Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks Nov. 2: Back Immanuel Quickley from deep

Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks

The Toronto Raptors host the Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday night.

The latest: Toronto snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday and is favoured to win again at Scotiabank Arena. The Grizzlies are without superstar Ja Morant, who has been suspended internally for conduct detrimental to the team.

Check out these Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Nov. 2 in Toronto, featuring Immanuel Quickley and Jaren Jackson Jr.

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Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Quickley 3+ threes (+110)

Long gone are the days of Memphis being a defensively sound powerhouse.

It’s far from it, actually. The Grizzlies are 21st in defensive rating, 18th in rebounding rate, and 25th in opponent points per game (122.0).

Morant was suspended after lashing out at coaches following a particularly tough loss to the Los Angeles Lakers, where they gave up 117 points and blew a 15-point lead.

-> Bet on Immanuel Quickley props at NorthStar Bets

With all that said, Quickley and Co. should be licking their chops as the dysfunctional Grizzlies roll into town.

Toronto’s point guard has had a rough start to the season, shooting 25.0% from deep while going 1-5 against this line.

But Quickley has big scoring upside, and is a career 37.3% three-point shooter. He has averaged 2.6 three-point makes on 6.9 attempts (37.9%) since joining the Raptors.

This seems like a perfect matchup for him to break out.

Key stat: Memphis is giving up the second-most 3s per game to point guards, per Fantasy Pros.

-> Wager on Sunday’s loaded eight-game NBA slate

Jackson Jr. prop bet

Jackson over 6.5 rebounds (+110): Jackson really should be a bigger factor on the glass, given his size.

The 6-foot-10, 240-pound power forward, aka “The Block Panther,” is a defensive menace, but has never averaged north of 6.8 rebounds in a season.

But he’ll be among the biggest players on the court on Sunday with Jakob Poeltl sidelined for Toronto and Zach Edey out for Memphis.

-> Bet on Grizzlies vs. Raptors player props

The Raptors have the fourth-worst rebounding rate in the NBA, and won’t be starting a player above 6-foot-9.

JJJ should get a ton of run with Morant out, and I’m hoping that leads to many rebounding opportunities.

Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks made at 1 p.m. ET on 11/02/2025.

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Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks Nov. 2: Back Immanuel Quickley from deep

Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks

The Toronto Raptors host the Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday night.

The latest: Toronto snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday and is favoured to win again at Scotiabank Arena. The Grizzlies are without superstar Ja Morant, who has been suspended internally for conduct detrimental to the team.

Check out these Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Nov. 2 in Toronto, featuring Immanuel Quickley and Jaren Jackson Jr.

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Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Quickley 3+ threes (+138)

Long gone are the days of Memphis being a defensively sound powerhouse.

It’s far from it, actually. The Grizzlies are 21st in defensive rating, 18th in rebounding rate, and 25th in opponent points per game (122.0).

Morant was suspended after lashing out at coaches following a particularly tough loss to the Los Angeles Lakers, where they gave up 117 points and blew a 15-point lead.

-> Bet on Immanuel Quickley props at NorthStar Bets

With all that said, Quickley and Co. should be licking their chops as the dysfunctional Grizzlies roll into town.

Toronto’s point guard has had a rough start to the season, shooting 25.0% from deep while going 1-5 against this line.

But Quickley has big scoring upside, and is a career 37.3% three-point shooter. He has averaged 2.6 three-point makes on 6.9 attempts (37.9%) since joining the Raptors.

This seems like a perfect matchup for him to break out.

Key stat: Memphis is giving up the second-most 3s per game to point guards, per Fantasy Pros.

Embed: #120574

-> Wager on Sunday’s loaded eight-game NBA slate

Jackson Jr. prop bet

Jackson over 5.5 rebounds (-120): Jackson really should be a bigger factor on the glass, given his size.

The 6-foot-10, 240-pound power forward, aka “The Block Panther,” is a defensive menace, but has never averaged north of 6.8 rebounds in a season.

But he’ll be among the biggest players on the court on Sunday with Jakob Poeltl sidelined for Toronto and Zach Edey out for Memphis.

-> Bet on Grizzlies vs. Raptors player props!

The Raptors have the fourth-worst rebounding rate in the NBA, and won’t be starting a player above 6-foot-9.

JJJ should get a ton of run with Morant out, and I’m hoping that leads to many rebounding opportunities.

Grizzlies vs. Raptors prop picks made at 1 p.m. ET on 11/02/2025.

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Heat vs. Lakers SGP predictions Nov. 2: Back Reaves and fade Jaquez in +310 ticket

Heat vs. Lakers predictions

Sunday’s NBA slate wraps up in Los Angeles when the Lakers host the Miami Heat.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles has been rolling without LeBron James largely thanks to the stellar play of Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves. The Lakers are favoured at home tonight against a 3-2 Heat squad beginning a California road trip.

Check out my Heat vs. Lakers SGP predictions for Nov. 2, featuring Reaves and Jaime Jaquez Jr.

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Heat vs. Lakers predictions

Parlay: Lakers moneyline | Reaves 6+ assists | Jaquez under 12.5 points (+310)

Lakers moneyline (-195): Los Angeles is missing LeBron, but Doncic is the new sheriff in town.

The Slovenian superstar is averaging 45.3 points, 11.7 rebounds, and 7.7 assists in three games. Granted, it’s only three games, but Doncic’s offensive ceiling is among the highest in basketball.

With him and Reaves — who is averaging 32.0 PPG — leading the back court, I’m confident backing Los Angeles against most teams.

That’s especially true at home. The Lakers went 32-12 at Crypto.com Arena last year, which was tied for the third-best mark in basketball.

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Miami has started strong without its top scorer, Tyler Herro, but it feels overmatched here.

Embed: #120571

NBA SGP legs

Reaves 6+ assists (-167): Reaves went on a monster three-game heater when Doncic was sidelined, scoring 51 and 41 points, and netting a buzzer-beater in a 28-point outing against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Backing him as a scorer might seem tempting, but he takes far fewer shots when Doncic is in the lineup.

  • With Doncic: 15.0 FGA/game
  • Without Doncic: 22.6 FGA/game

Reaves averaged 8.0 assists in the three games with Doncic playing, and is 4-2 against this line on the season.

He’s playing a ton of minutes and should primarily be a facilitator this evening.

-> Bet on Reaves on Sunday night

Jaquez under 12.5 points (-125): Jaquez is off to a red-hot start with Miami.

The third-year guard is averaging 16.2 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists coming off the bench while shooting 62.3% at the field.

But I have good reason to fade him tonight.

Jaquez does the vast majority of his damage at the rim or in the short mid-range. Those are two areas of the court that Los Angeles defends very well, thanks to the acquisition of DeAndre Ayton.

The Lakers have the 10th-best rim defence and 11th-best short mid-range defence, per Cleaning the Glass.

Heat vs. Lakers predictions made at 3:30 p.m. ET 11/01/2025.

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Best NBA prop predictions Nov. 2: Fade Booker, back Maxey and Bridges on Sunday

NBA prop predictions

Sunday’s top NBA prop prediction is a fade on Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker’s point total.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Phoenix is a 5.5-point home underdog against Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs, an elite defensive squad. Elsewhere, I expect Tyrese Maxey and Mikal Bridges to keep stuffing the stat sheet.

Check out my favourite NBA player prop predictions for Nov. 2.

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NBA prop predictions

Best bet: Booker under 29.5 points (-118)

Booker has been on fire to start the season.

The guard is averaging 30.3 points on 49.2% shooting and is 5-1 against this line. With Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal gone, his volume is at a near-career high.

So, why fade him?

Booker has beaten up on a few bad teams (Kings, Jazz twice) and has landed between 31-32 points three times. He’s not smashing this total, and now faces arguably the best defensive team in basketball.

-> Fade Devin Booker at NorthStar Bets

San Antonio, led by Wembanyama, is second in defensive rating (104.2) and plays with the fourth-slowest pace, per NBA.com.

That means Booker will have fewer opportunities to score than usual, and his looks will be more challenging.

I think this is a good spot for some regression.

Key stat: The Spurs are giving up the fewest PPG (17.37) to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros.

More prop picks

Bridges over 8.5 rebounds and assists (+110): Bridges had a mediocre first season with the New York Knicks, but is looking like a bona fide stud right now:

  • 19.0 PPG
  • 6.2 RPG
  • 4.8 APG

The forward is 4-1 against this line, and just logged 10 R/A against the Chicago Bulls on Friday. That’s also the team New York is hosting tonight.

Bridges is leading New York with 36.8 minutes a night. He should turn those opportunities into another big night.

Maxey 4+ threes (+130): Maxey has been rolling, and is once again without Joel Embiid, who has played sparingly through the first few weeks of the season.

The Sixers guard tops the league in PPG (35.2) and is making 4.2 threes a night on 9.4 attempts (46.8%).

-> Bet on Maxey to clear his 3-point total

I’m happy to back him at this number if he’s going to shoot with that type of volume.

Maxey and Co. take on the Brooklyn Nets, who have allowed the seventh-most 3s per game to opposing point guards.

NBA player prop predictions made at 9:20 a.m. ET on 11/02/25.

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Best NBA prop predictions Nov. 2: Fade Booker, back Maxey and Bridges on Sunday

NBA prop predictions

Sunday’s top NBA prop prediction is a fade on Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker’s point total.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Phoenix is a 5.5-point home underdog against Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs, an elite defensive squad. Elsewhere, I expect Tyrese Maxey and Mikal Bridges to keep stuffing the stat sheet.

Check out my favourite NBA player prop predictions for Nov. 2.

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NBA prop predictions

Best bet: Booker under 27.5 points (-107)

Booker has been on fire to start the season.

The guard is averaging 30.3 points on 49.2% shooting and is 5-1 against this line. With Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal gone, his volume is at a near-career high.

So, why fade him?

Booker has beaten up on a few bad teams (Kings, Jazz twice) and has landed between 31-32 points three times. He’s not smashing this total, and now faces arguably the best defensive team in basketball.

-> Fade Devin Booker at NorthStar Bets

San Antonio, led by Wembanyama, is second in defensive rating (104.2) and plays with the fourth-slowest pace, per NBA.com.

That means Booker will have fewer opportunities to score than usual, and his looks will be more challenging.

I think this is a good spot for some regression.

Key stat: The Spurs are giving up the fewest PPG (17.37) to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros.

Embed: #120544

More prop picks

Bridges over 8.5 rebounds and assists (+100): Bridges had a mediocre first season with the New York Knicks, but is looking like a bona fide stud right now:

  • 19.0 PPG
  • 6.2 RPG
  • 4.8 APG

The forward is 4-1 against this line, and just logged 10 R/A against the Chicago Bulls on Friday. That’s also the team New York is hosting tonight.

Bridges is leading New York with 36.8 minutes a night. He should turn those opportunities into another big night.

Maxey 4+ threes (+100): Maxey has been rolling, and is once again without Joel Embiid, who has played sparingly through the first few weeks of the season.

The Sixers guard tops the league in PPG (35.2) and is making 4.2 threes a night on 9.4 attempts (46.8%).

-> Bet on Maxey to clear his 3-point total

I’m happy to back him at this number if he’s going to shoot with that type of volume.

Maxey and Co. take on the Brooklyn Nets, who have allowed the seventh-most 3s per game to opposing point guards.

NBA player prop predictions made at 9:20 a.m. ET on 11/02/25.

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NFL Week 9 betting guide: Player prop recommendations, parlay picks and more for every game

NFL Week 9 betting guide

The NFL calendar rolls into November, with several must-see games on tap in Week 9.

Week 9 at a glance: The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills renew their rivalry on Sunday in Orchard Park. Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen have treated fans to a handful of classics, and this one should be no different. Buffalo is one of seven home underdogs on the slate.

Check out our NFL Week 9 betting guide for staff picks and predictions on the loaded 13-game slate.

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-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on NFL Week 9

NFL Week 9 betting guide: predictions

ATS picks: Get ATS predictions from five different staff writers on every game of the week.

NFL Week 9 best bets: Jahmyr Gibbs has been rumbling, and Avery Perri is targeting him on the prop market against the Minnesota Vikings. Read why, and get two ATS picks and a moneyline bet.

Anytime TD picks: Three wide receivers, including red-zone-target hog Davante Adams, are the selections for Jordan Horrobin’s Week 9 TD picks.

Prop bets: Allen tends to take matters into his own hands when he faces the Chiefs. With that in mind, a plus-money price for him to score has Horrobin’s attention.

Chiefs vs. Bills SGP: Buffalo has dominated the regular-season meetings between these teams, but Perri doesn’t care. Read why he’s backing Kansas City to win in this +360 wager.

Seahawks vs. Commanders SNF picks: Can Jaxon Smith-Njigba stay hot? Horrobin thinks so and is backing the wideout to cook in a plus matchup.

Seahawks vs. Commanders SNF SGP: Washington needs a win in the worst way. Steven Psihogios expects the Commanders to keep it close – and for Deebo Samuel to shine – in a +425 ticket.

Cardinals vs. Cowboys MNF picks: Dallas’ offence is flying high, and Perri thinks that will lead to a win and cover for the Cowboys.

Cardinals vs. Cowboys MNF SGP: Dallas can score, but its defence is also one of the worst in the NFL. Psihogios expects a close game and a big performance from Marvin Harrison Jr. in his +310 ticket.

NFL Week 9 betting notes

  • Kansas City is 5-1 in its last six games with a +94 point differential. In that span, the Chiefs rank second in offensive and defensive EPA per play, according to RBSDM.com.
  • This is only the third time in the last five seasons that Buffalo is a home underdog. The Bills won both of those games outright and are 35-8 straight up at Highmark Stadium in that span.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have scored 270 pts with a +116 point differential through eight games. They face a Pittsburgh Steelers team which has allowed 30+ points in consecutive weeks.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on NFL Week 9 here!

-> Don’t miss out — bet on NFL Week 9 here!

  • The Seattle Seahawks are 10-1 on the road since the start of last season, including a 3-0 record (SU and ATS) this year. They battle a Washington Commanders team getting QB Jayden Daniels back from injury.
  • Teams are 0-7 ATS this year after playing the New York Jets (and 18-37 ATS over the last four seasons), per Action Network. The Cincinnati Bengals look to buck that trend against the Chicago Bears.

Biggest spreads: Saints vs. Rams (-14); Panthers vs. Packers (-13); Chargers (-9.5) vs. Titans

Highest totals: Cardinals vs. Cowboys (53); Chiefs vs. Bills (52.5); Colts vs. Steelers (50.5)

NFL Week 9 matchups

-> Bet on Allen and Mahomes at NorthStar Bets!

-> Bet on Allen and Mahomes at NorthStar Bets!

Sunday, Nov. 2: 1 p.m. ET slate

  • Broncos vs. Texans
  • Colts vs. Steelers
  • 49ers vs. Giants
  • Panthers vs. Packers
  • Vikings vs. Lions
  • Chargers vs. Titans
  • Falcons vs. Patriots
  • Bears vs. Bengals

Sunday, Nov. 2: 4 p.m. ET slate

  • Jaguars vs. Raiders
  • Saints vs. Rams
  • Chiefs vs. Bills

Embed: #120506

Embed: #120507

Sunday Night Football

  • Seahawks vs.Commanders (8:20 p.m. ET)

Monday Night Football (Nov. 3)

  • Cardinals vs. Cowboys (8:15 p.m. ET)

Week 9 byes: Cleveland Browns, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Cardinals vs. Cowboys Week 9 Monday Night Football picks: Back Dallas ATS, George Pickens to clear receiving total

Cardinals vs. Cowboys picks

NFL Week 9 wraps up at Jerry World when the Dallas Cowboys host the Arizona Cardinals.

The pregame narrative: Both teams enter this contest with losing records, but Dallas can draw back to .500 with a win. The Cowboys are favoured by a field goal at home behind an elite offence averaging the second-most points per game.

Check out my Cardinals vs. Cowboys picks for Nov. 2, featuring a prop bet on George Pickens.

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Cardinals vs. Cowboys picks

Best Bet: Cowboys -3 (-113)

Dallas’ offence is an electric factory so far, and I want in.

  • 2nd in scoring (30.8)
  • 2nd in yards per game (384.1)
  • 5th in EPA per play

Dak Prescott is playing MVP-calibre football, ranking third in passing yards (2,069) and first in QBR (79.5). CeeDee Lamb and Pickens have proven to be an unguardable 1-2 punch, and I can’t imagine the Cardinals’ defence will buck that trend.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Monday Night Football!

Arizona is on a five-game losing streak and has given up 27 and 31 points in its last two games against comparable offences (Colts, Packers).

The elephant in the room here is Dallas’ defence, which has allowed the second-most points (31.3) and yards (404.6) per game.

But Arizona will be without Kyler Murray, again, meaning Jacoby Brissett will get the ball.

As far as backups go, Brissett is elite. But I can’t foresee him outperforming Prescott and Co. on the road in what should be a shootout.

Key stat: Dallas is 2-0 at home when Lamb has played this year, averaging 42 PPG.

Embed: #120539

Monday Night Football prop pick

Pickens over 63.5 receiving yards (-113): Pickens has been an absolute dog this season, ranking third in receiving yards (685) with six touchdowns.

The first-year Cowboy did his best work with Lamb sidelined, but Pickens is still 3-1 against this number in games where his partner has played start to finish.

That includes the last two weeks, where Pickens had 78 yards and 82 yards.

-> Bet on Pickens against the Cardinals

Arizona’s defence ranks 21st in EPA per dropback. Pickens has had a 40-yard catch in three of his last four games. I expect him to make some big plays in prime time.

Cardinals vs. Cowboys picks made at 2:15 p.m. ET 11/01/2025.

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Best NBA prop predictions Nov. 1: Back Duren, Simons and DiVincenzo on Saturday

NBA prop predictions

My top NBA prop prediction from Saturday’s slate is from a Mexico City game between the Dallas Mavericks and Detroit Pistons.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Jalen Duren has established himself as an elite rebounder, and he faces a Mavericks squad dealing with injuries in its frontcourt. I expect him to clean the glass, and I’m also taking the overs on Anfernee Simons and Donte DiVincenzo’s 3-point totals.

Check out my favourite NBA player prop predictions for Nov. 1.

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NBA prop predictions

Best bet: Duren over 10.5 rebounds (-137)

Duren was a force on the glass from the second he joined the NBA, averaging 8.9 rebounds in 24.9 minutes a night in his rookie year with the Pistons.

He logged north of 10 boards per game in consecutive seasons after that and started a team-high 78 games for Detroit last year.

All of that is to say, Duren is a remarkably consistent rebounder who gets lots of run.

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The 6-foot-10, 250-pounder will have a distinct size advantage tonight with Anthony Davis (calf) and Dereck Lively (knee) sidelined.

Daniel Gafford will make his season debut after missing the team’s first five regular-season games with an ankle injury. At 6-foot-10, Gafford is similar in stature to Duren, but it wouldn’t be surprising if he were on a minutes restriction.

The next-tallest player in Dallas’ lineup is 6-foot-9 point guard Cooper Flagg.

Key stat: Duren is 2-1 against this line in his last three games while averaging 12.6 rebounds.

Embed: #120535

NBA prop bets

Simons 3+ threes (+102): I’ll keep backing Simons at this number against just about any team.

No team attempted more 3s per game than the Boston Celtics last year, and Simons was brought in to keep that trend going.

  • Simons averaged at least 3.1 threes in his last four regular seasons while never shooting below 36.3% from deep.
  • The first-year Celtic has averaged 3.0 threes on 7.5 attempts so far (40.0% shooting).

Simons is averaging a healthy 28.2 minutes per game off the bench and has cleared this line in three straight games.

The Houston Rockets, Simons’ opponent tonight, have allowed the ninth-most 3s per game to opposing SGs so far.

DiVincenzo 4+ threes (+100): DiVincenzo is another active shooter from beyond the arc. And this sure feels like his time to shine with Anthony Edwards out for the next few weeks.

DiVincenzo hasn’t reached this milestone yet, but has hit exactly 3 threes in four straight games while shooting 42.9% from deep.

-> Bet on Simons and DiVincenzo to clear their 3-point totals

I love to see that kind of consistency.

A slight uptick in production should be expected against the Charlotte Hornets, who are a defensive mess.

Charlotte is 26th in defensive rating and is allowing opponents to shoot 39.8% from deep (third-worst mark in the NBA).

NBA player prop predictions made at 3:20 p.m. ET on 11/01/25.

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Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Flyers Nov. 1: Back Matvei Michkov and fade John Tavares

Maple Leafs prop picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Philadelphia Flyers meet for a Hockey Night in Canada matchup in Philadelphia.

The pregame narrative: This game is practically a pick’em, with Toronto slightly favoured at -127 at the time of writing. The Maple Leafs’ defence and goaltending has been suspect lately, leading to six straight games going over a 6.5-goal total.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. the Flyers for the game on Nov. 1, featuring Matvei Michkov and John Tavares.

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Maple Leaf prop picks vs. Flyers

Best Bet: Michkov to record a point (-118)

This might be the least-watched Maple Leafs game in history with the Blue Jays playing in Game 7 of the World Series back in Toronto.

The Jays’ run has taken hold of the city, and deservedly so, meaning no one is really talking about how bad the Maple Leafs have played lately.

  • Toronto has a 2-4 record in its last six games. It has allowed 4.3 goals per game in that span with at least three goals in each contest.
  • Goaltending was a strength for the Leafs last season. But Anthony Stolarz has a 3.27 GAA and .886 SV% in eight starts. His understudy, Cayden Primeau, has been even worse (4.30 GAA, .838 SV%).

-> Bet on Nylander and Michkov tonight!

Michkov is playing top-line minutes for Philadelphia alongside Owen Tippett and the newly-acquired Trevor Zegras.

He only has five points in 10 games, but I’m not too worried about that. The 2023 No. 7 overall pick had a stellar rookie campaign last year, logging 63 points in 80 games.

Some positive regression seems likely, and the Maple Leafs are in a rut.

Key stat: Michkov is 4-3 against this line in his last seven games.

Best NHL prop picks

Tavares under 2.5 shots (+115): We’re only 10 games into the season, but the Rick Tocchet effect is apparent in Philly.

The Flyers are off to a 6-3-1 start while playing amazing defensive hockey. They’re giving up the fifth-fewest shot attempts (52.31) and shots (23.84) on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Flyers props

Tavares has cleared this line in five straight games, but he went under this line in six straight games before that.

All in all, he’s averaging 2.81 shots per game this season. Expecting him to go under that mark against the Flyers seems reasonable to me.

Maple Leafs prop picks made at 12:15 p.m. ET 11/01/2025.

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Maple Leafs prop picks vs. Flyers Nov. 1: Back Matvei Michkov and fade John Tavares

Maple Leafs prop picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Philadelphia Flyers meet for a Hockey Night in Canada matchup in Philadelphia.

The pregame narrative: This game is practically a pick’em, with Toronto slightly favoured at -127 at the time of writing. The Maple Leafs’ defence and goaltending has been suspect lately, leading to six straight games going over a 6.5-goal total.

Check out my Maple Leafs prop picks vs. the Flyers for the game on Nov. 1, featuring Matvei Michkov and John Tavares.

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Maple Leaf prop picks vs. Flyers

Best Bet: Michkov to record a point (-117)

This might be the least-watched Maple Leafs game in history with the Blue Jays playing in Game 7 of the World Series back in Toronto.

The Jays’ run has taken hold of the city, and deservedly so, meaning no one is really talking about how bad the Maple Leafs have played lately.

  • Toronto has a 2-4 record in its last six games. It has allowed 4.3 goals per game in that span with at least three goals in each contest.
  • Goaltending was a strength for the Leafs last season. But Anthony Stolarz has a 3.27 GAA and .886 SV% in eight starts. His understudy, Cayden Primeau, has been even worse (4.30 GAA, .838 SV%).

-> Bet on Nylander and Michkov tonight!

Michkov is playing top-line minutes for Philadelphia alongside Owen Tippett and the newly-acquired Trevor Zegras.

He only has five points in 10 games, but I’m not too worried about that. The 2023 No. 7 overall pick had a stellar rookie campaign last year, logging 63 points in 80 games.

Some positive regression seems likely, and the Maple Leafs are in a rut.

Key stat: Michkov is 4-3 against this line in his last seven games.

Embed: #120527

Best NHL prop picks

Tavares under 2.5 shots (+100): We’re only 10 games into the season, but the Rick Tocchet effect is apparent in Philly.

The Flyers are off to a 6-3-1 start while playing amazing defensive hockey. They’re giving up the fifth-fewest shot attempts (52.31) and shots (23.84) on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Flyers props

Tavares has cleared this line in five straight games, but he went under this line in six straight games before that.

All in all, he’s averaging 2.81 shots per game this season. Expecting him to go under that mark against the Flyers seems reasonable to me.

Maple Leafs prop picks made at 12:15 p.m. ET 11/01/2025.

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