The Phoenix Suns visit the Oklahoma City Thunder in the first of two NBA Cup quarterfinal matchups on Wednesday.
The pregame narrative: The Thunder are putting together a legendary season behind another MVP-calibre campaign from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Phoenix has been on a roll, though, and should be competitive with a spot in the NBA Cup semifinal on the line.
Check out my +300 Suns vs. Thunder SGP predictions for Dec. 10, featuring prop bets on SGA and Dillon Brooks.
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Suns vs. Thunder SGP
Parlay: Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points | Brooks 2+ threes | Suns +14.5 (+300)
Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points (-175): There is always the risk of a blowout when betting on Gilgeous-Alexander’s point props.
But I’ll explain later why I think the Suns can be competitive in this game.
Not that it matters much for this pick. SGA has consistently cleared this total regardless of playing time.
- Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points per game on 55.6/44.3/88.1 shooting splits.
- He has scored 30+ in 19 of 23 games this season. That includes scoring 37 vs. Phoenix on Nov. 28.
-> Bet on Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Phoenix
Many hate his play style, but no one can deny the fact that the reigning MVP is an extremely efficient scorer with enormous nightly upside.
Just look at his most recent game, which was against the Dallas Mavericks. SGA scored 33 points on 10-of-12 shooting while hitting 11 of his 12 free throws.
In an important game like the NBA Cup quarterfinal, I expect the Canadian to take on an even bigger role on offence.
NBA SGP legs
Brooks 2+ threes (-195): This is a great addition to the SGP based on Brooks’ consistency.
- He is 13-5 vs. this 3s milestone this season.
- Brooks attempts 7.4 threes per night.
He shoots a pretty poor 30.6% from deep, but the volume is there, which is encouraging.
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There’s also an argument to be made that the 35.2% career 3-point shooter is bound to get his percentage up.
But as long as the chances are present, this remains a floor-type play for Brooks, who has the potential to smash this line on any night.
Suns +14.5 (-112): Phoenix has really turned things around after starting the season 1-5. Since then, the Suns have won 13 of 18 games.
They have a 16-8 ATS record and cover the spread by 5.3 points on average, per Team Rankings. Phoenix leads the NBA in both stats.
Devin Booker has missed back-to-back games, and his availability is crucial for this wager. However, I expect the Suns’ star to play after being upgraded to questionable on the injury report.
-> Check out full NBA Cup betting markets for tonight
With Booker playing, Phoenix lost 123-119 in Oklahoma City just under two weeks ago.
The Thunder are off to a historical start with a 23-1 record, but they are a mediocre 13-11 ATS (6-5 at home).
With how the Suns are playing recently, I expect them to put up a fight as big underdogs in this NBA Cup quarterfinal.
Suns vs. Thunder SGP predictions made at 10:55 a.m. ET on Dec. 10, 2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.