The Oklahoma City Thunder are hefty road favourites on Tuesday night against the Steph Curry-less Golden State Warriors.
The pregame narrative: OKC (20-1) is laying 12 points against a Golden State squad that is 7-2 SU (6-3 ATS) at home. Without Curry, Brandin Podziemski is a logical candidate to pick things up from 3-point range for the Dubs.
Check out my Thunder vs. Warriors SGP predictions for Dec. 2, featuring Podziemski, Chet Holmgren and Jimmy Butler.
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Thunder vs. Warriors SGP
Parlay: Holmgren double-double | Podziemski 2+ threes | Butler 20+ points (+430)
Holmgren to record a double-double (+104): There are no dominant rebounders in this matchup tonight, but Holmgren is the best — and biggest — of the bunch.
Isaiah Hartenstein is out, leaving Holmgren (7-foot-1) with the traditional centre role for OKC.
On Golden State’s side, no player averages more than 6.2 rebounds per game. And only one regular rotational player, Quinten Post, is taller than 6-foot-7.
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Holmgren, who’s averaging 18.2 points and 8.0 rebounds, recorded a double-double in four of his first eight games. He hasn’t had one since, but he’s been awfully close.
The former No. 2 overall draftee has finished with exactly nine rebounds in four of his past seven games. I’m not worried about Holmgren scoring 10 points, so it’s really about getting to that double-digit rebound total.
Golden State has allowed the seventh-most rebounds per game to centres, per Fantasy Pros, as well as the eighth-most rebounds overall.
NBA SGP legs
Podziemski 2+ threes (-186): The Thunder are the NBA’s best defensive team, but they aren’t a lockdown group when defending the perimeter.
OKC allows a 36.5% shooting rate from 3-point range, which is higher than the NBA average (35.9%).
Podziemski is a solid shooter from outside (38.6 3PT%), and he’s on a heater right now. This matchup shouldn’t deter bettors from backing him.
-> Go to full Thunder vs. Warriors prop markets
Check out Podziemski’s beyond-the-arc production in his past 10 games:
- 43.8 3PT%
- 2.1 makes/game
- 4.8 attempts/game
- 2+ threes in 8 of 10
I’d like Podziemski’s 3-point shot volume to be higher, but the efficiency can’t be denied.
And he’s coming off a season-high nine attempted 3s — with Curry sidelined — so hopefully there are plenty more to come.
Butler 20+ points (-159): Butler is questionable to play, but if he suits up for the Warriors I know this scoring milestone will be within reach.
- Butler is averaging 20.2 PPG this season in 19 games.
- He has 20+ points in 13 of 19 games.
- In his past eight matchups, Butler has gone 6-2 vs. this prop while averaging 22.9 PPG.
-> Bet on Podziemski, Butler vs. OKC on Tuesday night
The 15-year veteran had a weirdly quiet showing when he last faced the Thunder in mid-November: 12 points on 2-of-3 shooting (8-for-8 from the free throw line) in 22 minutes.
Butler has averaged 33.9 minutes, 12.8 field goal attempts and 9.4 free throw attempts since then, so I feel comfortable calling that an outlier.
Warriors vs. Thunder SGP made at 1 p.m. ET Dec. 2, 2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.