Jordan Horrobin

Despite not playing a single minute this season, Damian Lillard is set to compete in Saturday’s NBA 3-Point Contest during all-star weekend.

And he’s not just a face in the crowd … Lillard is the favourite to win. The eight-player field also includes a Canadian (Jamal Murray), a former Raptor (Norman Powell) and a standout rookie (Kon Knueppel).

Check out these NBA 3-Point Contest odds for Saturday’s event at Intuit Dome in Los Angeles.

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NBA 3-Point Contest odds

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Damian Lillard 3-Point Contest odds

Lillard went down with an Achilles injury in the opening round of the playoffs last spring, sparking a domino effect of change for the nine-time all-star.

Two nights later, his Milwaukee Bucks were out of the playoffs. They went on to release Lillard in the offseason, enabling him to return to the Portland Trail Blazers while rehabbing his injury.

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Lillard won’t play for the Blazers this season, but he’s far enough along in his recovery to gain clearance for this contest (Portland GM Joe Cronin gave his blessing, according to The Athletic).

That means fans will see Lillard in a competitive environment for the first time in nine-and-a-half months.

In 13 NBA seasons, Lillard has crested a 40.0 3PT% just once. Combining that with his long layoff from competitive basketball, it probably seems questionable for Lillard to be the favourite.

But let’s not forget that Lillard won this event in 2023 and ’24. He’s an all-world competitor, and he certainly wouldn’t have thrown his name in the ring if he didn’t feel ready.

Contest notes

• Would a 3-Point Contest win help Knueppel’s Rookie of the Year case? Maybe not, but it would shed light on his brilliant shooting performance this season. Among 102 NBA players averaging at least 5.0 attempted 3s, the ex-Duke sharpshooter ranks third in 3PT% (43.1).

• Murray ranks just behind Knueppel at 42.5 3PT% and could push for the crown on Saturday. The Kitchener, Ontario native has averaged career-highs in 3-point attempts (7.4) and makes (3.2) this season.

• The long shot of this contest is Portis, who’s the lone shooter outside the 10-to-1 range. It’s time to see if his superb efficiency will can withstand a high-volume event. Portis is shooting a blistering 45.0% from deep on 4.2 attempts/game for the Milwaukee Bucks.

NBA 3-Point Contest odds as of 3 p.m. on Feb. 12, 2026.

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On the eve of the NBA all-star break, there are three games on the schedule. And we’ve got a prop bet from each one.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Kevin Porter Jr. has been doing it all on offence for the Milwaukee Bucks lately, and I expect that to continue on Thursday night. Elsewhere, Toumani Camara has compelling odds to hit three 3-pointers against the woeful Utah Jazz.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Feb. 12, featuring a prediction on Marcus Smart.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 12

Best bet: Camara over 2.5 threes (+115)

There’s no better matchup for 3-point shooters than the Jazz.

Combining an A+ matchup with Camara’s scorching production beyond the arc makes this an enticing plus-money play.

Camara is shooting 45.6% from deep over his past 13 games, canning 2.8 threes on 6.1 attempts in that span.

Two games ago, the power forward went 8-for-10 from deep. He shot 2-for-3 last time out.

You never know just how many 3s Camara will take, but the Jazz are a team he should want to fire at will against. On a per-game basis, Utah allows the most opponent 3-point attempts (41.7) and makes (15.5) in the league.

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Camara is 1-1 vs. this prop when facing Utah this season, but he put up eight attempted 3s in both of those games. If we see that kind of volume again, he’ll have a great shot at this.

Key stat: In his past 11 games, Camara is 7-4 vs. this prop.

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Best NBA picks

Smart over 11.5 points (-110): Smart cashed this bet from the 3-point line alone on Monday, draining 4-of-7 threes as part of a 19-point effort.

The 12th-year guard has been in the Los Angeles Lakers’ starting lineup most of the season, but he typically plays a bit role.

L.A. needs more from Smart these days, though, with Luka Doncic out and Austin Reaves (calf) only a handful of games removed from a lengthy absence.

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In six games this season without Doncic, Smart has been superb:

• 15.5 PPG
• 11.7 FGA
• 45.2 3PT%

I have half a mind to back Smart to score 15+ points at +215. He’s hit that in three straight without Doncic.

All of that is to say, I like Smart to make good on his offensive opportunities tonight.

NBA player prop predictions

Porter 25+ points/assists (-137): With Giannis Antetokounmpo on the shelf, Porter will likely be the Bucks’ frontman for the foreseeable future.

And after spending a couple of weeks on the sidelines with his own injury, Porter has shown in recent games that he’s capable of handling that role.

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Check out what he’s been up to in four games since his return:

• vs. Pelicans: 18 PTS, 9 AST
• vs. Pacers: 23 PTS, 8 AST
• at Magic: 28 PTS, 7 AST
• at Magic: 18 PTS, 11 AST

That’s right, he’s breezed past this number in four straight. Tonight’s matchup against the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder is a tough one, but this is simply a volume play.

In the Bucks’ past four games, Porter has 24 more points and 24 more assists than any of his teammates.

NBA prop picks made at 12:05 p.m. ET on Feb. 12, 2026.

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In the final NBA showdown before the all-star break, the Los Angeles Lakers host the Dallas Mavericks.

The pregame narrative: Neither Cooper Flagg nor Luka Doncic will play on Thursday night, but that still leaves the Lakers at an advantage. Dallas has lost eight in a row and is an 8-point underdog at Crypto.com Arena.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Lakers SGP predictions, featuring prop bets on LeBron James and Max Christie.

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Mavericks vs. Lakers SGP

SGP: Lakers -5.5 | LeBron 20+ points | Christie 3+ threes (+335)

Lakers -5.5 (-235): When it comes to bringing their A-game, the Lakers tend to pick their spots.

L.A. has covered in eight straight games as a favourite and is 21-10 ATS overall when laying points. Conversely, the Lakers are on a 10-game ATS losing skid as underdogs.

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There are big-name absences on both sides in this matchup, but only one side is trying to hollow out with an eye toward a loaded NBA lottery — and it’s not L.A.

With neither LeBron nor Austin Reaves on the injury report, the Lakers are guaranteed to have more high-end skill on the court tonight.

Also, L.A. covered this number in both prior matchups vs. Dallas this season.

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NBA SGP pick

Christie 3+ threes (-113): Christie is somewhat forgotten when people think back to last year’s seismic trade that sent Luka Doncic to the Lakers.

But unlike Anthony Davis — who struggles to stay on the court and has already been subsequently traded — Christie is flashing some real value for the Mavericks.

L.A.’s second-round draftee in 2022 is having his best season yet, which includes averaging 13.4 points and shooting 42.5% from 3-point range.

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In 40 starts this season, Christie is averaging 2.6 made 3s and is 21-19 vs. this prop.

The Lakers are a great team for Christie to do damage against based on two factors:

• They allow the eighth-highest opponent 3PT% in the NBA (36.6).

• Christie is 2-0 vs. this prop when facing L.A. this season, shooting 7-for-18 from deep in those games.

Top LeBron prop bet

LeBron 20+ points (-335): We’ll go out with what should be a soft landing, as LeBron is in his 23rd consecutive season averaging north of 20.0 PPG.

The King is 4-1 vs. this prop without Doncic this season and has hit this scoring milestone in five of his past six games overall.

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Reaves could be back in the starting lineup tonight in his fifth game back following a calf injury. But there should be plenty of buckets for both stars.

With AD out the door and Flagg now on the shelf, Dallas is a shell of itself defensively.

Mavericks vs. Lakers SGP made at 9:55 a.m. on Feb. 12, 2026.

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A trio of big-name players have my attention in the NBA prop market on Tuesday night.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Karl-Anthony Towns doesn’t need to put up huge scoring totals to make a difference for the New York Knicks, and I’m fading his point total tonight. Out west, De’Aaron Fox has a very attainable assists line against a poor defensive squad that’s playing on zero rest.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 10, including a prediction on Kawhi Leonard.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 10

Best bet: Fox over 5.5 assists (-136)

The San Antonio Spurs basically operate with two point guards, which can make it tough to back either one on any given night.

Fox works in tandem with reigning Rookie of the Year Stephon Castle. Both players average over 6.0 assists and 17-20 points per game.

San Antonio faces the Los Angeles Lakers tonight, and that’s a great matchup for point guards. L.A. allows the most assists per game to opposing PGs, according to Fantasy Pros, as well as the sixth-most assists overall.

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Fox’s assists line is set one below Castle (o/u 6.5), and that’s where I’m leaning despite the extra juice.

Why? Primarily because Fox has been steadily at or above that line in recent weeks. He has five or more assists in 11 straight games.

In that 11-game span, he also leads the Spurs in potential assists per game (13.5), which denotes passes that lead directly to a shot.

Castle dropped 40 points last time out, so hopefully he’ll be in more of a shooting mindset again. But either way, Fox has been a high-floor play at this number for a solid stretch.

Key stat: Over his past 11 games, Fox is 8-3 vs. this prop while averaging 7.5 APG.

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Best NBA picks

Leonard over 6.5 rebounds (-110): With James Harden out of the picture in Los Angeles, Leonard has needed to do it all for the Clippers. That includes crashing the glass.

On the season overall, Kawhi has averaged 6.3 rebounds. But he’s cashed this over in all three games since Harden’s trade to Cleveland went down.

Leonard is now 7-1 vs. this prop in his past eight games without Harden, who does his fair share of rebounding as a guard.

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The Houston Rockets pose one of the toughest defensive matchups in the NBA, but Kawhi had no problems against them last time out in late December: 41 points and eight rebounds in 37 minutes.

NBA player prop predictions

Towns under 19.5 points (-104): Towns has been superb as a rebounder for the Knicks recently, but his offensive numbers are down.

The five-time all-star is averaging 19.7 PPG this season, which is nearly five points below his mark last year. And it’s been even worse over the past four-ish weeks.

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Check out Towns’ numbers since Jan. 14:

• 13 games
• 15.6 PPG
• 43.8 FG%
• 34.7 3PT%
• Under 20 points in 10 of 13

In a game with big-time blowout potential — New York is laying 11.5 points at home vs. the Indiana Pacers — this is a good time to fade the big man.

NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 10, 2026.

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