Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

Champions League Matchday 5 prop picks Nov. 25: Back Raphinha and Scott McTominay on Tuesday

Champions League Matchday 5 prop picks

A heavyweight matchup between Chelsea and Barcelona at Stamford Bridge headlines Tuesday’s Champions League action.

The pregame narrative: These sides sport identical 2-1-1 UCL records heading into Matchday 5, with Barcelona one spot clear of Chelsea based on goal differential. The visitors are nearly back to full health with Raphinha’s long-awaited return up front.

Check out my best Champions League Matchday 5 prop picks for Nov. 25, featuring a prediction from Napoli vs. Qarabag.

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Champions League Matchday 5 prop picks: Nov. 25

Best bet: Raphinha to score or assist (+115)

All signs point toward Raphinha starting for the first time since September.

The Brazilian forward had a dry run over the weekend, coming off the bench and playing 10 minutes for Barca in a stress-free 4-0 victory over Athletic Club.

Everything went well, and now, it’s go time.

Raphinha adds another dimension to Hansi Flick’s offence. Just look at what he did playing alongside Robert Lewandowski and Lamine Yamal in this tournament last year:

  • 13 goals (most)
  • 9 assists (most)
  • 8.31 FotMob rating (best)
  • 1+ goal or assists in 11 of 14 matches

-> Bet on Raphinha and Barcelona

He was off to another hot start this year before getting injured, posting three goals and two assists in seven matches across all competitions for Barcelona.

Chelsea is a solid team, but this is expected to be a shootout. Barcelona’s 1.5-goal projected total shades to the over at -125 odds, and both teams to score carries an unplayable -295 price tag.

If the visitors are going to find the net, it’ll likely involve the talented winger in some capacity.

Key stat: Raphinha’s 21 goal contributions last year tied Cristiano Ronaldo (2013-14) for the most in a single Champions League campaign.

Embed: #121555

-> Bet on Tuesday’s Champions League matches

Napoli vs. Qarabag prediction

Scott McTominay to score or assist (+110): McTominay helped Scotland punch its World Cup ticket on Nov. 18 by scoring the opening goal against Denmark, and he returned to club action by providing an assist in Napoli’s 3-1 win over Atalanta.

The forward is on top of his game right now, and I think he can stay hot in a big mismatch.

-> Wager on the UCL league phase at NorthStar Bets

Qarabag tops the Azerbaijan Premier League and has turned plenty of heads so far with a 2-1-1 record. But the club allowed two goals to Chelsea and three to Athletic Club in its last two matches, which isn’t great by any means.

Napoli, fresh off a Scudetto run in Serie A, is a well-oiled machine that’s playing at home.

I expect the Italian side to rout Qarabag and for McTominay to be involved.

Champions League Matchday 5 prop picks made at 3 p.m. on Nov. 24, 2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 24: Back Sam Reinhart, Jake Guentzel on Monday

NHL goal picks Nov. 24

Two forwards on Florida-based teams are my picks to score during Monday’s seven-game NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: Jake Guentzel and Sam Reinhart have been filling the net for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers, respectively. They both have solid matchups tonight and are worth backing at plus-money price points.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 24.

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NHL goal picks Nov. 24

Best Bet: Reinhart to score (+135)

Reinhart has put his slow start to the season behind him.

He’s scored 10 goals in his last 13 games, including back-to-back outings as part of a six-game point streak (10 points).

Reinhart is now playing at a 47-goal pace, which would be his second-best mark behind his incredible 2023-24 season, where he netted 57 goals.

-> Bet on Reinhart and the Panthers tonight!

And it’s not like he’s getting lucky.

The winger is leading Florida in shots (59), chances (136) and high-danger chances (51), per Natural Stat Trick. Reinhart’s 13.01 xG doesn’t just top the Panthers — it’s the best mark for any skater in the entire NHL.

Plenty of that damage is done on the power play, where Reinhart has four goals already.

Florida takes on a Nashville Predators team with solid penalty killing, but suspect goaltending. Juuse Saros has an .896 SV% on the season, which ranks 30th out of all NHL netminders.

Saros also ranks 43rd in goals saved above expected, per Money Puck.

Key stat: Reinhart has five goals in his last six games.

NHL predictions

Guentzel to score (+130): Moving off of Steven Stamkos for Guentzel looks like a better investment with each passing day.

The American winger has 53 goals and 102 points since joining Tampa Bay, while Stamkos has 31 goals and 58 points in the same span with the Nashville Predators.

-> Wager on Guentzel at NorthStar Bets

Guentzel has scored 12 times this year, and seven of those have come in his past seven games.

His 55 high-danger chances are more than double the next-closest player on the Lightning (Brandon Hagel, 27).

Guentzel will likely be missing his linemate, Brayden Point, tonight, but I think he can produce against the Philadelphia Flyers and goaltender Dan Vladar.

Vladar has an .887 SV% in seven starts this month.

NHL goal picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 24, 2025.

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NHL anytime goal picks Nov. 24: Back Sam Reinhart, Jake Guentzel on Monday

NHL goal picks Nov. 24

Two forwards on Florida-based teams are my picks to score during Monday’s seven-game NHL slate.

The pregame narrative: Jake Guentzel and Sam Reinhart have been filling the net for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers, respectively. They both have solid matchups tonight and are worth backing at plus-money price points.

Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 24.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

NHL goal picks Nov. 24

Best Bet: Reinhart to score (+148)

Reinhart has put his slow start to the season behind him.

He’s scored 10 goals in his last 13 games, including back-to-back outings as part of a six-game point streak (10 points).

Reinhart is now playing at a 47-goal pace, which would be his second-best mark behind his incredible 2023-24 season, where he netted 57 goals.

-> Bet on Reinhart and the Panthers tonight!

And it’s not like he’s getting lucky.

The winger is leading Florida in shots (59), chances (136) and high-danger chances (51), per Natural Stat Trick. Reinhart’s 13.01 xG doesn’t just top the Panthers — it’s the best mark for any skater in the entire NHL.

Plenty of that damage is done on the power play, where Reinhart has four goals already.

Florida takes on a Nashville Predators team with solid penalty killing, but suspect goaltending. Juuse Saros has an .896 SV% on the season, which ranks 30th out of all NHL netminders.

Saros also ranks 43rd in goals saved above expected, per Money Puck.

Key stat: Reinhart has five goals in his last six games.

Embed: #121538

NHL predictions

Guentzel to score (+160): Moving off of Steven Stamkos for Guentzel looks like a better investment with each passing day.

The American winger has 53 goals and 102 points since joining Tampa Bay, while Stamkos has 31 goals and 58 points in the same span with the Nashville Predators.

-> Wager on Guentzel at NorthStar Bets

Guentzel has scored 12 times this year, and seven of those have come in his past seven games.

His 55 high-danger chances are more than double the next-closest player on the Lightning (Brandon Hagel, 27).

Guentzel will likely be missing his linemate, Brayden Point, tonight, but I think he can produce against the Philadelphia Flyers and goaltender Dan Vladar.

Vladar has an .887 SV% in seven starts this month.

NHL goal picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 24, 2025.

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Panthers vs. 49ers MNF Week 12 TD picks: Back Ricky Pearsall and Ja’Tavion Sanders to score

Panthers vs. 49ers TD picks

The Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers close Week 12 with a primetime matchup in Santa Clara.

The pregame narrative: San Francisco (7-4) holds a one-game lead over Carolina (6-5) for the NFC’s final wild-card spot, although a win would vault the Panthers to the top of the NFC South. The Niners are touchdown favourites at home with a clean injury report and Brock Purdy at the helm.

Check out my Panthers vs. 49ers TD picks for Nov. 24, featuring Ricky Pearsall and Ja’Tavion Sanders.

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Panthers vs. 49ers TD picks

Best bet: Sanders anytime TD (+450)

If you’re not a Panthers fan, you may be wondering who exactly is “Ja’Tavion Sanders”. That’s fine, because I’m not too familiar with his game either.

But once you dig into the numbers, this pick — at this price — makes a ton of sense.

  • Sanders is a natural red zone threat at 6-foot-4, 250 pounds.
  • The sophomore tight end has commanded nine targets inside the 20-yard line.
  • That’s more than the combined total for Tommy Tremble and Mitchell Evans, Carolina’s other two TEs, even though Sanders has missed three games with an injury.

Sanders hasn’t scored a touchdown yet, but I think that’s about to change.

He caught all nine of his targets in the past two weeks. That puts him behind only Tetairoa McMillan (13) for the most receptions of any Panther in that span.

-> Bet on Sanders to score at +450 on Monday Night Football

The kicker here is San Francisco’s defence, which ranks 29th in EPA per dropback, per RBSDM.com.

A big problem is its lacklustre linebacking corps, the unit that typically covers tight ends, with Fred Warner and Tatum Bethune injured.

San Francisco’s linebackers have allowed a 100.2 passer rating to opposing QBs, which ranks in the 16th percentile, according to RotoWire.

Key stat: The 49ers have allowed the second-most TDs to tight ends this year (7).

Monday Night Football anytime TD prediction

Pearsall to score (+200): Pearsall had quite the cardio game in his return from injury last week:

  • 41 snaps (75% share)
  • 1 reception (2 targets)
  • 0 yards

But that’s far from the norm.

The wideout was a problem in his first four games of the season and down the stretch last year. This might be cherry-picking a bit, but look at his averages in his last six games before Week 11:

  • 5.6 catches
  • 7.8 targets
  • 89.5 yards

Pearsall had a 30+ yard catch in five of those games, scoring two times. He’s a home-run threat who is shifty enough off the line to be effective in goal-line scenarios, too.

Carolina should throw the kitchen sink at stopping George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey in the red zone, and I’m hoping that opens up space for Pearsall.

Panthers vs. 49ers TD picks made at 10:20 a.m. ET Nov. 24, 2025.

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Panthers vs. 49ers MNF Week 12 TD picks: Back Ricky Pearsall and Ja’Tavion Sanders to score

Panthers vs. 49ers TD picks

The Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers close Week 12 with a primetime matchup in Santa Clara.

The pregame narrative: San Francisco (7-4) holds a one-game lead over Carolina (6-5) for the NFC’s final wild-card spot, although a win would vault the Panthers to the top of the NFC South. The Niners are touchdown favourites at home with a clean injury report and Brock Purdy at the helm.

Check out my Panthers vs. 49ers TD picks for Nov. 24, featuring Ricky Pearsall and Ja’Tavion Sanders.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL.

Panthers vs. 49ers TD picks

Best bet: Sanders anytime TD (+450)

If you’re not a Panthers fan, you may be wondering who exactly is “Ja’Tavion Sanders”. That’s fine, because I’m not too familiar with his game either.

But once you dig into the numbers, this pick — at this price — makes a ton of sense.

  • Sanders is a natural red zone threat at 6-foot-4, 250 pounds.
  • The sophomore tight end has commanded nine targets inside the 20-yard line.
  • That’s more than the combined total for Tommy Tremble and Mitchell Evans, Carolina’s other two TEs, even though Sanders has missed three games with an injury.

Sanders hasn’t scored a touchdown yet, but I think that’s about to change.

He caught all nine of his targets in the past two weeks. That puts him behind only Tetairoa McMillan (13) for the most receptions of any Panther in that span.

-> Bet on Sanders to score at +450 on Monday Night Football

The kicker here is San Francisco’s defence, which ranks 29th in EPA per dropback, per RBSDM.com.

A big problem is its lacklustre linebacking corps, the unit that typically covers tight ends, with Fred Warner and Tatum Bethune injured.

San Francisco’s linebackers have allowed a 100.2 passer rating to opposing QBs, which ranks in the 16th percentile, according to RotoWire.

Key stat: The 49ers have allowed the second-most TDs to tight ends this year (7).

Embed: #121532

Monday Night Football anytime TD prediction

Pearsall to score (+205): Pearsall had quite the cardio game in his return from injury last week:

  • 41 snaps (75% share)
  • 1 reception (2 targets)
  • 0 yards

But that’s far from the norm.

The wideout was a problem in his first four games of the season and down the stretch last year. This might be cherry-picking a bit, but look at his averages in his last six games before Week 11:

  • 5.6 catches
  • 7.8 targets
  • 89.5 yards

Pearsall had a 30+ yard catch in five of those games, scoring two times. He’s a home-run threat who is shifty enough off the line to be effective in goal-line scenarios, too.

Carolina should throw the kitchen sink at stopping George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey in the red zone, and I’m hoping that opens up space for Pearsall.

Panthers vs. 49ers TD picks made at 10:20 a.m. ET Nov. 24, 2025.

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Buccaneers vs. Rams SNF Week 12 TD picks: Back Sean Tucker, Pacua Nacua to score

Buccaneers vs. Rams TD picks

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Los Angeles Rams close out Sunday’s NFL slate with a primetime matchup at SoFi Stadium.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles (8-2) and Tampa Bay (6-4) lead their respective divisions, albeit barely. The Rams are touchdown favourites as they search for a sixth-straight win. Sean Tucker had a hat trick of TDs for the Bucs last week and retains RB1 status with Bucky Irving sidelined.

Check out my Buccaneers vs. Rams TD picks for Nov. 23 featuring Puka Nacua.

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Buccaneers vs. Rams TD picks

Best bet: Tucker anytime TD (+175)

Is Tucker as good as Irving? Probably not. But he’s close enough that I consider these odds a steal.

  • The third-year RB turned 21 touches into 140 yards and three scores against the Buffalo Bills last week.
  • Two came on the ground and another through the air, showing that Tucker can be a three-down back in Tampa’s offence.
  • That’s not a fluke, either. In the two weeks prior, Tucker had 21 carries for 95 yards (4.5 YPA) and a score.

-> Bet on Tucker to score on Sunday Night Football

Baker Mayfield has Tampa Bay averaging the 11th-most PPG (25.2), and he’s got Chris Godwin back in the mix for SNF.

Los Angeles’ defence is elite, but Tucker is going to see a ton of action on a competent offence with a great quarterback under centre.

That matters a ton for me.

Key stat: Tucker has five TDs in his last six games.

Sunday Night Football anytime TD prediction

Nacua anytime TD (-138): Davante Adams was brought in to be Matthew Stafford’s red-zone guy, and he’s succeeded, hauling in a league-best 10 TDs so far.

But Nacua is a sure-handed big body (6-foot-2, 212 pounds) with strong route running and elite speed. Don’t pretend he’s an afterthought inside the 20-yard line.

The third-year product out of BYU ranks top four in receptions (73) and receiving yards (850) despite missing a game due to injury.

Nacua is targeted on 36.1% of his routes run, which ranks in the 100th percentile of all wide receivers.

Adams has the lion’s share of red-zone targets so far, but I expect Nacua to cut into that as the season goes on. He also has home-run ability, which helps.

Buccaneers vs. Rams TD picks made at 1 p.m. ET Nov. 23, 2025.

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Buccaneers vs. Rams SNF Week 12 TD picks: Back Sean Tucker, Pacua Nacua to score

Buccaneers vs. Rams TD picks

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Los Angeles Rams close out Sunday’s NFL slate with a primetime matchup at SoFi Stadium.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles (8-2) and Tampa Bay (6-4) lead their respective divisions, albeit barely. The Rams are touchdown favourites as they search for a sixth-straight win. Sean Tucker had a hat trick of TDs for the Bucs last week and retains RB1 status with Bucky Irving sidelined.

Check out my Buccaneers vs. Rams TD picks for Nov. 23 featuring Puka Nacua.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL.

Buccaneers vs. Rams TD picks

Best bet: Tucker anytime TD (+155)

Is Tucker as good as Irving? Probably not. But he’s close enough that I consider these odds a steal.

  • The third-year RB turned 21 touches into 140 yards and three scores against the Buffalo Bills last week.
  • Two came on the ground and another through the air, showing that Tucker can be a three-down back in Tampa’s offence.
  • That’s not a fluke, either. In the two weeks prior, Tucker had 21 carries for 95 yards (4.5 YPA) and a score.

-> Bet on Tucker to score on Sunday Night Football

Baker Mayfield has Tampa Bay averaging the 11th-most PPG (25.2), and he’s got Chris Godwin back in the mix for SNF.

Los Angeles’ defence is elite, but Tucker is going to see a ton of action on a competent offence with a great quarterback under centre.

That matters a ton for me.

Key stat: Tucker has five TDs in his last six games.

Embed: #121527

Sunday Night Football anytime TD prediction

Nacua anytime TD (-109): Davante Adams was brought in to be Matthew Stafford’s red-zone guy, and he’s succeeded, hauling in a league-best 10 TDs so far.

But Nacua is a sure-handed big body (6-foot-2, 212 pounds) with strong route running and elite speed. Don’t pretend he’s an afterthought inside the 20-yard line.

The third-year product out of BYU ranks top four in receptions (73) and receiving yards (850) despite missing a game due to injury.

Nacua is targeted on 36.1% of his routes run, which ranks in the 100th percentile of all wide receivers.

Adams has the lion’s share of red-zone targets so far, but I expect Nacua to cut into that as the season goes on. He also has home-run ability, which helps.

Buccaneers vs. Rams TD picks made at 1 p.m. ET Nov. 23, 2025.

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Nets vs. Raptors prop picks Nov. 23: Back Immanuel Quickley and Nic Claxton

Nets vs. Raptors prop picks

The Toronto Raptors, in search of a seventh straight win, host the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday.

The latest: Toronto has won 10 of its last 11 games and kicked off its current winning streak by beating the Nets in Brooklyn. The Raptors have the conference’s top net rating in December and are double-digit favourites today.

Check out these Nets vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Nov. 23, featuring Immanuel Quickley and Nic Claxton.

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Nets vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Quickley over 15.5 points (-125)

Let’s take a quick dive into Toronto’s November.

  • The Raptors are 9-1 this month with the fifth-best offensive rating (121.3).
  • Six different players are averaging double-digit points, including Quickley (17.5).
  • Toronto is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home, scoring 123.8 PPG.

In other words, Darko Rajakovic has the Raps clicking. There are plenty of mouths to feed on offence, which is a coach’s dream, but can make things difficult to handicap.

-> Full Nets vs. Raptors props at NorthStar Bets

That said, I think Quickley has a great chance of being the primary scorer tonight.

When Toronto beat Brooklyn on Nov. 11, all five starters scored double-digits in typical fashion. Quickley was a standout, though, dropping 24 points on 10-of-17 shooting.

The guard has now scored 15-plus points in seven of his last eight games, clearing this line six times.

In that span, he’s let it fly from deep, averaging 3.3 threes on 7.4 attempts per game (44.8%). Having a reliable 3-point stroke will be important against a Nets team with the third-worst perimeter defence in the NBA.

Key stat: Quickley has scored 20+ points in all four games vs. Brooklyn since joining the Raptors.

-> Wager on Sunday’s 8-game NBA slate

Additional NBA prop predictions

Claxton over 8.5 rebounds (-118): Jakob Poeltl (rest) is out tonight, leaving Toronto susceptible on the glass.

The Raps are loaded with position-agnostic players like Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram and RJ Barrett who can slide up or down the No. 2-4 spots — but Poeltl is a clear-cut centre.

Without him, there isn’t a player close to Claxton in size.

-> Bet on Barrett and Poeltl here!

Standing at 6-foot-11, I like the centre’s chances of performing above his 7.5 rebounds/game baseline.

Claxton has logged 11 rebounds in consecutive games and had eight boards against the Raptors earlier this month, with Poeltl playing.

Wizards vs. Raptors prop bets made at 9:28 a.m. ET on Nov. 23, 2025.

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Nets vs. Raptors prop picks Nov. 23: Back Immanuel Quickley and Nic Claxton

Nets vs. Raptors prop picks

The Toronto Raptors, in search of a seventh straight win, host the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday.

The latest: Toronto has won 10 of its last 11 games and kicked off its current winning streak by beating the Nets in Brooklyn. The Raptors have the conference’s top net rating in December and are double-digit favourites today.

Check out these Nets vs. Raptors prop picks for the game on Nov. 23, featuring Immanuel Quickley and Nic Claxton.

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Nets vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Quickley over 15.5 points (-122)

Let’s take a quick dive into Toronto’s November.

  • The Raptors are 9-1 this month with the fifth-best offensive rating (121.3).
  • Six different players are averaging double-digit points, including Quickley (17.5).
  • Toronto is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home, scoring 123.8 PPG.

In other words, Darko Rajakovic has the Raps clicking. There are plenty of mouths to feed on offence, which is a coach’s dream, but can make things difficult to handicap.

-> Full Nets vs. Raptors props at NorthStar Bets

That said, I think Quickley has a great chance of being the primary scorer tonight.

When Toronto beat Brooklyn on Nov. 11, all five starters scored double-digits in typical fashion. Quickley was a standout, though, dropping 24 points on 10-of-17 shooting.

The guard has now scored 15-plus points in seven of his last eight games, clearing this line six times.

In that span, he’s let it fly from deep, averaging 3.3 threes on 7.4 attempts per game (44.8%). Having a reliable 3-point stroke will be important against a Nets team with the third-worst perimeter defence in the NBA.

Key stat: Quickley has scored 20+ points in all four games vs. Brooklyn since joining the Raptors.

Embed: #121501

-> Wager on Sunday’s 8-game NBA slate

Additional NBA prop predictions

Claxton over 8.5 rebounds (-118): Jakob Poeltl (rest) is out tonight, leaving Toronto susceptible on the glass.

The Raps are loaded with position-agnostic players like Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram and RJ Barrett who can slide up or down the No. 2-4 spots — but Poeltl is a clear-cut centre.

Without him, there isn’t a player close to Claxton in size.

-> Bet on Barrett and Poeltl here!

Standing at 6-foot-11, I like the centre’s chances of performing above his 7.5 rebounds/game baseline.

Claxton has logged 11 rebounds in consecutive games and had eight boards against the Raptors earlier this month, with Poeltl playing.

Wizards vs. Raptors prop bets made at 9:28 a.m. ET on Nov. 23, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Nov. 23: Back Luka Doncic, fade James Harden on Sunday

NBA prop picks Nov. 23

Sunday’s NBA prop picks feature a fade on the league’s hottest player, James Harden.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Harden has been the lone bright spot on a Los Angeles Clippers team which has lost eight of its last 10 games. But he’s worth fading in Kawhi Leonard’s expected return against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 23, featuring picks on Mark Williams and Luka Doncic.

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NBA prop picks Nov. 23

Best bet: Harden under 24.5 points (-125)

Right now, it seems like Harden is the only guy standing between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the potential No. 1 overall pick.

OKC has L.A.’s first-rounder this year, and the Clippers are an outright mess sans The Beard.

Harden is averaging 31.7 PPG this month and scored a season-high 55 points last night. He’s gone over this line in five straight games, so why fade him?

-> Fade James Harden vs. the Cavaliers tonight!

The 36-year-old guard has done everything for L.A., which will eventually wear on him:

  • Harden shot inefficiently in two back-to-backs so far (7-of-25 vs. PHI; 7-of-17 vs. OKC).
  • Last year, Harden shot 39.0% from the field and 30.0% from deep in 12 games with no rest.

On top of that, Leonard is expected to return from a nine-game injury absence. That will take some pressure off Harden to score, allowing him to facilitate more.

Harden is averaging 32.0 points without Leonard and 23.0 points with him, taking six fewer shots per game when the Claw is in the lineup.

Cleveland is also holding opposing point guards to the fifth-fewest PPG, per Fantasy Pros. This seems like a logical night for some regression.

Key stat: Harden is 0-4 against this line vs. the Cavs since joining L.A.

Best NBA picks

Williams over 8.5 rebounds (-125): Spoiler alert: The San Antonio Spurs are a much worse rebounding team without Victor Wembanyama in the mix.

  • With Wembanyama: 4th in rebounding rate, 7th in offensive rebounding rate
  • Without Wembanyama: 23rd in rebounding rate, 29th in offensive rebounding rate

Williams is a big body on a solid Phoenix Suns team, and I expect him to be active on the glass this evening.

The 7-foot-1, 240-pound centre is averaging 8.2 rebounds this year and put up 10.2 last year with the Charlotte Hornets.

-> Bet on Sunday’s 8-game NBA slate

He doesn’t play as much as I would like — just 25.2 minutes/game — but should make the most of those opportunities against a middling Spurs lineup.

NBA player prop predictions

Doncic 4+ threes (-106): The Los Angeles Lakers might have LeBron James back in the mix, but everyone knows Doncic is the captain now.

The slimmed-down Slovenian has been on a tear this year, leading the league in scoring (34.6 PPG) while ranking second in 3-point volume (10.9 attempted 3s/game).

Doncic hasn’t been very efficient from deep, but that doesn’t matter to me.

-> Back Doncic against Utah on Sunday!

Doncic is 6-5 against this line overall, going 2-for-10 from deep against the Utah Jazz, tonight’s opponent, on Thursday.

Utah has the sixth-worst perimeter defence in basketball, so expect a better performance.

NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 23, 2025.

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