The Toronto Raptors and Golden State Warriors conclude their season series on Tuesday night with a showdown at Chase Center.
The pregame narrative: Toronto won a wild one at home over Golden State last month, 141-127 in overtime. I’m expecting a different result tonight, but Scottie Barnes should remain productive on the glass for the Raptors.
Check out my same-game parlay Raptors vs. Warriors predictions for Jan. 20, featuring Barnes and Draymond Green.
-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NBA
Raptors vs. Warriors predictions
SGP: Warriors ML | Barnes 8+ rebounds | Green 10+ points (+340)
Warriors moneyline (-150): Amazingly, the Warriors have only played on the road once this month. Tonight’s matchup concludes an extended stay at Chase Center, marking their 10th home game already in 2026.
Home cooking has been good to the Warriors, who are 17-6 in San Francisco with a +8.2 net rating. That’s the fourth-best net rating at home in the NBA.
The Warriors are at a rest disadvantage after playing last night, but I don’t think that makes much of a difference.
-> Don’t miss out — bet on Raptors vs. Warriors now!
For one thing, they haven’t left the state of California this month (their lone road game was in L.A.’s Intuit Dome).
Secondly, the Dubs didn’t need to hit the gas too hard in Monday’s 21-point win over Miami. In that matchup, no one on the Warriors played more than 30 minutes.
Toronto has dropped four of its past six games and is coming off a miserable performance against the Los Angeles Lakers: a 110-93 loss in which the Raptors posted 41.8/21.9/66.7 shooting splits as a team.
NBA SGP picks
Barnes 8+ rebounds (-180): Barnes had the game of his life — or at least of his NBA life — when he last faced the Warriors.
At home on Dec. 28, Barnes posted a triple-double that included a franchise-record-tying 25 rebounds. It was sheer dominance on the glass, as no one else in the game had more than seven rebounds.
-> Bet on Scottie Barnes vs. Golden State at NorthStar Bets
I wouldn’t dream of predicting a performance like that again, but he can cash this rebounding milestone with merely a third of his production from that epic night.
The Warriors allow the 10th-most rebounds per game to opposing power forwards, according to Fantasy Pros, and it’s easy to see why they’re a favourable matchup.
Quinten Post (7 feet) is the only rotation player who’s taller than 6-foot-8. And he spends a lot of time on the perimeter, given that he averages fewer rebounds (4.0) than attempted 3s (4.5).
Warriors prop prediction
Green 10+ points (-136): Green should be as rested and raring to go as anyone on the Warriors tonight, given that he sat out the front end of this back-to-back.
This prop asks more of Green than his 2025-26 scoring average (8.9 PPG), but he’s been a solid contributor in recent games.
Green is 6-5 vs. this scoring milestone over his past 11 games, averaging 10.7 points. That includes a 21-point outburst vs. the Raptors (8-of-14 shooting).
Jimmy Butler, who suffered a season-ending knee injury last night, was one of just two Warriors averaging north of 13.0 points this season. Green and others will have to step up.
Raptors vs. Warriors predictions made at 11:40 a.m. on Jan. 20, 2026.
-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.