Avery Perri

Monday’s NBA nightcap between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Los Angeles Lakers is missing some serious star power.

The pregame narrative: Luka Doncic (hamstring) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal) are both out for this Western Conference heavyweight bout. The defending champion Thunder have lost back-to-back games without SGA but are still laying 6.5 points on the road.

Check out my same-game parlay Thunder vs. Lakers picks, featuring prop bets on Austin Reaves and Aaron Wiggins.

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Thunder vs. Lakers picks

SGP: Thunder moneyline | Reaves 2+ threes | Wiggins over 15.5 points (+310)

Thunder moneyline (-250): I think this is a great spot to back OKC on the moneyline.

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Typically, missing Gilgeous-Alexander against a playoff team would be problematic for the Thunder. I’ll call it a wash with Doncic sidelined on the other side.

• OKC struggled in its last two games sans SGA, averaging 106.0 PPG, but that was against two of the league’s top six teams in defensive rating (Rockets, Spurs).

• Before that, the Thunder had won eight straight without their MVP.

Los Angeles is 22nd in defensive rating, so I expect the rest of OKC’s star-studded roster to do damage.

Can the Lakers keep up without their leading scorer and facilitator? I doubt it.

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NBA SGP pick

Reaves 2+ threes (-215): Reaves made his return on Feb. 3 after a six-week injury absence, and the early results have been encouraging:

• 22.0 PPG
• 55.6 FG%
• 40.0 3PT%

The guard is a minutes restriction, which should remain in place as the Lakers play the first leg of a back-to-back tonight.

That’s why I’m opting to tease down his line rather than taking over 2.5 threes at +155 odds.

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OKC’s biggest defensive weakness is on the perimeter, where it is allowing opponents to shoot 37.1% (fifth-highest in the NBA).

Reaves is a career 36.9% three-point shooter and should cash this with limited run.

Top Thunder prop bet

Wiggins over 15.5 points (+112): I don’t expect any single Thunder player to go nuclear in SGA’s absence, and the odds reflect that.

No one on OKC’s roster has a point total at or above 20 points tonight. Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren lead the way, both sitting at 18.5.

The offence will be run by committee, which should give Wiggins enough looks to clear this line.

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The guard has cleared this mark in nine straight games without SGA while averaging 23.1 PPG.

This is also a solid matchup.

According to Cleaning the Glass, the Lakers have the 28th-ranked rim defence and 23rd-ranked 3-point defence. Wiggins takes 31% of his shots at the rim and 51% from beyond the arc.

Thunder vs. Lakers picks made at 10:30 a.m. on Feb. 9, 2026.

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The NBA’s Super Bowl Sunday slate features four games, all starting at or before 3:00 p.m. ET.

Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Anthony Edwards is on a scoring binge and has a great opportunity to stay hot against the Los Angeles Clippers. Elsewhere, I expect Scottie Barnes to stuff the stat sheet when the Toronto Raptors host the Indiana Pacers.

Check out these NBA prop picks for Feb. 8, featuring Boston Celtics guard Payton Pritchard.

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NBA prop picks Feb. 7

Best bet: Edwards over 27.5 points (-105)

When Edwards gets hot, look out.

And right now, he’s scalding. Check out the shooting guard’s numbers over the last 10 games:

• 32.8 PPG
• 55.4 EFG%
• 7-3 vs. this line

Edwards is averaging 23.3 field goal attempts during this stretch, and that volume puts him in line to clear this total on a nightly basis.

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Additionally, Los Angeles has been torn apart by the deep ball this season.

The Clippers have the seventh-worst 3-point defence (36.8%) and allow the fourth-most 3s per game to opposing shooting guards, per Fantasy Pros.

Edwards is one of the league’s best 3-point shooters, but I want no part of the over on his 2.5 three-point total at -175.

Teasing him up to 4+ threes at +150 is definitely playable, but I think backing him on the point total is the safer move.

After all, if he goes nuclear from deep, another 30-point night is well within the cards.

Key stat: Edwards has scored 30+ points in four straight games.

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Best Toronto Raptors prop pick

Barnes double-double (+123): Barnes is a Pacer-killer.

• Toronto’s all-star forward has averaged 24.0 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 8.0 assists in his last eight games against Indiana.

• In that span, he has six double-doubles and barely missed in the two outliers (23/8/8, 35/6/9).

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Barnes has scored double-digit points in 50 of 52 games this year, so the point aspect of this wager is almost a guarantee.

I love his chances of piling up rebounds, given Toronto’s centre situation and Indiana’s struggles on the glass.

Jakob Poeltl remains sidelined, and Indiana allows the fourth-most rebounds per game to opposing power forwards.

Barnes can also cash this bet as a facilitator. He had 13 assists in his last matchup against the Pacers.

NBA player prop predictions

Pritchard over 2.5 threes (-130): This line seems light for a guy like Pritchard.

The Celtics’ guard is having a career scoring season, averaging 17.3 PPG while shooting 35.8% from deep. That’s not super efficient, but there are signs that he’s improving:

• Pritcis is averaging 2.5 threes per game on 42.1% shooting since Jan. 1.

• He averaged 3.2 threes per game on 40.7% shooting last season.

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Pritchard has been moved back to the bench, where he played last season, after Anfernee Simons was traded on Tuesday.

Joe Mazzula made it clear the Celtics wanted another ball-handler off the bench, but that hasn’t cut into the guard’s playing time.

Pritchard has averaged 34.9 minutes since the move and has hit nine 3s across his last two games.

The New York Knicks, Boston’s opponent tonight, allow the sixth-most 3s per game.

NBA prop picks made at 8:40 a.m. ET on Feb. 8, 2026.

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The Portland Trail Blazers are heavy home favourites over the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday night.

The pregame narrative: Memphis dominated trade deadline headlines, moving Jaren Jackson Jr. while keeping Ja Morant. The latter remains out tonight alongside Zach Edey and Santi Aldama, setting up a big-time skill mismatch in Portland.

Check out my Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers predictions for Feb. 6, featuring picks on Donovan Clingan and Deni Avdija.

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Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers predictions

SGP: Trail Blazers -6.5 | Clingan double-double | Avdija 20+ points (+320)

Trail Blazers -6.5 (-148): Portland is hardly the ’96 Chicago Bulls. In fact, the Blazers are riding a six-game losing streak and are five games under .500.

But this is a massive mismatch and a blowout waiting to happen.

The Blazers lost to five very good teams during their skid (Raptors, Celtics, Cavaliers, Knicks, Suns) and were on a four-game winning streak before that.

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Memphis, meanwhile, has been a mess all season and is missing its four leading scorers (Jackson, who was traded, alongside Morant, Aldama, and Edey).

The Grizzlies are 7-10 ATS as road underdogs, which is the fourth-worst mark in the NBA, per Team Rankings. Trimming a few points off a big spread and backing the favourites feels safe to me.

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NBA SGP predictions

Avdija 20+ points (-189): Avdija was upgraded from doubtful to questionable ahead of tonight’s matchup, which is a good sign the all-star will suit up.

And that’s exactly the shot in the arm Portland needs.

• Avdija is having a monster year, averaging career highs in points (25.7) and field-goal attempts (16.7).

• He has reached this 20-point milestone in eight of his last 10 games and 35 of 44 on the season (79.5%).

Memphis just traded its best defensive player, the “Block Panther”, and won’t have Edey available to defend the paint, either. It should be smooth sailing for Avdija tonight.

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Donovan Clingan prop bet

Clingan double-double (-157): No Jackson and Edey also factor into this play.

Clingan is a rebounding machine, averaging the third-most boards per game (11.3). He has double-digit boards in eight of his last 10 and won’t have any notable bigs to contest him on the glass.

It makes sense that his rebounding total is set at 12.5 tonight.

Reaching the 10-point milestone should be the challenge here, but he’s averaging 11.2 PPG, and I like his chances against Memphis’ frontcourt.

The Grizzlies won’t have a single player above 6-foot-9 in their starting lineup.

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers predictions made at 3:40 p.m. on Feb. 6, 2026.

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The Los Angeles Clippers and Sacramento Kings close out Friday’s NBA slate with an intrastate showdown in California’s capital.

The pregame narrative: Los Angeles hasn’t performed well without James Harden this season, and new addition Darius Garland isn’t available to fill his shoes just yet. The Clippers are favoured, though, against a Kings squad that has lost 10 straight.

Check out my same-game parlay Clippers vs. Kings predictions for Feb. 6, featuring Kawhi Leonard and John Collins.

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Clippers vs. Kings predictions

SGP: Kings +10.5 | Leonard 6+ rebounds | Collins 2+ threes (+340)

Kings +10.5 (-435): Sacramento entered Thursday’s NBA trade deadline on a 10-game losing streak with a 12-40 record, and the team opted to keep Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan.

It’s a bold strategy, Cotton. Let’s see if it pays off for ’em.

I don’t want to spend too much time talking about the Kings’ organizational failures, though, and think they’re worth backing on a heavily-teased spread tonight.

• Sacramento has covered this line in five of its last 10 games and nine of its last 14.

• Los Angeles is 2-4 SU without Harden, and 1-5 ATS vs. this line. It most recently lost by 23 points to the Cleveland Cavaliers after trading The Beard.

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The Clippers also traded Ivica Zubac at the deadline for Bennedict Mathurin, but the Canadian guard isn’t available tonight.

That means L.A.’s starting rotation will consist of Leonard, Collins, Kobe Sanders, Kris Dunn, and Brook Lopez. I can’t see that group winning by 11 points.

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NBA SGP picks

Leonard 6+ rebounds (-167): Leonard’s career year is almost certainly going to be wasted on the middling Clippers. He’s mainly done damage as a scorer, but he should feast on the glass tonight.

-> Bet on Kawhi Leonard and John Collins tonight in Sacramento!

Zubac averaged 11.0 rebounds per game (fifth in the NBA) and is no longer on the court. On the other side, Sabonis, the three-time reigning rebounding champ, is questionable with back soreness.

Even if Sabonis plays, I expect Leonard to have an uptick in production as a rebounder.

The Claw is averaging 6.1 boards this season.

Clippers vs. Kings prop prediction

Collins 2+ threes (+110): Finally, I like Collins to drain a pair of 3s.

The power forward was lights out from deep over his last 20 games.

• 2.2 threes per game
• 57.1 3PT%
• 14-6 vs. this line

Sacramento skews as a semi-difficult matchup, allowing the 11th-fewest 3s per game.

But Collins is going to get plenty of looks with L.A.’s skeleton squad lineup, and has already cashed this wager against the Kings in December.

Clippers vs. Kings predictions made at 10 a.m. on Feb. 6, 2026.

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Last night, the Los Angeles Clippers and Cleveland Cavaliers made a blockbuster trade centred around James Harden and Darius Garland. One day later, they battle at Intuit Dome.

The pregame narrative: It’s unlikely we’ll see Harden (questionable) cross the aisle and immediately play for his new team. Garland, meanwhile, remains sidelined with a toe injury. The Cavs are modest 2-point road favourites after this seismic roster shakeup.

Check out my same-game parlay Cavaliers vs. Clippers picks, featuring Kawhi Leonard and Sam Merrill.

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Cavaliers vs. Clippers picks

SGP: Cavaliers +6.5 | Leonard over 26.5 points | Merrill 3+ threes (+310)

Cavaliers +6.5 (-360): If this trade were made months ago, when the Cavs were a middling 15-14, I would’ve thought it was a bit knee-jerk on their part.

But Cleveland has been on a heater lately, and sits near the top of the Eastern Conference at 30-21.

• For you math aficionados out there, that means the Cavs have gone 15-7 in their last 21 games.

• In that span, they’ve covered a +6.5 spread 80.9% of the time.

• Cleveland has gone 7-2 with a +5.6 net rating (seventh in the NBA) since Garland’s injury on Jan. 14.

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Los Angeles has been on quite a run of its own over the last six weeks, but it will certainly miss Harden until Garland is ready to play.

The Clippers are 1-4 against this line without Harden this year.

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NBA SGP pick

Leonard over 26.5 points (-118): When Leonard is healthy and on the court, as he is right now, he’s simply one of the best players in the game.

The Claw is averaging a career-best 27.6 PPG while boasting near 50-40-90 shooting splits.

And his last 20 games have been particularly impressive:

• 29.8 PPG
• 25+ points 14 times
• 20+ points in every game

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Cleveland is typically a tough matchup for any forward, with reigning DPOY Evan Mobley patrolling the interior. But Mobley is out tonight, which will be a boon for Leonard and the Clippers.

Cavaliers prop prediction

Merrill 3+ threes (-155): Merrill is a stereotypical journeyman guard. He’s 29 years old, is starting consistently for the first time in his career, and is lights out from deep.

• Merrill is averaging 3.5 threes on 7.9 attempts per game (45.9%).

• He is 13-5 against this milestone as a starter.

• That includes a 6-of-8 performance from deep in his last game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers.

-> Bet on tonight’s Cavaliers vs. Clippers game!

Los Angeles allows the 12th-most 3s per game (13.7) at the sixth-highest rate (36.9%).

Cavaliers vs. Clippers picks made at 12:25 p.m. on Feb. 4, 2026.

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The Toronto Raptors welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves into town for the last game before Thursday’s NBA trade deadline.

The pregame narrative: Toronto is reportedly looking to add a big name tomorrow, meaning this could be the last time Immanuel Quickley or RJ Barrett suit up for the Raptors. Minnesota has won four of its last five games and is laying 2.5 points on the road.

Check out my Timberwolves vs. Raptors prop picks for Feb. 4, featuring Rudy Gobert and Sandro Mamukelashvili.

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Timberwolves vs. Raptors prop picks

Best bet: Gobert double-double (+138)

Jakob Poeltl is one name circulating the rumour mill.

The oft-injured centre hasn’t played since Dec. 21, and has been floated in a package with Barrett that could potentially return Domantas Sabonis.

But that’s neither here nor there. Poeltl is out, meaning Gobert should run roughshod on the glass.

-> Bet on Rudy Gobert against the Raptors tonight!

The Frenchman is averaging 11.3 rebounds per game (second in the NBA) and has double-digit boards in 22 of his last 25 games. I’m not worried about the rebounding portion of this bet tonight.

Scoring 10 points should be the challenge against a Raptors team allowing the fifth-fewest PPG to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.

But Gobert may have an increased role with Anthony Edwards (elbow) and Julius Randle (thumb) questionable.

Even if they are in the lineup, I like his chances of reaching this total.

Gobert has double-digit points in 27 of his 49 starts, falling one basket shy another 10 times. He also has fantastic numbers against the Raptors.

Key stat: Gobert has recorded eight straight double-doubles against Toronto.

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Best Raptors prop bet

Mamukelashvili over 10.5 points (-112): Mamukelashvili will rotate with Collin Murray-Boyles at centre this evening, but the Raps are playing a positionally-agnostic frontcourt with Scottie Barnes in the mix.

That’s why acquiring Sabonis makes sense, but again, I digress.

Mamukelashvili has been playing big minutes since Jan. 1 with encouraging results:

• 26.3 MPG
• 13.1 PPG
• 54.5 FG%

He has gone over this mark in nine of 15 games since the new year.

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Minnesota has allowed the sixth-most PPG to opposing centres this year, so I’m confident Mamukelashvili can get his licks in.

Timberwolves vs. Raptors prop picks made at 11:20 a.m. ET on Feb. 4, 2026.

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