put him over the edge in this market.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

College football Week 10 prop picks: NCAAF predictions on Haynes King, Isaiah Sategna

Let’s take a look at the evening slate for some college football Week 10 prop picks.

The latest: Haynes King has been a revelation in the run game for the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, but he’s still capable of racking up passing yards in the right matchup. Elsewhere, Isaiah Sategna looks to continue being a force for the Oklahoma Sooners.

Check out my favourite college football Week 10 prop picks, featuring a prediction on Nebraska Cornhuskers receiver Dane Key.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on college football

College football Week 10 prop picks

Best bet: King over 220.5 passing yards (-118)

King has gone berserk in the run game this year, but I think this week’s matchup is better suited for some damage through the air.

No. 8 Georgia Tech is on the road against the NC State Wolfpack, who’ve really struggled to defend opposing QBs:

106th in EPA per dropback
132nd in pass yards/game

Against fellow NCAA Division I opponents, the Wolfpack have allowed 300.4 pass yards/game. Six of those seven opponents threw for 250+ yards.

-> Bet on Haynes King against NC State

King, in his sixth year of college ball, is averaging nearly 100 rush yards/game and leads the ACC with 12 rushing TDs. But the quarterback is still an effective passer when called upon.

He has a 7:1 TD-to-INT ratio this year, along with a 72.3% completion rate.

He’s only averaging 211.4 pass yards/game, but he really hasn’t needed to lean on his arm much.

The Wolfpack’s run defence has been solid overall, holding opponents to 4.1 yards/rush. Look for King to take advantage of their porous pass defence.

Key stat: King is coming off his best passing effort of the season last week, throwing for 304 yards and three TDs on 25-of-31 passing vs. Syracuse.

Embed: #120509

CFB prop bets

Sategna anytime TD (+100): It took a couple of games for Arkansas transfer Isaiah Sategna to really settle in with the Sooners, but he’s been the focal point of the pass offence for a while now.

Sategna leads No. 18 Oklahoma in receptions (43), yards (624) and touchdowns (five). Only one other Sooner has 30+ catches, and nobody else has more than 400 yards or two receiving TDs.

-> Check out Week 10 NCAAF prop markets at NorthStar Bets

From Week 3 onward, look at how much Oklahoma has turned to Sategna:

6 games
60+ yards in every game
6.2 receptions/game
94.0 yards/game

In four of his past five games, Sategna has seen 11+ targets and scored a touchdown. That kind of consistency is rare in college football.

Tonight, he’ll face a Tennessee Volunteers defence that has played in a ton of shootouts. The Vols rank No. 2 in scoring offence (45.6 PPG) and No. 114 in scoring defence (30.9 PPG).

Also, according to Game On Paper, Tennessee’s pass defence ranks 119th in EPA per play and 113th in success rate.

Key under 37.5 receiving yards (-120): Key caught the game-winning touchdown for Nebraska a few weeks ago, but that was a rare highlight among a sea of underwhelming performances.

The Kentucky transfer scored in his first three games as a Cornhusker, too, and then the bottom fell out.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Saturday’s college football action!

Check out his averages in the past five games:

4.0 targets
2.0 catches
20.2 yards

Key has been held without a catch in two of his past five, and he’s 1-4 vs. this yardage prop in that span. He’s fallen down the pecking order of Nebraska pass-catchers, ranking fifth on the team in receptions and third in yards.

Nebraska faces a USC Trojans defence that just held Michigan and Notre Dame to a combined 343 pass yards (6.6 yards/attempt) in the past two games.

College football prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. on 11/01/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Seahawks vs. Commanders Week 9 Sunday Night Football picks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba should shine for Seattle

Jayden Daniels is back for the Washington Commanders for a primetime date against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: It’s gut-check time for Washington (3-5), which already has as many losses as last year’s squad. The Commanders are home underdogs against a rising Seahawks team that is 10-1 on the road since the start of last season.

Check out my Seahawks vs. Commander picks for Nov. 2, featuring a prop bet on Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL

Seahawks vs. Commanders picks

Embed: #120504

Best Bet: Smith-Njigba over 95.5 receiving yards (-113)

I’m not exactly sticking my neck out with this pick, given that Smith-Njigba has been the best receiver in the NFL so far:

1st in yards (819)
1st in yards/game (117.0)
1st in yards/target (11.7)
6th in receptions (50)

The third-year wideout has been an absolute ball hog, too, commanding the highest target share in the NFL (38.3%).

Defences know what’s coming. And they haven’t been able to stop it.

-> Bet on Smith-Njigba against the Commanders

Why should we expect anything different from the Commanders this week? Their secondary has struggled throughout the season, leading to the 25th-ranked EPA per dropback (according to RBSDM.com).

Washington has also allowed the fourth-most yards to opposing WRs.

Seattle’s WR2, Cooper Kupp (heel), went from a full practice on Wednesday to a limited practice on Thursday. Not necessarily something to read into heavily, but worth noting.

JSN is averaging 22 yards north of this line, and he has 120+ yards in three straight games. Ride the freight train, or get off the tracks.

Key stat: Smith-Njigba is 6-1 vs. this yardage prop and had a respectable total in his one under (four catches for 79 yards).

Sunday Night Football ATS pick

Seahawks -3 (-106): Daniels’ return absolutely raises the ceiling of the Commanders’ offence. But Terry McLaurin is out again, and Washington’s task against this Seattle defence is a daunting one.

The Seahawks’ pass defence should see the return of Pro Bowl corner Devon Witherspoon this week. In the run game, Seattle ranks No. 1 in yards allowed, yards/attempt and EPA per rush.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Sunday Night Football!

Seattle is 5-2 SU and ATS this season, covering this number in every victory (including all three of its road games).

Even if Daniels provides an expected boost to Washington’s offence, Seattle is capable of scoring plenty of points itself. The Seahawks are fifth in scoring, averaging 27.6 PPG.

Seahawks vs. Commanders picks made at 2:15 p.m. ET 10/31/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

NFL Week 9 TD picks and predictions: Ride with Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs to find the end zone

Coming off a three-touchdown game, Davante Adams is one of my NFL Week 9 TD picks.

The pregame narrative: Adams has been exceptionally active near the goal line this season and is worth a look in the anytime TD market on Sunday. Two other wideouts, Stefon Diggs and Jordan Addison, are plus-money scoring threats.

Check out my top NFL Week 9 TD picks for Sunday, Nov. 2.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL

NFL Week 9 TD picks

Embed: #120500

Best bet: Addison to score (+200)

I don’t love the Minnesota Vikings’ chances of hanging with the Detroit Lions on Sunday, but I do think there’s ample value on this play based on Addison’s recent usage.

After serving a three-game suspension to open the season, Addison jumped right into a prominent role in the Vikings’ offence.

In four games, Addison has 21 catches for 309 yards and two TDs.

His 14.2% target share ranks in the 67th percentile, per Rotowire, while his 94.3 air yards per game ranks in the 91st percentile.

Despite missing three of Minnesota’s seven games, Addison is tied for the team lead in red zone targets (seven).

-> Bet on Jordan Addison’s receiving props vs. the Lions

Last week, Addison scored the Vikings’ lone touchdown (a four-yard reception) in a blowout loss. A garbage time score could certainly be in play this Sunday in Detroit.

The Lions are accustomed to playing from ahead and forcing opponents to throw at a high volume.

They’ve faced the fourth-fewest rush attempts in the NFL this season and allowed the fifth-most passing TDs.

Key stat: Since Week 5, Addison has seven of the Vikings’ 18 red zone targets. He’s also averaging a healthy 7.5 targets/game overall.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on NFL Week 9!

Best NFL touchdown bets

Adams to score (-120): Adams scored a hat trick of touchdowns last time out while Puka Nacua was sidelined due to an injury.

But even with Nacua re-entering the fold this week, Adams is a worthwhile pick to score at this price.

No receiver is more involved near the end zone than Adams. The future Hall of Famer leads the NFL in targets inside the 10-yard line (11), per Fantasy Pros.

Nobody else has more than seven.

Adams has at least one target inside the 10-yard line in five of seven games, and he’s 4-3 vs. his anytime TD prop.

Nacua will take some heat off Adams defensively, and I expect Matthew Stafford to continue to look Adams’ way.

Diggs to score (+150): Tua Tagovailoa has been awful this year, but he looked like Dan Marino last week, carving up the Atlanta Falcons’ defence (four TDs on 20-of-26 passing).

Now it’s Drake Maye’s turn to do damage against the Falcons, and I expect Diggs to be a beneficiary.

Maye has 15 passing TDs in eight games — including eight TDs in his past three.

Diggs was one of three Patriots to score last week at home vs. Cleveland.

Last week’s TD was the first of the season for Diggs, who’s starting to see consistent looks in the most important area of the field.

Diggs has been targeted in the red zone in five straight games, and he had three targets inside the 10-yard line last week alone.

NFL TD picks made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 10/31/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!