Staff Writer

Raptors vs. Lakers SGP predictions Jan. 18: Bet on Toronto to win behind Barnes and Quickley

The Toronto Raptors begin their four-game West Coast road trip on Sunday night in Los Angeles against the Lakers.

The pregame narrative: L.A. played yesterday and lost with Luka Doncic (groin) sidelined. It’s expected that Doncic will play the second leg of this back-to-back; however, he is listed as questionable at the time of writing. Toronto is 12-8 on the road this season, and is a slim 1-point favourite tonight.

Check out my Raptors vs. Lakers SGP predictions for Jan. 18, featuring Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley.

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Raptors vs. Lakers SGP

Parlay: Raptors moneyline | Barnes 8+ rebounds, Quickley 2+ threes (+275)

Raptors moneyline (-117): L.A. hasn’t released its injury report yet, but Doncic and Deandre Ayton are questionable after not playing yesterday, and Austin Reaves remains sidelined.

On top of that, 41-year-old LeBron James played 32 minutes last night. If he were to suit up this evening, it would be his fifth game in the last seven days.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on Raptors vs. Lakers now!

Toronto has its own injury issues, with Jakob Poeltl and RJ Barrett out, but I like the Raptors to win and expect them to get more production out of their depth pieces.

The Lakers have been on a cold streak heading into this game, dropping five of their last six games while playing awful defence.

In that span, L.A. has a 122.3 defensive rating (29th in the NBA).

The Raptors lost to the Clippers on Friday, but have won six of their last seven games following a defeat.

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NBA SGP legs

Barnes 8+ rebounds (-130): I think Barnes is due for a big night on the glass.

The power forward has gone under this mark in five straight, but landed on exactly seven rebounds three times.

He was on a five-game rebounding tear before that, going 4-1 vs. this line while averaging 13 rebounds per game.

-> Bet on Barnes and Quickley at NorthStar Bets

L.A. is a middle-of-the-pack rebounding team, and Ayton’s status will play a big role on if this line moves higher.

But even if Ayton plays, I like Barnes’ chances of feasting.

Barnes had 11 rebounds against L.A. when these teams met on Dec. 4, and is 5-1 against this line lifetime versus the Lakers.

Quickley 2+ threes (-445): Quickley is by far the most active 3-point shooter in Toronto’s lineup, averaging a team-high 7.2 threes per game.

He doesn’t shoot the lights out, but that shouldn’t matter for a line this low.

Case in point: Quickley has hit two-plus 3s in all six games this month, despite shooting 29.6% from deep.

Los Angeles has the fourth-worst 3-point defence in the NBA (37.4).

Raptors vs. Lakers SGP predictions made at 1:40 p.m. on Jan. 18, 2026.

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Miami vs. Indiana national championship SGP predictions: Bet on Indiana to win, Kaelon Black to score at +325

The college football season concludes on Monday with the No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers looking to cap off a historic season with a national title.

The pregame narrative: Curt Cignetti and Fernando Mendoza laid a beating on Oregon in the semifinal, and are now on the cusp of becoming the first 16-0 team in the sport’s history. The Hooisers are 8-point favourites against a Miami Hurricanes team which has pulled off a few upsets en route to the title game.

Check out my NCAA national championship predictions in this +325 SGP featuring Kaelon Black and Carson Beck.

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Miami vs. Indiana predictions

Parlay: Indiana moneyline | Black anytime TD | Beck 175+ passing yards (+325)

Indiana moneyline (-345): Indiana’s meteoric rise is unlike anything college fans have ever seen. The Hooisers went from being a perennial Big 10 doormat to the country’s best team within two years of Cignetti’s guidance.

This isn’t some fluke story; this is a program which has completely changed directions and will stay on top for a while.

The Hooisers have the No. 2 scoring offence and defence in the country, beating teams by an average of 31.5 PPG. Yes, 31.5 PPG.

Indiana crushed Alabama, 38-3, in the quarterfinal before dismantling Oregon, 56-22, in the semis.

Neither defence had an answer for Mendoza’s elite play, as the Heisman winner completed over 85.0% of his passes for eight touchdowns and no interceptions in the playoff games.

-> Check out NorthStar Bets’ College Football Playoff prop markets

Miami is a great team, but Indiana is a cut above. I’ll take the favourites to win this one.

College Football Playoff picks

Black to score (+110): Black isn’t a stereotypical bell cow back, splitting time with his fellow supersenior Roman Hemby. Usually, that would be discouraging for a TD pick. But everybody on Indiana’s offence is eating right now.

Black turned 12 carries into 63 yards and two touchdowns in the Peach Bowl against Oregon. He has now scored eight touchdowns in his last seven games.

The 5-foot-10, 210-pound senior has pounded in three of those scores from the one-yard line.

I’m encouraged by the goal-line usage for Black, but also know he can hit a home run play.

He has a 20-plus yard run in 10 of 16 games this year, and should be able to exploit Miami’s middling run defence.

-> Bet on Indiana to beat Oregon in the Peach Bowl

The Hurricanes’ D ranks 79th in EPA per rush and 14th in EPA per play, per Game on Paper.

Ducks vs. Hoosiers predictions

Beck 175+ passing yards (-245): Beck is going to have to air it out if Miami is trailing, as I fully expect it to be. Just last week, Oregon’s Dante Moore threw for 285 yards on 39 attempts in a blowout loss.

Moore is a better pure passer than Beck, but the Georgia transfer has been fairly consistent against this line and has solid weapons out wide.

-> Bet now on No. vs. No. 1 Indiana

Beck is 12-3 against this teased-down milestone, most recently throwing for 268 yards against the Ole Miss Rebels in the Fiesta Bowl.

The game script should work in our favour, but so should the game plan.

Indiana allows the third-fewest rushing yards per game, meaning Mario Cristobal should be inclined to let Beck loose.

Miami vs. Indiana predictions made at 12:25 p.m. ET on Jan. 18, 2025.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 18: Back Kevin Durant and LaMelo Ball on Sunday

Kevin Durant and LaMelo Ball headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Durant has been on a tear for the Houston Rockets, and can do damage against the bottom-feeding New Orleans Pelicans. Elsewhere, expect Ball to stay red-hot from beyond the arc.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 18, featuring a pick on Chicago’s Matas Buzelis.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 18

Best bet: Durant over 25.5 points (-125)

Houston is a big favourite in this matchup, setting the table for a game with blowout potential.

That’s what the -13.5 spread indicates, at least. But I’m not worried about that.

The Rockets are 3-5 in their last eight games with zero double-digit wins. That’s no fault of Durant, who averaged 29.5 points while shooting 49.7% from the field during that span.

The future Hall of Famer has been an incredibly consistent scorer in his 18th season, reaching another gear lately.

He is 8-3 against this mark in his last 11 games, scoring 30-plus points six times.

-> Bet on Kevin Durant vs. the Pelicans!

KD has a sky-high shot volume, which is always nice, and now goes up against a Pelicans team which struggles to defend the mid-range.

New Orleans has the fourth-worst mid-range defence (45.9%) and the third-worst defensive rating (119.2) in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.

Durant takes 60% of his shots from the mid-range. That ranks in the 99th percentile among all forwards.

I don’t expect the Rockets to boatrace a Pelicans team which has kept five straight games within double digits.

That means Durant will get ample opportunities to fill the net.

Key stat: Durant has cleared this mark in four of his last six home games.

Best NBA picks

Ball 4+ threes (+110): When Ball and Kon Knueppel get hot at the same time, watch out.

The former is doing his part to make it rain from beyond-the-arc, putting up some ridiculous numbers since returning from injury on Dec. 18:

4.5 makes/game
10.1 attempts/game
44.7 3PT%

-> Full betting markets for Sunday’s NBA slate

Ball is 10-6 against this line in that span, and is two games removed from hitting nine 3s against the Los Angeles Lakers.

His opponent tonight, the Denver Nuggets, doesn’t give up a ton from deep, but is also playing on a back-to-back without Christian Braun and Nikola Jokic.

Ball is also playing on no rest, but he’s a career 39.8% three-point shooter on back-to-backs.

Buzelis over 16.5 points (-118): Buzelis gets another crack at the Brooklyn Nets following a disappointing showing on Friday, where he shot 4-for-15 from the field.

Still, the Lithuanian finished just shy of this mark with 15 points.

In his last eight games when playing 20-plus minutes, Buzelis is averaging 19.2 points and is 6-2 against this line. He scored exactly 15 points in both of the outliers.

That’s a great floor to work with, and one he should exceed against Brooklyn.

The Nets have a bottom-10 defensive rating and give up the ninth-most points per game to opposing power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

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NBA prop picks made at 10 a.m. ET on Jan. 18, 2026.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 18: Back Kevin Durant and LaMelo Ball on Sunday

Kevin Durant and LaMelo Ball headline Sunday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Durant has been on a tear for the Houston Rockets, and can do damage against the bottom-feeding New Orleans Pelicans. Elsewhere, expect Ball to stay red-hot from beyond the arc.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 18, featuring a pick on Chicago’s Matas Buzelis.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 18

Best bet: Durant 25+ points (-125)

Houston is a big favourite in this matchup, setting the table for a game with blowout potential.

That’s what the -13.5 spread indicates, at least. But I’m not worried about that.

The Rockets are 3-5 in their last eight games with zero double-digit wins. That’s no fault of Durant, who averaged 29.5 points while shooting 49.7% from the field during that span.

The future Hall of Famer has been an incredibly consistent scorer in his 18th season, reaching another gear lately.

He is 9-3 against this mark in his last 12 games, scoring 30-plus points six times.

-> Bet on Kevin Durant vs. the Pelicans!

KD has a sky-high shot volume, which is always nice, and now goes up against a Pelicans team which struggles to defend the mid-range.

New Orleans has the fourth-worst mid-range defence (45.9%) and the third-worst defensive rating (119.2) in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.

Durant takes 60% of his shots from the mid-range. That ranks in the 99th percentile among all forwards.

I don’t expect the Rockets to boatrace a Pelicans team which has kept five straight games within double digits.

That means Durant will get ample opportunities to fill the net.

Key stat: Durant has cleared this mark in four of his last six home games.

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Best NBA picks

Ball 4+ threes (+114): When Ball and Kon Knueppel get hot at the same time, watch out.

The former is doing his part to make it rain from beyond-the-arc, putting up some ridiculous numbers since returning from injury on Dec. 18:

4.5 makes/game
10.1 attempts/game
44.7 3PT%

-> Full betting markets for Sunday’s NBA slate

Ball is 10-6 against this line in that span, and is two games removed from hitting nine 3s against the Los Angeles Lakers.

His opponent tonight, the Denver Nuggets, doesn’t give up a ton from deep, but is also playing on a back-to-back without Christian Braun and Nikola Jokic.

Ball is also playing on no rest, but he’s a career 39.8% three-point shooter on back-to-backs.

Buzelis over 15.5 points (-105): Buzelis gets another crack at the Brooklyn Nets following a disappointing showing on Friday, where he shot 4-for-15 from the field.

Still, the Lithuanian finished just shy of this mark with 15 points.

In his last eight games when playing 20-plus minutes, Buzelis is averaging 19.2 points and is 6-2 against this line. He scored exactly 15 points in both of the outliers.

That’s a great floor to work with, and one he should exceed against Brooklyn.

The Nets have a bottom-10 defensive rating and give up the ninth-most points per game to opposing power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

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NBA prop picks made at 10 a.m. ET on Jan. 18, 2026.

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Australian Open 2026 first-round picks and predictions: Best bets for Zverev vs. Diallo, Alcaraz vs. Walton

The Australian Open begins on Saturday with some big names looking to start the tennis year off right.

The pregame narrative: Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz traded major victories back and forth last season, with the former winning in Australia. Alcaraz needs a victory in Melbourne to complete the career grand slam, and opens his tournament as a massive favourite over Adam Walton.

Check out my top Australian Open predictions for the first-round matchups, featuring a pick on Canadian Gabriel Diallo.

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Australian Open predictions

Best bet: Diallo +2.5 sets (-132)

Diallo is a nightmare draw for No. 3-seed Alexander Zverev, who must be getting desperate for that elusive grand slam win.

The German has never won one of tennis’ crown jewels despite his elite talent level. He failed to reach the quarterfinal in each of the last two majors, losing in the opening round at Wimbledon last year.

-> Bet on Diallo against Zverev at the Australian Open

Diallo has a massive serve and some impressive performances under his belt already.

The 6-foot-8 Canadian won the Libema Open, pushed Taylor Fritz to five sets at the All England Club, and went the distance against Alex de Minaur at the Rolex Paris Masters.

Do I think he can beat Zverev? No. But winning a set shouldn’t be too much to ask.

Expect a strong service game to carry Diallo to a set win.

Key stat: Diallo has won a set in three of his five matches against ATP top-six-ranked players. He also forced Jannik Sinner to a tiebreak at the Cincinnati Masters.

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Aussie Open: Alcaraz vs. Walton tennis pick

Alcaraz -9.5 games (-110): Alcaraz tends to start tournaments slowly and play with his food.

He doesn’t actually lose, like Zverev, but we saw him struggle in the opening round at each of the last three Grand Slams.

He needed five sets to get past Fabio Fognini at Wimbledon, and failed to cover this line at the French Open (vs. Giulio Zeppieri) and U.S. Open (vs. Reilly Opelka).

-> Bet on Alcaraz to cruise in the opening round

But the buck should stop here against ATP No. 79-ranked Walton.

Walton got demolished on the ATP Tour last year, posting a 13-20 record while going ice cold down the stretch.

He started this year in bad form, too, losing in the first round at the Brisbane International, 6-3, 6-2.

Alcaraz has a career 37-2 record in five-set matches against players outside of the ATP top 50.

The Spaniard won each of his last 12 against that level of competition, covering this game spread five times while winning by nine games twice.

With the added fuel of a career grand slam on the line, Alcaraz should leave no doubt in his opener.

Australian Open predictions made at 4:45 p.m. on Jan. 16, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 16: Back Domantas Sabonis in his return, Derik Queen vs. Pacers

Three big men are the focus of Friday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Domantas Sabonis was a full participant in practice yesterday and is eyeing a return tonight against the Washington Wizards. The three-time rebounding champ should be active on the glass. Elsewhere, look for rookie Derik Queen to stuff the stat sheet against the Indiana Pacers.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 16, featuring a bet on Cleveland’s Evan Mobley.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 16

Best bet: Queen over 23.5 points/rebounds/assists (-130)

Queen’s production can fluctuate wildly on a nightly basis, but his per-game PRA average is right around this line:

12.5 PPG
7.5 RPG
4.5 APG

Putting up 24.5 PRA as a rookie centre on an awful team is no small feat. The No. 13 pick out of Maryland has been dubbed “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference, for his high ceiling as a do-it-all big.

Is that wildly premature and a little bit disrespectful to the real thing? Sure. But Queen has nine double-doubles and two triple-doubles this year, along with two 30-point games.

-> Bet on Derik Queen vs. Pacers!

Tonight’s matchup is perfect for Queen to have a Jokic-esque game.

Indiana has the second-worst rebounding rate in the NBA and plays at the 10th-fastest pace (possessions per 48 minutes), per NBA.com.

The Pacers also give up the ninth-most points and assists per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Queen smashed this line in his lone meeting with Indiana this year. He had 17 points, 10 rebounds and four assists on 8-of-8 shooting.

Best NBA picks

Sabonis over 9.5 rebounds (-118): Sabonis has led the league in rebounding in each of the last three seasons, with absurd marks over the last two campaigns:

2023-24: 13.7 RPG
2024-25: 13.9 RPG

The big man missed 27 games with a partial meniscus tear, so he will likely be eased back into action — especially since his name is floating around some serious trade rumours.

-> Full betting markets for Friday’s NBA slate

But I expect Sabonis to clear this line even on a minutes restriction.

He’s the world’s best rebounder and is going up against an undersized Wizards team missing Khris Middleton and Bilal Coulibaly.

Washington gives up the most rebounds per game to opposing centres (16.63).

NBA player prop predictions

Mobley over 1.5 blocks (-154)): I don’t typically recommend these types of bets, but the reigning Defensive Player of the Year has been on a tear since returning from injury and re-entering Cleveland’s starting lineup on Dec. 29:

2.8 blocks/game
7-2 vs. this line

Mobley has recorded five “stocks” (steals plus blocks) in back-to-back games, logging four blocks and a steal against the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday.

He plays the Sixers again tonight, and I love the value on a repeat performance.

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NBA prop picks made at 9:55 a.m. ET on Jan. 16, 2026.

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Texans vs. Patriots divisional round SGP picks: Bet on Drake Maye, Woody Marks at +360

The Houston Texans and New England Patriots battle for a spot in the AFC Championship game on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: This figures to be a defensive battle, with the lowest over/under (40.5) on the divisional round slate. New England is a 3-point home favourite as expectant MVP finalist Drake Maye is tasked with beating the league’s No. 1 scoring defence.

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Check out my Texans vs. Patriots picks, featuring predictions on Maye and Woody Marks.

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Texans vs. Patriots picks

SGP: Patriots +5.5 | Maye 250+ passing and rushing yards | Marks 40+ rushing yards | Under 49.5 points (+360)

Patriots +5.5 (-375): I expect the Patriots to win this game, but will buy a boatload of points teasing them through to a field goal-plus underdog.

C.J. Stroud did everything in his power to lose last week’s wild-card game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, throwing an interception and losing two fumbles.

The Texans’ elite defence bailed him out, but I don’t trust the Ohio State product in the slightest.

Stroud is 7-8 in outdoor road games, with an 83.9 passer rating. For context, that 83.9 rating would rank 36th among QBs with five-plus starts this year, right between Geno Smith and Dillon Gabriel.

-> Bet on the NFL divisional round

New England has covered this mark in 15 straight games since Week 4, going 14-1 straight up.

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Texans vs. Patriots prop predictions

Maye 250+ passing and rushing yards (-139): Maye was named second-team All-Pro last week, indicating he might finish runner-up to Matthew Stafford in MVP voting.

Is that fair? Take a look at Maye’s stats and judge for yourself:

1st in completion percentage (72.0%)
1st in passer rating (113.5)
1st in completion percentage above expected (+10.8)
1st in rushing + passing yards per game (284.9)

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Stafford had more passing yards and passing touchdowns, but Maye made up for that by using his legs like Josh Allen.

The signal caller is 15-3 against this line and had north of 300 total yards against the Chargers last week. Houston’s defence is elite, but L.A.’s isn’t far off.

I expect Maye to rise to the occasion.

Marks 40+ rushing yards (-335): Marks had a career game last week, totalling 112 yards and a score on 19 carries against the Steelers.

The rookie has now reached this milestone in eight of his last nine games. The outlier was a seven-carry, 30-yard outing against the Arizona Cardinals, where he left in the first half with an injury.

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Marks is a fan of the medical tent, so injury risk could be a factor on Sunday.

But I’m not going to play hypotheticals. Marks looked great last week and should have no problem reaching this teased-down milestone.

SGP prediction: NFL ATS pick

Under 49.5 points (-360): Finally, I’m teasing up the under big time to raise this SGP from +200 to +360.

As mentioned, I don’t expect the Texans to do much offensively. Stroud has been a consistent negative on the road, and Houston needed multiple defensive scores to crack 30 points last week.

The under on this total is 8-1 in games the Texans have played against playoff teams this year (including last week’s game vs. Pittsburgh).

The only outlier was a matchup at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Outdoors, on the road, Houston will try to turn this matchup into a rock fight.

Texans vs. Patriots picks made at 12 p.m. on Jan. 16, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 16: Back Domantas Sabonis in his return, Derik Queen vs. Pacers

Three big men are the focus of Friday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Domantas Sabonis was a full participant in practice yesterday and is eyeing a return tonight against the Washington Wizards. The three-time rebounding champ should be active on the glass. Elsewhere, look for rookie Derik Queen to stuff the stat sheet against the Indiana Pacers.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Jan. 16, featuring a bet on Cleveland’s Evan Mobley.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 16

Best bet: Queen over 23.5 points/rebounds/assists (-130)

Queen’s production can fluctuate wildly on a nightly basis, but his per-game PRA average is right around this line:

12.5 PPG
7.5 RPG
4.5 APG

Putting up 24.5 PRA as a rookie centre on an awful team is no small feat. The No. 13 pick out of Maryland has been dubbed “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference, for his high ceiling as a do-it-all big.

Is that wildly premature and a little bit disrespectful to the real thing? Sure. But Queen has nine double-doubles and two triple-doubles this year, along with two 30-point games.

-> Bet on Derik Queen vs. Pacers!

Tonight’s matchup is perfect for Queen to have a Jokic-esque game.

Indiana has the second-worst rebounding rate in the NBA and plays at the 10th-fastest pace (possessions per 48 minutes), per NBA.com.

The Pacers also give up the ninth-most points and assists per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Queen smashed this line in his lone meeting with Indiana this year. He had 17 points, 10 rebounds and four assists on 8-of-8 shooting.

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Best NBA picks

Sabonis over 9.5 rebounds (+106): Sabonis has led the league in rebounding in each of the last three seasons, with absurd marks over the last two campaigns:

2023-24: 13.7 RPG
2024-25: 13.9 RPG

The big man missed 27 games with a partial meniscus tear, so he will likely be eased back into action — especially since his name is floating around some serious trade rumours.

-> Full betting markets for Friday’s NBA slate

But I expect Sabonis to clear this line even on a minutes restriction.

He’s the world’s best rebounder and is going up against an undersized Wizards team missing Khris Middleton and Bilal Coulibaly.

Washington gives up the most rebounds per game to opposing centres (16.63).

NBA player prop predictions

Mobley over 2.5 steals and blocks (+100): I don’t typically recommend these types of bets, but the reigning Defensive Player of the Year has been on a tear since returning from injury and re-entering Cleveland’s starting lineup on Dec. 29:

2.8 blocks/game
1.1 steals/game
7-2 vs. this line

Mobley has recorded five “stocks” (steals plus blocks) in back-to-back games, logging four blocks and a steal against the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday.

He plays the Sixers again tonight, and I love the value on a repeat performance.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on tonight’s NBA prop markets!

NBA prop picks made at 9:55 a.m. ET on Jan. 16, 2026.

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Knicks vs. Warriors SGP predictions Jan. 15: Back Karl-Anthony Towns and Steph Curry on Thursday night

The New York Knicks battle the Golden State Warriors in Thursday’s marquee matchup.

The pregame narrative: Golden State is laying 7.5 points as it catches a slumping New York on a back-to-back. The Knicks just lost outright as double-digit favourites to the Sacramento Kings with Jalen Brunson exiting early due to an ankle injury.

Check out my Knicks vs. Warriors SGP picks for Jan. 15, featuring Steph Curry and Karl-Anthony Towns.

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Knicks vs. Warriors SGP

Parlay: Warriors -3.5 | Curry 4+ threes | Towns 12+ rebounds (+275)

Warriors -3.5 (-186): I can’t trust the Knicks right now after backing them to cover against the Kings yesterday. Especially without Brunson.

New York ended up losing by 11 points last night, a 21.5-point swing off the game spread. Take a look at the team’s updated road stats:

8-11 SU record (1-4 in their last five games)
5-14 ATS record (last in NBA)
118.8 defensive rating (24th in NBA)

Sacramento is one of the league’s bottom-feeders, so it seemed like a good spot for New York to buck that trend. But the Knicks couldn’t, and I fully expect their road woes to continue in San Francisco.

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The Warriors have won three of their last four games and have a stellar 14-6 record at Chase Center.

Embed: #122811

NBA SGP legs

Curry 4+ threes (-335): I’ve run out of words to describe Curry. So just take a look at his 3-point numbers since returning from injury on Dec. 12:

4.5 threes/game
11.8 attempts/game
38.4 3PT%

The Hall-of-Fame-bound guard is 10-5 against this line in that span, and he has a Grade-A matchup tonight.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on Curry against the Knicks now!

New York has the sixth-worst 3-point defence in the NBA (37.1%). Curry has cleared this mark in nine straight games against the Knicks, averaging 5.3 threes on 38.7% shooting.

Towns 12+ rebounds (-141): All year long, I’ve been backing opposing big men against the Warriors. Why? They simply don’t have the size to contend on the glass.

Quinten Post is the only player above 6-foot-8 logging meaningful minutes for Golden State, and the 7-footer averages more 3-point attempts (4.5) than rebounds (3.8).

Unsurprisingly, the Warriors give up the fifth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Towns is a monster in the paint and is third in rebounding this season (11.2/game).

He’s also performed well on back-to-backs this season, averaging 14.3 rebounds and going 3-0 against this line.

I expect KAT to eat tonight.

Knicks vs. Warriors SGP predictions made at 12:45 p.m. on Jan. 15, 2026.

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Bills vs. Broncos divisional round SGP predictions: Bet on Buffalo to win behind Josh Allen at +350

The NFL divisional round begins with a pick’em as the top-seeded Denver Broncos host the Buffalo Bills.

The pregame narrative: Buffalo, fresh off its first road playoff win in the Josh Allen era, faces the well-rested Broncos at Mile High. Denver posted an 8-1 record at home and aims to avenge last year’s playoff defeat to the Bills in Orchard Park.

Check out my Bills vs. Broncos picks, featuring Allen and RJ Harvey.

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Bills vs. Broncos picks

SGP: Bills moneyline | Allen 200+ passing passing yards | Harvey 40+ rushing yards (+350)

Bills moneyline (-104): I expected the Jacksonville Jaguars to win last week, and Allen just wouldn’t let that happen.

The reigning MVP put forth a heroic performance to topple a Jags team that entered the playoffs on an eight-game winning streak.

In that span, Jacksonville won by an average of 19.1 points and beat the Broncos by 14 in Denver. If you want to play the common opponent game, Buffalo is looking pretty good.

-> Bet on the NFL divisional round!

It’s hard to argue that the Broncos are juggernauts, despite their seeding. Only four of their 14 wins came by two scores, and their offence averaged a middling 23.6 PPG.

I’ll take Allen to out-duel Bo Nix any day of the week.

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Bills vs. Broncos prop prediction

Allen 200+ passing yards (-167): There is no such thing as a “free leg” in sports betting, but this feels pretty safe to me.

In fact, I nearly considered including Allen to record 225+ passing yards at plus money, which would raise this SGPs payout to +525.

Just look at his playoff passing numbers:

259.4 yards/game
200+ yards in 12 of 14 games
225+ yards in 10 of 14 games

Allen has obliterated this milestone in all five of his road playoff games, averaging 278 passing yards and a 97.7 passer rating.

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He just had 273 yards against the Jaguars’ elite defence and should keep at it on Saturday.

SGP prediction: Fade Buffalo’s rush defence

Harvey 40+ rushing yards (-360): Buffalo’s one big weakness is its rush defence. Luckily for the Bills, Denver doesn’t have much of a rush attack to speak of with J.K. Dobbins sidelined.

Still, Sean Payton will at least want to try to pound the rock.

Buffalo’s run defence ranked in the bottom five in yards per attempt (5.1), yards per game (136.2), and EPA per rush during the regular season.

Both of Jacksonville’s RBs (Travis Etienne and Bhayshul Tuten) had 50+ rushing yards in the wild-card round.

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Enter Harvey, who is expected to get the bulk of carries for Denver on Saturday.

The 24-year-old averaged 14.2 rushes and 52.2 yards in his final five games of the season. Not super efficient, but he went up against some tough defences (Chargers, Chiefs, Jaguars, Packers).

Harvey should smash this mark against Buffalo.

Bills vs. Broncos picks made at 10 a.m. on Jan. 15, 2025.

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