The Los Angeles Lakers haven’t lost in nearly three weeks, and they’ll look to stay in the win column on Monday night in a home matchup against the Phoenix Suns.
The pregame narrative: L.A. played last night without LeBron James, who should be back in the mix for this game. Phoenix is just 4-5 on the road this year and is a road underdog despite having a rest advantage.
Check out my Suns vs. Lakers SGP picks for Dec. 1, featuring LeBron and Collin Gillespie.
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Suns vs. Lakers SGP picks
Parlay: Lakers -5.5 | LeBron over 6.5 assists | Gillespie over 2.5 threes (+475)
Lakers -5.5 (-113): As a team, the Lakers are playing on zero rest tonight. But LeBron sat out the front end of the back-to-back, and his expected return tonight should be a boost for the home team.
With or without a rested LeBron, though, L.A. is playing well enough that I’d probably want to back this squad regardless.
- The Lakers have won seven in a row, including a 12-point win over the Pelicans at Crypto.com Arena last night.
- Six of L.A.’s seven wins during the streak have come by 10+ points.
- The Lakers went 11-2 in November with a +5.6 net rating (ninth in the NBA).
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The Suns have dropped three straight against playoff-calibre teams (Rockets, Thunder, Nuggets) by a combined 44 points. They’re having a solid year so far, but they don’t have many impressive wins.
I’ll side with a Lakers squad that is 7-3 ATS at home and covered this number in both home games vs. Phoenix last season.
NBA SGP legs
LeBron over 6.5 assists (-148): He’s only four games into his 23rd season, but so far, LeBron has taken a back seat as a scorer.
His passing productivity hasn’t gone anywhere, though.
Now in his eighth year with L.A., LeBron is averaging 8.1 assists per game. He has 33 assists in his first four matchups of the 2025-26 season.
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The King is averaging 12.3 potential assists, per NBA.com, which means passes that lead directly to a shot. That’s high enough to put this assist total in play on a nightly basis.
LeBron is 3-1 vs. this prop and finished with six feeds in the outlier.
He has eight-plus assists in six straight games vs. the Suns dating back to December 2023.
Gillespie over 2.5 threes (-115): Gillespie is on a scorching run from beyond the arc, and I expect more of the same against the Lakers.
- The Lakers allow corner 3s on 11.4% of opponents’ shot attempts, which is the third-highest rate in the NBA, per Cleaning the Glass.
- On those corner 3s, opponents are shooting 40.1% — seventh-highest in the NBA.
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Gillespie is a killer from the corner, going 14-for-20 (70.0%) from there so far this season. It’s a small sample, but he should have opportunities to add to that total against L.A.
The undrafted guard out of Villanova, now in his third season, is shooting 43.9% overall from deep. He has cashed this bet in seven consecutive games.
Suns vs. Lakers picks made at 9:54 a.m. on Dec. 1, 2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.