Jordan Horrobin, Author at The Boost

49ers vs. Eagles wild-card game SGP picks: Playoff prop predictions on A.J. Brown, George Kittle

The defending Super Bowl champions host another mainstay NFC contender in the mid-afternoon game of Sunday’s wild-card tripleheader.

The pregame narrative: Despite racking up 12 wins, the San Francisco 49ers are on the road to face the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Both teams enter with identical 10-7 ATS records, though the Niners look poised to embrace the underdog role.

Check out my 49ers vs. Eagles picks, featuring predictions on George Kittle and A.J. Brown in a +320 SGP.

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49ers vs. Eagles picks

SGP: Kittle under 58.5 rec. yards | Brown 50+ rec. yards | 49ers +7.5 (+320)

Kittle under 58.5 receiving yards (-115): George Kittle is tough as nails, and although he’s back on the injury report for a third straight week with an ankle injury, there’s no doubt he’ll play.

No one is feeling 100% at this point in the season, but Kittle is definitely playing more than a few ticks below that. And in a matchup as tough as this one, I don’t like his chances of having a monster game.

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On a per-game basis, the Eagles have allowed the second-fewest catches (3.9) and yards (29.8) to tight ends this season.

Linebackers are often the ones tasked with covering tight ends, and Philly’s linebackers are arguably the best in the biz at that. According to RotoWire, the Eagles’ LB group has allowed an NFL-low 22.5 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks.

After missing Week 17 due to his ankle injury, Kittle returned last week and caught five passes for 29 yards. I’m sure he’ll get some looks, but I’m not expecting any chunk plays to come of it.

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49ers vs. Eagles prop prediction

Brown 50+ receiving yards (-245): Brown was at the centre of some soap-opera-grade drama in Philly this year, but that appears to be a thing of the past.

In recent weeks, he and his quarterback have linked up for some bold — and beautiful — results.

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From Week 11 onward, Brown has averaged 9.6 targets, 6.7 catches and 85.0 yards per game.

He has 40+ yards in seven straight games, going 5-2 vs. this milestone in that span.

For context, Brown was only averaging 6.8 targets, 3.9 catches and 51.0 yards from Weeks 1-10.

I like Brown’s chances of shredding a secondary that allowed the eighth-most yards in the NFL this season.

The Niners allowed an 87.7 passer rating as a defence, which ranked in the 13th percentile.

SGP prediction: NFL ATS pick

49ers +7.5 (-200): Even if Kittle has a relatively quiet game and Brown does some damage for Philly, I like San Francisco to cover a touchdown with a hook on Sunday afternoon.

The Niners were one of the absolute best road teams in the NFL this season, going 7-2-0 ATS.

They covered by an average of 5.8 points in road games, per Team Rankings, which was the third-highest mark in the NFL.

Excluding a Week 18 game in which many key players rested, Philadelphia went 3-3 down the stretch with three straight-up losses as a favourite.

San Francisco is the more banged-up team, but the visiting squad does have an extra day of rest after playing on Saturday last weekend.

49ers vs. Eagles picks made at 3:45 p.m. on Jan. 8, 2025.

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Packers vs. Bears wild-card game SGP picks: Playoff prop predictions on Caleb Williams and Christian Watson

One of the NFL’s most storied rivalries is renewed on Saturday night of wild-card weekend, when the Green Bay Packers face the Chicago Bears.

The pregame narrative: These NFC North foes have a shockingly limited playoff history, but they do square off twice per year in the regular season. They both won at home this season, and now they’re essentially in a pick’em for Act III.

Check out my Packers vs. Bears picks, featuring predictions on Caleb Williams and Christian Watson in a +330 SGP.

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Packers vs. Bears picks

SGP: Williams 200+ pass yards | Watson 50+ rec. yards | Bears +4.5 (+330)

Williams 200+ pass yards (-134): Under-qualified ball-knowers might think Williams will struggle in cold conditions since he played his college ball at USC. But that’s a half-baked theory.

Yes, Williams played collegiately in the Golden State, but he grew up in DC and knows a thing or two about frigid football conditions. I don’t think he’ll be fazed at all by Saturday night’s sub-zero temps.

In fact, I think he’ll feel right at home.

-> Bet on NFL wild-card weekend!

And Williams, as it turns out, has performed exceptionally well at Soldier Field this season (eight games):

15 TDs
2 INTs
97.6 passer rating
200+ yards in seven of eight

When he faced Green Bay at home on Dec. 20, Williams threw for 250 yards and two touchdowns in a comeback victory.

Williams is 13-4 vs. this yardage milestone this season, and with Rome Odunze expected back after a five-week absence, I expect he’ll do it again.

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Packers vs. Bears prop prediction

Watson 50+ receiving yards (-157): The fourth-year wideout didn’t make his season debut until Week 8, but he proceeded to lead the team in yards per catch (17.5) and yards per game (61.1). He also tied for the team lead in receiving TDs (six).

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Watson was held in check when he last faced the Bears, turning six targets into just two catches for 17 yards. In fairness, things got weird for the Packers’ air attack as Jordan Love exited mid-game with a concussion.

In Week 14 against the Bears, with a healthy Love at the helm, Watson caught all four of his targets for 89 yards and two scores.

Watson has 45+ yards in eight of 10 games this year, and Green Bay should be counting on him big time in this wild-card matchup.

SGP prediction: NFL ATS pick

Bears +4.5 (-205): I don’t have Super Bowl expectations for either of these teams, and I don’t have a particularly strong lean on who will win. But I do like the idea of banking more than a field goal with the home team.

Chicago (11-6-0 ATS) and Green Bay (6-10-1 ATS) are on opposite ends of the against-the-spread spectrum.

The Bears have covered a +4.5 spread in all eight of their home games, and they’re 6-2 SU at Soldier Field.

Green Bay’s defence lost Devonte Wyatt and Micah Parsons to season-ending injuries in Weeks 13 and 15, respectively. Those losses are making a substantial difference.

From Weeks 13-18, Green Bay’s defence ranked 28th in EPA per play and 29th in success rate, per RBSDM.com.

Chicago should be able to move the ball and at least keep up on Saturday.

Packers vs. Bears picks made at 2:15 p.m. on Jan. 8, 2025.

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Oregon vs. Indiana Peach Bowl SGP predictions: College Football Playoff picks for NCAAF semifinal

In an all-Big Ten rematch, the No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers face the No. 5 Oregon Ducks on Friday night for a spot in the College Football Playoff national championship.

The pregame narrative: The Hoosiers beat the Ducks by two scores in Oregon earlier this season, so it’s no surprise to see Indiana favoured again in the Peach Bowl’s neutral environment. Indiana has only allowed 23 total points over its past four games.

Check out my NCAAF Oregon vs. Indiana predictions in this +450 same-game parlay, featuring Kaelon Black and Malik Benson.

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Oregon vs. Indiana predictions

Parlay: Black anytime TD | Indiana -2.5 | Benson over 39.5 rec. yards (+450)

Black to score (+115): Indiana has a true timeshare in its backfield with super-seniors Black and Roman Hemby. I think there’s room for both backs to score on Friday, but I’m particularly bullish on Black.

Although Black and Hemby are about the same size, Black sees the bulk of the goal-line work.

Black has scored five TDs in his past six games, and two of those scores came from the one-yard line.

As mentioned, there should be room for both RBs to shine if things go the way Indiana hopes. Last round, Black and Hemby both rushed at least 15 times for at least 85 yards and a score against Alabama.

Oregon’s defence has been lethal against the pass and somewhat gettable against the run. The Ducks’ defence ranks ninth in pass success rate and 63rd in run success rate, per Game On Paper.

-> Full Peach Bowl prop markets

Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza has thrown an NCAA Division I-high 36 TD passes this year, but it might be wise for the Hoosiers to turn to Black to punch it in near the goal line.

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College Football Playoff picks

Indiana -2.5 (-157): Any team that reaches the CFP semifinal is strong, obviously, but Indiana is a cut above.

The Hoosiers are 14-0 and have won their games by an average of 31.4 points. They’ve covered a -2.5 spread in every matchup.

And yes, Indiana had some cupcakes on its schedule this year — even during conference season — but the team also put away some big-time opponents, too.

Just last week, the Hoosiers dismantled Alabama, 38-3, in the Rose Bowl. And in the Big Ten championship game, they held Ohio State’s high-octane offence to just 10 points.

-> Bet on Indiana to beat Oregon in the Peach Bowl

Most importantly, though, was Indiana’s 30-20 win over Oregon on the road in October.

Indiana was a 7-point underdog in that one, but the visiting squad collected six sacks and out-gained the Ducks both through the air and on the ground.

On a neutral field, expect Indiana to come out on top once again.

Ducks vs. Hoosiers Peach Bowl predictions

Benson over 39.5 receiving yards (-177): Indiana allows the third-fewest rush yards per game, and I expect the Hoosiers to play from ahead. That should force the Ducks to air it out a bit.

If that happens, Benson looks like a smash to clear this yardage total.

He only caught one of four targets when Oregon faced Indiana in the fall, but he turned that into a 44-yard TD. And now, his production is peaking at the right time.

-> Bet now on No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 1 Indiana

Benson is 5-0 vs. this yardage prop in his past five games.

In that five-game span, he’s averaging 79.0 yards on 3.7 receptions.

Benson also has five or more targets in five of his past six games.

Oregon vs. Indiana predictions made at 11:10 a.m. ET on Jan. 8, 2025.

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Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions Jan. 8: Anthony Edwards should lead Minnesota to a home win

Searching for their fifth win in six games, the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday night.

The pregame narrative: Tonight’s matchup is the front end of a home-and-home series, and the T-wolves are favoured to get the win at Target Center. The Cavs have the NBA’s worst ATS record (12-26-0), according to Team Rankings.

Check out my Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions for Jan. 8, featuring prop bets on Anthony Edwards and Donovan Mitchell.

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Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves SGP

Parlay: Timberwolves ML | Edwards 3+ threes | Mitchell over 4.5 assists (+290)

Timberwolves moneyline (-134): Cleveland won 64 games last year en route to claiming the top seed in the Eastern Conference. But this year’s squad has been disappointing, playing at a 45-win pace despite rostering the same core.

With that in mind, I’m not worried about the fact that the Cavaliers won and covered in both matchups vs. the Timberwolves a season ago. It’s a new year, and Minnesota has been a markedly better squad.

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It’s also easier to back the T-wolves at home, where they’ve already beaten some of the NBA’s best: Celtics, Spurs, Thunder and Knicks.

Minnesota has a +6.4 net rating at home this season, which ranks eighth in the NBA.

Two nights ago, while the Cavs were scraping by an awful Pacers squad on the road (120-116), the T-wolves were at home blowing out the playoff-calibre Miami Heat (122-94).

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NBA SGP legs

Edwards 3+ threes (-167): Cleveland is allowing the highest opponent 3PT% in the NBA right now (37.8), and Edwards is the most likely player to take advantage of that.

Edwards is having his most efficient season ever from beyond the arc, shooting 40.7% on 8.3 attempts per game. That equates to an average of 3.4 makes.

The two-time reigning All-NBA guard has 3+ threes in 19 of 30 games.

In Minnesota’s past 10 games, Edwards is shooting 39.1% from deep. No one else on the team is shooting north of 33.0% (minimum 2.5 attempted threes per game).

-> Bet on Ant Man and the T-wolves to thrive at home

Last year, Edwards went crazy against the Cavs as an outside shooter. In just two games, he went 12-for-26 (46.2%) from deep.

You can get Edwards over 3.5 threes at or around even money, which I think is a good standalone play. But I’ll take a safer route for the SGP.

Mitchell over 4.5 assists (-157): As a shooting guard who’s averaging just under of 30 points per night, Mitchell might not strike you as much of a facilitator.

But the attention he draws as a scorer means that there’s often an open shooter to kick to when he has the ball. And Mitchell isn’t shy about doing that.

-> Full Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves prop betting markets

Mitchell is averaging 5.4 assists this year, putting him on track to post 5.0 APG or more for a fifth time in six seasons. He is 26-8 vs. this prop.

Last year, Mitchell cashed this prop easily in both showdowns with Minnesota. He had a seven and eight assists, respectively, in those games.

Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves predictions made at 9:20 a.m. on Jan. 8, 2026.

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NFL wild-card weekend TD picks: Anytime touchdown scorer predictions on Saquon Barkley, Parker Washington

Two running backs and an under-the-radar receiver are my anytime touchdown scorer picks for NFL wild-card weekend.

The pregame narrative: With six playoff games on tap from Saturday through Monday, there are plenty of NFL TD picks available to bettors. Saquon Barkley is my top choice thanks to a late-season resurgence, and I think D’Andre Swift can take advantage of a plus matchup at home.

Check out my top NFL wild-card TD picks, featuring Jacksonville Jaguars wideout Parker Washington.

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NFL wild-card TD picks

Best bet: Barkley to score (-152)

It’s practically a disgrace that I’m going with an odds-on prediction for my top TD pick after my colleague Steven Psihogios cashed a +900 play (Connor Heyward) last week.

Alas, some of us just aren’t built like that.

Barkley is a practical play, though, with far less juice on his TD market than he had entering last postseason. Of course, that has a lot to do with his regression this year.

-> Go to full 49ers vs. Eagles prop markets

Following his Offensive Player of the Year-calibre output a season ago, Barkley had six fewer TDs and 870 fewer scrimmage yards in 2025 (in the same number of games).

But he finished strong and is still being used heavily around the goal line. That’s what I care about.

Barkley had at least one carry inside the five-yard line in each of his final four games. Somehow, only one of those seven carries resulted in a touchdown, but the volume is still commendable.

In those final four games, Barkley went 3-1 vs. his TD prop while logging 100.0 rush yards per game and 17 total touches in the red zone.

If Barkley continues to see a high volume of quality opportunities, this wild-card matchup vs. the San Francisco 49ers is one he can cash in on.

The Niners’ run defence allowed the second-highest success rate this season (46.4%), per RBSDM.com.

Key stat: Barkley’s seven carries inside the five-yard line from Weeks 14-17 were tied for the most in the NFL, per Fantasy Pros.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on NFL wild-card weekend!

NFL touchdown scorer bets

Washington to score (+190): Trevor Lawrence has been on a tear for weeks, which has me interested in backing one of his top targets on Sunday against the Buffalo Bills.

In his past seven games, Lawrence has an 18:4 TD-to-INT ratio, along with a 108.6 passer rating. That would put him on a 43-TD pace over a full season.

Washington played in six games during that stretch and went 3-3 on his TD prop. But I’m particularly encouraged by his overall usage in the final three weeks:

at Broncos: 6 catches, 145 yards, 1 TD
at Colts: 8 catches, 115 yards
vs. Titans: 5 catches, 87 yards, 1 TD

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Washington was a big-play machine in those games, totalling 10 receptions of 20+ yards.

He had four red zone targets as well, but it’s nice to know he doesn’t need to rely on those looks to have a chance to score.

NFL anytime TD prediction

Swift to score (+105): I expect the Bears to put up some points on the Packers, given how depleted Green Bay’s defensive front is. Devonte Wyatt and Micah Parsons suffered season-ending injuries in Weeks 13 and 15, respectively.

Since Week 13, Green Bay’s defence has ranked 29th in success rate and 28th in EPA per play.

-> See full NFL playoff prop markets

Swift failed to score in either regular-season matchup vs. Green Bay, but he did post 70+ scrimmage yards in both games.

Though he’s in a timeshare with Kyle Monangai, Swift sees more work than his rookie teammate as both a runner and a receiver.

Also, Swift has at least one carry inside the 10-yard line in 11 straight games. I’ll gladly buy that opportunity at this price.

NFL wild-card TD picks made at 1:41 p.m. ET on Jan. 7, 2026.

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Lakers vs. Spurs SGP predictions Jan. 7: Fade Doncic, look for Castle and Champagnie to step up in San Antonio

On Wednesday night, the Los Angeles Lakers visit the San Antonio Spurs in a matchup of teams playing on back-to-backs.

The pregame narrative: LeBron James and Victor Wembanyama are both listed as questionable, so I’m turning elsewhere for prop picks. This +440 ticket does feature one superstar, Luka Doncic, but he’s looking fade-worthy tonight.

Check out my Lakers vs. Spurs SGP predictions for Jan. 7, featuring prop bets on Stephon Castle and Julian Champagnie.

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Lakers vs. Spurs SGP

Parlay: Castle 25+ points/assists | Doncic under 37.5 points | Champagnie over 11.5 points (+440)

Castle 25+ points/assists (-132): Statistically speaking, Castle has had some bumps in the road in recent weeks. But I think the path for a productive showing on Wednesday will be smooth.

According to Fantasy Pros, the Lakers allow the third-most assists to opposing point guards (9.7/game).

In two matchups vs. L.A. this season, Castle has 46 points and 14 assists (30 PA per game).

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The reigning Rookie of the Year is 1-1 vs. this prop when facing the Lakers, but he landed on exactly 24 points/assists in the under. And that was a game in which he shot an uncharacteristic 3-for-11 from the field.

Overall, the former UConn standout is 15-12 vs. this line.

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NBA SGP legs

Doncic under 37.5 points (-167): We’re playing with fire here, as Doncic has the ability to go nuclear on any given night. He is the NBA scoring leader, after all.

But even as the top scorer in the NBA, Doncic’s average (33.5 PPG) falls well below this mark.

He scored 35 points apiece in both previous matchups vs. the Spurs this season. As impressive as that is, it put him under this sky-high line both times.

-> Fade Doncic vs. the Spurs

With Austin Reaves (calf) out, it would’ve been fair to assume that Doncic would shoulder even more of a scoring load for the Lakers. But that hasn’t been true.

In the absence of his backcourt mate, Doncic is averaging 30.7 PPG in 10 games. This under is 9-1 in those matchups.

All things considered, this is a pretty playable price to fade Doncic at a massive point total. On principle, I have to jump on that.

Champagnie over 11.5 points (-139): Devin Vassell’s injury has vaulted Champagnie into a heightened role, and he’s certainly seizing the opportunity to get shots up.

Having landed in the starting lineup in four straight games sans-Vassell, here’s what Champagnie has been up to:

22.0 PPG
20+ points in three of four
13.8 shots/game
48.9 3PT%

-> Full Lakers vs. Spurs prop betting markets

Champagnie can easily clear this prop from beyond the arc. He’s averaging 11.3 attempted 3s in the past four games, and if four of those go in, we’re laughing.

This is a solid matchup for Champagnie to do damage, as the Lakers allow the 11th-most made 3s on the sixth-highest 3PT% (37.3).

The fourth-year wing has cashed this bet in both previous matchups vs. the Lakers this season, scoring 14 and 16 points, respectively, in those games.

Lakers vs. Spurs predictions made at 3:20 p.m. on Jan. 7, 2026.

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NFL wild-card weekend TD picks: Anytime touchdown scorer predictions on Saquon Barkley, Parker Washington

Two running backs and an under-the-radar receiver are my anytime touchdown scorer picks for NFL wild-card weekend.

The pregame narrative: With six playoff games on tap from Saturday through Monday, there are plenty of NFL TD picks available to bettors. Saquon Barkley is my top choice thanks to a late-season resurgence, and I think D’Andre Swift can take advantage of a plus matchup at home.

Check out my top NFL wild-card TD picks, featuring Jacksonville Jaguars wideout Parker Washington.

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NFL wild-card TD picks

Best bet: Barkley to score (-127)

It’s practically a disgrace that I’m going with an odds-on prediction for my top TD pick after my colleague Steven Psihogios cashed a +950 play (Connor Heyward) last week.

Alas, some of us just aren’t built like that.

Barkley is a practical play, though, with far less juice on his TD market than he had entering last postseason. Of course, that has a lot to do with his regression this year.

-> Go to full 49ers vs. Eagles prop markets

Following his Offensive Player of the Year-calibre output a season ago, Barkley had six fewer TDs and 870 fewer scrimmage yards in 2025 (in the same number of games).

But he finished strong and is still being used heavily around the goal line. That’s what I care about.

Barkley had at least one carry inside the five-yard line in each of his final four games. Somehow, only one of those seven carries resulted in a touchdown, but the volume is still commendable.

In those final four games, Barkley went 3-1 vs. his TD prop while logging 100.0 rush yards per game and 17 total touches in the red zone.

If Barkley continues to see a high volume of quality opportunities, this wild-card matchup vs. the San Francisco 49ers is one he can cash in on.

The Niners’ run defence allowed the second-highest success rate this season (46.4%), per RBSDM.com.

Key stat: Barkley’s seven carries inside the five-yard line from Weeks 14-17 were tied for the most in the NFL, per Fantasy Pros.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on NFL wild-card weekend!

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NFL touchdown scorer bets

Washington to score (+205): Trevor Lawrence has been on a tear for weeks, which has me interested in backing one of his top targets on Sunday against the Buffalo Bills.

In his past seven games, Lawrence has an 18:4 TD-to-INT ratio, along with a 108.6 passer rating. That would put him on a 43-TD pace over a full season.

Washington played in six games during that stretch and went 3-3 on his TD prop. But I’m particularly encouraged by his overall usage in the final three weeks:

at Broncos: 6 catches, 145 yards, 1 TD
at Colts: 8 catches, 115 yards
vs. Titans: 5 catches, 87 yards, 1 TD

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Washington was a big-play machine in those games, totalling 10 receptions of 20+ yards.

He had four red zone targets as well, but it’s nice to know he doesn’t need to rely on those looks to have a chance to score.

NFL anytime TD prediction

Swift to score (+150): I expect the Bears to put up some points on the Packers, given how depleted Green Bay’s defensive front is. Devonte Wyatt and Micah Parsons suffered season-ending injuries in Weeks 13 and 15, respectively.

Since Week 13, Green Bay’s defence has ranked 29th in success rate and 28th in EPA per play.

-> See full NFL playoff prop markets

Swift failed to score in either regular-season matchup vs. Green Bay, but he did post 70+ scrimmage yards in both games.

Though he’s in a timeshare with Kyle Monangai, Swift sees more work than his rookie teammate as both a runner and a receiver.

Also, Swift has at least one carry inside the 10-yard line in 11 straight games. I’ll gladly buy that opportunity at this price.

NFL wild-card TD picks made at 1:41 p.m. ET on Jan. 7, 2026.

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Miami vs. Ole Miss Fiesta Bowl SGP predictions: College Football Playoff picks for NCAAF semifinal

One stop short of the College Football Playoff national championship, the Miami Hurricanes battle the Ole Miss Rebels on Thursday in the Fiesta Bowl.

The pregame narrative: No. 10 Miami is one win away from playing for a title in its home stadium, while No. 6 Ole Miss is looking to continue sticking it to ex-coach Lane Kiffin. The Hurricanes are favoured in this CFP semifinal matchup thanks to their elite defence.

Check out my NCAAF Miami vs. Ole Miss predictions in this +510 same-game parlay, featuring Harrison Wallace and Mark Fletcher.

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Miami vs. OIe Miss predictions

Parlay: Wallace over 49.5 receiving yards | Under 53.5 points | Fletcher 80+ rushing yards (+510)

Wallace over 49.5 receiving yards (-137): Miami has an elite pass rush that will likely force Trinidad Chambliss to scramble more than a couple of times in this game.

When that happens, keep an eye out for Wallace downfield. The Rebs’ fifth-year senior is a chunk play waiting to happen.

Wallace was by far the best wideout in Penn State’s flawed receiving room a year ago, and he’s had moments as the alpha WR during his lone season in Oxford.

No moment was bigger than his performance during the Sugar Bowl, when he exploded for season highs in targets (11), catches (nine) and yards (156) against a vaunted Georgia defence.

-> Bet on Wallace and the Rebels at NorthStar Bets!

Through 14 games at Ole Miss, Wallace is averaging 63.9 receiving yards.

He’s 5-2 vs. this prop down the stretch, averaging 7.1 targets/game in that span.

After coming up big when the Rebels needed it most last week, Wallace should continue to be a focus for Mississippi’s offence.

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-> Check out NorthStar Bets’ College Football Playoff prop markets

College Football Playoff picks

Under 52.5 points (-118): Ole Miss has an offence capable of taking the lid off this game, but I don’t think that’s the likeliest outcome. Miami is just too damn good on the defensive side.

Led by a pair of edge rushers who are destined for the NFL (Rueben Bain Jr. and Akheem Mesidor), the Hurricanes have been among the best in the country in some key categories:

3rd in sacks per game (3.4)
4th in points per game (13.8)
7th in yards per play (4.4)

-> Take the under in the Fiesta Bowl

Miami has gone under this total in 13 of 14 games. If the Hurricanes (-3.5) win the game, they’ll likely do so by muzzling Chambliss and Co.

Ole Miss isn’t as defensively strong, but the team does rank 12th in pass play success rate on the defensive side, per Game On Paper.

Miami’s offence is fifth in pass play success rate, so these squads will be matching strengths.

Also, unders are 4-2 in the Rebs’ past six games.

Hurricanes vs. Rebels Fiesta Bowl predictions

Fletcher 80+ rushing yards (-177): The best way to gash the Ole Miss defence is on the ground, and Fletcher can certainly do that.

It’s all about opportunities for Fletcher, who averages a hearty 5.4 yards per attempt. He has 80+ rush yards in seven of 12 games this season — including all six games when he received 16 or more carries.

Fletcher has done some of his very best work during the CFP, racking up 262 yards on 36 carries. He cashed this bet in both games.

-> Bet now on No. 10 Miami vs. No. 6 Ole Miss

On defence, Ole Miss ranks 132nd in EPA per rush and 130th in rushing success rate. If there was a playoff team to pound the rock against, it’s this one.

Both of Mississippi’s playoff opponents had a running back clear this yardage milestone.

Miami vs. Ole Miss predictions made at 11:10 a.m. ET on Jan. 7, 2025.

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Raptors vs. Hornets SGP predictions Jan. 7: Kon Knueppel should guide Charlotte to success

The Toronto Raptors and Charlotte Hornets close the book on their season series on Wednesday night with a matchup at Spectrum Center.

The pregame narrative: Charlotte’s offence has caught fire, so Toronto might be catching the team at the wrong time. The Hornets have also played the Raptors supremely tough this year, including a 25-point beatdown of the Raps last month.

Check out my Raptors vs. Hornets SGP predictions for Jan. 7, featuring prop bets on Kon Knueppel and Immanuel Quickley.

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Raptors vs. Hornets SGP

Parlay: Knueppel over 18.5 points | Hornets +4.5 | Quickley 15+ points (+360)

Knueppel over 18.5 points (-103): This seems like a great line for Knueppel, who has been on an absolute heater from 3-point range lately

Over his past 11 games, the rookie is shooting 50.5% on 8.3 attempted 3s per game.

From an overall scoring standpoint, he is 9-2 vs. this scoring prop in his past 11 games while averaging 22.8 points.

This stellar run has bumped Knueppel up to +600 in the NBA Rookie of the Year odds. That’s still a long way from Cooper Flagg (-1,000), but Knueppel is the only one within shouting distance of the Dallas forward.

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The Raptors are allowing the second-lowest 3PT% in the NBA, so you might think this is an unfavourable matchup for the 20-year-old from Duke. Think again.

Knueppel has 20+ points in all three games against Toronto so far, and he’s 13-for-26 from outside in those matchups.

On the season, Knueppel is averaging 19.5 PPG and is 22-13 vs. this prop.

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NBA SGP legs

Hornets +4.5 (-148): Knueppel isn’t the only one in a groove for Charlotte right now. The team is buzzing — pun only partially intended — ever since its blowout win in Toronto back on Dec. 5.

From that night forward, Charlotte is 11-3 ATS with five outright wins as an underdog.

Zooming in even further, the Hornets have the No. 2 offensive rating in the NBA over their past 10 games.

-> Full Raptors vs. Hornets betting markets

I know the Oklahoma City Thunder are slumping a bit right now, but let’s give the Hornets some respect. They just smoked the defending champs, 124-97, on the road as 15.5-point underdogs.

Charlotte is 2-1 SU (3-0 ATS) against Toronto this season, covering this line each time. I’m feeling good backing the red-hot Hornets with some cushion at home.

On its last road trip, Toronto lost two of three games straight up as a favourite.

Quickley 15+ points (-195): Quickley is Toronto’s most active shooter from 3-point range, and the Hornets allow the highest opponent 3PT% in the NBA (38.3). This is a matchup to capitalize on.

And Quickley has already done that, with 10-for-26 shooting (38.5%) in three matchups against Charlotte this season.

He’s also hit this points milestone in each of those games, finishing with 15, 22 and 31 points, respectively.

-> Bet on Quickley and Knueppel in Raptors vs. Hornets!

Charlotte’s recent tear is based on great shooting, not great defence. Quickley has cashed this bet in 24 of 36 games on the season (66.7%) and should do so again tonight.

Raptors vs. Hornets SGP predictions made at 9:15 a.m. on Jan. 7, 2026.

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Warriors vs. Clippers SGP predictions Jan. 5: Look for Curry, Podziemski to produce on offence

In a marquee late-night NBA showdown, the Los Angeles Clippers host the Golden State Warriors.

The pregame narrative: The Clippers are still well outside the playoff picture, but they’re 6-1 in their past seven games. Golden State is a 3-point road favourite despite a subpar 8-12 road record.

Check out my Warriors vs. Clippers SGP predictions for Jan. 5, featuring prop bets on Steph Curry, James Harden and Brandin Podziemski.

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Warriors vs. Clippers SGP

Parlay: Harden under 7.5 assists | Curry 25+ points | Podziemski over 1.5 threes (+510)

Harden under 7.5 assists (+108): Harden knows how to dish the rock, and he’s the primary facilitator for the Clippers, but this seems like good value on a fade.

The Beard is averaging 8.0 assists this season, which is his lowest mark in the past six years. And his passing production has been on the decline lately.

Since Dec. 1, Harden has averaged 7.0 APG, going under 7.5 assists in 10 of 13 games.

In that 13-game span, he has logged an average of 11.8 potential assists (i.e., passes that lead directly to a shot). At that volume, his teammates would have to be ultra-efficient for him to accrue at least eight assists.

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The Warriors’ defence is among the best, ranking seventh in points allowed and fifth in defensive rating. They likely won’t make things easy on Harden and the Clippers’ offence.

In his lone matchup vs. Golden State earlier this season, Harden tallied just one assist in 32 minutes.

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NBA SGP legs

Curry 25+ threes (-215): A little over a month ago, Curry missed a handful of games with a quad injury. But he’s been making up for lost time since his return.

In 10 games since re-entering the Warriors’ lineup, Curry is averaging 30.2 points on 46.1/41.0/93.9 shooting splits.

As usual, Curry’s 3-point shooting volume is a key driver of his offensive success. For the fifth time in six seasons, he’s averaging NBA-highs in 3-point makes (4.8/game) and attempts (12.1/game).

-> Bet on Steph Curry vs. the Clippers

Curry is 8-2 vs. this prop following his injury. On the season, he’s 17-9 vs. this scoring milestone.

Last season, in his lone matchup at Intuit Dome, Curry shot 6-of-15 from deep as part of a 26-point performance.

Podziemski over 1.5 threes (-114): Curry’s 3-point shooting doesn’t leave many opportunities for his teammates, but Podziemski is pretty reliable against this line.

The 2023 first-rounder has cashed this bet in 21 of 36 games (58.3%) this season, which comfortably exceeds the implied probability of this market price (53.3%).

Podziemski is averaging 1.9 made 3s on 4.8 attempts. He went 2-for-6 from deep against the Clippers in a matchup back in October.

L.A. profiles as a promising matchup for Podziemski and any other 3-point shooter. The team allows the fourth-highest 3PT% in the league (37.6).

Warriors vs. Clippers predictions made at 3:45 p.m. on Jan. 5, 2026.

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