Jackson Kerbl

NHL prop picks Jan. 21: Bet on Forsberg, Kucherov and Kane on Tuesday night

NHL prop picks

Eight games are on tap for Tuesday’s NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: The San Jose Sharks head into Nashville as one of the worst defensive teams in the NHL. I’m backing Predators forward Filip Forsberg’s shots prop along with Nikita Kucherov and Patrick Kane.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Jan. 21.

NHL prop picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Embed: #106954

Best bet: Forsberg over 3.5 shots (-130)

Forsberg has been a rock for Nashville since his rookie season.

He led the team in points last year (94) and is well on his way again this year, pacing the Preds with 42 points in 45 games.

One thing that’s decreased this season has been his shooting percentage.

Forsberg has only gone below 10.0% once in his career — back in 2020-21 (9.3%) — and is threatening to again this year (9.5%).

The percentage has dipped, but the amount of shots has not. He’s averaging 3.51 shots per game this year, which is well above his 3.14 career average from the 12 years prior.

The Swede has cleared this mark in four of the last five games, including 15 shots in his last two contests.

Key stat: The Sharks are tied for 31st in shots allowed per game (32.2).

Quick picks

Kucherov over 0.5 power-play points (-114): I’ve never seen a power-play point line at minus odds, but being that it’s Kucherov, it makes sense.

Kucherov is a wizard on the power play. In my opinion, he snaps the puck around with finesse and speed better than anyone in the NHL. It’s a pleasure to watch.

The Russian Rifle has picked three power-play points in the last three games and leads the Tampa Bay Lightning with 27 power-play points.

Montreal’s Sam Montembeault gets the start for the Habs, which is great news for the Lightning. Tampa avoids one of the hottest goaltenders in the NHL in Jakub Dobes (5-0-0, 1.55 GAA).

Kucherov has 43 career points against the Canadiens in 37 games.

Kane over 0.5 points (+100): After a slow start to the campaign Kane has come on strong.

Sixteen of his 30 points have come in the last 11 games. Before that, he suffered a nine-game pointless streak.

Kane plays on an all-American line with Andrew Copp and Alex DeBrincat that has picked up chemistry in the past few weeks.

The Red Wings take on the Philadelphia Flyers who allow the fifth-most goals per game (3.36) and own the 20th-ranked penalty kill.

Picks made at 11:50 a.m. ET on 01/21/2025.

Penguins vs. Kings picks and odds Jan. 20: Bet on the Kings on Monday night

Penguins vs. Kings picks

The NHL’s nine-game MLK Day slate closes out with the Pittsburgh Penguins and Los Angeles Kings.

The pregame narrative: The Kings return home for the first time since Jan. 4 as they look to keep pace in the Pacific Division. I’m backing Los Angeles to get the win and put up goals against the Penguins’ awful defence.

Check out my Penguins vs. Kings picks for Jan. 20.

Penguins vs. Kings picks

Go to full NHL betting markets

Best bet: Kings 60-min moneyline (-120)

Los Angeles’ defence is elite and is far superior to Pittsburgh’s offence. Plus, the Kings can score in bunches.

The Kings rank highly in every defensive category:

  • 2nd in goals (2.42/game)
  • 1st in shots (24.7/game)
  • 5th in penalty kill percentage (83.2%)
  • 2nd in high-danger chances (9.87/game)

The Kings have also been dominant at home this season.

  • Home: 14-2-1, +25 goal differential
  • Away: 11-11-4, -2 goal differential

Key stat: Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five games, with the only win coming against the last-place Buffalo Sabres.

Quick pick

Kings over 3.5 goals (+105): I’m choosing this play over the regular game total because I simply don’t trust the Penguins’ offence versus the Kings.

Both Pittsburgh goaltenders have been dreadful this season. Alex Nedeljkovic and Joel Blomqvist collectively allow the most goals per game (3.65), and have the fifth-lowest save percentage (.891).

In the Pens’ past eight games, they’ve allowed over 3.5 goals six times.

I expect the trend to continue tonight in an extremely tough road environment.

Picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on 01/20/2025.

Penguins vs. Kings picks and odds Jan. 20: Bet on Fiala and the Kings on Monday night

Penguins vs. Kings picks

The NHL’s nine-game MLK Day slate closes out with the Pittsburgh Penguins and Los Angeles Kings.

The pregame narrative: The Kings return home for the first time since Jan. 4 as they look to keep pace in the Pacific Division. I’m backing Los Angeles to get the win and put up goals against the Penguins’ awful defence. Additionally, I have a play on Kevin Fiala’s shots on goal prop.

Check out my Penguins vs. Kings picks for Jan. 20.

Penguins vs. Kings picks

Go to full NHL betting markets

Embed: #106796

Best bet: Fiala over 2.5 shots (-150)

You’re going to sense a common theme throughout this article, and it’s that the Penguins haven’t been able to stop a beach ball this season.

One of the many causes of this has been the quantity — and quality — of shots they allow per game.

According to Natural Stat Trick, Pittsburgh allows the sixth-most scoring chances per 60 (29.4).

Fiala has tallied three-plus shots in five straight games, which includes a 10-shot outburst against the Seattle Kraken on Saturday.

The 2014 first-round draftee is having a down year in terms of points. After three straight seasons hitting the 70-point mark, he’s on pace for just 50 this year.

With three points and 13 shots in his last two games, though, this could be the start of a turnaround Fiala’s been looking for.

Key stat: Pittsburgh ranks 29th in shots allowed/game (31.1).

Quick picks

Kings 60-min moneyline (-112): Los Angeles’ defence is elite and is far superior to Pittsburgh’s offence. Plus, the Kings can score in bunches.

The Kings rank highly in every defensive category:

  • 2nd in goals (2.42/game)
  • 1st in shots (24.7/game)
  • 5th in penalty kill percentage (83.2%)
  • 2nd in high-danger chances (9.87/game)

The Kings have also been dominant at home this season.

  • Home: 14-2-1, +25 goal differential
  • Away: 11-11-4, -2 goal differential

Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five games, with the only win coming against the last-place Buffalo Sabres.

Kings over 3.5 goals (+110): I’m choosing this play over the regular game total because I simply don’t trust the Penguins’ offence versus the Kings.

Both Pittsburgh goaltenders have been dreadful this season. Alex Nedeljkovic and Joel Blomqvist collectively allow the most goals per game (3.65), and have the fifth-lowest save percentage (.891).

In the Pens’ past eight games, they’ve allowed over 3.5 goals six times.

I expect the trend to continue tonight in an extremely tough road environment.

Picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on 01/20/2025.

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prop picks Jan. 17: Bet on Pietrangelo, Dorofeyev on Friday

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prop picks

The Carolina Hurricanes host the Vegas Golden Knights on Friday night.

The pregame narrative: Two of the NHL’s powerhouses square off, both looking to get back in the win column. I’m backing Pavel Dorofeyev to find the score sheet, and Alex Pietrangelo shots on goal.

Check out my Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes props for Jan. 17.

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prop picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Best bet: Dorofeyev over 0.5 points (+120)

Dorofeyev might be the best player you’ve never heard of.

The 24-year-old Russian has been on a heater in his first full season in the NHL.

He played just 47 games last year, recording 13 goals and 24 points. This season, in 44 games, he has 19 goals and 27 points.

Vegas recognized his talent and moved him to the No. 1 power play, where he’s potted eight of his 19 goals. He leads the Knights in PP tallies.

Key stat: Dorofeyev has six points in the last two games, including three on the man advantage.

Quick pick

Pietrangelo over 1.5 shots (-125): The shots on goal props have been good to me lately, so I’m sticking to them.

This has been Pietrangelo’s shots total all season, and I’m shocked it hasn’t increased given his recent play.

The Golden Knights’ defenceman has cleared this mark in five of the last six games.

Carolina’s defence is feisty, but I believe Vegas’ offence will give them a good fight.

The Knights rank fifth in shots per game (30.7).

Picks made at 3:30 p.m. ET on 01/17/2025.

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prop picks Jan. 17: Bet on Pietrangelo, Dorofeyev on Friday

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prop picks

The Carolina Hurricanes host the Vegas Golden Knights on Friday night.

The pregame narrative: Two of the NHL’s powerhouses square off, both looking to get back in the win column. I’m backing Pavel Dorofeyev to find the score sheet while fading Jack Roslovic. I also have a play on Alex Pietrangelo.

Check out my Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes props for Jan. 17.

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prop picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Embed: #106611

Best bet: Roslovic under 0.5 points (-162)

This game isn’t exactly a prop bettor’s dream, which is why I’m leaning toward an under as my best bet.

The Knights and Hurricanes are both top 10 teams defensively.

TeamGoals allowed/gameShots allowed/game
Carolina9th (2.78)2nd (25)
Vegas6th (2.68)8th (27.1)

Roslovic surprisingly leads the Hurricanes in goals (17), despite a -4 rating and just over 14:00 minutes of ice time per game. Linemates Sebastian Aho and Seth Jarvis certainly play a factor in this.

The former first-round pick had a productive December, when he recorded 10 points on 25.0% shooting in 13 games.

Since then, he’s been ice cold.

Through eight games in January, Roslovic hasn’t found the score sheet and owns a -4 rating.

Roslovic is bound to break the streak with the talent around him, but tonight isn’t a promising matchup for him.

Key stat: In 12 career games against Vegas, Roslovic has recorded just two points.

Quick picks

Pietrangelo over 1.5 shots (-125): The shots on goal props have been good to me lately, so I’m sticking to them.

This has been Pietrangelo’s shots total all season, and I’m shocked it hasn’t increased given his recent play.

The Golden Knights’ defenceman has cleared this mark in five of the last six games.

Carolina’s defence is feisty, but I believe Vegas’ offence will give them a good fight.

The Knights rank fifth in shots per game (30.7).

Dorofeyev over 0.5 points (+128): Dorofeyev might be the best player you’ve never heard of.

The 24-year-old Russian has been on a heater in his first full season in the NHL.

He played just 47 games last year, recording 13 goals and 24 points. This season, in 44 games, he has 19 goals and 27 points.

Vegas recognized his talent and moved him to the No. 1 power play, where he’s potted eight of his 19 goals. He leads the Knights in PP tallies.

Dorofeyev has six points in the last two games, including three on the man advantage.

Picks made at 2:30 p.m. ET on 01/17/2025.

Looking to get started? Sign up here.

Raptors vs Bucks same-game parlay predictions: Jan. 17: Back Barrett and fade Giannis at +340

Raptors vs. Bucks predictions

The Milwaukee Bucks welcome the Toronto Raptors into town Friday evening.

The pregame narrative: Like most of the season, Toronto is the heavy underdog against a powerhouse in the East. I’m still backing the Raps to cover with some buffer zone points. Player prop bets on RJ Barrett and Giannis Antetokounmpo round out this +340 ticket.

Check out these Raptors vs. Bucks same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 17.

Raptors vs. Bucks predictions

Go to full NBA betting markets

Embed: #106559

Parlay: Raptors +16 + Barrett over 5.5 rebounds + Antetokounmpo under 29.5 points (+340)

Raptors +16 (-225): Don’t look now, but the Raptors are on a two-game win streak — including a victory against the defending champion Boston Celtics on Tuesday.

Toronto certainly isn’t competing for a playoff spot this season, but that doesn’t mean it hasn’t been competitive.

The Raps are 23-17-1 ATS, the sixth-best record in the NBA, despite owning the fourth-worst overall record (10-31).

I’m riding what might be the most momentum the Raptors have had all season in tonight’s matchup.

Toronto will still be without Immanuel Quickley (groin), but Davion Mitchell has stepped in effortlessly in Quickley’s absence.

The Raps have covered this number in five straight contests.

SGP legs

Antetokounmpo under 29.5 points (-110): I realize it’s normally hard to make money fading one of the NBA’s superstars. But this is a classic fade spot if I’ve ever seen one.

The Bucks have picked up back-to-back convincing wins against the Sacramento Kings and Orlando Magic — two teams in the playoff mix — after getting smoked by the New York Knicks on Jan. 12

Giannis had 26 points in 29 minutes against Orlando, resting the fourth quarter two days ago. I could see a similar stat line tonight where Doc Rivers elects to bench the two-time MVP, if able.

Historically, the Raptors have guarded The Greek Freak well.

Giannis is averaging 23.2 PPG in his last 10 games against Toronto, falling under this total in four straight against the Raps.

Barrett over 5.5 rebounds (-155): Barrett is having a fantastic season, with career-high averages in multiple categories.

  • Field goals: 8.3
  • Rebounds: 6.7
  • Assists: 5.9
  • Points: 22.4

He’s coming off an impressive 22-point, 10-rebound double-double in the win against Boston.

The Raptors will need the hometown boy to be as productive tonight in another tough matchup.

One chink in Milwaukee’s armour is its rebounding. According to Betting Pros, the Bucks allow the second-most rebounds to opposing small forwards (8.44).

Picks made at 11:20 a.m. ET on 01/17/2025.

Oilers vs. Avalanche prop picks Jan. 16: Back Draisaitl and McDavid, fade Toews

Oilers vs. Avalanche prop picks

A loaded 13-game Thursday NHL slate is capped off with the Edmonton Oilers facing the Colorado Avalanche.

The pregame narrative: Two of the hottest teams in the Western Conference duke it out in Denver in a primetime slot. I’m taking Connor McDavid to produce on the power play. I also have plays on Leon Draisaitl and Devon Toews.

Check out my Oilers vs. Avalanche prop picks for Jan. 16.

Oilers vs. Avalanche prop picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Best bet: Toews under 0.5 points (-150)

Toews has reached the 50-point mark in each of his last three seasons with Colorado. But he’s in jeopardy of hitting that mark this year.

The 30-year-old is on pace for just 40 points, which would be his lowest output since the 2020-2021 season.

Given the offensive prowess of linemate Cale Makar, it makes sense that Toews’ scoring has taken a hit. He’s still regarded as one of the strongest pure defencemen in the NHL, though, and his inclusion on Team Canada’s 4 Nations roster proves that.

In the past 13 games, Toews has gone pointless nine times but has a +12 rating and averages over 26 minutes of ice time.

Key stat: Toews has recorded just three points in nine games against the Oilers as a member of the Avalanche.

Quick picks

Draisaitl over 2.5 shots (-154): Get this number on Draisaitl while you still can.

The German has had three-plus shots in six of his last seven contests. And he’s missed the mark just four times in his last 17 games.

I suspect that Draisaitl’s shot prop will climb to 3.5 — or even 4.5 — in the next week or two.

Edmonton leads the NHL in shots per game (32.3) and has the eighth-best power play (25.0%), which creates more shooting opportunities for Draisaitl.

Colorado also allows the seventh-most shots per game (26.6).

McDavid over 0.5 power-play points (+137): I took this bet yesterday in Edmonton’s clash versus Minnesota, and I feel emboldened to go back to it tonight.

The Wild only took one penalty, but that’s all McDavid needed to bury a goal on the Oilers’ man advantage.

Colorado is the seventh-most penalized team in the league (6.9 minutes/game), and Edmonton’s power play has been lethal this season.

McDavid plays over three minutes per night on the man advantage and paces Oilers skaters with 19 power-play points.

Picks made at 4:30 p.m. ET on 01/16/2025.

Oilers vs. Avalanche prop picks Jan. 16: Back Draisaitl and McDavid, fade Toews

Oilers vs. Avalanche prop picks

A loaded 13-game Thursday NHL slate is capped off with the Edmonton Oilers facing the Colorado Avalanche.

The pregame narrative: Two of the hottest teams in the Western Conference duke it out in Denver in a primetime slot. I’m taking Connor McDavid to produce on the power play. I also have plays on Leon Draisaitl and Devon Toews.

Check out my Oilers vs. Avalanche prop picks for Jan. 16.

Oilers vs. Avalanche prop picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Embed: #106483

Best bet: Toews under 0.5 points (-159)

Toews has reached the 50-point mark in each of his last three seasons with Colorado. But he’s in jeopardy of hitting that mark this year.

The 30-year-old is on pace for just 40 points, which would be his lowest output since the 2020-2021 season.

Given the offensive prowess of linemate Cale Makar, it makes sense that Toews’ scoring has taken a hit. He’s still regarded as one of the strongest pure defencemen in the NHL, though, and his inclusion on Team Canada’s 4 Nations roster proves that.

In the past 13 games, Toews has gone pointless nine times but has a +12 rating and averages over 26 minutes of ice time.

Key stat: Toews has recorded just three points in nine games against the Oilers as a member of the Avalanche.

Quick picks

Draisaitl over 2.5 shots (-120): Get this number on Draisaitl while you still can.

The German has had three-plus shots in six of his last seven contests. And he’s missed the mark just four times in his last 17 games.

I suspect that Draisaitl’s shot prop will climb to 3.5 — or even 4.5 — in the next week or two.

Edmonton leads the NHL in shots per game (32.3) and has the eighth-best power play (25.0%), which creates more shooting opportunities for Draisaitl.

Colorado also allows the seventh-most shots per game (26.6).

McDavid over 0.5 power-play points (+130): I took this bet yesterday in Edmonton’s clash versus Minnesota, and I feel emboldened to go back to it tonight.

The Wild only took one penalty, but that’s all McDavid needed to bury a goal on the Oilers’ man advantage.

Colorado is the seventh-most penalized team in the league (6.9 minutes/game), and Edmonton’s power play has been lethal this season.

McDavid plays over three minutes per night on the man advantage and paces Oilers skaters with 19 power-play points.

Picks made at 4:10 p.m. ET on 01/16/2025.

Maple Leafs props vs. Devils Jan. 16: Bet on Hughes, fade Matthews and Meier

Maple Leafs props

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the New Jersey Devils on Thursday night.

The pregame narrative: Toronto hopes to end its homestand on a positive note and avoid a four-game skid. I’m backing Jack Hughes in the shots department while fading Auston Matthews in the same category. I also have a play on Timo Meier.

Check out my Maple Leafs props vs. Devils for Jan. 16.

Maple Leafs props vs. Devils

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Best bet: Meier under 0.5 points (-134)

The Craig Berube experience has been as advertised.

Not the most exciting hockey, but it gets results with a stout defence night in and night out.

  • 2023-24 Leafs goals allowed per game: 3.06
  • 2024-25 Leafs goals allowed per game: 2.84

Joseph Woll is the confirmed starter for the Leafs, and the fourth-year netminder has not disappointed. Woll’s play has been good enough for a 14-8-0 record with a 2.65 goals against average.

Meier has lost a step offensively since coming over from the San Jose Sharks to the Devils.

During his last two years in San Jose, Meier was nearly a point-per-game player (0.95), but his numbers have dropped in New Jersey.

Key stat: Meier has been limited to three points in his last nine games.

Quick picks

Matthews under 3.5 shots (-134): If you’ve been tracking my plays lately, you would notice a lot of material on players going under their shots total.

My next play goes against this, but it’s been working for Leafs’ players so I’ll keep backing down.

Matthews was a demon in the shots-on-goal department in December and early January but has cooled off since:

  • Matthews cleared this line in 7/8 games between Dec. 7 and Jan. 4.
  • Since then, he’s gone under this in five straight despite producing six points.

The Devils allow the third-least amount of shots per game in the league (25.6).

Hughes over 3.5 shots (-163): To borrow a phrase from Charles Barkley, Hughes has recently been “shooting that thang” at a high rate.

And with the Devils in second place in the East, I don’t see any reason for him to steer away.

The young superstar has cleared this line in eight of the last nine games, with 41 total shots over that span.

According to Natural Stat Trick, New Jersey has the highest expected goals rate per 60 (3.55). Toronto also ranks 24th in the NHL in shots allowed/game (29.1).

Picks made at 4:25 a.m. ET on 01/16/2025.

Kings vs. Canucks picks and odds Jan. 16: Fade DeBrusk, Hughes’ shots totals

Kings vs. Canucks picks

The Los Angeles Kings travel north to take on the Vancouver Canucks on Thursday night.

The pregame narrative: Two Pacific Division rivals square off, both desperate to get in the win column. I’m backing the road team to pull away with two points. I also have plays on Jake DeBrusk and Quinn Hughes.

Check out my Kings vs. Canucks picks for Jan. 16.

Kings vs. Canucks picks

Go to full NHL betting markets.

Best bet: DeBrusk under 1.5 shots (-108)

DeBrusk hasn’t been shooting the puck a ton despite his production this season.

He paces the Canucks in goals (17) but has been on a cold stretch lately, with just three in his last 15 games.

DeBrusk’s career-high 19.1 shooting percentage plays a factor. He’s on track to break his single-season goals record (27) and is shooting the puck at an ultra-efficient rate.

Vancouver has the second-lowest shots on goal per game (25.2), ahead of only the Chicago Blackhawks.

According to Natural Stat Trick, the Canucks are second-worst in high-danger chances per 60 (9.59).

Key stat: DeBrusk has gone under 1.5 shots in six of the last seven games.

Quick picks

Kings moneyline (-110): Since taking over the job midway through last season, L.A. coach Jim Hiller has made the Kings into one of the best defensive teams.

Here’s how they rank amongst the rest of the league:

  • 1st in goals allowed/game: 2.41
  • 1st in shots allowed/game: 24.9
  • 1st in expected goals against per 60: 2.48
  • 9th in penalty kill: 82.1%

The Kings goalie tandem of Darcy Kuemper and David Rittich has been good enough for the top spot in team goals against average (2.41).

The Canucks have been on a recent skid, winning just one of their last six games.

Hughes under 2.5 shots (-150): I love me some Quinn Hughes, but his shots on goal production has diminished as of late.

This bet has cashed in six straight and eight of the last 10.

As previously mentioned, the Kings are one of the best defensive teams in the NHL and the Canucks have struggled to find the back of the net recently.

In Vancouver’s last four games, they’ve mustered just five goals.

Los Angeles allows the third-fewest high-danger chances against per 60 (9.91).

Picks made at 4:30 p.m. ET on 01/16/2025.