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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 5: Bet on Amen Thompson and Nikola Jokic on Wednesday

I’m targeting three players on the NBA prop market for Wednesday’s busy basketball slate.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Amen Thompson is on breakout watch and has a plus matchup he should take advantage of. Contributing across the board, I’m taking the over on his points/assists/rebounds line against the Memphis Grizzlies tonight.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 5, featuring predictions on Nikola Jokic and Austin Reaves.

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Editor’s note: Reaves was ruled out for Wednesday’s game vs. the Spurs after this story was published.

NBA prop picks Nov. 5

Best bet: Thompson over 30.5 PRA (-120)

This is a great spot for the third-year guard who has nightly 20-point potential.

Thompson has yet to discover his 3-point shot through six games and his rebounding is down. But he remains a 50% shooter from the field on increased volume and is getting heavy minutes for a dangerous Houston Rockets team.

The 22-year-old has logged 39-plus minutes in half his contests. Foul trouble and blowout wins prevented him from approaching that number in his other games.

Thompson is averaging 28.3 PRA, propelled by career-best marks in points (17.0) and assists (5.5).

Memphis is 23rd in the NBA in defensive rating and has struggled to defend in the paint, where the athletic Thompson does a lot of his scoring.

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The Grizzlies have also been weak on the perimeter, providing Thompson with clear scoring upside for tonight’s game.

He’s gotten to nine rebounds in two of his past three games after averaging 8.2 last season. It’s in the realm of possibilities that he clears this line on points and rebounds alone.

Key stat: Thompson has blown past this mark in three straight.

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Today’s best NBA prop bets

Jokic over 48.5 PRA (-120): Once Jokic’s scoring improves, and there’s no reason to believe that it won’t, this line is probably set a couple of points higher most nights.

Even against a strong defensive team like the Miami Heat, I see an opportunity to buy a little low.

-> Bet on Heat vs. Nuggets & Wednesday’s NBA slate

Jokic’s scoring average hasn’t been this light since the 2019-20 season. But he’s coming off a season-best 34-point effort and shooting 60% from the field.

The three-time MVP remains elite on the glass (third in the NBA at 13.2 boards/game) and is dishing out a career-high 11.3 assists per night.

Those averages get us halfway to this line and we know he has 30-plus-point upside.

Denver is second in the NBA in offensive rating and Miami plays at the fastest pace in the game.

While these teams have been playing great defence (both top five in defensive rating), this feels like a shootout waiting to happen in Denver’s high altitude.

And the over/under backs that up. At 241 points, this is by far the highest total of tonight’s 11-game slate.

NBA player prop predictions

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Reaves over 6.5 assists (-129): Reaves’ numbers need context. LeBron James has been sidelined all season, and Reaves has played three of his seven games without Luka Doncic.

He’s not the next Luka in the making, but his early-season averages are star-level:

31.1 PPG
9.3 APG
5.1 RPG
90.3 FT% on 10.3 attempts

Reaves’ scoring will naturally take a backseat with Doncic (41.3 PPG) in the lineup. But that, in theory, can set him up to be more of a distributor, a role he’s handled well with the Lakers.

The fifth-year guard has three double-digit assist games and is 5-2 vs. this line.

Keep in mind: Reaves (groin) is questionable as of early Wednesday afternoon. Check our NBA injury report throughout the day for the latest on his availability.

NBA prop picks made at 11:41 a.m. ET on Nov. 5, 2025.

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Best NBA player prop predictions Oct. 31: Back Booker and Markkanen in Suns vs. Jazz clash, fade Jokic

Two of Friday’s top NBA prop bets for Halloween night take us to the desert in Arizona.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Lauri Markkanen and Devin Booker both went off when the Phoenix Suns and Utah Jazz met earlier in the week, and I expect the surging stars to do so in the rematch.

Check out my favourite NBA player prop predictions for Oct. 31, featuring a pick on the Denver Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic.

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NBA player prop predictions

Best bet: Markkanen over 26.5 points (-118)

The Suns are a mess, allowing 126.0 points per game and ranking 28th in defensive efficiency.

They’ve dropped four straight, including an overtime game to the Jazz on Monday.

Markannen lit Phoenix on fire that game.

Career-high 51 points
Six three-pointers
17-of-17 from the line

It’s safe to say Markkanen’s 34.0-point-per-game average (fifth in the NBA) won’t last. But he was probably due for some positive regression.

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In last year’s injury-filled season, he averaged 19.0 PPG on the tanking Jazz. That came after he scored 23.2 points the year before, and a career-high 25.6 in his first season in Utah (2022-23).

Markkanen’s volume is sky-high to start the season, and he’s converting efficiently. Don’t expect this to be the game that he falls off.

Key stat: Markkanen has scored 30-plus points in three straight.

NBA prop bets

Booker over 31.5 points (-108): Sticking with the Jazz vs. Suns game, I’m all in on Booker as a scorer early on.

He has no Kevin Durant to compete with or Bradley Beal, to a lesser extent, and offseason acquisition Jalen Green remains out.

There are as many shots available to Booker as he wants.

-> Bet on Suns star Devin Booker tonight!

Booker has taken 26 shots in back-to-back games (one of them being the OT loss to Utah).

He’s attempted double-digit shots from long range in both those contests.

The Suns guard is averaging 10.0 free-throw attempts per game, a career-high mark.

Booker can hurt teams from anywhere, and he’s a sure bet to continue piling up big point totals. His 3-point shooting could really drive up his scoring tonight.

Utah allows an NBA-high 17.3 threes per game.

The 29-year-old is 3-2 against this big number through five games with a 31-point performance mixed in.

Jokic under 26.5 points (-130): It’s not easy fading Jokic, but this is still a big number for any player to hit.

And it’s not a number Jokic has hit once this season.

Vs. NO: 21 points
@ MIN: 25 points
Vs. PHX: 14 points
@ GS: 21 points

-> Bet on Jokic & the Nuggets on Halloween night

His rebound and assist production have been there — he’s triple-doubled in four straight — but the shot volume has been extremely light.

The three-time MVP’s shot attempts over the last three games: 15, 10, 8.

He’s going to continue struggling to get this number if that doesn’t soar soon, especially with such low volume at the line (3.8 attempts/game).

Jamal Murray has been lighting it up, and the Portland Trail Blazers have been steamrolled by point guards, allowing the most points to the position in the game.

So this could be another game where Jokic takes a back seat and Murray does the heavy lifting for Denver.

NBA player prop predictions made at 3:20 p.m. ET on 10/31/25.

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Best NBA player prop predictions Oct. 31: Back Booker and Markkanen in Suns vs. Jazz clash, fade Jokic

Two of Friday’s top NBA prop bets for Halloween night take us to the desert in Arizona.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Lauri Markkanen and Devin Booker both went off when the Phoenix Suns and Utah Jazz met earlier in the week, and I expect the surging stars to do so in the rematch.

Check out my favourite NBA player prop predictions for Oct. 31, featuring a pick on the Denver Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the NBA today!

NBA player prop predictions

Best bet: Markkanen over 25.5 points (-120)

The Suns are a mess, allowing 126.0 points per game and ranking 28th in defensive efficiency.

They’ve dropped four straight, including an overtime game to the Jazz on Monday.

Markannen lit Phoenix on fire that game.

Career-high 51 points
Six three-pointers
17-of-17 from the line

It’s safe to say Markkanen’s 34.0-point-per-game average (fifth in the NBA) won’t last. But he was probably due for some positive regression.

-> Bet on NBA props at NorthStar Bets

In last year’s injury-filled season, he averaged 19.0 PPG on the tanking Jazz. That came after he scored 23.2 points the year before, and a career-high 25.6 in his first season in Utah (2022-23).

Markkanen’s volume is sky-high to start the season, and he’s converting efficiently. Don’t expect this to be the game that he falls off.

Key stat: Markkanen has scored 30-plus points in three straight.

NBA prop bets

Booker over 30.5 points (-117): Sticking with the Jazz vs. Suns game, I’m all in on Booker as a scorer early on.

He has no Kevin Durant to compete with or Bradley Beal, to a lesser extent, and offseason acquisition Jalen Green remains out.

There are as many shots available to Booker as he wants.

-> Bet on Suns star Devin Booker tonight!

Booker has taken 26 shots in back-to-back games (one of them being the OT loss to Utah).

He’s attempted double-digit shots from long range in both those contests.

The Suns guard is averaging 10.0 free-throw attempts per game, a career-high mark.

Booker can hurt teams from anywhere, and he’s a sure bet to continue piling up big point totals. His 3-point shooting could really drive up his scoring tonight.

Utah allows an NBA-high 17.3 threes per game.

The 29-year-old is 4-1 against this big number through five games.

Jokic under 27.5 points (-118): It’s not easy fading Jokic, but this is still a big number for any player to hit.

And it’s not a number Jokic has hit once this season.

Vs. NO: 21 points
@ MIN: 25 points
Vs. PHX: 14 points
@ GS: 21 points

-> Bet on Jokic & the Nuggets on Halloween night

His rebound and assist production have been there — he’s triple-doubled in four straight — but the shot volume has been extremely light.

The three-time MVP’s shot attempts over the last three games: 15, 10, 8.

He’s going to continue struggling to get this number if that doesn’t soar soon, especially with such low volume at the line (3.8 attempts/game).

Jamal Murray has been lighting it up, and the Portland Trail Blazers have been steamrolled by point guards, allowing the most points to the position in the game.

So this could be another game where Jokic takes a back seat and Murray does the heavy lifting for Denver.

NBA player prop predictions made at 3:20 p.m. ET on 10/31/25.

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Raptors vs. Cavaliers SGP predictions Oct. 31: Back Evan Mobley, Scottie Barnes in +330 same-game parlay

The Toronto Raptors get a Halloween date with the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday night.

The pregame narrative: Toronto has been struggling, entering on a four-game skid due to porous defence. I expect plenty of points tonight and for Evan Mobley to continue his productive start to the season.

Check out my Raptors SGP predictions vs. the Cavaliers on Oct. 31, featuring a prop pick on Scottie Barnes.

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Raptors SGP predictions vs. Cavaliers

Parlay: Mobley over 33.5 PRA | Over 233.5 points | Barnes over 18.5 points (+330)

Mobley over 33.5 PRA (-159): Mobley’s shooting hasn’t been great to start the young season, but it hasn’t affected his scoring.

His rebounding production remains as strong as ever, and he’s dishing out a career-best assist number.

Mobley is staring down a monster Halloween night against the Raptors, who have been shredded defensively.

The Raptors are second-last in the NBA in defensive rating.

They’re third-last in opponent points per game, allowing a whopping 127.8 on average.

Toronto has been carved up by opposing bigs, surrendering the seventh-most points/game to centres and second most to power forwards, per Betting Pros.

-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate at NorthStar Bets

Mobley could also benefit from some key absences to the Cavaliers’ starting five, though I don’t think he’ll even need that to hit this PRA number.

Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen are both questionable.

Mobley has big scoring upside tonight and should thrive on the glass against the Raptors, who are second-last in the NBA in rebounding rate.

He’s double-doubled in two straight games and notched 30+ PRA in four of five contests.

Embed: #120497

NBA SGP legs

Over 233.5 (-180): It’s hard to envision this turning into much of a defensive match.

Raptors games have been lighting up the scoreboard, and they play at the fourth-fastest pace in the NBA.

That leads to extra possessions, which their defence has struggled to turn into stops, leading to more opportunities to put the ball in the basket.

Toronto’s offence hasn’t been half bad, either.

-> Wager on tonight’s Raptors game!

The Raps are scoring the ninth-most points per game and getting strong efficiency out of their three best scorers.

Scottie Barnes (22.2 PPG), Brandon Ingram (22.0) and R.J. Barrett (19.2) are all shooting above 53% from the field.

Here are the totals from Toronto’s five games:

@ ATL: 256
Vs. MIL: 238
@ DAL: 268
@ SA: 224
Vs. HOU: 260

Barnes over 18.5 points (+102): Barnes and Ingram have put up nearly identical production across the board through five games.

Embed: #120498

It’s early, but Ingram’s influence on the offence hasn’t forced Barnes to take a step back.

-> See all of Barnes’ props for tonight’s game vs. Cleveland

Barnes is above the 20-point-per-game mark for the first time in his career.

His shot volume hasn’t decreased with Ingram in the mix, but his efficiency has soared. Barnes is shooting 53.8% from the field, the first time in his career more than half his shots are falling.

The former Rookie of the Year has been exceptional from long range, drilling 2.2 per game on 55% shooting.

Barnes has topped this number three times and hit the 30-point mark twice. He has nightly upside against a sub-20 point line.

No team allows more points to power forwards than the Cavs, who are giving up the third most threes per game.

Raptors SGP predictions vs. Cavaliers made at 1:20 p.m. ET 10/31/2025.

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Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Game 6 World Series picks: Back Toronto’s bats, Gausman with chance to win Fall Classic

The Toronto Blue Jays can win their third World Series when they host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Rogers Centre on Halloween night.

The pregame narrative: Toronto turns to Kevin Gausman with a 3-2 series lead, looking for its first title since 1993. In a Game 2 rematch, the reigning champs will deploy Yoshinobu Yamamoto in hopes of keeping their season alive.

Check out my Blue Jays Game 6 picks vs. the Dodgers on Friday, Oct. 31 at Rogers Centre, featuring a prop prediction on Gausman.

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Blue Jays Game 6 picks vs. Dodgers

Best bet: Toronto over 3.5 runs (+110)

The chances of Yamamoto throwing a third complete game in a row are slim.

Toronto should have opportunities against Los Angeles’ bullpen, which hasn’t been striking anyone out and has a .273 opponents’ batting average and 4.15 ERA in the World Series.

Expecting sheer dominance from Yamamoto before turning it over is asking a lot.

He’s been throwing as well as nearly any pitcher the last two months (two runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts) and carved up Toronto earlier this series.

Yamamoto is the only pitcher this postseason to strike out more than seven Blue Jays in a game, limiting them to four hits in a pristine Game 2 outing.

Toronto has hit well outside of that game, batting .261 and getting on base at a .341 clip this series, facing nothing but elite starting pitching.

-> Bet on the Blue Jays to win the World Series

And they didn’t go up against slouches in matchups vs. the New York Yankees or Seattle Mariners. In 16 postseason games, Toronto ranks No. 1 in the following categories:

Average: .281
OBP: .350
wRC+: 129
K rate: 16.3%

And they hit home runs, powered by Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s postseason-leading eight (Shohei Ohtani has eight, too).

Vladdy (.415) is one of five Blue Jays hitting above .300 in the playoffs, alongside Ernie Clement, Addison Barger, Bo Bichette and Nathan Lukes.

George Springer (third in regular season OPS) hasn’t been ruled out for Game 6, either. As much as the Jays would love to have him in the lineup, his absence hasn’t hurt Toronto in the last two games (both victories)

This offence can beat you several different ways and has scored five-plus in four of the five games vs. L.A.

Key stat: Toronto is 12-4 against this number in the playoffs after finishing the regular season second in runs per game and third in OPS.

Embed: #120472

-> Bet on the Blue Jays to win the World Series

Jays vs. Dodgers best bets

Gausman over 15.5 outs (-118): This isn’t an elimination game for Toronto, but John Schneider could very well manage it like one. No one on Toronto’s side wants to see Game 7.

The teams are coming off a much-needed off day after three straight, which included an 18-inning game.

But Trey Yesavage helped spare the bullpen in Game 5, going deep enough to get the ball right to high-leverage arms Seranthony Dominguez and Jeff Hoffman.

-> See all Game 6 player props at NorthStar Bets

It’s asking a ton out of Gausman to repeat that. I’d imagine a situation calls for a Mason Fluharty or Louis Varland before the back-end arms, but that doesn’t mean Gausman can’t clear this.

He matched Yamamoto into the seventh inning of Game 2 before allowing a pair of solo homers.

Gausman held the Dodgers to four hits, walked none and struck out six.

The righty has a 2.55 ERA this postseason, including an inning of relief work, and is a perfect 4-0 vs. this line.

Since the all-star break, he’s thrown more than five innings in 15 of 17 starts.

Blue Jays Game 6 picks made at 1:50 p.m. ET on 10/30/2025.

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Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Game 6 World Series picks: Back Toronto’s bats, Gausman with chance to win Fall Classic

The Toronto Blue Jays can win their third World Series when they host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Rogers Centre on Halloween night.

The pregame narrative: Toronto turns to Kevin Gausman with a 3-2 series lead, looking for its first title since 1993. In a Game 2 rematch, the reigning champs will deploy Yoshinobu Yamamoto in hopes of keeping their season alive.

Check out my Blue Jays Game 6 picks vs. the Dodgers on Friday, Oct. 31 at Rogers Centre, featuring a prop prediction on Gausman.

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Blue Jays Game 6 picks vs. Dodgers

Best bet: Toronto over 3.5 runs (+112)

The chances of Yamamoto throwing a third complete game in a row are slim.

Toronto should have opportunities against Los Angeles’ bullpen, which hasn’t been striking anyone out and has a .273 opponents’ batting average and 4.15 ERA in the World Series.

Expecting sheer dominance from Yamamoto before turning it over is asking a lot.

He’s been throwing as well as nearly any pitcher the last two months (two runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts) and carved up Toronto earlier this series.

Yamamoto is the only pitcher this postseason to strike out more than seven Blue Jays in a game, limiting them to four hits in a pristine Game 2 outing.

Toronto has hit well outside of that game, batting .261 and getting on base at a .341 clip this series, facing nothing but elite starting pitching.

-> Bet on the Blue Jays to win the World Series

And they didn’t go up against slouches in matchups vs. the New York Yankees or Seattle Mariners. In 16 postseason games, Toronto ranks No. 1 in the following categories:

Average: .281
OBP: .350
wRC+: 129
K rate: 16.3%

And they hit home runs, powered by Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s postseason-leading eight (Shohei Ohtani has eight, too).

Vladdy (.415) is one of five Blue Jays hitting above .300 in the playoffs, alongside Ernie Clement, Addison Barger, Bo Bichette and Nathan Lukes.

George Springer (third in regular season OPS) hasn’t been ruled out for Game 6, either. As much as the Jays would love to have him in the lineup, his absence hasn’t hurt Toronto in the last two games (both victories)

This offence can beat you several different ways and has scored five-plus in four of the five games vs. L.A.

Key stat: Toronto is 12-4 against this number in the playoffs after finishing the regular season second in runs per game and third in OPS.

Embed: #120467

-> Bet on the Blue Jays to win the World Series

Jays vs. Dodgers best bets

Gausman over 15.5 outs (-114): This isn’t an elimination game for Toronto, but John Schneider could very well manage it like one. No one on Toronto’s side wants to see Game 7.

The teams are coming off a much-needed off day after three straight, which included an 18-inning game.

But Trey Yesavage helped spare the bullpen in Game 5, going deep enough to get the ball right to high-leverage arms Seranthony Dominguez and Jeff Hoffman.

-> See all Game 6 player props at NorthStar Bets

It’s asking a ton out of Gausman to repeat that. I’d imagine a situation calls for a Mason Fluharty or Louis Varland before the back-end arms, but that doesn’t mean Gausman can’t clear this.

He matched Yamamoto into the seventh inning of Game 2 before allowing a pair of solo homers.

Gausman held the Dodgers to four hits, walked none and struck out six.

The righty has a 2.55 ERA this postseason, including an inning of relief work, and is a perfect 4-0 vs. this line.

Since the all-star break, he’s thrown more than five innings in 15 of 17 starts.

Blue Jays Game 6 picks made at 1:50 p.m. ET on 10/30/2025.

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Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Game 5 World Series picks: Back Bichette and Toronto to win, fade Snell

Tonight marks the final game in Los Angeles when the Dodgers host the Toronto Blue Jays for Game 5 of the World Series.

The pregame narrative: We’re down to a best-of-three after Toronto responded from a Game 3 heartbreaker with a convincing win on Tuesday night. Game 1 starters Trey Yesavage and Blake Snell get the assignments with a 3-2 series lead at stake.

Check out my Blue Jays vs. Dodgers picks for Game 5 of the World Series, featuring prop predictions on Snell and Bo Bichette.

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Blue Jays vs. Dodgers picks

Best bet: Snell under 6.5 strikeouts (-130)

This has been a profitable play all postseason. Toronto has played 15 playoff games and only one starter has topped this line.

That was Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who threw a complete game in Game 2.

The list of pitchers to fall short of this line is remarkably impressive.

Luis Gil (2)
Max Fried (1)
Carlos Rodon (2)
Cam Schlittler (2)
Bryce Miller (3)
Logan Gilbert (2)
George Kirby (4)
Luis Castillo (1)
Miller (4)
Gilbert (3)
Kirby (3)
Snell (4)
Yamamoto (8)
Tyler Glasnow (5)
Shohei Ohtani (6)

-> See all Game 5 player props at NorthStar Bets

Like many of those names, Snell has the strikeout stuff to blow past this line. But perhaps that holds true vs. most teams, not every team.

Toronto is a different beast. The Blue Jays had the lowest K% in the regular season, and they do again in the playoffs.

Snell was lethal in his three postseason starts before Game 1 (28 combined Ks). But in a 2-2 series, there’s risk of Dodgers manager Dave Roberts being aggressive with his bullpen deployment.

The southpaw has a history of control issues, too, which could drive up his pitch count, put runners on and prompt a pitching change. He walked three batters in Game 1 and four in his NLDS start.

Key stat: Toronto had a 17.8 K% in the regular season (it’s 16.2% in the playoffs).

-> Bet on the Blue Jays to win the World Series

Jays vs. Dodgers best bets

Blue Jays moneyline (+170): Los Angeles is at home with possibly a big starting pitching edge.

I might be fading Snell on his K line, but that doesn’t mean I’m predicting the Jays to ambush him. But they did exactly that in Game 1.

Yesavage, meanwhile, has kept Toronto in every playoff game, and the rookie dominated the New York Yankees in the ALDS with a wipeout splitter.

Toronto’s offence is elite, too.

Even without leadoff man George Springer (third in MLB in OPS) last night, the Jays plated six runs on 11 hits.

They scored 11 runs in Game 1 and have gotten to five-plus in three of four games. Their postseason wRC+ is 128 (the Yankees had an MLB-best 119 wRC+ in the regular season).

-> Bet on the Blue Jays to win Game 5

This could also come down to the bullpens.

If the Dodgers need any of Blake Treinen or lefties Anthony Banda and Jack Dryer, they’d be pitching three consecutive days.

Toronto was able to get by last night without using high-leverage arms Seranthony Dominguez and Jeff Hoffman.

This is a big underdog price and worth taking based on what we’ve seen from Toronto.

World Series prop pick

Bichette over 1.5 total bases (+120): The knee injury that cost Bichette two postseason rounds is clearly affecting his mobility. But it’s not impacting his bat.

Bichette has looked good through three World Series games (he was limited to one pinch-hit plate appearance in Game 2).

-> Visit NorthStar Bets to see Bichette’s prop markets

He’s batting .362 with a .462 OBP.
In 13 PAs, he’s struck out once.

Bichette had a pair of hits in the 18-inning marathon and a key run-producing single last night that would have been a double if he could run well.

The knee injury and risk of being taken out for a defensive replacement if he’s not the designated hitter again (which he will be if Springer remains out) is the worry.

But I like what I’ve seen from Bichette, and love him at this big plus-money price.

He led MLB with a .370 second-half average and was sixth in games with two-plus total bases, per Team Rankings.

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers picks made at 12:55 p.m. ET on 10/29/2025.

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Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Game 5 World Series picks: Back Bichette and Toronto to win, fade Snell

Tonight marks the final game in Los Angeles when the Dodgers host the Toronto Blue Jays for Game 5 of the World Series.

The pregame narrative: We’re down to a best-of-three after Toronto responded from a Game 3 heartbreaker with a convincing win on Tuesday night. Game 1 starters Trey Yesavage and Blake Snell get the assignments with a 3-2 series lead at stake.

Check out my Blue Jays vs. Dodgers picks for Game 5 of the World Series, featuring prop predictions on Snell and Bo Bichette.

-> Join NorthStar Bets and bet on the Blue Jays today!

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers picks

Best bet: Snell under 6.5 strikeouts (-113)

This has been a profitable play all postseason. Toronto has played 15 playoff games and only one starter has topped this line.

That was Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who threw a complete game in Game 2.

The list of pitchers to fall short of this line is remarkably impressive.

Luis Gil (2)
Max Fried (1)
Carlos Rodon (2)
Cam Schlittler (2)
Bryce Miller (3)
Logan Gilbert (2)
George Kirby (4)
Luis Castillo (1)
Miller (4)
Gilbert (3)
Kirby (3)
Snell (4)
Yamamoto (8)
Tyler Glasnow (5)
Shohei Ohtani (6)

-> See all Game 5 player props at NorthStar Bets

Like many of those names, Snell has the strikeout stuff to blow past this line. But perhaps that holds true vs. most teams, not every team.

Toronto is a different beast. The Blue Jays had the lowest K% in the regular season, and they do again in the playoffs.

Snell was lethal in his three postseason starts before Game 1 (28 combined Ks). But in a 2-2 series, there’s risk of Dodgers manager Dave Roberts being aggressive with his bullpen deployment.

The southpaw has a history of control issues, too, which could drive up his pitch count, put runners on and prompt a pitching change. He walked three batters in Game 1 and four in his NLDS start.

Key stat: Toronto had a 17.8 K% in the regular season (it’s 16.2% in the playoffs).

Embed: #120417

-> Bet on the Blue Jays to win the World Series

Jays vs. Dodgers best bets

Blue Jays moneyline (+175): Los Angeles is at home with possibly a big starting pitching edge.

I might be fading Snell on his K line, but that doesn’t mean I’m predicting the Jays to ambush him. But they did exactly that in Game 1.

Yesavage, meanwhile, has kept Toronto in every playoff game, and the rookie dominated the New York Yankees in the ALDS with a wipeout splitter.

Toronto’s offence is elite, too.

Even without leadoff man George Springer (third in MLB in OPS) last night, the Jays plated six runs on 11 hits.

They scored 11 runs in Game 1 and have gotten to five-plus in three of four games. Their postseason wRC+ is 128 (the Yankees had an MLB-best 119 wRC+ in the regular season).

-> Bet on the Blue Jays to win Game 5

This could also come down to the bullpens.

If the Dodgers need any of Blake Treinen or lefties Anthony Banda and Jack Dryer, they’d be pitching three consecutive days.

Toronto was able to get by last night without using high-leverage arms Seranthony Dominguez and Jeff Hoffman.

This is a big underdog price and worth taking based on what we’ve seen from Toronto.

World Series prop pick

Bichette over 1.5 total bases (+145): The knee injury that cost Bichette two postseason rounds is clearly affecting his mobility. But it’s not impacting his bat.

Bichette has looked good through three World Series games (he was limited to one pinch-hit plate appearance in Game 2).

-> Visit NorthStar Bets to see Bichette’s prop markets

He’s batting .362 with a .462 OBP.
In 13 PAs, he’s struck out once.

Bichette had a pair of hits in the 18-inning marathon and a key run-producing single last night that would have been a double if he could run well.

The knee injury and risk of being taken out for a defensive replacement if he’s not the designated hitter again (which he will be if Springer remains out) is the worry.

But I like what I’ve seen from Bichette, and love him at this big plus-money price.

He led MLB with a .370 second-half average and was sixth in games with two-plus total bases, per Team Rankings.

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers picks made at 11:05 a.m. ET on 10/29/2025.

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Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Game 4 World Series SGP predictions: Same-game parlay picks on Bieber, Bichette and Ohtani

The Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Dodgers continue their dogfight with Game 4 of the World Series scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday night.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles took a 2-1 lead in an 18-inning Game 3 victory, leading to little rest for these clubs. We’re treated to another big-name pitching matchup tonight, as Shane Bieber and Shohei Ohtani get the assignments.

Check out my same-game parlay Blue Jays vs. Dodgers predictions, featuring four legs and prop plays on Bieber, Ohtani and Bo Bichette.

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Blue Jays vs. Dodgers predictions

Bieber over 4.5 Ks | Ohtani under 7.5 Ks | Over 7.5 runs | Bichette 1+ hit (+440)

Bieber over 4.5 Ks (-139): After Toronto used eight relievers in its extra-inning loss, I feel good about Bieber staying in long enough to get to this number.

And I think the inning component is key here, as Bieber hasn’t exactly been great this postseason.

Layered around a terrific ALCS start against the Mariners was a strenuous outing vs. Seattle and a subpar ALDS performance.

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Tonight’s game is high stakes. But last night’s marathon with Game 5 on deck tomorrow will likely work in Bieber’s favour from a length standpoint.

Bieber is 2-1 vs. this line in the postseason after going 4-3 in the regular season.

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MLB SGP picks

Ohtani under 7.5 Ks (-240): What I said about Bieber could be applied to Ohtani, but we’re also talking about a different number.

And it’s one that starting pitchers have failed miserably at covering against Toronto this postseason.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is the only starter to top this number vs. the Blue Jays in 14 playoff games. He got to eight Ks in Game 2, going the distance.

Toronto has faced some tough arms, too:

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Max Fried
Carlos Rodon
Cam Schlittler
Logan Gilbert
George Kirby
Luis Castillo
Blake Snell
Tyler Glasnow

None of those pitchers even recorded six Ks.

Ohtani has massive strikeout upside like many of the above names and is coming off a 10-strikeout game, but Toronto’s lineup has been a challenge all season.

The Jays had the lowest K rate in MLB, and that has remained the case in the playoffs.

Toronto has a 15.3 K%. The San Diego Padres are next at 19% over three games.

Over 7.5 runs (-137): These are two great offences that are 2-1 vs. this number through three games.

Toronto went 8-3 vs. this line in its other two playoff series.

-> Build your own Blue Jays vs. Dodgers SGP!

Los Angeles has a lot more unders but much of that is a result of its elite pitching, which Toronto has been more than competent against.

After both teams threw everything but the kitchen sink at each other in Game 3, I’m banking on fatigue leading to less crisp stuff from the pitchers.

Bo Bichette World Series prop pick

Bichette 1+ hit (-295): This leg takes us from +340 to +440, a modest spike for a play I like.

Bichette was held to a pinch-hitting appearance in Game 2 and lifted early in the other two World Series games.

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That said, he had a pair of hits last night and singled in Game 1. He’s dealing with a bad knee but can still hit the ball, and was a beast in the regular season.

The 27-year-old hit an MLB-best .370 in the second half.

Bichette also handled high-end velocity well, which he’ll see plenty of between Ohtani and the Dodgers’ bullpen.

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers predictions as of 12:25 p.m. on 10/28/2025.

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Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Game 3 World Series prop predictions: Bet on Daulton Varsho, Andres Gimenez and Will Smith

The World Series shifts to Los Angeles on Monday, where the Dodgers host the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 3.

The pregame narrative: We have another big-name pitching matchup tonight between Tyler Glasnow and Max Scherzer, with a lead in the series at stake. The Blue Jays were quiet in Game 2 after an 11-run eruption in the series opener, but I like two of their bats to cash in on the prop market on Monday.

Check out my Blue Jays vs. Dodgers predictions for Game 3 of the World Series, featuring picks on Daulton Varsho, Andres Gimenez and Will Smith.

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Blue Jays vs. Dodgers predictions

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Best bet: Varsho 1+ hit (-134)

This is a market I like to hunt in the postseason, as the lines get light against elite starting pitching.

Glasnow fits the bill and should be a tall order for Toronto. Like any pitcher, though, he’s not allergic to contact.

A big reason I like Varsho is that he faces no threat of being a late-inning replacement due to his valued defence. That means he should see four-plus trips to the plate.

Glasnow does have big swing and miss, but asking for one knock at this price is worth it, in my opinion.

-> Bet on Daulton Varsho to deliver in Game 3

And while the left-handed hitting Varsho does get retired on strikes plenty, his K rate is down more than 4% in the playoffs.

He can’t get a hit without putting the ball in play, so this is semi-encouraging to me despite dealing with such a small sample.

Los Angeles is also down a key lefty in the later innings with Alex Vesia out of the series.

Varsho is 7-6 vs. this line in the postseason, hitting .255 over his 13 games. For context, that’s a better average than he’s had in any season of his career.

Key stat: Varsho has recorded a hit in three of his last four games, striking out three times total.

Blue Jays prop picks

Gimenez to score (+190): The shortstop has had his moments this postseason, but he remains a light hitter (.244 average, .292 on-base percentage).

His lack of walks (two in 13 games) really drives down that OBP. But Gimenez doesn’t strike out often and is entrenched as the No. 9 hitter.

I actually like that, as it puts him in front of Toronto’s most dangerous bats.

-> Back the Blue Jays to win Game 3!

If Gimenez gets on in the right situation, it could lead to him being on base ahead of George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette.

Toronto’s offence has been lethal this postseason. So I’m expecting at least a bounce back of sorts after getting dominated by Yoshinobu Yamamoto in Game 2.

And with Bichette battling back from a knee injury and Gimenez’s defence highly valued at short, he’s at virtually no risk of being replaced later in the game.

MLB prop bets

Smith 1+ RBI (+137): The all-star catcher occupies a prime middle-of-the-order spot. He has hit behind stars Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman in both games to start this series.

He’s delivered with four RBI.

Smith is coming off the best full season of his career and has continued to thrive in the playoffs. He’s recorded a hit in eight of 10 playoff games.

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Regular season: .296/.404/.497
Playoffs: .314/.400/.400

Since Game 1 of the NLCS, Smith is batting .409/.480/.585 with three multi-hit games. Behind those high-OBP guys, he’s in a great position to drive in runs.

And as well as Game 3 starter Scherzer threw in the ALCS, this should be seen as a favourable matchup for the Dodgers’ offence.

Los Angeles is a -205 favourite to win as of early Monday afternoon.

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers predictions made at 11:48 a.m. on 10/27/2025.

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