Eagles vs. Commanders Week 16 SGP predictions: Back wide receivers A.J Brown, Terry McLaurin

Eagles vs. Commanders predictions

The Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders play the first part of a Saturday NFL doubleheader.

The pregame narrative: The Commanders are out of the race in the NFC East but can still play spoiler to the Eagles, who are currently leading at 9-5. Philadelphia is expected to win by at least a touchdown, but I believe the Commanders can stay competitive with the Eagles’ struggling offence.

Check out my Eagles vs. Commanders SGP predictions, featuring picks on A.J. Brown and Terry McLaurin.

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Eagles vs. Commanders predictions

SGP: Commanders +10.5 | Brown 60+ receiving yards | McLaurin 50+ receiving yards (+300)

Commanders +10.5 (-200): Jayden Daniels made a brief return for the Commanders in Week 14, but he reaggravated his elbow injury and will be sidelined moving forward.

It’s not like it mattered much. Washington lost 31-0 to the Minnesota Vikings, and Daniels completed just 9-of-20 passes for a measly 78 yards.

Marcus Mariota isn’t perfect, but he appears to be the better option for the Commanders until Daniels is fully healthy.

He led his team to a 29-21 win over the New York Giants last Sunday.

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As long as he can put up a similar performance, he should be able to keep pace with the Eagles’ offence.

Philly took advantage of a great spot in Week 15, beating the Las Vegas Raiders 31-0. But things looked bleak before that.

The Eagles lost three straight games prior to that win and failed to put up 20 or more points in five straight weeks.

I don’t think a “gimme” win over the Raiders is going to make me forget about those results.

If they have trouble moving the ball on the road in a divisional game, Washington should stick around and cover this alternate spread with ease.

Other SGP picks

Brown 60+ receiving yards (-148): Brown fell shy of this mark last week due to a negative gamescipt in an Eagles blowout win.

But he still managed to grab both his targets for 43 yards.

Before that, Brown was putting up some explosive numbers:

  • Week 11: 11 targets, 7 catches, 49 yards
  • Week 12: 10 targets, 8 catches, 110 yards
  • Week 13: 12 targets, 10 catches, 132 yards
  • Week 14: 13 targets, 6 catches, 100 yards

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He fell short of this mark in Week 11, but logging four straight games with over 10 targets is a promising sign after Brown’s struggles earlier this season.

The other positive for this pick is the Commanders’ terrible pass defence. They allow the fourth most passing yards per game (246.3).

If this game stays close like I expect it to, Philly should be forced to pass a lot more than last week and Browns numbers should creep back up towards his ceiling.

McLaurin 50+ receiving yards (-143): McLaurin hasn’t been seeing a ton of volume in the passing game, but his big-play ability makes this an achievable line.

Just look at Week 15. The star wideout was targeted four times, but turned that into three catches for 69 yards.

He missed a big portion of the season with injuries, but has still been the WR1 in this offence when available.

McLaurin has had 50+ receiving yards in four of his past five games.

In Week 14, he went off for seven catches and 96 yards, showing he still has the potential to smash this line. He was targeted 13 times in that game.

Overall, McLaurin has a 22.73% target share this season with a 14.64-yard average depth of target. The speedy wideout only needs a few receptions to get past this total.

Eagles vs. Commanders predictions made at 12:14 p.m. on Dec. 19, 2025.

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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.