Staff Writer

Hawks vs. Clippers SGP predictions Nov. 10: Back Atlanta and Porzingis in +310 wager

Monday’s NBA slate ends at Intuit Dome with the Los Angeles Clippers hosting the Atlanta Hawks.

The pregame narrative: Kawhi Leonard and Trae Young are out, zapping a good bit of star power from this showdown. The Clippers are slight home favourites as the Hawks begin a four-game West Coast road trip.

Check out my Hawks vs. Clippers SGP predictions for Nov. 10, featuring Kristaps Porzingis and Derrick Jones Jr.

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Hawks vs. Clippers SGP

Parlay: Hawks +11.5 | Porzingis over 18.5 points | Jones 10+ points (+310)

Hawks +11.5 (-420): I’m being overly cautious with this leg, and believe Atlanta has a good chance to win outright.

The Clippers have dropped four straight games, three of which were at home, and are missing their star player, Leonard. The Hawks are also missing their best player, but have fared much better without Young.

L.A. without Leonard: 0-3, 104.0 PPG
Atlanta without Young: 4-2, 116.7 PPG

Atlanta has only lost by 12-plus points twice this year, and both games were to the Toronto Raptors, a team with much deeper starting talent than L.A.

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James Harden and Bradley Beal are both shooting below 45% from the field, and that’s just not going to cut it.

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NBA SGP legs

Porzingis over 18.5 points (-112): The oft-injured Porzingis has been eased into his Hawks career, reaching 30 minutes of playing time just once so far.

But that was in his last outing, where he attempted 16 shots (his second most this season).

Porzingis only went 4-for-16 from the field and fell shy of this line with 17 points. But I’m encouraged by the opportunities and expect him to play a big factor tonight.

-> Bet on Porzingis on Monday night

The big man has scored at least 15 points in every game, which is a great floor to work with.

Jones 10+ points (-125): Jones is adding some efficient scoring for the Clippers as a starter.

10.8 PPG
59.0 FG%
41.7 3PT%

He’s reached this milestone in four of his last five games, and came within a basket of cashing the wager in the outlier.

Overall, he is 6-3 against this line.

With Leonard out and Beal (hamstring) questionable, Jones should get plenty of run and see an uptick in shooting volume.

Hawks vs. Clippers SGP made at 11:20 a.m. ET 11/10/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 10: Back Derik Queen, Victor Wembanyama and Luka Doncic

Victor Wembanyama and Luka Doncic headline Monday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Doncic (+400) and Wembanyama (+1,000) sit third and fifth on the MVP odds board after strong starts to the season. They should fill the basket tonight with plus matchups against the Charlotte Hornets and Chicago Bulls.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 10, featuring New Orleans Pelicans rookie Derik Queen.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 10

Best bet: Doncic over 34.5 points (-112)

You rarely see a point total this high in the NBA, and may be inclined to fade it out of principle.

But Doncic is a special player with 50-point upside on a nightly basis. He’s averaging 37.0 PPG over six games so far, and has cleared this line four times.

The Slovenian superstar is leading L.A. in FGA (23.8) and 3PA (11.5) per game, so you know he’ll get his shots up — especially with LeBron James out and Austin Reaves (groin) questionable.

-> Bet on Doncic to win the MVP at NorthStar Bets

Charlotte is one of, if not the worst, teams in the NBA, making this an A-plus matchup:

29th in opponent 3PT% (39.7)
26th in opponent PPG (121.0)
24th in defensive rating (117.0)

Doncic can get white-hot from 3-point range, and Charlotte’s perimeter defence is the second-worst in basketball. That should allow him to pile up points quickly.

Key stat: Doncic has scored 34+ points in five of his last seven games against Charlotte.

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Today’s best NBA prop bets

Wembanyama over 25.5 points (-107): Wemby, much like Doncic, has high scoring upside.

This line is much lower, though, probably because of the centres’ recent form. Wembanyama is averaging 17.0 PPG this month on 39.7% shooting.

-> Bet on a monster night from Wembanyama against Chicago

I’m not one to forget what he did in October, though:

30.2 PPG
56.3 FG%
4-1 against this line

I don’t think there’s anyone on the Bulls who can guard Wembanyama in the paint.

Nikola Vucevic is Chicago’s tallest player at 6-foot-9, and he struggles to defend the pick and roll, which Wembanyama and Stephon Castle have been abusing so far.

The Bulls are allowing the seventh-most PPG to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Queen over 6.5 rebounds (-103): I’m liking what I’ve seen out of Queen, the No. 13 overall pick from Maryland, so far.

The 6-foot-9, 250-pound centre is a force in the paint, with strong playmaking skills and a nice scoring touch. Here’s what he’s done in his last three games:

12.0 PPG
6.7 RPG
5.7 APG

Queen is far from a finished product, averaging 3.0 fouls and 1.2 turnovers a night, but is worth backing when the time is right.

And tonight seems like a good opportunity to take the over on his rebounding total, with Zion Williamson out and Yves Missi questionable.

Queen has played 25-plus minutes in consecutive games and has at least five rebounds in five of his last six outings (going 3-3 vs. this line).

The Phoenix Suns, tonight’s opponent, are giving up the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres.

NBA prop picks made at 9:18 a.m. ET on 11/10/2025.

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NFL Week 11 odds and betting lines: Chiefs and Broncos meet in huge AFC West matchup

A slew of big-time divisional matchups are on deck in Week 11.

Week 11 at a glance: The Kansas City Chiefs (5-3) have won the AFC West in each of the last nine seasons. But it’s the Denver Broncos (8-2) who are in pole position so far. Those teams clash at Mile High Stadium with big divisional implications.

Check out the latest NFL Week 11 odds below.

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NFL Week 11 odds: Betting insights

Denver has won two of its last three meetings against Kansas City, but the Chiefs had won 16 straight against their divisional rivals before that. Patrick Mahomes and Co. are coming off a bye, while the Broncos last played on Thursday Night Football.

Another big divisional matchup takes place in Los Angeles, when the 7-2 Rams take on the 7-2 Seahawks. The NFC West is bunched right now, and creating some separation would be key for each team.

All four AFC North teams are doing battle, with the Pittsburgh Steelers hosting the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens taking on the Cleveland Browns. Pittsburgh (5-4) leads the division, but Baltimore (4-5) is now one game back after winning three straight.

The best game of Week 11 takes place on Sunday Night Football, when the Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles battle at Lincoln Financial Field. Detroit is averaging an NFC-best 31.4 PPG and has a slight rest advantage against Philly, which is playing on MNF in Week 10.

-> Week 11 betting odds

NFL Week 11 schedule

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots

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Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins

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Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants

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Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans

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Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons

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Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings

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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

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NFL 4 p.m. slate

San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals

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Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns

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SNF & MNF Week 11 games

Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles

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Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders

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Steelers vs. Chargers Week 10 Sunday Night Football TD picks: Back Darnell Washington and Kimani Vidal

Two AFC teams fighting for playoff positioning battle on Sunday Night Football when the Los Angeles Chargers host the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The pregame narrative: Pittsburgh is coming off a big win over the Indianapolis Colts, but is a slim road underdog at SoFi Stadium against an L.A. team which is lighting up the scoreboard.

Check out our top Steelers vs. Chargers MNF TD picks, featuring Kimani Vidal and Darnell Washington.

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Steelers vs. Chargers TD picks: Week 10

Best bet: Vidal to score a TD (-118)

These odds seem too good to be true.

Los Angeles’ running back room has been decimated by injuries. Najee Harris, Hassan Haskins, and Omarion Hampton are sidelined, meaning Vidal is the team’s bell-cow.

-> Bet on Vidal to score on Sunday Night Football

And he’s made the most of that opportunity.

In the last four weeks, the 2024 sixth-round pick has turned 62 carries into 291 yards (4.7 YPA) and a score. He’s also caught nine passes with one receiving TD.

Vidal should get the lion’s share of opportunities against a suspect Steelers defence. Pittsburgh is allowing the third-most yards per game (383.8) and ranks 26th in EPA per rush, per RBSDM.com.

It needed six turnovers to limit the Colts to 20 points, but still gave up a whopping 368 yards.

Los Angeles is 3-1 in its last four games while averaging 29.3 PPG. I expect it to move the ball down the field and for Vidal to get the red-zone looks.

Key stat: Vidal has received 16 of L.A.’s 18 red-zone carries in the last four weeks.

Sunday Night Football TD picks

Washington to score a TD (+500): I’m going for a big plus-money play by backing Washington.

The 6-foot-7, 265-pound tight end is a red-zone nightmare for opposing defences and is becoming a favourite of Aaron Rodgers.

Washington had zero receptions and just one target in the first three weeks of the season.

He’s caught 13 of 20 targets for 127 yards and a TD in the five games since.

Pittsburgh has Pat Freiermuth and Jonnu Smith in the TE room, too, but Washington’s elite run blocking has caught Mike Tomlin’s attention.

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The big man has led all tight ends in snaps since Pittsburgh’s Week 5 bye.

Steelers vs. Chargers TD picks made at 11:14 a.m. ET 10/26/2025.

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Steelers vs. Chargers Week 10 Sunday Night Football TD picks: Back Darnell Washington and Kimani Vidal

Two AFC teams fighting for playoff positioning battle on Sunday Night Football when the Los Angeles Chargers host the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The pregame narrative: Pittsburgh is coming off a big win over the Indianapolis Colts, but is a slim road underdog at SoFi Stadium against an L.A. team which is lighting up the scoreboard.

Check out our top Steelers vs. Chargers MNF TD picks, featuring Kimani Vidal and Darnell Washington.

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Steelers vs. Chargers TD picks: Week 10

Best bet: Vidal to score a TD (+120)

These odds seem too good to be true.

Los Angeles’ running back room has been decimated by injuries. Najee Harris, Hassan Haskins, and Omarion Hampton are sidelined, meaning Vidal is the team’s bell-cow.

-> Bet on Vidal to score on Sunday Night Football

And he’s made the most of that opportunity.

In the last four weeks, the 2024 sixth-round pick has turned 62 carries into 291 yards (4.7 YPA) and a score. He’s also caught nine passes with one receiving TD.

Vidal should get the lion’s share of opportunities against a suspect Steelers defence. Pittsburgh is allowing the third-most yards per game (383.8) and ranks 26th in EPA per rush, per RBSDM.com.

It needed six turnovers to limit the Colts to 20 points, but still gave up a whopping 368 yards.

Los Angeles is 3-1 in its last four games while averaging 29.3 PPG. I expect it to move the ball down the field, and for Vidal to get the red-zone looks.

Key stat: Vidal has received 16 of L.A.’s 18 red-zone carries in the last four weeks.

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Sunday Night Football TD picks

Washington to score a TD (+360): I’m going for a big plus-money play by backing Washington.

The 6-foot-7, 265-pound tight end is a red-zone nightmare for opposing defences, and is becoming a favourite of Aaron Rodgers.

Washington had zero receptions and just one target in the first three weeks of the season.

He’s caught 13 of 20 targets for 127 yards and a TD in the five games since.

Pittsburgh has Pat Freiermuth and Jonnu Smith in the TE room, too, but Washington’s elite run blocking has caught Mike Tomlin’s attention.

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The big man has led all tight ends in snaps since Pittsburgh’s Week 5 bye.

Steelers vs. Chargers TD picks made at 11:14 a.m. ET 10/26/2025.

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Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP predictions Nov. 9: Back DeRozan and Edwards in +295 ticket

Sunday’s NBA slate is wrapped up in Sacramento when the Kings host the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The pregame narrative: Sacramento (3-6) is off to a slow start but has largely played teams close. The Kings are 5.5-point home underdogs tonight against a T-Wolves team which is 2-3 ATS on the road.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP predictions for Nov. 9, featuring Anthony Edwards and DeMar DeRozan.

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Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP

Parlay: Kings +7.5 | Edwards 3+ threes | DeRozan over 21.5 points (+295)

Kings +7.5 (-162): Sacramento is expected to have a down year, and its 3-6 record indicates just that.

But the Kings are a scrappy group with a ton of veteran talent (DeRozan, Zach LaVine, Domantas Sabonis), who should seldom go down without a fight.

They are 7-2 ATS against this number, beating the Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors outright while losing by six on the road to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

OKC did rout Sacramento by 31 after that, which will happen against the champs.

Minnesota hasn’t hit its stride just yet, with a mediocre 5-4 record through nine games. The T-Wolves’ five wins are against teams with a combined 13-30 record.

These teams split the season series 2-2 last year, with Sacramento covering this number in all four games.

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NBA SGP legs

Edwards 3+ threes (-265): Edwards was nearly automatic at this number last season, averaging 4.1 makes on 10.3 attempts per game (39.5%).

Expect more of the same this season.

The high-flying shooting guard is coming off a monster game against the Utah Jazz on Friday, draining 7-of-12 threes in just 27 minutes of playing time.

-> Bet on Anthony Edwards props at NorthStar Bets

Edwards is 4-1 against this line so far, but is really spotless. The only outlier was a game where he exited after three minutes due to injury.

It doesn’t really matter for a player like Edwards, but it’s worth noting that Sacramento allows the 10th-most 3s per game to opposing SGs, per Fantasy Pros.

DeRozan over 21.5 points (-105): DeRozan can still fill the basket in Year 17 — and he hasn’t had to re-invent the wheel.

The veteran forward has ranked in the 97th percentile or greater in mid-range shot frequency in each of the last 14 seasons, per Cleaning the Glass.

He is taking 71% of his shots in the mid-range this year (100th percentile).

DeRozan is averaging 20.1 PPG. If the season were to end today, it would be his 13th straight season averaging above 20.0 PPG.

Minnesota is a strong defensive team, but one area it struggles to defend is the mid-range. The T-Wolves are allowing opponents to shoot 46.8% from that area of the court, which ranks 26th out of 30 teams.

This seems like a great spot for DeRozan to do damage.

Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP made at 10:40 a.m. ET 11/09/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 9: Back Duren, Simons on Sunday and fade Edgecombe

One of Sunday’s seven NBA games has caught my attention on the prop market.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: The Philadelphia 76ers host the Detroit Pistons with the former playing on a back-to-back. That almost certainly means Joel Embiid will be sidelined, and Detroit is favoured as a result. I’m backing Detroit’s Jalen Duren and am fading Philly’s VJ Edgecombe.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 9, featuring Boston Celtics shooting guard Anfernee Simons.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 8

Best bet: Duren over 18.5 points (-118)

Duren is red-hot, and I want in.

First four games: 20.3 MPG, 13.3 PPG, 57.6 FG%
Last five games: 32.0 MPG, 24.0 PPG, 67.7 FG%

The Pistons’ big man was eased into action but is now fully unleashed, and the results are undeniable.

He just scored 30 points against the Brooklyn Nets on Friday and had a 22-point, 22-rebound outing against the Utah Jazz the game before that.

I want to tap into his abilities as a scorer tonight, on what feels like a very light line against a depleted Sixers squad.

-> Bet on Duren to dominate the Sixers at NorthStar Bets

With Embiid likely out (he hasn’t played on no rest since January 2024), Philly’s frontcourt is lacking size. Paul George and Dominick Barlow are also out, so it’ll mainly be 32-year-old Andre Drummond defending Duren.

Centres have eaten the 76ers alive this year, scoring the sixth-most PPG (25.35), per Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Duren has 20+ points in four of his last five games.

Today’s best NBA prop bets

Edgecombe under 20.5 points and rebounds (-118): I faded Edgecombe on this exact market yesterday against the Toronto Raptors, and it came through.

The rookie guard finished with 11 points and seven rebounds in 36 minutes, extending his November shooting woes (four games):

11.5 PPG
34.0 FG%
22.2 3PT%

I anticipated Jared McCain to be heavily used yesterday, but he was a DNP coach’s decision from Nick Nurse. That means he should get plenty of run tonight, with Embiid sitting out the back-to-back.

-> Fade Edgecombe against Detroit

Edgecombe is getting lots of run for a rookie, so it would make sense for Nurse to pull back a bit, given his shooting struggles and McCain’s return.

On top of that, the Pistons allow the 12th-fewest PPG to opposing SGs.

Simons 3+ threes (+110): There’s a lot to like about Simons at this price.

No team shot more 3s than the Celtics last year, so Simons was a no-brainer addition after Jayson Tatum went down with an injury.

The shooting guard averaged 3.2 threes on 38.1% shooting over his last four years with the Portland Trail Blazers. And he’s been lighting it up with Boston so far:

Simons is averaging 2.8 threes on 7.2 attempts per game (38.9%).

He has cleared this mark in five of his last seven games.

The Orlando Magic, Simons’ opponent tonight, rank 20th in 3-point defence. Boston just played Orlando on Friday, and Simons went 3-for-6 from deep.

NBA prop picks made at 9:05 a.m. ET on 11/09/2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 9: Back Duren, Simons on Sunday and fade Edgecombe

One of Sunday’s seven NBA games has caught my attention on the prop market.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: The Philadelphia 76ers host the Detroit Pistons with the former playing on a back-to-back. That almost certainly means Joel Embiid will be sidelined, and Detroit is favoured as a result. I’m backing Detroit’s Jalen Duren and am fading Philly’s VJ Edgecombe.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 9, featuring Boston Celtics shooting guard Anfernee Simons.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 8

Best bet: Duren over 18.5 points (-107)

Duren is red-hot, and I want in.

First four games: 20.3 MPG, 13.3 PPG, 57.6 FG%
Last five games: 32.0 MPG, 24.0 PPG, 67.7 FG%

The Pistons’ big man was eased into action but is now fully unleashed, and the results are undeniable.

He just scored 30 points against the Brooklyn Nets on Friday and had a 22-point, 22-rebound outing against the Utah Jazz the game before that.

I want to tap into his abilities as a scorer tonight, on what feels like a very light line against a depleted Sixers squad.

-> Bet on Duren to dominate the Sixers at NorthStar Bets

With Embiid likely out (he hasn’t played on no rest since January 2024), Philly’s frontcourt is lacking size. Paul George and Dominick Barlow are also out, so it’ll mainly be 32-year-old Andre Drummond defending Duren.

Centres have eaten the 76ers alive this year, scoring the sixth-most PPG (25.35), per Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Duren has 20+ points in four of his last five games.

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Today’s best NBA prop bets

Edgecombe under 20.5 points and rebounds (-107): I faded Edgecombe on this exact market and number yesterday against the Toronto Raptors, and it came through.

The rookie guard finished with 11 points and seven rebounds in 36 minutes, extending his November shooting woes (four games):

11.5 PPG
34.0 FG%
22.2 3PT%

I anticipated Jared McCain to be heavily used yesterday, but he was a DNP coach’s decision from Nick Nurse. That means he should get plenty of run tonight, with Embiid sitting out the back-to-back.

-> Fade Edgecombe against Detroit

Edgecombe is getting lots of run for a rookie, so it would make sense for Nurse to pull back a bit, given his shooting struggles and McCain’s return.

On top of that, the Pistons allow the 12th-fewest PPG to opposing SGs.

Simons 3+ threes (+138): There’s a lot to like about Simons at this price.

No team shot more 3s than the Celtics last year, so Simons was a no-brainer addition after Jayson Tatum went down with an injury.

The shooting guard averaged 3.2 threes on 38.1% shooting over his last four years with the Portland Trail Blazers. And he’s been lighting it up with Boston so far:

Simons is averaging 2.8 threes on 7.2 attempts per game (38.9%).

He has cleared this mark in five of his last seven games.

The Orlando Magic, Simons’ opponent tonight, rank 20th in 3-point defence. Boston just played Orlando on Friday, and Simons went 3-for-6 from deep.

NBA prop picks made at 9:05 a.m. ET on 11/09/2025.

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NFL Week 10 TD picks and predictions: Back Kittle, Shakir and Likely to find pay dirt

One wide receiver and two tight ends make up these NFL Week 10 TD picks.

The pregame narrative: Josh Allen has dominated the Miami Dolphins through the air lately, making Khalil Shakir a strong pick to find the end zone. Elsewhere, back Isiah Likely and George Kittle at healthy plus-money prices.

Check out my top NFL Week 9 TD picks for Sunday, Nov. 9.

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NFL Week 10 TD picks

Best bet: Shakir to score (+200)

The Buffalo Bills straight up own the Dolphins.

Buffalo has won seven straight games agianst Miami while averaging 32.4 PPG.

Allen is averaging 274 passing yards with 20 TD passes and a 115.4 passer rating in that span.

Over his whole career, Allen has 43 passing TDs in 16 games against Miami (2.69 per game).

You could make a solid argument for any of Buffalo’s wide receivers or tight ends to score, but I want to focus on Shakir for a few reasons.

-> Bet on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday

The WR leads Buffalo in red zone targets (nine) and catches (seven). He only has one RZ touchdown on the year, but it did happen to come against the Dolphins in Week 3.

Shakir has 15 targets over his last two weeks, finding the end zone on a 54-yard bomb against the Carolina Panthers.

He can score from anywhere on the field, and Miami’s defence is atrocious.

Key stat: The Dolphins are allowing the seventh-most PPG (27.0)

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Bet on these tight ends to score in NFL Week 10

Likely to score (+333): Likely did everything but find the end zone in his first full game with Lamar Jackson last week.

He hauled in three of four targets for 60 yards and led all tight ends with a 59% snap count.

Mark Andrews and Charlie Kolar, Baltimore’s other two TEs, both scored as Jackson threw four TDs in his return from injury.

But that doesn’t dissuade me from backing Likely against the Minnesota Vikings.

The Vikings’ defence has looked pretty suspect following their Week 6 bye. They’ve allowed 29.6 PPG over three games while ranking 25th in defensive EPA per play, per RBSDM.com.

Minnesota has allowed five touchdowns to TEs this season, tied for the seventh-most in football.

-> Bet on the Likely and Kittle to score on Sunday

Kittle to score (+175): It’s looking like Brock Purdy has a real chance at returning this week, which would be a boon for Kittle and the San Francisco 49ers’ offence.

But I like Kittle’s chances of scoring against the Los Angeles Rams even if it’s Mac Jones under centre.

The workhorse tight end is making his third start since returning from a five-week absence. He logged 81%, 90% and 86% of snaps in those games.

Kittle is coming off a career season where he ranked top three in receiving yards (1,106) and touchdowns (eight) among tight ends.

He’s a big red zone threat who should command targets against any team, with any QB under centre.

NFL TD picks made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 11/06/2025.

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Eagles vs. Packers Week 10 Monday Night Football picks: Fade Green Bay’s offence, back Saquon Barkley

The Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles close out Week 10 with a possible NFC Championship preview at Lambeau Field.

The pregame narrative: Philadelphia (6-2) and Green Bay (5-2-1) top a cluster of two-loss NFC teams entering the weekend’s action, but it feels like neither has played its best football yet. The Packers are slightly favoured despite losing as 13.5-point favourites last week.

Check out my Eagles vs. Packers picks for Nov. 10, featuring a prop bet on Saquon Barkley

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Eagles vs. Packers picks

Best Bet: Packers under 23.5 points (-134)

The Packers’ offence is highly suspect.

Green Bay has laid an egg twice this season as massive favourites, losing both games outright.

Week 3: 13-10 loss @ Cleveland Browns
Week 9: 16-13 loss vs. Carolina Panthers

To be fair, the Packers averaged 32.3 PPG while going 3-0-1 in the four games between. But they faced a bunch of awful defences (Cowboys, Bengals, Cardinals, Steelers), and you can’t say that about the Eagles.

Philadelphia has all-pro talent in all three levels and has held five of its eight opponents under this total.

-> Bet on Eagles vs. Packers on Monday Night Football

Tucker Kraft, arguably Green Bay’s top pass-catching weapon, is out for the season with a torn ACL, while WRs Matthew Golden, Dontayvion Wicks and Christian Watson are all listed as questionable.

That makes life even more difficult for Matt LaFleur.

The Eagles’ defence hasn’t played to the level that it did in 2024, but it has the personnel to sell out and stop the run game, given the Packers’ injury report.

Key stat: Philadelphia beat Green Bay, 22-10, in the postseason last year.

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Barkley TD prediction

Barkley anytime TD (-125): Barkley had his breakout game before the Eagles’ bye, rushing for 150 yards and a touchdown against the New York Giants.

He now has six total TDs through eight games after logging 20 in 20 full games last season.

With that said, this price feels like a steal.

Bettors had to worry about Jalen Hurts and the Tush Push vulturing TDs last year, but Philadelphia has dialled that back in the early goings.

Hurts has 10 rushes from inside the 10-yard line this season, while Barkley has 21. The signal caller has only scored one rushing TD in his last five games while throwing 12.

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Make no mistake, Green Bay’s defence is elite. But so is Barkley, and I’ll take him at this price to score against any team.

Eagles vs. Packers picks made at 3:19 p.m. ET 11/08/2025.

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