Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

College football national championship odds and betting favourites: Buckeyes favoured to repeat ahead of Big Ten title clash vs. Indiana

The Ohio State Buckeyes remain prominent favourites to win the College Football Playoff national championship. But some new challengers have emerged to dethrone the reigning champs.

The latest: Despite holding +10,000 odds in the preseason to win the title, the Indiana Hoosiers are now within striking distance. Led by current Heisman frontrunner Fernando Mendoza, the Hoosiers are set to face the Buckeyes in Saturday’s Big Ten championship game. Third on the odds leaderboard are the Georgia Bulldogs. The Dawgs have an inside track on a CFP bye if they clinch the SEC title.

College football national championship odds

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Thunder vs. Warriors SGP predictions Dec. 2: Holmgren, Butler should shine on Tuesday night

The Oklahoma City Thunder are hefty road favourites on Tuesday night against the Steph Curry-less Golden State Warriors.

The pregame narrative: OKC (20-1) is laying 12 points against a Golden State squad that is 7-2 SU (6-3 ATS) at home. Without Curry, Brandin Podziemski is a logical candidate to pick things up from 3-point range for the Dubs.

Check out my Thunder vs. Warriors SGP predictions for Dec. 2, featuring Podziemski, Chet Holmgren and Jimmy Butler.

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Thunder vs. Warriors SGP

Parlay: Holmgren double-double | Podziemski 2+ threes | Butler 20+ points (+430)

Holmgren to record a double-double (+104): There are no dominant rebounders in this matchup tonight, but Holmgren is the best — and biggest — of the bunch.

Isaiah Hartenstein is out, leaving Holmgren (7-foot-1) with the traditional centre role for OKC.

On Golden State’s side, no player averages more than 6.2 rebounds per game. And only one regular rotational player, Quinten Post, is taller than 6-foot-7.

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Holmgren, who’s averaging 18.2 points and 8.0 rebounds, recorded a double-double in four of his first eight games. He hasn’t had one since, but he’s been awfully close.

The former No. 2 overall draftee has finished with exactly nine rebounds in four of his past seven games. I’m not worried about Holmgren scoring 10 points, so it’s really about getting to that double-digit rebound total.

Golden State has allowed the seventh-most rebounds per game to centres, per Fantasy Pros, as well as the eighth-most rebounds overall.

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NBA SGP legs

Podziemski 2+ threes (-186): The Thunder are the NBA’s best defensive team, but they aren’t a lockdown group when defending the perimeter.

OKC allows a 36.5% shooting rate from 3-point range, which is higher than the NBA average (35.9%).

Podziemski is a solid shooter from outside (38.6 3PT%), and he’s on a heater right now. This matchup shouldn’t deter bettors from backing him.

-> Go to full Thunder vs. Warriors prop markets

Check out Podziemski’s beyond-the-arc production in his past 10 games:

43.8 3PT%
2.1 makes/game
4.8 attempts/game
2+ threes in 8 of 10

I’d like Podziemski’s 3-point shot volume to be higher, but the efficiency can’t be denied.

And he’s coming off a season-high nine attempted 3s — with Curry sidelined — so hopefully there are plenty more to come.

Butler 20+ points (-159): Butler is questionable to play, but if he suits up for the Warriors I know this scoring milestone will be within reach.

Butler is averaging 20.2 PPG this season in 19 games.

He has 20+ points in 13 of 19 games.

In his past eight matchups, Butler has gone 6-2 vs. this prop while averaging 22.9 PPG.

-> Bet on Podziemski, Butler vs. OKC on Tuesday night

The 15-year veteran had a weirdly quiet showing when he last faced the Thunder in mid-November: 12 points on 2-of-3 shooting (8-for-8 from the free throw line) in 22 minutes.

Butler has averaged 33.9 minutes, 12.8 field goal attempts and 9.4 free throw attempts since then, so I feel comfortable calling that an outlier.

Warriors vs. Thunder SGP made at 1 p.m. ET Dec. 2, 2025.

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Trail Blazers vs. Raptors prop picks Dec. 2: Fade Brandon Ingram from 3-point range at plus money

The Toronto Raptors open a five-game homestand on Tuesday night against the Portland Trail Blazers at Scotiabank Arena.

The latest: Toronto dropped both of its road games over the weekend and is now 1-4 ATS in its past five. But the Raps, who are 7-2 straight up at home, are laying 5.5 points tonight against the sub-.500 Blazers.

Check out these Trail Blazers vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Dec. 2, featuring Brandon Ingram and Jakob Poeltl.

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Trail Blazers vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Ingram under 1.5 threes (+104)

Aside from one outlier game, Ingram really hasn’t been a very active — or effective — 3-point shooter for the Raptors.

He did go 5-for-11 beyond the arc on Nov. 24 against the Cavaliers. But overall, he’s shooting just 31.3% on 4.6 attempts per game.

That equates to 1.4 made 3s per game, which obviously puts him a tick below this number.

-> Full Trail Blazers vs. Raptors props at NorthStar Bets

Tonight’s matchup is a good one for Ingram’s shot profile, as the Blazers tend to allow a high volume of midrange shots and a low volume of 3s.

According to Cleaning The Glass, the Blazers allow the fifth-fewest 3s in the NBA on a shot percentage basis. And they allow the sixth-most midrange shots (second-most from the long midrange).

Ingram, meanwhile, ranks in the 97th percentile among wings in shot attempts from the midrange (98th percentile from long midrange). And he ranks in the fourth percentile for 3-point attempts.

What this tells me is that Ingram should be able to get to his spots … and his spots are typically inside the arc.

Ingram’s 31.3 3PT% is his lowest since his rookie season (2016-17), so we’re likely to see some positive regression at some point.

But if he’s attempting five or fewer 3s tonight — as he has in six of his past seven games — the under should be very much in play.

Key stat: This under went 9-6 for Ingram in November.

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Additional NBA prop predictions

Poeltl over 8.5 rebounds (-139): Poeltl rested on the back end of Toronto’s weekend back-to-back, but he’s off the injury report and good to go for tonight.

The 7-footer had some quiet games at the outset of the season, but his floor as a rebounder has been impressively high since Nov. 4:

11 games
9.5 RPG
9+ rebounds in 9 of 11

-> Bet on Ingram and Poeltl here!

Portland is a strong team on the glass, but the team plays at the third-fastest pace in the NBA. More possessions mean more opportunities for rebounds.

The Blazers allow the 13th-most rebounds in the NBA, and Poeltl is 6-1 vs. this prop in his past seven games.

Trail Blazers vs. Raptors prop picks made at 10 a.m. ET on Dec. 2, 2025.

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NFL Week 14 upset picks: Back the Jets and Cowboys to win as underdogs

The Dallas Cowboys are on the rise and still well within the playoff hunt entering Thursday night’s primetime matchup vs. the Detroit Lions.

The pregame narrative: I’m backing the Cowboys to win as underdogs for a third straight game as the Lions continue to sink into the soft middle of the NFL standings. On Sunday, the Miami Dolphins are worth fading in a cold, outdoor venue against a divisional foe.

Check out my top NFL Week 14 upset picks below.

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NFL Week 14 upset picks

Best bet: Jets moneyline (+123)

This pick is primarily about fading the Dolphins, which I’m happy to do in a cold-weather outdoor game.

Miami hasn’t played a true road game since Week 8 (they played once on a neutral field in Spain). The Dolphins’ results in true road games have been brutal this year:

1-4 SU (2-3 ATS)
-39 point differential

In their most recent road matchup, the Dolphins blew out the Falcons, 34-10, in an indoor venue. They’ve lost all three outdoor road games this year, though.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on the NFL’s Week 14 slate at NorthStar Bets!

Additionally, I’m not the least bit impressed with Miami’s Week 13 performance at home — coming off a bye — against a dreadful Saints team.

New Orleans, now 2-10, had the ball in the final minute with a chance to win. Miami failed to cash in for a touchdown on either of its red zone possessions and nearly blew a 16-point lead.

The Jets are far from a good team, but they’re playing with a lot more of an edge these days. Since Week 8, the Jets are 5-0 ATS with three upset wins.

Back in September, New York lost a one-score game in Miami. I expect the Jets to return the favour on home turf.

Key stat: Miami is 0-3 with a -38 point differential in three outdoor road games this year.

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NFL underdog prediction

Cowboys moneyline (+145): So… how ’bout them Cowboys?

Dallas just beat both of last year’s Super Bowl teams in a span of five days to move to 6-5-1 on the year. Now the Cowboys hit the road to face the scuffling Lions.

Detroit is 3-4 SU (2-5 ATS) since mid-October and has dropped two of its past three games as a home favourite.

Trade deadline acquisition Quinnen Williams bolsters my faith in Dallas to get this done on the road. In three weeks with Williams on their defensive line, the Cowboys rank inside the top 10 in EPA per rush and rushing success rate, per RBSDM.com.

Detroit has a top-five run offence in terms of total yards, yards per attempt and touchdowns. Quieting that part of its attack is crucial.

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Star receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown left Detroit’s Thanksgiving game early with an ankle injury. As of Monday afternoon, it’s unclear if he’ll be ready for this game.

Even if he is, I’m not sure the Lions’ slumping offence can keep pace with the Cowboys, who are averaging 29.3 PPG (second in the NFL).

NFL upset picks made at 1:30 p.m. ET on Dec. 1, 2025.

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Giants vs. Patriots Week 13 TD picks: Theo Johnson has value in Jaxson Dart’s return on MNF

Theo Johnson, a native of Windsor, Ontario, is my top pick to score a touchdown on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Jaxson Dart will be back under centre for the New York Giants, and I view that as a good thing for Johnson’s TD chances. As for the host New England Patriots, Rhamondre Stevenson’s short-yardage opportunities are worth buying in on.

Check out my Giants vs. Patriots TD picks for Monday Night Football on Dec. 1.

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Giants vs. Patriots TD picks

Best bet: Johnson to score (+255)

Dart’s return for the Giants is a plus for Johnson’s opportunity to score for a couple of reasons.

Coming off a two-game absence due to a concussion, it’s fair to expect Dart to run less often. He’s been evaluated for a concussion four times over eight games since the preseason, per ESPN, and his Week 10 concussion came on his sixth designed run of the game.

In his first seven starts, Dart has more rush attempts inside the 10-yard line (nine) than pass attempts (seven). So if there’s a concerted effort to protect him, those numbers should flip.

Dart and Johnson have chemistry that stems from their time competing against each other in college. In October, Dart recalled Johnson scoring a touchdown in a Penn State vs. Ole Miss game (the 2023 Peach Bowl), and he noted that Johnson stood out athletically.

Dart added this on Johnson: “He’s been nothing but just hardworking and a guy who you can really trust out there on the field.”

-> Bet on Johnson to score at +255 on Monday Night Football

That could just be podium-speak, but there are some results to back it up.

Half of Dart’s 10 TD passes this year have gone to Johnson. The tight end cashed this bet in four of six games from Weeks 4-9.

And the Patriots should provide a decent matchup here, given that they’ve allowed 6.3 receptions per game to opposing tight ends (tied for fifth-most in the NFL).

New England has allowed a league-low four rushing TDs all year.

Key stat: Johnson has at least four targets and three catches in six consecutive games, proving that he’s a steady contributors in the Giants’ offence.

Monday Night Football anytime TD prediction

Stevenson to score (+210): While sitting out three games with a toe injury, Stevenson lost his RB1 job to rookie TreVeyon Henderson. But Stevenson’s goal-line opportunities don’t seem to have gone away.

Stevenson had a season-low snap share (31%) in Week 12, and he only carried the ball six times. But half of those carries came in the red zone — including two inside the five-yard line.

Henderson, by comparison, had 18 carries and a 65% snap share, per RotoWire. But he only saw one handoff inside the red zone.

-> See full Giants vs. Patriots MNF betting markets

In three fewer games, Stevenson has out-carried Henderson inside the five-yard line, 9-4.

The fifth-year tailback out of Oklahoma has 10 carries inside the 10-yard line in his past five games, with at least one touch inside the five-yard line in each of those.

Henderson is the more dynamic and explosive runner, but Stevenson has 25 pounds on him. With a steady floor as a goal-line option, Stevenson is an enticing play on Monday night.

Especially because the Giants have allowed the most rushing yards (157.2/game) and third-most rushing TDs (1.4/game) this season.

Giants vs. Patriots TD picks made at 2:40 p.m. ET on Dec. 1, 2025.

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Giants vs. Patriots Week 13 TD picks: Theo Johnson has value in Jaxson Dart’s return on MNF

Theo Johnson, a native of Windsor, Ontario, is my top pick to score a touchdown on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Jaxson Dart will be back under centre for the New York Giants, and I view that as a good thing for Johnson’s TD chances. As for the host New England Patriots, Rhamondre Stevenson’s short-yardage opportunities are worth buying in on.

Check out my Giants vs. Patriots TD picks for Monday Night Football on Dec. 1.

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Giants vs. Patriots TD picks

Best bet: Johnson to score (+255)

Dart’s return for the Giants is a plus for Johnson’s opportunity to score for a couple of reasons.

Coming off a two-game absence due to a concussion, it’s fair to expect Dart to run less often. He’s been evaluated for a concussion four times over eight games since the preseason, per ESPN, and his Week 10 concussion came on his sixth designed run of the game.

In his first seven starts, Dart has more rush attempts inside the 10-yard line (nine) than pass attempts (seven). So if there’s a concerted effort to protect him, those numbers should flip.

Dart and Johnson have chemistry that stems from their time competing against each other in college. In October, Dart recalled Johnson scoring a touchdown in a Penn State vs. Ole Miss game (the 2023 Peach Bowl), and he noted that Johnson stood out athletically.

Dart added this on Johnson: “He’s been nothing but just hardworking and a guy who you can really trust out there on the field.”

-> Bet on Johnson to score at +255 on Monday Night Football

That could just be podium-speak, but there are some results to back it up.

Half of Dart’s 10 TD passes this year have gone to Johnson. The tight end cashed this bet in four of six games from Weeks 4-9.

And the Patriots should provide a decent matchup here, given that they’ve allowed 6.3 receptions per game to opposing tight ends (tied for fifth-most in the NFL).

New England has allowed a league-low four rushing TDs all year.

Key stat: Johnson has at least four targets and three catches in six consecutive games, proving that he’s a steady contributors in the Giants’ offence.

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Monday Night Football anytime TD prediction

Stevenson to score (+210): While sitting out three games with a toe injury, Stevenson lost his RB1 job to rookie TreVeyon Henderson. But Stevenson’s goal-line opportunities don’t seem to have gone away.

Stevenson had a season-low snap share (31%) in Week 12, and he only carried the ball six times. But half of those carries came in the red zone — including two inside the five-yard line.

Henderson, by comparison, had 18 carries and a 65% snap share, per RotoWire. But he only saw one handoff inside the red zone.

-> See full Giants vs. Patriots MNF betting markets

In three fewer games, Stevenson has out-carried Henderson inside the five-yard line, 9-4.

The fifth-year tailback out of Oklahoma has 10 carries inside the 10-yard line in his past five games, with at least one touch inside the five-yard line in each of those.

Henderson is the more dynamic and explosive runner, but Stevenson has 25 pounds on him. With a steady floor as a goal-line option, Stevenson is an enticing play on Monday night.

Especially because the Giants have allowed the most rushing yards (157.2/game) and third-most rushing TDs (1.4/game) this season.

Giants vs. Patriots TD picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on Dec. 1, 2025.

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Suns vs. Lakers SGP predictions Dec. 1: LeBron should guide L.A. to eighth straight win

The Los Angeles Lakers haven’t lost in nearly three weeks, and they’ll look to stay in the win column on Monday night in a home matchup against the Phoenix Suns.

The pregame narrative: L.A. played last night without LeBron James, who should be back in the mix for this game. Phoenix is just 4-5 on the road this year and is a road underdog despite having a rest advantage.

Check out my Suns vs. Lakers SGP picks for Dec. 1, featuring LeBron and Collin Gillespie.

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Suns vs. Lakers SGP picks

Parlay: Lakers -5.5 | LeBron over 6.5 assists | Gillespie over 2.5 threes (+550)

Lakers -5.5 (+100): As a team, the Lakers are playing on zero rest tonight. But LeBron sat out the front end of the back-to-back, and his expected return tonight should be a boost for the home team.

With or without a rested LeBron, though, L.A. is playing well enough that I’d probably want to back this squad regardless.

The Lakers have won seven in a row, including a 12-point win over the Pelicans at Crypto.com Arena last night.

Six of L.A.’s seven wins during the streak have come by 10+ points.

The Lakers went 11-2 in November with a +5.6 net rating (ninth in the NBA).

-> Build your own NBA SGP at NorthStar Bets

The Suns have dropped three straight against playoff-calibre teams (Rockets, Thunder, Nuggets) by a combined 44 points. They’re having a solid year so far, but they don’t have many impressive wins.

I’ll side with a Lakers squad that is 7-3 ATS at home and covered this number in both home games vs. Phoenix last season.

NBA SGP legs

LeBron over 6.5 assists (-138): He’s only four games into his 23rd season, but so far, LeBron has taken a back seat as a scorer.

His passing productivity hasn’t gone anywhere, though.

Now in his eighth year with L.A., LeBron is averaging 8.1 assists per game. He has 33 assists in his first four matchups of the 2025-26 season.

-> Want to bet on LeBron James? Check out NorthStar Bets’ NBA prop markets!

The King is averaging 12.3 potential assists, per NBA.com, which means passes that lead directly to a shot. That’s high enough to put this assist total in play on a nightly basis.

LeBron is 3-1 vs. this prop and finished with six feeds in the outlier.

He has eight-plus assists in six straight games vs. the Suns dating back to December 2023.

Gillespie over 2.5 threes (+105): Gillespie is on a scorching run from beyond the arc, and I expect more of the same against the Lakers.

The Lakers allow corner 3s on 11.4% of opponents’ shot attempts, which is the third-highest rate in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.

On those corner 3s, opponents are shooting 40.1% — seventh-highest in the NBA.

-> Bet on today’s 9-game NBA slate

Gillespie is a killer from the corner, going 14-for-20 (70.0%) from there so far this season. It’s a small sample, but he should have opportunities to add to that total against L.A.

The undrafted guard out of Villanova, now in his third season, is shooting 43.9% overall from deep. He has cashed this bet in seven consecutive games.

Suns vs. Lakers picks made at 9:54 a.m. on Dec. 1, 2025.

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Suns vs. Lakers SGP predictions Dec. 1: LeBron should guide L.A. to eighth straight win

The Los Angeles Lakers haven’t lost in nearly three weeks, and they’ll look to stay in the win column on Monday night in a home matchup against the Phoenix Suns.

The pregame narrative: L.A. played last night without LeBron James, who should be back in the mix for this game. Phoenix is just 4-5 on the road this year and is a road underdog despite having a rest advantage.

Check out my Suns vs. Lakers SGP picks for Dec. 1, featuring LeBron and Collin Gillespie.

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Suns vs. Lakers SGP picks

Parlay: Lakers -5.5 | LeBron over 6.5 assists | Gillespie over 2.5 threes (+475)

Lakers -5.5 (-113): As a team, the Lakers are playing on zero rest tonight. But LeBron sat out the front end of the back-to-back, and his expected return tonight should be a boost for the home team.

With or without a rested LeBron, though, L.A. is playing well enough that I’d probably want to back this squad regardless.

The Lakers have won seven in a row, including a 12-point win over the Pelicans at Crypto.com Arena last night.

Six of L.A.’s seven wins during the streak have come by 10+ points.

The Lakers went 11-2 in November with a +5.6 net rating (ninth in the NBA).

-> Build your own NBA SGP at NorthStar Bets

The Suns have dropped three straight against playoff-calibre teams (Rockets, Thunder, Nuggets) by a combined 44 points. They’re having a solid year so far, but they don’t have many impressive wins.

I’ll side with a Lakers squad that is 7-3 ATS at home and covered this number in both home games vs. Phoenix last season.

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NBA SGP legs

LeBron over 6.5 assists (-148): He’s only four games into his 23rd season, but so far, LeBron has taken a back seat as a scorer.

His passing productivity hasn’t gone anywhere, though.

Now in his eighth year with L.A., LeBron is averaging 8.1 assists per game. He has 33 assists in his first four matchups of the 2025-26 season.

-> Want to bet on LeBron James? Check out NorthStar Bets’ NBA prop markets!

The King is averaging 12.3 potential assists, per NBA.com, which means passes that lead directly to a shot. That’s high enough to put this assist total in play on a nightly basis.

LeBron is 3-1 vs. this prop and finished with six feeds in the outlier.

He has eight-plus assists in six straight games vs. the Suns dating back to December 2023.

Gillespie over 2.5 threes (-115): Gillespie is on a scorching run from beyond the arc, and I expect more of the same against the Lakers.

The Lakers allow corner 3s on 11.4% of opponents’ shot attempts, which is the third-highest rate in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.

On those corner 3s, opponents are shooting 40.1% — seventh-highest in the NBA.

-> Bet on today’s 9-game NBA slate

Gillespie is a killer from the corner, going 14-for-20 (70.0%) from there so far this season. It’s a small sample, but he should have opportunities to add to that total against L.A.

The undrafted guard out of Villanova, now in his third season, is shooting 43.9% overall from deep. He has cashed this bet in seven consecutive games.

Suns vs. Lakers picks made at 9:54 a.m. on Dec. 1, 2025.

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NFL Week 14 odds and betting lines: Packers, Bears clash for NFC North lead

NFL bye weeks are almost a thing of the past, as Week 14 marks the final weekend with some teams sitting on the sidelines.

The latest: The New England Patriots and a few others will sit this one out, but there are plenty of intriguing matchups nonetheless. That includes three intra-division matchups featuring the top two teams in the standings.

Check out the latest NFL Week 14 odds below.

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NFL Week 14 odds: Betting insights

Separated by half a game and sitting just outside the playoff picture, the Lions and Cowboys kick things off in Week 14 with a massive showdown in Motown. Dallas just beat both of last year’s Super Bowl contenders in a span of five days. Detroit, meanwhile, is 2-3 SU (1-4 ATS in its past five).

Sticking with some NFC North action, the winner of this week’s Bears/Packers game will be in the driver’s seat to win the division. Green Bay went 8-0 ATS vs. Chicago from 2020-23, but the Bears covered in both games last year. In recent weeks, the Bears have had two upset victories during a five-game win streak.

Despite their dud on U.S. Thanksgiving night, the Ravens are positioned to take the lead in the AFC North with a win as home favourites over the Steelers. Baltimore, which won five in a row before last week’s loss, went 2-0 with a +31 point differential last year vs. Pittsburgh.

We could be in for a real rock fight of a game between the Broncos (No. 3 scoring defence) and the Raiders (No. 31 scoring offence). A combo of elite defence on one side and unsightly offence on the other has led these teams to cash unders in 15 of their 22 games, collectively.

The Chiefs’ playoff hopes are on life support with five games to go, but they are favoured to beat the Texans at Arrowhead. KC is on a five-game home winning streak and beat Houston twice last season (both times in KC).

-> Week 14 betting odds

NFL Week 14 schedule: Thursday Night Football and 1 p.m. slate

Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills

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Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

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Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets

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New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens

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Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons

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Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns

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Washington Commanders vs. Minnesota Vikings

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NFL 4 p.m. slate

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders

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Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

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Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals

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SNF & MNF Week 14 games

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 30: Fade Clingan, look for Edey to dominate as a rebounder

Zach Edey has been a monster on the glass lately, and his rebounding prop is my favourite NBA player prediction for Sunday’s action.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Edey faces a shorthanded Sacramento Kings squad, which is about as compelling a matchup as you can ask for. Elsewhere, Donovan Clingan is worth fading against the NBA’s top defence.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 30, featuring a prediction on Devin Vassell.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 30

Best bet: Edey over 11.5 rebounds (-106)

Listed at 7-foot-3 and 305 pounds, Edey is one of the biggest players in the NBA. As you might expect, that means he has one of the highest ceilings as a rebounder on a night-to-night basis.

The recent results speak for themselves:

Nov. 22: 26 minutes, 15 rebounds
Nov. 24: 6 minutes, 1 rebound
Nov. 26: 35 minutes, 15 rebounds
Nov. 28: 32 minutes, 19 rebounds

-> Bet on Canada’s Zach Edey vs. the Kings tonight!

In the six-minute effort, Edey left early with a migraine and did not return.

But even with that game included, the second-year centre averaged more than a rebound every two minutes during this four-game span.

The fact that he played 30+ minutes in back-to-back games is also noteworthy, given that Edey began the year on the shelf recovering from ankle surgery. He didn’t debut until the Grizzlies’ 14th game (Nov. 15).

Edey, a Toronto native, played around 25 minutes in his first three games and went under this rebounding total in each of them. But he seems to be back to full go now.

And that’s bad news for the Kings, who won’t have Domantas Sabonis out there to challenge Edey tonight. Sabonis, the NBA’s three-time reigning rebounding champ, is sidelined with a knee injury.

The Kings have the lowest rebounding rate in the NBA (46.5%). Edey should be able to dominate, especially with Sabonis out.

Key stat: Sacramento is allowing the third-most rebounds per game to opposing centres (16.39), per Fantasy Pros.

Best NBA picks

Vassell under 2.5 threes (-125): It’s not fun to fade a guy who’s in a groove, but that’s exactly what I’m doing here with Vassell.

The sixth-year wing has gone over 2.5 threes in four straight games and is shooting 40.3% from deep this season.

He has 3+ threes in seven of his past 11 games, averaging 2.8 makes on 6.2 attempts in that span (45.6 3PT%).

-> Bet on Spurs vs. Timberwolves here!

So why fade him? The matchup, mostly.

Vassell faces the Minnesota Timberwolves, who allow the sixth-fewest 3-point makes and attempts per game in the NBA.

The T-wolves also allow the sixth-lowest 3PT% on non-corner triples (33.2%), per Cleaning The Glass.

Vassell primarily shoots his 3-pointers from the non-corner area, so I don’t expect him to thrive on his standard shot diet. Among all shots he takes, 39% are non-corner 3s (compared to just 13% as corner 3s).

In the six games with Victor Wembanyama, Vassell has only attempted 5.7 threes per game. He’s been cashing them at a high rate, but that volume isn’t enough for me to expect another over in this matchup.

NBA player prop predictions

Clingan under 9.5 points (-130): This will be Clingan’s third time facing the Oklahoma City Thunder this year, and based on how the first two matchups went, taking the under here looks like the right play.

In the games on Nov. 5 and Nov. 23, Clingan shot a combined 4-for-12 and scored 15 points. He went under this total both times.

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In fairness to him, it’s a brutal matchup any time you have to face OKC. The defending champs have the best defensive rating in the NBA (103.4), and they allow the fewest points per game (106.3).

Against centres in particular, the Thunder allow the second-fewest PPG among all teams.

Clingan has hit this under in 12 of 19 games overall, and it’d make sense for that trend to continue in such a daunting matchup.

NBA prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on Nov. 30, 2025.

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