Avery Perri

Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.

NFL Week 15 upset picks: Back underdog Bengals against Ravens, take Lions vs. Rams

NFL Week 15 upset picks

Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals have their playoff lives on the line when they host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday.

The pregame narrative: Cincinnati can still make the postseason if it wins out, while Baltimore would suffer a massive hit to its playoff probability with a loss. The Bengals have looked strong with Burrow and are worth backing as a home underdog.

Check out my top NFL Week 15 upset picks below, featuring a pick on the Detroit Lions.

-> Join NorthStar Bets and start wagering on the NFL

NFL Week 15 upset picks

Best bet: Bengals moneyline (+120)

I can’t make much sense of this line.

The only thing separating Cincinnati from being firmly in the AFC wild-card hunt is a pair of late, uncharacteristic turnovers by Burrow against the Buffalo Bills

The Bengals aren’t quite dead yet, and will have roughly a 29% chance of making the postseason if they win out, according to The Athletic.

So there’s still plenty to play for.

Burrow threw for 284 yards and four TDs in last week’s 39-34 loss, and I have no doubts about his form. With Ja’Marr Chase playing to his ceiling, the Bengals are capable of lighting up any team in the league.

We literally saw them put up 32 points in Baltimore on U.S. Thanksgiving two weeks ago with Tee Higgins sidelined.

-> Bet on the NFL’s Week 15 slate at NorthStar Bets!

The Ravens are in a tailspin, having just lost at home to the Pittsburgh Steelers, with Lamar Jackson having another quiet outing. These are his numbers since the start of November:

  • 55.6 completion percentage
  • 197.4 passing yards/game
  • 25.4 rushing yards/game
  • 2 passing TDs, 4 INTs

Quarterbacks win football games, and I can’t trust a clearly banged-up Jackson right now.

Burrow, on the other hand, is slinging it and should put up another crooked number at home.

Key stat: Cincinnati has won eight of its last nine games when Burrow plays.

Embed: #122053

NFL underdog prediction

Lions moneyline (+215): Detroit plays its best ball indoors, and that’s exactly where it’ll be on Sunday against the Los Angeles Rams.

SoFi Stadium is also often packed by opposing fans, so I’m not quite worried about Detroit facing road issues.

-> Wager on NFL Week 15 at NorthStar Bets

I am worried about the Rams’ talent, but think the Lions can go blow-for-blow with the NFC’s top seed.

L.A. has won seven of its last eight games behind a top-five scoring offence and defence.

But Detroit paces the league in PPG (30.3) and just scored 44 points against the Cowboys’ revamped defence in primetime. And the Lions are well-rested after that convincing Week 14 Thursday Night Football win.

Cracking the Rams’ unit will be a much tougher task, but we’ve seen this matchup play out twice in the last two years, and the Lions won both meetings.

Dan Campbell’s squad needs a win to keep pace in the NFC, and I think his squad will deliver.

NFL upset picks made at 4:35 p.m. ET on Dec. 9, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Champions League Matchday 6 picks Dec. 10: Back Haaland to score against Real Madrid, Arsenal to win handily

Champions League Matchday 6 picks

A titanic matchup between Real Madrid and Manchester City headlines Wednesday’s Champions League fixtures.

The pregame narrative: Erling Haaland and Kylian Mbappe are both scoring at a historic pace, but the latter might be sidelined after missing Tuesday’s training with leg discomfort. Haaland is suiting up, though, and I like his chances of scoring in Madrid.

Check out my best Champions League Matchday 6 picks for Dec. 10.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & wager on the Champions League

Champions League Matchday 6 picks

Best bet: Haaland to score (-134)

Haaland is putting up video-game-like numbers this year, but what else is new?

  • 15 goals in 15 Premier League games
  • 5 goals in 5 Champions League games
  • 13 goals in 5 World Cup qualifier games

The Norwegian striker is on a bit of a cold streak right now, with just one goal in his last four starts across all competitions. But it hasn’t been for a lack of effort.

Haaland generated 3.2 xG in those four meetings, per FBRef, while taking 12 shots.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on Haaland vs. Real Madrid

He ranks in the 96th percentile for non-penalty goals per 90 and in the 95th percentile for non-penalty xG per 90, compared to positional peers in the Men’s Big 5 Leagues, UCL and UEL over the last year.

Oh, and he takes penalties as well.

Real Madrid missed out on hardware last year because of its defensive structure, and it has struggled to keep the ball out of their net lately.

Xabi Alonso’s squad suffered a shock 2-0 loss to Celta Vigo in La Liga on Sunday, and gave up three goals in a win over Olympiacos in its last UCL fixture.

Overall, Real has conceded eight goals in its last five games.

Key stat: Haaland has scored 13 goals in his last 14 UCL games.

-> Bet on Wednesday’s Champions League matches

Club Brugge vs. Arsenal best bet

Arsenal half-time/full-time (-110): The Gunners have begun the annual tradition of dwindling their Premier League lead after picking up just three points in their last three domestic fixtures.

Man City is now right on its tail heading into Christmas. But Arsenal still tops the UCL table with a perfect 5-0-0 record and a tournament-best +13 goal differential.

It ranks second in FotMob match rating (7.30), has four clean sheets, and has only conceded once all tournament.

Mikel Arteta’s squad is levels clear of Club Brugge, which sits 27th out of 36 teams in this competition and holds a 1-1-3 record.

-> Wager on the UCL league phase at NorthStar Bets

This should be a start-to-finish rout for the North London club.

Champions League Matchday 6 picks at 2:30 p.m. on Dec. 9, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Champions League Matchday 6 picks Dec. 10: Back Haaland to score against Real Madrid, Arsenal to win handily

Champions League Matchday 6 picks

A titanic matchup between Real Madrid and Manchester City headlines Wednesday’s Champions League fixtures.

The pregame narrative: Erling Haaland and Kylian Mbappe are both scoring at a historic pace, but the latter might be sidelined after missing Tuesday’s training with leg discomfort. Haaland is suiting up, though, and I like his chances of scoring in Madrid.

Check out my best Champions League Matchday 6 picks for Dec. 10.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & wager on the Champions League

Champions League Matchday 6 picks

Best bet: Haaland to score (-125)

Haaland is putting up video-game-like numbers this year, but what else is new?

  • 15 goals in 15 Premier League games
  • 5 goals in 5 Champions League games
  • 13 goals in 5 World Cup qualifier games

The Norwegian striker is on a bit of a cold streak right now, with just one goal in his last four starts across all competitions. But it hasn’t been for a lack of effort.

Haaland generated 3.2 xG in those four meetings, per FBRef, while taking 12 shots.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on Haaland vs. Real Madrid

He ranks in the 96th percentile for non-penalty goals per 90 and in the 95th percentile for non-penalty xG per 90, compared to positional peers in the Men’s Big 5 Leagues, UCL and UEL over the last year.

Oh, and he takes penalties as well.

Real Madrid missed out on hardware last year because of its defensive structure, and it has struggled to keep the ball out of their net lately.

Xabi Alonso’s squad suffered a shock 2-0 loss to Celta Vigo in La Liga on Sunday, and gave up three goals in a win over Olympiacos in its last UCL fixture.

Overall, Real has conceded eight goals in its last five games.

Key stat: Haaland has scored 13 goals in his last 14 UCL games.

Embed: #122039

-> Bet on Wednesday’s Champions League matches

Club Brugge vs. Arsenal best bet

Arsenal half-time/full-time (-115): The Gunners have begun the annual tradition of dwindling their Premier League lead after picking up just three points in their last three domestic fixtures.

Man City is now right on its tail heading into Christmas. But Arsenal still tops the UCL table with a perfect 5-0-0 record and a tournament-best +13 goal differential.

It ranks second in FotMob match rating (7.30), has four clean sheets, and has only conceded once all tournament.

Mikel Arteta’s squad is levels clear of Club Brugge, which sits 27th out of 36 teams in this competition and holds a 1-1-3 record.

-> Wager on the UCL league phase at NorthStar Bets

This should be a start-to-finish rout for the North London club.

Champions League Matchday 6 picks at 2:30 p.m. on Dec. 9, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

NHL parlay picks and predictions Dec. 9: Back Draisaitl to score, Stars to beat Jets at +285

NHL parlay predictions Dec. 9

Tuesday’s NHL parlay predictions feature one goalscorer prop and one moneyline bet.

The pregame narrative: Leon Draisaitl and the Edmonton Oilers host the bottom-feeding Buffalo Sabres, and I expect the reigning Rocket Richard winner to score. Elsewhere, look for the Dallas Stars to beat the short-handed Winnipeg Jets.

Check out the full +285 NHL parlay predictions Dec. 9.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

NHL parlay predictions Dec. 9

Parlay: Draisaitl to score | Stars moneyline (+285)

Draisaitl to score (+125): There’s a solid case to be made that Draisaitl is the best goalscorer on the planet right now, even if he doesn’t currently pace the NHL leaderboard.

  • Draisaitl has three 50-goal seasons in his last four campaigns, scoring 41 in the outlier.
  • In that span, his 200 goals are second only to Auston Matthews (202), and the Maple Leafs’ captain has fallen off considerably.
  • The German is currently on pace for 48 goals after scoring in three of his last four games.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Drasaitl to score now!

The Oilers’ offence has come alive over the last two games, scoring 15 combined goals against the Seattle Kraken and Winnipeg Jets.

Edmonton should avenge its 5-1 November loss to Buffalo emphatically tonight.

The Sabres are a bottom-10 team in shots and chances allowed on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

And they’ve now lost three straight games, while letting in seven goals to the Calgary Flames last night.

Other pick

Stars moneyline (-138): Dallas is one of the hottest teams in the league, going 13-1-2 in its last 16 games.

Jake Oettinger is in Vezina form, and Mikko Rantanen is top-five in scoring.

Winnipeg is missing its Vezina (and Hart Trophy) winner, Connor Hellebuyck, who was put on the injury reserve on Nov. 24.

-> Make your own NHL parlay at NorthStar Bets

The Eric Comrie/Thomas Milic duo has struggled mightily to fill Hellebuyck’s shoes, posting a miserable .886 SV% in the 10 games since he went down.

Dallas is averaging 3.9 goals during its 10-game point streak (8-0-2) and should get after the rookie Milic tonight.

NHL parlay predictions made at 10:25 a.m. on Dec. 9, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

NHL parlay picks and predictions Dec. 9: Back Draisaitl to score, Stars to beat Jets at +355

NHL parlay predictions Dec. 9

Tuesday’s NHL parlay predictions feature one goalscorer prop, one moneyline bet, and one puck line pick.

The pregame narrative: Leon Draisaitl and the Edmonton Oilers host the bottom-feeding Buffalo Sabres, and I expect the reigning Rocket Richard winner to score. Elsewhere, look for the Dallas Stars to beat the short-handed Winnipeg Jets.

Check out the full +355 NHL parlay predictions Dec. 9, featuring a pick on the Montreal Canadiens.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

NHL parlay predictions Dec. 9

Parlay: Draisaitl to score | Stars moneyline | Canadiens +1.5 (+355)

Draisaitl to score (-107): There’s a solid case to be made that Draisaitl is the best goalscorer on the planet right now, even if he doesn’t currently pace the NHL leaderboard.

  • Draisaitl has three 50-goal seasons in his last four campaigns, scoring 41 in the outlier.
  • In that span, his 200 goals are second only to Auston Matthews (202), and the Maple Leafs’ captain has fallen off considerably.
  • The German is currently on pace for 48 goals after scoring in three of his last four games.

-> Don’t miss out — Bet on Drasaitl to score now!

The Oilers’ offence has come alive over the last two games, scoring 15 combined goals against the Seattle Kraken and Winnipeg Jets.

Edmonton should avenge its 5-1 November loss to Buffalo emphatically tonight.

The Sabres are a bottom-10 team in shots and chances allowed on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

And they’ve now lost three straight games, while letting in seven goals to the Calgary Flames last night.

Embed: #122028

Other picks

Stars moneyline (-135): Dallas is one of the hottest teams in the league, going 13-1-2 in its last 16 games.

Jake Oettinger is in Vezina form, and Mikko Rantanen is top-five in scoring.

Winnipeg is missing its Vezina (and Hart Trophy) winner, Connor Hellebuyck, who was put on the injury reserve on Nov. 24.

-> Make your own NHL parlay at NorthStar Bets

The Eric Comrie/Thomas Milic duo has struggled mightily to fill Hellebuyck’s shoes, posting a miserable .886 SV% in the 10 games since he went down.

Dallas is averaging 3.9 goals during its 10-game point streak (8-0-2) and should get after the rookie Milic tonight.

Canadiens +1.5 (-295): The Tampa Bay Lightning lost their fourth straight game last night after getting blanked, 2-0, by the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Tampa has now failed to score in consecutive games and will be forced to start Brandon Halverson with Andrei Vasilevskiy sidelined.

Halverson has made one career NHL start, letting in five goals, and has posted an unimpressive .901 SV% in 13 AHL games this year.

Montreal has covered this mark in six of its last eight games and is at home this evening.

I like the Canadiens’ chances of winning this game, but I’ll tease them up as puck line underdogs for some safety.

NHL parlay predictions made at 10:25 a.m. on Dec. 9, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Best NBA prop picks Dec. 8: Bet on Derik Queen and DeMar DeRozan on Monday

NBA prop picks Dec. 8

I’ve got a prop recommendation from two of Monday’s three NBA games.

Today’s NBA props narrative: New Orleans Pelicans rookie Derik Queen can stuff the stat sheet and has a plus matchup against the San Antonio Spurs. Elsewhere, look for DeMar DeRozan to do damage against the floundering Indiana Pacers.

Check out my plays in the best NBA prop picks for Dec. 8.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & start betting on the NBA!

NBA prop picks: Dec. 8

Best bet: Queen over 24.5 PRA (-110)

Queen is having a solid rookie campaign and has been a reliable contributor since his insertion into the starting lineup on Nov. 16:

  • The No. 13 overall pick is averaging 13.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.9 assists (24.9 PRA) as a starter.
  • He’s recorded 20+ PRA in 10 of 12 games in that span, giving us a solid floor to work with.

-> See full betting markets for Monday’s NBA slate

The do-it-all centre, nicknamed “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference, has only cleared this line in five games as a starter. But he has had a pretty tough schedule, and some standout performances mixed in, too.

  • Nov. 19 at Nuggets: 30 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists
  • Nov. 20 at Mavericks: 20 points, 7 rebounds, 11 assists
  • Dec. 2 vs. Timberwolves: 21 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists

Tonight’s matchup against the Victor Wembanyama-less Spurs shapes up to be a favourable one.

San Antonio is 24th in rebounding rate and 20th in defensive rating since Wembanyama’s injury. It is also allowing the third-most assists per game to opposing centres in the last 15 days, according to Fantasy Pros.

The Spurs’ backup centre, Luke Kornet, is questionable to play with an ankle injury.

Queen should be able to use his size to score in the paint, and his passing ability to rack up assists.

Key stat: Queen is averaging 25.3 PRA in December.

Best NBA picks

DeRozan over 19.5 points (-106): DeRozan is what I like to call an “ethical bucket getter.”

The veteran forward does a ton of damage in the mid-range and isn’t overly reliable on free throws to fill the basket.

He’s sitting at 17.9 PPG at the moment, but has averaged north of 20.0 PPG in 12 seasons prior.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on DeRozan against the Kings!

This should be the perfect matchup for DeRozan to crack the 20-point milestone and then some.

  • The Pacers have the third-worst mid-range defence in the NBA (48.4%), according to Cleaning the Glass.
  • Indiana also plays at the 10th-fastest pace (101.6 possessions per 48 minutes), per NBA.com.
  • Among forwards, DeRozan has ranked in the 100th percentile for mid-range shot frequency in each of the last seven seasons. He’s currently taking 69% of his shots from that area of the court and converting at a 49% clip.

NBA prop picks made at 3 p.m. ET on Dec. 8, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Best NBA prop picks Dec. 8: Bet on Derik Queen, Grayson Allen and DeMar DeRozan on Monday

NBA prop picks Dec. 8

I’ve got a prop recommendation from each of Monday’s three NBA games.

Today’s NBA props narrative: New Orleans Pelicans rookie Derik Queen can stuff the stat sheet and has a plus matchup against the San Antonio Spurs. Elsewhere, look for DeMar DeRozan to do damage against the floundering Indiana Pacers.

Check out my plays in the best NBA prop picks for Dec. 8, featuring a prediction on Grayson Allen.

-> Join NorthStar Bets & start betting on the NBA!

NBA prop picks: Dec. 8

Best bet: Queen over 24.5 PRA (-109)

Queen is having a solid rookie campaign and has been a reliable contributor since his insertion into the starting lineup on Nov. 16:

  • The No. 13 overall pick is averaging 13.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.9 assists (24.9 PRA) as a starter.
  • He’s recorded 20+ PRA in 10 of 12 games in that span, giving us a solid floor to work with.

-> See full betting markets for Monday’s NBA slate

The do-it-all centre, nicknamed “Baby Jokic” on Basketball Reference, has only cleared this line in five games as a starter. But he has had a pretty tough schedule, and some standout performances mixed in, too.

  • Nov. 19 at Nuggets: 30 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists
  • Nov. 20 at Mavericks: 20 points, 7 rebounds, 11 assists
  • Dec. 2 vs. Timberwolves: 21 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists

Tonight’s matchup against the Victor Wembanyama-less Spurs shapes up to be a favourable one.

San Antonio is 24th in rebounding rate and 20th in defensive rating since Wembanyama’s injury. It is also allowing the third-most assists per game to opposing centres in the last 15 days, according to Fantasy Pros.

The Spurs’ backup centre, Luke Kornet, is questionable to play with an ankle injury.

Queen should be able to use his size to score in the paint, and his passing ability to rack up assists.

Key stat: Queen is averaging 25.3 PRA in December.

Embed: #122023

Best NBA picks

DeRozan over 19.5 points (+112): DeRozan is what I like to call an “ethical bucket getter.”

The veteran forward does a ton of damage in the mid-range and isn’t overly reliable on free throws to fill the basket.

He’s sitting at 17.9 PPG at the moment, but has averaged north of 20.0 PPG in 12 seasons prior.

-> Don’t miss out — bet on DeRozan against the Kings!

This should be the perfect matchup for DeRozan to crack the 20-point milestone and then some.

  • The Pacers have the third-worst mid-range defence in the NBA (48.4%), according to Cleaning the Glass.
  • Indiana also plays at the 10th-fastest pace (101.6 possessions per 48 minutes), per NBA.com.
  • Among forwards, DeRozan has ranked in the 100th percentile for mid-range shot frequency in each of the last seven seasons. He’s currently taking 69% of his shots from that area of the court and converting at a 49% clip.

NBA player prop predictions

Allen over 2.5 threes (-136): This line feels mispriced to me. Allen has knocked down 3s at a 40.0% clip or better in four of the last five seasons, landing on 39.9% in the outlier.

This is his first year as a full-time starter, and Allen has delivered in his expanded role. He’s averaging career highs in makes (3.6) and attempts (8.5), netting out to a stellar 42.2% clip.

-> Visit NorthStar Bets for NBA props & futures markets

Devin Booker is out, and Dillon Brooks is questionable with Achilles soreness.

Booker isn’t a huge 3-point shooter, but his absence clearly places the onus on Allen to be one of Phoenix’s leading scorers, especially if Brooks can’t play.

Allen should clear this line based on volume alone, even against a solid defensive team like the Minnesota Timberwolves.

NBA prop picks made at 3 p.m. ET on Dec. 8, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Best NHL prop picks Dec. 8: Bet on Detroit’s Patrick Kane to have big night vs. Canucks

NHL prop picks Dec. 8

I’ve got two NHL prop picks from Monday’s slim five-game slate.

The pregame narrative: Patrick Kane and the Detroit Red Wings close out the action with a late-night matchup against the Vancouver Canucks. I think there’s value to be had in the veteran lighting up the scoreboard.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 8, featuring a best bet on Calgary Flames defenceman Rasmus Andersson.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

NHL prop picks Dec. 8

Best bet: Andersson 1+ points (+100)

I wouldn’t blame anyone for passing on tonight’s game between the Flames and Buffalo Sabres. Both teams sit near the bottom of their respective conferences and play an unappealing brand of hockey.

But I think there’s a good reason to back Andersson.

The defenceman is one of the few solid players on Calgary’s roster and has garnered some trade interest in the early goings of this season.

  • Andersson has 20 points in 30 games, cashing this wager in eight of his last 11 outings.
  • One of those matchups was against the Sabres in Buffalo. Andersson had a goal and two assists in a 6-3 blowout victory.

-> Bet on Andersson and the Flames tonight

I wouldn’t be surprised if the Flames pulled off a repeat performance tonight.

The Sabres allow the sixth-most goals per game (3.43) and rank in the bottom for shots and chances (i.e shot attempts) allowed on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

Andersson and Co. have won six of their last nine, dating back to that matchup against the Sabres, and are in a good spot to keep things rolling.

Key stat: Buffalo is allowing 4.25 goals per game on the road this year.

NHL predictions

Kane 1+ points (-150): I like the value on Kane to record a point, even with these -150 odds.

  • The veteran winger is quietly putting together one of his best seasons in years, with 19 points in 20 games.
  • He has points in seven of his last eight games, with three multi-point outings in that span.

-> See Monday’s player prop markets at NorthStar Bets

Kane plays on the Red Wings’ top power play and is riding shotgun with Alex DeBrincat — a two-time 40-goal scorer who potted 39 last year — at even strength.

That duo should have a field day against the Canucks.

Vancouver ranks in the bottom eight in shots, chances, and high-danger chances against on a 60-minute basis. On top of that, netminder Kevin Lankinen can’t buy a save.

The Finn ranks 49th in both save percentage (.881) and Money Puck’s goals saved above expected.

NHL prop picks made at 11:35 a.m. ET on Dec. 8, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Best NHL prop picks Dec. 8: Bet on Detroit’s Patrick Kane to have big night vs. Canucks

NHL prop picks Dec. 8

I’ve got two NHL prop picks from Monday’s slim five-game slate.

The pregame narrative: Patrick Kane and the Detroit Red Wings close out the action with a late-night matchup against the Vancouver Canucks. I think there’s value to be had in the veteran lighting up the scoreboard.

Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 8, featuring a best bet on Calgary Flames defenceman Rasmus Andersson.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

NHL prop picks Dec. 8

Best bet: Andersson 1+ points (-107)

I wouldn’t blame anyone for passing on tonight’s game between the Flames and Buffalo Sabres. Both teams sit near the bottom of their respective conferences and play an unappealing brand of hockey.

But I think there’s a good reason to back Andersson.

The defenceman is one of the few solid players on Calgary’s roster and has garnered some trade interest in the early goings of this season.

  • Andersson has 20 points in 30 games, cashing this wager in eight of his last 11 outings.
  • One of those matchups was against the Sabres in Buffalo. Andersson had a goal and two assists in a 6-3 blowout victory.

-> Bet on Andersson and the Flames tonight

I wouldn’t be surprised if the Flames pulled off a repeat performance tonight.

The Sabres allow the sixth-most goals per game (3.43) and rank in the bottom for shots and chances (i.e shot attempts) allowed on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.

Andersson and Co. have won six of their last nine, dating back to that matchup against the Sabres, and are in a good spot to keep things rolling.

Key stat: Buffalo is allowing 4.25 goals per game on the road this year.

Embed: #122017

NHL predictions

Kane 2+ points (+320): I’m taking a big swing backing Kane to have a multi-point night. If you want a safer bet, his standard 1+ point line can be had at -152.

  • The veteran winger is quietly putting together one of his best seasons in years, with 19 points in 20 games.
  • He has points in seven of his last eight games, with three multi-point outings in that span.

-> See Monday’s player prop markets at NorthStar Bets

Kane plays on the Red Wings’ top power play and is riding shotgun with Alex DeBrincat — a two-time 40-goal scorer who potted 39 last year — at even strength.

That duo should have a field day against the Canucks.

Vancouver ranks in the bottom eight in shots, chances, and high-danger chances against on a 60-minute basis. On top of that, netminder Kevin Lankinen can’t buy a save.

The Finn ranks 49th in both save percentage (.881) and Money Puck’s goals saved above expected.

NHL prop picks made at 11:35 a.m. ET on Dec. 8, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs SGP predictions Dec. 8: Back Easton Cowan and Brandon Hagel at +310

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs predictions

Tonight’s matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning at Scotiabank Arena is a pick’em.

The pregame narrative: Toronto has gained points in seven of its last nine games and is now contending for a bunched Atlantic Division, which Tampa Bay currently leads. The Leafs are four points back of the Lightning, and swept last year’s season series 4-0.

Check out my Lightning vs. Maple Leafs SGP predictions on Dec. 8, featuring Easton Cowan and Brandon Hagel.

-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NHL

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs predictions

Parlay: Hagel 1+ points | Cowan 1+ points | Under 9.5 goals (+310)

Hagel 1+ point (-205): Tampa Bay head coach Jon Cooper raised some eyebrows when he selected Hagel for last year’s Canadian 4-Nations team.

Cooper is also coaching the 2026 Olympic squad. If the lineup were finalized today, I have to believe Hagel is getting the call.

  • The winger has 29 points, second only to Nikita Kucherov, and a team-leading 17 goals.
  • Hagel is 6-2 against this line in his last eight games with 10 goals and four assists.

-> Bet on Lightning vs. Maple Leafs at NorthStar Bets!

The Maple Leafs have been one of the league’s worst defensive teams this year and aren’t doing much better lately, despite their hot streak.

Corsi is an advanced statistic provided by Natural Stat Trick, which measures shot attempt differential (chances), and Toronto is consistently toward the bottom of the board.

The Leafs rank 31st on the season (45.31%) and 29th in the last 10 games (44.80%).

Hagel should feast in a plus matchup.

Embed: #122010

Leafs SGP picks

Cowan to score 1+ points (+130): Cowan has been playing solid hockey lately, even if he doesn’t have the points to show for it.

The rookie leads all Maple Leafs in Corsi Rate (51.9%) and xG rate (57.69%). That means when Cowan is on the ice, Toronto generates more chances and more quality chances than the opponent.

That’ impressive, given how drastically Toronto is out-chanced as a whole. In fact, Cowan is the only forward on the team with a Corsi rate above 50.0%.

Cowan is pointless in three games this month, but had found the stat sheet in four of the five games before that.

The London Knights product has earned increased ice time and is skating with John Tavares and William Nylander, both of whom are -180 or longer to score a point.

Cowan also plays on the top power-play unit with those two and Auston Matthews. I think he’s worth a sniff at plus money.

-> Don’t miss out — make your own SGP here!

Under 9.5 goals (-1,430): This might seem like a throwaway leg, but it actually boosts our SGP’s value from +235 to +310 thanks to some negative correlation with the previous picks.

I think that’s well worth it, even with both teams starting backup netminders.

Andrei Vasilevskiy is listed as day-to-day after picking up an injury on Thursday. He didn’t play on Saturday, and it appears that Jonas Johansson is in line to start.

The Swede has a sub-.900 SV%, but the under on this total has still cashed in all nine of his starts.

That shows what kind of leeway we have. A 5-4 win for either team would still pay.

Toronto has gone under this mark in 24 straight games, and Tampa Bay has gone under this mark in 27 of its 28 games on the year.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs SGP made at 9:05 a.m. ET on Dec. 8, 2025.

-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!