Lions vs. Eagles SNF Week 11 SGP predictions: Bet on Detroit, Jahmyr Gibbs in +475 ticket

Lions vs. Eagles predictions

The Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles collide in a heavyweight matchup between the NFC’s elite.

The pregame narrative: It doesn’t feel like the Lions and Eagles have played their best football just yet. A strong effort, however, will be needed to win this clash of NFC titans. With less than half a season to go, which team will start building momentum for the playoffs?

Check out my +475 same-game parlay Lions vs. Eagles predictions for Nov. 15, featuring Jahmyr Gibbs

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Lions vs. Eagles predictions

SGP: Lions ML | Under 52.5 points | Gibbs over 22.5 receiving yards (+475)

Lions ML (+128): While neither team is playing their best football, Detroit certainly seems to be closer.

The Lions saw immediate results in Week 10 with Dan Campbell taking over playcalling duties. They scored 44 points, albeit against a weak Washington Commanders defence.

But similar results should be expected from this team. Detroit, after all, did lead the NFL in points per game last season (33.1) and has many of the same playmakers returning.

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The Eagles haven’t been able to find that same offensive success.

Philadelphia is 12th in points per game (24.2) and is coming off a 10-point showing against the Green Bay Packers.

Its defence is also worth poking some holes in, as the unit has allowed 20-plus points in six of its last seven outings.

I expect Detroit to get a fair number of points, and I’m not sure Philadelphia can keep pace.

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Sunday Night Football SGP picks

Under 52.5 points (-235): This is mainly a play against Philadelphia’s offence.

The Eagles have scored fewer than 20 points in three of their last six games. Both teams will have to score for this over to come through, and I’m skeptical about a back-and-forth shootout.

Additionally, I don’t expect the Lions to have a record-setting day on offence. Philly is ceding the 10th-fewest points per game (21.3), and playing outdoors has never been Jared Goff’s specialty.

  • Outdoors: 259.0 yards per game, 1.5 touchdowns per game, 0.7 interceptions per game
  • Indoors: 262 yards per game, 1.9 touchdowns per game, 0.6 interceptions per game

I expect this to be a game where points are harder to come by, which makes the under my play.

Gibbs over 22.5 receiving yards (-115): Lastly, I’m taking the over on this total.

Gibbs has cleared this mark in five of nine games, including a 30-yard performance last week against the Commanders.

Philadelphia’s defence doesn’t give opponents much, but teams looking to avoid the pressure have had success dumping it off to running backs.

The Eagles are allowing the 10th-most receiving yards per game to opposing rushers (35.4).

Lions vs. Eagles predictions made at 2:15 p.m. ET 11/15/2025.

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Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.