The Seattle Mariners aim for another victory over the Houston Astros on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: Houston was trending downwards before the all-star break and was beaten handily on Friday night. Seattle, meanwhile, is playing some great baseball. It holds a noticeable pitching advantage that should lead it to victory on Saturday night.
Check out my Astros vs. Mariners predictions, featuring Randy Arozarena.
Astros vs. Mariners predictions
Parlay: Mariners ML | Over 7.5 runs | Arozarena 1+ hits (+325)
Mariners ML (-121): Houston’s large lead over the rest of the AL West is quickly disintegrating.
The Astros now sit just four games ahead of Seattle. The Mariners inched one game closer on Friday, and I expect the gap to continue shortening.
Lance McCullers Jr. takes the mound for Houston, and he has been downright brutal this season. He combines a 6.48 ERA with a 5.77 FIP, and the Astros have lost three of his last four outings.
Seattle counters with Logan Evans, and although he’s coming off his worst outing of the season (six runs allowed, two home runs), he still owns a respectable 3.75 ERA.
The Mariners have won four consecutive games and are finding their stride offensively.
MLB SGP legs
Over 7.5 runs (-121): Houston blows by this total when McCullers pitches.
The over on this number has cashed in eight of his 10 outings this season.
The Mariners, meanwhile, are one of the best offensive teams in the league. They’re eighth in runs per game (4.71) and are averaging an MLB-best 9.67 runs per game across their last three contests.
Seattle continues to be one of the best over teams in the majors. The Mariners have a league-leading 57.6% overs rate this year, and have topped this total in six of their last seven contests.
Although Evans has had a fairly solid season, the over on this number has hit in seven of his nine appearances.
Arozarena 1+ hits (-162): Arozarena has been on fire over the last month, making this wager a must-add to my SGP.
Here is how the Seattle slugger is performing since June 19:
- .323 AVG
- .698 SLG
- 1.078 OPS
- 10 HR
These are some absolutely incredible numbers, and he’s showing no signs of slowing down.
Arozarena delivered a solo shot in last night’s win over Houston.
The outfielder has absolutely demolished McCullers in the past, too. He has six hits in 13 at-bats, including a home run.
Arozarena earned a hit in his lone meeting against McCullers this season.
Astros vs. Mariners predictions made at 9:56 a.m. on 07/19/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.