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Thunder vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay predictions Feb. 13: Back T-Wolves, Edwards in +330 wager

Two Western Conference heavyweights meet in Minnesota on Thursday when the Timberwolves host the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The pregame narrative: OKC has been the better team all season but I expect a strong effort from Minny in its last game before the all-star break. Back the T-Wolves to cover an alt spread with Anthony Edwards and Chet Holmgren chipping in on the prop market.

Check out my Thunder vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 13.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves predictions

Parlay: Timberwolves +10.5 | Edwards 6+ rebounds | Holmgren over 13.5 points (+335)

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Timberwolves +10.5 (-200): The Thunder sit atop the NBA with a 44-9 record and own a league-best +13.3 net rating. Fading them is always risky but I think tonight should be a close one.

Minnesota is 9-6 in its last 15 games and has covered this number in 14 of those contests. Four of its last five losses were by two points, so we could easily be talking about a 12-3 or 13-2 run for the T-Wolves.

I’m also encouraged by the recent meetings between these squads:

On Dec. 31, in Oklahoma City, the Thunder beat the T-Wolves but only by eight points.
That marked the ninth time in the last 10 games Minnesota has covered this spread against Oklahoma City.
In those contests, the T-Wolves are 6-4 straight up.

Edwards is a gamer and I expect him to step up in a huge game ahead of the all-star break.

SGP legs

Edwards 6+ rebounds (-148): OKC’s biggest weakness this offseason was rebounding and it addressed those concerns by adding Isaiah Hartenstein.

The Thunder have been much better on the glass since but Edwards is a physical freak who can capitalize against any team.

He’s cleared this line in seven straight games and two of those came on no rest.

Edwards plays 36.7 minutes a night and has the 11th-highest usage rate in the NBA. There’s no reason for Chris Finch to treat him with kid gloves on a back-to-back.

He had seven rebounds against OKC on Dec. 31.

Holmgren over 13.5 points (-139): Holmgren was rested last night as the Thunder dismantled a shorthanded Miami Heat squad.

That makes sense considering OKC is managing his workload after a hip injury and Minnesota is a much tougher opponent.

The big man hasn’t been asked to do much yet but scored 12 points in 25 minutes his last time out. A slight uptick in minutes would be nice but I think this should be within reach even if he plays less than 30.

Holmgren has cleared this line in three of his four career games against the Timberwolves and seven of nine games this season before being injured.

Picks made at 10:00 a.m. ET 02/13/2025

Grizzlies vs. Clippers prop picks Feb. 12: Back Norman Powell, Jaren Jackson Jr.

The Memphis Grizzlies and Los Angeles Clippers wrap up Wednesday’s 15-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Memphis played last night but has been spectacular on no rest this season. In what should be a tightly contested matchup, I’m looking for Norman Powell and Jaren Jackson Jr. to fill the basket.

Check out my Grizzlies vs. Clippers prop picks for Feb. 12.

Grizzlies vs. Clippers prop picks

Best bet: Powell over 22.5 points (-125)

Powell is on a fast track to winning the league’s Most Improved Player award and should be playing in this weekend’s all-star game.

The veteran guard is having a monster scoring season, setting career highs in points (24.0) and field-goal attempts (16.8) per game while shooting 49.6% from the field and 42.9% from deep.

He’s been the alpha dog for Los Angeles even with Kawhi Leonard back in the lineup and has an extremely reliable scoring floor:

Powell has scored 20+ points in 34/43 games (79.0%) this season.
He’s scored 20+ points in 12/13 games with Leonard, clearing this line seven times.

Powell is going to get his shots up, which is important against a defensively-minded team like the Grizzlies.

Memphis has the seventh-best defensive rating in basketball but struggles to contain shooting guards, allowing the seventh-most PPG to that position, according to Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Powell scored 29 points against Memphis on Dec. 23.

Quick pick

Jackson over 21.5 points (-130): The Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS and SU on no rest, winning those games by an average of 13.9 points.

With that said, backing Memphis +4.5 seems very enticing.

But on the prop market, I believe Jackson holds the best value to have a big night. The power forward has been a beast on back-to-backs this season, averaging 24.9 points per game on 52.9% shooting.

The Clippers allow the fewest points to power forwards but that didn’t stop Jackson from dropping 24 on them earlier this season.

He also left some points on the table in that game by shooting 1-for-7 from deep, well below his 36.6% season-long average.

Picks made at 1:41 p.m. ET 02/12/2025.

Grizzlies vs. Clippers prop picks Feb. 12: Back Norman Powell, Jaren Jackson Jr.

The Memphis Grizzlies and Los Angeles Clippers wrap up Wednesday’s 15-game NBA slate.

The pregame narrative: Memphis played last night but has been spectacular on no rest this season. In what should be a tightly contested matchup, I’m looking for Norman Powell and Jaren Jackson Jr. to fill the basket.

Check out my Grizzlies vs. Clippers prop picks for Feb. 12.

Grizzlies vs. Clippers prop picks

Best bet: Powell over 22.5 points (-122)

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Powell is on a fast track to winning the league’s Most Improved Player award and should be playing in this weekend’s all-star game.

The veteran guard is having a monster scoring season, setting career highs in points (24.0) and field-goal attempts (16.8) per game while shooting 49.6% from the field and 42.9% from deep.

He’s been the alpha dog for Los Angeles even with Kawhi Leonard back in the lineup and has an extremely reliable scoring floor:

Powell has scored 20+ points in 34/43 games (79.0%) this season.
He’s scored 20+ points in 12/13 games with Leonard, clearing this line seven times.

Powell is going to get his shots up, which is important against a defensively-minded team like the Grizzlies.

Memphis has the seventh-best defensive rating in basketball but struggles to contain shooting guards, allowing the seventh-most PPG to that position, according to Fantasy Pros.

Key stat: Powell scored 29 points against Memphis on Dec. 23.

Quick pick

Jackson over 21.5 points (-117): The Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS and SU on no rest, winning those games by an average of 13.9 points.

With that said, backing Memphis +5 seems very enticing.

But on the prop market, I believe Jackson holds the best value to have a big night. The power forward has been a beast on back-to-backs this season, averaging 24.9 points per game on 52.9% shooting.

The Clippers allow the fewest points to power forwards but that didn’t stop Jackson from dropping 24 on them earlier this season.

He also left some points on the table in that game by shooting 1-for-7 from deep, well below his 36.6% season-long average.

Picks made at 1:41 p.m. ET 02/12/2025.

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Warriors vs. Mavericks same-game parlay predictions Feb. 12: Bet on Butler, Curry and Thompson at +330

An injury-riddled Dallas Mavericks squad host the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Dallas is without a centre, making Jimmy Butler an enticing target on his rebound prop. I’m also backing both Splash Brothers — Steph Curry and Klay Thompson — as they go head-to-head for a third time.

Check out my Warriors vs. Mavericks same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 12.

Warriors vs. Mavericks predictions

Parlay: Butler 6+ rebounds | Curry 25+ points | Thompson 3+ threes (+330)

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Butler 6+ rebounds (-143): It seems the basketball gods are just as angry with Nico Harrison for trading Luka Doncic as the team’s fans are.

Take a look at some of the injuries piling up for Dallas:

Anthony Davis (injured on Feb. 8)
Daniel Gafford (injured on Feb. 10)
Dwight Powell (out since Jan. 17)
Dereck Lively II (out since Jan. 14)

Rotowire projects 6-foot-6 P.J. Washington will start at the No. 5 and even he is questionable with an ankle ailment.

Golden State is healthy but doesn’t have a much better centre option, with Draymond Green playing the part. Butler is a capable rebounder and I expect him to feast as the team’s power forward.

He had nine rebounds against the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday and is averaging 5.3 on the season.

SGP legs

Curry 25+ points (-230): Curry is on fire right now, scoring 30-plus points in four straight games.

He’s averaging 26.0 field goal attempts this month and draws a solid matchup against a Mavs team struggling to defend lately.

Over the last 30 days, Dallas has allowed the ninth-most points per game to point guards, according to Fantasy Pros.

If Curry attempts anywhere close to 20 shots I love our chances of cashing this leg. He’s cleared this line in three straight games against the Mavericks, scoring 26 and 37 points this season.

Thompson 3+ threes (-152): Thompson isn’t the player he used to be but this is a volume play.

The veteran shooting guard has to take more shots with Dallas’ injuries and has extra motivation to stick it to his old team.

Thompson smashed this line in both games against the Warriors this season:

Dec. 17. 7-for-11 from deep
Nov. 12: 6-for-12 from deep

Golden State has allowed the most 3s per game to SGs over the last 30 days. Thompson has cleared this line in six of his last eight games.

Picks made at 10:15 a.m. ET 02/12/2025.

Lakers vs. Jazz same-game parlay predictions Feb. 12: Back Doncic, Reaves and Kessler at +275

The Los Angeles Lakers and Utah Jazz finish their home-and-home in Salt Lake City on Wednesday.

The pregame narrative: Luka Doncic was quiet in his Lakers debut but wasn’t asked to do much in a blowout victory. I expect the superstar to produce tonight in this all-player-prop SGP alongside Austin Reaves and Walker Kessler.

Check out my Lakers vs. Jazz same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 12.

Lakers vs. Jazz predictions

Parlay: Doncic 20+ points | Reaves 5+ assists | Kessler 12+ rebounds (+275)

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Doncic 20+ points (-245): Doncic scored 14 points and shot 1-of-7 from deep in his Lakers debut. Let’s forget that even happened.

We’re talking about a player who’s averaged north of 27.5 PPG since his rookie season and has a scoring title under his belt.

He only played 24 minutes on Monday and looked hesitant in front of a raucous Crypto.com Arena. Can you really blame him after being blindsided by the Dallas Mavericks just a few weeks ago?

The circus will follow Doncic all season but I think a road game against Utah is a nice spot for him to shake off the rust. The Jazz sit 28th in defensive rating and allow the third-most PPG to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros.

Doncic has reached the 20-point milestone in 83 of 93 games since the start of last season.

SGP legs

Reaves over 4.5 assists (-150): This price is a little steep for a standalone bet but is perfect for our SGP.

Reaves is having an all-star calibre month averaging 27.4 points, 6.0 rebounds and 6.0 assists. I believe now is the time to tap into his abilities as a passer, a department he’s become very consistent in:

Reaves is averaging 7.0 assists since returning from injury on Dec. 13.
In that span, he’s recorded 5+ assists in 20/27 games and 7+ assists in 13/27 games.

Reaves has at least four assists in 11 straight contests, giving us a solid floor to work with. Doncic will start filling the basket and LeBron James is still aging like a fine wine.

The shooting guard has flexed his scoring muscles recently but will inevitably take a back seat to those two.

Kessler 12+ rebounds (-125): If you put Kessler on the Lakers I believe it would instantly make them a championship contender.

Utah’s 7-foot, 245-pound centre is an efficient scorer and has been a wrecking ball on the glass lately.

He’s 5-0 against this line in February while averaging 16.0 rebounds per game. The 12 rebounds he hauled in against the Lakers on Monday was his lowest total of the month but that doesn’t worry me.

The Lakers made a blockbuster move for standout centre Mark Williams but it fell through after he failed a physical. Now, they’re stuck with free-agent signing Alex Len and an inexperienced Jaxson Hayes.

Kessler is an elite rebounder and should feast against L.A.’s undersized starting five.

Picks made at 8:55 a.m. ET 02/12/2025.

Pistons vs. Bulls same-game parlay predictions Feb. 11: Back Detroit ATS, Dosunmu and Cunningham at +310

The Chicago Bulls are officially in tank mode and host a Detroit Pistons team vying for a playoff berth.

The pregame narrative: Detroit is currently the East’s No. 6 seed and I expect it to handle a Chicago team with no identity and no elite scoring. Take the Pistons to cover behind Cade Cunningham and also back Ayo Dosunmu to reach a points milestone.

Check out my Pistons vs. Bulls same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 11.

Pistons vs. Bulls predictions

Parlay: Pistons -4.5 | Cunningham 10+ assists | Dosunmu 10+ points (+310)

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Pistons -4.5 (-150): The Bulls have been the definition of “mid” for years and finally sold off an asset at the trade deadline. Gone is Zach LaVine, who was averaging a team-high 24.0 PPG.

I’m sure Chicago fans would’ve loved to see 34-year-old Nikola Vucevic moved as well, but perhaps that’s an offseason move.

And the offseason is what the Bulls should be prepping for. At 22-31, they have nothing more than the lottery to focus on.

These teams met in Detroit on Nov. 2 and the Pistons won 127-119. I expect a similar outcome tonight.

The Pistons have won four of their last six and covered this spread in each of those wins. On the season, they’re 3-2 ATS as a road favourite.

Chicago has lost back-to-back games by a combined 40 points. The bleeding shouldn’t stop on Tuesday.

SGP legs

Cunningham 10+ assists (-175): This is an A-plus matchup for Cunningham.

Chicago allows the second-most points per game (120.3) and ranks 21st in opponent field-goal percentage (47.2).
The Bulls give up the most assists per game to point guard (10.55), according to Fantasy Pros.

Cunningham averages 9.3 assists per game — the third-most in the NBA — and had 15 assists against the Bulls on Nov. 2.

He’s gone over this mark in three of his last four games.

Dosunmu 10+ points (-335): Someone has to score for Chicago and I like Dosunmu to reach this modest milestone.

Lonzo Ball is out with an illness, which is one less capable body on offence.

Dosunmu is averaging a career-high 12.4 PPG and has been reliable against this number when starting.

In 24 games as a starter this season, he’s scored 10-plus points 19 times (79.2%). That includes each of his last four starts, one of which was against the Pistons (14 points).

Picks made at 2:42 p.m. ET 02/11/2025

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks Feb. 11: Back Mikal Bridges and fade Karl-Anthony Towns on Tuesday

The Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks re-ignite their rivalry on Tuesday at Madison Square Garden.

The pregame narrative: Karl-Anthony Towns is banged up, which has me fading his point total against Indiana’s strong defence. I’m also backing Mikal Bridges to clear a modest rebound and assist total at plus money.

Check out my Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks for Feb. 11.

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks

Best bet: Bridges over 6.5 rebounds/assists (+106)

Bridges might have to assume a larger scoring role with KAT’s current form (more on that later) but he should still be in play to clear this number.

The first-year Knick is averaging 3.2 assists per game this season. He has at least two assists in 11 straight contests and cleared this line five times. That’s a solid passing floor to work with.

He’s posted similar stats as a rebounder — 3.1 per game — and should have solid opportunities to flourish on the glass tonight.

OG Anunoby (foot) is questionable having not played since Feb. 1. and Josh Hart (knee) is probable but has been lacking in the rebounding department with a nagging injury.

Indiana is also allowing the fifth-most rebounds per game to small forwards over the last 30 days, according to Fantasy Pros, and will likely be without Myles Turner (neck sprain).

Bridges had seven rebounds and four assists against the Pacers on Nov. 10 and finished with one counting stat shy of this mark in the first meeting on Oct. 25.

Key stat: Bridges is averaging 4.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists in his last five games against the Pacers. In that span, he’s never finished with fewer than six rebounds/assists and cleared this line three times.

Quick pick

Towns under 24.5 points (-112): Our Jordan Horrobin faded Towns against the Boston Celtics on Saturday and it went swimmingly.

KAT finished with just nine points on 3-of-8 shooting in a blowout loss. It marked the sixth time in the last seven games that he fell short of this total.

The concern with Towns is a lingering thumb injury suffered on Jan. 15. Horrobin pointed out some noteworthy splits in his write-up, and I’ll lay them out again.

Pre-injury (38 GP): 25.4 PPG, 55.0 FG%, 44.9 3PT%
Post-injury (9 GP): 18.1 PPG, 44.4 FG%, 30.0 3PT%

The big man is fighting it and won’t get a soft landing spot against the Pacers on Tuesday. Indiana is 13-4 in the new year and behind some great defensive basketball.

Rick Carlisle’s squad is sixth in defensive rating (111.5) since Jan. 1.

Picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET 02/11/2025.

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks Feb. 11: Back Mikal Bridges and fade Karl-Anthony Towns on Tuesday

The Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks re-ignite their rivalry on Tuesday at Madison Square Garden.

The pregame narrative: Karl-Anthony Towns is banged up, which has me fading his point total against Indiana’s strong defence. I’m also backing Mikal Bridges to clear a modest rebound and assist total at plus money.

Check out my Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks for Feb. 11.

Pacers vs. Knicks prop picks

Best bet: Bridges over 6.5 rebounds/assists (+116)

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Bridges might have to assume a larger scoring role with KAT’s current form (more on that later) but he should still be in play to clear this number.

The first-year Knick is averaging 3.2 assists per game this season. He has at least two assists in 11 straight contests and cleared this line five times. That’s a solid passing floor to work with.

He’s posted similar stats as a rebounder — 3.1 per game — and should have solid opportunities to flourish on the glass tonight.

OG Anunoby (foot) is questionable having not played since Feb. 1. and Josh Hart (knee) is probable but has been lacking in the rebounding department with a nagging injury.

Indiana is also allowing the fifth-most rebounds per game to small forwards over the last 30 days, according to Fantasy Pros, and will likely be without Myles Turner (neck sprain).

Bridges had seven rebounds and four assists against the Pacers on Nov. 10 and finished with one counting stat shy of this mark in the first meeting on Oct. 25.

Key stat: Bridges is averaging 4.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists in his last five games against the Pacers. In that span, he’s never finished with fewer than six rebounds/assists and cleared this line three times.

Quick pick

Towns under 24.5 points (-115): Our Jordan Horrobin faded Towns against the Boston Celtics on Saturday and it went swimmingly.

KAT finished with just nine points on 3-of-8 shooting in a blowout loss. It marked the sixth time in the last seven games that he fell short of this total.

The concern with Towns is a lingering thumb injury suffered on Jan. 15. Horrobin pointed out some noteworthy splits in his write-up, and I’ll lay them out again.

Pre-injury (38 GP): 25.4 PPG, 55.0 FG%, 44.9 3PT%
Post-injury (9 GP): 18.1 PPG, 44.4 FG%, 30.0 3PT%

The big man is fighting it and won’t get a soft landing spot against the Pacers on Tuesday. Indiana is 13-4 in the new year and behind some great defensive basketball.

Rick Carlisle’s squad is sixth in defensive rating (111.5) since Jan. 1.

Picks made at 11:40 a.m. ET 02/11/2025.

Genesis Invitational predictions, picks and odds: Back Ludvig Aberg and three long shots

The PGA Tour heads to a new but familiar venue for the 2025 Genesis Invitational this week.

The latest: Torrey Pines subs in for Riviera Country Club after the Southern California wildfires forced a venue change. Scottie Scheffler is favoured — and Rory McIlroy is right behind him — but I’m looking toward Ludvig Aberg for value alongside three long shots.

Check out my Genesis Invitational predictions for the PGA Tour tournament beginning on Feb. 13.

Genesis Invitational predictions

Go to full Genesis Invitational betting markets .

Best bet: Aberg to win (+2,200)

Aberg said Torrey Pines is his “favourite place in the world.”

It sure looked like it after he fired an opening-round 63 at the Farmers Insurance Open a few weeks ago. But then Aberg got so sick that he was apparently throwing up on the course, and finished T42.

That same illness forced him to withdraw from the Pebble Beach Pro-Am the following week.

I won’t let that scare me, though. With some more time off to rest, I expect the Swedish superstar to return in full force at a venue tailor-made for his game.

Torrey Pines is major championship-calibre golf. It’s long and hard, and missing fairways is a big no-no.

Aberg drives the ball incredibly far and incredibly straight, with more oompf than anyone outside of McIlroy. Before his illness, he was on a tear:

T5 Sentry Tournament of Champions
6th Hero World Challenge
T17 RSM Classic
16th Tour Championship
T2 BMW Championship

If the flu bug sinks me, so be it. But this is a prime spot to back one of the best players in the world at generous odds.

Key stat: Aberg has 10 top-10 finishes and three runner-ups in his last 25 starts.

Quick picks

Sepp Straka to win (+4,500): I’ve been banging the Straka drum this season and will keep doing it until he gives me a reason not to.

The Austrian is sizzling with five top-20 finishes in his last six starts. He won the American Express in January and followed that up with T7 at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

In the last 20 measured rounds, Straka ranks second in this field in driving accuracy (+12.0%) and strokes gained: approach (+1.32), according to DataGolf.

He hasn’t played here much and missed the cut last year but did finish T16 in 2022. Another good week should be in the cards.

Keegan Bradley to win (+5,000): Bradley checks off several boxes this week. He’s a strong driver, is in form and has performed well at Torrey Pines.

Bradley has picked up strokes off the tee in eight of his last nine starts.
He has five top-20 finishes, including a win at the BMW Championship, in his last seven starts.
Bradley finished T15 at the Farmers Insurance Open last year and was runner-up in 2023.

The 2025 Ryder Cup captain has extra motivation to perform this year, stating the only way he would play in the event is if he made it on points.

Bradley is currently 21st but could soar up the rankings with a series of strong finishes.

Daniel Berger to win (+7,000): I can’t help myself with this pick.

Berger is one of my favourite players on tour and he’s finally back after two injury-riddled seasons.

The former world No. 12 finished second to Thomas Detry at the WM Phoenix Open, marking his second runner-up in the last five starts. Berger’s bread and butter is accuracy off the tee and strong iron play.

Back when he was playing elite golf he was a mainstay atop the leaderboard in big events. It looks like we’re getting back to that point.

He finished T7 at Torrey Pines when it hosted the U.S. Open in 2021.

Golf picks made at 1:46 p.m. on 02/04/2025.

Champions League round of 16 prop bets: Back Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane

The Champions League playoff stage begins this week as eight teams battle for the final four spots in the Round of 16.

The pregame narrative: A blockbuster matchup between Real Madrid and Manchester City kicks off at the Etihad on Tuesday and I expect Kylian Mbappe to be active. Then, back Harry Kane to score against Celtic.

Check out the best Champions League prop bets for the Round of 16 playoff.

Champions League prop bets

Go to full Champions League betting markets.

Best Bet: Mbappe over 1.5 shots on target (+100)

Carlo Ancelotti preached patience after Mbappe missed a penalty in a 2-0 loss to Liverpool on Nov. 27.

It was a low point for the French superstar fighting through it with his new club.

But great managers tend to get the best out of their players and Mbappe turned a corner for Los Blancos to start the new year.

Mbappe has scored nine goals in his last eight games.
He’s registered 17 shots on target in that span, clearing this mark six times.

Real Madrid owns the most star-studded lineup in Europe with Vinicius Junior, Jude Bellingham and Rodrygo playing high in a 4-2-3-1 formation.

Mbappe spearheads that attack and should feast against a Manchester City side which is a shell of its former self right now.

The Citizens have been a defensive mess after losing Ballon d’Or winner Rodri to a torn ACL. Pep Guardiola gets some reinforcements with John Stones and Ruben Dias returning, though neither is in top form.

City was just battered 5-1 by Arsenal in the Premier League with Stones in the lineup. A few matches before that, it lost 4-2 to PSG in the UCL league stage.

Key stat: Mbappe has 67 SOT for Real Madrid, clearing this line in 22 of 34 games across all competitions.

Quick pick

Kane to score (-188): I don’t love these odds but you could argue they’re generous considering how lopsided this matchup could get.

Bayern’s offence was ever-threatening during the league stage but it squandered some big chances, which is why it’s in this playoff. The Bavarians currently lead in these key categories, per FotMob:

22.5 xG (1st)
68.9% possession (1st)
8.6 shots on target/game (1st)
41 big chances (1st)

Kane was at the forefront of that attack, netting six goals on 6.4 xG. He also led this tournament with eight goals last year.

The English national is a goalscoring machine — he has 27 in 26 appearances for Bayern across all competitions — and gets a Celtic side which allowed 13.4 xG in the league stage (14th-most).

Picks made at 10:01 a.m. on 02/11/25.