Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is among three players featured in Wednesday’s top NBA prop picks.
Today’s NBA props narrative: Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder are on a heater, but I believe that will work against SGA on a certain prop market tonight.
Find out why in my top NBA prop picks for Nov. 19, featuring predictions on PJ Washington and Rudy Gobert.
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NBA prop picks Nov. 19
Best bet: Gilgeous-Alexander under 31.5 points (-121)
Gilgeous-Alexander has a plus matchup and it’s completely in the realm of possibilities that he drops a 40-piece on the Sacramento Kings.
But I think it’s more likely that the reigning MVP’s minutes are limited once again as a result of another Thunder blowout.
Gilgeous-Alexander is having a fantastic season, ranking third in the NBA in scoring (31.9 per game) despite logging fewer than 30 minutes in more than half of his games. That includes each of his last four.
The 14-1 Thunder haven’t needed to push him hard in many fourth quarters thanks to 10 double-digit victories.
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Their opponent is on the opposite end. Sacramento has been getting chewed apart. The Kings’ last six games, all losses, have been ugly:
- Nov. 16 @ SA: 123-110
- Nov. 14 @ MIN: 124-110
- Nov. 12 vs. ATL: 133-100
- Nov. 11 vs. DEN: 122-108
- Nov. 9 vs. MIN: 144-117
- Nov. 7 Vs. OKC: 132-101
Oklahoma City — the No. 1 team in defensive rating — also beat the Kings in October. Gilgeous-Alexander hit the 30-point mark in both games but fell short of this total each time.
Key stat: SGA has failed to top 31.5 points in 10 of his 15 games.
Best NBA picks
Washington over 6.5 rebounds (-110): Washington has three double-digit rebounding games and is regularly topping this number.
He’s 10-3 vs. this line (excluding an injury-shortened five-minute game last week) and starts for the Dallas Mavericks, who are missing top rebounder Anthony Davis.
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Washington has cleared this line in four straight and is coming off a career-best rebounding campaign (7.8 boards/game). He’s at 7.5 this season.
Dallas is a 5.5-point home underdog vs. the New York Knicks, who are without OG Anunoby, while Jalen Brunson is questionable after missing two straight.
Those two being out would give Dallas a much better chance to keep this close, leading to more minutes and opportunities for Washington.
NBA player prop predictions
Gobert over 11.5 points (-110): The Minnesota Timberwolves’ big man should have a game tonight against the lowly Washington Wizards.
- Washington has one win this season and enters on an 11-game skid.
- The Wizards surrender the most rebounds to opposing centres in the NBA and the fourth-most points, per Betting Pros.
- Only three teams allow more points in the paint, which is where Gobert does all his scoring.
- The Wizards have the second-lowest rebounding rate in the NBA.
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Gobert (10.7 PPG) isn’t a big scorer but he can contribute in the right matchups. He’s topped this number six times in 14 games.
Washington’s lack of rebounding should help Gobert clean up on the offensive glass, leading to some easy putback opportunities.
Gobert is converting at a near-90% rate in the paint, per NBA.com. That’s the top field goal percentage in the NBA among players taking more than two shots per game in that area.
NBA prop picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET on Nov. 19, 2025.
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Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.