Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

College football Week 13 prop picks: NCAAF predictions on BYU’s LJ Martin, Florida’s Jadan Baugh

Running backs are the focus of my college football Week 13 prop picks, with LJ Martin and Jadan Baugh headlining the predictions.

The latest: Baugh’s Florida Gators look to upset the No. 20 Tennessee Volunteers, while Martin’s No. 11 BYU Cougars are narrow road favourites in Cincinnati. Both tailbacks are accustomed to hefty workloads and should get more of the same on Saturday.

Check out my favourite college football Week 13 prop picks for Saturday, Nov. 22.

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College football Week 13 prop picks

Best bet: Martin over 93.5 rushing yards (-118)

Martin has gone under this rushing total in three straight games, but there’s some important context to consider here.

In Week 9 at Iowa State, Martin sustained a shoulder injury that forced him out of the game in the first half. To that point, he’d rushed just five times for 15 yards and a touchdown.

Thanks to a bye week, Martin didn’t miss any time. But he was limited in his Week 11 return, seeing just 10 carries at Texas Tech in a blowout loss.

-> Bet on No. 11 BYU vs. Cincinnati on Saturday!

Last Saturday, at home against TCU, Martin turned in the type of RB1-style production he’s used to: 88 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries.

Yes, that marked his third straight game going under a 93.5-yard total, but the carry count was a positive indicator that he’s back to full go. Martin was not listed on the Cougars’ injury report heading into this weekend.

Look at what Martin did in his first seven games of the year, before the injury at Iowa State:

18.1 carries/game
110.6 yards/game
90+ yards in 6 of 7 games

Cincinnati’s defence has been dreadful against the run this year, ranking 117th in success rate (per Game On Paper).

The Bearcats are also 90th in NCAA Division I in rush yards allowed per game (167.4).

Key stat: Excluding his two injury-affected games, Martin has averaged 107.8 yards this season.

-> Check out Week 13 NCAAF prop markets at NorthStar Bets

CFB prop bets

Baugh over 106.5 rushing/receiving yards (-118): Quarterback DJ Lagway isn’t the prince that was promised in Gainesville. As a result, the bulk of the Florida Gators’ offensive responsibilities have fallen on Baugh.

The sophomore tailback is averaging 98.3 scrimmage yards this season, doing his best work at The Swamp.

Check out his averages in four home games:

20.5 touches
122.8 scrimmage yards

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Saturday’s college football action!

Baugh failed to cash this bet in his first two home games (Weeks 1 and 2) because the Gators weren’t throwing him the ball. But now he’s a legit dual-threat back.

From Week 3 onward, Baugh has averaged 3.9 receptions per game in addition to 17.1 rush attempts. With such high volume, he should feast against a sieve-like Tennessee Volunteers defence.

Tennessee is allowing 409.7 yards per game against D-I, which is 93rd in the country and third-last in the SEC.

College football prop picks made at 12:20 p.m. on Nov. 21, 2025.

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College football Week 13 prop picks: NCAAF predictions on BYU’s LJ Martin, Florida’s Jadan Baugh

Running backs are the focus of my college football Week 13 prop picks, with LJ Martin and Jadan Baugh headlining the predictions.

The latest: Baugh’s Florida Gators look to upset the No. 20 Tennessee Volunteers, while Martin’s No. 11 BYU Cougars are narrow road favourites in Cincinnati. Both tailbacks are accustomed to hefty workloads and should get more of the same on Saturday.

Check out my favourite college football Week 13 prop picks, featuring a prediction on Michigan Wolverines tailback Bryson Kuzdzal.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on college football

College football Week 13 prop picks

Best bet: Martin over 93.5 rushing yards (-118)

Martin has gone under this rushing total in three straight games, but there’s some important context to consider here.

In Week 9 at Iowa State, Martin sustained a shoulder injury that forced him out of the game in the first half. To that point, he’d rushed just five times for 15 yards and a touchdown.

Thanks to a bye week, Martin didn’t miss any time. But he was limited in his Week 11 return, seeing just 10 carries at Texas Tech in a blowout loss.

-> Bet on No. 11 BYU vs. Cincinnati on Saturday!

Last Saturday, at home against TCU, Martin turned in the type of RB1-style production he’s used to: 88 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries.

Yes, that marked his third straight game going under a 93.5-yard total, but the carry count was a positive indicator that he’s back to full go. Martin was not listed on the Cougars’ injury report heading into this weekend.

Look at what Martin did in his first seven games of the year, before the injury at Iowa State:

18.1 carries/game
110.6 yards/game
90+ yards in 6 of 7 games

Cincinnati’s defence has been dreadful against the run this year, ranking 117th in success rate (per Game On Paper).

The Bearcats are also 90th in NCAA Division I in rush yards allowed per game (167.4).

Key stat: Excluding his two injury-affected games, Martin has averaged 107.8 yards this season.

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CFB prop bets

Kuzdzal 2+ touchdowns (+180): Michigan had to go deep into its running back depth chart last week in crunch time against unranked Northwestern. Kuzdzal stepped up, and I think he could see another hefty workload this week.

-> Check out Week 13 NCAAF prop markets at NorthStar Bets

Justice Haynes, Michigan’s RB1, will miss at least the rest of the regular season for the Wolverines. After him is Jordan Marshall, who exited the Northwestern game with a shoulder injury.

Kuzdzal entered for Marshall last week and carried 15 times for 53 yards. He’d only had 10 carries on the season heading into that game.

Marshall is listed as day-to-day and could suit up at Maryland. But his availability vs. No. 1 Ohio State the following week is far more important.

I expect Michigan to put more mileage on Kuzdzal, a former walk-on who was instrumental in helping the Wolverines’ shaky offence seal a win last Saturday.

Maryland allows 185.2 rush yards per game (111th in D-I) and ranks 89th in opponent rushing success rate.

Baugh over 105.5 rushing/receiving yards (-120): Quarterback DJ Lagway isn’t the prince that was promised in Gainesville. As a result, the bulk of the Florida Gators’ offensive responsibilities have fallen on Baugh.

The sophomore tailback is averaging 98.3 scrimmage yards this season, doing his best work at The Swamp.

Check out his averages in four home games:

20.5 touches
122.8 scrimmage yards

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Saturday’s college football action!

Baugh failed to cash this bet in his first two home games (Weeks 1 and 2) because the Gators weren’t throwing him the ball. But now he’s a legit dual-threat back.

From Week 3 onward, Baugh has averaged 3.9 receptions per game in addition to 17.1 rush attempts. With such high volume, he should feast against a sieve-like Tennessee Volunteers defence.

Tennessee is allowing 409.7 yards per game against D-I, which is 93rd in the country and third-last in the SEC.

College football prop picks made at 11:40 a.m. on Nov. 21, 2025.

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Wizards vs. Raptors prop picks Nov. 21: Look for RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl to star in Toronto

With a sixth consecutive win in their sights, the Toronto Raptors host the lowly Washington Wizards on Friday night.

The latest: It’s still fairly early, but Washington (1-13) is winning the race to the bottom in the NBA right now. And given the Wizards’ NBA-worst net rating (-15.7), it’s no surprise to see the Raptors has heavy home favourites in this matchup.

Check out these Wizards vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Nov. 21, featuring Jakob Poeltl and RJ Barrett.

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Wizards vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Poeltl over 13.5 points (-110)

There are a lot of mouths to feed on this Raptors team, and Poeltl isn’t particularly high on the pecking order.

But he’s been a bit more active as a scorer lately, and this matchup is as good as it gets.

In his past four games, Poeltl has averaged 18.5 points and is 3-1 vs. this points prop. He’d been 1-6 against it in his first seven games.

The Wizards allow the second-most PPG to opposing centres (25.89), per Fantasy Pros.

-> Full Wizards vs. Raptors props at NorthStar Bets

In an age where basketball can feel position-less, Poeltl is a throwback centre who lives around the rim in the offensive halfcourt.

Aside from a handful of short midrange looks, his attempts come exclusively from within an arm’s length of basket. He doesn’t attempt any 3s.

Washington allows the fifth-most shots around the rim on a rate basis (34.4%), according to Cleaning The Glass. And the Wizards allow the most points per game overall (128.9).

At seven feet and 245 pounds, Poeltl will have a size advantage all night tonight.

The Wizards are dealing with some frontcourt injury issues that leave 22-year-old Tristan Vukcevic (6-foot-10, 223 pounds) and 19-year-old Will Riley (6-foot-8, 190 pounds) as their biggest bodies down low.

Key stat: Last year, Poeltl went 2-1 vs. this prop when facing the Wizards, averaging 18.0 PPG across those games.

Embed: #121398

-> Wager on Friday’s packed nine-game NBA slate

Additional NBA prop predictions

Barrett over 28.5 points/rebounds/assists (-121): I’m looking for one more way to try to capitalize on the Wizards’ league-worst scoring defence, and this seems like a good spot to land.

Barrett is averaging 19.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.9 assists, which equates to 28.0 PRA. So he’ll only need to be a tick above average to cash this bet.

-> Bet on Barrett and Poeltl here!

Here’s how opposing small forwards have fared vs. the Wizards this year:

2nd-most PPG
3rd-most RPG
4th-most APG

It’s a smash matchup that Barrett has excelled in before.

Since joining the Raptors, he’s 3-0 vs. this prop when facing the Wizards at home — averaging 34.7 PRA in those games.

Wizards vs. Raptors prop bets made at 9:28 a.m. ET on Nov. 21, 2025.

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Best NFL Week 12 prop bets: Fade Justin Jefferson vs. Green Bay, back Trey McBride to dominate

This week’s NFL prop bets feature one running back, one tight end and one wide receiver.

The pregame narrative: Justin Jefferson is worth fading right now thanks to the thoroughly concerning quarterback play happening in Minnesota. On a brighter note, I expect Trey McBride to remain a standout weapon for the Arizona Cardinals after back-to-back monster weeks.

Check out my top NFL Week 12 prop bets, featuring a prediction on Browns tailback Quinshon Judkins.

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NFL Week 12 prop bets

Best bet: Judkins over 70.5 rushing yards (-112)

How can the Cleveland Browns ease Shedeur Sanders into his first action as an NFL starter?

By drawing up a boatload of running plays for fellow rookie Quinshon Judkins.

Set to make his 10th NFL start, Judkins has been a dependable lead back with 171 touches and zero fumbles.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on NFL Week 12!

Judkins’ 3.9 yards per attempt isn’t impressive, but he doesn’t have much of an offensive line to work with. The second-round tailback averages 3.0 yards after contact, which ranks in the 71st percentile, per Rotowire.

With enough touches, this line shouldn’t be a problem for Judkins. And I expect him to see a lot of work to make Sanders’ job easier.

Judkins’ rush attempts line is set at 18.5 for Sunday. In his five games with 18+ carries, Judkins is 5-0 vs. this prop while averaging 89.0 rushing yards.

It might be a death by a thousand paper cuts, but I expect Judkins to chip away at the Raiders and ultimately cash this bet.

Key stat: Since Week 7, the Raiders have allowed the fourth-highest rushing success rate, per RBSDM.com.

-> Visit NorthStar Bets for all NFL Week 12 betting markets

Best NFL picks

McBride over 76.5 receiving yards (-117): McBride is an absolute beast. The Jacksonville Jaguars surely know that, but I don’t think there’s much they can do about it.

Jacksonville allows 69.4 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends, which is the third-most in the NFL. That average falls below this total, but McBride is so much more than an average TE.

Through 10 games, McBride leads all NFL tight ends in receptions (71) and yards (718). He has seven more catches and 87 more yards than any of his contemporaries.

And just look at what McBride has gotten up to the past two weeks:

Week 11: 10 catches, 115 yards, 1 TD
Week 10: 9 catches, 127 yards, 1 TD

-> Bet on McBride, Judkins and more on NFL Sunday!

The floor for McBride is exceptional, too. He has at least five catches and seven targets in every game.

McBride is basically a WR1, and that’s especially true with Marvin Harrison Jr. (illness) ruled out again.

Jefferson under 67.5 receiving yards (-113): I want a way to fade J.J. McCarthy, and here it is.

McCarthy has struggled to connect with his top target so far, and those struggles should continue at Lambeau Field on Sunday.

In McCarthy’s five starts, Jefferson is averaging 54.0 yards and is 4-1 to the under on this prop.

It’s not for a lack of trying, as Jefferson has averaged 8.6 targets in those games. With a lot of uncatchable balls mixed in, the All-Pro wideout has only converted that into 4.4 catches/game.

Minnesota has a solid backfield tandem in Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason. After how the New York Giants ran against the Green Bay Packers last week — posting 142 yards and three TDs on the ground — I could see the Vikings taking a similar approach.

Green Bay’s defence ranks 10th in dropback success rate and 15th in rushing success rate, so attacking the unit on the ground has generally been a better strategy.

NFL prop bets made at 3:19 p.m. ET on Nov. 20, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 20: De’Aaron Fox, Jalen Johnson should shine on Thursday

There are three 8 p.m. ET tip-offs in the NBA on Thursday night, and I’m targeting two of them for some prop bets.

Today’s NBA props narrative: The San Antonio Spurs host the Atlanta Hawks in a matchup that’s missing some key scorers. But in the wake of some absences, De’Aaron Fox and Jalen Johnson both have prime opportunities to ball out.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 20, featuring a prediction on Sacramento Kings guard Malik Monk.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 20

Best bet: Monk over 13.5 points (-106)

I love this line for Monk, who’s 8-4 vs. this number.

The veteran shooting guard, who typically plays about 25 minutes off the bench, scored 15+ points in every game in which he hit the over.

A pair of dud performances (zero points, two points) have dragged down his scoring average — but he’s still at 13.3 PPG.

The Kings are on a back-to-back tonight, and I’m hoping that doesn’t change anything about Monk’s usage. In his lone game on zero rest this season, he scored 15 points on 7-of-10 shooting in 28 minutes.

-> Bet on tonight’s 4-game NBA slate

If Monk gets his typical minutes total tonight, this should be a smash play.

Monk’s Kings face the Memphis Grizzlies, who allow the third-most points to shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros.

The Kings and Grizzlies rank fifth and seventh, respectively, in pace this season. That means both sides should be willing to play quickly, and a high-possession game means plenty of scoring opportunities.

Last year, Monk absolutely toasted the Grizzlies. He shot 52.8% from the floor and scored 23, 31 and 28 points across three matchups against them.

Key stat: Monk has averaged north of 13.0 PPG in all four seasons with the Kings (15.2 PPG overall since joining the team in 2022-23).

Best NBA picks

Johnson over 39.5 points/rebounds/assists (-125): There are big names missing from both sides of tonight’s Hawks/Spurs matchup, which is part of the reason I expect Johnson to breeze past this line.

Trae Young (knee) will sit again for the Hawks, while Victor Wembanyama (calf) is out for the Spurs.

Without Young, Johnson should continue to run the show on offence for Atlanta. And without Wembanyama, he’ll face less resistance on his way to the rim.

-> Bet on Jalen Johnson vs. the Spurs at NorthStar Bets!

Johnson has now played nine games without Young, and he’s 6-3 vs. this prop. In those matchups, the 23-year-old forward has averaged 22.7 points, 10.6 rebounds and 7.6 assists (40.9 PRA).

The Spurs rank fifth in the NBA in defensive rating, but playing without Wemby — as well as Stephon Castle — makes a huge difference.

NBA player prop predictions

Fox over 2.5 threes (-106): At this price, Fox is worth taking a flier on after cashing this bet three games in a row.

The point guard has attempted exactly eight 3s in three straight games, going 11-for-24 (45.8%) from deep in that span. If that volume persists, this will look like a bargain.

-> See tonight’s NBA prop markets

Fox was injured at the start of the year and has only played six games. He’s attempted at least five 3s in each of them, so there’s a decent floor to work with here.

In three games against the Hawks last year, split between his time with the Kings and Spurs, Fox shot 9-for-19 from deep and went 2-1 vs. this line.

NBA prop picks made at 3:20 p.m. ET on Nov. 20, 2025.

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Best NFL Week 12 prop bets: Fade Justin Jefferson vs. Green Bay, back Trey McBride to dominate

This week’s NFL prop bets feature one running back, one tight end and one wide receiver.

The pregame narrative: Justin Jefferson is worth fading right now thanks to the thoroughly concerning quarterback play happening in Minnesota. On a brighter note, I expect Trey McBride to remain a standout weapon for the Arizona Cardinals after back-to-back monster weeks.

Check out my top NFL Week 12 prop bets, featuring a prediction on Browns tailback Quinshon Judkins.

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NFL Week 12 prop bets

Best bet: Judkins over 70.5 rushing yards (-112)

How can the Cleveland Browns ease Shedeur Sanders into his first action as an NFL starter?

By drawing up a boatload of running plays for fellow rookie Quinshon Judkins.

Set to make his 10th NFL start, Judkins has been a dependable lead back with 171 touches and zero fumbles.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on NFL Week 12!

Judkins’ 3.9 yards per attempt isn’t impressive, but he doesn’t have much of an offensive line to work with. The second-round tailback averages 3.0 yards after contact, which ranks in the 71st percentile, per Rotowire.

With enough touches, this line shouldn’t be a problem for Judkins. And I expect him to see a lot of work to make Sanders’ job easier.

Judkins’ rush attempts line is set at 18.5 for Sunday. In his five games with 18+ carries, Judkins is 5-0 vs. this prop while averaging 89.0 rushing yards.

It might be a death by a thousand paper cuts, but I expect Judkins to chip away at the Raiders and ultimately cash this bet.

Key stat: Since Week 7, the Raiders have allowed the fourth-highest rushing success rate, per RBSDM.com.

Embed: #121340

-> Visit NorthStar Bets for all NFL Week 12 betting markets

Best NFL picks

McBride over 76.5 receiving yards (-117): McBride is an absolute beast. The Jacksonville Jaguars surely know that, but I don’t think there’s much they can do about it.

Jacksonville allows 69.4 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends, which is the third-most in the NFL. That average falls below this total, but McBride is so much more than an average TE.

Through 10 games, McBride leads all NFL tight ends in receptions (71) and yards (718). He has seven more catches and 87 more yards than any of his contemporaries.

And just look at what McBride has gotten up to the past two weeks:

Week 11: 10 catches, 115 yards, 1 TD
Week 10: 9 catches, 127 yards, 1 TD

-> Bet on McBride, Judkins and more on NFL Sunday!

The floor for McBride is exceptional, too. He has at least five catches and seven targets in every game.

McBride is basically a WR1, and that’s especially true with Marvin Harrison Jr. (illness) ruled out again.

Jefferson under 67.5 receiving yards (-113): I want a way to fade J.J. McCarthy, and here it is.

McCarthy has struggled to connect with his top target so far, and those struggles should continue at Lambeau Field on Sunday.

In McCarthy’s five starts, Jefferson is averaging 54.0 yards and is 4-1 to the under on this prop.

It’s not for a lack of trying, as Jefferson has averaged 8.6 targets in those games. With a lot of uncatchable balls mixed in, the All-Pro wideout has only converted that into 4.4 catches/game.

Minnesota has a solid backfield tandem in Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason. After how the New York Giants ran against the Green Bay Packers last week — posting 142 yards and three TDs on the ground — I could see the Vikings taking a similar approach.

Green Bay’s defence ranks 10th in dropback success rate and 15th in rushing success rate, so attacking the unit on the ground has generally been a better strategy.

NFL prop bets made at 3:19 p.m. ET on Nov. 20, 2025.

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Kings vs. Grizzlies SGP predictions Nov. 20: Bet on Memphis to win, Coward to score in bunches

The Memphis Grizzlies host the Sacramento Kings on Thursday night in a battle of Western Conference bottom feeders.

The pregame narrative: Memphis has lost five in a row and Sacramento has lost seven in a row, so the vibes aren’t great for either side right now. Ja Morant is out again for the Grizzlies, who are modest home favourites.

Check out my Kings vs. Grizzlies SGP predictions for Nov. 20, featuring Cedric Coward and Domantas Sabonis.

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Kings vs. Grizzlies predictions

Parlay: Grizzlies ML | Coward 15+ points | Sabonis 10+ rebounds (+300)

Grizzlies moneyline (-137): The beauty of tonight’s game is that someone has to win.

Neither Memphis (4-11) nor Sacramento (3-12) has been doing a lot of winning lately. I do prefer the Grizzlies’ side tonight for a few reasons:

Sacramento is on a seven-game losing streak, and each of its losses during the streak came by 13+ points.

Memphis has a slightly better net rating than Sacramento (-8.0 vs. -10.7).

The Grizzlies are 3-5 SU at home, while the Kings are 1-7 SU on the road.

Home teams went 3-0 in this head-to-head matchup last year.

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The Grizzlies have a rest advantage over the Kings, who lost big in Oklahoma City last night.

It’s easy to find ways to talk down about both of these teams, but Memphis seems better-situated of the two tonight.

Embed: #121301

NBA SGP legs

Coward 15+ points (-132): One source of hope for the Grizzlies as a franchise is the strong start by Coward. The rookie has 47.7/40.6/90.0 shooting splits through his first 15 NBA games.

Coward is averaging 14.3 PPG so far, so he’s not quite up to this threshold on a nightly basis. But he has at least 12 points in 11 of 15 games so far.

Part of the reason I like Coward to hit this scoring milestone is that I expect this to be a fast-paced game.

-> Fade Doncic and back Markkanen on Tuesday night

The Kings and Grizzlies rank fifth and seventh, respectively, in possessions per game (i.e., pace). Coward has a fairly steady shot volume, and I’m hoping he can add to it a bit in this environment. He has at least nine field goal attempts in 12 of 15 games, and he’s averaging 3.3 attempted free throws.

Last time out, in his second game as a starter, Coward scored 19 points on a season-high 15 field goal attempts.

Sabonis 10+ rebounds (-315): Sabonis rested last night on the front end of Sacramento’s back-to-back and should return to action against Memphis.

This should be a very safe milestone for the three-time reigning rebounds leader. Dating back to the start of the 2022-23 season, Sabonis is averaging 13.2 RPG.

When he last faced the Grizzlies in March, Sabonis left early with an ankle injury and failed to hit this milestone. But he cashed it in 13 straight games vs. Memphis prior to that.

Kings vs. Grizzlies predictions made at 11:30 a.m. ET Nov. 20, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 20: De’Aaron Fox, Jalen Johnson should shine on Thursday

There are three 8 p.m. ET tip-offs in the NBA on Thursday night, and I’m targeting two of them for some prop bets.

Today’s NBA props narrative: The San Antonio Spurs host the Atlanta Hawks in a matchup that’s missing some key scorers. But in the wake of some absences, De’Aaron Fox and Jalen Johnson both have prime opportunities to ball out.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 20, featuring a prediction on Sacramento Kings guard Malik Monk.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 20

Best bet: Monk over 12.5 points (-113)

I love this line for Monk, who’s 8-4 vs. this number.

The veteran shooting guard, who typically plays about 25 minutes off the bench, scored 15+ points in every game in which he hit the over.

A pair of dud performances (zero points, two points) have dragged down his scoring average — but he’s still at 13.3 PPG.

The Kings are on a back-to-back tonight, and I’m hoping that doesn’t change anything about Monk’s usage. In his lone game on zero rest this season, he scored 15 points on 7-of-10 shooting in 28 minutes.

-> Bet on tonight’s 4-game NBA slate

If Monk gets his typical minutes total tonight, this should be a smash play.

Monk’s Kings face the Memphis Grizzlies, who allow the third-most points to shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros.

The Kings and Grizzlies rank fifth and seventh, respectively, in pace this season. That means both sides should be willing to play quickly, and a high-possession game means plenty of scoring opportunities.

Last year, Monk absolutely toasted the Grizzlies. He shot 52.8% from the floor and scored 23, 31 and 28 points across three matchups against them.

Key stat: Monk has averaged north of 13.0 PPG in all four seasons with the Kings (15.2 PPG overall since joining the team in 2022-23).

Embed: #121294

Best NBA picks

Johnson over 39.5 points/rebounds/assists (-113): There are big names missing from both sides of tonight’s Hawks/Spurs matchup, which is part of the reason I expect Johnson to breeze past this line.

Trae Young (knee) will sit again for the Hawks, while Victor Wembanyama (calf) is out for the Spurs.

Without Young, Johnson should continue to run the show on offence for Atlanta. And without Wembanyama, he’ll face less resistance on his way to the rim.

-> Bet on Jalen Johnson vs. the Spurs at NorthStar Bets!

Johnson has now played nine games without Young, and he’s 6-3 vs. this prop. In those matchups, the 23-year-old forward has averaged 22.7 points, 10.6 rebounds and 7.6 assists (40.9 PRA).

The Spurs rank fifth in the NBA in defensive rating, but playing without Wemby — as well as Stephon Castle — makes a huge difference.

NBA player prop predictions

Fox over 2.5 threes (+128): At this price, Fox is worth taking a flier on after cashing this bet three games in a row.

The point guard has attempted exactly eight 3s in three straight games, going 11-for-24 (45.8%) from deep in that span. If that volume persists, this will look like a bargain.

-> See tonight’s NBA prop markets

Fox was injured at the start of the year and has only played six games. He’s attempted at least five 3s in each of them, so there’s a decent floor to work with here.

In three games against the Hawks last year, split between his time with the Kings and Spurs, Fox shot 9-for-19 from deep and went 2-1 vs. this line.

NBA prop picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET on Nov. 20, 2025.

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NFL Week 12 staff best bets: Back Browns in Sanders’ first start, Smith-Njigba to have monster performance

The Kansas City Chiefs are on the verge of must-win territory as they host the rested Indianapolis Colts in Week 12.

The Week 12 narrative: KC has slipped to 5-5 on the season but is favoured at home against Indianapolis (8-2). Later on Sunday, Darnell Mooney will have a shot at taking a step in the right direction amid a miserable season as his Atlanta Falcons face the New Orleans Saints.

Check out our NFL Week 12 staff best bets for our favourite picks this weekend, including a prediction for the Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders matchup and a prop pick on Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

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NFL Week 12 best bets

These NFL Week 12 best bets were provided by NorthStar Bets writers Jordan Horrobin and Spencer Closs.

Browns +4 (-110): The Shedeur Sanders experience was atrocious last week, but he wasn’t set up for success as a mid-game injury replacement.

Up next is Sanders’ first NFL start, coming on the heels of a full week taking first-team reps in preparation for an awful Las Vegas Raiders squad.

I trust that Browns coach Kevin Stefanski, a two-time NFL Coach of the Year, knows Sanders’ limitations and will put his young QB in the best possible spot to succeed.

But enough about the Browns’ offence. Cleveland has a legitimately ferocious defence, and that should be the differentiator in this game. The Browns are No. 2 in yards allowed and should stifle a Las Vegas offence that has only surpassed 20 points in one of its past six games.

The Raiders are 0-1 SU in their only game as favourites this season. And they’re 3-6-1 ATS overall.

-Horrobin

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Colts vs. Chiefs ATS prediction

Colts +3.5 (-114): The Colts and Chiefs are pretty even on paper.

From Week 5 onward, according to RBSDM.com, Kansas City ranks No. 2 in offensive EPA and No. 12 in defensive EPA.

But in the same span, Indianapolis is No. 1 on offence and No. 9 on defence.

-> Visit NorthStar Bets for all NFL Week 12 betting markets

The Colts will have the most dynamic player on the field Sunday, which feels crazy to say with Patrick Mahomes on the other sideline. But Jonathan Taylor — who leads the NFL with 1,139 rush yards and 17 total TDs in 10 games — has just been that good.

Indy is coming off a bye, while KC is coming off back-to-back outright losses as a favourite.

Both of the Colts’ losses this year came by one score, and I like them to at least keep this one close.

-Horrobin

Over/under pick

Patriots/Bengals over 49.5 points (-110): This game has high shootout potential.

The Patriots average the eighth-most yards and seventh-most points per game (26.5). And they’ll be facing a Bengals defence that’s been atrocious.

Cincinnati is surrendering a league-high 33.4 points per game. But its offence has been firing under Joe Flacco.

In Flacco’s five starts, Cincinnati is scoring 28.6 points per game.

The Bengals have hit the over in seven of 10 games this season. That’s tied for the most in the NFL.

–Closs

-> Bet on Patriots vs. Bengals

NFL Week 12 best bets: Player props

Mooney over 46.5 receiving yards (-112): Despite some wildly discouraging results, opportunity should continue to knock for Mooney.

Last year, Mooney was eight yards shy of 1,000 in his first season with the Atlanta Falcons. This year, he’s not even on pace for 500 yards.

His target share is down in 2025, but not to the point where his yardage total should be so low. In the past four weeks, for example, Mooney has six catches on 21 targets.

Atlanta’s WR1, Drake London, is expected to miss Sunday’s game with a knee injury. That should vault Mooney into the top receiving role.

Mooney should see seven-plus targets for a third consecutive game, and if he does, I think there’s plenty of value on a yardage total this low.

According to Rotowire, Mooney’s average depth of target (14.9 yards) ranks in the 90th percentile. That means we should only need a few successful connections between Mooney and Kirk Cousins to cash this bet.

-> Bet on Mooney vs. the Saints!

Last year, with Cousins at the helm, Mooney went 2-0 vs. this yardage total against the Saints, going for 102 yards combined in two matchups.

-Horrobin

Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 94.5 receiving yards (-112): This is a big total, no doubt, but Smith-Njigba is the WR1 heading into Week 12.

His stats are otherworldly. Take a look at where they rank in the NFL:

1,146 receiving yards (1st)
114.6 yards/game (1st)
72 receptions (4th)

JSN is 8-2 against this line, finishing with 93 and 79 yards in the unders.

The wideout’s floor is sky-high right now, and it just makes sense to back him at any yardage total under 100.

-Closs

NFL Week 12 best bets made at 3:40 p.m. ET on Nov. 19, 2025.

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College football Week 13 picks and predictions: NCAAF best bets on Texas’ DeAndre Moore, Pitt vs. Georgia Tech

A pair of Texas teams fighting for College Football Playoff spots are featured in this week’s college football picks.

The pregame narrative: The Texas Longhorns need to thrive the rest of the way, and receiver DeAndre Moore should help that cause against an overmatched Arkansas Razorbacks defence. Elsewhere, the North Texas Mean Green look to build on the third-best ATS record in the country.

Check out Saturday’s best college football Week 13 picks, featuring a prediction for the Pitt Panthers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets matchup.

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College football picks Week 13

Best bet: Moore over 44.5 receiving yards (-120)

The Longhorns’ chances at a College Football Playoff berth are on life support. They can’t take their foot off the gas, and picking up some style points along the way wouldn’t hurt.

No. 17 Texas hosts the unranked Arkansas Razorbacks, who’ve lost eight in a row while playing some pitiful defence.

During that eight-game losing streak, the Razorbacks have allowed 37.8 points and 468.2 yards per game.

-> Back DeAndre Moore, No. 17 Texas to run it up vs. Arkansas

The Longhorns should be able to pick apart the Razorbacks on the ground and through the air. According to Game On Paper, Arkansas’ defence ranks 120th in EPA per pass and 112th in EPA per rush.

Moore is viewed as the WR2 for Texas, behind sophomore Ryan Wingo. Entering Week 13, Wingo has been dealing with a thumb injury and isn’t feeling 100%.

There’s optimism that Wingo will play, according to a report from On3, but there’s no guarantee he sees his typical WR1 workload.

And even if he does, Moore should have enough opportunities to clear this modest line against a dreadful defence. He’s 6-1 vs. this prop in his past seven games and is coming off a team-high 75 yards against Georgia.

Key stat: From Week 4 onward, Moore has averaged 59.3 yards while catching at least three passes in all seven games.

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More college football best bets

Pitt/Georgia Tech over 61.5 points (-114): Based on success rate, Georgia Tech has a top-10 offence and a bottom-25 defence. Pitt, meanwhile, has a bottom-25 offence and a top-10 defence.

I expect offence to win out. Here’s why:

The strength of Pitt’s defence is in the run game, where the Panthers rank eighth in yards per attempt. But the Yellow Jackets have no problem advancing the ball through the air.

Georgia Tech quarterback Haynes King has 300+ passing yards and a completion rate north of 70.0% in each of his past three games.

Pitt might not have a terribly efficient offence, but both teams have found ways to score this season. The Panthers and Yellow Jackets both rank in the top 20 in points per game, averaging north of 35.0 PPG each.

-> Check out Week 13 NCAAF prop markets at NorthStar Bets

Overs are 5-2 in Georgia Tech’s past seven games.

North Texas -18.5 (-108): This is a boatload of points for a road team to cover. But North Texas just did it last week, and I like the Mean Green’s chances to do it again.

Last week at UAB, the Mean Green won by 29 points as 18-point road favourites.

On the season, North Texas is now 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS. The team has covered each of its four biggest spreads, spanning from 13 points to 27.5 points.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Saturday’s college football action!

The Mean Green currently sit outside the CFP rankings, but they have a good shot at a playoff berth if they keep rolling. And behind the nation’s No. 1 offence (45.3 PPG), I think they can.

The difference in offence between North Texas and Rice is staggering. The Owls rank dead-last in NCAA Division I in offensive success rate, and they’re averaging just 19.2 PPG vs. D-I opponents.

North Texas’ average point differential this season is +21.2, and Rice shouldn’t be able to do much to slow this squad down.

College football picks made at 1:55 p.m. on Nov. 19, 2025.

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