Staff Writer

Steelers vs. Chargers Week 10 Sunday Night Football picks: Take the over, back Ladd McConkey

The Los Angeles Chargers host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football in Week 10.

The pregame narrative: Pittsburgh is coming off its biggest win of the season, beating the Indianapolis Colts at home. But the Steelers’ defence remains suspect, and Los Angeles is a 3-point home favourite despite several key injuries on the offensive line.

Check out my Steelers vs. Chargers picks for Nov. 9, featuring a prop bet on Ladd McConkey.

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Steelers vs. Chargers picks

Best Bet: McConkey 6+ receptions (-139)

Which version of the Steelers’ defence are we going to get?

The one that allowed 33 points to the near-AARP-eligible Joe Flacco, or the one that forced six turnovers and bottled up the Colts?

I’m not sure, but I really don’t think it matters for this prop.

Pittsburgh’s defence is reliant on splash plays, and its secondary gives up a ton of yards regardless of whether it gets them or not.

Case in point: Daniel Jones threw for a season-high 342 yards in last week’s loss.

-> Bet on Ladd McConkey and more Steelers vs. Chargers prop markets

Pittsburgh’s pass rush should get home without Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater, forcing Herbert to throw the ball quickly.

That makes McConkey, operating mainly out of the slot, a prime target:

McConkey has an 8.6-yard average depth of target (26th percentile among WRs, per RotoWire). He can be a target hog on short-yardage plays.

As a slot receiver, he will often be covered by Pittsburgh’s safeties, which have allowed a 111.1 passer rating against (sixth percentile).

The Steelers have allowed the most receptions (129) and yards (1,572) to opposing wide receivers this season.

Key stat: McConkey leads all Chargers with 40 targets in the last four weeks. In that span, he is 3-1 against this line.

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SNF game total prediction

Over 44.5 points (-113): This feels like a conservative total given how each team has played lately.

Pittsburgh’s defence might be the highest paid in football, but it just isn’t getting consistent results. The unit is allowing the third-most yards per game and has given up 30-plus points four times this year.

Los Angeles’ defence is also slipping after a strong start to the season.

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The Chargers have allowed 24.4 PPG in their last five games, and that number is dragged down by a 37-10 win over the Minnesota Vikings with Carson Wentz playing severely injured.

Overall, both the Chargers and Steelers have gone over this total in four of their last five games.

Steelers vs. Chargers picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET 11/07/2025.

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Clippers vs. Suns prop picks Nov. 6: Back Grayson Allen and Kris Dunn on Thursday

Thursday’s lone NBA game takes place in the desert, where the Phoenix Suns host the Los Angeles Clippers.

The latest: These teams met at Intuit Dome on Oct. 24, and L.A. won handily behind huge performances from James Harden (30-7-7) and Kawhi Leonard (27-5-5). But they’re both out tonight, and Phoenix is a slim home favourite as a result.

Find out how Grayson Allen and Kris Dunn factor into these Clippers vs. Suns picks for Wednesday, Nov. 6.

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Clippers vs. Suns picks

Best bet: Allen over 15.5 points (-130)

Allen has carved out a respectable career for himself thanks to efficient shooting and dogged defence.

He’s been a starter on a few teams before, but he has seen a massively increased role on the Suns following the departures of Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal. The guard is averaging career-highs in:

Points (16.4)
Field-goal attempts (13.5)
Three-point attempts (9.0)
Minutes (34.6)

Allen is shooting with volume (he has at least 10 FGAs in every game), but he’s been uncharacteristically inefficient. Excluding his rookie year, he’s shooting a career-worst 40.7% from the field and 38.9% from deep.

-> Check out tonight’s Clippers vs. Suns prop markets

Some positive regression is bound to happen, and I believe this line is a steal.

The Clippers are giving up the fifth-most points per game to opposing shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros, and are missing their best defender in Leonard.

L.A. is also 0-2 on the road with a -40 point differential. This feels like a game where Allen can go nuclear.

Key stat: Allen is 5-3 against this line, landing on exactly 14 points in two of the outliers.

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NBA prop prediction

Dunn over 11.5 points and rebounds (-125): Dunn is projected to be Los Angeles’ starting point guard tonight, which immediately puts him in a good position to produce.

-> Bet on Allen and Dunn in Phoenix!

Beal, now with Los Angeles, is the only member of the Clippers’ “Big Three” active, but he seldom plays more than 20 minutes a night.

Dunn logged 30 minutes in his last outing and finished just below this line with six points and five rebounds. That was against the defensive powerhouse Oklahoma City Thunder.

Phoenix isn’t a good team by any stretch, sitting 22nd in defensive rating and 15th in rebounding rate.

Dunn is averaging 7.1 points and 3.0 rebounds per game and should see an uptick in production as he gets more minutes.

Clippers vs. Suns picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 11/05/2025.

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Clippers vs. Suns prop picks Nov. 6: Back Grayson Allen and Kris Dunn on Thursday

Thursday’s lone NBA game takes place in the desert, where the Phoenix Suns host the Los Angeles Clippers.

The latest: These teams met at Intuit Dome on Oct. 24, and L.A. won handily behind huge performances from James Harden (30-7-7) and Kawhi Leonard (27-5-5). But they’re both out tonight, and Phoenix is a slim home favourite as a result.

Find out how Grayson Allen and Kris Dunn factor into these Clippers vs. Suns picks for Wednesday, Nov. 6.

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Clippers vs. Suns picks

Best bet: Allen over 14.5 points (-120)

Allen has carved out a respectable career for himself thanks to efficient shooting and dogged defence.

He’s been a starter on a few teams before, but he has seen a massively increased role on the Suns following the departures of Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal. The guard is averaging career-highs in:

Points (16.4)
Field-goal attempts (13.5)
Three-point attempts (9.0)
Minutes (34.6)

Allen is shooting with volume (he has at least 10 FGAs in every game), but he’s been uncharacteristically inefficient. Excluding his rookie year, he’s shooting a career-worst 40.7% from the field and 38.9% from deep.

-> Check out tonight’s Clippers vs. Suns prop markets

Some positive regression is bound to happen, and I believe this line is a steal.

The Clippers are giving up the fifth-most points per game to opposing shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros, and are missing their best defender in Leonard.

L.A. is also 0-2 on the road with a -40 point differential. This feels like a game where Allen can go nuclear.

Key stat: Allen is 5-3 against this line, landing on exactly 14 points in two of the outliers.

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NBA prop prediction

Dunn over 12.5 points and rebounds (-108): Dunn is projected to be Los Angeles’ starting point guard tonight, which immediately puts him in a good position to produce.

-> Bet on Allen and Dunn in Phoenix!

Beal, now with Los Angeles, is the only member of the Clippers’ “Big Three” active, but he seldom plays more than 20 minutes a night.

Dunn logged 30 minutes in his last outing and finished just below this line with six points and five rebounds. That was against the defensive powerhouse Oklahoma City Thunder.

Phoenix isn’t a good team by any stretch, sitting 22nd in defensive rating and 15th in rebounding rate.

Dunn is averaging 7.1 points and 3.0 rebounds per game and should see an uptick in production as he gets more minutes.

Clippers vs. Suns picks made at 9:15 a.m. ET on 11/05/2025.

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Champions League predictions Matchday 4: Bet on Inter Milan to fill the net with ease

There are nine more Champions League games on Wednesday to wrap up Matchday 4.

The pregame narrative: Barcelona takes its talents on the road to battle Club Brugge in a game that should feature plenty of scoring. Elsewhere, look for Inter Milan to pick up an early lead against Kazakhstani side Kairat Almaty.

Check out the best Champions League predictions for Nov. 5.

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Champions League predictions Matchday 4

Best bet: Inter Milan over 1.5 first-half goals (-125)

This is a true David vs. Goliath matchup.

Inter Milan reached the Champions League final last year and is a perfect 3-0-0 with a +9 goal differential and zero goals conceded.

Kairat Almaty is playing in the Champions League for the first time in its history. It is 0-1-2 with a -8 goal differential through three games.

The Kazakhstani club has lost 4-1 to Sporting CP and 5-0 to Real Madrid before logging a 0-0 tie against Greek side Pafos, which was down to 10 men in the fourth minute.

-> Bet on Inter Milan to win

Neither Sporting nor Real Madrid cleared this line, with seven of the nine goals coming in the second half. But Kairat still gave up a bunch of chances and should struggle on the road against Inter Milan’s offence.

The Nerazzuri lead Serie A in goals per match (2.4), possession (60.8%), xG (19.1), big chances (44), and big chances missed (28), per FotMob.

Key stat: Inter Milan is 3-0 against this line in the UCL this season.

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Best bet: Club Brugge vs. Barcelona

Club Brugge vs. Barcelona over 3.5 goals (-127): Barcelona’s offence is nearing full health after an injury-plagued start to the season.

Robert Lewandowski and Lamine Yamal are back in the mix, with Raphinha potentially returning this weekend.

It would be nice if the Brazilian attacker was suiting up on Wednesday, but I can still see Barcelona doing enough damage in his absence to push this game over the 3.5-goal total.

Each of Barcelona’s last nine games has had 3+ total goals scored. In that span, the over on this number is 4-5.

Barcelona has conceded in eight straight contests, giving up seven goals in its last three road games.

Club Brugge sits second in the Belgian Pro League with a 9-2-2 record, tallying the third-most goals (21).

But the squad has struggled against elite competition, giving up four goals to Bayern Munich in Matchday 3 and two goals to Atalanta in Matchday 2.

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Matchday 4 schedule: Nov. 5

Wednesday’s fixtures (12:45 p.m. ET)

Pafos vs. Villarreal
Qarabag FK vs. Chelsea

Wednesday’s fixtures (3:00 p.m. ET)

Manchester City vs. Dortmund
Newcastle vs. Athletic Club
Ajax vs. Galatasaray
Club Brugge vs. Barcelona
Benfica vs. Leverkusen
Inter Milan vs. Kairat
Marseille vs. Atalanta

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Champions League predictions made at 2:45 p.m. on 11/04/2025.

NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 4: Back David Pastrnak and Kyle Connor

Two proven goalscorers headline Tuesday’s NHL picks.

The pregame narrative: David Pastrnak and Kyle Connor both have multiple 40-goal seasons under their belts. The Boston Bruins and Winnipeg Jets have been trending in the right direction, making their star players compelling picks.

Check out my NHL goal picks Nov. 4.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 4

Best Bet: Pastrnak to score (+125)

Boston has had an up-and-down start to the season, but Pastrnak has been producing throughout.

The Bruins have won four of their last five games after losing six in a row. In that 11-game stretch, Pastrnak has six goals and 13 points.

-> Bet on Pastrnak and the Bruins tonight!

The veteran winger plays top-line minutes and produces on the power play (three goals, five assists). Unsurprisingly, he leads Boston in the following offensive categories, per Natural Stat Trick:

Shots (49)
Shot attempts (110)
Scoring chances (39)

Pastrnak also ranks second in xG (4.22) to Morgan Geekie, who paces the squad with nine goals.

I wouldn’t be surprised if both of those guys scored against Ilya Sorokin and the New York Islanders tonight. Sorokin ranks 40th — in a 32-team league — in SV% (.877) and GAA (3.40).

Key stat: Pastrnak scored against the Islanders last Tuesday.

NHL predictions

Connor to score (+125): Connor has kept his foot on the gas after receiving an eight-year, $96 million contract before the season.

The American winger has eight goals and 17 points through 12 games. That puts him on pace for 54 goals and 116 points, well above his previous career highs (47 and 97).

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There’s no reason to believe he’ll slow down tonight:

Connor has five goals and eight points in his last five games, cashing this bet four times.

He leads the Jets in shots (47) and shot attempts (75), and he’s third in scoring chances (38).

Darcy Kuemper, who is in goal for the Los Angeles Kings, is struggling. He’s allowed 3+ goals in four straight games and owns a .891 SV% (33rd in NHL).

NHL goal picks made at 1:35 p.m. ET on 11/04/2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 4: Back David Pastrnak and Kyle Connor

Two proven goalscorers headline Tuesday’s NHL picks.

The pregame narrative: David Pastrnak and Kyle Connor both have multiple 40-goal seasons under their belts. The Boston Bruins and Winnipeg Jets have been trending in the right direction, making their star players compelling picks.

Check out my NHL goal picks Nov. 4.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 4

Best Bet: Pastrnak to score (+120)

Boston has had an up-and-down start to the season, but Pastrnak has been producing throughout.

The Bruins have won four of their last five games after losing six in a row. In that 11-game stretch, Pastrnak has six goals and 13 points.

-> Bet on Pastrnak and the Bruins tonight!

The veteran winger plays top-line minutes and produces on the power play (three goals, five assists). Unsurprisingly, he leads Boston in the following offensive categories, per Natural Stat Trick:

Shots (49)
Shot attempts (110)
Scoring chances (39)

Pastrnak also ranks second in xG (4.22) to Morgan Geekie, who paces the squad with nine goals.

I wouldn’t be surprised if both of those guys scored against Ilya Sorokin and the New York Islanders tonight. Sorokin ranks 40th — in a 32-team league — in SV% (.877) and GAA (3.40).

Key stat: Pastrnak scored against the Islanders last Tuesday.

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NHL predictions

Connor to score (+145): Connor has kept his foot on the gas after receiving an eight-year, $96 million contract before the season.

The American winger has eight goals and 17 points through 12 games. That puts him on pace for 54 goals and 116 points, well above his previous career highs (47 and 97).

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There’s no reason to believe he’ll slow down tonight:

Connor has five goals and eight points in his last five games, cashing this bet four times.

He leads the Jets in shots (47) and shot attempts (75), and he’s third in scoring chances (38).

Darcy Kuemper, who is in goal for the Los Angeles Kings, is struggling. He’s allowed 3+ goals in four straight games and owns a .891 SV% (33rd in NHL).

NHL goal picks made at 1:35 p.m. ET on 11/04/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 4: Back big men Joel Embiid and Mark Williams

Two big men headline Tuesday’s top NBA player prop predictions.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Joel Embiid is slowly ramping up, and he has a plus matchup to fill the basket against the Chicago Bulls. Elsewhere, look for Mark Williams to clean the glass against the undersized Golden State Warriors.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 4, featuring a pick on Atlanta Hawks shooting guard Dyson Daniels.

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NBA prop picks: Nov. 4

Best bet: Williams over 8.5 rebounds (-130)

The Phoenix Suns are rebuilding, and Williams figures to be a big part of that puzzle.

Phoenix traded several assets, including a 2029 first-round pick, for the 7-foot-1 centre last offseason. Williams is just 23 years old and brings elite rebounding and efficient scoring to the mix.

He averaged 10.2 boards last year with the Charlotte Hornets and is at 9.0 through six games so far.

-> Bet on Suns vs. Warriors prop markets at NorthStar Bets

This should be a matchup where Williams can flex his muscles and reach double-digit rebounds.

Golden State has just one player above 6-foot-9 in its rotation. And that would be 25-year-old centre Quinten Post (7-foot-0, 238 pounds), who plays 12.7 minutes a night.

Draymond Green and Jimmy Butler are tenacious on the glass, but they’re both 6-foot-6. Williams has seven inches on each of them and should be at a distinct advantage.

Key stat: Williams had 12 and 13 rebounds in his two games against the Warriors last year.

Today’s best NBA prop bets

Embiid over 19.5 points (-130): Two years ago, this line would’ve been a laugher. But Embiid’s fall-off as an MVP-calibre scorer has been precipitous.

2023-24: 34.7 PPG, 52.9 FG%
2024-25: 23.9 PPG, 44.4 FG%
2025-25: 17.3 PPG, 46.0 FG%

Still, I think there will be opportunities to back the big man. And tonight is one of them.

Embiid has scored 20-plus points in three straight games, and he played a season-high 25 minutes against the Boston Celtics on Friday.

In that contest, he attempted 13 field goals and went to the line seven times. If we get that type of volume again, Embiid should be in line to clear this total.

Chicago plays at the ninth-fastest pace in the NBA and is giving up the eighth-most PPG to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Embiid had 31 points against the Bulls last season while attempting a season-high 28 shots.

-> Bet on Embiid to clear his points total

Daniels over 13.5 points (-118): Daniels isn’t your typical shooting guard. The 6-foot-7 defensive specialist rarely shoots from the outside and does a ton of damage in the paint.

He takes 56% of his shots at the rim and 36% of his shots in the short mid-range. Both rank in the 97th percentile from a shot frequency perspective, according to Cleaning the Glass.

That bodes well for tonight’s matchup against the Orlando Magic. Orlando is allowing the second-most points in the paint per game.

Daniels is 2-0 against this line since Trae Young went down with an injury, averaging 18.0 PPG while shooting 64.0% from the field.

NBA prop picks made at 11:32 a.m. ET on Nov. 4, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 4: Back big men Joel Embiid and Mark Williams

Two big men headline Tuesday’s top NBA player prop predictions.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Joel Embiid is slowly ramping up, and he has a plus matchup to fill the basket against the Chicago Bulls. Elsewhere, look for Mark Williams to clean the glass against the undersized Golden State Warriors.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 4, featuring a pick on Atlanta Hawks shooting guard Dyson Daniels.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 4

Best bet: Williams over 8.5 rebounds (-139)

The Phoenix Suns are rebuilding, and Williams figures to be a big part of that puzzle.

Phoenix traded several assets, including a 2029 first-round pick, for the 7-foot-1 centre last offseason. Williams is just 23 years old and brings elite rebounding and efficient scoring to the mix.

He averaged 10.2 boards last year with the Charlotte Hornets and is at 9.0 through six games so far.

-> Bet on Suns vs. Warriors prop markets at NorthStar Bets

This should be a matchup where Williams can flex his muscles and reach double-digit rebounds.

Golden State has just one player above 6-foot-9 in its rotation. And that would be 25-year-old centre Quinten Post (7-foot-0, 238 pounds), who plays 12.7 minutes a night.

Draymond Green and Jimmy Butler are tenacious on the glass, but they’re both 6-foot-6. Williams has seven inches on each of them and should be at a distinct advantage.

Key stat: Williams had 12 and 13 rebounds in his two games against the Warriors last year.

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Today’s best NBA prop bets

Embiid over 19.5 points (-117): Two years ago, this line would’ve been a laugher. But Embiid’s fall-off as an MVP-calibre scorer has been precipitous.

2023-24: 34.7 PPG, 52.9 FG%
2024-25: 23.9 PPG, 44.4 FG%
2025-25: 17.3 PPG, 46.0 FG%

Still, I think there will be opportunities to back the big man. And tonight is one of them.

Embiid has scored 20-plus points in three straight games, and he played a season-high 25 minutes against the Boston Celtics on Friday.

In that contest, he attempted 13 field goals and went to the line seven times. If we get that type of volume again, Embiid should be in line to clear this total.

Chicago plays at the ninth-fastest pace in the NBA and is giving up the eighth-most PPG to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Embiid had 31 points against the Bulls last season while attempting a season-high 28 shots.

-> Bet on Embiid to clear his points total

Daniels over 13.5 points (-121): Daniels isn’t your typical shooting guard. The 6-foot-7 defensive specialist rarely shoots from the outside and does a ton of damage in the paint.

He takes 56% of his shots at the rim and 36% of his shots in the short mid-range. Both rank in the 97th percentile from a shot frequency perspective, according to Cleaning the Glass.

That bodes well for tonight’s matchup against the Orlando Magic. Orlando is allowing the second-most points in the paint per game.

Daniels is 2-0 against this line since Trae Young went down with an injury, averaging 18.0 PPG while shooting 64.0% from the field.

NBA prop picks made at 11:32 a.m. ET on Nov. 4, 2025.

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Bucks vs. Raptors SGP predictions Nov. 4: Back Ingram and Giannis in +480 ticket

The Toronto Raptors welcome Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks into town on Tuesday night.

The pregame narrative: Giannis drained a buzzer-beater to cap off a huge performance against the Indiana Pacers yesterday. The Greek Freak is top three in scoring (34.0 PPG) and rebounding (13.3 RPG) so far, but it’s Toronto that’s a 4.5-point favourite to win at home.

Check out my Bucks vs. Raptors SGP, featuring picks on Giannis, Brandon Ingram and Ryan Rollins.

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Bucks vs. Raptors SGP predictions

Parlay: Raptors moneyline | Ingram 15+ points | Giannis 25+ points | Rollins 6+ assists (+480)

Raptors moneyline (-180): The Raptors will have their hands full with Giannis tonight, but the rest of Milwaukee’s roster isn’t that threatening.

Only one other player (Rollins) is averaging north of 15.0 PPG. Giannis leads the Bucks in all three major stat categories while playing a team-high 32.5 minutes a night.

-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate at NorthStar Bets

I expect Giannis to fill the basket, but he’ll be fighting an uphill battle on a back-to-back.

Toronto, meanwhile, has received great production from Ingram, RJ Barrett, and Scottie Barnes. All three of them are averaging 20+ points per game while shooting above 50% from the field.

The Raptors went 24-16-1 ATS at home last season. Look for them to win a third straight game.

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NBA SGP legs

Ingram 15+ points (-400): Ingram has been as advertised for Toronto: An efficient scorer who can stretch the floor and do damage in the mid range.

Ingram is averaging 22.3 PPG while shooting a steady 55.0% from the field.

He’s 6-1 against this milestone while scoring 20+ points five times.

-> See all of Ingram and Giannis’ props from tonight’s game

Ingram takes 54% of his shots in the mid range, which ranks in the 97th percentile of all players, per Cleaning the Glass.

Milwaukee has the 18th-rated mid-range defence in the NBA. Ingram scored a season-high 29 points agianst the Bucks on Oct. 24.

Giannis 25+ points (-375): Giannis has been automatic against this number through six games, scoring a league-high 34.0 points a night.

He’s dropped 30 points in all but one game (26 points vs. the Kings) and scored 31 against the Raptors on 11-of-14 shooting earlier this year.

The Greek Freak ranks fifth in FG% (68.1%) and is getting to the line 10.8 times a night. I like his chances of reaching this milestone even in a loss.

-> Bet on tonight’s Bucks vs. Raptors game

Rollins 6+ assists (+112): Rollins has flown up the Most Improved Player odds board after a stellar start to the year.

He’s averaging 17.0 PPG — up from a previous career-best of 6.2 PPG — while dishing out 5.7 helpers a night.

This is the 23-year-old’s first year as a full-time starter, and the Bucks should love what they’re seeing from the point guard.

After a ho-hum start, Rollins has logged seven-plus assists in four of his last five games. In that span, he’s averaging 12.4 “potential assists” (a pass that leads directly to a shot) per game.

Bucks vs. Raptors SGP made at 10:30 a.m. ET 11/04/2025.

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Take the Ultimate Open Championship Quiz!

Think you know your Open Championship trivia?

Put your golf knowledge to the test with our 10-question, multiple-choice Ultimate Open Championship Quiz.

And when you’re done, don’t forget to share and compare your results with friends. Have fun and good luck!

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