Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Marin Cilic Dubai Open quarterfinal best bet and odds: Back the Canadian against the spread

Auger-Aliassime vs. Cilic best bet

Felix Auger-Aliassime is making waves at another ATP 500 event. He plays in the quarterfinal of the Dubai Open against Marin Cilic.

The pregame narrative: The Canadian is having an incredible year and that should continue against the Croatian veteran. Auger-Aliassime -1.5 sets is my best bet for this quarterfinal match.

Check out my Auger-Aliassime vs. Cilic Dubai Open best bet and the odds for the semifinal match on Feb. 27.

Auger-Aliassime vs. Cilic best bet

Go to full Auger-Aliassime vs. Cilic betting markets.

Betting marketsOdds
Auger-Aliassime to win -245
Cilic to win+190
Over 22.5 total games-124
Under 22.5 total games-104

Tennis odds as of 1:57 p.m. ET on 02/26/2025.

Best Bet: Auger-Aliassime -1.5 sets (+117)

If we look at this match at a base level, Auger-Aliassime is the better player. He’s ranked No. 21 in the world, while Cilic is No. 186.

The Canadian is cooking, too, winning multiple titles in 2025 and posting a 14-4 record. That includes a 3-1 record against ATP top-10 players.

Cilic is 2-1 this year, and the 36-year-old has now logged over four-and-a-half hours of court time in this tournament. He’s 3-7 in his last 10 matches.

Auger-Aliassime has played a lot of tennis, but he’s in top form and has the tools to beat the less active veteran.

These two haven’t played each other since 2022. The Canadian was 21 years old at the time and won that matchup in five sets.

Auger-Aliassime continues to be a menace with his serve, recording 19 aces and holding 91% of his service points (30-of-33) at this tournament.

Cilic is good at breaking serves, doing so six times through the first two matches, but that’ll be a lot more difficult in this matchup.

Key stat: Both ATP events won by Auger-Aliassime were played on hard courts, where he has a 10-3 record in 2025.

Picks made at 2:15 p.m. ET on 02/26/2025.

+ posts

Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.