Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

NFL Week 15 odds and betting lines: Rams favoured over Lions in huge NFC matchup

NFL Week 15 odds

We’re in the NFL’s home stretch, and there are several massive lineups on deck for Week 15.

The latest: Two NFC powerhouses meet in Los Angeles when the Rams host the Detroit Lions. Elsewhere, the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers battle at Arrowhead with their playoff lives on the line.

Check out the latest NFL Week 15 odds below.

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NFL Week 15 odds: Betting insights

  • Detroit picked up a massive win in primetime of Week 14, beating the Dallas Cowboys, 44-30, at home on Thursday Night Football. The Lions have yet to beat a team currently in playoff contention on the road, though (losses to Eagles, Packers and Chiefs).
  • Daniel Jones injured his achillies in the Colts’ Week 14 loss. Indianapolis has now lost four of its last five, and is a massive road underdog against the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The AFC North race was flipped on its head last week when the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Ravens in Baltimore. Now, the Steelers look to keep things rolling in a primetime matchup with the Miami Dolphins. Miami has won five of its last six, and could sneak into the playoffs if it wins out.

-> Week 15 betting odds

NFL Week 15 schedule: Thursday Night Football and Sunday 1 p.m. slate

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals

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Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots

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Cleveland Browns vs. Chicago Bears

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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Philadelphia Eagles

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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

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New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

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Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants

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NFL 4 p.m. slate

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints

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Detroit Lions vs. Los Angeles Rams

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Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos

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Indianapolis Colts vs. Seattle Seahawks

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Tennessee Titans vs. San Francisco 49ers

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SNF & MNF Week 15 games

Minnesota Vikings vs. Dallas Cowboys

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Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

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Lakers vs. 76ers SGP predictions Dec. 7: Back Tyrese Maxey and fade Austin Reaves in +325 ticket

Lakers vs. 76ers predictions

The Los Angeles Lakers and Philadelphia 76ers meet in a marquee matchup on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Luka Doncic is back in the lineup after missing two games (personal), and the Lakers are a slim road favourite as a result. On the other side, Joel Embiid has been upgraded to probable after making his return from injury earlier this week.

Check out my +325 Lakers vs. 76ers SGP predictions for Dec. 7, featuring Austin Reaves and Tyrese Maxey.

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Lakers vs. 76ers SGP predictions

Parlay: Lakers +7.5 (+310) | Maxey 25+ points | Reaves under 2.5 threes (+325)

Lakers +7.5 (-670): I expect L.A. to win this game, but am teasing the favourites way up to a 7.5 point dog. It’s still a valuable leg in this parlay, too, because it negatively correlates with the player props.

-> Bet on Sunday’s NBA slate now!

Los Angeles has won eight of its last 10 games, and seven of the last eight with Doncic playing.

LeBron James is questionable tonight, but at this point in his career, I don’t think that’s necessarily a net negative. The King’s defence and shooting efficiency have taken a dive this year as he battles sciatica.

Philly is a mediocre 7-6 at home, and L.A. is 7-4 ATS as a favourite, winning nine of those games outright.

NBA SGP legs

Maxey 25+ points (-225): This is Maxey’s team, even when Embiid is on the court. The former scoring champ is a shell of his former self and doesn’t add much offensively when he’s in the lineup.

L.A. also holds centres to the fewest points per game, according to Fantasy Pros, so this isn’t a great matchup for Embiid to thrive.

-> Build your own Lakers vs. 76ers SGP at NorthStar Bet

Maxey, on the other hand, should cook.

He’s averaging a career high 31.6 PPG and is shooting a solid 38.2% from deep. L.A. still ranks in the top half defensively against point guards, but Maxey takes plenty of shots and has huge upside on a nightly basis.

Maxey has reached this milestone in his last three games vs. L.A. and scored 43 points against the Lakers in his most recent matchup.

Reaves under 2.5 threes (+112): This is in no way a knock on Reaves’ ability. The fourth-year guard has “All NBA Team” written all over him, and just went nuclear in two games without Doncic:

  • Dec. 5 at Boston: 36 points (3-of-8 from deep)
  • Dec. 4 at Toronto: 44 points (5-of-11 from deep)

But Reaves typically takes fewer 3s with Doncic in the mix (9.6 to 7.1), and has gone under 2.5 threes in nine of 14 games when they’re both playing.

-> Fade Reaves and back Maxey here

Also, this is a very tough matchup against the Sixers on the road.

Philadelphia has the seventh-best 3-point defence in the NBA (34.3%) and has held its last three opponents to 29.1% shooting from deep.

Lakers vs. 76ers predictions made at 2:05 p.m. ET on Dec. 7, 2025.

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Texans vs. Chiefs SNF Week 14 SGP predictions: Fade Mahomes and back Collins at +320

Texans vs. Chiefs predictions

The Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans close out Sunday’s NFL slate with a playoff-like matchup at Arrowhead Stadium.

The pregame narrative: Kansas City desperately needs a win to stay in the postseason hunt, and is a slight home favourite tonight. The Texans have won four straight games and look to exact some revenge after the Chiefs eliminated them in the postseason last year.

Check out my Texans vs. Chiefs SGP predictions for Dec. 7, featuring Patrick Mahomes and Nico Collins.

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Texans vs. Chiefs SGP

SGP: Chiefs +6.5 | Mahomes under 1.5 passing TDs | Collins 60+ receiving yards (+320)

Chiefs +6.5 (-530): This is the worst version of the Chiefs we’ve seen with Mahomes at the helm, but that doesn’t mean they’re a pushover.

Kansas City is 6-6 with wins over the Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens. Its losses have been by a combined 25 points, and it has covered this spread in all but one game (Week 9 at Buffalo).

-> Go to full Texans vs. Chiefs markets for Sunday Night Football

Mahomes is still a baller, and the defence is still capable of stifling opponents, especially at home. That’s bad news for Stroud, who has historically struggled on the road:

  • KC is allowing 14.0 PPG in its six games at Arrowhead Stadium.
  • Houston is 10-11 on the road while averaging 20.4 PPG with Stroud starting.

The Texans went into Arrowhead twice last year and lost, scoring 15 and 19 points in the defeats. I expect the Chiefs to win a gritty, defensively-minded battle.

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Sunday Night Football SGP picks

Mahomes under 1.5 passing TDs (-130): I just explained why Kansas City has a good shot to win this game, but allow me to put some respect on Houston’s defence.

The Texans are allowing the fewest yards (265.7) and points (16.5) per game and rank first in RBSDM.com’s EPA per play.

And the most impressive part is they wreak havoc while rarely blitzing and disguising coverages:

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Simply put, DeMeco Ryans has a bunch of dogs lining up on that side of the ball.

Mahomes has had a hyper-efficient year and is coming off a four-touchdown game. But he threw just one TD in the three games prior, and should struggle against the Texans.

Houston is allowing just 1.0 passing TD per game (second-fewest in the NFL).

Collins 60+ receiving yards (-159): Lastly, I’m betting on Collins to reach a modest receiving milestone.

The sixth-year wideout is on a nice five-game stretch, doing most of this damage with Davis Mills at the helm:

  • 91.2 yards/game
  • 6.2 catches/game
  • 9.8 targets/game

Collins caught 5-of-10 passes for 98 yards in Stroud’s return last week and should see a similar workload tonight.

This mark is well within reach, even with Stroud’s road struggles and KC’s solid defence.

Remember, we’re talking about a guy who’s averaged 78.3 receiving yards over the last two seasons.

Texans vs. Chiefs predictions made at 11:15 a.m. ET on Dec. 7, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Dec. 7: Back Giddey, Jokic and Mitchell on Sunday

Two dynamic playmakers, Josh Giddey and Nikola Jokic, are featured in Sunday’s top NBA prop predictions.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Giddey should hoover up rebounds against an undersized Golden State Warriors team still missing Steph Curry. Nikola Jokic, meanwhile, has an opportunity to cook from deep against the Charlotte Hornets.

Check out my plays in the best NBA prop picks for Dec. 7, featuring a best bet on Oklahoma City guard Ajay Mitchell.

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NBA prop picks Dec. 7

Best bet: Mitchell over 17.5 points (-118)

Mitchell typically comes off of OKC’s bench in relief of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

But the reigning MVP is sidelined tonight with an elbow injury, meaning Mitchell will be thrust into a starting role. We’ve already seen him make six starts this year, and the results are encouraging.

  • 16.8 PPG
  • 51.4 FG%
  • 50.0 3PT%

He’s gone 3-3 against this line as a starter, but landed on 17 points once.

Isaiah Hartenstein, Lu Dort, Alex Caruso and Isaiah Joe are also out in addition to SGA. That’s 71.6 combined PPG lost, so I’m confident the sharp-shooting Mitchell can perform above his baseline.

-> See full betting markets for Sunday’s NBA slate

And I haven’t even mentioned OKC’s opponent yet.

The Utah Jazz are among the league’s worst defensive teams. They sit 29th in defensive rating (120.4) and allow the eighth-most PPG to opposing point guards (26.94), per Fantasy Pros.

Mitchell should be in for a big night.

Key stat: Mitchell has scored 17+ points in six of nine games when playing over 30 minutes.

Best NBA picks

Giddey over 9.5 rebounds (-106): Giddey is having a monster season, averaging career highs in all three major categories, and ranking 10th in rebounding (9.9/game).

The lanky point guard has double-digit boards in seven of his last 11 games and has a great opportunity to do it again.

Golden State lacks a true big man with sophomore centre Quinten Post being the only rotational player above 6-foot-9 — and he plays just 17 minutes a night.

-> Bet on Giddey against the Warriors!

On top of that, Jimmy Butler and Draymond Green seem unlikely to play after missing yesterday’s contest with injuries.

The Warriors are a bottom-six team in rebounding rate, and I expect Giddy to feast.

NBA player prop predictions

Jokic over 1.5 threes (-130): I think it’s worth backing Jokic at this number against the Hornets.

Charlotte has the worst 3-point defence in the NBA (39.3%) and allows the most 3s per game to opposing centres (1.92).

Jokic is attempting more 3s than ever (4.9/game), and cashing at a 40.7% clip. That doesn’t seem fair given the rest of his skill set, but there’s a reason the Serbian is a three-time MVP winner.

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Jokic is 8-4 against this line in his last 12 games with at least one triple in each of those contests.

NBA prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on Dec. 7, 2025.

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Best NBA prop picks Dec. 7: Back Giddey, Jokic and Mitchell on Sunday

Two dynamic playmakers, Josh Giddey and Nikola Jokic, are featured in Sunday’s top NBA prop predictions.

Today’s NBA props narrative: Giddey should hoover up rebounds against an undersized Golden State Warriors team still missing Steph Curry. Nikola Jokic, meanwhile, has an opportunity to cook from deep against the Charlotte Hornets.

Check out my plays in the best NBA prop picks for Dec. 7, featuring a best bet on Oklahoma City guard Ajay Mitchell.

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NBA prop picks Dec. 7

Best bet: Mitchell over 18.5 points (-108)

Mitchell typically comes off of OKC’s bench in relief of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

But the reigning MVP is sidelined tonight with an elbow injury, meaning Mitchell will be thrust into a starting role. We’ve already seen him make six starts this year, and the results are encouraging.

  • 16.8 PPG
  • 51.4 FG%
  • 50.0 3PT%

He’s gone 2-4 against this line as a starter, but landed on 17 points once and 18 points once.

Isaiah Hartenstein, Lu Dort, Alex Caruso and Isaiah Joe are also out in addition to SGA. That’s 71.6 combined PPG lost, so I’m confident the sharp-shooting Mitchell can perform above his baseline.

-> See full betting markets for Sunday’s NBA slate

And I haven’t even mentioned OKC’s opponent yet.

The Utah Jazz are among the league’s worst defensive teams. They sit 29th in defensive rating (120.4) and allow the eighth-most PPG to opposing point guards (26.94), per Fantasy Pros.

Mitchell should be in for a big night.

Key stat: Mitchell has scored 17+ points in six of nine games when playing over 30 minutes.

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Best NBA picks

Giddey over 9.5 rebounds (-136): Giddey is having a monster season, averaging career highs in all three major categories, and ranking 10th in rebounding (9.9/game).

The lanky point guard has double-digit boards in seven of his last 11 games and has a great opportunity to do it again.

Golden State lacks a true big man with sophomore centre Quinten Post being the only rotational player above 6-foot-9 — and he plays just 17 minutes a night.

-> Bet on Giddey against the Warriors!

On top of that, Jimmy Butler and Draymond Green seem unlikely to play after missing yesterday’s contest with injuries.

The Warriors are a bottom-six team in rebounding rate, and I expect Giddy to feast.

NBA player prop predictions

Jokic over 1.5 threes (-150): I think it’s worth backing Jokic at this number against the Hornets.

Charlotte has the worst 3-point defence in the NBA (39.3%) and allows the most 3s per game to opposing centres (1.92).

Jokic is attempting more 3s than ever (4.9/game), and cashing at a 40.7% clip. That doesn’t seem fair given the rest of his skill set, but there’s a reason the Serbian is a three-time MVP winner.

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Jokic is 8-4 against this line in his last 12 games with at least one triple in each of those contests. If you’re looking for a juicer payout, backing him to clear 2.5 threes at +210 is certainly interesting.

NBA prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET on Dec. 7, 2025.

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Eagles vs. Chargers Week 14 Monday Night Football picks: Back Philadelphia to win, Ladd McConkey to reach 50-yard milestone

Eagles vs. Chargers picks

The Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Chargers close out Week 14 on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Justin Herbert is gritting it out through a fractured left hand to play, and he’ll get a big offensive weapon back in rookie RB Omarion Hampton. Philadelphia is a slight road favourite after last playing on Black Friday, and a win would all but lock up the NFC East for the reigning champs.

Check out my Eagles vs. Chargers picks for Dec. 8, featuring a prop bet on Ladd McConkey.

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Eagles vs. Chargers picks

Best Bet: McConkey 50+ receiving yards (-118)

I think Monday’s game script should work in McConkey’s favour.

Protecting Herbert is priority No. 1 for Jim Harbaugh, and that will be challenging without star tackle Joe Alt. That means the offence should be run-heavy (especially considering Hampton’s return) with a bunch of quick passes.

Simply put, L.A. can’t afford to have its QB re-injure his hand on long-developing, play-action passes.

And of all the Chargers on the field, McConkey can do the most damage in short-yardage situations:

  • Operating out of the slot, McConkey commands a heavy 22.8% target share. That ranks in the 89th percentile for all wide receivers, per RotoWire.
  • McConkey also has an average depth of target of 8.7 yards. That ranks in the 22nd percentile for all wide receivers.

-> Bet on McConkey to reach this milestone on Monday Night Football

Going up against star slot corner Cooper DeJean won’t be easy, but McConkey should receive a steady dosage of targets.

Look for him to eclipse this line on several short gains rather than chunk plays.

Key stat: McConkey has fallen below this milestone in consecutive games, but he cleared it in five straight before that while averaging 83.6 yards.

MNF moneyline bet

Eagles moneyline (-150): Philadelphia was embarrassed the last time we saw it play, but I think the reigning champions will respond with a victory.

The Chargers haven’t beaten a team currently in playoff contention since Week 3 in Denver. Their last five wins were against the Dolphins, Titans, Vikings, Steelers and Raiders.

Philly, for all of its flaws, represents a massive leap in competition.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Monday Night Football!

The Eagles’ defence hasn’t given up 25 points in six straight weeks. In that span, they’re conceding 17.6 PPG and rank seventh in RBSDM.com’s EPA per play.

Sure, Chicago just ran all over Philly’s defence. But Los Angeles doesn’t the personnel to make that happen again.

The Chargers’ line ranks 31st in pass block win rate and 30th in run block win rate, per ESPN.com.

I think Herbert will be under duress all night and will make some bad decisions with the football. On the other end, Philly should lean on its rushing attack to gash a defence allowing the ninth-most yards per rush (4.5).

Eagles vs. Chargers picks made at 3:15 p.m. ET Dec. 6, 2025.

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Eagles vs. Chargers Week 14 Monday Night Football picks: Back Philadelphia to win, Ladd McConkey to reach 50-yard milestone

Eagles vs. Chargers picks

The Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Chargers close out Week 14 on Monday Night Football.

The pregame narrative: Justin Herbert is gritting it out through a fractured left hand to play, and he’ll get a big offensive weapon back in rookie RB Omarion Hampton. Philadelphia is a slight road favourite after last playing on Black Friday, and a win would all but lock up the NFC East for the reigning champs.

Check out my Eagles vs. Chargers picks for Dec. 8, featuring a prop bet on Ladd McConkey.

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Eagles vs. Chargers picks

Best Bet: McConkey 50+ receiving yards (-109)

I think Monday’s game script should work in McConkey’s favour.

Protecting Herbert is priority No. 1 for Jim Harbaugh, and that will be challenging without star tackle Joe Alt. That means the offence should be run-heavy (especially considering Hampton’s return) with a bunch of quick passes.

Simply put, L.A. can’t afford to have its QB re-injure his hand on long-developing, play-action passes.

And of all the Chargers on the field, McConkey can do the most damage in short-yardage situations:

  • Operating out of the slot, McConkey commands a heavy 22.8% target share. That ranks in the 89th percentile for all wide receivers, per RotoWire.
  • McConkey also has an average depth of target of 8.7 yards. That ranks in the 22nd percentile for all wide receivers.

-> Bet on McConkey to reach this milestone on Monday Night Football

Going up against star slot corner Cooper DeJean won’t be easy, but McConkey should receive a steady dosage of targets.

Look for him to eclipse this line on several short gains rather than chunk plays.

Key stat: McConkey has fallen below this milestone in consecutive games, but he cleared it in five straight before that while averaging 83.6 yards.

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MNF moneyline bet

Eagles moneyline (-134): Philadelphia was embarrassed the last time we saw it play, but I think the reigning champions will respond with a victory.

The Chargers haven’t beaten a team currently in playoff contention since Week 3 in Denver. Their last five wins were against the Dolphins, Titans, Vikings, Steelers and Raiders.

Philly, for all of its flaws, represents a massive leap in competition.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Monday Night Football!

The Eagles’ defence hasn’t given up 25 points in six straight weeks. In that span, they’re conceding 17.6 PPG and rank seventh in RBSDM.com’s EPA per play.

Sure, Chicago just ran all over Philly’s defence. But Los Angeles doesn’t the personnel to make that happen again.

The Chargers’ line ranks 31st in pass block win rate and 30th in run block win rate, per ESPN.com.

I think Herbert will be under duress all night and will make some bad decisions with the football. On the other end, Philly should lean on its rushing attack to gash a defence allowing the ninth-most yards per rush (4.5).

Eagles vs. Chargers picks made at 3:15 p.m. ET Dec. 6, 2025.

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NHL prop picks Dec. 6: Bet on Connor McDavid to dominate on Hockey Night in Canada

NHL prop picks Dec. 6

Connor McDavid’s Edmonton Oilers host the Winnipeg Jets in a marquee Hockey Night in Canada showdown.

The pregame narrative: Winnipeg is playing on a back-to-back with Connor Hellebuyck sidelined, meaning rookie Thomas Milic will take the crease tonight. McDavid is coming off a hat trick and is in a great position to keep things rolling.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 6, featuring a play on New Jersey Devils forward Nico Hischier.

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NHL prop picks

Best bet: McDavid 2+ points (+115)

I backed McDavid to record two points on Thursday, and he doubled that with three goals and an assist.

At 40 points, the five-time Art Ross winner is now within shouting distance of Nathan MacKinnon (46) for the league lead. I say he has another monster outing tonight.

-> Bet on McDavid and the Oilers tonight

Since Nov. 1, McDavid has 26 points in 16 games. That’s a 133-point pace. He’s gone 9-7 against this line in that span, and he has a plus matchup against an inexperienced netminder.

  • Milic has made just two NHL appearances, giving up six goals on 51 shots (.882 SV%).
  • The 22-year-old has a career .895 AHL SV% in 63 games.

On top of that, Winnipeg has had a lacklustre year defensively. The Jets are giving up the fourth-most chances (61.77) and ninth-most shots (29.21) on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

Key stat: McDavid is 4-4 against this line in his last eight games vs. Winnipeg. Hellebuyck started in all but one of those contests.

NHL predictions

Hischier over 2.5 shots (+115): Hischier and the Devils are in Boston to take on a Bruins team lacking defensive structure.

Boston gives up the second-most chances on a 60-minute basis and the third-most shots (30.55).

Hischier isn’t typically a shoot-first guy like Jack Hughes, but he has taken on a bigger offensive role with the latter sidelined due to a hand injury.

-> See Saturday’s player prop markets at NorthStar Bets

The Swedish captain has seven goals in his last 10 games and is 6-4 against this line.

In that span, he’s recorded at least two shots nine times.

NHL prop picks made at 1 p.m. ET on Dec. 6, 2025.

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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs prop picks Dec. 6: Back Matthews, Demidov in Original Six showdown

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs prop picks

Saturday’s Original Six showdown between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens has a little more bite than usual to it.

The pregame narrative: Toronto is finally rounding into form after a dreadful start to the season and can catch Montreal in the standings with a win. The Maple Leafs are favoured to win a fourth straight game despite missing goaltender Joseph Woll, who was placed on the injured reserve this morning.

Check out my Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs prop picks for Dec. 6, featuring Auston Matthews and Ivan Demidov.

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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs prop picks

Best Bet: Demidov to score 1+ points (+100)

Toronto has picked up points in six of its last eight (5-2-1), but Demidov should do damage tonight.

The Leafs have been one of the worst defensive teams this season, allowing the fourth-most chances (62.88) and eighth-most shots (29.1) on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

And things haven’t been much better defensively during their recent eight-game heater:

  • 30th in chances/60 (66.8)
  • 29th in shots/60 (30.78)
  • 20th in xGA/60 (3.2)

Expected goals and chances against aren’t worth squat if a team has a goalie performing well, as Toronto did with Woll. But the netminder picked up a lower-body injury on Thursday, meaning Dennis Hildeby, who has a career .896 SV%, will start.

-> Bet on Ivan Demidov against the Maple Leafs

Demidov has been on a nice run, picking up points in seven of his last eight games. That includes two assists in a 5-2 win against Toronto on Nov. 22 (which Woll started).

The rookie also plays on the top power play, so I think these odds are a steal.

Key stat: Demidov is 15-11 against this line.

Best NHL prop picks

Matthews over 3.5 shots (-125): Matthews has been quietly producing in his last five games since returning from injury:

  • 2 goals
  • 5 points
  • 3+ shots in every game

Toronto’s captain has cleared this mark in back-to-back contests, logging five shots against the Carolina Hurricanes on Thursday.

Carolina allows the fewest chances and shots per game, so that shot total jumps off the page.

-> Bet on Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs at NorthStar Bets

These days, Montreal is in the same boat defensively as Toronto. Since Nov. 11 (the same eight-game segment I referenced with the Leafs earlier), the Canadiens are allowing the most chances and the third-most shots on a 60-minute basis.

The Leafs are at their best when Matthews fires at will, and I think he’ll have plenty of opportunities to do exactly that tonight.

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs prop picks made at 9:30 a.m. ET Dec. 6, 2025.

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NHL prop picks Dec. 6: Bet on Connor McDavid to dominate on Hockey Night in Canada

NHL prop picks Dec. 6

Connor McDavid’s Edmonton Oilers host the Winnipeg Jets in a marquee Hockey Night in Canada showdown.

The pregame narrative: Winnipeg is playing on a back-to-back with Connor Hellebuyck sidelined, meaning rookie Thomas Milic will take the crease tonight. McDavid is coming off a hat trick and is in a great position to keep things rolling.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 6, featuring a play on New Jersey Devils forward Nico Hischier.

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NHL prop picks

Best bet: McDavid 2+ points (+107)

I backed McDavid to record two points on Thursday, and he doubled that with three goals and an assist.

At 40 points, the five-time Art Ross winner is now within shouting distance of Nathan MacKinnon (46) for the league lead. I say he has another monster outing tonight.

-> Bet on McDavid and the Oilers tonight

Since Nov. 1, McDavid has 26 points in 16 games. That’s a 133-point pace. He’s gone 9-7 against this line in that span, and he has a plus matchup against an inexperienced netminder.

  • Milic has made just two NHL appearances, giving up six goals on 51 shots (.882 SV%).
  • The 22-year-old has a career .895 AHL SV% in 63 games.

On top of that, Winnipeg has had a lacklustre year defensively. The Jets are giving up the fourth-most chances (61.77) and ninth-most shots (29.21) on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

Key stat: McDavid is 4-4 against this line in his last eight games vs. Winnipeg. Hellebuyck started in all but one of those contests.

Embed: #121955

NHL predictions

Hischier over 2.5 shots (+125): Hischier and the Devils are in Boston to take on a Bruins team lacking defensive structure.

Boston gives up the second-most chances on a 60-minute basis and the third-most shots (30.55).

Hischier isn’t typically a shoot-first guy like Jack Hughes, but he has taken on a bigger offensive role with the latter sidelined due to a hand injury.

-> See Saturday’s player prop markets at NorthStar Bets

The Swedish captain has seven goals in his last 10 games and is 6-4 against this line.

In that span, he’s recorded at least two shots nine times.

NHL prop picks made at 1 p.m. ET on Dec. 6, 2025.

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