Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

Vikings vs. Cowboys Week 15 TD picks: Addison, Williams will have opportunities to score

With a chance to keep their playoff hopes alive, the Dallas Cowboys host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: With an over/under of 48 points, this SNF matchup has the fourth-highest projected total of the week. That has plenty to do with the Cowboys’ No. 3-ranked scoring offence. I’m backing Javonte Williams to score for the home team as my top TD pick.

Check out my Vikings vs. Cowboys TD picks for Sunday Night Football on Dec. 14, featuring Jordan Addison.

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Vikings vs. Cowboys TD picks

Best bet: Williams to score (-117)

Williams, who was released by the Denver Broncos in the spring and immediately scooped by the Cowboys, has had an excellent debut season for Dallas.

He’s already a 1,000-yard rusher through 13 games, setting career-highs in:

TDs (11)
Rushing success rate (54.9%)
Yards per rush (4.8)
Rush attempts per game (16.5)

-> Bet on Williams to score on Sunday Night Football

Dallas has trimmed down Williams’ receiving work to career-low levels, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing. After all, he’s feasting as a runner.

And it’s clear the Cowboys trust him near the end zone, which certainly matters for this pick.

In 12 of 13 games this year, Williams has at least one touch (i.e., a carry or a reception) inside the five-yard line. Overall, he has 20 touches inside the five (No. 2 in the NFL behind Derrick Henry).

Last week in Detroit, Williams had two red zone targets to go with two carries inside the five-yard line. He cashed in with a one-yard TD run.

Dating back to Week 4, Williams has at least four carries and/or targets in the red zone in 10 straight matchups. That’s some serious volume.

Key stat: Williams is 8-5 vs. this prop and has a touchdown in back-to-back games.

Embed: #122187

Sunday Night Football anytime TD prediction

Addison to score (+200): Though I’m not a fan of what J.J. McCarthy has been up to at the helm of the Vikings’ offence, I can’t ignore how brutal the Cowboys’ pass defence has been.

Dallas has allowed the most yards (2,224) and touchdowns (22) to opposing receivers this season.

Opposing quarterbacks have a 103.5 passer rating vs. Dallas, according to RotoWire, which is the highest in the NFL.

-> See full Vikings vs. Cowboys SNF betting markets

This is the ideal matchup for a talented wideout, and Addison fits the bill.

Despite missing three games at the start of the year, Addison still leads Vikings receivers in red zone targets (12). And he’s been targeted inside the 10-yard line in back-to-back weeks.

Combining this prop price, the matchup and Addison’s red zone usage, I think he’s absolutely worth taking a flier on.

Vikings vs. Cowboys TD picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on Dec. 14, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Dec. 14: Bet on Doncic, Murphy to be active on offence

Luka Doncic headlines Sunday’s NBA prop bets as he continues to be one of the league’s highest-volume shooters.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Doncic chucks 3-pointers with the best of them, and I’m backing the over on his 3s prop for tonight. Elsewhere, look for Trey Murphy and Jalen Johnson to fill the stat sheet.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Dec 14.

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NBA prop picks: Dec. 14

Best bet: Doncic over 3.5 threes (-136)

The over on Doncic’s point total (35.5) is a bit too rich for me tonight, but I did want to find a way to back him. With a little extra juice on his 3s prop, this seems like a good place to land.

Doncic fires almost as many 3s as anyone, and high volume is a must for a line like this.

His 10.6 attempted 3s per game ranks third in the NBA.

We should see even more triples than usual from Doncic tonight with Austin Reaves (calf) ruled out. Reaves (7.6 3PA) is the only other Laker averaging at least half as many 3-point attempts as Doncic.

-> See full props for Luka Doncic and the Lakers!

In two games without Reaves this year, Doncic is 8-for-21 (38.1%) from deep and cashed this prop both times.

Overall, Doncic is 9-9 vs. this prop in the 2025-26 season.

Shooting at a 33.7% clip from beyond the arc, Doncic isn’t the most efficient shooter by any means. But when you shoot as much as he does, there’s always a chance to clear a line like this.

Since the start of the 2023-24 season (138 games), the five-time All-NBA guard is averaging 3.8 threes on 10.3 attempts.

Key stat: In Doncic’s past five matchups vs. the Suns, he is 4-1 vs. this prop while shooting 41.8% on 11.0 attempts.

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Best NBA picks

Johnson over 8.5 assists (-121): Johnson is a frontcourt player who has been doing his best impression of a point guard for quite some time now.

From Nov. 13 onward, Johnson leads the NBA in potential assists per game (18.8), which denotes all passes that lead directly to a shot.

In that span, Johnson is averaging 10.0 APG and is 8-5 vs. this line. He has 12 or more assists in three straight.

-> Full betting markets for Sunday’s NBA slate!

Johnson will face the Philadelphia 76ers tonight, and though he only had seven assists against them last time out (Nov. 30), it’s clear there’s room for a lot more.

The Sixers allow the second-most assists to small forwards, per Fantasy Pros, as well as the ninth-most assists overall.

NBA player prop predictions

Murphy over 19.5 points (-106): The Chicago Bulls and New Orleans Pelicans both rank in the bottom three in scoring defence. And the teams combined for 273 points when they last met on Nov. 24.

So, yes, I want a piece of this one in the prop market.

-> Bet on Trey Murphy vs. the Bulls!

Murphy, who’s averaging 21.2 PPG this season, seems like a perfect candidate. He doesn’t even have to reach his scoring average to get this done.

He’s 15-9 vs. this prop this year, landing on exactly 19 points in two other instances.

When he faced the Bulls last month, Murphy shot 4-for-10 from deep and finished with 20 points.

So far in December, Murphy has 20+ points in all five games.

NBA prop picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET on Dec. 14, 2025.

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Spurs vs. Thunder NBA Cup prop picks Dec. 13: Bet on Victor Wembanyama’s points prop in his return

Victor Wembanyama is expected to return for the San Antonio Spurs in Saturday’s NBA Cup semifinal against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The latest: Wembanyama hasn’t played since Nov. 14 due to a calf injury, but the superstar centre is back in time for a marquee showdown in Las Vegas. His Spurs are 10.5-point underdogs against the one-loss (and reigning champion) Thunder.

Check out these Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks for the game on Dec. 13, featuring prop bets on Wembanyama and Ajay Mitchell.

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Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks

Best bet: Mitchell over 2.5 assists (+115)

Jalen Williams returned recently for the Thunder, which bumped Mitchell down to third on OKC’s pecking order for passers.

But he’s still active enough for me to want this over at an enticing price.

In his past five games — all with Williams back on the court — Mitchell has averaged 3.6 assists on 7.2 potential APG. Potential assists are passes that lead directly to a shot.

On the season, Mitchell is 17-8 vs. this prop.

If Mitchell sticks around 7.0 potential assists on a game-to-game basis, he’s going to be in an excellent spot to cash this assists prop.

-> Full Spurs vs. Thunder props at NorthStar Bets

And I can see that happening, given that J-Dub’s return means the Thunder are close to a full-strength team again (minus 3-point specialist Isaiah Joe).

Mitchell should take on more of a pass-first role, leaving most of the scoring to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Williams.

Without J-Dub, Mitchell averaged 12.5 field goal attempts in 19 games this year. With J-Dub, that average is down to 5.8 attempts.

Key stat: The Spurs allow the ninth-most assists per game to their opponents.

-> Wager on Saturday’s NBA Cup doubleheader

Prop bet for Wemby’s return

Wembanyama over 17.5 points (-118): Will Wembanyama be on a minutes restriction tonight? After missing a month with one of the NBA’s scariest injuries, I’m sure that’s a possibility.

But I also wouldn’t expect the Spurs to rush their franchise player back early. So even if he doesn’t handle his typical workload (34.7 minutes), Wemby should be good to play more than half the game.

-> Bet on Wembanyama in his return to the court

Under that assumption, I’m a big fan of this play.

Wembanyama is averaging 26.2 PPG this season and is 11-1 vs. this prop.

After shooting fewer 3s at the start of the year, he ratcheted up his perimeter shooting shortly before getting injured. In his last four games, he averaged 8.3 attempted 3s (he’d averaged 3.1 attempts in eight games before that).

Wemby scored 20+ points in two of his three matchups vs. the Thunder since January 2024.

As long as San Antonio doesn’t have too much of a muzzle on him, this over will be very much in play.

Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks made at 1:25 p.m. ET on Dec. 13, 2025.

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Vikings vs. Cowboys SNF Week 15 SGP predictions: Look for Javonte Williams and Dallas to run it up on Sunday Night Football

The Dallas Cowboys host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football for a must-win game.

The pregame narrative: Dallas is 4-1-1 at home this season, with a pair of wins over last year’s Super Bowl participants in the past month. The Cowboys are favoured over a Vikings squad that had lost four in a row before a 31-0 drubbing of the Commanders at home last weekend.

Check out my Vikings vs. Cowboys SGP predictions for Dec. 14, featuring Javonte Williams and Aaron Jones.

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Vikings vs. Cowboys SGP

SGP: Williams to score | Jones over 15.5 receiving yards | Cowboys -2.5 (+335)

Williams to score (-117): Dallas has the No. 3 scoring offence, and Williams is its bell cow tailback. At this price, I’m content to bet on him as a straight wager or in a parlay.

Williams has scored 11 TDs this season and is 8-5 vs. this prop.

He has a touchdown in back-to-back games and is 4-2 vs. this prop at home.

-> Don’t miss out — check out NorthStar Bets’ SNF prop markets!

The first-year Cowboy ranks sixth in the NFL in touches, which is great, but I’m more interested in his goal-line work. Fortunately, he’s a high-volume player in that area, too.

Williams has at least one touch (i.e., a carry or reception) inside the five-yard line in 12 of 13 games. His 20 touches inside the five rank second in the NFL, behind only Derrick Henry.

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Sunday Night Football SGP picks

Jones over 15.5 receiving yards (-114): Jones failed to bring in his lone target last week, resulting in an uncharacteristically quiet effort as a pass-catcher.

Sunday’s matchup against Dallas is a great one, though, and Jones tends to be pretty regularly involved in the passing game. So I’m going to overlook the goose egg.

Prior to Week 14, Jones had 2+ catches in six straight games. He averaged 17.7 receiving yards in those games.

Jones is 5-4 vs. this receiving prop this season.

-> Bet on Javonte Williams & Aaron Jones on SNF

I’m not looking for ways to ride with J.J. “Nine” McCarthy right now, which is why I’m ducking prop markets for Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and others. But simple dump-offs to Jones are within McCarthy’s skill set.

The Cowboys have allowed the third-most receptions (5.4/game) and the second-most receiving yards (48.2/game) to opposing RBs this season.

Cowboys -2.5 (-210): A bounce-back win at home over the dreadful Commanders is nice … but it hasn’t made me forget about how inept the Vikings’ offence was for weeks beforehand.

Minnesota’s offence ranks 27th in points, 28th in yards, and 29th in EPA per play.

Through seven starts, McCarthy has 11 turnovers and only one game with 170+ passing yards.

-> Go to full Vikings vs. Cowboys markets for Sunday Night Football

Dallas has been rather sieve-like on defence, but I think the Cowboys can win this battle of a stoppable force versus a moveable object.

More notably, I think the Cowboys’ high-octane offence can put up a score that McCarthy’s crew won’t compete with.

Minnesota has scored 10 or fewer points in three of its past four road games.

Vikings vs. Cowboys predictions made at 3:35 p.m. ET on Dec. 13, 2025.

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Spurs vs. Thunder NBA Cup prop picks Dec. 13: Bet on Victor Wembanyama’s points prop in his return

Victor Wembanyama is expected to return for the San Antonio Spurs in Saturday’s NBA Cup semifinal against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The latest: Wembanyama hasn’t played since Nov. 14 due to a calf injury, but the superstar centre is back in time for a marquee showdown in Las Vegas. His Spurs are 10.5-point underdogs against the one-loss (and reigning champion) Thunder.

Check out these Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks for the game on Dec. 13, featuring prop bets on Wembanyama and Ajay Mitchell.

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Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks

Best bet: Mitchell over 2.5 assists (+100)

Jalen Williams returned recently for the Thunder, which bumped Mitchell down to third on OKC’s pecking order for passers.

But he’s still active enough for me to want this over at an enticing price.

In his past five games — all with Williams back on the court — Mitchell has averaged 3.6 assists on 7.2 potential APG. Potential assists are passes that lead directly to a shot.

On the season, Mitchell is 17-8 vs. this prop.

If Mitchell sticks around 7.0 potential assists on a game-to-game basis, he’s going to be in an excellent spot to cash this assists prop.

-> Full Spurs vs. Thunder props at NorthStar Bets

And I can see that happening, given that J-Dub’s return means the Thunder are close to a full-strength team again (minus 3-point specialist Isaiah Joe).

Mitchell should take on more of a pass-first role, leaving most of the scoring to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Williams.

Without J-Dub, Mitchell averaged 12.5 field goal attempts in 19 games this year. With J-Dub, that average is down to 5.8 attempts.

Key stat: The Spurs allow the ninth-most assists per game to their opponents.

Embed: #122152

-> Wager on Saturday’s NBA Cup doubleheader

Prop bet for Wemby’s return

Wembanyama over 18.5 points (-112): Will Wembanyama be on a minutes restriction tonight? After missing a month with one of the NBA’s scariest injuries, I’m sure that’s a possibility.

But I also wouldn’t expect the Spurs to rush their franchise player back early. So even if he doesn’t handle his typical workload (34.7 minutes), Wemby should be good to play more than half the game.

-> Bet on Wembanyama in his return to the court

Under that assumption, I’m a big fan of this play.

Wembanyama is averaging 26.2 PPG this season and is 10-2 vs. this prop.

After shooting fewer 3s at the start of the year, he ratcheted up his perimeter shooting shortly before getting injured. In his last four games, he averaged 8.3 attempted 3s (he’d averaged 3.1 attempts in eight games before that).

Wemby scored 20+ points in two of his three matchups vs. the Thunder since January 2024.

As long as San Antonio doesn’t have too much of a muzzle on him, this over will be very much in play.

Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks made at 1:25 p.m. ET on Dec. 13, 2025.

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Knicks vs. Magic NBA Cup prop picks Dec. 13: Fade Anunoby, look for Towns to do damage on the glass in semifinal

For the second time this week — and fourth time this season — the New York Knicks and Orlando Magic will square off.

The latest: Saturday’s matchup has a bit more cachet than the others, given that it’s an NBA Cup semifinal. The Magic are 2-1 SU and ATS against the Knicks so far this season, but New York did claim a 106-100 home win last weekend.

Check out these Knicks vs. Magic prop picks for the game on Dec. 13, featuring a prop bet on Jalen Brunson.

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Knicks vs. Magic prop picks

Best bet: Anunoby under 14.5 points (-118)

Anunoby got hot when he last faced the Magic, but they often hold him below this number.

Last Sunday, the ex-Raptor scored 21 points vs. the Magic while shooting 5-for-7 from deep.

But he’d finished with a single-digit point total in four straight against Orlando prior to that.

-> Full Knicks vs. Magic props at NorthStar Bets

Tonight’s projected total is 223.0 points, which is the lowest of these teams’ four head-to-head matchups this year. It’s also the lowest projected total that the Knicks have seen all season.

Maybe New York and Orlando will treat this NBA Cup semifinal like a playoff game, which would likely mean tighter defence and fewer possessions.

And keep in mind that both teams are playing stout defence as it is, ranking in the top 10 in defensive rating in their past 10 games.

Anunoby is playing the four right now for the Knicks, and that positional designation matters.

Orlando is allowing the fewest points per game to opposing power forwards, according to Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Since joining the Knicks, Anunoby is averaging 12.6 PPG in seven matchups against the Magic.

-> Wager on Saturday’s NBA Cup doubleheader

Additional NBA prop predictions

Towns over 11.5 rebounds (-108): Towns only had eight rebounds in his lone matchup vs. the Magic this year, but I’m not letting one game dictate my prediction.

The 7-footer is averaging 12.0 RPG on the season and is 13-12 vs. this prop. He’s also 3-2 against this number when facing Orlando as a Knick.

-> Bet on KAT as a rebounder vs. the Magic

Last time out, KAT snagged 16 rebounds against the Raptors in 31 minutes. Two games before that, he had 18 boards against the Hornets.

Though he has a sweet shot for a big man, Towns is still plenty capable of mucking it up around the rim. This is a fair price for the reigning third-team All-NBA centre.

Knicks vs. Magic prop picks made at 1:45 p.m. ET on Dec. 13, 2025.

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Lions vs. Rams Week 15 SGP predictions: Bet on L.A. to win, Puka Nacua to thrive on Sunday

Matthew Stafford has a chance to put a real dent in his former team’s playoff hopes when the Los Angeles Rams host the Detroit Lions on Sunday afternoon.

The pregame narrative: Detroit (8-5) will be in great shape to at least land a wild-card spot with a win … but a loss would put the Lions on thin ice. Stafford’s Rams enter their Week 15 matchup as the NFC’s No. 1 seed, but their lead in the NFC West isn’t safe.

Check out my Lions vs. Rams SGP predictions, featuring picks on Jahmyr Gibbs and Puka Nacua.

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Lions vs. Rams predictions

SGP: Rams -2.5 | Nacua 90+ receiving yards | Gibbs to score (+325)

Rams -2.5 (-210): SoFi Stadium is often dogged for not providing as much of a home-field advantage as other stadiums, thanks to the blasé reputation of the L.A. fanbase.

That doesn’t seem to matter for the Rams, though.

L.A. is 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) at home this season, with a +10.3 average point differential in those games.

Detroit, meanwhile, is 1-3 SU and ATS as a road dog, losing by seven points or more in Philadelphia, Green Bay and Kansas City.

-> Bet on NFL Week 15!

Yes, the Lions got the better of the Rams in last year’s early-season matchup (and the 2024 wild-card game before that). But both of those games were played in Detroit.

Heading west with a depleted secondary, I’m not expecting the Lions to keep this within a field goal.

Los Angeles is one of just two NFL teams that ranks in the top five in scoring on both sides of the ball.

Embed: #122158

Other SGP picks

Nacua 90+ receiving yards (-155): Nacua went nuclear last time out, and I think it’s an easy argument to suggest he can do that again.

In Week 14, the Arizona Cardinals drew the short straw of trying to guard Nacua … and it didn’t go well. He amassed 167 receiving yards and two touchdowns on seven receptions.

Nacua is a stellar playmaker in the open field. His average depth of target is just 8.8 yards (29th percentile, per RotoWire), because the Rams want to get the ball in his hands quickly and watch him work.

Last week, five of his seven receptions went for 20+ yards.

He’s second among all receivers in broken tackles (six) and 20-plus-yard catches (19), per Fantasy Pros.

Nacua’s 3.78 yards per route leads the NFL. He has 90+ yards in seven of 12 games.

-> Go to full NFL player prop markets

Detroit won’t have its best cornerback (Terrion Arnold) or either of its starting safeties (Brian Branch, Kerby Joseph) on Sunday. This could get ugly.

Also, Davante Adams (hamstring) logged just one practice as a limited participant this week. He’ll likely play, but his usage could be limited.

Gibbs to score (-200): Nacua is among the best playmakers as a wideout, but Gibbs is probably the best playmaker at any position.

Last year’s NFL touchdown leader (20) is up to 16 TDs this season. And he’s been on a particularly notable tear in his past seven games:

11 TDs
5 plays of 40+ yards
147.7 scrimmage yards/game
19 red zone touches

Gibbs has at least one touch inside the 10-yard line in five consecutive games. But from Week 7 onward, he also has four TDs from outside the 40.

Adding Gibbs lifts this SGP’s odds from +132 to +325. I’m more than happy to do that.

Lions vs. Rams predictions made at 11:42 a.m. on Dec. 13, 2025.

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Knicks vs. Magic NBA Cup prop picks Dec. 13: Fade Anunoby, look for Towns to do damage on the glass in semifinal

For the second time this week — and fourth time this season — the New York Knicks and Orlando Magic will square off.

The latest: Saturday’s matchup has a bit more cachet than the others, given that it’s an NBA Cup semifinal. The Magic are 2-1 SU and ATS against the Knicks so far this season, but New York did claim a 106-100 home win last weekend.

Check out these Knicks vs. Magic prop picks for the game on Dec. 13, featuring a prop bet on Jalen Brunson.

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Knicks vs. Magic prop picks

Best bet: Anunoby under 14.5 points (-110)

Anunoby got hot when he last faced the Magic, but they often hold him below this number.

Last Sunday, the ex-Raptor scored 21 points vs. the Magic while shooting 5-for-7 from deep.

But he’d finished with a single-digit point total in four straight against Orlando prior to that.

-> Full Knicks vs. Magic props at NorthStar Bets

Tonight’s projected total is 223.0 points, which is the lowest of these teams’ four head-to-head matchups this year. It’s also the lowest projected total that the Knicks have seen all season.

Maybe New York and Orlando will treat this NBA Cup semifinal like a playoff game, which would likely mean tighter defence and fewer possessions.

And keep in mind that both teams are playing stout defence as it is, ranking in the top 10 in defensive rating in their past 10 games.

Anunoby is playing the four right now for the Knicks, and that positional designation matters.

Orlando is allowing the fewest points per game to opposing power forwards, according to Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Since joining the Knicks, Anunoby is averaging 12.6 PPG in seven matchups against the Magic.

Embed: #122152

-> Wager on Saturday’s NBA Cup doubleheader

Additional NBA prop predictions

Towns over 11.5 rebounds (-112): Towns only had eight rebounds in his lone matchup vs. the Magic this year, but I’m not letting one game dictate my prediction.

The 7-footer is averaging 12.0 RPG on the season and is 13-12 vs. this prop. He’s also 3-2 against this number when facing Orlando as a Knick.

-> Bet on KAT as a rebounder vs. the Magic

Last time out, KAT snagged 16 rebounds against the Raptors in 31 minutes. Two games before that, he had 18 boards against the Hornets.

Though he has a sweet shot for a big man, Towns is still plenty capable of mucking it up around the rim. This is a fair price for the reigning third-team All-NBA centre.

Knicks vs. Magic prop picks made at 9:25 a.m. ET on Dec. 13, 2025.

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Army vs. Navy picks and predictions Dec. 13: Look for Black Knights’ Cale Hellums to find success on offence

The 126th edition of the Army-Navy game is set for Saturday afternoon at Baltimore’s M&T Bank Stadium.

The pregame narrative: Navy (9-2, 7-1 American) is on the cusp of back-to-back 10-win seasons for the first time in its history. The Midshipmen beat the Black Knights as road underdogs last year, but Army had won and covered in three of four seasons before that.

Check out our best Army vs. Navy picks for the annual rivalry showdown on Dec. 13, featuring a prediction on Army quarterback Cale Hellums.

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Army vs. Navy picks

Best bet: Hellums over 63.5 passing yards (-118)

Hellums is QB1 on Army’s depth chart, but he looks more like an RB1 in the box score.

The sophomore has only attempted 69 passes all season, versus a whopping 271 rushes.

That’s why we’re looking at a double-digit yardage total for Hellums’ passing prop. And I want in on the over.

-> Back Army’s Cale Hellums to go over his passing yards prop vs. Navy

My main reason for backing the over is that Hellums has been more active as a passer in recent weeks compared to the start of the season:

First 6 games: 12-for-27 passing, 149 yards, 5.5 yards/attempt

Past 5 games: 23-for-42 passing, 355 yards, 8.5 yards/attempt

Hellums has attempted nine or more passes in four of his past five games. That’s generally a minuscule number for quarterbacks, but when the yardage line is this low, that might be all we need.

Navy’s defence has been burned by opposing quarterbacks quite a bit this season, which also plays into this prediction.

According to Game On Paper, the Midshipmen rank 131st in the country in EPA per pass on defence, as well as 114th in passing success rate.

Army is a road dog on Saturday afternoon in a game that is expected to be dry and above-freezing. If the Black Knights have to chase a bit, let’s hope Hellums can air it out.

Key stat: In his past five games, Hellums is averaging 71.0 passing yards.

Over/under prediction

Over 38 points (-110): All three NCAA Division I service academies lean heavily on their run games (including Air Force, ironically). That style of play makes it easier to grind the clock, limit possessions and keep scoring low.

Even so, I think the offences in Saturday’s rivalry tilt can outgun the defences and push this game past its 38.5-point projected total.

-> Ready for one of college football’s most storied rivalries? Bet now on the Army-Navy game!

In terms of offensive EPA per play, Navy and Army rank eighth and 17th, respectively, in the country.

Defensively, these schools both rank outside the top 95 in EPA per play.

Last season, they combined for 391 rushing yards in Navy’s 31-13 win.

Overs are 8-3-0 (72.7%) in Navy games this year, which is the fourth-highest hit rate in D-I.

At this number, Navy has cashed the over in 10 of 11 games on the season.

Army, meanwhile, has cleared this point total in seven of 11.

Army vs. Navy football picks made at 3:55 p.m. on Dec. 11, 2025.

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Best NFL Week 15 prop bets: Bet on Cam Ward to produce vs. 49ers

After an up-and-down performance that led to the Tennessee Titans’ first win in several weeks, Cam Ward has a slightly softer landing spot in Week 15.

The pregame narrative: Yes, the Titans are on the road once again and will face the playoff-hopeful San Francisco 49ers. But the Niners’ pass defence hasn’t been anything special. And Ward has looked impressively comfortable in certain road environments this year.

Check out my top NFL Week 15 prop bets, featuring a prediction on New York Giants receiver Wan’Dale Robinson.

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NFL Week 15 prop bets

Best bet: Ward over 202.5 passing yards (-115)

In some ways, Ward had a truly miserable stat line last week in Cleveland. He finished 14-of-28 passing for just 117 yards.

There were some positives, though, including a pair of touchdown passes and just one sack taken (which is notable whenever Myles Garrett is lurking). And his Titans got the win.

Ward is back on the road this Sunday, and I like his chances of being more effective through the air. The forecast and the matchup are in his favour.

-> Bet on Ward vs. the 49ers!

According to The Weather Network, Sunday afternoon should be partly cloudy and about 15 °C in Santa Clara, California. Wind is expected to be low, as is the chance of precipitation.

As for the matchup, here are some notable rankings for the 49ers’ pass defence:

25th in yards allowed
25th in net yards/attempt
25th in dropback success rate
27th in EPA/dropback

Ward, the No. 1 overall pick in this past year’s draft, is 7-6 vs. this modest yardage total.

He’s averaging 33.8 pass attempts per game and should be in lots of obvious passing situations against the 49ers, who are 13-point favourites.

I’m not expecting greatness here, but something in the realm of 200 yards should be attainable under the circumstances.

Key stat: Ward is 5-4 vs. this yardage prop in his past nine games, going 3-1 in matchups on the road.

-> Visit NorthStar Bets for all NFL Week 15 betting markets

Best NFL picks

Robinson over 5.5 catches (-106): Robinson has one of the highest target shares in the NFL, and now he’s facing arguably the league’s worst pass defence.

Washington has allowed a 102.6 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks, per RotoWire. That ranks in the third percentile.

Additionally, the Commanders’ defence ranks 32nd in EPA per dropback and 30th in dropback success rate, according to RBSDM.com.

Robinson has a 96th-percentile target share (28.0%). He’s seen eight or more targets in six of his past seven games.

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The 5-foot-8 slot receiver primarily sees underneath targets that have a higher percentage of being caught. Last week, he caught seven of eight targets … for a paltry 34 yards.

Robinson is 8-5 vs. this milestone prop, which includes catching six passes for 55 yards against the Commanders in Week 1.

NFL prop bets made at 4 p.m. ET on Dec. 11, 2025.

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