Felix Auger-Aliassime looks to advance at the Miami Open in a tough matchup with Lorenzo Musetti.
The pregame narrative: These two have a tightly contested 3-3 head-to-head record, but the Canadian has been dominant on this playing surface. I’ll back Auger-Aliassime to cover the game spread and advance in Miami.
Check out my Auger-Aliassime vs. Musetti Miami Open best bet and the odds for March 23.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Musetti best bet
Go to full Auger-Aliassime vs. Musetti betting markets.
| Betting markets | Odds |
| Auger-Aliassime to win | -167 |
| Musetti to win | +135 |
| Auger-Aliassume -2.5 games | -106 |
| Musetti +2.5 games | -121 |
| Over 22.5 total games | -125 |
| Under 22.5 total games | -103 |
Tennis odds as of 1:36 p.m. ET on 03/22/2025.
Best Bet: Auger-Aliassime -2.5 games (-106)
Auger-Aliassime went on a run to start the year. Beginning in January, he played 19 matches over a two month span.
That’s what happens when you win, and the Canadian did a lot of that. He won two events and reached the final of another before being eliminated in the round of 64 at Indian Wells earlier in March.
But the rest was exactly what he needed, and he bounced back to handle Australian Tristan Schoolkate in straight sets in Miami on Friday.
His opponent on Sunday, Lorenzo Musetti, is much better, ranking higher than the Canadian at No. 16 in the world (FAA is No. 19 in the ATP).
But there are a couple of reasons to back Auger-Aliassime on a reasonable game spread.
- He’s 2-0 vs. Musetti on hardcourt surfaces, winning both matches in straight sets.
- He has a better career record on hardcourts (120-88) than Musetti (55-49).
- Musetti’s round of 64 match went an hour longer than Auger-Aliassime’s.
Overall, Musetti is 5-3 on hardcourt surfaces this year and hasn’t yet beaten an opponent ranked inside the top 25.
Key stat: Auger-Aliassime has played all of his 23 games on hardcourt surfaces and carries a 17-6 record. He has a 4-1 record against opponents ranked inside the top 25.
Picks made at 1:55 p.m. ET on 03/22/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.