If you want some star-powered NBA prop picks … these might not be for you. I’m going deep in my bag for Friday’s predictions, headlined by Collin Gillespie.
Tonight’s NBA props narrative: Gillespie, the undrafted point guard out of Villanova, has been huge from 3-point land in his third NBA season. Then there’s Boston centre Neemias Queta, in his first year as a starter, who draws a compelling matchup at home against a struggling opponent.
Check out these NBA prop picks for Jan. 30, featuring a pick on Brooklyn Nets point guard Egor Demin.
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NBA prop picks Jan. 30
Best bet: Gillespie over 2.5 threes (-138)
There’s a lot of extra juice on this prop, but I still think it’s in a reasonable range to play as a straight wager.
And the line is in a great spot for a guy who’s been among the most efficient 3-point shooters in the league this season.
- Among 96 players who’ve attempted five or more 3s per game, Gillespie’s 42.6 3PT% ranks seventh in the NBA.
- Over his past 20 games, Gillespie has shot 43.8% from deep. Only three players have a higher 3PT% this season.
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Gillespie has taken on a much greater offensive role this season. After attempting just 2.7 threes per game last year, he’s now making 3.0 threes per game (on 6.9 attempts).
Overall this season, Gillespie is 29-18 vs. this prop. More notably, he’s 7-1 in his past eight games with a 51.9 3PT%.
Bet on the Suns’ sharpshooter in a plus matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Key stat: Cleveland has allowed the third-highest opponent 3PT% in the NBA (37.4).
Best NBA picks
Queta over 20.5 points/rebounds (-110): Queta is averaging 8.0 points and 10.0 rebounds this season, so he often falls just short of this mark. But the matchup tonight is quite compelling.
The Sacramento Kings, who Queta will face, have the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA.
They also allow the most points and the third-most rebounds to opposing centres, according to Fantasy Pros.
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Domantas Sabonis has been back for seven games after a two-month injury absence, and it seems like he’s close to returning to full strength. But the Kings just played last night, and there’s no guarantee Sabonis will suit up on zero rest.
After all, Sabonis hasn’t played both ends of a back-to-back since Nov. 11-12.
Queta is 6-6 vs. this prop in his past 12 games, and a plus matchup should put him over the edge.
NBA player prop predictions
Demin over 17.5 points/rebounds/assists (-130): The Nets gutted out a narrow loss at altitude last night in Denver, but Demin — who rarely plays back-to-backs — was in street clothes.
He should be back in action tonight as Brooklyn’s most rested player for a matchup in Utah.
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With that in mind, I like Demin’s chances of chipping in at this rather modest PRA total.
In his past 12 games, the rookie out of BYU is 11-7 vs. this prop while averaging 13.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists.
The Jazz are an ideal matchup, given that they allow the most points overall, as well as the second-most points and assists to opposing point guards.
NBA prop picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on Jan. 30, 2026.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.