There are nine NBA games tonight, preceding Thursday’s league-wide off day for American Thanksgiving. I’ve got three prop bets on three of them.
Today’s NBA props narrative: Devin Booker has kept the Phoenix Suns competitive this year, and he’s got a great matchup against the Sacramento Kings. Elsewhere, look for De’Aaron Fox to keep producing with Victor Wembanyama sidelined.
Check out my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 26, which include a prediction on LaMelo Ball.
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NBA prop picks Nov. 25
Best bet: Booker over 28.5 points (-130)
This is a big number, but it’s one Booker is more than capable of clearing — especially against Sacramento.
The guard is Phoenix’s clear-cut No. 1 option following the departure of Kevin Durant.
Booker is averaging 26.8 points while taking 18.8 shots a night. That 46.9 FG% isn’t super efficient, but I’m more interested in volume with this matchup.
On top of that, Grayson Allen (quadriceps) is out. He’s third in scoring (18.5/game) and FGA (13.3/game) on Phoenix.
-> Bet on Devin Booker vs. the Kings tonight!
Sacramento has the second-worst mid-range defence in basketball, allowing opponents to shoot 51.1% from that area of the court, according to Cleaning the Glass.
Booker is, and always has been, a mid-range assassin. He takes 54% of his shots from the mid-range, which ranks in the 100th percentile for all guards.
He went to work against the Kings in October, scoring 31 points on 52.6% shooting.
I expect a repeat performance tonight.
Key stat: Sacramento has the fifth-worst defensive rating (119.9) in the NBA.
Best NBA picks
Fox over 24.5 points (-118): No Wembanyama, and no Stephon Castle? No problem.
Fox has led the Spurs to a 3-1 record without Wemby and Castle, averaging 26.5 PPG and going 4-0 against this line.
-> Back De’Aaron Fox to fill the basket!
He should be leaned on again as San Antonio takes on the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Blazers are a 1.5-point home favourite, but have gotten lit up by point guards all season. They are allowing the second-most PPG to that position per Fantasy Pros.
Fox is also shooting a respectable 38.0% from deep, and Portland has a bottom-10 three-point defence (36.9%).
NBA player prop predictions
Ball over 2.5 threes (-154): I don’t usually like playing props at this price, but think it’s well worth it here.
Ball is ice cold from deep, averaging 1.6 threes on 7.8 attempts this month (20.5%). But he’s consistently putting up shots, even with the emergence of Kon Knueppel, which is key for this wager.
Last year, Ball averaged 3.8 threes on a league-high 11.2 attempts per game. I doubt he’ll finish with numbers like that, but it’s even more unlikely he’ll keep playing like this.
-> Bet on Wednesday’s 9-game NBA slate
Tonight’s matchup against the New York Knicks is a good opportunity for Ball to start trending in a positive direction.
The Knicks have a bottom-five perimeter defence (38.4%) and allow the third most 3s per game (15.2).
Ball has cashed this wager in four of his last five games against New York, averaging 4.8 threes on 45.8% shooting.
NBA prop picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 26, 2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.