Staff Writer

World Cup European qualifier games and Matchday 10 predictions: Back Spain to cap off perfect run with a clean sheet

The final round of World Cup European qualifier games takes place on Tuesday, with several spots up for grabs.

The pregame narrative: Spain has yet to concede a goal at the qualifiers, and can put a bow on its perfect run with a win over Turkey. Elsewhere, Belgium can qualify with a win, and is a huge favourite over lowly Liechtenstein.

Check out the Matchday 10 schedule and my top UEFA World Cup qualifier predictions.

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World Cup qualifier predictions Matchday 10

Best bet: Turkey under 0.5 goals (-106)

Spain secured the top spot in FIFA’s global ranking in September, and I don’t expect it to relinquish that title any time soon.

La Roja are on a 30-game unbeaten run dating back to a shock loss to Scotland in 2023. That includes winning the Euro Cup and this perfect World Cup qualifying run, where they’ve won all five games with 18 goals scored and zero conceded.

-> Wager on World Cup qualifiers today!

Spain beat Turkey, 6-0, in Konya back in September as part of its current five-game streak without conceding a goal. It most recently secured a 4-0 victory over Georgia in Tbilisi on the weekend.

Back on home turf, it’s tough to imagine Luis de la Fuente’s defensive line cracking against a shorthanded side.

Hakan Calhanoglu, Turkey’s captain and top offensive driver, will miss Tuesday’s match with a wrist injury.

Matchday 10 soccer games and schedule

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Tuesday, Nov. 18 (2:45 p.m. ET)

Austria vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina
Belarus vs. Greece
Belgium vs. Liechtenstein
Bulgaria vs. Georgia
Kosovo vs. Switzerland
Romania vs. San Marino
Scotland vs. Denmark
Spain vs. Turkey
Sweden vs. Slovenia
Wales vs. North Macedonia

World Cup qualifier predictions made at 11:23 a.m. on Nov. 17, 2025.

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World Cup European qualifier games and Matchday 10 predictions: Back Spain to cap off perfect run with a clean sheet

The final round of World Cup European qualifier games takes place on Tuesday, with several spots up for grabs.

The pregame narrative: Spain has yet to concede a goal at the qualifiers, and can put a bow on its perfect run with a win over Turkey. Elsewhere, Belgium can qualify with a win, and is a huge favourite over lowly Liechtenstein.

Check out the Matchday 10 schedule and my top UEFA World Cup qualifier predictions.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & start betting on soccer

World Cup qualifier predictions Matchday 10

Best bet: Turkey under 0.5 goals (-115)

Spain secured the top spot in FIFA’s global ranking in September, and I don’t expect it to relinquish that title any time soon.

La Roja are on a 30-game unbeaten run dating back to a shock loss to Scotland in 2023. That includes winning the Euro Cup and this perfect World Cup qualifying run, where they’ve won all five games with 18 goals scored and zero conceded.

-> Wager on World Cup qualifiers today!

Spain beat Turkey, 6-0, in Konya back in September as part of its current five-game streak without conceding a goal. It most recently secured a 4-0 victory over Georgia in Tbilisi on the weekend.

Back on home turf, it’s tough to imagine Luis de la Fuente’s defensive line cracking against a shorthanded side.

Hakan Calhanoglu, Turkey’s captain and top offensive driver, will miss Tuesday’s match with a wrist injury.

Matchday 10 soccer games and schedule

-> Bet on the World Cup qualifiers

Tuesday, Nov. 18 (2:45 p.m. ET)

Austria vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina
Belarus vs. Greece
Belgium vs. Liechtenstein
Bulgaria vs. Georgia
Kosovo vs. Switzerland
Romania vs. San Marino
Scotland vs. Denmark
Spain vs. Turkey
Sweden vs. Slovenia
Wales vs. North Macedonia

World Cup qualifier predictions made at 11:23 a.m. on Nov. 17, 2025.

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NHL prop picks Nov. 17: Bet on Connor McDavid, Mikhail Sergachev on Monday

Connor McDavid headlines Monday’s NHL prop picks.

The pregame narrative: McDavid is rolling, ranking second in points through the first month and change of the season. He has a solid opportunity to add to his goal total tonight when the Edmonton Oilers play the Buffalo Sabres

Check out my NHL prop picks for Nov. 17, featuring a pick on Utah Mammoth defenceman Mikhail Sergachev.

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NHL prop picks

Best bet: McDavid to score (+125)

You have to feel bad for Sabres fans at this point.

Buffalo is again at the bottom of the Eastern Conference with 16 points in 18 games. There are no signs of improvement either, as the squad has dropped eight of its last 10 contests.

During that stretch, the Sabres have allowed an unsightly 4.1 goals per game.

All three of Buffalo’s goalies who have played this year have a goals-against average north of 3.00, and it appears 25-year-old Colten Ellis will get the start tonight. Ellis has allowed eight goals in his last two games and would be making his fourth career start.

-> Bet on McDavid and the Oilers tonight

With all that said, this shapes up to be a mouth-watering matchup for McDavid.

He’s not skating with Leon Draisaitl, but that doesn’t matter. McDavid drives his own line and leads all Oilers forwards in the following 5v5 marks, per Natural Stat Trick:

Shots (39)
Scoring chances (48)
High-danger chances (19)
Expected goals (4.80)

Key stat: McDavid has eight goals in his last 10 games.

NHL predictions

Sergachev to score 1+ point (-120): Sergachev has been a beast in his second season with Utah.

The 6-foot-3 defenceman leads the team in ice time (24:58) by a wide margin and has been extremely active in the offensive zone.

-> See Monday’s player prop markets at NorthStar Bets

Sergachev was held pointless through the first six games of the season, but has gone nuclear since:

3 goals
11 assists
1+ point in 10 of 12 games

Utah is playing on the road against the Anaheim Ducks, who have lost three straight. Goaltender Lukas Dostal, who’s expected to start, has an .895 SV% in November.

NHL prop picks made at 11:31 a.m. ET on 11/17/2025.

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NHL prop picks Nov. 17: Bet on Connor McDavid, Mikhail Sergachev on Monday

Connor McDavid headlines Monday’s NHL prop picks.

The pregame narrative: McDavid is rolling, ranking second in points through the first month and change of the season. He has a solid opportunity to add to his goal total tonight when the Edmonton Oilers play the Buffalo Sabres

Check out my NHL prop picks for Nov. 17, featuring a pick on Utah Mammoth defenceman Mikhail Sergachev.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

NHL prop picks

Best bet: McDavid to score (+123)

You have to feel bad for Sabres fans at this point.

Buffalo is again at the bottom of the Eastern Conference with 16 points in 18 games. There are no signs of improvement either, as the squad has dropped eight of its last 10 contests.

During that stretch, the Sabres have allowed an unsightly 4.1 goals per game.

All three of Buffalo’s goalies who have played this year have a goals-against average north of 3.00, and it appears 25-year-old Colten Ellis will get the start tonight. Ellis has allowed eight goals in his last two games and would be making his fourth career start.

-> Bet on McDavid and the Oilers tonight

With all that said, this shapes up to be a mouth-watering matchup for McDavid.

He’s not skating with Leon Draisaitl, but that doesn’t matter. McDavid drives his own line and leads all Oilers forwards in the following 5v5 marks, per Natural Stat Trick:

Shots (39)
Scoring chances (48)
High-danger chances (19)
Expected goals (4.80)

Key stat: McDavid has eight goals in his last 10 games.

Embed: #121100

NHL predictions

Sergachev to score 1+ point (-130): Sergachev has been a beast in his second season with Utah.

The 6-foot-3 defenceman leads the team in ice time (24:58) by a wide margin, and has been extremely active in the offensive zone.

-> See Monday’s player prop markets at NorthStar Bets

Sergachev was held pointless through the first six games of the season, but has gone nuclear since:

3 goals
11 assists
1+ point in 10 of 12 games

Utah is playing on the road against the Anaheim Ducks, who have lost three straight. Goaltender Lukas Dostal, who’s expected to start, has an .895 SV% in November.

NHL prop picks made at 11:31 a.m. ET on 11/17/2025.

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Hornets vs. Raptors prop picks Nov. 17: Back Scottie Barnes and Gradey Dick on Monday

The Toronto Raptors host the Charlotte Hornets on Monday following a successful road trip.

The latest: Look out, Toronto went 4-1 on the road and has now won seven of its last eight games. The Raptors are 8.5-point favourites against a Hornets squad that has dropped eight of its last 10 while playing awful defence.

Check out these Hornets vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Nov. 17, featuring Scottie Barnes, Gradey Dick and Ryan Kalkbrenner.

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Hornets vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Barnes over 23.5 points and assists (-130)

I backed Barnes to clear his rebound and assist total (o/u 13.5) on Saturday, which he smashed.

The forward logged 11 rebounds and six assists while adding 14 points in a blowout victory over the Indiana Pacers.

Barnes can do it all, and I want to specifically tap into his abilities as a scorer and passer tonight against a brutal defence.

Charlotte is 26th in defensive rating and 27th in opponent field goal percentage.

The Hornets are giving up 128.5 PPG on the road, which is the most in the NBA.

They are giving up the second-most points (26.9) and most assists (5.9) on a per-game basis to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

-> Full Hornets vs. Raptors props at NorthStar Bets

Barnes is running hot, averaging 18.8 points and 5.9 assists this month, and he’s a near lock to play 30-plus minutes a night.

This is the perfect matchup for him to keep rolling.

Key stat: Barnes has 20+ points/assists in 10 of 13 games, clearing this line six times.

-> Wager on Monday’s loaded eight-game NBA slate

Additional NBA prop predictions

Dick 2+ threes (+105): Dick hasn’t cracked Toronto’s starting lineup yet, and he’s averaging career lows in points (7.5), threes (1.2), 3-point attempts (3.4) and 3-point percentage (34.1%).

That’s not great.

But what is great is his matchup. Charlotte’s defence ranks dead last in 3-point percentage (41.2%) and has allowed opponents to shoot 49.4% from deep over the past three games.

Dick is a pure shooter and should get a decent amount of run if this is a rout. And this line really isn’t asking much.

He’s also playing better lately, going 3-3 against this line in his last six games while shooting 39.1% from deep.

-> Bet on Gradey Dick here!

Kalkbrenner over 5.5 rebounds (-154): The Hornets are awful, but the rookie duo of Kon Knueppel and Kalkbrenner seem to be a promising part of their future.

I want to focus on Kalbrenner, the 7-foot-1, 256-pound centre out of Creighton.

He’s helped establish Charlotte as one of the best rebounding teams in basketball, and he’ll be the largest player whenever he is on the court. Kalkbrenner’s size provides a solid rebounding floor to work with:

5+ rebounds in 10 of 12 games
6+ rebounds in eight of 12 games
7+ rebounds in six of 12 games

The Raptors are 19th in rebounding rate and give up 13.9 boards per game to centres. That’s on the lower end of the spectrum, but Kalkbrenner is averaging a healthy 26.5 minutes, which should be enough time to cash this wager.

Hornets vs. Raptors prop picks made at 9:48 a.m. ET on Nov. 17, 2025.

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Hornets vs. Raptors prop picks Nov. 17: Back Scottie Barnes and Gradey Dick on Monday

The Toronto Raptors host the Charlotte Hornets on Monday following a successful road trip.

The latest: Look out, Toronto went 4-1 on the road and has now won seven of its last eight games. The Raptors are 8.5-point favourites against a Hornets squad that has dropped eight of its last 10 while playing awful defence.

Check out these Hornets vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Nov. 17, featuring Scottie Barnes, Gradey Dick and Ryan Kalkbrenner.

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Hornets vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Barnes over 24.5 points and assists (-114)

I backed Barnes to clear his rebound and assist total (o/u 13.5) on Saturday, which he smashed.

The forward logged 11 rebounds and six assists while adding 14 points in a blowout victory over the Indiana Pacers.

Barnes can do it all, and I want to specifically tap into his abilities as a scorer and passer tonight against a brutal defence.

Charlotte is 26th in defensive rating and 27th in opponent field goal percentage.

The Hornets are giving up 128.5 PPG on the road, which is the most in the NBA.

They are giving up the second-most points (26.9) and most assists (5.9) on a per-game basis to power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

-> Full Hornets vs. Raptors props at NorthStar Bets

Barnes is running hot, averaging 18.8 points and 5.9 assists this month, and he’s a near lock to play 30-plus minutes a night.

This is the perfect matchup for him to keep rolling.

Key stat: Barnes has 20+ points/assists in 10 of 13 games, clearing this line six times.

Embed: #121082

-> Wager on Monday’s loaded eight-game NBA slate

Additional NBA prop predictions

Dick 2+ threes (+110): Dick hasn’t cracked Toronto’s starting lineup yet, and he’s averaging career lows in points (7.5), threes (1.2), 3-point attempts (3.4) and 3-point percentage (34.1%).

That’s not great.

But what is great is his matchup. Charlotte’s defence ranks dead last in 3-point percentage (41.2%) and has allowed opponents to shoot 49.4% from deep over the past three games.

Dick is a pure shooter and should get a decent amount of run if this is a rout. And this line really isn’t asking much.

He’s also playing better lately, going 3-3 against this line in his last six games while shooting 39.1% from deep.

-> Bet on Gradey Dick here!

Kalkbrenner over 6.5 rebounds (+104): The Hornets are awful, but the rookie duo of Kon Knueppel and Kalkbrenner seem to be a promising part of their future.

I want to focus on Kalbrenner, the 7-foot-1, 256-pound centre out of Creighton.

He’s helped establish Charlotte as one of the best rebounding teams in basketball, and he’ll be the largest player whenever he’s on the court. Kalkbrenner’s size provides a solid rebounding floor to work with:

5+ rebounds in 10 of 12 games
6+ rebounds in eight of 12 games
7+ rebounds in six of 12 games

The Raptors are 19th in rebounding rate and give up 13.9 boards per game to centres. That’s on the lower end of the spectrum, but Kalkbrenner is averaging a healthy 26.5 minutes, which should be enough time to cash this wager.

Hornets vs. Raptors prop picks made at 9:48 a.m. ET on Nov. 17, 2025.

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Cowboys vs. Raiders Week 11 Monday Night Football picks: Back Ashton Jeanty, expect kickers to be active

The Dallas Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders close out Week 11 on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Dallas is fresh off a bye after embarrassing back-to-back losses, and looks to right the ship against the 2-7 Raiders. The Cowboys are slightly favoured, but their porous defence should allow Geno Smith and Co. to move the ball down the field.

Check out my Cowboys vs. Raiders picks for Nov. 15, featuring a prop bet on Ashton Jeanty.

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Cowboys vs. Raiders picks

Best Bet: Jeanty over 61.5 rushing yards (-115)

Dallas’ defence has been ridiculously bad. Just look at how it ranks in several key metrics:

31st in PPG (30.8)
31st in yards per game (397.4)
31st in EPA per play (+0.172)

The Cowboys also rank bottom eight in rushing yards allowed per game, EPA per rush, and opponent yards per carry.

Maybe trading away Micah Parsons wasn’t such a good idea.

I’m sure Pete Carroll is thrilled he doesn’t have to worry about Parsons, and I expect him to give Jeanty a heavy dosage of carries in this matchup.

The 2025 No. 6 overall pick hasn’t looked anything like his college self so far, but he’s also playing behind a horrible offensive line.

Still, he has 60-plus rushing yards in five of nine games and ranks 11th among all RBs in carries (143).

Dallas’ defence offsets Las Vegas’ O-line issues, meaning Jeanty should have some room between the tackles to cook.

Key stat: Five of the last six RBs to face Dallas have cleared this total.

-> Back Jeanty against the Cowboys at NorthStar Bets

MNF prediction

Over 3.5 field goals (-106): This is a bit of a niche pick, but I think it should cash with ease.

The Cowboys’ defence is awful, and the Raiders aren’t much better. Las Vegas is 19th in EPA per play and allows 3.8 red zone scoring attempts per game. Only three teams give up more, and one is Dallas (4.0).

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Monday Night Football!

Dak Prescott has the Cowboys’ offence humming, and Brandon Aubrey is arguably the best kicker in today’s NFL with a 60-plus yard range.

The Raiders rank a middling 15th in opponent red zone TD rate, meaning Aubrey should be used early and often.

Daniel Carlson, Vegas’ place kicker, has only one field goal in the last three games, but he was averaging 1.83 before that.

Cowboys vs. Raiders picks made at 3:55 p.m. ET Nov. 15, 2025.

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Cowboys vs. Raiders Week 11 Monday Night Football picks: Back Ashton Jeanty, expect kickers to be active

The Dallas Cowboys and Las Vegas Raiders close out Week 11 on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Dallas is fresh off a bye after embarrassing back-to-back losses, and looks to right the ship against the 2-7 Raiders. The Cowboys are slightly favoured, but their porous defence should allow Geno Smith and Co. to move the ball down the field.

Check out my Cowboys vs. Raiders picks for Nov. 15, featuring a prop bet on Ashton Jeanty.

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Cowboys vs. Raiders picks

Best Bet: Jeanty over 63.5 rushing yards (-115)

Dallas’ defence has been ridiculously bad. Just look at how it ranks in several key metrics:

31st in PPG (30.8)
31st in yards per game (397.4)
31st in EPA per play (+0.172)

The Cowboys also rank bottom eight in rushing yards allowed per game, EPA per rush, and opponent yards per carry.

Maybe trading away Micah Parsons wasn’t such a good idea.

I’m sure Pete Carroll is thrilled he doesn’t have to worry about Parsons, and I expect him to give Jeanty a heavy dosage of carries in this matchup.

The 2025 No. 6 overall pick hasn’t looked anything like his college self so far, but he’s also playing behind a horrible offensive line.

Still, he has 60-plus rushing yards in five of nine games and ranks 11th among all RBs in carries (143).

Dallas’ defence offsets Las Vegas’ O-line issues, meaning Jeanty should have some room between the tackles to cook.

Key stat: Five of the last six RBs to face Dallas have cleared this total.

Embed: #121035

-> Back Jeanty against the Cowboys at NorthStar Bets

MNF prediction

Over 3.5 field goals (-107): This is a bit of a niche pick, but I think it should cash with ease.

The Cowboys’ defence is awful, and the Raiders aren’t much better. Las Vegas is 19th in EPA per play and allows 3.8 red zone scoring attempts per game. Only three teams give up more, and one is Dallas (4.0).

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Monday Night Football!

Dak Prescott has the Cowboys’ offence humming, and Brandon Aubrey is arguably the best kicker in today’s NFL with a 60-plus yard range.

The Raiders rank a middling 15th in opponent red zone TD rate, meaning Aubrey should be used early and often.

Daniel Carlson, Vegas’ place kicker, has only one field goal in the last three games, but he was averaging 1.83 before that.

Cowboys vs. Raiders picks made at 3:55 p.m. ET Nov. 15, 2025.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions Nov. 15: Back Denver to win, Murray and Edwards to score at +310

A heavyweight NBA matchup takes place in Minnesota on Saturday when the Timberwolves host the Denver Nuggets.

The pregame narrative: Denver has been nothing short of elite this season, and catches a strong Minnesota team playing on a back-to-back. The T-Wolves are slim home favourites and look to avenge a road loss to the Nuggets back in October.

Check out my Nuggets vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions for Nov. 15.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves SGP

Parlay: Nuggets moneyline | Murray 20+ points | Edwards 3+ threes (+310)

Nuggets moneyline (+114): Nikola Jokic (wrist) is questionable to play tonight. Needless to say, his status impacts my confidence in this wager.

But if the big man suits up, I think the Nuggets should roll to a victory.

Denver is a cut above Minnesota in just about every aspect. It ranks second in both offensive and defensive rating, and is second in net rating (+13.3), right behind the Oklahoma City Thunder.

That +13.3 rating, if it holds, would be third all-time behind the 1995-96 Bulls and OKC.

-> Bet on NBA futures at NorthStar Bets

The Nuggets have won six straight games and already thrashed the. T-Wolves earlier this year.

Minnesota is 8-4, but seven of those wins are against bottom-10 teams in the league (Pacers, Nets, Hornets, Jazz twice, Kings twice).

Embed: #121022

NBA SGP legs

Murray 20+ points (-186): Murray dropped a season-high 43 points against the T-Wolves in October, largely by exploiting their awful mid-range defence.

Even if you took away all five of his 3s and six of his free throws, he still cleared this number.

Minnesota is allowing opponents to shoot 43.8% from the mid-range, which ranks 20th, according to Cleaning the Glass.

-> Bet on Jamal Murray on Saturday night

The Canadian loves to work from that area of the court, and is averaging a career-high 17.0 field-goal attempts per game.

Edwards 3+ threes (-315): Backing Edwards to reach this milestone feels like a safe way to close out the wager. And it gives us a nice boost thanks to some negative correlation.

The sixth-year guard is coming off a rare 1-for-7 game from deep. You can bet on a regression to the mean tonight.

Before Friday, Edwards led the league in 3s per game (4.1) while shooting 50.0% from deep.

Last season, Edwards averaged 4.1 makes on 39.5% shooting.

This year, Edwards has 3+ threes in six of seven games where he’s played 5+ minutes.

Edwards wasn’t in the lineup against Denver earlier this year, but is 4-0 against this line when he plays the Nuggets while averaging 5.0 threes.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves SGP made at 12 p.m. ET 11/15/2025.

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Raptors vs. Pacers prop picks Nov. 15: Back Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes on Saturday

The red-hot Toronto Raptors are sizable road favourites against the Indiana Pacers on Saturday night.

The latest: These teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum. Toronto has won six of its last seven games behind some truly balanced scoring. Indiana, just months removed from an NBA Finals Game 7 appearance, is a league-worst 1-11 with plenty of star power on the injury report.

Check out these Raptors vs. Pacers prop picks for the game on Nov. 15, featuring Brandon Ingram and Scottie Barnes.

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Raptors vs. Pacers prop picks

Best bet: Ingram over 20.5 points (-108)

The Raptors have six different players averaging double-digit points in November.

Barnes, Ingram, RJ Barret and Immanuel Quickley all sit between 18.5-19.5 PPG, which is a remarkable example of how Toronto has spread the wealth.

You could make a solid argument for any of them performing against Indiana with the way it’s playing right now.

The Pacers are fresh off a four-game road trip, during which they went 0-4 with a -107 point differential. No, that’s not a typo. They lost by an average of 26.8 PPG.

-> Bet on Ingram and Barnes vs. the Pacers

But I think Ingram is the best bet to have a big night.

Ingram has averaged at least 20.5 PPG in seven straight seasons.

He has taken 15+ FGA in 10 of 12 games and has scored 20+ points in eight of 12 games.

The forward takes 54% of his shots in the mid range, which ranks in the 98th percentile of all NBA players, per Cleaning the Glass.

Indiana really struggles to defend that area of the court, ranking 26th in mid-range defence.

Key stat: The Pacers have given up the sixth-best PPG to opposing power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.

-> Wager on Saturday’s five-game NBA slate

Toronto vs. Indiana props

Barnes over 12.5 rebounds and assists (-130): Barnes has been flying by this number lately, and is coming off a 10-rebound, eight-assist performance against the defensively stout Cleveland Cavaliers.

Before that, he logged 16 P/R against the Brooklyn Nets. Overall, he’s 5-2 against this line during Toronto’s hot streak.

-> Full Raptors vs. Pacers props at NorthStar Bets

I expect Barnes to be active on the glass and as a passer on Saturday.

Indiana is missing Myles Turner and Obi Tobbin in addition to Tyrese Haliburton and Bennedict Mathurin.

The Pacers have the second-worst net rating in basketball, and both teams rank top 12 in pace. There should be a lot of back-and-forth with Barnes doing the dirty work on both ends of the floor.

Raptors vs. Pacers prop picks made at 9:35 a.m. ET on 11/15/2025.

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