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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 15: Back Chet Holmgren and Luka Doncic, fade Ja Morant

There are five NBA games on Saturday. Chet Holmgren and Luka Doncic headline my prop predictions.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Holmgren is part of an Oklahoma City Thunder squad which is decimating opponents left and right. I like his chances of contributing from deep. Elsewhere, Doncic should be productive as a passer on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 15, featuring a fade on Ja Morant.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 15

Best bet: Holmgren 2+ threes (+120)

Holmgren isn’t a huge 3-point shooter, but these odds are too good to pass up.

He is averaging a career-high 1.6 threes per night on a respectable 37.8% shooting.

Holmgren is 4-5 against this line, but plays a Charlotte squad last in 3-point defence (40.9%).

The lanky forward stands at 7-foot-1 with an even longer wingspan. That makes his jumpers hard to defend, and I can’t see anyone on the undersized Hornets contesting him at the perimeter.

Ryan Kalkbrenner is equal to Holmgren in height, but he’s primarily an interior defender and didn’t play last night, so there’s no guarantee he’ll be in the lineup today.

-> Bet on tonight’s five-game NBA slate

On top of that, Lu Dort (shoulder) is questionable, and Aaron Wiggins (thigh) is out. Those two combined for 3.8 threes per night.

Key stat: Charlotte is allowing 2.46 threes per game to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

Best NBA picks

Doncic over 8.5 assists (-138): Doncic is in MVP form. The Slovenian is averaging 33.7 points, 8.9 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game.

He had a relatively quiet night on Friday, scoring just 24 points on 6-of-12 shooting. But he did add 12 helpers in the victory, and is now 4-2 against this line in November.

Doncic has had at least seven assists in every game this month, which gives us a reliable floor to work with.

-> Bet on Luka Doncic & the Lakers

I’m not worried about him taking a step back on no rest, even with him playing 40 minutes yesterday.

The point guard is in the best shape of his career, and was productive on the second leg of back-to-backs last year. He averaged 8.9 assists on no rest, compared to 7.4 assists on one day of rest and 6.7 assists with two days off.

The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing the ninth-most APG to opposing PGs.

NBA player prop predictions

Morant under 20.5 points (-120): Long gone are the days of Morant averaging north of 25 points a night.

The point guard has seen a drop in scoring in four straight seasons from his 27.4 PPG average in 2021-22.

He’s netting just 18.9 PPG this year while shooting 35.2% from the field and 16.7% from deep.

-> See tonight’s NBA prop market

Morant has gone under this mark in five of his last six games, and is shooting an absymal 28.7% in November. I really don’t understand why this line is so high.

The Memphis Grizzlies battle the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight, which is no easy matchup.

Cleveland gives up the fewest PPG to opposing PGs.

NBA prop picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on Nov. 15, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 15: Back Chet Holmgren and Luka Doncic, fade Ja Morant

There are five NBA games on Saturday. Chet Holmgren and Luka Doncic headline my prop predictions.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Holmgren is part of an Oklahoma City Thunder squad which is decimating opponents left and right. I like his chances of contributing from deep. Elsewhere, Doncic should be productive as a passer on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 15, featuring a fade on Ja Morant.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 15

Best bet: Holmgren 2+ threes (+125)

Holmgren isn’t a huge 3-point shooter, but these odds are too good to pass up.

He is averaging a career-high 1.6 threes per night on a respectable 37.8% shooting.

Holmgren is 4-5 against this line, but plays a Charlotte squad last in 3-point defence (40.9%).

The lanky forward stands at 7-foot-1 with an even longer wingspan. That makes his jumpers hard to defend, and I can’t see anyone on the undersized Hornets contesting him at the perimeter.

Ryan Kalkbrenner is equal to Holmgren in height, but he’s primarily an interior defender and didn’t play last night, so there’s no guarantee he’ll be in the lineup today.

-> Bet on tonight’s five-game NBA slate

On top of that, Lu Dort (shoulder) is questionable, and Aaron Wiggins (thigh) is out. Those two combined for 3.8 threes per night.

Key stat: Charlotte is allowing 2.46 threes per game to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

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Best NBA picks

Doncic over 8.5 assists (-110): Doncic is in MVP form. The Slovenian is averaging 33.7 points, 8.9 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game.

He had a relatively quiet night on Friday, scoring just 24 points on 6-of-12 shooting. But he did add 12 helpers in the victory, and is now 4-2 against this line in November.

Doncic has had at least seven assists in every game this month, which gives us a reliable floor to work with.

-> Bet on Luka Doncic & the Lakers

I’m not worried about him taking a step back on no rest, even with him playing 40 minutes yesterday.

The point guard is in the best shape of his career, and was productive on the second leg of back-to-backs last year. He averaged 8.9 assists on no rest, compared to 7.4 assists on one day of rest and 6.7 assists with two days off.

The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing the ninth-most APG to opposing PGs.

NBA player prop predictions

Morant under 21.5 points (-132): Long gone are the days of Morant averaging north of 25 points a night.

The point guard has seen a drop in scoring in four straight seasons from his 27.4 PPG average in 2021-22.

He’s netting just 18.9 PPG this year while shooting 35.2% from the field and 16.7% from deep.

-> See tonight’s NBA prop market

Morant has gone under this mark in six straight games, and is shooting an absymal 28.7% in November. I really don’t understand why this line is so high.

The Memphis Grizzlies battle the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight, which is no easy matchup.

Cleveland gives up the fewest PPG to opposing PGs.

NBA prop picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on Nov. 15, 2025.

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Raptors vs. Pacers prop picks Nov. 15: Back Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes on Saturday

The red-hot Toronto Raptors are sizable road favourites against the Indiana Pacers on Saturday night.

The latest: These teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum. Toronto has won six of its last seven games behind some truly balanced scoring. Indiana, just months removed from an NBA Finals Game 7 appearance, is a league-worst 1-11 with plenty of star power on the injury report.

Check out these Raptors vs. Pacers prop picks for the game on Nov. 15, featuring Brandon Ingram and Scottie Barnes.

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Raptors vs. Pacers prop picks

Best bet: Ingram over 21.5 points (-110)

The Raptors have six different players averaging double-digit points in November.

Barnes, Ingram, RJ Barret and Immanuel Quickley all sit between 18.5-19.5 PPG, which is a remarkable example of how Toronto has spread the wealth.

You could make a solid argument for any of them performing against Indiana with the way it’s playing right now.

The Pacers are fresh off a four-game road trip, during which they went 0-4 with a -107 point differential. No, that’s not a typo. They lost by an average of 26.8 PPG.

-> Bet on Ingram and Barnes vs. the Pacers

But I think Ingram is the best bet to have a big night.

Ingram has averaged at least 20.5 PPG in seven straight seasons.

He has taken 15+ FGA in 10 of 12 games and has scored 20+ points in eight of 12 games.

The forward takes 54% of his shots in the mid range, which ranks in the 98th percentile of all NBA players, per Cleaning the Glass.

Indiana really struggles to defend that area of the court, ranking 26th in mid-range defence.

Key stat: The Pacers have given up the sixth-best PPG to opposing power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

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-> Wager on Saturday’s five-game NBA slate

Toronto vs. Indiana props

Barnes over 13.5 rebounds and assists (-114): Barnes has been flying by this number lately, and is coming off a 10-rebound, eight-assist performance against the defensively stout Cleveland Cavaliers.

Before that, he logged 16 P/R against the Brooklyn Nets. Overall, he’s 5-2 against this line during Toronto’s hot streak.

-> Full Raptors vs. Pacers props at NorthStar Bets

I expect Barnes to be active on the glass and as a passer on Saturday.

Indiana is missing Myles Turner and Obi Tobbin in addition to Tyrese Haliburton and Bennedict Mathurin.

The Pacers have the second-worst net rating in basketball, and both teams rank top 12 in pace. There should be a lot of back-and-forth with Barnes doing the dirty work on both ends of the floor.

Raptors vs. Pacers prop picks made at 9:35 a.m. ET on 11/15/2025.

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Buccaneers vs. Bills Week 11 SGP predictions: Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield at +320

The Buffalo Bills are back at Highmark Stadium for a Week 11 matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The pregame narrative: Two teams with Super Bowl ambitions look to rebound from tough losses. Josh Allen’s Bills have a much cleaner injury report than Baker Mayfield’s Buccaneers, though, and are 5.5-point home favourites as a result.

Check out my Buccaneers vs. Bills SGP predictions on Nov. 16.

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Buccaneers vs. Bills predictions

SGP: Bills -2.5 | Allen anytime TD | Mayfield 200+ passing yards (+320)

Bills -2.5 (-215): Backing the Bills in Orchard Park has been borderline automatic recently.

Buffalo is 14-1 at home since the start of the 2024-25 season, winning those games by an average of 12.4 points and playing to a +6.0 margin ATS.

Its only loss at Highmark Stadium in that span was to the New England Patriots in Week 5, which doesn’t seem that bad considering how Mike Vrabel’s team is playing.

And for what it’s worth, New England also beat the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay.

The Bills are averaging 30.2 PPG at home and should light up the scoreboard once again. A healthy Buccaneers team could probably keep pace, but Mike Evans, Bucky Irving and Chris Godwin are all out.

I think Buffalo is primed to deliver a good ol’ fashioned beatdown.

Embed: #120996

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NFL parlay predictions

Allen anytime TD scorer (-121): Allen is calling his own number at a ridiculous rate.

Just look at the difference in rushing numbers between his first nine games last year — when he won the MVP, mind you — to his first nine games this year.

2024: 47 rushes (14 in red zone), 211 yards, 3 TDs
2025: 59 rushes (17 in red zone), 311 yards, 7 TDs

Allen ripped off another nine rushing touchdowns last season from Week 10 onward and has scored in 11 of his past 20 games as a result.

-> Build your own Buccaneers vs. Bills SGP!

He didn’t find the end zone last week, but he had a pair of rushing scores in the two games before that.

Tampa Bay’s run defence is strong, and Vita Vea makes it difficult for RBs to produce between the tackles. I can see Allen taking matters into his own hands and scampering for a score.

Mayfield 200+ passing yards (-150): If Buffalo builds a big lead, as I suspect, Mayfield should cruise past this total.

The veteran QB is averaging 243.5 passing yards and is 7-2 against this line.

He is missing a pair of elite receivers, but still has standout rookie Emeka Egbuka, trusty tight end Cade Otton, and dynamic pass-catching back Rachaad White.

WR Tez Johnson, a 2025 fifth-round pick, is also in a nice groove.

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The risk here is that Tampa establishes the run against a Buffalo defence that struggles to stop it. That could reduce Mayfield’s necessity to throw.

But if that happens, I’m not confident the Bills are doing what it takes to cover the spread anyway.

Buccaneers vs. Bills predictions made at 2:30 p.m. ET 11/14/2025.

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Kings vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions Nov. 14: Back Edwards, Randle and DeRozan at +295

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Sacramento Kings meet for the second time in less than a week, with Friday’s matchup taking place in the Midwest.

The pregame narrative: Minnesota routed Sacramento on Sunday with 13 different players finding the score sheet. The Kings are on a brutal four-game losing streak, accumulating a -105 point differential in that span. Unsurprisingly, the T-Wolves are double-digit home favourites tonight.

Check out my Kings vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions for Nov. 14.

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Kings vs. Timberwolves SGP

Parlay: Edwards 3+ threes | DeRozan 20+ points | Randle 6+ assists (+295)

Edwards 3+ threes (-335): Edwards is arguably the best 3-point shooter in today’s game.

The sixth-year guard is leading the league in 3s per game (4.1) while shooting 50.0% from deep. That type of efficiency is unsustainable, but a regression of 10 percentage points would still put him in the elite of the elite.

Last season, Edwards averaged 4.1 makes on 39.5% shooting.

He had 3+ threes in 62 of 79 starts (78.4%).

This year, Edwards has 3+ threes in all six games where he’s played 5+ minutes.

This is also a plus matchup. The Kings rank 23rd in 3-point defence, and Edwards went 5-of-10 from deep against them on Sunday.

-> Bet on Anthony Edwards on Friday night

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NBA SGP legs

DeRozan 20+ points (-132): You have to respect a player like DeRozan, who has been among the most consistent scorers of the last decade and change.

DeRozan has averaged 20+ PPG in 12 straight seasons.

He ranked in the 97th percentile or greater in mid-range shot frequency in each of those campaigns, per Cleaning the Glass.

This year, he’s averaging 19.2 PPG and is in the 100th percentile for mid-range shot frequency.

The veteran forward knows how to get his buckets and isn’t trying to reinvent the wheel.

Minnesota is a juicy matchup, given that it ranks 24th in mid-range defence. DeRozan had 21 points agianst the T-Wolves on Saturday on 7-of-11 shooting.

That type of volume is well below his baseline, too, so I feel confident betting on a repeat performance.

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Randle 6+ assists (-129): The Julius-Randle-for-Karl-Anthony-Towns trade has worked out beautifully for both sides.

Randle is having a resurgent season, averaging career-highs in points (25.4) and assists (6.2). I want to tap into his passing abilities tonight.

The forward is leading the Timberwolves in potential assists per game (9.9), which NBA.com denotes as a pass leading directly to a shot.

Randle is clearly embracing his role as a facilitator, and now he faces a team giving up the sixth-most assists per game to opposing power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

Overall, he’s 7-4 against this line.

Kings vs. Timberwolves SGP made at 12 p.m. ET 11/14/2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 14: Back Sidney Crosby and Clayton Keller on Friday

Sidney Crosby headlines Friday’s NHL anytime goal picks.

The pregame narrative: The Pittsburgh Penguins have come down to earth after a torrid start. But Crosby is still producing and has a great matchup against the Nashville Predators in Sweden as part of the NHL Global Series. Later, expect Utah Mammoth captain Clayton Keller to score in a third straight game.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 14.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 14

Best Bet: Crosby to score (+155)

He might not be “The Kid” anymore, but Crosby hasn’t declined with age.

Seventeen games into his 21st season, Pittsburgh’s captain has 11 goals and 20 points. He’s scored in eight of his last 13 games and plays roughly 20 minutes a night.

He’s also leading all Penguins forwards in these metrics, via Natural Stat Trick:

Chances (73)
Scoring chances (46)
High-danger chances (29)
Expected goals (6.75)

Pittsburgh posted an 8-2-2 record in October but has lost four of its last five games. That might worry me against a solid team with good goaltending, but Nashville doesn’t fit the bill.

-> Wager on Crosby at NorthStar Bets

The Predators have lost eight of their last nine games while allowing 4.0 goals a night.

Netminder Juuse Saros, who is likely starting tonight, has been a big part of that problem. The Finn has a 3.11 GAA and .892 SV% this season. Both of those marks rank outside the top 30 for NHL goaltenders.

This feels like a perfect spot for Crosby to stay hot.

Key stat: Crosby has scored in three straight games against the Predators.

NHL predictions

Keller to score (+170): Seven hours after the puck drops in Sweden, Keller’s Mammoth host the New York Islanders in Salt Lake City.

Much like Crosby, Keller will have an exploitable goaltender matchup.

David Rittich is confirmed to start for New York, and he’s had a really tough go lately. The 33-year-old has allowed 13 goals in his last three starts with an .841 SV%.

-> Bet on Keller and the Mammoth tonight!

Keller is on a nice run with goals in consecutive games and three in his last five. He plays top-line minutes and is instrumental on Utah’s power play.

All of that leads me to believe he’ll have a good chance to score against a team allowing the 11th-most shots per game.

NHL goal picks made at 9:45 a.m. ET on 11/14/2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 14: Back Sidney Crosby and Clayton Keller on Friday

Sidney Crosby headlines Friday’s NHL anytime goal picks.

The pregame narrative: The Pittsburgh Penguins have come down to earth after a torrid start. But Crosby is still producing and has a great matchup against the Nashville Predators in Sweden as part of the NHL Global Series. Later, expect Utah Mammoth captain Clayton Keller to score in a third straight game.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 14.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 14

Best Bet: Crosby to score (+130)

He might not be “The Kid” anymore, but Crosby hasn’t declined with age.

Seventeen games into his 21st season, Pittsburgh’s captain has 11 goals and 20 points. He’s scored in eight of his last 13 games and plays roughly 20 minutes a night.

He’s also leading all Penguins forwards in these metrics, via Natural Stat Trick:

Chances (73)
Scoring chances (46)
High-danger chances (29)
Expected goals (6.75)

Pittsburgh posted an 8-2-2 record in October but has lost four of its last five games. That might worry me against a solid team with good goaltending, but Nashville doesn’t fit the bill.

-> Wager on Crosby at NorthStar Bets

The Predators have lost eight of their last nine games while allowing 4.0 goals a night.

Netminder Juuse Saros, who is likely starting tonight, has been a big part of that problem. The Finn has a 3.11 GAA and .892 SV% this season. Both of those marks rank outside the top 30 for NHL goaltenders.

This feels like a perfect spot for Crosby to stay hot.

Key stat: Crosby has scored in three straight games against the Predators.

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NHL predictions

Keller to score (+143): Seven hours after the puck drops in Sweden, Keller’s Mammoth host the New York Islanders in Salt Lake City.

Much like Crosby, Keller will have an exploitable goaltender matchup.

David Rittich is confirmed to start for New York, and he’s had a really tough go lately. The 33-year-old has allowed 13 goals in his last three starts with an .841 SV%.

-> Bet on Keller and the Mammoth tonight!

Keller is on a nice run with goals in consecutive games and three in his last five. He plays top-line minutes and is instrumental on Utah’s power play.

All of that leads me to believe he’ll have a good chance to score against a team allowing the 11th-most shots per game.

NHL goal picks made at 9:45 a.m. ET on 11/14/2025.

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ATP Finals 2025 tennis predictions Nov. 14: Picks for Auger-Aliassime vs. Zverev, Sinner vs. Shelton

Canada’s Felix Auger-Aliassime can punch his ATP semifinals ticket with a win over Alexander Zverev on Thursday.

The pregame narrative: Auger-Aliassime upset Zverev at the U.S. Open in August, and he’s an underdog yet again on hardcourt, where he’s thrived this season. Before that match, World No. 2 Jannik Sinner aims to stay perfect in the round-robin against winless Ben Shelton.

Check out my top ATP Finals tennis predictions for Nov. 14 below.

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ATP Finals tennis predictions Nov. 14

Best bet: Auger-Aliassime to win (+150)

Auger-Aliassime might be the No. 8 seed, but you could argue he’s been the third-best player on the planet in the last three months.

The Canadian is 23-6 since the National Bank Open. Four of those losses came against Sinner.

FAA won the European Open in Brussels, reached the semifinals at the U.S. Open and lost the finals at the Rolex Paris Masters. The defeats in New York and Paris both came vs. Sinner.

I’m not going to dock Auger-Aliassime for his record against Sinner. The Italian is practically unbeatable and is clearly a cut above, alongside Carlos Alcaraz.

-> Bet on Canada’s Auger-Aliassime at the ATP Finals

Zverev was supposed to be the third head of that monster, but he has fallen flat time and time again.

The German has had a down year by his standards, with zero hardcourt titles to his name and no semifinal appearances at the Grand Slams.

Auger-Aliassime dominated him in Flushing Meadows, winning 4-6, 7-5, 6-4, 6-4, and has already flexed his muscles at this tournament with a win over Shelton.

I want to ride with the hot hand at a plus-money price.

Key stat: FAA has won two of his last three hardcourt matches against Zverev.

Sinner vs. Shelton tennis pick

Sinner -4.5 games (-134): This match is meaningless with Sinner already advancing to the final four.

But Sinner isn’t one to let his foot off the gas, and he’s praised for his relentless play and consistent approaches to all matches, a la Rafael Nadal.

I think this gets ugly for Shelton.

-> Bet on Sinner to beat Shelton

The up-and-coming American has lost seven straight matches against Sinner — all in straight sets. Just two weeks ago, Sinner beat Shelton 6-3, 6-3 in Paris, and back at Wimbledon, he won 7-6, 6-4, 6-4.

The World No. 2 is on a 12-match winning streak, covering this spread nine times. That includes both of his wins at this event over Zverev and FAA.

ATP Finals tennis predictions made at 1 p.m. on 11/13/2025.

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ATP Finals 2025 tennis predictions Nov. 14: Picks for Auger-Aliassime vs. Zverev, Sinner vs. Shelton

Canada’s Felix Auger-Aliassime can punch his ATP semifinals ticket with a win over Alexander Zverev on Thursday.

The pregame narrative: Auger-Aliassime upset Zverev at the U.S. Open in August, and he’s an underdog yet again on hardcourt, where he’s thrived this season. Before that match, World No. 2 Jannik Sinner aims to stay perfect in the round-robin against winless Ben Shelton.

Check out my top ATP Finals tennis predictions for Nov. 14 below.

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ATP Finals tennis predictions Nov. 14

Best bet: Auger-Aliassime to win (+160)

Auger-Aliassime might be the No. 8 seed, but you could argue he’s been the third-best player on the planet in the last three months.

The Canadian is 23-6 since the National Bank Open. Four of those losses came against Sinner.

FAA won the European Open in Brussels, reached the semifinals at the U.S. Open and lost the finals at the Rolex Paris Masters. The defeats in New York and Paris both came vs. Sinner.

I’m not going to dock Auger-Aliassime for his record against Sinner. The Italian is practically unbeatable and is clearly a cut above, alongside Carlos Alcaraz.

-> Bet on Canada’s Auger-Aliassime at the ATP Finals

Zverev was supposed to be the third head of that monster, but he has fallen flat time and time again.

The German has had a down year by his standards, with zero hardcourt titles to his name and no semifinal appearances at the Grand Slams.

Auger-Aliassime dominated him in Flushing Meadows, winning 4-6, 7-5, 6-4, 6-4, and has already flexed his muscles at this tournament with a win over Shelton.

I want to ride with the hot hand at a plus-money price.

Key stat: FAA has won two of his last three hardcourt matches against Zverev.

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Sinner vs. Shelton tennis pick

Sinner -4.5 games (-120): This match is meaningless with Sinner already advancing to the final four.

But Sinner isn’t one to let his foot off the gas, and he’s praised for his relentless play and consistent approaches to all matches, a la Rafael Nadal.

I think this gets ugly for Shelton.

-> Bet on Sinner to beat Shelton

The up-and-coming American has lost seven straight matches against Sinner — all in straight sets. Just two weeks ago, Sinner beat Shelton 6-3, 6-3 in Paris, and back at Wimbledon, he won 7-6, 6-4, 6-4.

The World No. 2 is on a 12-match winning streak, covering this spread nine times. That includes both of his wins at this event over Zverev and FAA.

ATP Finals tennis predictions made at 1 p.m. on 11/13/2025.

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Kings vs. Maple Leafs prop picks Nov. 13: Back Corey Perry to produce for L.A.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are home underdogs on Thursday when they host the Los Angeles Kings.

The pregame narrative: Things aren’t going well in Leaf Land. Toronto is giving up the most goals per game, has dropped three straight, and currently sits 15th in the Eastern Conference. Injuries to Auston Matthews and Anthony Stolarz, both of whom are out tonight, loom large.

Check out my Kings vs. Maple Leafs prop picks for the game on Nov. 13

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Kings vs. Maple Leafs prop picks

Best Bet: Perry to record a point (+105)

There isn’t much to like about Toronto’s defensive game.

The Leafs look slow and disinterested, ceding 3.82 goals per game. On top of that, they’re allowing the fifth-most chances (62.84) and shots (30.66) on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

Goaltending was the team’s greatest strength last year, but that’s far from the case so far:

Stolarz (who might not play tonight) has a 3.51 GAA and an .884 SV%. Those marks rank 45th and 40th, respectively, among all netminders.

Backup Dennis Hildeby hasn’t been much better with a 3.74 GAA and .909 SV%. He gave up five goals in his lone start on Sunday against the Carolina Hurricanes.

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There’s plenty of time for the Leafs to turn things around, but I’m content on fading them until they give me a reason not to.

That said, Perry is my value pick to find the score sheet for Los Angeles. The journeyman winger has been on fire to start the season with seven goals and 11 points in 11 games.

He’s been shuffled throughout the lineup but is a mainstay on the top power-play unit, where he has contributed three points.

Getting him to record a point at plus money seems fair to me.

Key stat: Perry has a point in eight of his last 10 games.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs prop picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET 11/13/2025.

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