Jordan Horrobin

Joe Burrow returns for the Cincinnati Bengals in the nightcap of Thursday’s U.S. Thanksgiving tripleheader.

The pregame narrative: With a juicy 51.5-point projected total, this holiday edition of Thursday Night Football between the Bengals and Baltimore Ravens should have plenty of touchdowns. Overs went 4-0 between these teams over the two previous seasons.

Check out my Bengals vs. Ravens TD picks for Nov. 27, featuring Mark Andrews and Andrei Iosivas.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL

Bengals vs. Ravens TD picks

Best bet: Andrews to score (+120)

Earlier in the week, I backed Andrews to go over 37.5 receiving yards in what is the best imaginable matchup for him.

I’m just as big of a fan of this wager, especially with how often he’s seeing targets near the goal line.

• Andrews has been targeted at least once inside the five-yard line in each of the past four games (five targets inside the five-yard line in total in that span).

• He has three receiving TDs and a 35-yard rushing TD in his past four games.

-> Bet on Andrews to score at +120 on Thursday Night Football

With that kind of consistency in the most valuable part of the field, Andrews could be a worthwhile TD pick against any team right now. But he’s especially enticing against the Bengals.

According to Pro Football Reference, Cincinnati has allowed 962 receiving yards and 13 TDs to opposing tight ends in just 11 games.

For context, no other team has allowed even 800 receiving yards or eight TDs to tight ends.

If it’s not Derrick Henry bulldozing his way up the middle in goal-to-go situations, look for the Ravens to turn to Andrews in this Grade-A matchup.

Key stat: Andrews balled out against the Bengals last year, catching 10 passes for 123 yards and a touchdown in two games.

Embed: #121618

Thursday Night Football anytime TD prediction

Iosivas to score (+360): Ja’Marr Chase will probably be a target hog tonight, and rightfully so, but I’m hoping there’s still something left on the plate for Iosivas.

With Chase serving a suspension last week, Iosivas led the Bengals in targets (seven) and receiving yards (61). He has 12 catches for 147 yards and a touchdown over his past three games.

Burrow’s return doesn’t guarantee that Iosivas will continue seeing that kind of volume. But I like the Princeton grad’s chances over the lesser-known Mitchell Tinsley.

-> Go to full Bengals vs. Ravens betting markets for TNF

Tinsley, who has 12 targets in 11 games with the Bengals, has never caught a pass from Burrow.

Iosivas, meanwhile, had a TD reception from Burrow in each of the Bengals’ final three games last season.

Both Chase and Chase Brown are on the short side of even money to score. If you’re looking for a plus-money play with the Bengals, Iosivas looks like the most compelling option.

Bengals vs. Ravens TD picks made at 8:50 a.m. ET Nov. 27, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

The margins are razor-thin in the NFC North, which raises the stakes of Thursday’s matchup between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers.

The pregame narrative: Two years ago on American Thanksgiving, the Packers stormed into Ford Field and emerged with an underdog victory. Green Bay is an underdog again as it seeks a fourth consecutive road win.

Check out my Packers vs. Lions predictions for Thanksgiving Day, with a +340 same-game parlay featuring Jahmyr Gibbs and Emanuel Wilson.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL.

Packers vs. Lions predictions

SGP: Gibbs over 3.5 catches | Wilson anytime TD | Over 44.5 points (+340)

Gibbs over 3.5 catches (-157): The Lions have to continue to get the ball into Gibbs’ hands as much as possible. He’s as dynamic as any playmaker in the NFL right now.

Gibbs made that abundantly clear on Sunday, turning 26 touches into 264 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns. He had a whopping 11 receptions in the home win over the Giants.

The Packers bottled up Gibbs in their season opener, holding him to just 50 scrimmage yards on 19 touches.

But the Lions did their best to give him chances, and he caught all 10 of his targets in that game.

-> Bet on the Thanksgiving Day tripleheader!

Gibbs is now 4-1 vs. this prop in his career against Green Bay, totalling 25 catches on 31 targets.

The third-year tailback is averaging 4.4 catches this season and should be trusted to see ample volume as a receiver again on Thursday.

Embed: #121557

NFL Thanksgiving Day SGP picks

Wilson anytime TD (-117): After missing one game, Josh Jacobs should immediately resume RB1 duties for the Packers. But they might want to reconsider his workload.

From Weeks 1-10, Jacobs averaged 21.1 touches per game. His backup, Wilson, averaged just 5.8 touches.

To keep Jacobs healthy, it would make sense to bridge that usage gap a bit. Especially when you consider what Wilson did with an elevated opportunity the past two weeks.

-> Check out full Packers vs. Lions prop markets at NorthStar Bets!

• 147 yards and three rushing TDs on 39 carries
• 27 receiving yards on three targets
• Four carries inside the 5-yard line

I could see the Packers turning to Wilson in goal-line situations as a way of keeping a little more tread on Jacobs’ tires. And Wilson has earned a greater slice of the pie overall.

Over 44.5 points (-195): The first 2025 matchup between these teams finished with just 40 points, but I’m expecting an uptick in offence for the rematch.

• Overs are 4-1 in the past five Packers/Lions matchups in Detroit. The average total in those games was 52.4 points.

• Overs are 4-1 in Green Bay’s road games this year. Each of the past four cleared this point total.

The Packers held the Lions to 13 points at Lambeau Field in September. But I don’t expect them to hold off the No. 2 scoring offence again.

As for Detroit’s defence, the Giants just ran up 517 yards and 27 points at Ford Field on Sunday. With Jacobs back, Green Bay’s offence should be able to string some quality drives together.

Packers vs. Lions predictions made at 1:35 p.m. ET on Nov. 25, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

The NFL is serving up a Week 13 tripleheader for American Thanksgiving, and I’m targeting some big names from the slate.

The pregame narrative: Patrick Mahomes, coming off a season-high 352 passing yards, is lighting it up for the Kansas City Chiefs when they need it most. He draws a Grade-A matchup on Thursday afternoon, while Ja’Marr Chase should thrive in a very familiar matchup in the night game.

Check out my top NFL Thanksgiving prop picks, featuring a prediction on Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL

NFL Thanksgiving prop picks

Best bet: Chase 90+ receiving yards yards (-114)

Pardon the on-the-nose pun here, but Chase should feast in Baltimore on Thanksgiving.

For one thing, Joe Burrow is back under centre. And while Joe Flacco is capable of slinging it, there’s nothing quite like the Burrow-to-Chase connection that was established in their college days at LSU.

Additionally, Tee Higgins (concussion) has been ruled out.

Higgins’ presence would’ve taken some of the heat off Chase, but the absence should only further encourage Burrow to pepper his top wideout with targets.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on NFL Thanksgiving action!

Oh, and let’s not forget that Burrow and Chase absolutely torched the Ravens last year.

• Oct. 6, 2024 vs. Ravens: 10 catches on 12 targets, 193 yards, two TDs

• Nov. 7, 2024, vs. Ravens: 11 catches on 17 targets, 264 yards, three TDs

The All-Pro wideout has seen a dozen or more targets on three occasions this year, and based on the circumstances with Higgins out, I think there’s a good chance it happens again.

Chase is a reigning triple crown winner at the WR position, after pacing the NFL in catches, yards and touchdowns last year. He averaged a cool 100.5 yards per game in 2024.

Though 2025 hasn’t been quite as fruitful, he’s still averaging a hearty 86.1 yards/game (fifth in the NFL).

Everyone knows where Burrow will be trying to put the ball, but that shouldn’t matter. Look for Chase to go off.

Key stat: Chase has 91 or more receiving yards in five of his past six games.

Embed: #121565

-> Visit NorthStar Bets for all NFL Thanksgiving Day betting markets

Best NFL picks

Andrews over 37.5 receiving yards (-117): It’s been a while since Andrews cleared this yardage line. In fact, it’s only happened once this season (Week 3 vs. Lions).

But a lack of precedent doesn’t matter much to me when the matchup is this enticing.

The Bengals have been truly horrendous vs. opposing tight ends, allowing eight of 11 starters to hit this over:

Here’s another way to put it: Cincinnati has allowed 962 receiving yards and 13 TDs to opposing tight ends.

No other team has allowed even 800 yards or eight TDs to that position group.

-> Bet on Ja’Marr Chase, Mark Andrews in Bengals vs. Ravens on Thanksgiving!

And like Chase, Andrews was a monster in last year’s Bengals/Ravens clashes. He went 2-0 vs. this prop, totalling 10 catches for 123 yards and a touchdown across the two matchups.

Mahomes over 267.5 passing yards (-114): Mahomes has the weapons and the matchup to really pop at Jerry World on Thursday afternoon.

Rashee Rice is a lightning rod who barely needs any space to do something special.

Xavier Worthy is a field-stretcher and downfield burner.

And the ageless Travis Kelce is still finding soft spots in the defence that has him on pace for another 1,000-yard season.

Combine that trio (plus Hollywood Brown) with a sieve-like Dallas Cowboys defence, and you’re left with an epic opportunity for Mahomes to stay hot.

• The two-time MVP is averaging 270.6 yards per game this season.

• He has 250+ yards in eight straight games, going 6-2 vs. this prop with a 15:6 TD-to-INT ratio in that span.

Dallas has allowed 270.3 yards/game to opposing QBs, which is the second-most in the NFL. Every game feels like a must-win for KC, and Mahomes should continue taking matters into his own hands.

NFL Thanksgiving prop picks made at 11:39 a.m. ET on Nov. 25, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!