The first NFL Saturday of the season closes with a clash between teams fighting for the top spot in the NFC North.
The pregame narrative: The Chicago Bears come into this game holding the lead with a 10-4 record. The Green Bay Packers beat Chicago in Week 14 and can overtake first place with a win and grab a pivotal 2-0 season series lead.
Check out my Packers vs. Bears SGP predictions, featuring picks on Colston Loveland and Jayden Reed
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Packers vs. Bears predictions
SGP: Bears ML | Loveland 40+ receiving yards | Reed over 38.5 receiving yards (+450)
Bears moneyline (-117): This is an important game for the NFC North, and I’m leaning on the side of the home team.
The Bears have been dominant at Soldier Field, winning five of six games. The one loss was back in Week 1 when they blew a lead against the Minnesota Vikings.
In Week 14, Chicago went on the road and put up a solid effort in Green Bay. The Bears lost 28-21 but had more possession on offence by about seven minutes.
If Caleb Williams plays up to his standard, his team has the makings to win the matchup this time around.
The good news is that Williams’ passer rating is almost 18 points better at home. He’s thrown 11 touchdown passes in Chicago with only one interception.
That should be enough to propel the Bears past the Packers, getting them one step closer to claiming the division.
Other SGP picks
Loveland 40+ receiving yards (-157): The Bears will be without two of their main receivers for this game, making the rookie tight end an enticing option on the prop markets.
Both Rome Odunze and Luther Burden will be out for this game. Odunze leads the team in receiving yards, while Burden has had at least six targets in each of the past three games.
Targets will be available, and Loveland is rising in the Bears’ offence.
- He’s had 40+ receiving yards in five of the past eight games.
- Last week, he caught four of five targets for 63 yards. That included 27 yards after catch.
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Williams should look to use his big tight end as a safety valve. Then, Loveland should be able to do enough with the space to truck past this total.
He fell short of this mark against Green Bay in Week 14 but was targeted five times and had four receptions.
That was also on the road with a healthier offence. Expect more production in the rematch.
Reed over 38.5 receiving yards (-112): Reed played a season-high 65.2% of the Packers’ offensive snaps last week, and the results were promising.
It was almost 20% more of the snap share than the week prior, and he turned it into five catches for 55 receiving yards.
He should be in for an even bigger role this week while other receivers like Christian Watson are questionable.
I’m bullish on the added opportunity against a middling defence.
The Bears allow 218.9 passing yards per game, which is just below average. That should be enough for Reed to clear this modest total.
Packers vs. Bears predictions made at 2:15 p.m. on Dec. 19, 2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.