Friday’s loaded 12-game slate ends with a clash between the Dallas Mavericks and NBA-best Oklahoma City Thunder.
The pregame narrative: Dallas has won three straight behind the return of Anthony Davis, while the Thunder (21-1) enter on a 13-game winning streak.
Check out my +310 Mavericks vs. Thunder SGP predictions for Dec. 5, featuring Dallas on an alternative spread and prop picks on Klay Thompson and Cooper Flagg.
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Mavericks vs. Thunder SGP predictions
Parlay: Mavericks +16.5 | Thompson 3+ threes | Flagg 25+ points/rebounds/assists (+310)
Mavericks +16.5 (-127): The Mavericks’ last three games: A win over the Los Angeles Clippers before a pair of impressive victories over the Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat (both top-five seeds in their respective conferences).
Dallas has been without Davis for two-thirds of the season, but he’s back and balling.
He’s a top NBA prop pick of mine tonight.
The Mavericks, fourth in defensive rating (the Thunder are No. 1), are much better than an 8-15 club.
That almost entirely hinges on Davis’ availability, mind you. He’s a game-changing talent who’s likely to flirt with his fifth straight 25-and-10 season. But AD also has help, and the most impressive player of his supporting cast is the No. 1 overall pick.
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Despite their remarkable start, the defending champs are only 11-11 ATS because of enormous spreads like this.
The Thunder are down All-NBA defender Lu Dort and big man Isaiah Hartenstein, helping even the playing field a bit more against a Mavs team dealing with its own batch of injuries.
Dallas has only lost one game by more points than this. When these teams met in October, OKC won by seven points on the road.
NBA SGP legs
Thompson 3+ threes (-150): Thompson has put a nasty start to the season behind him, providing Dallas with the sharpshooting it envisioned out of him.
The veteran guard has topped this number in 10 of his last 12 games, drilling five-plus triples five times over that stretch.
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The Thunder are superb in several areas, but teams have had success against them from long range.
- OKC ranks 22nd in opponent 3-point percentage and 24th in threes allowed per game.
- Thompson has averaged at least 3.0 threes in every season since 2013-14.
Cooper Flagg prop pick
Flagg 25+ PRA (-175): Flagg faces a difficult task vs. this Thunder defence, but I can’t ignore his recent run.
And even if he’s slowed down offensively, he’s been strong on the glass and I expect that to continue with Dallas facing frontcourt injuries.
-> Bet on No. 1 overall pick Cooper Flagg
Flagg appears to have already shaken the rookie bug.
- He has scored 20-plus points in all games during Dallas’ win streak (including a career-high 35) and is shooting 47.6% from the field.
- Flagg has recorded seven-plus rebounds in six of his past seven games.
- The 18-year-old has corralled 10 rebounds twice and nine in another two games, demonstrating his upside.
Flagg’s worst game of his young career came against the Thunder (two points on 1-of-9 shooting with two rebounds). Expect him to come out motivated.
Mavericks vs. Thunder predictions made at 3:05 p.m. ET on Dec. 5, 2025.
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Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.