Staff Writer

Eagles vs. Packers Week 10 Monday Night Football picks: Fade Green Bay’s offence, back Saquon Barkley

The Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles close out Week 10 with a possible NFC Championship preview at Lambeau Field.

The pregame narrative: Philadelphia (6-2) and Green Bay (5-2-1) top a cluster of two-loss NFC teams entering the weekend’s action, but it feels like neither has played its best football yet. The Packers are slightly favoured despite losing as 13.5-point favourites last week.

Check out my Eagles vs. Packers picks for Nov. 10, featuring a prop bet on Saquon Barkley

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Eagles vs. Packers picks

Best Bet: Packers under 23.5 points (-114)

The Packers’ offence is highly suspect.

Green Bay has laid an egg twice this season as massive favourites, losing both games outright.

Week 3: 13-10 loss @ Cleveland Browns
Week 9: 16-13 loss vs. Carolina Panthers

To be fair, the Packers averaged 32.3 PPG while going 3-0-1 in the four games between. But they faced a bunch of awful defences (Cowboys, Bengals, Cardinals, Steelers), and you can’t say that about the Eagles.

Philadelphia has all-pro talent in all three levels and has held five of its eight opponents under this total.

-> Bet on Eagles vs. Packers on Monday Night Football

Tucker Kraft, arguably Green Bay’s top pass-catching weapon, is out for the season with a torn ACL, while WRs Matthew Golden, Dontayvion Wicks and Christian Watson are all listed as questionable.

That makes life even more difficult for Matt LaFleur.

The Eagles’ defence hasn’t played to the level that it did in 2024, but it has the personnel to sell out and stop the run game, given the Packers’ injury report.

Key stat: Philadelphia beat Green Bay, 22-10, in the postseason last year.

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Barkley TD prediction

Barkley anytime TD (+107): Barkley had his breakout game before the Eagles’ bye, rushing for 150 yards and a touchdown against the New York Giants.

He now has six total TDs through eight games after logging 20 in 20 full games last season.

With that said, this plus-money price feels like a steal.

Bettors had to worry about Jalen Hurts and the Tush Push vulturing TDs last year, but Philadelphia has dialled that back in the early goings.

Hurts has 10 rushes from inside the 10-yard line this season, while Barkley has 21. The signal caller has only scored one rushing TD in his last five games while throwing 12.

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Make no mistake, Green Bay’s defence is elite. But so is Barkley, and I’ll take him at this price to score against any team.

Eagles vs. Packers picks made at 3:19 p.m. ET 11/08/2025.

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Suns vs. Clippers SGP predictions Nov. 8: Back Harden and fade Beal in +310 wager

The Phoenix Suns and Los Angeles Clippers close out Saturday’s NBA slate with the second leg of their home-and-home.

The pregame narrative: Phoenix beat L.A. in the desert on Thursday, but is a slim, 5-point road underdog tonight. Kawhi Leonard remains out for the Clippers, while Jalen Green looks to build off a solid season debut for the Suns.

Check out my Suns vs. Clippers SGP predictions for Nov. 8, featuring James Harden and Bradley Beal.

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Suns vs. Clippers SGP

Parlay: Suns +6.5 | Harden 3+ threes | Beal under 1.5 threes (+310)

Suns +6.5 (-141): I like Phoenix’s chances of winning this game outright.

Los Angeles is a solid home team, but it is missing its star player. In the last two games without Kawhi, the Clippers are 0-2 while averaging just 104.5 PPG.

Last year, L.A. managed to succeed in Leonard’s absence thanks to the elite scoring of Norman Powell and a deep bench.

But Powell is gone, the Clippers’ bench ranks 18th in FG%, and there isn’t much to like about the big acquisition of Beal so far (more on that later).

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Phoenix obviously took a step back with Kevin Durant moving on, but Jalen Green should be a solid Robin to Devin Booker’s Batman.

The 2021 No. 2 overall pick scored 29 points on 50.0% shooting in his Suns debut against the Clippers on Thursday.

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NBA SGP legs

Beal under 1.5 threes (-177): Losing Durant was a blow for Phoenix, but losing Beal might end up being addition by subtraction.

The veteran guard can never stay healthy, and is really struggling to produce while on a minutes restriction for the Clippers.

Beal is averaging 7.4 points on 35.9% shooting while playing 20-odd minutes a night.

He’s gone under 1.5 threes in four of five games, and went 1-for-5 from deep against the Suns on Thursday. The Clippers were -23 with him on the court in that game.

Phoenix is allowing the eighth-fewest 3s per game to opposing shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros.

-> Bet on James Harden on Saturday night

Harden 3+ threes (-186): Harden is one player on L.A. who can light it up from deep.

The Beard is averaging 3.6 threes on 8.6 attempts per game (41.7%).

He has drained four-plus 3s in three straight games.

Harden also averaged 3.0 threes last year with L.A. (35.2% shooting).

The point guard has played 38-plus minutes in every non-blowout game for L.A. this year. I expect Phoenix to keep this close, but not run away with things.

That should mean Harden will get enough opportunities to clear this total. He hit five 3s against Phoenix on Oct. 24.

Suns vs. Clippers SGP made at 1:30 p.m. ET 11/08/2025.

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Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks Nov. 8: Fade VJ Edgecombe and back RJ Barrett

The Toronto Raptors and Philadelphia 76ers begin their season series on Saturday night, with the former looking for a fifth straight win.

The latest: Toronto followed up its four-game losing streak with a four-game winning streak, but is still a 5-point road underdog in Philadelphia. The Sixers are getting superb play out of Tyrese Maxey, who is leading the league in scoring while Joel Embiid is on a minutes restriction.

Check out these Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks for the game on Nov. 8, featuring VJ Edgecombe and RJ Barrett.

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Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks

Best bet: Edgecombe under 19.5 points and rebounds (-107)

Edgecombe is living up to the hype as the No. 3 overall pick.

The Baylor Bears product is averaging 17.6 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.8 assists so far — well above this number. But I think he’s worth fading tonight for a few reasons.

Opportunity: Edgecombe averaged 40.2 minutes per game in October with Jared McCain sidelined. The guard returned on Tuesday and should eat into his playing time. Joel Embiid also logged season-highs in minutes (26) and FGA (21) his last time out.

Form: The rookie averaged 21.2 PPG on 49.4% shooting in October (4-1 vs. this line) and is averaging 11.7 PPG on 34.2% shooting in November (1-2 vs. this line).

Opponent: Toronto allows the second-fewest PPG to opposing shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros.

-> Full Raptors vs. 76ers props at NorthStar Bets

Edgecombe should still get a solid amount of run, but I expect Nick Nurse to pull his minutes back in favour of McCain, who was a rookie of the year candidate last season before getting injured.

Expect a quiet night out of the top pick in a tough matchup.

Key stat: Edgecombe is just 7-for-26 from the floor in his last two games (26.9%).

-> Wager on Saturday’s loaded eight-game NBA slate

RJ Barrett prop bet

Barrett 20+ points (-130): There are a lot of mouths to feed on Toronto’s offence, but Barrett has been consistent across the board.

12+ FGA in eight of nine games
50.0% or better shooting in seven of nine games
20+ PPG in six of nine games (19 points in one of the outliers)

-> Bet on RJ Barrett here!

The third-year Raptor is going to get his shots up, and right now, they’re falling.

Barrett has done a ton of damage at the rim (37% of shots) and in the short mid-range (28% of shots), areas Philadelphia struggles to defend.

The Sixers have the fifth-worst rim defence (72.5%) in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.

Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 11/08/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 8: Back Nikola Jokic and Victor Wembanyama on Saturday

Two of the game’s most electrifying big men, Nikola Jokic and Victor Wembanyama, headline Saturday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Jokic and Wembanyama currently sit second and fourth on the MVP odds board after strong starts to the season. I’m backing the former to fill the basket against the Indiana Pacers and the latter to rack up rebounds against the New Orleans Pelicans.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 8, featuring a pick on Los Angeles Lakers guard Jake LaRavia.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 8

Best bet: Jokic over 26.5 points (-130)

Jokic isn’t like most superstars.

He requires very few maintenance days and rarely sits on back-to-backs.

And, most importantly for this wager, his production doesn’t dip when playing a second game in a row — in fact, it improves. Check out his numbers from last season:

No rest (12 GP): 33.9 PPG, 69.7 TS%, 32.3% usage rate
1 day rest (41 GP): 28.5 PPG, 64.4 TS%, 29.5% usage rate
2 days rest (9 GP): 26.4 PPG, 69.3 TS%, 25.6% usage rate

The Denver Nuggets’ lead man takes a bigger role when his team is tired, and tonight should be no different.

-> Bet on Jokic to dominate the Pacers at NorthStar Bets

Jokic scored 25 points in 28 minutes yesterday on a hyper-efficient 12-of-15 shooting. That brought his November FG rate up to an absurd 69.1%.

Indiana is suffering a next-level NBA Finals hangover, starting the season 1-7 with the fourth-worst net rating (-8.3) in the league.

The Pacers have been ravaged by injuries, to be fair, but I doubt Jokic cares about that.

Key stat: Jokic is averaging 31.0 PPG this month.

Today’s best NBA prop bets

Wembanyama over 11.5 rebounds (-118): Wembanyama came out of the gates flying, averaging 30.2 points and 14.6 rebounds through five games in October.

November hasn’t been as pretty (16.7 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 0-3 vs. this line), but he should bounce back tonight.

-> Bet on Wembanyama to clear his rebounding total

The French phenom is still playing big minutes and has a size advantage unlike anyone in basketball. Standing at 7-foot-4, he should decimate a Pelicans front court missing Zion Williamson and Yves Missi.

New Orleans ranks 29th in rebounding rate (47.1%) so far.

LaRavia 2+ threes (-108): Austin Reaves and Gabe Vincent are out tonight, meaning LaRavia will step into the starting shooting guard position.

The 24-year-old is shooting 40.6% from deep this year, and is playing a healthy 36.3 minutes per game this month.

LaRavia and the Lakers take on an Atlanta Hawks team with the second-best 3-point defence in basketball. This isn’t an easy matchup, but I’m banking on opportunities.

Luka Doncic has taken 11 threes in consecutive games and should stretch the floor for LaRavia.

NBA prop picks made at 10:48 a.m. ET on 11/08/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 8: Back Nikola Jokic and Victor Wembanyama on Saturday

Two of the game’s most electrifying big men, Nikola Jokic and Victor Wembanyama, headline Saturday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Jokic and Wembanyama currently sit second and fourth on the MVP odds board after strong starts to the season. I’m backing the former to fill the basket against the Indiana Pacers and the latter to rack up rebounds against the New Orleans Pelicans.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 8, featuring a pick on Los Angeles Lakers guard Jake LaRavia.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 8

Best bet: Jokic over 26.5 points (-117)

Jokic isn’t like most superstars.

He requires very few maintenance days and rarely sits on back-to-backs.

And, most importantly for this wager, his production doesn’t dip when playing a second game in a row — in fact, it improves. Check out his numbers from last season:

No rest (12 GP): 33.9 PPG, 69.7 TS%, 32.3% usage rate
1 day rest (41 GP): 28.5 PPG, 64.4 TS%, 29.5% usage rate
2 days rest (9 GP): 26.4 PPG, 69.3 TS%, 25.6% usage rate

The Denver Nuggets’ lead man takes a bigger role when his team is tired, and tonight should be no different.

-> Bet on Jokic to dominate the Pacers at NorthStar Bets

Jokic scored 25 points in 28 minutes yesterday on a hyper-efficient 12-of-15 shooting. That brought his November FG rate up to an absurd 69.1%.

Indiana is suffering a next-level NBA Finals hangover, starting the season 1-7 with the fourth-worst net rating (-8.3) in the league.

The Pacers have been ravaged by injuries, to be fair, but I doubt Jokic cares about that.

Key stat: Jokic is averaging 31.0 PPG this month.

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Today’s best NBA prop bets

Wembanyama over 11.5 rebounds (+105): Wembanyama came out of the gates flying, averaging 30.2 points and 14.6 rebounds through five games in October.

November hasn’t been as pretty (16.7 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 0-3 vs. this line), but he should bounce back tonight.

-> Bet on Wembanyama to clear his rebounding total

The French phenom is still playing big minutes and has a size advantage unlike anyone in basketball. Standing at 7-foot-4, he should decimate a Pelicans front court missing Zion Williamson and Yves Missi.

New Orleans ranks 29th in rebounding rate (47.1%) so far.

LaRavia 2+ threes (-104): Austin Reaves and Gabe Vincent are out tonight, meaning LaRavia will step into the starting shooting guard position.

The 24-year-old is shooting 40.6% from deep this year, and is playing a healthy 36.3 minutes per game this month.

LaRavia and the Lakers take on an Atlanta Hawks team with the second-best 3-point defence in basketball. This isn’t an easy matchup, but I’m banking on opportunities.

Luka Doncic has taken 11 threes in consecutive games and should stretch the floor for LaRavia.

NBA prop picks made at 10:48 a.m. ET on 11/08/2025.

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Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks Nov. 8: Fade VJ Edgecombe and back RJ Barrett

The Toronto Raptors and Philadelphia 76ers begin their season series on Saturday night, with the former looking for a fifth straight win.

The latest: Toronto followed up its four-game losing streak with a four-game winning streak, but is still a 5-point road underdog in Philadelphia. The Sixers are getting superb play out of Tyrese Maxey, who is leading the league in scoring while Joel Embiid is on a minutes restriction.

Check out these Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks for the game on Nov. 8, featuring VJ Edgecombe and RJ Barrett.

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Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks

Best bet: Edgecombe under 20.5 points and rebounds (-107)

Edgecombe is living up to the hype as the No. 3 overall pick.

The Baylor Bears product is averaging 17.6 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.8 assists so far — well above this number. But I think he’s worth fading tonight for a few reasons.

Opportunity: Edgecombe averaged 40.2 minutes per game in October with Jared McCain sidelined. The guard returned on Tuesday and should eat into his playing time. Joel Embiid also logged season-highs in minutes (26) and FGA (21) his last time out.

Form: The rookie averaged 21.2 PPG on 49.4% shooting in October (4-1 vs. this line) and is averaging 11.7 PPG on 34.2% shooting in November (1-2 vs. this line).

Opponent: Toronto allows the second-fewest PPG to opposing shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros.

-> Full Raptors vs. 76ers props at NorthStar Bets

Edgecombe should still get a solid amount of run, but I expect Nick Nurse to pull his minutes back in favour of McCain, who was a rookie of the year candidate last season before getting injured.

Expect a quiet night out of the top pick in a tough matchup.

Key stat: Edgecombe is just 7-for-26 from the floor in his last two games (26.9%).

Embed: #120758

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RJ Barrett prop bet

Barrett 20+ points (-120): There are a lot of mouths to feed on Toronto’s offence, but Barrett has been consistent across the board.

12+ FGA in eight of nine games
50.0% or better shooting in seven of nine games
20+ PPG in six of nine games (19 points in one of the outliers)

-> Bet on RJ Barrett here!

The third-year Raptor is going to get his shots up, and right now, they’re falling.

Barrett has done a ton of damage at the rim (37% of shots) and in the short mid-range (28% of shots), areas Philadelphia struggles to defend.

The Sixers have the fifth-worst rim defence (72.5%) in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.

Raptors vs. 76ers prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on 11/08/2025.

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Steelers vs. Chargers Week 10 Sunday Night Football picks: Take the over, back Ladd McConkey

The Los Angeles Chargers host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football in Week 10.

The pregame narrative: Pittsburgh is coming off its biggest win of the season, beating the Indianapolis Colts at home. But the Steelers’ defence remains suspect, and Los Angeles is a 3-point home favourite despite several key injuries on the offensive line.

Check out my Steelers vs. Chargers picks for Nov. 9, featuring a prop bet on Ladd McConkey.

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Steelers vs. Chargers picks

Best Bet: McConkey 6+ receptions (-125)

Which version of the Steelers’ defence are we going to get?

The one that allowed 33 points to the near-AARP-eligible Joe Flacco, or the one that forced six turnovers and bottled up the Colts?

I’m not sure, but I really don’t think it matters for this prop.

Pittsburgh’s defence is reliant on splash plays, and its secondary gives up a ton of yards regardless of whether it gets them or not.

Case in point: Daniel Jones threw for a season-high 342 yards in last week’s loss.

-> Bet on Ladd McConkey and more Steelers vs. Chargers prop markets

Pittsburgh’s pass rush should get home without Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater, forcing Herbert to throw the ball quickly.

That makes McConkey, operating mainly out of the slot, a prime target:

McConkey has an 8.6-yard average depth of target (26th percentile among WRs, per RotoWire). He can be a target hog on short-yardage plays.

As a slot receiver, he will often be covered by Pittsburgh’s safeties, which have allowed a 111.1 passer rating against (sixth percentile).

The Steelers have allowed the most receptions (129) and yards (1,572) to opposing wide receivers this season.

Key stat: McConkey leads all Chargers with 40 targets in the last four weeks. In that span, he is 3-1 against this line.

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SNF game total prediction

Over 44.5 points (-112): This feels like a conservative total given how each team has played lately.

Pittsburgh’s defence might be the highest paid in football, but it just isn’t getting consistent results. The unit is allowing the third-most yards per game and has given up 30-plus points four times this year.

Los Angeles’ defence is also slipping after a strong start to the season.

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The Chargers have allowed 24.4 PPG in their last five games, and that number is dragged down by a 37-10 win over the Minnesota Vikings with Carson Wentz playing severely injured.

Overall, both the Chargers and Steelers have gone over this total in four of their last five games.

Steelers vs. Chargers picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET 11/07/2025.

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NFL Week 10 TD picks and predictions: Back Kittle, Shakir and Likely to find pay dirt

One wide receiver and two tight ends make up these NFL Week 10 TD picks.

The pregame narrative: Josh Allen has dominated the Miami Dolphins through the air lately, making Khalil Shakir a strong pick to find the end zone. Elsewhere, back Isiah Likely and George Kittle at healthy plus-money prices.

Check out my top NFL Week 9 TD picks for Sunday, Nov. 9.

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NFL Week 10 TD picks

Best bet: Shakir to score (+200)

The Buffalo Bills straight up own the Dolphins.

Buffalo has won seven straight games agianst Miami while averaging 32.4 PPG.

Allen is averaging 274 passing yards with 20 TD passes and a 115.4 passer rating in that span.

Over his whole career, Allen has 43 passing TDs in 16 games against Miami (2.69 per game).

You could make a solid argument for any of Buffalo’s wide receivers or tight ends to score, but I want to focus on Shakir for a few reasons.

-> Bet on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday

The WR leads Buffalo in red zone targets (nine) and catches (seven). He only has one RZ touchdown on the year, but it did happen to come against the Dolphins in Week 3.

Shakir has 15 targets over his last two weeks, finding the end zone on a 54-yard bomb against the Carolina Panthers.

He can score from anywhere on the field, and Miami’s defence is atrocious.

Key stat: The Dolphins are allowing the seventh-most PPG (27.0)

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Bet on these tight ends to score in NFL Week 10

Likely to score (+260): Likely did everything but find the end zone in his first full game with Lamar Jackson last week.

He hauled in three of four targets for 60 yards and led all tight ends with a 59% snap count.

Mark Andrews and Charlie Kolar, Baltimore’s other two TEs, both scored as Jackson threw four TDs in his return from injury.

But that doesn’t dissuade me from backing Likely against the Minnesota Vikings.

The Vikings’ defence has looked pretty suspect following their Week 6 bye. They’ve allowed 29.6 PPG over three games while ranking 25th in defensive EPA per play, per RBSDM.com.

Minnesota has allowed five touchdowns to TEs this season, tied for the seventh-most in football.

-> Bet on the Likely and Kittle to score on Sunday

Kittle to score (+133): It’s looking like Brock Purdy has a real chance at returning this week, which would be a boon for Kittle and the San Francisco 49ers’ offence.

But I like Kittle’s chances of scoring against the Los Angeles Rams even if it’s Mac Jones under centre.

The workhorse tight end is making his third start since returning from a five-week absence. He logged 81%, 90% and 86% of snaps in those games.

Kittle is coming off a career season where he ranked top three in receiving yards (1,106) and touchdowns (eight) among tight ends.

He’s a big red zone threat who should command targets against any team, with any QB under centre.

NFL TD picks made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 11/06/2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 7: Back Kirill Kaprizov and Macklin Celebrini on Friday

Kirill Kaprizov and Macklin Celebrini headline Friday’s NHL anytime goal picks.

The pregame narrative: Kaprizov is living up to the billing as the NHL’s highest-paid player, and he faces a middling New York Islanders squad tonight. Elsewhere, the red-hot Celebrini holds big plus-money odds to put one past the Winnipeg Jets.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 7.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 7

Best Bet: Kaprizov to score (+116)

Kaprizov’s eight-year, $136 million contract ($17 million AAV) turned heads this offseason, but that’s the price you gotta pay to keep an elite talent.

The Minnesota Wild winger scored 158 goals in 264 games from the 2021-22 season through last year. That nets out to a monster 0.59 goal-per-game pace.

For reference, Leon Draisaitl played at a 0.64 goal-per-game pace in the same span.

-> Bet on Kaprizov and the Wild tonight!

Kaprizov already has eight tucks through 15 games so far, putting himself on pace for another 40-goal campaign.

But I think he’s just heating up.

The Russian has scored in three of his last five games, and now he gets a team with goaltending troubles.

David Rittich is confirmed in goal for New York tonight. The veteran netminder has a 3.04 GAA and .902 SV% after posting an abysmal .887 SV% with the Los Angeles Kings last season.

Key stat: Kaprizov ranks third in goals per game over the last five seasons behind only Draisaitl and Auston Matthews.

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NHL predictions

Celebrini to score (+175): Winnipeg is playing its first leg of a back-to-back tonight, so it’s unclear if the Jets will start Connor Hellebuyck or backup Eric Comrie in goal.

Both goalies have been spectacular, so this will be a tough test for Celebrini regardless of opponent — but I think the 2024 No. 1 pick is up to the task.

The San Jose Sharks are sneakily rolling, winning four of their last seven games while averaging 4.0 goals per game.

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Celebrini has scored six goals in that span, cashing this bet four times. That includes a hat trick against Igor Shesterkin and the New York Rangers.

The young superstar has led the Sharks in shots (40) and scoring chances (48) so far. Look for him to keep rolling.

NHL goal picks made at 1:40 p.m. ET on 11/07/2025.

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Warriors vs. Nuggets SGP predictions Nov. 7: Back Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray in +310 SGP

Friday’s NBA Cup nightcap between the Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors could be lopsided with superstar guard Steph Curry out.

The pregame narrative: Curry is sidelined with an illness, and Jimmy Butler (back) is questionable as well. Denver owns a spotless bill of health and is a 10-point home favourite as a result. The Nuggets hosted the Warriors, with Curry, back in October and lost in an overtime thriller.

Check out my Warriors vs. Nuggets SGP, featuring picks on Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray.

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Warriors vs. Nuggets SGP predictions

Parlay: Nuggets -4.5 | Jokic over 12.5 rebounds | Murray 20+ points (+300)

Nuggets -4.5 (-315): I’m backing both of Denver’s stars to produce, so I’m naturally keen on taking the Denver as a teased-down favourite.

Golden State has only gotten blown out once this season (139-119 vs. Portland), but this feels like a good spot for No. 2.

Curry was out of the lineup on Wednesday, and the Warriors lost 121-116 against their intrastate rival Sacramento Kings — a team with a preseason 35.5 win total projection.

-> Bet on tonight’s NBA slate at NorthStar Bets

Denver is capable of running up the score, especially at home, and is the only team with a top-five offensive rating (third) and defensive rating (fourth) so far.

The Nuggets have covered this spread in five of their last six games.

Embed: #120737

NBA SGP legs

Jokic over 12.5 rebounds (-115): A few days ago, I backed Phoenix Suns centre Mark Williams to go over his 8.5 rebounding total agianst the Warriors. He finished with 16 rebounds in just 28 minutes.

Golden State will remain a team I want to fade on the glass untill proven otherwise.

The undersized Warriors are only giving one player above 6-foot-8 considerable minutes, and that’s 7-foot sophomore Quinten Post, who plays just 14.7 minutes a night.

Butler and Draymond Green are both tenacious rebounders, but the former is questionable, and the latter is playing through rib discomfort.

-> Bet on Nikola Jokic futures markets

Jokic is among the league’s best rebounders and should feast tonight.

He’s 5-2 against this line (clearing it vs. Golden State), while landing on 12 rebounds in one of the outliers.

Murray 20+ points (-150): The Warriors are allowing the seventh-most PPG to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros, and Murray had 25 points against them on opening night.

The guard is in a mini-slump right now, shooting 31.3% over his past two games, but he’s still firing with volume.

-> Bet on tonight’s Warriors vs. Nuggets game

Murray has taken at least 14 shots in every game and is averaging 18.1 FGA on the season. I trust the Canadian to shoot his way out of it.

In his last seven games against the Warriors, Murray is 6-1 against this line while averaging 25.1 PPG.

Warriors vs. Nuggets SGP made at 9:30 a.m. ET 11/07/2025.

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