Staff Writer

Best NBA prop picks Feb. 4: Back Victor Wembanyama, Derik Queen, Nikola Jokic

I’m targeting a trio of centres in Wednesday’s NBA prop picks.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Victor Wembanyama’s rebound total is enticing in a potential Western Conference Finals preview between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder. Elsewhere, look for Nikola Jokic to connect from 3-point land in the Big Apple.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 4, featuring a best bet on New Orleans Pelicans rookie Derik Queen.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 4

Best bet: Queen over 22.5 PRA (-130)

Queen is the youngest and by far the least proven of the three players I’m backing, but the No. 13 pick out of Maryland has a sky-high ceiling.

After all, you don’t earn the nickname “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference for nothing.

The 6-foot-9 centre is averaging 24.0 PRA per game, and can put up big numbers in any of the three major counting stats on a nightly basis:

9 games with 20+ points
17 games with 9+ rebounds
10 games with 7+ assists

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There have been nine games where Queen has gone completely nuclear, totalling 35+ PRA.

The rookie also has quiet nights, but shouldn’t face much adversity in Milwaukee.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is sitting out tonight and might be traded before tomorrow’s deadline. Bobby Portis (hip) is also questionable after missing Tuesday’s game.

The vibes will be low in Fiserv Forum, and I think the Pelicans should rout a defeated Bucks squad.

Key stat: Queen has cleared this line in 27 of 51 games.

Best NBA picks

Wembanyama over 10.5 rebounds (-125): San Antonio is a 2-point home underdog as these two heavyweights put a bow on their regular-season series, which the Spurs currently lead 3-1.

Oklahoma City is slightly shorthanded without Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell, but it does have Isaiah Hartenstein back at centre, giving the defending champs some rebounding pop.

Still, this looks like a smash play for Wembanyama.

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The sophomore is 1-3 against this line vs. OKC this year, but was on a minutes restriction in each of those games.

When Wemby has played 30-plus minutes, as he’s done in four of his last six games, he is 10-5 against this line.

OKC is 25th in rebounding rate, and gives up the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

NBA player prop predictions

Jokic over 1.5 threes (-130): This is Jokic’s fourth game back following a month-long injury stint. The early 3-point shooting results have been encouraging:

6-for-10 (60.0% shooting)
2-1 vs. this line

On the season, Jokic is averaging career highs in makes (2.1) and attempts (4.7). That 44.5 three-point rate ranks 10th in the NBA.

-> See tonight’s NBA moneyline odds, spreads & game totals

The New York Knicks have struggled to defend the perimeter, and are allowing the seventh-most 3s per game (14.0) at the 12th-highest clip (36.3%).

NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 4, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Feb. 4: Back Victor Wembanyama, Derik Queen, Nikola Jokic

I’m targeting a trio of centres in Wednesday’s NBA prop picks.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Victor Wembanyama’s rebound total is enticing in a potential Western Conference Finals preview between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder. Elsewhere, look for Nikola Jokic to connect from 3-point land in the Big Apple.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 4, featuring a best bet on New Orleans Pelicans rookie Derik Queen.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & start betting on the NBA!

NBA prop picks Feb. 4

Best bet: Queen over 22.5 PRA (-120)

Queen is the youngest and by far the least proven of the three players I’m backing, but the No. 13 pick out of Maryland has a sky-high ceiling.

After all, you don’t earn the nickname “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference for nothing.

The 6-foot-9 centre is averaging 24.0 PRA per game, and can put up big numbers in any of the three major counting stats on a nightly basis:

9 games with 20+ points
17 games with 9+ rebounds
10 games with 7+ assists

-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate now!

There have been nine games where Queen has gone completely nuclear, totalling 35+ PRA.

The rookie also has quiet nights, but shouldn’t face much adversity in Milwaukee.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is sitting out tonight and might be traded before tomorrow’s deadline. Bobby Portis (hip) is also questionable after missing Tuesday’s game.

The vibes will be low in Fiserv Forum, and I think the Pelicans should rout a defeated Bucks squad.

Key stat: Queen has cleared this line in 27 of 51 games.

Embed: #123074

Best NBA picks

Wembanyama over 10.5 rebounds (-127): San Antonio is a 2-point home underdog as these two heavyweights put a bow on their regular-season series, which the Spurs currently lead 3-1.

Oklahoma City is slightly shorthanded without Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell, but it does have Isaiah Hartenstein back at centre, giving the defending champs some rebounding pop.

Still, this looks like a smash play for Wembanyama.

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The sophomore is 1-3 against this line vs. OKC this year, but was on a minutes restriction in each of those games.

When Wemby has played 30-plus minutes, as he’s done in four of his last six games, he is 10-5 against this line.

OKC is 25th in rebounding rate, and gives up the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

NBA player prop predictions

Jokic over 1.5 threes (-118): This is Jokic’s fourth game back following a month-long injury stint. The early 3-point shooting results have been encouraging:

6-for-10 (60.0% shooting)
2-1 vs. this line

On the season, Jokic is averaging career highs in makes (2.1) and attempts (4.7). That 44.5 three-point rate ranks 10th in the NBA.

-> See tonight’s NBA moneyline odds, spreads & game totals

The New York Knicks have struggled to defend the perimeter, and are allowing the seventh-most 3s per game (14.0) at the 12th-highest clip (36.3%).

NBA prop picks made at 10:10 a.m. ET on Feb. 4, 2026.

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WM Phoenix Open picks, predictions and odds: PGA Tour golf bets on Matsuyama, McNealy and Theegala

The PGA Tour heads to Arizona for the WM Phoenix Open with a star-studded field ready to embrace a raucous environment.

The latest: Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka, both two-time winners in the desert, top the bill. Scheffler is a heavy favourite after beginning his season with a win at The American Express, while Kopeka makes his second start since re-joining the PGA Tour last week.

Check out my Phoenix Open predictions for the golf event beginning on Feb. 5, featuring picks on Hideki Matsuyama, Maverick McNealy and Sahith Theegala.

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Phoenix Open predictions and betting odds

Player	Odds to win Phoenix Open
Scottie Scheffler	+250
Xander Schauffele	+1,800
Cameron Young	+2,200
Sam Burns	+2,200
Si Woo Kim	+2,200
Hideki Matsuyama	+2,500
Ben Griffin	+3,300
Maverick McNealy	+3,300
Rickie Fowler	+3,300
Viktor Hovland	+3,300
Brooks Koepka	+4,000

See the full WM Phoenix Open odds board at NorthStar Bets!

Best bet: Matsuyama winner w/o Scheffler (+2,200) & top 20 finish (+130)

I want no part of betting on or against Scheffler this week.

The World No. 1 has won at an absurd clip since switching to a mallet putter in 2024, but his +250 price tag in a full-field event is too steep for me.

Scottie's 16th win in 38 starts since switching to the mallet.

That's 42.1%, which is almost exactly Steph Curry's career 3 point percentage.
— No Laying Up (@NoLayingUp) January 25, 2026

Getting Matsuyama, another two-time WM Phoenix Open champion, at 22-to-1 in the “Winner without Scheffler” market is my best bet.

Matsuyama has seven straight top-20 finishes.

That includes a win at the Hero World Challenge with Scheffler in the field.

He has a T13 and a T11 in two PGA Tour starts this year, ranking top 15 in strokes gained: approach for each event (per DataGolf).

The two big question marks around Matsuyama are always his health and his putter. But there’s no reason to believe he’s banged up right now, and I’m hoping a venue with historically good vibes can get him rolling the rock.

Key stat: Matsuyama has the fourth-best average strokes gained per round at TPC Scottsdale (+2.33).

Phoenix Open picks

McNealy winner w/o Scheffler (+3,300) & top 20 finish (+163): McNealy and Theegala are two other players with great course history here.

They rank fifth and seventh, respectively, in SG per round at TPC Scottsdale.

Let’s start with McNealy, who has a T9 and a T6 in his last two starts at the Phoenix Open.

Go to WM Phoenix Open betting markets!

The American doesn’t have one “jump off the page” strength. But he steadily picks up shots throughout the bag.

That is important at that venue, and has helped him log five top-25 finishes in his last six starts, including a T10 last week at the Farmers Insurance Open.

Theegala winner w/o Scheffler (+3,300) & top 20 finish (+163): Theegala is coming off a disastrous season, missing seven cuts and securing one top-20 finish in a stroke play event.

But he was a stud from 2022-24, and looks to be back in form.

Theegala finished T8 at the American Express and T7 at the Farmers Insurance Open behind strong putting and solid iron play.

That’ll travel anywhere, and I’m bullish on his chances to fully breakout in Phoenix. Theegala has a T3 and a T5 at the WM Phoenix Open in four starts.

Top Golf bets: Waste Management long shot prop

Haotong Li top 20 finish (+335): This is great value on Li, who has steadily climbed back into the OWGR and DataGolf top 75 after a two-year crater where he completely lost his game.

The 30-year-old has made eight straight cuts.

He has four top-11 finishes in his last five starts.

That includes a T11 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T8 at the American Express.

Lee picked up strokes in all four major categories (PUTT, ARG, APP, OTT) in both PGA Tour events.

Phoenix Open predictions made at 2:30 p.m. on Feb. 3, 2026

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Suns vs. Trail Blazers SGP picks Feb. 3: Back Brooks and Clingan in +320 wager

Tuesday’s NBA nightcap between the Phoenix Suns and Portland Trail Blazers is lacking some starpower.

The pregame narrative: Devin Booker is out for Phoenix, and Deni Avdija is doubtful for Portland. The Suns are modest 3-point road favourites at the time of writing, and look to improve on their league-best 33-17-0 ATS record.

Check out my same-game parlay Suns vs. Trail Blazers picks for Feb. 3, featuring picks on Donovan Clingan and Dillon Brooks.

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Suns vs. Trail Blazers picks

SGP: Suns +5.5 | Brooks over 21.5 points | Clingan double-double (+320)

Suns +5.5 (-385): Phoenix is one win away from passing its preseason 30.5 win total.

That should tell you everything about how Jordan Ott’s squad is playing, and why the rookie bench boss is in the running for Coach of the Year.

The Suns were supposed to be a mess this year, and have consistently exceeded expectations. Losing Booker is tough, but the squad has gone 4-5 without him with impressive wins over the Cavaliers, Timberwolves, and Pistons.

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Portland isn’t a great team by any metric, has lost five straight, and is likely without its best player and lone all-star, Avdija.

The Trail Blazers are 2-4 without Avdija, losing three straight games with him on the sideline.

Phoenix is 7-2 ATS as a road favourite, so I feel very comfortable teasing them through zero to a 5.5-point underdog.

Embed: #123071

NBA SGP predictions

Brooks over 21.5 points (-108): This is a smash play for me.

Brooks is having a monster year offensively: He is posting career highs in points (21.1/game), field goal attempts (17.2/game), and field goal percentage (44.6%).

The Canadian has been dynamite since Booker got injured five games ago: He’s averaging 28.2 PPG, and is 5-0 against this line.

He’s a mid-range assassin: Brooks takes 49% of his shots from the mid-range (96th percentile for wing players), per Cleaning the Glass. Portland ranks 24th in mid-range defence.

-> Bet on Dillon Brooks, Donovan Clingan and more in Suns vs. Blazers!

Brooks is running hot and has a great matchup. I expect him to lead Phoenix’s offence this evening.

Donovan Clingan prop bet

Clingan double-double (-148): Finally, I’m backing Clingan to record a double-double.

The sophomore skyscraper stands at 7-foot-2, averaging 11.1 points and 11.1 rebounds per game. He’s live to clear this total on a nightly basis, and has a favourable matchup against Phoenix.

The Suns allow the 10th-most rebounds per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros. His rebounding total is set at 12.5 (-106 to the over), so that’s not what I’m worried about.

Scoring 10 points is the real test, and it’s one Clingan should pass.

Phoenix has the fifth-worst rim defence (shots within four feet of the basket), allowing opponents to score at a 68.7% clip.

With Avdija out, Clingan should get enough looks to reach double digits.

Suns vs. Trail Blazers SGP picks made at 12:40 p.m. on Feb. 3, 2026.

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Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop picks: Bet on William Nylander in his return

Two spiralling Canadian teams meet on Saturday night when the Vancouver Canucks host the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The pregame narrative: Vancouver sits dead last in the NHL with just 18 wins in 54 games. Toronto, meanwhile, has lost six straight and is on track to miss the playoffs for the first time in a decade. The Maple Leafs are a slight road favourite in William Nylander’s anticipated return.

Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop picks for Jan. 31, featuring Nylander and Jake DeBrusk.

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Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop picks

Best Bet: Nylander to score (+165)

The Maple Leafs have three games left before the Olympic break, all against Canadian teams.

It’s hard to imagine the sentiment in Toronto changing from “blow it up” to “stay the course” if the Leafs don’t run the table.

Nylander could help make that happen.

The Swedish winger was on fire before suffering a groin injury against the Vegas Golden Knights two weeks ago. He had scored in five of six games, with six total goals in that span.

-> Bet on Nylander to score against the Canucks now!

Overall, Nylander has 17 goals in 37 games and is fresh off a career-best 45-goal season.

He is projected to skate alongside John Tavares and Matias Maccelli tonight, per Daily Faceoff. That trio should wreak havoc against Vancouver.

The Canucks allow the most goals per game (3.61).

The rank in the bottom-10 in save percentage (.888).

Vancouver gives up the third-most high-danger chances against per 60 (13.79), according to Natural Stat Trick.

Key stat: Nylander has three goals in his last four games against Vancouver.

Best NHL prop picks

DeBrusk to score 1+ points (-110): DeBrusk tormented the Maple Leafs as a member of the Boston Bruins and is Vancouver’s third-leading scorer this year.

That’s not saying too much, though, as he has 28 points in 53 games.

The winger is on a nice run at the moment, though, with six points in his last five games. In that span, he is 4-1 against this line.

-> See full Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop markets at NorthStar Bets!

I like DeBrusk’s chances of getting on the board against Toronto.

The Leafs allow the most shots (31.18) and shot attempts (63.73) per 60. Joseph Woll is also in awful form, sporting an .889 SV% in January.

He hasn’t been confirmed yet, but Anthony Stolarz’s January numbers are even worse (.824 SV%).

Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop picks made at 1 p.m. ET Jan. 31, 2026.

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Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop picks: Bet on William Nylander in his return

Two spiralling Canadian teams meet on Saturday night when the Vancouver Canucks host the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The pregame narrative: Vancouver sits dead last in the NHL with just 18 wins in 54 games. Toronto, meanwhile, has lost six straight and is on track to miss the playoffs for the first time in a decade. The Maple Leafs are a slight road favourite in William Nylander’s anticipated return.

Check out my Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop picks for Jan. 31, featuring Nylander and Jake DeBrusk.

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Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop picks

Best Bet: Nylander to score (+143)

The Maple Leafs have three games left before the Olympic break, all against Canadian teams.

It’s hard to imagine the sentiment in Toronto changing from “blow it up” to “stay the course” if the Leafs don’t run the table.

Nylander could help make that happen.

The Swedish winger was on fire before suffering a groin injury against the Vegas Golden Knights two weeks ago. He had scored in five of six games, with six total goals in that span.

-> Bet on Nylander to score against the Canucks now!

Overall, Nylander has 17 goals in 37 games and is fresh off a career-best 45-goal season.

He is projected to skate alongside John Tavares and Matias Maccelli tonight, per Daily Faceoff. That trio should wreak havoc against Vancouver.

The Canucks allow the most goals per game (3.61).

The rank in the bottom-10 in save percentage (.888).

Vancouver gives up the third-most high-danger chances against per 60 (13.79), according to Natural Stat Trick.

Key stat: Nylander has three goals in his last four games against Vancouver.

Embed: #123053

Best NHL prop picks

DeBrusk to score 1+ points (-109): DeBrusk tormented the Maple Leafs as a member of the Boston Bruins and is Vancouver’s third-leading scorer this year.

That’s not saying too much, though, as he has 28 points in 53 games.

The winger is on a nice run at the moment, though, with six points in his last five games. In that span, he is 4-1 against this line.

-> See full Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop markets at NorthStar Bets!

I like DeBrusk’s chances of getting on the board against Toronto.

The Leafs allow the most shots (31.18) and shot attempts (63.73) per 60. Joseph Woll is also in awful form, sporting an .889 SV% in January.

He hasn’t been confirmed yet, but Anthony Stolarz’s January numbers are even worse (.824 SV%).

Maple Leafs vs. Canucks prop picks made at 1 p.m. ET Jan. 31, 2026.

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Mavericks vs. Rockets SGP predictions Jan. 31: Back Kevin Durant and fade Cooper Flagg at +310

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets meet for an all-Texas showdown on Saturday night.

The pregame narrative: Cooper Flagg is coming off the best game of his young career, but is worth fading against a rabid Rockets defence. Houston is 16-4 at home this year, and is laying 10.5 points against the Anthony Davis-less Mavericks.

Check out my Mavericks vs. Rockets SGP predictions for Jan. 31

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Mavericks vs. Rockets SGP

Parlay: Flagg under 21.5 points | Durant 25+ points | Mavericks +20.5 (+310)

Flagg under 21.5 points (-148): Flagg flashed his all-world ceiling on Thursday, dropping 49 points on 69.0% shooting against the Charlotte Hornets.

I expect the Rookie of the Year frontrunner to come back to earth tonight.

Houston allows the third-fewest points per game, ranks sixth in defensive rating, and has the sixth-lowest opponent effective field goal percentage.

Flagg has gone up against his intra-state rivals three times, and is 0-3 against this line:

Nov. 3: 10 points, 5-of-10 shooting
Dec. 6: 19 points, 7-of-15 shooting
Jan. 3: 10 points, 3-of-12 shooting

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On the season, Flagg is averaging 19.5 PPG. And he’s just a tick above that in January (19.6 PPG) despite his 49-point game on Thursday.

Flagg has gone under this mark in nine of his last 12 games.

Embed: #123051

NBA SGP legs

Durant 25+ points (-162): Durant is on a five-game heater, and I want in.

The veteran has put up 31, 24, 33, 32 and 36 points while shooting 53.4% from the field.

On the season, KD is averaging 26.5 PPG. If that holds, it will be his 10th straight season with 26.0+ PPG.

He has reached this milestone in 26 of 44 games (59.0%).

-> Back Wembanyama vs. the Mavericks now!

Durant had a poor shooting night in his first meeting with the Mavericks this year, but went off in the last two outings for 27 and 34 points.

Mavericks +20.5 (-455): This leg nearly doubles the SGP’s value from +170 to +310 thanks to some negative correlation. I think it’s well worth adding.

Dallas is 2-1 against Houston this year, winning both games with Davis in the lineup and losing the game where he was sidelined, 110-102. Still, they comfortably covered this spread in the loss.

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The Mavericks are 9-19 without Davis, but have covered this number in the last 10 games without him, per StatMuse.

Houston hasn’t been blowing the doors off of teams lately, either. It has failed to cover this number in 15 straight games with only three double-digit wins in that span.

Mavericks vs. Rockets predicitons made at 11:50 a.m. on Jan. 30, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 31: Bet on Joel Embiid, Andrew Wiggins, Johnny Furphy

Joel Embiid has returned to form as an elite scorer and headlines Saturday’s NBA prop picks.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Embiid has been among the league’s hottest players in the last two weeks, and is worth backing against the New Orleans Pelicans. Elsewhere, Andrew Wiggins has a plus matchup against the Chicago Bulls.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Jan. 31, featuring a pick on Indiana Pacers guard Johnny Furphy.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 31

Best bet: Embiid over 28.5 points (-125)

There isn’t a wrong way to back Embiid tonight.

The former MVP has been on a rampage over his last six games, stuffing the stats sheet with remarkable efficiency:

33.2 PPG
9.0 RPG
5.2 APG
55.7 EFG%

He went over tonight’s 28.5 point total in each of those games and went over tonight’s 42.5 PRA total in five of them.

For simplicity’s sake, I’ll back Embiid as a scorer.

-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate now!

He has taken at least 17 shots in each of his last six games while averaging 10.8 trips to the line. That’ll play from a volume standpoint.

I’m a big fan of Derik Queen, the Pelicans’ 6-foot-9 rookie centre out of Maryland, but I struggle to see how he will contain Embiid in the low post.

New Orleans sits 27th in defensive rating and allows the fifth-most points per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Embiid has scored 37-plus points in four of his last five games against New Orleans.

Best NBA picks

Wiggins over 16.5 points (-106): Wiggins has fallen under this line in three straight and had just 10 points against the Bulls on Thursday.

But I like the Canadian’s chances of bouncing back this evening.

Miami and Chicago play at the fastest and fifth-fastest pace (i.e. possessions per 48 minutes) in the league, per NBA.com. More possessions mean more opportunities to score.

Wiggins should be the benefactor with Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell and Tyler Herro all expected to be sidelined.

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Chicago is allowing the most points per game to opposing power forwards, and big man Nikola Vucevic is listed as doubtful to play.

Wiggins is averaging 15.6 PPG this year. Look for him to over-index based on this matchup.

NBA player prop predictions

Furphy over 5.5 rebounds (+105): Furphy, a 6-foot-8 shooting guard, isn’t doing much shooting at all.

The sophomore is averaging just 5.3 PPG, but has been a big contributor on the glass since re-entering the starting lineup on Jan. 4:

6.6 RPG
5+ rebounds in 11 of 13 games
6+ rebounds in 7 of 13 games

Furphy has cleared this line in three of his last four games and has a solid matchup against a Hawks team with a thin front court.

Onyeka Okongwu (7.3 RPG) is out, and Jalen Johnson (10.5 RPG) is questionable for Atlanta.

-> See tonight’s NBA moneyline odds, spreads & game totals

NBA prop picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET on Jan. 31, 2026.

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Best NBA prop picks Jan. 31: Bet on Joel Embiid, Andrew Wiggins, Johnny Furphy

Joel Embiid has returned to form as an elite scorer and headlines Saturday’s NBA prop picks.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Embiid has been among the league’s hottest players in the last two weeks, and is worth backing against the New Orleans Pelicans. Elsewhere, Andrew Wiggins has a plus matchup against the Chicago Bulls.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Jan. 31, featuring a pick on Indiana Pacers guard Johnny Furphy.

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NBA prop picks Jan. 31

Best bet: Embiid over 28.5 points (-113)

There isn’t a wrong way to back Embiid tonight.

The former MVP has been on a rampage over his last six games, stuffing the stats sheet with remarkable efficiency:

33.2 PPG
9.0 RPG
5.2 APG
55.7 EFG%

He went over tonight’s 28.5 point total in each of those games and went over tonight’s 42.5 PRA total in five of them.

For simplicity’s sake, I’ll back Embiid as a scorer.

-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate now!

He has taken at least 17 shots in each of his last six games while averaging 10.8 trips to the line. That’ll play from a volume standpoint.

I’m a big fan of Derik Queen, the Pelicans’ 6-foot-9 rookie centre out of Maryland, but I struggle to see how he will contain Embiid in the low post.

New Orleans sits 27th in defensive rating and allows the fifth-most points per game to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Embiid has scored 37-plus points in four of his last five games against New Orleans.

Embed: #123048

Best NBA picks

Wiggins over 16.5 points (-105): Wiggins has fallen under this line in three straight and had just 10 points against the Bulls on Thursday.

But I like the Canadian’s chances of bouncing back this evening.

Miami and Chicago play at the fastest and fifth-fastest pace (i.e. possessions per 48 minutes) in the league, per NBA.com. More possessions mean more opportunities to score.

Wiggins should be the benefactor with Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell and Tyler Herro all expected to be sidelined.

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Chicago is allowing the most points per game to opposing power forwards, and big man Nikola Vucevic is listed as doubtful to play.

Wiggins is averaging 15.6 PPG this year. Look for him to over-index based on this matchup.

NBA player prop predictions

Furphy over 5.5 rebounds (+123): Furphy, a 6-foot-8 shooting guard, isn’t doing much shooting at all.

The sophomore is averaging just 5.3 PPG, but has been a big contributor on the glass since re-entering the starting lineup on Jan. 4:

6.6 RPG
5+ rebounds in 11 of 13 games
6+ rebounds in 7 of 13 games

Furphy has cleared this line in three of his last four games and has a solid matchup against a Hawks team with a thin front court.

Onyeka Okongwu (7.3 RPG) is out, and Jalen Johnson (10.5 RPG) is questionable for Atlanta.

-> See tonight’s NBA moneyline odds, spreads & game totals

NBA prop picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET on Jan. 31, 2026.

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Super Bowl LX SGP predictions 2026: Bet on Maye and Walker to thrive, Seahawks to cover alt spread

The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots battle for NFL supremacy at Super Bowl LX, and I’ve built a same-game parlay for the showdown.

The pregame narrative: Seattle is a 4.5-point favourite heading into the Big Game after posting a league-best point differential and lighting up the scoreboard in the playoffs. The Seahawks have gone 15-1 when favoured this year, and are in a strong position to finish the job.

Embed: #122861

Check out my 2026 Super Bowl predictions, featuring SGP picks on Kenneth Walker and Drake Maye in a +295 ticket.

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Super Bowl predictions 2026

SGP: Seahawks +3.5 | Walker anytime TD | Maye over 35.5 rushing yards (+295)

Seahawks +3.5 (-375): I expect Seattle to win and cover on Super Bowl Sunday. But for this SGP, I’ll tease the favourites by a touchdown to 3.5-point dogs.

Mike Macdonald’s squad has covered this number in all but one game this season, a four-point loss in Week 1 to the San Francisco 49ers.

That was Sam Darnold’s Seahawks debut, and he’s gotten better and better as the season’s gone on.

Across a pair of playoff games, the journeyman QB has completed 69.8% of passes for four touchdowns, no interceptions, and a 122.4 passer rating.

It’s a small sample, but it exceeds Maye’s NFL-best 113.1 passer rating in the regular season.

And in the playoffs, Maye has pulled the inverse.

55.8% completion rate
15 sacks taken
84.0 passer rating

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Maye did have to battle three great defences (Chargers, Texans, Broncos), but the Seahawks are also elite on that side of the ball.

Seattle led the league in RBDSM.com’s defensive EPA per play this year.

As mentioned, the Seahawks are 15-1 as a favourite this year. They posted a league-best +13.9 average margin of victory in those games, and I can’t picture them losing by more than a field goal.

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Seahawks vs. Patriots SGP prediction

Walker anytime TD (-190): Walker was the lead back for Seattle all season, but Zach Charbonnet was the goal-line assassin (or vulture, if you had Walker on your fantasy team).

Walker had five rushing touchdowns, and Charbonnet put up 12.

But Walker has gone full bell-cow in the playoffs after Charbonnet suffered a season-ending injury. The fifth year back has turned 45 touches into 256 all-purpose yards and four touchdowns.

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Sophomore RB George Holani was activated from the IR ahead of the NFC Championship game. But he’s more of a pass-catching back, as NorthStar Bets’ Jordan Horrobin alluded to in our Super Bowl 60 best bets.

Near the goal line, I fully expect Walker to be the difference maker.

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Drake Maye same-game parlay pick

Maye over 35.5 rushing yards (-117): Seattle’s defence brings a ton of pressure despite ranking inside the bottom 10 in blitz rate.

6th in pressure rate (26.1%)
7th in pass rush win rate (41%)

That’s a huge luxury for Macdonald’s defence. Especially against a Patriots offence which has allowed five sacks in each playoff game.

-> Bet on Drake Maye in the Super Bowl

Luckily for New England, Maye has serious legs and can avoid pressure.

He scrambled for 450 yards in the regular season and had 65-plus rushing yards against Los Angeles and Denver in the playoffs.

Seattle will likely have Maye under duress all game long, which should force the young QB to tuck and run often. I like his chances of smashing this total.

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Super Bowl 2026 predictions made at 4 p.m. ET on Jan. 30, 2026.

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