Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs prop picks Nov. 13: Back Corey Perry and William Nylander

Kings vs. Maple Leafs prop picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs are home underdogs on Thursday when they host the Los Angeles Kings.

The pregame narrative: Things aren’t going well in Leaf Land. Toronto is giving up the most goals per game, has dropped three straight, and currently sits 15th in the Eastern Conference. Injuries to Auston Matthews and Anthony Stolarz, both of whom are questionable at the time of writing, loom large.

Check out my Kings vs. Maple Leafs prop picks for the game on Nov. 13

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the Maple Leafs

Editor’s note: Auston Matthews is out tonight with a lower-body injury, per Chris Johnston.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs prop picks

Best Bet: Perry to record a point (+112)

There isn’t much to like about Toronto’s defensive game.

The Leafs look slow and disinterested, ceding 3.82 goals per game. On top of that, they’re allowing the fifth-most chances (62.84) and shots (30.66) on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

Goaltending was the team’s greatest strength last year, but that’s far from the case so far:

  • Stolarz (who might not play tonight) has a 3.51 GAA and an .884 SV%. Those marks rank 45th and 40th, respectively, among all netminders.
  • Backup Dennis Hildeby hasn’t been much better with a 3.74 GAA and .909 SV%. He gave up five goals in his lone start on Sunday against the Carolina Hurricanes.

-> Bet on Kings vs. Maple Leafs at NorthStar Bets

There’s plenty of time for the Leafs to turn things around, but I’m content on fading them until they give me a reason not to.

That said, Perry is my value pick to find the score sheet for Los Angeles. The journeyman winger has been on fire to start the season with seven goals and 11 points in 11 games.

He’s been shuffled throughout the lineup but is a mainstay on the top power-play unit, where he has contributed three points.

Getting him to record a point at plus money seems fair to me.

Key stat: Perry has a point in eight of his last 10 games.

Embed: #120929

Best NHL prop picks

Nylander over 2.5 shots (-143): The Maple Leafs have been in almost every game thanks to Nylander, who ranks sixth in the NHL with 24 points, and the offence.

The Swede is on a heater right now with five goals and nine points in his last five games. In that span, he’s averaging 3.8 shots per game and is 3-2 against this line.

-> Wager on Nylander to contribute for the Maple Leafs

If Matthews is out, Nylander might draw a tougher matchup. But he’ll also likely see more ice time, so I think that should even things out.

Either way, this line seems low.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs prop picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET 11/13/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

ATP Finals 2025 tennis predictions Nov. 13: Best bets for Fritz vs. de Minaur, Alcaraz vs. Musetti

Tennis predictions Nov. 13

The ATP Finals continue on Thursday with the final slate of round-robin matches for the Jimmy Connors Group.

The pregame narrative: Carlos Alcaraz is unbeaten so far and is a massive favourite over No. 8-seed Lorenzo Musetti. Assuming the Spaniard wins, the winner of Taylor Fritz and Alex de Minaur would advance to the semi-finals.

Check out my top ATP Finals tennis predictions for Nov. 13 below.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the ATP Finals

ATP Finals tennis predictions Nov. 13

Best bet: Fritz vs. de Minaur over 22.5 games (-120)

This duo plays before Alcaraz and Musetti, which takes a pinch of drama out of the match.

But it would be a shocker to see Alcaraz lose, so it’s fair to say Fritz and de Minaur will be playing as if their lives depend on it. That said, I expect a long and drawn-out war between two of the game’s best.

Fritz pushed Alcaraz to the brink in his round-robin defeat on Tuesday, losing 6-7, 7-5, 6-3. He handled Musetti before that but is 5-5 overall in his last 10 matches.

With both players on their A-game, I think Fritz could win in straight sets. But there are chinks in his armour right now, and de Minaur’s elite defensive play should help him secure a few key breaks throughout the match.

-> Bet on Fritz vs. de Minaur at the ATP Finals

The Australian is having the best season of his career, posting a 42-16 record across all hardcourt surfaces.

de Minaur is 0-2 in group stage play so far, but he also pushed Alcaraz to a tiebreak and lost in three sets to Musetti. He’s gone over this total in three of his last five matches.

Key stat: de Minaur and Fritz are 5-5 against each other, with four of their last six matches requiring three sets and going over this total.

Alcaraz vs. Musetti tennis pick

Alcaraz -4.5 games (-125): Musetti snapped his five-match losing streak against top-10 players on Tuesday with a win over de Minaur.

But he needed tie breaks to win each set, and it doesn’t paper over his larger problems against great players on this surface:

  • Musetti is 3-16 against top-10 ranked opponents on hardcourts, losing 14 of those matches in straight sets.
  • That includes an 0-2 record against Alcaraz, where Musetti lost 6-3, 6-3 and 6-2, 6-2.

Overall, the Spaniard has dominated this matchup. He is 6-1 against the Italian, with the only loss coming way back in 2022.

-> Bet on Alcaraz to beat Musetti

Alcaraz is at his best on clay, just like Musetti, but he can dominate on any surface. Just look at his Grand Slam trophy cabinet.

You can’t say the same about Musetti, who has a very mediocre 54% win rate on hardcourts.

This should be a rout.

ATP Finals tennis predictions made at 3:30 p.m. on 11/12/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

ATP Finals 2025 tennis predictions Nov. 13: Best bets for Fritz vs. de Minaur, Alcaraz vs. Musetti

Tennis predictions Nov. 13

The ATP Finals continue on Thursday with the final slate of round-robin matches for the Jimmy Connors Group.

The pregame narrative: Carlos Alcaraz is unbeaten so far and is a massive favourite over No. 8-seed Lorenzo Musetti. Assuming the Spaniard wins, the winner of Taylor Fritz and Alex de Minaur would advance to the semi-finals.

Check out my top ATP Finals tennis predictions for Nov. 13 below.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the ATP Finals

ATP Finals tennis predictions Nov. 13

Best bet: Fritz vs. de Minaur over 22.5 games (-121)

This duo plays before Alcaraz and Musetti, which takes a pinch of drama out of the match.

But it would be a shocker to see Alcaraz lose, so it’s fair to say Fritz and de Minaur will be playing as if their lives depend on it. That said, I expect a long and drawn-out war between two of the game’s best.

Fritz pushed Alcaraz to the brink in his round-robin defeat on Tuesday, losing 6-7, 7-5, 6-3. He handled Musetti before that but is 5-5 overall in his last 10 matches.

With both players on their A-game, I think Fritz could win in straight sets. But there are chinks in his armour right now, and de Minaur’s elite defensive play should help him secure a few key breaks throughout the match.

-> Bet on Fritz vs. de Minaur at the ATP Finals

The Australian is having the best season of his career, posting a 42-16 record across all hardcourt surfaces.

de Minaur is 0-2 in group stage play so far, but he also pushed Alcaraz to a tiebreak and lost in three sets to Musetti. He’s gone over this total in three of his last five matches.

Key stat: de Minaur and Fritz are 5-5 against each other, with four of their last six matches requiring three sets and going over this total.

Alcaraz vs. Musetti tennis pick

Alcaraz -4.5 games (-127): Musetti snapped his five-match losing streak against top-10 players on Tuesday with a win over de Minaur.

But he needed tie breaks to win each set, and it doesn’t paper over his larger problems against great players on this surface:

  • Musetti is 3-16 against top-10 ranked opponents on hardcourts, losing 14 of those matches in straight sets.
  • That includes an 0-2 record against Alcaraz, where Musetti lost 6-3, 6-3 and 6-2, 6-2.

Overall, the Spaniard has dominated this matchup. He is 6-1 against the Italian, with the only loss coming way back in 2022.

-> Bet on Alcaraz to beat Musetti

Alcaraz is at his best on clay, just like Musetti, but he can dominate on any surface. Just look at his Grand Slam trophy cabinet.

You can’t say the same about Musetti, who has a very mediocre 54% win rate on hardcourts.

This should be a rout.

ATP Finals tennis predictions made at 3:30 p.m. on 11/12/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Jets vs. Patriots TNF Week 11 SGP predictions: Back Breece Hall, Henderson in +460 wager

Jets vs. Patriots predictions

NFL Week 11 begins in Foxborough, Massachusetts, when the New England Patriots host the New York Jets.

The pregame narrative: New England has won seven straight games and holds a sizeable AFC East lead behind MVP frontrunner Drake Maye. New York, meanwhile, has back-to-back victories after starting the year off 0-7, but is still a sizeable road underdog in this divisional matchup.

Check out my Jets vs. Patriots SGP predictions for Nov. 13, featuring Breece Hall and TreVeyon Henderson.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL

Jets vs. Patriots predictions

SGP: Jets +20.5 | Hall 3+ receptions | Henderson anytime TD (+460)

Jets +20.5 (-345): New England deserves to be heavily favoured in this matchup, but I struggle to see it winning by three-plus scores.

After all, how good are these Pats, really?

Mike Vrabel’s squad has beaten up on a bunch of bad opponents (Panthers, Bengals, Browns, Titans, Saints) and has a pair of razor-thin wins over contenders (Buccaneers, Bills).

I’m not trying to knock the Patriots for taking care of business against bad teams, but they’ve only covered a 20-point spread once all season.

-> Bet on New York vs. New England on TNF

New York has yet to lose by 21+ points and has actually kept seven of nine games within one score.

The Jets will be missing star wide receiver Garrett Wilson, but I still think defensive-minded head coach Aaron Glenn can turn this divisional matchup into a slog.

Embed: #120903

Thursday Night Football SGP picks

Hall 3+ receptions (+112): You know that meme of a Bugatti being parked next to a mobile home? That’s how I feel about Hall on the Jets.

The fourth-year running back ranks 10th in rushing yards (664) and is churning out a respectable 4.8 YPA behind an awful offensive line.

He’s also caught 22 passes for 220 yards, which nets out to an average of 2.4 receptions per game.

Hall is an elite pass-catching back who should be targeted more often. In his sophomore season, he caught 76 passes in 17 games (4.47/game).

Without Wilson, I think it’s a no-brainer to get Hall more involved in the passing game. Justin Fields should be checking it down to him early and often.

-> Build your own SGP featuring Hall and Henderson here!

Henderson anytime TD (-155): Henderson’s breakout opportunity came at the expense of a Rhamondre Stevenson injury. And the rookie RB delivered with the veteran sidelined over the past two games.

  • Week 9: 18 touches, 87 scrimmage yards
  • Week 10: 15 touches, 150 scrimmage yards, two TDs

Henderson also turned 10 carries into 75 yards in Week 8 with a fully healthy backfield.

-> Visit NorthStar Bets for all NFL Week 11 betting markets

Stevenson (toe, questionable) might return this week, but it would be hard for Vrabel to put the genie back in the bottle now.

The Ohio State product has earned the right to get red zone touches, and New York’s defence ranks 22nd in EPA per rush, according to RBSDM.com.

Jets vs. Patriots predictions made at 11:35 a.m. ET 11/12/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 12: Bet on Jack Hughes, Tage Thompson to score

NHL goal picks Nov. 12

A pair of American stars headline Wednesday’s NHL anytime goal picks.

The pregame narrative: Jack Hughes is on a Hart Trophy trajectory and has a great opportunity to keep producing as the New Jersey Devils battle the Chicago Blackhawks. Elsewhere, Tage Thompson is a value play to score against a struggling netminder.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 12.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

NHL goal picks Nov. 12

Best Bet: Hughes to score (+110)

Back-to-back injury-shortened seasons have kept Hughes from really elevating his game. But New Jersey’s winger is healthy right now, and he’s flying (14 games played):

  • 10 goals
  • 18 points
  • 66 shots

Hughes has only scored once this month, but it’s not for lack of effort.

He had 11 shots on goal his last time out and generated 17 chances, per Natural Stat Trick. And in the two games before that, he logged five and six SOG, respectively.

-> Bet on Hughes and the Devils tonight!

The American might be a tad snakebitten, but going up against the Blackhawks should fix that.

Chicago is allowing the third-most shots per game (31.5) and ranks ninth in xG against (59.15), per MoneyPuck. The Blackhawks have gotten spectacular goaltending from Spencer Knight, who is expected to start tonight, but it’s fair to wonder how long that will last.

I’m betting on both Hughes and Knight to regress to the mean this evening.

Key stat: Hughes has five goals and 11 points in his last seven games vs. Chicago.

NHL predictions

Thompson to score (+130): Thompson would probably scoff at me calling Hughes snakebitten.

The Buffalo Sabres centre has four goals on 61 shots this year, netting out to a 9.8 shooting percentage. That’s hardly better than half of his 18.2% mark last year and well below his 13.4% career average.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to bet on Thompson now

He can’t buy a goal, but he’s steadily putting pucks on net and leads Buffalo in several offensive categories, including shots, scoring chances (47) and total chances (129).

The Sabres battle the Utah Mammoth, who are expected to start Karel Vejmelka tonight.

Vejmelka has allowed 15 goals in his last four games and has an .881 SV% (42nd in the NHL).

Thompson scored 44 goals last year, and I expect him to break out of this funk sooner rather than later.

NHL goal picks made at 10 a.m. ET on 11/12/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 12: Bet on Jack Hughes, Tage Thompson to score

NHL goal picks Nov. 12

A pair of American stars headline Wednesday’s NHL anytime goal picks.

The pregame narrative: Jack Hughes is on a Hart Trophy trajectory and has a great opportunity to keep producing as the New Jersey Devils battle the Chicago Blackhawks. Elsewhere, Tage Thompson is a value play to score against a struggling netminder.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 12.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

NHL goal picks Nov. 12

Best Bet: Hughes to score (+107)

Back-to-back injury-shortened seasons have kept Hughes from really elevating his game. But New Jersey’s winger is healthy right now, and he’s flying (14 games played):

  • 10 goals
  • 18 points
  • 66 shots

Hughes has only scored once this month, but it’s not for lack of effort.

He had 11 shots on goal his last time out and generated 17 chances, per Natural Stat Trick. And in the two games before that, he logged five and six SOG, respectively.

-> Bet on Hughes and the Devils tonight!

The American might be a tad snakebitten, but going up against the Blackhawks should fix that.

Chicago is allowing the third-most shots per game (31.5) and ranks ninth in xG against (59.15), per MoneyPuck. The Blackhawks have gotten spectacular goaltending from Spencer Knight, who is expected to start tonight, but it’s fair to wonder how long that will last.

I’m betting on both Hughes and Knight to regress to the mean this evening.

Key stat: Hughes has five goals and 11 points in his last seven games vs. Chicago.

Embed: #120898

NHL predictions

Thompson to score (+138): Thompson would probably scoff at me calling Hughes snakebitten.

The Buffalo Sabres centre has four goals on 61 shots this year, netting out to a 9.8 shooting percentage. That’s hardly better than half of his 18.2% mark last year and well below his 13.4% career average.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to bet on Thompson now

He can’t buy a goal, but he’s steadily putting pucks on net and leads Buffalo in several offensive categories, including shots, scoring chances (47) and total chances (129).

The Sabres battle the Utah Mammoth, who are expected to start Karel Vejmelka tonight.

Vejmelka has allowed 15 goals in his last four games and has an .881 SV% (42nd in the NHL).

Thompson scored 44 goals last year, and I expect him to break out of this funk sooner rather than later.

NHL goal picks made at 10 a.m. ET on 11/12/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

ATP Finals 2025 tennis predictions Nov. 11: Picks on Alcaraz vs. Fritz, de Minaur vs. Musetti

Tennis predictions Nov. 11

Four of tennis’ top stars, including World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz, are in action at the ATP Finals on Tuesday.

The pregame narrative: Alcaraz is a sizeable favourite over Taylor Fritz, as the duo meet for a fourth time this season. After that, a surging Alex de Minaur takes on Lorenzo Musetti, who snuck into the finals after Novak Djokovic withdrew with an injury.

Check out my top ATP Finals tennis predictions for Nov. 11 below.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on tennis

ATP Finals tennis predictions Nov. 11

Best Bet: de Minaur -1.5 sets (+105)

All of these players are great, but Musetti is a smidge below the rest, in my opinion.

The Italian finished ninth in the standings, just outside of the bubble, after losing to Novak Djokovic in the Hellenic Championship final. But Djokovic withdrew from the ATP Finals, so Musetti made it in on a technicality.

-> Bet on de Minaur vs. Musetti here

That loss to Djokovic, followed by a loss to Taylor Fritz in Monday’s group-stage play, continued a concerning trend: Musetti has lost five straight matches to top-10 players while winning just two sets.

de Minaur is on top of his game right now and owns a stellar 31-11 hardcourt record this season.

The Australian is 14-5 in his last 19 matches, with three of those losses coming to either Jannik Sinner or Alcaraz. And of those 14 wins, 11 came in straight sets.

Musetti owns a 3-1 head-to-head record against de Minaur, but none of those wins came on this surface.

The Italian is a clay court specialist, and has an underwhelming 53.8% win rate on hardcourts, which is where de Minaur beat him.

Key stat: Musetti is 3-15 against top-10 ranked opponents on hardcourts, losing 14 of those matches in straight sets.

Alcaraz vs. Fritz best bet

Under 22 games (-120): I think Alcaraz will make quick work of Fritz on Tuesday.

The Spaniard has largely had the American’s number, going 4-1 against him with the only loss coming at the Laver Cup in September.

-> Bet on Alcaraz vs. Fritz here

The World No. 1 wasn’t at his best that day, firing just one ace while Fritz dominated baseline play.

Alcaraz got his revenge just 10 days later at the Japan Open, winning 6-4, 6-4. That tells me Fritz hasn’t quite cracked the code.

And if you put the Laver Cup win aside, Fritz has largely struggled against the best of the best.

He is 2-19 against Alcaraz, Sinner and Novak Djokovic.

ATP Finals tennis predictions made at 3:20 p.m. on 11/10/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

ATP Finals 2025 tennis predictions Nov. 11: Picks on Alcaraz vs. Fritz, de Minaur vs. Musetti

Tennis predictions Nov. 11

Four of tennis’ top stars, including World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz, are in action at the ATP Finals on Tuesday.

The pregame narrative: Alcaraz is a sizeable favourite over Taylor Fritz, as the duo meet for a fourth time this season. After that, a surging Alex de Minaur takes on Lorenzo Musetti, who snuck into the finals after Novak Djokovic withdrew with an injury.

Check out my top ATP Finals tennis predictions for Nov. 11 below.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on tennis

ATP Finals tennis predictions Nov. 11

Best Bet: de Minaur -1.5 sets (+110)

All of these players are great, but Musetti is a smidge below the rest, in my opinion.

The Italian finished ninth in the standings, just outside of the bubble, after losing to Novak Djokovic in the Hellenic Championship final. But Djokovic withdrew from the ATP Finals, so Musetti made it in on a technicality.

-> Bet on de Minaur vs. Musetti here

That loss to Djokovic, followed by a loss to Taylor Fritz in Monday’s group-stage play, continued a concerning trend: Musetti has lost five straight matches to top-10 players while winning just two sets.

de Minaur is on top of his game right now and owns a stellar 31-11 hardcourt record this season.

The Australian is 14-5 in his last 19 matches, with three of those losses coming to either Jannik Sinner or Alcaraz. And of those 14 wins, 11 came in straight sets.

Musetti owns a 3-1 head-to-head record against de Minaur, but none of those wins came on this surface.

The Italian is a clay court specialist, and has an underwhelming 53.8% win rate on hardcourts, which is where de Minaur beat him.

Key stat: Musetti is 3-15 against top-10 ranked opponents on hardcourts, losing 14 of those matches in straight sets.

Alcaraz vs. Fritz best bet

Under 22.5 games (-121): I think Alcaraz will make quick work of Fritz on Tuesday.

The Spaniard has largely had the American’s number, going 4-1 against him with the only loss coming at the Laver Cup in September.

-> Bet on Alcaraz vs. Fritz here

The World No. 1 wasn’t at his best that day, firing just one ace while Fritz dominated baseline play.

Alcaraz got his revenge just 10 days later at the Japan Open, winning 6-4, 6-4. That tells me Fritz hasn’t quite cracked the code.

And if you put the Laver Cup win aside, Fritz has largely struggled against the best of the best.

He is 2-19 against Alcaraz, Sinner and Novak Djokovic.

ATP Finals tennis predictions made at 3:20 p.m. on 11/10/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

NFL Week 11 upset picks: Bet on Bears, Bengals to win as divisional road underdogs

NFL Week 11 upset picks

I’m backing a pair of divisional road underdogs to triumph in these NFL Week 11 upset picks.

The pregame narrative: Can the Cincinnati Bengals improve to 2-0 against the Pittsburgh Steelers with Joe Flacco under centre? I think so. Elsewhere, back the Chicago Bears to keep things rolling when they play the Vikings in Minnesota.

Check out my top NFL Week 11 upset picks for games on Nov. 16.

-> Join NorthStar Bets and start wagering on the NFL

NFL Week 11 upset picks

Best bet: Bears moneyline (+133)

It looks like Caleb Williams has finally found “it.”

The second-year QB engineered fourth-quarter comebacks in consecutive games to put Chicago at 6-3, right in the mix for the divisional title.

  • Week 9 @ CIN: 280 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 53 rushing yards
  • Week 10 vs. NYG: 220 passing yards, 1 passing TD and 1 rushing TD, 63 rushing yards

The Bears have now won six of their last seven games while averaging 27.7 PPG.

-> Wager on NFL Week 11 at NorthStar Bets

Williams and Chicago began its season by blowing an 11-point fourth-quarter lead to Minnesota, but I expect them to exact some revenge.

J.J. McCarthy looks ordinary at best for the Vikings, with a 5-to-6 TD:INT ratio and a 26.7 QBR. That QBR would be the second-worst in football had he played enough snaps to qualify.

Both teams rank in the bottom third in defensive EPA per play in the last five weeks. This could be a shootout, and I have far more faith in Williams’ offence.

Key stat: Chicago is 3-2 SU on the road and as an underdog this year.

Embed: #120850

NFL underdog predictions

Bengals moneyline (+210): I can’t look myself in the mirror as a Steelers fan and tell myself this is a good football team.

One week, the defence allows 33 points in primetime to Joe Flacco in a shootout loss. Then, the defence figures it out, but Aaron Rodgers’ offence falls completely flat on Sunday Night Football against the Los Angeles Chargers.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on the NFL now at NorthStar Bets!

Cincinnati has already beaten Pittsburgh and has more of an identity than whatever Mike Tomlin has put together.

The Bengals will put up a ton of points. That’s a given. They’re averaging 37.6 points and 454.3 yards with Flacco under centre.

Pittsburgh’s offence can’t keep up with that, and its defence is allowing the fifth-most yards per game.

NFL upset picks made at 9:50 a.m. ET on 11/04/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Best NBA prop picks Nov. 10: Back Derik Queen, Victor Wembanyama and Luka Doncic

NBA prop picks Nov. 10

Victor Wembanyama and Luka Doncic headline Monday’s NBA prop bets.

Tonight’s NBA prop narrative: Doncic (+400) and Wembanyama (+1,000) sit third and fifth on the MVP odds board after strong starts to the season. They should fill the basket tonight with plus matchups against the Charlotte Hornets and Chicago Bulls.

Check out my favourite NBA prop picks for Nov. 10, featuring New Orleans Pelicans rookie Derik Queen.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & bet on the NBA today!

NBA prop picks Nov. 10

Best bet: Doncic over 34.5 points (-112)

You rarely see a point total this high in the NBA, and may be inclined to fade it out of principle.

But Doncic is a special player with 50-point upside on a nightly basis. He’s averaging 37.0 PPG over six games so far, and has cleared this line four times.

The Slovenian superstar is leading L.A. in FGA (23.8) and 3PA (11.5) per game, so you know he’ll get his shots up — especially with LeBron James out and Austin Reaves (groin) questionable.

-> Bet on Doncic to win the MVP at NorthStar Bets

Charlotte is one of, if not the worst, teams in the NBA, making this an A-plus matchup:

  • 29th in opponent 3PT% (39.7)
  • 26th in opponent PPG (121.0)
  • 24th in defensive rating (117.0)

Doncic can get white-hot from 3-point range, and Charlotte’s perimeter defence is the second-worst in basketball. That should allow him to pile up points quickly.

Key stat: Doncic has scored 34+ points in five of his last seven games against Charlotte.

Today’s best NBA prop bets

Wembanyama over 25.5 points (-120): Wemby, much like Doncic, has high scoring upside.

This line is much lower, though, probably because of the centres’ recent form. Wembanyama is averaging 17.0 PPG this month on 39.7% shooting.

-> Bet on a monster night from Wembanyama against Chicago

I’m not one to forget what he did in October, though:

  • 30.2 PPG
  • 56.3 FG%
  • 4-1 against this line

I don’t think there’s anyone on the Bulls who can guard Wembanyama in the paint.

Nikola Vucevic is Chicago’s tallest player at 6-foot-9, and he struggles to defend the pick and roll, which Wembanyama and Stephon Castle have been abusing so far.

The Bulls are allowing the seventh-most PPG to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

Queen over 6.5 rebounds (+110): I’m liking what I’ve seen out of Queen, the No. 13 overall pick from Maryland, so far.

The 6-foot-9, 250-pound centre is a force in the paint, with strong playmaking skills and a nice scoring touch. Here’s what he’s done in his last three games:

  • 12.0 PPG
  • 6.7 RPG
  • 5.7 APG

Queen is far from a finished product, averaging 3.0 fouls and 1.2 turnovers a night, but is worth backing when the time is right.

And tonight seems like a good opportunity to take the over on his rebounding total, with Zion Williamson out and Yves Missi questionable.

Queen has played 25-plus minutes in consecutive games and has at least five rebounds in five of his last six outings (going 3-3 vs. this line).

The Phoenix Suns, tonight’s opponent, are giving up the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres.

NBA prop picks made at 9:18 a.m. ET on 11/10/2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!